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<ul><li>The <keyword id="22203694" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Indian-electric-two-wheeler-market" source="keywords">Indian electric two-wheeler market</keyword> crossed the 1 lakh sales mark after four months.</li><li><keyword id="19897349" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Ola-Electric" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Ola Electric" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Ola Electric">Ola Electric</keyword> has emerged as the market leader with a market share of nearly 40%.</li><li>The Indian government recently extended <keyword id="48070" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="emps" source="Orion">EMPS</keyword> till September 2024.</li></ul> The Indian electric two-wheeler market is finally recovering after months of<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/electric-two-wheeler-sales-crater-in-april-2024-as-prices-increase-amid-reduced-subsidies/articleshow/109806054.cms"> subdued sales</a> after the reduction in <keyword id="21004406" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="FAME-subsidy" source="keywords">FAME subsidy</keyword>. The FAME subsidy scheme was replaced by the Electric Mobility Promotion Scheme (EMPS) 2024, which was been<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/government-extends-ev-subsidy-scheme-till-september-30-increases-outlay/articleshow/112062360.cms"> extended</a> till September 30, 2024. In the month of July 2024, 1,06,949 electric scooters were sold in India, up from 54,616 electric scooters sold in July 2023, recording a 96% year-on-year increase. <div type="Article" hostid="261" msid="112062360" title="Government extends EV subsidy scheme till September 30, increases outlay" mstype="2" mssubtype="0"></div> This is also significantly higher from June 2024, when 79,868 electric scooters were sold in the country. The electric scooter sales have crossed the 1 lakh mark for the first time in the last four months. <h2>Ola Electric leads the market</h2>Ola Electric, which is currently raising funds through an<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/webstories/ola-electric-ipo-price-band-to-risk-factors-all-you-need-to-know/slidelist/112185870.cms"> initial public offering </a> (IPO) continues to lead the Indian electric two wheeler market with a share of nearly 40%. The company recorded sales of 41,597 electric scooters in July 2024, up from 19,406 scooters sold in July 2023, recording a 114% year-on-year increase in sales. With this, the company recorded a market share of 39%. <h2><keyword id="46156" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="tvs-motor" source="Orion">TVS Motor</keyword> emerges a distant second</h2>TVS Motor has emerged a distant second, selling 19,471 electric scooters in July 2024, up from 10,398 scooters sold in July 2023, recording an increase of 87%. With this, the company commanded a market share of 18% in July 2024. Bajaj Auto is next, having sold 17,642 scooters in July 2024, up from 4,128 electric scooters sold in July 2023, recording a 327% year-on-year increase. The company has a 16% market share. Ather Energy, which recently launched the<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/ather-rizta-electric-scooter-launched-in-india-starting-at-rs-109999/articleshow/109128809.cms"> Rizta</a>, the company’s first electric scooter has been pushed to the fourth spot, with 10,080 scooters sold in July 2024, recording a year-on-year increase of 51%. The company has a 9% market share. Next is Hero MotoCorp, which sold 5,044 electric scooters in July 2024, up from 990 units sold in July 2023, recording a 410% growth. The company recorded a 5% market share. SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/indian-stock-market-from-us-recession-fears-to-tensions-in-the-middle-east-heres-why-the-markets-are-falling/articleshow/112281946.cms">Indian stock market – From US recession fears to tensions in the Middle East, here’s why the markets are falling</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/webstories/brainbees-solutions-firstcry-ipo-price-band-to-risk-factors-all-you-need-to-know/slidelist/112278766.cms">Brainbees Solutions (Firstcry) IPO – Price band to risk factors, all you need to know</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/maruti-suzuki-tata-motors-hyundai-and-other-automakers-report-a-decline-in-sales-in-july-2024/articleshow/112226500.cms">Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors, Hyundai and other automakers report a decline in sales in July 2024</a>

Electric two-wheeler sales cross the 1 lakh mark after four months, Ola Electric leads the market

Shares of <keyword id="20021345" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="TVS-Motor-Company" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="TVS Motor Company" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="TVS Motor Company">TVS Motor Company</keyword> on Thursday climbed over 6 per cent after the company's consolidated <keyword id="19942166" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="net-profit" source="keywords">net profit</keyword> increased 15 per cent for the fourth quarter ended March 2024. The stock went up 5.73 per cent to Rs 2,121.30 on the BSE. On the NSE, it climbed 6.32 per cent to Rs 2,123. TVS Motor Company on Wednesday said its net profit increased 15 per cent to Rs 387 crore for the fourth quarter ended March 2024, riding on robust sales. The company had reported a net profit of Rs 336 crore in the January-March period of the previous fiscal. Revenue from operations rose to Rs 10,042 crore in the period under review compared with Rs 8,031 crore in the fourth quarter of FY23. In the fourth quarter, the company said its overall <keyword id="19948209" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="two-wheeler" source="keywords">two-wheeler</keyword> and three-wheeler sales, including exports, grew by 22 per cent to 10.63 lakh units compared to 8.68 lakh units in the same period of the 2022-23 fiscal. For the year ended on March 31, 2024, the company posted a consolidated net profit of Rs 1,686 crore as against Rs 1,329 crore a year ago. Revenue from operations rose to Rs 39,145 crore in FY24 over Rs 31,974 crore in the 2022-23 fiscal. SEE ALSO:<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/indegene-ipo-allotment-how-to-check-allotment-gmp-listing-date-and-more/articleshow/109952516.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/indegene-ipo-allotment-how-to-check-allotment-gmp-listing-date-and-more/articleshow/109952516.cms" target="_blank">Indegene IPO allotment – How to check allotment, GMP, listing date and more</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/apps/news/google-wallet-launched-in-india-store-your-loyalty-cards-boarding-passes-and-more/articleshow/109941139.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/apps/news/google-wallet-launched-in-india-store-your-loyalty-cards-boarding-passes-and-more/articleshow/109941139.cms" target="_blank">Google Wallet launched in India – store your loyalty cards, boarding passes and more</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/webstories/top-selling-cars-in-india-in-april-2024-tata-punch-continues-to-dominate/slidelist/109909744.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/webstories/top-selling-cars-in-india-in-april-2024-tata-punch-continues-to-dominate/slidelist/109909744.cms" target="_blank">Top-selling cars in India in April 2024 – Tata Punch continues to dominate</a>

TVS Motor shares climb over 6% after March quarter earnings

<ul><li>Tata Motors reported a 4% fall in total domestic sales in April as compared to the same period last year.</li><li>Hero MotoCorp announced a dip of 5% in its total wholesales as it sold 3.96 lakh units in April against 4.18 lakh units last year.</li><li>Maruti Suzuki reported a growth of 6.5% in passenger vehicles, while TVS Motor announced a 4% rise in sales to 3.06 lakh units in April.</li></ul>Shares of automobile companies remained in focus on Tuesday after the April sales data of Tata Motors and Hero MotoCorp disappointed the street. At the same time, Maruti Suzuki, TVS Motor and Eicher Motor reported healthy growth in sales. Tata Motors reported a 4% fall in total domestic sales to 68,514 units in April as compared to 71,467 units during the same period last year. Total commercial vehicle sales of the automaker also dipped 27% to 22,492 units in April from 30,838 units last year. Also, its total wholesales declined 4% to 69,599 units as compared to 72,468 units last year. Following the weak sales, shares of Tata Motors fell more than 2% on Tuesday. Two-wheeler manufacturer Hero MotoCorp also reported a dip of 5% in its total wholesales — as it sold 3.96 lakh units in April against 4.18 lakh units last year. Shares of Hero MotoCorp were down more than 2%. Domestic sales for the two wheeler maker declined marginally to 3.86 lakh units in April 2023 from 3.98 lakh units in April 2022. But its exports slumped over 50% to 9,923 units from 20,132 units last year. The company said it expects the momentum to build up in the coming months on account of a combination of multiple factors, including a slew of new product launches, a healthy growth in the country's GDP and positive consumer sentiment. Maruti Suzuki, TVS Motor, Eicher Motors shine India’s largest carmaker Maruti Suzuki announced a good sales growth of 6.5% in passenger vehicles to 1.6 lakh units in April as compared to 1.5 lakh during the same period last year. It registered a 7% increase in total dispatches to dealers at 1.6 lakh in April. Its total sales including domestic and exports rose to 1.6 lakh units from 1.5 lakh units last year. As a result, shares of Maruti Suzuki gained 2.15% to ₹8,771. The automaker’s total domestic sales including PV, LCV and OEM stood at 1.43 lakh units as compared to 1.32 lakh units last year. Maruti Suzuki highlighted that it has been facing a shortage of electronic components while it has taken all possible measures to minimise the impact. Meanwhile, TVS Motor Company announced a 4% rise in sales at 3.06 lakh units in April 2023 from 2.95 lakh units in the same month, last year. TVS’ two-wheeler segment delivered a sales growth of 5% to 2.94 lakh units from 2.8 lakh units during the same period last year. Motorcycle volumes rose 10% to 1.52 lakh units from 1.39 lakh units. Scooter sales grew 5% to 1.07 lakh units from 1.02 lakh units last year. Reacting to the April sales numbers, shares of TVS rose 1.55% to ₹1,156 per share. Its electric vehicle, the iQube, reached a sales milestone of 1 lakh units. “The production for April 2023 was constrained due to AIS156 changeover and supply chain challenges, TVS Motor is confident of ramping up from the month of May 2023. The order book for TVS iQube continues to be very robust and TVS Motor will retain the growth momentum,” said the company in an exchange filing. At the same time, Eicher Motors reported a 18% on year jump in sales volumes of Royal Enfield motorcycles at 73,136 units against 62,155 units last year. Meanwhile, the international business of the company declined 49% to 4,255 units that were exported in April 2023 as against 8,303 units in April 2022. The models with engine capacity up to 350cc recorded 26% sales growth at 64,728 units as against 51,564 units in April 2022. Meanwhile, the sales of models with engine capacity exceeding 350cc dropped 21% to 8,408 units sold against 10,591 units in the same period last year. As a result, shares of the automaker rose 1.77% to ₹3,359 apiece. <div type="javascript" title="Custom" contenttype="Image"><cdata><![CDATA[]]></cdata></div> SEE ALSO: <a target="_blank" class="c-link c-message_attachment__title_link" href="https://www.businessinsider.in/careers/news/the-world-need-welders-drivers-and-specialised-teachers-to-prepare-the-next-generation-for-a-new-world/articleshow/99927007.cms">Teachers in demand for a ‘new world’ as tech is all set of eat away jobs</a> <a target="_blank" class="c-link c-message_attachment__title_link" href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/news/7-out-of-10-indians-are-unable-to-identify-ai-voice-call-scams-and-half-fall-for-scams-with-monetary-losses/articleshow/99924644.cms">7 out of 10 Indians are unable to identify AI voice call scams, and half fall for scams with monetary losses</a>

Tata Motors, Hero MotoCorp stocks slip after April sales disappoint; Maruti Suzuki, TVS Motor, Eicher Motors rise

This 2 wheeler stock hits 52-week high on strong Q4, analysts bullish on prospects

<ul><li>There is a consensus amongst analysts that FY24 would ring in high single-digit growth for the Indian automobile as well as auto component sectors despite export headwinds. </li><li>CareEdge expects two-wheeler and three-wheeler sales volumes to cross pre-pandemic levels in the next financial year. </li><li>Price hikes due to BS6 Phase 2 norms and inflationary pressures, El Niño and its impact on the rural sentiments will be amongst the key factors to watch out for in FY24. </li></ul>The Indian auto industry is expected to register sales volume growth of 7-9% in FY24, building on the robust momentum of FY23, according to a report by CareEdge. Passenger vehicle (PV) and commercial vehicle (CV) segments are both expected to drive growth in the next financial year, with the latter especially benefiting from the government’s thrust on capital expenditure. Despite a challenging global environment in FY23, Indian auto companies made the most of the first disruption-free year after the Covid-19 pandemic. Overall, domestic sales rose 21% year-on-year in the 11 months of FY23 when compared to the same period in FY22. Urban demand, festive sales and pre-buying due to the BS6 Phase 2 transition helped boost the overall volumes – once again driven by passenger vehicles and commercial vehicles – despite supply chain challenges and a semiconductor chip shortage, according to the research firm. Exports, however, registered a decline of 14% in the 11 months of FY23, largely on account of weakness in foreign markets. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Analysts expect high single-digit growth in FY24" comment="subhead" text="Analysts expect high single-digit growth in FY24">Analysts expect high single-digit growth in FY24</cmsannotation> There is a consensus amongst analysts that FY24 would ring in high single-digit growth for the Indian automobile as well as auto component sectors despite export headwinds. “The growth momentum is expected to continue after the robust demand seen in FY23, supported by favourable demand sentiments and various government initiatives for rural and urban development,” said Tanvi Shah, director, CareEdge. According to a report by ratings agency ICRA, the auto components industry is also expected to witness 5% to 8% growth in revenue in FY24, primarily due to strong demand from the domestic market. “Over the long term, opportunities in the electric vehicle market, premiumisation of vehicles, a focus on localisation, improved export potential, and changes in regulatory norms will result in healthy growth for auto component suppliers,” ICRA said. The ratings agency underlined that the rise in mobility due to the reopening of schools and offices, improved freight movement and purchases being pushed back due to elevated inflation should boost sales in FY24. “We believe, in the coming months, with a favourable base for both PVs and 2-wheelers till H1 FY24, maintaining current retail volume levels would help both the segments deliver 10%+ growth in FY24E,” said a report by ICICI Securities. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="2W and 3W sales expected to rise to pre-pandemic levels" comment="subhead" text="2W and 3W sales expected to rise to pre-pandemic levels">2W and 3W sales expected to rise to pre-pandemic levels</cmsannotation> Sales in the two-wheeler (2W) segment have stagnated in the past three months due to factors like continued price hikes, hot inflation and weakness in rural demand. <keyword id="6359783" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="bajaj-auto" source="Orion">Bajaj Auto</keyword>, which depends heavily on exports, also bore the brunt of weakness in key foreign markets like Nigeria. Its exports declined to 45% of its total sales in February 2023, from 52% in January 2022. While the threat of El Niño still looms large and could play spoilsport for two-wheeler sales by affecting crop output and hence incomes in rural areas –traditionally a large market for 2Ws, analysts at CareEdge remain optimistic about not just 2Ws but also three-wheeler sales going into FY24. The ratings agency expects sales volumes in these two segments to cross pre-pandemic levels in the next financial year. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="What to watch for in FY24 – steep price hikes, El Niño and rural sentiments" comment="subhead" text="What to watch for in FY24 – steep price hikes, El Niño and rural sentiments">What to watch for in FY24 – steep price hikes, El Niño and rural sentiments</cmsannotation> Analysts also underlined factors which could have a significant impact on the auto industry’s performance in the upcoming financial year, ranging from price hikes to weather. The implementation of BS6 Phase 2 norms from April 1, 2023 is expected to drive steep price hikes – leading automakers like <keyword id="42747" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="tata-motors" source="Orion">Tata Motors</keyword>, Hero MotoCorp,<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/maruti-suzuki-announces-price-hike-cars-to-get-costlier-by-1-1-from-today/articleshow/97022345.cms"> Maruti Suzuki</a> and Honda have already<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/time-to-buy-your-new-hot-wheels-automakers-set-to-increase-prices-of-vehicles-to-meet-stricter-emission-norms/articleshow/98940916.cms"> announced</a> price hikes. The adherence to new emission norms, in addition to inflationary pressures, could lead to more price hikes down the road and “potentially affect demand”, according to CareEdge. El Niño could lead to a drier year and further dampen rural sentiments, which could delay the much-anticipated recovery in the two-wheeler segment and derail tractor sales. However, overall, the Indian auto industry looks well placed heading into FY24 – the passenger and commercial vehicle segments are expected to retain their momentum, while the two- and three-wheeler sales are expected to inch back to pre-pandemic levels. SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/corporates/news/adani-group-stocks-stage-a-rebound-led-by-adani-enterprises-group-market-capitalisation-rises-by-22011-crore/articleshow/99084630.cms">Adani group stocks stage a rebound led by Adani Enterprises: Group market capitalisation rises by ₹22,011 crore</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/finance/news/npci-introduces-interchange-fees-on-upi-transactions-done-via-prepaid-payment-instruments/articleshow/99080455.cms">Will UPI payments now attract charges? Decoding NPCI’s interchange fee on UPI transactions via prepaid payment instruments</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/telecom/news/increased-competition-delayed-tariff-hikes-could-effectively-lead-to-a-jio-airtel-duopoly/articleshow/99065537.cms">Increased competition, delayed tariff hikes could effectively lead to a Jio-Airtel duopoly</a>

India auto sales seen rising 7-9% in FY24: Passenger & commercial vehicles to drive demand

India’s automobile sector is expected to get a boost during the upcoming festive season, with a forecasted growth of over 15%, particularly in the two-wheeler (2W) segment. According to an ANI report, this projection comes from a research report by <keyword id="23122458" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="nuvama-wealth-investment-limited" source="keywords">Nuvama Wealth Investment Limited</keyword>, which attributes the growth to increased customer enquiries and a resurgence in rural demand. A key factor driving this surge is the anticipated revival of rural demand, which contributes more than 55% to the two-wheeler market. According to the report, rural areas are showing strong signs of recovery, and the increased enquiries suggest a positive outlook for sales. This bodes well for mass-market original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) such as TVS Motors, <keyword id="19983534" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="hero-motocorp" source="keywords">Hero MotoCorp</keyword>, and <keyword id="19897354" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="bajaj-auto" source="keywords">Bajaj Auto</keyword>. The launch of new models, including the <keyword id="22875740" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="tvs-jupiter" source="keywords">TVS Jupiter</keyword> and Hero Xtreme 125R, is also expected to boost two-wheeler sales. In contrast, premium OEMs like Eicher Motors, which produces Royal Enfield motorcycles, may not experience the same level of demand growth. In the passenger vehicle segment, rural demand accounts for over 35% of the market. While growth in this area is expected to be in the single digits, it is anticipated that utility vehicles (UVs) will outpace hatchbacks with double-digit growth. This trend will likely benefit manufacturers such as Mahindra &amp; Mahindra and Tata Motors, with new models like the Mahindra Thar Roxx and Tata Currv expected to attract a significant share of customers. On the other hand, <keyword id="19909974" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="maruti-suzuki" source="keywords">Maruti Suzuki</keyword>, traditionally a strong player in the hatchback segment, may see more subdued growth compared to its rivals in the UV space. In preparation for the festive season, dealers have ramped up their inventories for both two-wheelers and passenger vehicles. According to the report, dealers have built up stocks for 1.5 to 2.5 months, signalling confidence in the market’s potential for increased sales. This build-up of inventory demonstrates that both manufacturers and dealers are optimistic about the surge in demand during the festive period. While two-wheelers and passenger vehicles are set to lead the charge this festive season, the commercial vehicle (CV) market is expected to grow at a more modest pace. Demand for medium and heavy commercial vehicles (MHCVs) is projected to increase in the low single digits, primarily driven by replacement demand as freight availability improves across India. Similarly, the tractor segment is expected to perform well over the next few years, with volume growth likely in the high single digits from FY24 to FY26. Tractors are seen as a strong performer in the long term, and the sector is poised to benefit from India’s agricultural demand and rural recovery. Looking beyond the festive season, the report suggests that the long-term outlook for the two-wheeler and tractor segments remains robust. Historical sales cycles, which typically span two to four years, suggest that these sectors could reach new peaks in the coming years. As a result, the report forecasts high single-digit volume growth for two-wheelers and tractors through FY24-26, while passenger vehicles and commercial vehicles are expected to see low single-digit growth. Overall, the Nuvama report paints a positive picture for the Indian automobile sector. (With PTI inputs)

Festive season to drive over 15% growth in Indian Automobile Market, says report

<ul><li>The future looks bright for India’s two-wheeler makers, who are now expected to outpace their peers in the passenger vehicles segment over the next two years.</li><li>The two-wheeler segment is expected to benefit from an imminent replacement cycle as well as a shift in consumer buying towards electric vehicles, and premium scooter and bikes.</li><li>Overall, the outlook for the Indian auto sector across segments is positive, with Jefferies expecting a volume growth in the range of 11% to 18% in FY24 and FY25.</li></ul>The future looks brighter for India’s two wheeler makers who have seen a volume decline of nearly 35% between FY19-22. Going forward however, global brokerage Jefferies expects the two-wheeler segment to outpace the passenger vehicle segment sales growth over FY24-25. The replacement cycle, which was delayed by the pandemic, will kick in the current and next fiscal years, believe analysts at Jefferies. Overall, its outlook for the Indian auto sector across segments is positive, with Jefferies expecting a volume growth in the range of 11% to 18% in FY24 and FY25. “We remain positive on Indian autos with the sector in midst of a strong earnings cycle. Strong top-line growth and better margins should fuel double-digit earnings per share compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) for most companies,” said Jefferies. Despite a challenging global environment in FY23, Indian auto companies made the most of the first disruption-free year after the Covid-19 pandemic. Domestic sales rose 21% year-on-year in the 11 months of FY23 when compared to the same period in FY22. Industry body <keyword id="610395" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="federation-of-automobile-dealers-association" source="Orion">Federation of Automobile Dealers Association</keyword> (<keyword id="354719" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="fada" source="Orion">FADA</keyword>) <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/finance/news/after-21-growth-in-fy23-auto-sales-to-hit-slow-lane-in-fy24-fada/articleshow/99235136.cms">underlined</a> that FY24 will be a year of consolidation, with growth expected to be in the low single digits due to price hikes and inflation impacting entry-level sales, among other factors. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Two-wheelers to undergo premiumisation" comment="subhead" text="Two-wheelers to undergo premiumisation">Two-wheelers to undergo premiumisation</cmsannotation> Heading into FY24, the analysts at Jefferies note that factors like a low base and replacement demand will aid volume growth in the two-wheeler segment. It’s not just the volumes which are expected to pick up – other factors like shifting consumer preferences towards more premium vehicles and softening commodity prices are expected to aid the margins of auto companies going forward. “We expect 1% to 4% earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) margin expansion for most of our covered auto OEMs over FY23-25E, led by better pricing power amid good demand, and operating leverage benefit,” said Jefferies. While passenger vehicles witnessed premiumisation in FY23 as well, as witnessed by the sustained growth in demand for the costlier sports utility vehicles (SUV) over entry-level options, analysts suggest a similar trend of premium two-wheelers is also emerging. According to Jefferies, while sub-125cc two-wheelers share will drop from 52% in FY22 to 45% by FY26, the share of premium scooters and bikes is expected to rise from 44% to 53% in this period, with electric vehicles also aiding this shift. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="TVS Motor, Tata Motors top picks as EVs gather pace" comment="subhead" text="TVS Motor, Tata Motors top picks as EVs gather pace"><keyword id="46156" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="tvs-motor" source="Orion">TVS Motor</keyword>, <keyword id="42747" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="tata-motors" source="Orion">Tata Motors</keyword> top picks as EVs gather pace</cmsannotation> While the outlook for the Indian auto sector remains healthy over the next two years, the analysts at Jefferies have picked <keyword id="62356" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="tvs" source="Orion">TVS</keyword> Motor and <keyword id="8555" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="tata" source="Orion">Tata</keyword> Motors as their favourites, apart from auto components manufacturer Sona BLW. The common factor between these three companies is that they cater to the electric vehicle demand. In the listed space, TVS Motor leads the market in terms of electric two-wheelers, while <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/tata-motors-rallies-nearly-8-on-strong-jlr-sales-in-march-quarter-analysts-bullish-with-an-eye-on-margins/articleshow/99372607.cms">Tata Motors</a> has a market share of 80% in electric passenger vehicles. “TVS should be a key beneficiary of the potential two-wheeler demand recovery in both India and export markets. It has also risen to the second position in electric two-wheelers with its EV market share approaching that of internal combustion engine (ICE) scooters,” the brokerage said. Tata’s early shift to electric vehicles reflects its dominance in this space (electric passenger vehicles), and also in its own portfolio – electric vehicles now account for nearly 15% of Tata Motors’ portfolio. Its British subsidiary, JLR, also has a strong order book and its focus on selling higher-margin SUVs should help boost Tata Motors’ overall margins, too. On the whole, despite concerns of a global economic slowdown, Indian auto companies are looking at a healthy growth over the next two years thanks to robust domestic demand, and an expected recovery in global markets. 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After languishing since FY19, two-wheeler growth to outpace passenger vehicles in FY24-25

<ul><li>India’s auto sector could be looking at mixed performance in March, with some segments likely to clock better growth than others. </li><li>Passenger vehicles, one of the segments that have been driving sales in the past few months, could be looking at a flat March. </li><li>Commercial vehicles are expected to continue growing thanks to infrastructure-led demand seeing a healthy fleet utilisation in the medium to heavy commercial vehicles (MHCV) category. </li></ul>The Indian auto sector could be looking at mixed performance in March due to a combination of erratic rainfall dampening demand for light commercial vehicles (LCVs), and a moderation in demand for passenger vehicles (PVs) during the month, as observed by analysts at <keyword id="46252" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="motilal-oswal" source="Orion">Motilal Oswal</keyword>. The brokerage expects a slight uptick in demand for two-wheelers during the month on account of festivals and a low base of the previous year. However, concerns about weakness in the rural markets could drag down the overall numbers. Passenger vehicles, which were in the driver’s seat for a few months now, are expected to clock ‘flattish’ growth during March. “There has been some moderation in enquiries led by muted demand during ongoing festivals and persistent weakness in the rural market,” said the Motilal Oswal report. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Commercial vehicles to drive growth" comment="subhead" text="Commercial vehicles to drive growth">Commercial vehicles to drive growth</cmsannotation> The brokerage expects the commercial vehicle segment to drive growth in the auto sector in March. More specifically, the medium and heavy commercial vehicles segment is expected to register a 10-12% year-on-year rise in sales due to “healthy fleet utilisation driven by infra-led demand and pre-buying before OBD-2 transition.” On the other hand, the light commercial vehicle segment is expected to register a decline of 8-10%n due to erratic rainfall and subdued rural sentiments. Unseasonal rains could also weigh on tractor sales, which could decline 3-5% due to expectations of a low Rabi output. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Moderation in passenger vehicle sales: High interest rates hurt bookings" comment="subhead" text="Moderation in passenger vehicle sales: High interest rates hurt bookings">Moderation in passenger vehicle sales: High interest rates hurt bookings</cmsannotation> The entry-level segments have been hurting across the passenger vehicle and two-wheeler segments for a while now. So far, weak rural sentiments and elevated inflation were behind the weak performance of the entry-level segment, but now, analysts suggest high interest rates are also adding to the slowdown. “Moreover, rising interest rates have further hampered bookings for low-end models. Although the inventory level has increased to 25-30 days in March versus 20-25 days till February end, it has now come back to the normal level after three years,” the brokerage said. Sports utility vehicles (SUV) continue to be in demand, with waiting periods still being long. For instance, M&amp;M’s popular duo of SUVs, the Scorpio-N and XUV 700 have a waiting period of 3-10 months, and 2-5 months, respectively. The Thar, too, has a waiting period of nearly a month. <keyword id="42747" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="tata-motors" source="Orion">Tata Motors</keyword>’ Nexon, on the other hand, has a waiting period of 4-6 weeks. Despite a moderation in demand, discounts have been muted, the brokerage noted, adding that it expects M&amp;M’s sales to rise 16% year-on-year, while Tata Motors could see a modest 3% growth. Market leader <keyword id="44883" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="maruti-suzuki" source="Orion">Maruti Suzuki</keyword> is expected to report a 3% fall in dispatches. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Slight uptick in two-wheeler sales, but rural demand still weak" comment="subhead" text="Slight uptick in two-wheeler sales, but rural demand still weak">Slight uptick in two-wheeler sales, but rural demand still weak</cmsannotation> Two-wheeler sales have been struggling for a few months now and the pressure is expected to temper a bit during March, with a slight uptick resulting in a 4-6% YoY increase in retail sales, thanks to steady urban demand. However, erratic rains could dampen two-wheeler sales as well, with rural demand still remaining weak. “Overall sales are still down by 15-17% versus the pre-Covid level as rural demand remains weak,” the Motilal Oswal report added. The brokerage also witnessed a large variation in enquiries across states during festivals – while Gujarat, Delhi and Karnataka saw a 2-6% YoY increase in enquiries, UP, Bihar and Maharashtra reported a 4-8% decline. Market leader <keyword id="6357252" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="hero-motocorp" source="Orion">Hero MotoCorp</keyword> could see a 4% YoY decline in dispatches, while Bajaj Auto and <keyword id="46156" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="tvs-motor" source="Orion">TVS Motor</keyword> could see a 5% fall each. Royal Enfield, on the other hand, is expected to report yet another month of growth, with its dispatches expected to increase 10%. Overall, March could be a mixed bag for the Indian auto industry. 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No festive cheer for auto cos in March: PV sales ‘flattish’, 2Ws to see a slight uptick

<ul><li>India’s 2-wheeler exports continue to struggle as demand from its largest market – <keyword id="12925" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="africa" source="Orion">Africa</keyword> – continues to slow down.</li><li>Two-wheeler makers are seeing a sharp rise in demand from new geographies like Brazil, Mexico, Philippines and Turkey.</li><li>While weak demand from Africa will impact volumes of <keyword id="6359783" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="bajaj-auto" source="Orion">Bajaj Auto</keyword> and <keyword id="62356" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="tvs" source="Orion">TVS</keyword>, demand from other geographies hold promise. </li></ul> Export of two-wheelers, which were booming till a few years ago, have now hit the slow lane. In FY23, export of motorcycles declined by nearly 20% to 3.65 million units, while scooters clocked a rise. Africa was a very large market for India’s two-wheeler exports but that market has been slowing down in recent years. In FY20, Nigeria accounted for 25% of India’s overall two-wheeler exports, but in FY23 Nigeria’s share is down to 12%, shows industry data. The bad news is that all other African markets in the first quarter of the current fiscal year are also looking weak. As demand from African markets are expected to remain weak in FY24, it could impact volumes of Bajaj Auto and TVS. Now for the good news, there is demand for motorcycles and scooters made in India across new geographies like Mexico, Philippines, LatAm and Turkey. Going by the run rate of monthly volumes, the share of Philippines in India’s two-wheeler export market could rise to 8% in FY24 from 4% in FY22. African markets are expected to struggle as those economies continue to battle economic and political turmoil. Analysis done by Antique shows the change in India’s top exports markets for two-wheelers and why FY24 could see a turnaround. According to Antique, “In the first 3 months of FY24 the two-wheeler exports continued to remain weak with the overall decline of 31%. However, there are some green-shoots in terms of recovery in the exports of scooters with 40% growth. We however, see the exports recovering in the second half with the African markets recovering from the slowdown and expansion of Indian OEMs in the new geographies.” Auto analysts believe that with new export markets emerging, India’s flagging two-wheeler sales may get a boost. New demand for both scooters and motorcycles is likely to come from countries such as Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, Asia and LATAM demand for personal demand for personal mobility is visible. According to analysts, these geographies are different from African markets in terms of vehicle usage. While African countries use two-wheelers for commercial reasons, buyers in LATAM, Brazil and Philippines use two-wheelers for personal mobility. The demand for scooters and premium two-wheelers is therefore on the rise in these countries. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Top OEMs And Why They Dominate" text="Top OEMs And Why They Dominate">Top OEMs And Why They Dominate</cmsannotation> Bajaj Auto: The top four export markets are Nigeria, Philippines, Colombia &amp; Uganda. These countries account for 53% of Bajaj Auto’s total export volumes from India. More than half these volumes are from the 100cc models. But to capitalise on rising demand in Brazil, Bajaj Auto is setting up an assembling plant in Brazil to capture the LATAM market and improve product mix. TVS Motors: For this two-wheeler, the largest export market in FY23 was Guinea. TVS exports have grown at a compounded annual growth rate of 11% between FY20–23 as demand from African markets grew. More than 60% of the exports of TVS came via Africa last financial year. Like Bajaj Auto, the company is looking to expand its footprint in LATAM and West Asia. Honda Motorcycle and Scooter India: For this Japanese two-wheeler maker, Colombia is the largest market where it has gained share from Bajaj Auto, says <keyword id="190610" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="antique-stock-broking" source="Orion">Antique Stock Broking</keyword>. LATAM again is a key focus market, even though it has a plant in nearby Bangladesh. Royal Enfield: The four top export markets for this leisure bike maker include: Brazil, US, Italy &amp; UK. These countries account for 51% of its export volumes. Brazil’s volumes grew 80% YoY in FY23, while Italy and US volumes grew 107% &amp; 30% year-on-year. It has 7% market share in the United States in the mid weight category and 9% in the Asia-Pacific, Europe and Middle-East.

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After languishing since FY19, two-wheeler growth to outpace passenger vehicles in FY24-25

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No festive cheer for auto cos in March: PV sales ‘flattish’, 2Ws to see a slight uptick

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