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Very Few American Workers Actually Make The Minimum Wage

Feb 10, 2014, 01:27 IST

BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics

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Economists at BofA Merrill Lynch say one of the questions clients have been asking recently is whether proposals to raise the minimum wage in the United States - like the one highlighted by President Obama during his State of the Union Address in January - would have an inflationary impact.

The answer, they say, is no, given the the tiny slice of the workforce such a policy would affect.

"For the sake of argument, let's assume that the minimum wage does increase from the current $7.25/hour to the proposed $10.10/hour," write the economists in a note to clients.

"That is a $2.85/hour increase, or 39%! Surely that has to be inflationary? Not necessarily. As a rough approximation, $2.85 on a $24 average hourly wage is nearly a 12% gain. But with just 2.8% of wages subject to the minimum, the overall impact is a 0.33% increase in average hourly earnings. This is very unlikely to be noticeable at all in the wage, let alone the inflation, data."

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So while the minimum wage debate may be a hot-button political issue, it is somewhat irrelevant from an economic perspective.

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