Mary Cybulski/Paramount Pictures
The report cited an Options Group study, which predicted the 4 percent jump across the board, but didn't account for the legal penalties that companies like Bank of America, BNP Paribas, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley will have to pay out this year.
Most recently, six banks were fined $4.3 billion for overlooking foreign exchange market manipulation. Other investigations and negotiations have led to a whopping $24 billion being paid to the Justice Department this year.
Those penalties will likely come out of employees' bonus checks - particularly fixed income, currencies, and commodities traders, for whom Options Group expects to see a 1 percent pay drop.
Stock traders should see a 1 percent pay increase, but the real winners will be the investment bankers, who should see their total pay rise 9 percent from last year. (Wealth managers' pay should jump 7 percent this year, the report said.)
Other estimates are more extreme. A Johnson Associates study predicted a 15 percent jump in investment bankers' pay, while traders' bonuses would fall by 10 percent.
Not their regular pay, though. Just their bonuses.