
REUTERS/Pablo Martinez Monsivais
It began on Monday after
Russia jumped on the offer and proposed a plan to place Syria's chemical weapons under international control for subsequent dismantling.
The White House, its European allies, and the U.N. responded positively - President Barack Obama said "it could potentially be a significant breakthrough" - thereby placing Russian President Vladimir Putin in the driver's seat.
On Tuesday morning Syria "agreed to the Russian initiative." (China and Iran, who along with Russia is propping up the Syrian regime, also backed the Kremlin's proposal.)
In the afternoon Putin then said that the disarmament of Syria's chemical weapons stockpile cannot proceed unless the U.S. altogether renounces plans to use military force in Syria.
Syria's foreign minister subsequently said that the country will declare its chemical weapons arsenal and sign the international chemical weapons convention.
Kerry countered that any Syria chemical weapons deal must pass through the U.N. Security Council, but the UNSC meeting has been postponed.
So the Syria debate has quickly gone from the White House's frantic push to win Congressional approval the use of force in Syria to discussing the daunting process of securing and destroying one of the world's largest chemical stockpiles during an ongoing civil war.
And the White House is stuck following Russia's proposal after having said that it would delay any Congressional vote to let diplomacy play out.
Furthermore, the process of locating and securing Syria's chemical stockpiles would take months while destroying them would take years. All the while the Syrian war rages into its 30th month.
"There are two clear winners in this slow-motion train wreck, and they are not Obama or Kerry," New Republic Editor Julia Ioffe points out. "They are Assad and Putin."
She explains:
Assad and Putin. Both wanted, for their own reasons, to avert a military strike, and a military strike was averted. Putin insisted on a diplomatic solution while doing everything to make a diplomatic solution impossible, and now he gets his phony, unenforceable diplomatic solution. Assad wanted to go on killing his opposition, and he will continue to do so.
On Friday the White House announced that President Obama would make his case for a military strike on Syria to the American people on Tuesday.
Given this week's events, that speech has likely been revamped to address the diplomatic dilemma the White House now finds itself in.