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Here's what the ad industry thinks of Tim Armstrong selling AOL for $4.4 billion to Verizon

May 12, 2015, 19:18 IST

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Verizon's move to acquire AOL for $4.4 billion is all anyone in the advertising industry is talking about right now.

It's huge, not just in terms of price, but what it means for the online advertising landscape.

Tim Armstrong, AOL's CEO, said last week the company was "building toward being one of the top three" next to Google and Facebook in online advertising. It still has a long way to go - AOL is currently at number 11 - according to eMarketer estimates - but Verizon should give AOL some of the scale, data, and tech needed to ramp up its online advertising business.

We asked around to see what the industry was chatting about in terms of the deal, and how they feel Verizon/AOL is going to affect them. Bear in mind this is gossip, sometimes coming from competitors and others who have no reason to feel charitable toward either company.

"[This puts AOL] on a comparable footing to Facebook and Google" - Ari Paparo, an ad tech veteran who previously worked for Google's DoubleClick and is now the CEO of pre-launch ad tech start-up Beeswax

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"From an ad tech perspective, this takes AOL's strong presence in the market, and boosts it significantly with Verizon data. If the future of digital ads is mostly about video viewed on mobile devices, the overlay of Verizon household data is a very big differentiator which puts them on comparable footing to Facebook and Google in the ability to deliver what advertisers want with minimal waste.

"Verizon says they 'touch' 75% of internet traffic, but they've struggled to add value to the traffic through ad targeting with their so-called zombie/super cookies. There's much less controversy around using user data if they use it themselves rather than pass it to various ad tech third parties."

"Laughable" - A former AOL ad sales exec, who referenced the company's recent ad sales layoffs (in which it axed around 150 roles as the company shifted towards programmatic advertising.)

"WOW. It's clear now why they got rid of the best (and most expensive talent) back in January. The memo Tim Armstrong sent this morning was almost laughable. 'Current employees will be compensated the same or better'?! Doubtful. I'm sure they'll sell off the content brands and in a year lay off everyone else. The duplication of sales force will be shameful."

"I wonder how much Shingy will get? What really burns me is the fact that TA was SO adamant about being transparent and was emphatic when it came to denying these Verizon rumors in January."

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"Doesn't surprise me at all" - Eric Franchi, co-founder and chief evangelist at independent ad tech company Undertone.

"This acquisition didn't surprise me at all. There are many large companies that need ad tech assets to compete, let alone thrive, in the future that is digital-first and multiscreen. Expect to see more deals like it.

"I don't think that it dramatically changes the face of the ad tech landscape, at least over the short term. The distance between Facebook and Google and the rest is significant.I think the big opportunity here is in digital video, based on Verizon's cable assets."

Franchi also tweeted:

"This is only a first step to make a real claim on the mobile video market" - Stephen Upstone, CEO and founder of LoopMe, a video ad tech startup, and UK chairman of the Mobile Marketing Association. "TV brand advertising is a $200bn market and we believe that up to 50% of this revenue will move to digital video over the next 5 years. AOL has good online video capabilities today, but does not have a strong mobile video capability yet. Given that most of digital will move to mobile and tablet over the next 5 years this is only a first step to make a real claim on the mobile video market against Google and Facebook.""Outside of the US, AOL's challenges remain" - Ian Maude, head of Enders Analysis' digital media practice

"In a sense Verizon's acquisition of AOL completes a circle.

"AOL started out providing access to online services before morphing into content and, ultimately, the ill-fated acquisition of Time Warner. So for AOL to be bought by a telco shows the importance of access and distribution.

"But what will happen next? Will AOL, as Armstrong seems to be hinting, focus on video and ad platforms? What does this mean for HuffPo and Techcrunch? And will AOL's 2 million US dial-up access customers finally get an upgrade?

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"According to comScore, AOL has the 4th largest digital audience in the US, but in the UK it's ranked only 14th.

"Another way of looking at the deal is that Verizon is buying the 4th largest digital audience in the US for 2% of market cap, again highlighting the value of access."

"[AOL's] programmatic platform made AOL more attractive" - Rajeev Goel, CEO of ad tech company PubMatic

"While we don't know the deal negotiations, you could guess that the media part of the business might have been replicable, but the years of investment required to build a competitive programmatic platform made AOL more attractive when considering what seems to be Verizon's desire for speed to market.

"Its clear that the ad tech sector needs to be clarified and there is a clear line being drawn between the companies that are really media businesses with a small amount of workflow technology, and the companies with technology in their DNA who are building platforms for automating processes."

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