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<ul class="summary-list"><li>Stocks rose Thursday as investors digested strong retail sales data and more earnings.</li><li>Retail sales data showed US consumer spending remains robust, with monthly spending up 0.4%.</li></ul>US stocks climbed on Thursday as traders saw better-than-expected retail sales data and continued to digest strong corporate earnings reports.The Dow Jones Industrial Average added to record levels achieved at Wednesday's close. Bond yields rose, with the 10-year Treasury up six basis points to 4.075%. September's retail sales report showed consumer spending remains strong, with monthly spending up 0.4% from August, just above a Dow Jones consensus estimate of 0.3%.Retail sales climbed 1.7% compared to a year ago, according to Commerce Department data released Thursday.The strong spending data comes on the heels of a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/september-jobs-report-unemployment-rate-nonfarm-payroll-growth-federal-reserve-2024-10">blockbuster September jobs report</a>, and further solidifies assessments that the US economy is strong and that the Federal Reserve may not need to cut rates as steeply or quickly as previously thought. Weekly jobless claims were lower than expected at 241,000, a 19,000 decline from the week before, according to Labor Department data released Thursday. Economists had forecast 260,000 weekly claims. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Thursday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,873.45, up 0.53% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 43,279.21, up 0.47% (+201.51 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,523.24, up 0.85% </li></ul>Meanwhile, a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tsmc-stock-price-q3-earnings-chip-stocks-asml-nvidia-amd-2024-10">highly anticipated report</a> from chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company came in strong, showing net income surpassed estimates while net revenue for the quarter rose 36% compared to the same last year."We have talked to our customers all the time, including our hyperscaler customers who are building their own chips. And almost every AI innovator is working with TSMC," TSMC chairman and CEO C.C. Wei said.Shares of TSMC rose 7% after the opening bell, pulling other chip stocks higher. Nvidia was up almost 2%, and AMD was up over 1%.TSMC's optimism about demand for AI tech follows a <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/chipmakers-tumble-asml-guidance-semiconductor-nvidia-chip-growth-2024-10?_gl=1*1isprkj*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyOTE2NTYwMS4yODIuMS4xNzI5MTY3OTk1LjM0LjAuMA..">chip sector sell-off</a> earlier this week when chip machine maker ASML slashed its sales guidance on weaker demand from chipmakers.TSMC joins a string of strong earnings reports this week. Morgan Stanley and United Airlines posted strong results on Wednesday. Netflix will report third-quarter results after the close on Thursday. Here's what else is going on Thursday:<ul><li>A number of bank research desks are <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-sp500-targets-bull-market-goldman-ubs-bmo-2024-10?_gl=1*njfdt3*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyOTE2NTYwMS4yODIuMS4xNzI5MTY2MzczLjYwLjAuMA..">boosting their S&amp;P 500 price targets</a> in recent weeks as the bull market charges on.</li><li>China could raise nearly <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-beijing-stimulus-1-trillion-debt-package-fiscal-deficit-2024-10">$1 trillion of fresh debt</a> in the next 3 years to revive its economy, according to a report from Caixin Global.</li><li>The US freight recession is showing <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/author/filip-de-mott">early signs of recovery</a> as trucking company JB Hunt posted a rare earnings beat on Tuesday.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li>Oil futures fell. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti">West Texas Intermediate crude</a> dipped 0.2% to $70.22 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, fell 0.3% to $74.01 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> rose 0.33% to $2,700.4 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield was up six basis points to 4.075%.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> dipped 1.5% to $66,761.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Indexes gain after strong retail sales data

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Earnings of consumer companies with high exposure to China could suffer under Trump's trade policies, UBS says.</li><li>The analysts said Best Buy, Five Below, and Wayfair are especially at risk. </li></ul>Donald Trump's proposal of stiff tariffs on goods from China could slam the earnings of some retailers, UBS analysts said. Several US-listed stocks—namely, Best Buy, Five Below, and Wayfair—are heavily exposed to Trump's trade proposed trade policy, the bank said in a note. "Tariffs are likely to pose a significant headwind for several of these retailers for at least the near-term. While the longer-term implications are unclear, we do believe that this situation is more likely to lead to at least temporary mis-pricings for some of these stocks," the analysts said in a Monday note."Right now, we think the overhang is significant on names like Five Below, Best Buy, and Wayfair," they added.The analysts say that if those retailers were to absorb 5% of the rise in the cost of goods associated with a potential tariff, they would each experience a double-digit plunge in earnings; Five Below would see a 15% reduction, Best Buy would experience a 26% loss, and Wayfair could see earnings plunge over 40%, the analysts said.The analysts' estimates come as Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are in a dead heat in the polls. The former president has proposed 20% duties on imports across the board, with far more drastic <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-impose-tariffs-china-if-elected-2024-2">60% tariffs</a> on products from China. Five Below, Best Buy, and Wayfair each have high exposure to goods from China. But it isn't all bad news for these stocks. The analysts said that historical trends show that retailers often find ways to adapt, and even these stocks have unique circumstances that could spare them from the potential hits to earnings.For instance, even if Five Below raises prices, it may still offer greater value than competitors, while Wayfair's vendors could simply pass along the tariffs to the consumer in the form of higher prices rather than assuming it themselves, the analysts say. At Best Buy, there's a chance the market prices for consumer electronics simply adjust, insulating the retailer from bearing the brunt of the tariffs independently, the analysts say.As the situation gets clearer, the stocks could see some upside."There could be select opportunities to use this uncertainty as a chance to accumulate the shares of some of these names when the peak fear exists," the analysts said, adding, "As there is more clarity on the situation, these stocks likely also have the most to gain from having greater resolution on the situation."In the past, high duties on China <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-china-trade-war-list-of-goods-tariffs-2018-9">during Trump's first term</a> resulted in higher prices in categories subject to the tariffs, which likely contributed to slowing consumer spending, the report said.

3 retail stocks could see earnings plunge if Trump implements his proposed tariffs, UBS says

<ul class="summary-list"><li>China's stock investors and watchers are actively discussing the markets before they reopen.</li><li>China released a stimulus blitz a week before the National Day break, sending downtrodden markets on a tear.</li></ul>China's investors are looking forward to some stock market action after the country's weeklong National Day break.On Monday — a day ahead of the mainland's markets reopening — China's Weibo microblog was abuzz with talking about what the markets may hold after a hot run following Beijing's stimulus blitz on September 24.China's domestic stock markets are dominated by retail traders, who number over 200 million and account for about <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.troweprice.com/financial-intermediary/sg/en/thinking/articles/2024/q2/chinas-economy-enters-a-new-cycle-unveiling-fresh-opportunities-apac.html">70% of trading volume.</a>China's stimulus measures include interest rate cuts and 800 billion yuan, or about $114 billion, to support the domestic stock markets. The country's top leadership has also <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-stimulus-fix-economy-xi-jinping-stock-market-2024-10">pledged more stimulus</a> is on the way. The world's second-largest economy is facing multiple challenges including a property crisis, deflation, and high youth unemployment. Mainland China's benchmark <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/csi-300">CSI 300 Index</a> closed 17% higher year-to-date on September 31 before the weeklong break — a stark contrast to its <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/china-stock-market-meltdown-brutal-year-explainer-whats-happening-2024-1">meltdown</a> and lackluster performance for much of the year.Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed 1.6% higher on Monday. It's up about 35% year-to-date.Trending topics on Weibo included <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://s.weibo.com/weibo?q=%23%E6%B8%AF%E8%82%A1%23&amp;t=31">#Hong Kong stocks,</a> <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://s.weibo.com/weibo?q=%23%E6%9C%AC%E8%BD%AE%E7%89%9B%E5%B8%82%E8%83%BD%E6%8C%81%E7%BB%AD%E5%A4%9A%E4%B9%85%23&amp;t=31">#How long this bull market can run,</a> and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://s.weibo.com/weibo?q=%23%E8%8A%82%E5%90%8EA%E8%82%A1%E5%BC%80%E5%B8%82%E5%B0%86%E6%80%8E%E4%B9%88%E8%B5%B0%23&amp;t=31">#How A-shares will perform after the holiday.</a> A-shares are stocks of Chinese companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges."I hope the rally can hold for a bit longer, so that I can at least get my initial investment back," wrote one <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://weibo.com/1988800805/OAq5ncUko">Weibo user.</a> The CSI 300 index was down 45% from a 2021 peak until the pivotal announcement in late September.There was also a trending hashtag discussing <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://s.weibo.com/weibo?q=%23%E8%82%A1%E6%B0%91%E6%8B%85%E5%BF%A7A%E8%82%A1%E5%BC%80%E7%9B%98%E7%AC%AC%E4%B8%80%E5%A4%A9%E4%B9%B0%E4%B8%8D%E5%88%B0%23&amp;t=31">those who fear</a> they will not be able to buy A-shares on Tuesday. Before the weeklong break, some brokers and traders reported <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/china-stock-market-rally-economy-stimulus-liqudity-overwhelm-system-2024-9?">delays on the Shanghai Stock Exchange</a> as systems were so overwhelmed by enthusiastic investors and market watchers.Despite the market rally, skeptics about China's economic outlook and markets abound — and Weibo, too, isn't short of naysayers."I don't feel reassured now that the topic is trending," said a Weibo user in a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://s.weibo.com/weibo?q=%23%E6%9C%AC%E8%BD%AE%E7%89%9B%E5%B8%82%E8%83%BD%E6%8C%81%E7%BB%AD%E5%A4%9A%E4%B9%85%23&amp;t=31">thread</a> discussing the likely duration of the bull market that garnered nearly 700 likes in half an hour."An expert said this is not a bull market, but bullshit," wrote a second user."What is the current economic situation in China? Are you all blind? Can't you see it?" asked a third user commenting on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://weibo.com/1646051850/OAqbWwUIg">another post</a> discussing the market rally.However, given the extent to which China's stocks have sold down before Beijing's stimulus announcement, there may be more upside to come.Goldman Sachs, for one, has upgraded China's stocks to overweight and is forecasting another 15% to 20% upside to Chinese shares.Beijing's "coordinated forceful policy announcements" amid "an oversold, undervalued, and under-positioned market backdrop" are key factors in their reasoning, wrote the bank's analysts wrote in a note published on Saturday.There could also be earnings growth potential for companies should the economy respond positively to Beijing's coordinated stimulus, they wrote."Together, these announcements constitute a more substantial quantum of policy stimulus that contrasts with the sporadic and modest easing measures over the past few years," they wrote, even as they warned that China's macroeconomic challenges remain serious.

China's retail investors are eyeing the stock market reopening after a weeklong break

It took something surprisingly small — something that's been described as "teeny tiny" and "ultra-cropped" — to propel <keyword id="19948011" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Prada" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Prada" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Prada">Prada</keyword> to its place as one of the year's few luxury winners. In fact, it measures under 10 inches long. <keyword id="20885719" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Miu-Miu" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Miu Miu" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Miu Miu">Miu Miu</keyword>'s micro miniskirt, which debuted in 2021 and subsequently went viral, taking over both TikTok and magazine front covers, is emblematic of the brand's show-stopping couple of years — and has no doubt helped its parent company, Prada, do what few luxury companies have been able to do this year: grow. "I think the 'miracle' at Prada is Miu Miu," Luca Solca, a senior analyst at Bernstein, told Business Insider. Thanks to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/miu-miu-revenue-jumps-93-gen-z-asia-sales-prada-2024-7">Miu Miu's hot streak</a>, as well as a series of smart business moves at Prada itself — a focus on a controlled retail pipeline and store productivity, plus some experienced new hires — the company is <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/zara-inditex-pandora-thrive-amid-luxury-downturn-aspirational-consumer-trends-2024-9">bucking negative luxury trends</a>. It's selling well in Asia, its stock is up, and investors are excited. Net revenue for the first half of the year was 14% higher than in the same period in 2023 and 34% more than 2022. At luxury bellwethers LVMH and Kering, first-half sales fell 1% and 11%, respectively, compared to last year.Its stock is up more than 30% year-to-date, even more than that of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/hermes-became-ultimate-status-symbol-2024-2">Hermès, luxury's perennial market leader</a>. Along with Moncler, it's one of only two buy-rated luxury stocks at HSBC. The 111-year-old, family-run, Milanese leather goods shop turned cutting-edge fashion superhouse is now enjoying one of its greatest runs in history. <h2>The trendy little sister</h2>As any elder sibling knows well, sometimes the flashy, fun younger sister can outshine even the most well-prepared eldest. Miu Miu is doing just that. The more experimental brand has become the "It" girl of the fashion industry. It's number two on The Lyst Fashion Index, a quarterly measure of the hottest fashion brands. Searches for Miu Miu are up 47% this year on luxury resale platform The RealReal. The micro minis that stormed the runway in 2021, a sneaker collab with New Balance, and the quilted Wander bags have become must-have looks. That's translated into impressive results: <keyword id="19957111" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="retail-sales" source="keywords">Retail sales</keyword> were up 50% in 2023 and 86% in the first half of this year. Last quarter, website traffic was up 110% year over year, Stifel's Rogerio Fujimori reported in his July note. The brand will likely hit $1 billion in revenue this year. <div type="image" title="Miu Miu micro miniskirt" height="3109" width="4663" msid="113815737" hostid="261"></div>Part of it is the brand's messaging. "Miu Miu is resonating with consumers because of a savvy mix of product and communication marketing," Solca said. In a recent note, he highlighted the brand's events — a tennis club, literary club, and film series — that go beyond just fashion to form a "cultural aesthetic." Miu Miu has embraced stars (Sydney Sweeney and Gigi Hadid were featured in recent campaigns), which has energized its following. The brand has also managed to tap into Asian markets — one of the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-luxury-retail-sales-slowdown-brands-fashion-2024-7">most challenging sectors for luxury brands</a>. Again, some smart marketing has helped. The brand enlisted K-pop icons as ambassadors and dressed Chinese stars Lexie Liu, Zhao Jinmai, and Wu Yanshu. It also increased spending on Little Red Book, a social media platform in China, and threw events in Tokyo, Taipei, and Nanjing. In short — pun intended — you can't get trendier than Miu Miu right now, and being trendy is good for business. <h2>The business behind the boom</h2>But Miu Miu's popularity, as attention-grabbing as it is, is only part of the story. The brand accounted for 15% of Prada's sales last year. HSBC analysts called its growth a "(big) cherry on the cake" — the cake being Prada (which didn't respond to a request for comment from Business Insider for this story). Behind Miu Miu's Mary Jane shoes and Arcade bags is a success story at its parent company. The group's namesake line is growing, albeit at a slower and steadier pace. Prada's retail sales were up 3% in the first half of the year compared to last year and 7% in 2023. It's been among Lyst's top five hottest brands since 2022. This didn't happen by accident: In 2017, Prada committed to a turnaround strategy following a few losing yearsand a drop in profitability. At more than 100 years old, Prada hadn't entered the new millennium: Its full product line wasn't available through e-commerce, and its advertising wasn't digitized. "In 2015, the tide really turned for them," Jelena Sokolova, a senior analyst for Morningstar, told Business Insider. "They fared worse than the industry: Sales were negative for a number of years; their earnings plummeted." In response, Prada focused on retail, a channel in which it can control prices and cut back on wholesale, which now represents only 11% of sales. It made an effort to cut down on discounts — a problem that has <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-burberry-became-fashions-biggest-fail-stock-drop-ceo-ousting-2024-8">plagued labels like Burberry</a> and Gucci and can lead to diminishing brand perception. At its retail stores, new CEO Andrea Guerra, who arrived in 2023 from LVMH, has drilled down on productivity, or how much money each square foot of retail space generates, by launching in-store installations, forming one-to-one relationships between sales associates and customers, and infusing stores with wearable pieces and collaborations. The company closed stores that weren't performing and renovated the ones that were. It's worked: Retail productivity has increased 32.5% between 2019 and 2023. <div type="image" title="Prada store" height="3333" width="5000" msid="113815742" hostid="261"></div>There has also been a slew of management changes. In 2020, the company brought on Raf Simons, heralded as one of the biggest stars in the design world, as co-creative director, sharing the title with Muccia Prada — the company's billionaire heiress who The New York Times has <a target="_blank" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/04/style/miu-miu-chanel-louis-vuitton-paris-fashion-week.html">referred</a> to as "the most influential woman in fashion." Prada now has more time to use her keen sense of design at Miu Miu. In the years following, it recruited talent from LVMH and Goldman Sachs to join its top ranks. And then there is the sheer cyclicality of fashion and the fact that, after a few years of being less-than-hot, Prada is once again on the rise. It has embraced the 1990s and Y2K aesthetic — a heyday for Prada — popular with Gen Z and was the most searched brand among the demographic on The RealReal. Hit products pushed the profitable leather goods category to revenues of more than $2 billion last year. There was a reimagining of the early 2010s it-bag, the Galleria, complete with a Scarlett Johansson-led campaign. Other handbag rereleases, like that of the Nylon, have taken off, while new purse styles like the Buckle and Arqué got callouts in last year's earnings report. That momentum gave the brand an upper hand going into the luxury downturn. "People prioritize which brands they want to spend on. With a limited budget, first, you drop the ones that were not hot to begin with," Sokolova said. <h2>Can Prada's hot streak last?</h2>Just as fashion comes in, it can come out. And Prada's story — particularly Miu Miu's rapid-fire growth — in some ways mimics that of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/gucci-sales-profit-reputation-falling-luxury-kering-michele-china-2024-5">Gucci's hype-driven rise and plummeting fall under Alessandro Michele</a>. "You kind of become a victim of your own success," Sokolova said. Both Prada and Miu Miu are susceptible to volatility, though for different reasons. Miu Miu is still relatively small, meaning its brand identity is not yet established enough to withstand the whims of consumers. CEO Guerra has acknowledged that such incredible growth can lead to a challenge. "There appears to be a glass ceiling," Solca wrote in a recent note. "Being prominent brings fatigue: after a while, consumers feel they have seen and done enough with these brands and move on." Prada, meanwhile, is more exposed in the cyclical ready-to-wear category — which makes up 32% of sales — than other brands like Gucci and YSL. But there are signs of continued growth: Miu Miu is adding 10 to 15 stores next year, while Prada is adding five to 10, the company has said. The brand's retail footprint is particularly underpenetrated in the US. The company's beauty business is still nascent. Last year, it launched skincare and makeup through a partnership with L'Oréal, and there is more money to be made in that sector. With so much control of its sales chain, the company can raise prices and limit overexposure through low-end collaborations or expansion into cheap categories. Plus, the slowdown hasn't happened yet: Miu Miu website traffic and sales continued to grow between the first and second quarters, and the company maintains it's not a flash in the pan. "This is a result of many years of work on the brand, on the products, on the people," Guerra said about Miu Miu's success on the company's most recent earnings call. Meanwhile, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/prada-white-tank-top-status-symbol-2024-2">Prada has maintained its brand value</a>. But the woman Miuccia Prada herself knows the pressure is on. "I was very nervous for this show," she told reporters backstage at the line's fashion show earlier this month about the new collection, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/20/style/prada-fendi-milan-fashion-week.html">The New York Times reported</a>. "Much more than usual." September 30, 2024 — An earlier version of this story misspelled the name of Miuccia Prada.

How Prada is beating the odds and bucking the luxury slump 

<ul class="summary-list"><li><keyword id="23254035" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="home-improvement-retailers" source="keywords">Home improvement retailers</keyword> are among the first to see a lift from the Fed's rate cut.</li><li>Share prices for <keyword id="20320193" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Home-Depot" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Home Depot" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Home Depot">Home Depot</keyword> and <keyword id="23254034" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Lowes" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Lowe's" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Lowe's">Lowe's</keyword> are up, and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-interest-rates-cut-jerome-powell-labor-market-mortgage-pantheon-2024-9">spending on projects is expected to follow</a>.</li></ul>The US Federal Reserve's decision Wednesday to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-cuts-interest-rates-how-much-september-fomc-powell-inflation-2024-9">cut rates by half a percentage point</a> has created a flurry of immediate reactions, but the real effects of the policy are likely to take several months to bear out. Still, some areas of the economy are already seeing a lift in response to the news — and the fact that the Fed went with the larger of the two most likely options under consideration. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/comparing-lowes-vs-home-depot-2023-12">Home improvement retailers,</a> in particular, are among the companies who were primed to come out of the gate strong with a rate cut, and, true to form, shares for Home Depot and Lowe's were up as of Thursday's market close. "Home-related companies should soon see the beginnings of fundamental recovery exiting this year," Mizuho analyst David Bellinger told Business Insider. "Aside from any initial noise in the market, Home Depot and Lowe's should keep grinding higher as all this comes together." And while a rising <keyword id="19998639" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="stock-price" source="keywords">stock price</keyword> carries its own benefits for a company, the uptick is a signal of a much more important change still to come: sales. Executives for both Home Depot and Lowe's have characterized their businesses as being constrained by low housing turnover and high borrowing costs, both of which are results of the Fed's tight interest rate policy. Home Depot CFO Richard McPhail described his company's core customer as having "<a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/home-depot-earnings-americans-in-deferral-mindset-consumer-spending-2024-8">a deferral mindset</a>" in spite of being in a generally healthy financial position. In short, most <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/americans-doing-less-diy-worrying-sign-economy-lowes-earnings-2024-8">big-ticket spending on home improvement</a> comes from one of two places: people buying and selling homes and homeowners renovating existing homes with borrowed money. Unless they have to fix something urgently, a lot of folks have decided they're better off waiting to upgrade. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell talked about the impact on the <keyword id="20759748" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="housing-market" source="keywords">housing market</keyword> in his remarks following Wednesday's announcement. "The housing market is in part frozen because of lock-in with low rates. People don't want to sell their home," he said. "As rates come down, people will start to move more, and that's probably beginning to happen already." What's more, Powell signaled in his speech that further cuts are likely if the data support them, which can encourage some of those sitting on the sidelines to go ahead with a new mortgage or credit line with the expectation that they can simply <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/personal-loans/how-to-refinance-personal-loan">refinance</a> in a few months when rates come down further. Additionally, Home Depot and Lowe's have taken great care to manage investor expectations through the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/lowes-dicks-macys-sound-alarm-us-shoppers-spending-2023-8">slumping sales and slimmer profits</a> over the past year. In particular, both companies <a target="_blank" class="c-link" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/home-depot-1-billion-wage-boost-improved-worker-safety-satisfaction-2023-5">continued to invest in their stores</a> with the expectation that pent-up demand would eventually be unlocked. (Truist Securities analyst Scot Ciccarelli has referred several times to a "coiled spring" for the retailers.) Max Rakhlenko, a TD Securities analyst, said in a note on Wednesday that Lowe's management was expecting a "phased recovery" in which homeowners start with smaller projects before getting more comfortable with larger ones that require tapping into their house's equity. "We're aggressively working in this downturn," Lowe's CEO Marvin Ellison said during his earnings call last month, adding, "Whenever the macro inflection occurs, we just want to be ready to take advantage of it." It appears Ellison may not have to wait much longer. Correction: September 20, 2024 — An earlier version of this story misstated the day a TD Securities analyst sent out his note on Lowe's. It was Wednesday, not Thursday.

Home Depot and Lowe's are already seeing the first of many likely benefits from the Fed's rate cut

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Stocks pushed higher as positive retail sales surprised investors.</li><li>The data signals continued consumer strength, easing fears of a recession.</li></ul>Stocks moved higher after stronger-than-expected US retail sales boosted confidence in consumer health, as the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting is set to kick off.Retail sales increased 0.1% last month, compared to consensus estimates of a 0.2% decline. That's welcomed news for investors, who are bracing for what is likely to be the Fed's first interest rate cut at the conclusion of its meeting at 2 p.m. on Wednesday.Although <a target="_blank" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?redirect=/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html">67% of the market</a> expects a more aggressive 50 basis point cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, Wall Street continues to be at odds on how deep the easing should be.Strong retail sales suggest that the Fed does not necessarily have to hurry with larger cuts, as the consumer economy appears intact for now."Retail sales growth has been a little below the long-term average in recent months, but continues to grow at a modest rate," said Scott Helfstein, Head of Investment Strategy at Global X. "That should translate to modest consumption improvement and help drive reasonable GDP growth this quarter. This is one more sign that the economy remains in a mid-cycle expansion rather than contraction."Here's where US indexes stood at the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,653.10, up 0.36% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 41,760.54, up 0.33% (+138.46 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 17,708.68, up 0.68% </li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-fed-rate-cuts-recession-outlook-fomc-meeting-2024-9?_gl=1*1j6ircc*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyNjU3NzExMC42MTYuMS4xNzI2NTc4NDM2LjYwLjAuMA..">Stocks are headed for a weekslong rally once the Fed cuts rates</a>, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/safe-dividends-bank-america-strategy-chief-savita-subramanian-federal-reserve-2024-9">Investors should look for safety amid uncertainty as "boring is good,"</a> BofA strategy chief says.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/copper-shortage-commodity-price-artificial-intelligence-outlook-data-centers-ai-2024-9?_gl=1*10ar6rh*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyNjU3NzExMC42MTYuMS4xNzI2NTc4NTQwLjE2LjAuMA..">AI's data center buildout will nearly double demand for copper,</a> mining giant says.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">WTI crude</a> increased 0.20% to $70.22 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, fell 0.07% to $72.65 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> slid 0.16% to $2,604.8 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield stayed essentially flat at 3.627%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Bitcoin</a> climbed 2.36% to $59,239.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Indexes rise on upbeat retail sale data ahead of Fed meeting

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Millennials and Gen Z are increasingly shopping at discount stores like TJ Maxx, Burlington, and Ross.</li><li>Those shares could see as much as 18% upside if younger consumers keep looking for value, BofA says.</li></ul>Gen Z wants more bang for their buck, and their love of a good deal could drive shares of some discount retailers up nearly 20%, Bank of America says. Analysts at the bank see big upside for retailers TJ Maxx, Burlington, and Ross. Younger generations are shopping at discount retailers at higher rates than older generations, with Millennials and Gen Z each taking up 4% greater share of spending on value apparel in the last year.That's driven an overall increase in value apparel spend, up 13% this past July from the same period in 2019. The growth outpaces the 5% rise in overall apparel spending.The report from BofA on Wednesday attributes the rise in popularity among discount stores to inflation weariness. The bank sees shares of TJX companies — which includes stores like TJ Maxx, Marshalls, and Home Goods — rising to $135 each, 14.6% higher than their intraday high of $117.76 on Wednesday. The analysts see Burlington and Ross Stores shares rising 16% and 18% from Wednesday highs, respectively. "Off-price has attracted the customer, helped by the quest for value amidst persistent multi-year inflation pressures," Bank of America's analysts wrote.Inflation has <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/august-jobs-report-new-york-federal-reserve-unemployment-economy-outlook-2024-9">eased considerably since peaking in 2022</a>, with August's consumer price index showing a 2.5% yearly rise in prices — the lowest headline inflation rate in over three years.But core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, came in higher than expected, leading to a brief <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/inflation-report-stock-market-today-fed-rate-cuts-economy-outlook2024-9?_gl=1*aaue1w*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyNjY3NTA5NC4xNTMuMS4xNzI2Njc1MzAxLjMwLjAuMA..">stock market sell-off.</a>The bank's upside prediction will depend on the retailers' ability to retain younger customers eager for a deal, even as their incomes grow and inflation continues to ease, the analysts say.They add that retailers could see success by adding better brands to their shelves, which could pressure margins in the near term but have a positive impact on customer loyalty—and sales and profits—in the long term."Attracting a young customer early in their earning years is important; showing them exciting brands at a great value goes a long way towards maintaining loyalty even as their earnings rise," the analysts said."The solution is offering better and better brands at great value. This can sometimes pressure margin in the near term but should have an outsized positive long-term effect on sales and overall profitability," they added.

Gen Z's love of discount stores could send these 3 retail stocks soaring as much as 18%, Bank of America says

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Indexes rose Thursday as investors cheered in a surprise increase in retail sales and lower jobless claims. </li><li>Retail sales jumped 1% in July, surpassing analyst expectations of 0.3%.</li></ul>Indexes rose Thursday as investors priced in an influx of new data on retail sales and jobless claims following the week's encouraging data on inflation. Retail sales were up 1% in July, the Commerce Department said Thursday. That increase, led by spending in the auto and electronics sectors, surpassed expectations of 0.3% from analysts surveyed by Dow Jones."Today's retail sales numbers were a blowout versus consensus, but more importantly it should lay to rest (at least for the moment) all of the doom and gloom that was expressed at the beginning of this month," Chris Zaccarelli, head of investments at Independent Advisor Alliance, said in a Thursday note.Meanwhile, jobless claims last week came in below estimates at 227,000, a 7,000 fall from the week prior. The reading should continue to soothe fears of a coming wave of unemployment after July's jobs data was weaker than expected. Treasury yields rose on the new data, with the 10-year bond yield up 12 basis points to 3.947% as investors dialed back expectations for a jumbo 50 basis point rate cut from the Fed next month. The rebound in retail and upbeat labor data follows a day after consumer inflation figures released Wednesday showed inflation cooled to 2.9% in July, its lowest level in over three years. The Bureau of Labor Statistics said that <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/housing-costs-inflation-cpi-consumer-price-index-shelter-real-estate-2024-8#:~:text=Housing%20costs%20are%20the%20big,its%20lowest%20level%20since%202021.">sticky housing inflation accounted for 90% of the rise in core CPI</a>, making it the biggest factor keeping inflation high.The inflation numbers are still above the Fed's 2% target, but steady progress is being made as it looks to cool the economy without causing a dramatic spike in the unemployment rate. Investors see a 100% chance that the Fed cuts rates in September, with a 65% chance of 25 basis points and a 36% chance of 50 basis, according to the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">CME FedWatch tool</a>.Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Thursday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,512.09, up 1.04%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 40,476.15, up 1.17% (+468 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 17,415.29, up 1.3%</li></ul>Here's what else is going on today:<ul><li>After selling half its stake in Apple, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway is <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/warren-buffett-berkshire-hathaway-ulta-beauty-heico-apple-stock-portfolio-2024-8">betting on a glow-up for Ulta Beauty</a> with a $266 million stake.</li><li>China's population decline is having a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-population-falling-aging-demographic-economy-slowdown-marriage-birth-rates">widespread impact on the world's second largest economy</a> as marriages, diamond sales, and retail spending drop.</li><li>Borrowers are rushing to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/mortgage-rates-30-year-refinance-applications-real-estate-housing-market-2024-8">refinance their mortgages</a> as rates tumble to their lowest level in over a year.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li>Oil futures rose. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti">WTI crude</a> increased 1.6% to $78.17 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, rose 1.5% to $80.95 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> rose 0.32% to $2,487.50 per ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield rose 12 basis points to 3.947%.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> rose 0.37% to $57,592.39.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Indexes rise after retail sales boosts confidence on the consumer and the economy

<ul class="summary-list"><li>More than half of the stock market's post-Trump-election rally has been erased.</li><li>The turning point came Thursday, when Fed Chair Powell said the central bank will take its time cutting rates.</li></ul>And just like that, half of the stock market's euphoric post-Trump-election gain is gone.Major US indexes sold off sharply on Friday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq leading the way, as investors came to terms with the fact that they may not get a December rate cut as previously expected.The turning point came on Thursday, when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he and the central bank are in <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-today-federal-reserve-inflation-jerome-powell-interest-rates-2024-10">no hurry to cut rates</a>, given the positive signals being sent by the economy.Stocks turned lower in afternoon trading, and that pressure continued through Friday. The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> fell as much as 1.6%, and has now given back more than half of its torrid 4% post-election gain. The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite">Nasdaq Composite</a> dropped 2.7% at intraday lows.The S&amp;P 500 fell 2.2% this week, while the Dow Jones industrial average lost 1.2% and the Nasdaq slid 3.2%.The losses have come as the odds for a 25-basis-point rate cut in December have fallen. Investors are now pricing in a 58% probability of one at the next meeting, down from around 80% before Powell's address, according to the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">CME FedWatch Tool</a>.The comments from the central-bank head come amid a promising streak of US economic data. On Friday, retail-sales data showed signs of strength, and on Thursday, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-today-trump-jerome-powell-federal-reserve-inflation-data-2024-11">jobless-claims figures</a> came in surprisingly light.Stock investors have been grappling with what Trump will ultimately mean for the market now that the dust is settling on a buy-everything rush. Concerns have been raised around whether Trump's protectionist trade policies will drive inflation higher, possibly necessitating eventual rate hikes.Until now, investors had seemed content to focus on Trump plan to cut taxes and deregulate. But it now seems that Jerome Powell has given them something else to think — and worry — about.Here's where US indexes stood at the 4 p.m. closing bell on Friday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,870.62, down 1.3%</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 43,444.99, down 0.7% (306 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,680.12, down 2.2%</li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-trade-election-stock-market-impact-chart-analysis-bonds-crypto-2024-11">5 charts</a> that show Trump's immense post-election market impact, from BofA.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/health-stocks-trump-appointment-vaccines-rfk-moderna-2024-11">Health stocks slid</a> after Trump appoints vaccine-skeptic RFK Jr.</li><li>UBS says Trump's plan to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-housing-plan-federal-lands-tax-incentives-mortgage-rates-ubs-2024-11">build homes on federal land</a> could push housing prices higher.</li><li>The oil market faces a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/oil-outlook-supply-crude-prices-us-production-china-opec-2024-11">deep surplus next year</a> amid weak Chinese and demand record US production, IEA says.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">West Texas Intermediate crude</a> slid 2.5% to $67.01 a barrel</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, fell 2% to $71.11 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> slid 0.2% to $2,567.60 an ounce.</li><li>The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/rates/u-s--rates-10-years?miRedirects=1">10-year Treasury yield</a> rose less than one basis point to 4.44%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Bitcoin</a> rose 3.5% to $91,271.20.</li></ul>

The stock market's Trump honeymoon is turning sour

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Intel has been driving lots of retail chatter and stock purchases in recent days.</li><li>The chipmaker's stock has tanked this year, and a poorly timed investment has tickled Reddit users.</li></ul><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/gamestop-roaring-kitty-gme-stock-price-rally-meme-traders-wallstreetbets-2024-6">GameStop</a>. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/bed-bath-and-beyond-rise-and-fall-photos-2020-1">Bed Bath &amp; Beyond</a>. Intel?The microchip maker isn't an obvious choice to become the next big meme stock, but it's generating a bunch of buzz on Reddit's WallStreetBets subreddit.Early on Thursday, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/intc-stock">Intel</a> ranked fifth on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">Swaggy Stocks</a>' list of trending stocks on WSB over the past week, and sixth on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://apewisdom.io/wallstreetbets/">Ape Wisdom</a>'s list for the past 24 hours.Retail investors have also been piling money into the chipmaker. Vanda Research's retail flow tracker shows it was the fifth most popular stock in the five trading days through August 13, attracting $162 million in net retail purchases.Intel only trailed <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-secret-sauce-regulators-gpu-chips-jensen-huang-2024-7">Nvidia</a> ($1.4 billion), AMD ($259 million), Palantir ($189 million), and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla">Tesla</a> ($164 million). It outpaced the likes of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/apple">Apple</a> ($155 million) and Microsoft ($147 million).Vanda analysts noted that overall net retail purchases have surged this month, "far exceeding even our most bullish expectations" as investors capitalized on the "chunkiest dip since April." Demand has cooled since the start of August but purchases continue to hover near a 12-month high of $1.4 billion a day, the analysts added.<h2 id="6147f58a-e5b6-4b95-915b-ddb73c3e2d40">Why Intel?</h2>Intel stock has plunged by about 60% this year to about $20, its lowest level in over a decade. On August 2, it <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/intel-stock-price-layoffs-weak-guidance-missed-analyst-estimates-semiconductors-2024-8">tanked as much as 30%</a> — its steepest one-day decline in over 30 years — after Intel's second-quarter earnings revealed plans to lay off some 15,000 staff, or 15% of its total workforce, and guided toward lower revenues than Wall Street expected.The company's net assets were valued at $115 billion at the end of June, about $30 billion higher than its current market capitalization.Meme-stock investors are known for finding beaten-down stocks to purchase en masse, but they also love to buy into funny stories and back colorful characters like GameStop guru <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/gamestop-investor-deepfuckingvalue-roaring-kitty-reddit-stocks-wall-street-2021-1-1030022004">Keith "Roaring Kitty" Gill</a>.In Intel's case, some of the excitement seems to have been sparked by a WSB post from the user u/Sad_Nefariousness10. In a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ehjuzj/i_bought_700k_worth_of_intel_stock_today/">post</a> on August 1, the user claimed they'd received an $800,000 inheritance from their grandmother, had invested $700,000 of it in Intel that day, and planned to hold the chip stock for at least 10 years.It appears to have been a dismally timed purchase, given Intel crashed by over a quarter after the market closed that day. The user <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1eiktnw/ok_i_definitely_picked_the_wrong_day_to_buy_intel/">posted</a> an update the next day showing their investment had shrunk by $204,000 on paper to below $500,000, but they still planned to hold the stock for the next decade. BI was unable to confirm the posts' veracity.The user's ill fortune sent the forum into fits of laughter, but appears to have spurred others to get in on the joke by investing large sums in Intel stock.BI spoke to four Reddit users who've claimed in recent posts on WSB to have invested in Intel stock. BI has not verified their claims so they should be treated with skepticism. Here are their comments on Intel, lightly edited for length and clarity:<h2 id="47a56c4f-589b-4a63-b3f8-fa0b49fef9a7">1. u/Smallmem</h2>"I'm investing big into Intel primarily because it's a cheap stock basically trading at book value, and investing into it is a bet against international trade; if the US decides to not be completely reliant on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/chip-tsmc-taiwan-semiconductor-trillion-market-cap-nvidia-ai-asml-2024-7">Taiwan Semiconductor</a>, which I believe it must, Intel stock will rise quickly."The Intel Grandma post was an incredible post because of the incredible timing. You have someone invest $700k of their inheritance into stocks, not even options, and it plummets down $200k by the end of the day; it's hilarious. And the framing of it being his grandma's inheritance has proven even funnier."WallStreetBets has always been about people gambling stupid large sums of money into dumb investments, and it's even funnier when it's in a currently failing company like Intel. I personally posted myself buying Intel because I felt for the kid; he made a gigantic play as his first investment and lost a bunch of money immediately."While most of WallStreetBets (including me) throw money in the trash playing options hoping to score millions and make a funny post on Reddit when we lose, he was planning to set and forget INTC for 10 years! It was terribly unfortunate timing that did him in. He's still holding INTC though, which shows his commitment! I wish him the best."u/Smallmem told BI he's 22, studying for a master's in computer science, and owns around $20,000 of Intel stock. He said Intel is unlikely to take off like other meme stocks as its market value is too high, and there are fewer casual investors who are bored and stuck at home than during the pandemic. But he suggested the buzz around the stock could lead professional investors to buy in, pushing up its price.<h2 id="1dc7ac34-5ef3-4e02-9611-ecbfe9818ac0">2. u/randomGov</h2>"I can buy a 1) nationally strategically important company, 2) with a huge moat (only a few can spend 100+ billion to compete), 3) for less than its TANGIBLE book value, 4) that has spent more than its current market cap on capex into fabs (good chance of future significant returns), 5) making stuff (chips) the future (AI, EVs, and other tech) is built on, 6) with a good chance of being a tech leader."u/randomGOV <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ere2ri/the_halfregarded_grandson/">posted</a> an unconfirmed screenshot of his portfolio showing a $227,000 investment in Intel.<div type="image" title="Laptops with Intel chips on display at CES 2024 in Las Vegas." height="683" width="1024" msid="112566306" hostid="261" sizebytes="72748"></div><h2 id="a324d94e-299a-4ffe-b4af-cf781652477a">3. u/wedge754</h2>"I think it has the potential to become a meme stock, it's not there yet. I think it's oversold and people are forgetting how broad Intel's market actually is. Intel is the US largest chip manufacturer, I don't see them going down without a fight. Most importantly, I'm thinking a new CEO is on the horizon. Intel has a ton of upside potential if they can just get their act together."I've been watching Intel since the COVID/AI boom and how Intel basically stagnated. The recent big drop seemed like the time to jump in — I'm hoping the negative attention puts pressure on them to restructure. The meme posts are just icing on the cake."u/wedge754 told BI he's invested about $25,000 into Intel.<h2 id="9f2bce18-f869-47a7-8817-a1dcfb4a6d98">4. dc_chilling17</h2>"I'm betting big because the outlook for the company is super bright. The market is putting too much weight on margin pressure, which is a direct result of their capex buildout for their foundry business. When the market realizes that Intel is going to be the Fedex to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/chip-tsmc-taiwan-semiconductor-trillion-market-cap-nvidia-ai-asml-2024-7">TSMC</a>'s UPS, and that the margins are being squeezed due to a perfect storm of events vs a flaw in the business itself, things will turn around."They will IPO Altera for north of $30 billion. Mobileye is probably worth $15-20 billion a year from now. Back those out, you're telling me that one of the largest chip companies in the world by revenue, with a monopoly on manufacturing with respect to the West, is worth $30-40 billion?"Meanwhile <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/lisa-su-amd-billionaire-jensen-huang-nvidia-cousin-2024-4">AMD</a>, their little brother with a fraction of the market share and no fabs is worth $220 billion? It's just a market dislocation. I bought Exxon at $39, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/meta">Meta</a> at $89, and now Intel at $19. The play is obvious. The market will wake up to it."dc_chilling17 told BI he has a $1.1 million position in Intel.

Intel is having a meme-stock moment. 4 retail investors explain why they're betting on the chipmaker. 

<ul class="summary-list"><li>June's retail sales were stronger than expected on Tuesday.</li><li>It indicates that consumers are still helping drive economic growth.</li></ul>US stocks climbed higher as fresh data indicated that consumers were still spending. Retail sales published Tuesday came in better than expected for June. Excluding autos, sales rose 0.4% against estimates of a 0.1% increase. The data marked the biggest increase in three months, and suggests that the US consumer is still strong even as worries swirl around an imminent pullback. "Especially when factoring out the cyberattacks on auto dealers, the report was surprisingly strong, with big spending at online retailers and on building materials. With inflation down, wage growth strong, and job growth solid, the prospects for steady but moderate spending gains are looking better," Navy Federal Credit Union corporate economist Robert Frick said.In the meantime, earnings reports continue to impress. Bank of America rose early Tuesday after its second-quarter performance topped estimates.Stock indexes look poised to hit fresh record highs on Tuesday.According to Bloomberg data, the benchmark index has now gone 350 sessions without dipping 2% or more, the longest streak since 2007.In the bond market, the 10-year Treasury yield slid moderately, after comments dovish were made by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The central bank head indicated on Monday that the Fed <a target="_blank" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/15/powell-indicates-fed-wont-wait-until-inflation-is-down-to-2percent-before-cutting-rates.html">would not wait until inflation hit 2% before cutting.</a>Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,648.65, up 0.31%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 40,383.34, up 0.43% (+178.51 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,553.27, up 72.24% </li></ul>Here's what else happened today:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-tariffs-trade-restrictions-budget-deficit-biden-trump-stephen-roach-2024-7">Tariffs on China are not the best way to boost domestic industry</a>, Yale economist Stephen Roach says.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-interest-rate-cuts-should-happen-in-july-not-september-2024-7">The Fed should cut interest rates at its July meeting for three reasons</a>, according to Goldman Sachs.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-lower-inflation-goldilocks-growth-economy-cyclical-stocks-2024-7">Cyclicals are a buy</a> amid a "Goldilocks" backdrop for the US economy, Bank of America says.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-rate-cuts-outlook-economy-inflation-labor-market-gdp-growth-2024-7">The Fed shouldn't cut rates at all in 2024 as the economy faces a second- half rebound</a>, macro strategist says.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil dropped 1.77% to $80.55 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was down 1.65% to $83.43 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> climbed 0.33% to $2,433.63 per ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield slipped two basis points to 4.199%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Bitcoin</a> shed 1.7% to $63,909.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Indexes rise as traders assess earnings and retail sales beat estimates

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks rose as September's wholesale price data showed cooling inflation.</li><li>The producer price index was flat, and core PPI rose less than expected in September.</li></ul>US stocks edged higher on Friday after Producer Price Index data for September came in lower than expected, signaling a continued cooling of wholesale inflation.The producer price index was flat month-over-month, below economist estimates of a 0.1% rise. Meanwhile, Core PPI rose 0.1% in September, compared to an expected rise of 0.2%.TradeStation strategist David Russell told Business Insider the data supports another interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve."CPI might have seemed hot, but PPI was not. Overall, these numbers are getting less impactful as inflation moderates. The Fed could still be on track for 25 basis points at the next two meetings. Yields have surged lately, but it's not clear they have much more reason for continued upside," Russell said.Investors are also digesting <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/jpmorgan-earnings-q3-jamie-dimon-economy-geopolitics-banking-wall-street-2024-10">earnings results from JPMorgan,</a> Wells Fargo, and BlackRock. All three stocks moved higher after the results, which beat analyst estimates on most fronts.JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon praised his bank's performance in the earnings release, but <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/jpmorgan-earnings-q3-jamie-dimon-economy-geopolitics-banking-wall-street-2024-10">warned that geopolitical conditions</a> are "treacherous and getting worse."Apart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/us-economy-outlook-retail-sales-no-landing-inflation-jobs-report-2024-10">is the next big data release for investors to watch.</a>Bank of America analysts expect September retail sales data to show a 0.8% surge, while consensus estimates expect just 0.2% growth.Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Friday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,785.90, up 1.25% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 42,617.12, up 0.38% (+163 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,219.70, down 0.34% </li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-tesla-robotaxi-cybercar-analysts-self-driving-fleet-ai-2024-10">Tesla unveiled its robotaxi in an event Thursday night, but Wall Street isn't impressed.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/chinese-carmaker-chery-russia-sanctions-west-assets-seizure-volkswagen-mercedes-2024-10">A Chinese automaker has taken over Russian plants abandoned by Volkswagen and Mercedes.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/russia-economy-moscow-china-yuan-sanctions-bank-transactions-ruble-dollar-2024-10">Russia's ruble hit its lowest level in a year against the dollar and the yuan.</a></li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil was down 0.69% to $75.33 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was lower by 0.69% to $78.85 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> was up 0.97% to $2,664.90 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield was higher by 3 basis points at 4.101%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> was higher by 1.78% to $61,351.</li></ul>

You Searched For "stocks retail" and got 12 results

Stock market today: Indexes gain after strong retail sales data

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Intel is having a meme-stock moment. 4 retail investors explain why they're betting on the chipmaker.

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Stock market today: Indexes rise as traders assess earnings and retail sales beat estimates

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