Country: Australia
Position: Archbishop of Sydney
Age: 70
Likelihood: Paddy Power pegs his odds at 50/1, which seems very low to us, as it underestimates how well known and well-regarded he is among the Cardinals. No rank from InTrade.
What His Election Would Mean: A continuation of the direction for the Church established by Benedict, but with superior skills in the media. He's also likely to continue Benedict's extreme slow motion return to Traditional liturgy.
Reasons He'll Get Elected: He fits the mold of building social and political alliances in an ecumenical fashion, while holding firm to orthodox doctrine and practice.
Reasons He Might Not Get Elected: Like Pope Benedict XVI, he is a vocal supporter of the reconciliation of the Society of St. Pius X, a traditionalist group whose bishops were excommunicated in 1988. Since that effort has been seen as a source of embarrassment to Benedict, the Cardinals may skip him.