Wall Street Is About To Start Bleeding Traders
The gist is this - get ready for a mass exodus of traders from top Wall Street banks.
It's not hard to understand why. The market is quiet. As a result, trading - in bonds, credit, currencies, what have you - just isn't the money maker it used to be. People have been warning of this hole in bank balance sheets for months.
Especially in the 2nd quarter, analysts expect trading revenue to nose dive, and it's key revenue - at Goldman it makes up 30% of their quarterly haul. This deficiency means banks must find a way to cut down unnecessary costs.
Head hunters like Richard Stein, senior partner at executive-search firm Caldwell Partners, told the WSJ that there are "too many people on these trading floors," and that he's starting to get calls from people that want to jump ship before they're pushed out.
Mr. Stein of Caldwell Partners says he has received between 17% and 19% more calls in the past month than in the same month a year earlier from managing directors inquiring about job opportunities. Managing directors inhabit the top rung of the Wall Street career ladder.
"It's very clear to most people that making money and profits is harder," said a credit trader who left a large U.S. bank earlier this year. "There's a high probability you're going to be pushed out. Most people don't come into a bank thinking they're going to be there 15 or 20 years, even if they do well."
Until the market changes - interest rates rise and/or things become more volatile - traders will be twiddling their thumbs. And Wall Street can't afford that.