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TRADE DEFICIT WIDENS MORE THAN EXPECTED ON OIL IMPORT SPIKE

Matthew Boesler,Sam Ro   

TRADE DEFICIT WIDENS MORE THAN EXPECTED ON OIL IMPORT SPIKE
Stock Market1 min read

port elizabeth new jersey shipping container

Wikimedia Commons

Port Elizabeth, New Jersey

The latest trade data are out.

The deficit widened to $44.6 billion in January. Economists had only expected it to widen to $42.6 billion from $38.5 billion last month.

Much of this surprise is being attibuted to a 12.3 percent jump in oil imports.

The petroleum deficit which widened to $24.3 billion from $18.6 billion.

Here's Paul Ashworth of Capital Economics:

Exports fell by 1.2% m/m in January, partly reversing a 2.1% m/m surge the month before. Both the original spike and subsequent drop back were driven by a temporary jump in industrial supplies, which was largely due to volatility in fuel oil exports. Imports increased by 1.8% m/m, with all of the gain due to an increase in the value of petroleum-related imports. However, the latter was largely due to a bounce back in the volume of petroleum-related imports rather than a rise in prices.

Ashworth adds that he expects this to be "neutral or slightly negative" to Q1 GDP growth.

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