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What Kevin Love's season-ending injury means for his future with the Cavaliers

Scott Davis   

What Kevin Love's season-ending injury means for his future with the Cavaliers
Sports4 min read

kevin love

Maddie Meyer/Getty

Kevin Love stands to make much more if he becomes a free agent in 2016 instead of 2015.

The Cleveland Cavaliers took a major hit to their title hopes when Kevin Love dislocated his shoulder, taking him out of the next round of the playoffs and most likely the rest of the season.

Though Love struggled individually this season relative to how he played as the No. 1 option for the Minnesota Timberwolves, he was nonetheless an important part of the Cavaliers. Without him, the Cavs lose a top scoring option, a floor-spacer, and a solid rebounder.

Love has the option to become a free agent this summer, but this injury might keep him in Cleveland longer.

Love has a $16.7 million player option for the 2015-2016 season, and it makes financial sense for him to take it rather than become a free agent this summer. Not only will Love make more as a free agent in 2016 when the cap jumps, but it is risky for players coming off a big injury to hit the open market. Teams may look at how Love's stats declined this season, along with his injury, and fret about giving him a max contract. In addition, the Cavaliers were playing their best basketball of the season when Love went down - that could make him more optimistic about his future in Cleveland than he was four months ago.

By opting in to his player option, Love has another chance to prove himself on the court while enjoying free agency in 2016, when the salary cap is $89 million instead of $66 million.

When the Cavs traded for Love in August, Yahoo's Adrian Wojnarowski reported that the team and Love had agreed that Love would opt out of his contract to re-sign in Cleveland on a five-year, $120 million max contract. The supposed agreement (which had to be in principle, otherwise it would be a violation of NBA rules) would assure Cleveland of keeping Love long-term after giving up No. 1 draft pick Andrew Wiggins in the trade, while also locking in Love at a bargain rate before the giant salary cap jump in 2016.

In January, however, amid speculation that Love was unhappy in Cleveland during the Cavs' rocky start, Love told Chris Haynes of the Northeast Ohio Media Group that he didn't plan on opting out:

I think that we will figure it out here, so I don't plan on opting out or any of that. I plan on being here. As far as leaving my options open, I mean sure, it's always there. At the end of the day, it's always good to have something but no, I plan on being here.

This is beneficial for Love. Although his $16.7 million salary for 2015-2016 is less than what he would get if he opted out and signed a max contract with Cleveland, he can earn much more long-term.

According to Larry Coon's CBA FAQ, Love can earn a max contract worth 30% of the salary cap because he has been in the league seven to nine years. Next season the salary cap is expected to be $66 million, giving Love a starting salary of $19.8 million with 7.5% raises each season. If he opts in and becomes a free agent in 2016 with the $89 million salary cap, he could have a starting salary worth $26.7 million with 7.5% raises each season.

Over the course of five years - assuming he stays with Cleveland, the only team that can offer him a five-year contract and 7.5% raises - that would be worth $153 million, a $33 million difference from the reported five-year, $120 million agreement when he was traded.

When Love and the Cavs made this reported agreement, the NBA's huge salary cap jump as a result of a new TV deal had not been reported.

Now, with Love's shoulder injury, it's more likely that he takes his player option rather than entering free agency coming off a big injury when teams may be hesitant to sign him.

Whether the Cavs will be happy about that is another matter, but they don't have much of a choice. This at least gives Cleveland another year of the LeBron-Kyrie-Love trifecta, with another year to jell and see whether the team has a championship core with the right surrounding pieces.

Having Love around another season is also beneficial in that the Cavaliers would not have the financial ability to replace Love if he decided to leave in free agency this summer. Assuming LeBron, J.R. Smith, and Mike Miller all take their player options this summer, the Cavs would still have over $71 million on their payroll with no room to sign a free agent of Love's caliber as a replacement.

Though the Cavs will most likely have to fight for a title without Love this season, they will have at least one more shot with this core next season, which could be the deciding year for Love's future.

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