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India's investment ecosystem is undergoing a seismic shift, with index investing gaining unprecedented traction among investors, according to a report by Motilal Oswal. The younger generation, including Gen Z and Millennials, shows a stronger inclination towards index funds as compared to older investors. They also prefer index funds over ETFs for better returns and liquidity. A recent report by Axis AMC also highlighted the growing appetite for ETFs, which witnessed net sales of Rs 15,403 crore in October 2024. While 46% of younger investors favor index funds, only 35% of Gen X and Boomers do so. Millennials and Gen X investors also have a keen interest in factor or smart beta funds, reflecting their appetite for innovative, albeit aggressive investment strategies. Passive funds have become a core component of investor portfolios, with 80% of investors increasing their allocation to these funds in 2024, compared to 53% last year. The Axis report echoed similar sentiments, noting that net sales in the passive category inched up to Rs 8,025 crore in October 2024. The combined assets under management (AUM) of passive funds have surged from Rs 7 lakh crore in September 2023 to over Rs 11 lakh crore by September 2024—a 1.5x growth in just one year. The survey also noted a growing popularity of ETFs, with 57% of respondents investing in them, up from 41% in 2023. Of these, 26% invest solely in ETFs, while 31% have diversified between ETFs and index funds. This rising preference is matched by a commitment to long-term investment. A significant 81% of investors plan to hold their passive investments for over three years, highlighting sustained confidence in the growth potential of these funds. Sectoral indices like Nifty IT and Nifty Bank dominate as the top choice for passive fund investors, selected by 67% of respondents. Benchmark indices such as the Nifty 50 and Nifty 500 follow closely, preferred by 61% of investors. A recent, similar report by stock broker Angel One also throws a spotlight on how young India plans and prefers mutual funds when it comes to savings and investments. The report, titled "Young Indians' Saving Habits Outlook 2024," compiled by Fin One, stated that 45% of respondents aged 22-35 have made it a point to save up some of their savings in mutual funds. A year ago, this figure stood at just 32%. Most of these investors make their way into mutual funds via SIPs, or systematic investment plans. 52% of respondents in the age cohort of 22-35 are now using SIPs to invest in mutual funds, up from 44% in the previous year. As for what was the driving factor behind beginning their investment journey, 42% underlined the past performance of funds, while 38% noted that advice from financial advisors remained a key consideration. 38% of young Indians are now increasingly focusing on building an emergency corpus, compared to 28% the year before. This shift underscores the drastic change in financial sensibilities brought forth by the pandemic and the consequent desire for greater financial resilience. In fact, approximately 4 out of every 5 surveyed investors maintained a dedicated, separate savings account. Out of the 1,650 individuals studied under the FinOne survey, a staggering majority made their first foray into the stock market in their early twenties. Nearly 2 in every 5 investors pick stock as their preferred choice of investment, followed by mutual funds and then savings bank accounts. While 45% of those surveyed picked stocks as their chosen investment avenue, 20% preferred mutual funds, and 15% wanted to keep their money in a savings bank account.

Gen Z and Millennials prefer stocks and mutual funds; index funds trump over ETFs, say recent reports

New Delhi: <keyword id="19900795" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="foreign-investors" source="keywords">Foreign investors</keyword> pulled out a massive Rs 94,000 crore (around USD 11.2 billion) from the Indian <keyword id="19925636" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="stock-market" source="keywords">stock market</keyword> in October, making it the worst-ever month in terms of outflows, triggered by the elevated valuation of domestic equities and attractive valuations of <keyword id="20295104" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Chinese-stocks" source="keywords">Chinese stocks</keyword>. Before this, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) withdrew Rs 61,973 crore from equities in March 2020. The latest outflow came after a nine-month high investment of Rs 57,724 crore in September 2024. Since June, FPIs have consistently bought equities after withdrawing Rs 34,252 crore in April-May. Overall, FPIs have been net buyers in 2024, except for January, April and May, data with the depositories showed. Looking ahead, the trajectory of global events like geopolitical developments, interest rate movements, progress in the Chinese economy and the outcome of the US Presidential election will play a crucial role in shaping future foreign investment in <keyword id="20014814" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Indian-equities" source="keywords">Indian equities</keyword>, Himanshu Srivastava, Associate Director, Manager Research, Morningstar Investment Research India, said. On the domestic front, key indicators like inflation trajectory, corporate earnings, and the impact of festive season demand will also be closely watched by FPIs as they assess opportunities in the Indian market, he added. According to the data, FPIs recorded a net outflow of Rs 94,017 crore in October. The intensity of net outflows could be gauged from the fact that except for one day, FPIs were net sellers throughout the month, bringing their total investment for 2024 down to Rs 6,593 crore. This relentless selling resulted in about an 8 per cent decline in benchmark indices from their peaks. Several factors contributed towards this massive withdrawal of foreign capital from the Indian equity markets in October. The major among them is the elevated valuations of Indian equities. This has triggered a shift in investments towards China, where valuations are currently more attractive. Additionally, a series of stimulus measures, aimed at bolstering Chinese economic growth has made Chinese equities increasingly appealing to global investors, Srivastava said. Despite the massive FPI selling in financials, this sector is resilient since the valuations are fair and every selling is being absorbed by DIIs and individual investors, particularly HNIs, VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Financial Services, said. In addition, FPIs pulled out Rs 4,406 crore from the debt general limit and invested Rs 100 crore from the debt Voluntary Retention Route (VRR) during the period under review. So far this year, FPIs invested Rs 1.06 lakh crore in the debt market.

FPIs withdraw record Rs 94,000 cr from Indian equities in Oct on attractive Chinese valuations

<ul class="summary-list"><li>The Fed just issued its first interest rate cut in four years.</li><li>Stocks immediately surged to record highs after the announcement before closing lower.</li></ul>Stocks got a brief leg up to a new intraday record on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve issued its first rate cut since 2020.Major indexes then wobbled into the close, turning lower during Fed Chair Jerome Powell's question-and-answer session. But their resilience within shouting distance of all-time highs suggested that this was an ideal outcome for stock investors, especially with a jumbo-sized cut already priced in."The Fed has given the market what it was looking for with the bigger 50-basis point rate cut," Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group said in a statement.The outcome also matched what Morgan Stanley strategists outlined earlier this week as a <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/best-case-scenario-stock-market-outlook-fed-rate-cut-ms-2024-9">best-case scenario</a> for stocks: a 50-basis-point cut that also didn't spook the market with regard to economic growth.But perhaps foreshadowing the subsequent move lower during Fed Chair Jerome Powell's question-and-answer session, Kruger added:"Our concern from here will be the market's ability to continue to feel good about buying risk assets on future accommodative Fed gestures now that the accommodation has been priced to this extent."Here's where US indexes stood at the 4 p.m. closing bell on Wednesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,618.26, down 0.3%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 41,503.10, down 0.3% (103 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 17,573.30, down 0.3%</li></ul>Stocks have historically reacted well to Fed rate cuts. Since 1971, the first Fed cut has led to positive returns for investors 100% of the time in the next six months, with an average gain of 13%, according to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/fed-rate-cuts-stock-market-outlook-fundstrat-tom-lee-2024-9">Fundstrat's Tom Lee</a>.Going forward, investors will be keyed into new economic-data releases for signs the Fed's swift rate moves have fended off a possible recession."The data going forward will matter more for markets," Priya Misra, portfolio manager at JPMorgan Asset Management, wrote following the decision. "All we needed today was for Powell to validate market expectations that the Fed is acknowledging the downside risks to the labor market and responding appropriately."Wednesday's rate decision was also significant in that it confirmed the central bank has pivoted its primary focus."The Fed is more worried about the labor market and less concerned about inflation at this point," Jason Pride, chief of investment strategy and research at Glenmede.

The stock market got just what it wanted from the Fed

<ul class="summary-list"><li>The stock market has surged since October 2022, with major indexes posting strong gains.</li><li>With the bull market in stocks now two years old, investors are wondering how long the rally can last.</li></ul>The stock market bottomed on October 12, 2022, marking two years since the start of the ongoing bull rally. Since then, the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_100">Nasdaq 100</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a>, and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a> have posted impressive gains of 88%, 62%, and 46%, respectively.A <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/recession-outlook-economy-goldman-unemployment-jobs-report-nonfarm-payrolls-rates-2024-10">resilient job market,</a> lower inflation, and continued corporate earnings growth helped push the stock market higher over the past two years.So, what's in store for the bull market from here?Here's what market experts told Business Insider about what history says about the bull market's future as it enters its third year. <h2 id="87e38ea9-e2ca-4929-9a94-031a99caf946">Freedom Capital Markets, Jay Woods</h2>Chief global strategist Jay Woods of Freedom Capital Markets said what's most telling about the current bull market is that very few believed in it in the beginning."I think it's important to preface it with when it started, no one believed it. They just thought it was a bear market rally. And then they doubted that it had legs, and then it was just seven stocks," Woods told Business Insider.He added: "And now, all of a sudden, it is powerful. And I think the momentum is continuing. You got the rate cycle, you got broadening out, we have wind at our sails, and this bull market should last at least another 12, maybe 18 months."Woods said he is encouraged that market leadership is diverse and no longer concentrated in mega-cap technology companies. A recent example is the rotation into utility stocks, which have surged on the AI power demand narrative.A common Wall Street expression is "rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market," and that appears to be playing out."It's good to look back and celebrate two years, but it still feels like the party is just beginning," Woods said.<h2 id="2275e95f-cb77-497d-97ee-938609a82fa6">Carson Group, Ryan Detrick</h2>According to Carson Group chief market strategist Ryan Detrick, the bull market in stocks is still young."Although many might think this bull market has gone too far and is getting old, that isn't the case at all. If you look back at history, bull markets last more than five years on average, making this one at two years actually young," Detrick told Business Insider.Detrick said that while he sees more gains ahead, he doesn't expect another big year for returns like in 2023 and so far in 2024, with the S&amp;P 500 delivering gains of 24% and 22%, respectively.Instead, Detrick said that the average gain of a bull market in year three is about 8%, which is right around the average annual return for stocks."All in all, we expect stocks to be up at least low double digits over the next year," Detrick said.<h2 id="71148928-7cd9-413b-8146-f7a06f2d41cb">Baird, Ross Mayfield</h2>Baird investment strategist Ross Mayfield said the third year of this current bull rally could deliver stronger returns than history suggests because the first two years of the bull delivered underwhelming performance relative to history."The first two years of this bull market have been somewhat muted vs. historical standards, so there is ample opportunity for outperformance of the typical year 3 performance," Mayfield told Business Insider.Mayfield also echoed Detrick's sentiment that the average bull market is over five years long, so he thinks "there is plenty of room to run.""It would not be surprising if year three of the bull market outperformed the typical year three given the rates backdrop, expected earnings growth, and tepid investor sentiment," Mayfield said.<h2 id="d92eafcb-b184-4d6f-927a-142734817da9">US Bank Asset Management, Rob Haworth</h2>Investment strategist Rob Haworth of US Bank Asset Management believes the S&amp;P 500 could surge to 6,480 in its third year of the bull market, representing potential upside of 12%.Haworth's bullish view is backed by what really drives stock prices higher: earnings growth."The key forward metric for market returns remains the pace of earnings growth," Haworth told Business Insider. "As we look ahead, we still see a constructive path."Haworth expects the S&amp;P 500 to deliver $270 in earnings per share next year, representing about 13% growth from 2024 consensus levels."Lower interest rates from the Federal Reserve and soft or no-landing economic scenarios are helping lift growth into next year, supporting further equity market gains," Haworth said.

The stock market's bull rally is 2 years old. Here's what tends to happen next. 

<ul class="summary-list"><li>An acceleration of US economic growth is a major risk for investors, says economist Steven Blitz.</li><li>Blitz warns a "no landing" scenario could lead to inflation rebound and Fed rate hikes.</li></ul>An acceleration of economic growth in the US might be the stock market's worst-case scenario, according to GlobalData TS Lombard chief economist Steven Blitz. While that may sound counterintuitive, as a recession would also not be great for stocks, Blitz wrote in a note on Tuesday that the "no landing" scenario is a big risk as it could lead to a fresh spike in inflation and an about-face by the Federal Reserve. "What has now become the biggest risk in the Fed's cut and aggressive guidance, and the one markets are not pricing - that there is no landing at all," Blitz said.Blitz is concerned that the Fed will keep interest rates too low for too long, leading to a hot economy and making inflation once again Wall Street's biggest worry."The Fed will not get the funds rate down to 3%, but the terminal rate for this round will nevertheless end up too low and be kept there for too long. Inflation subsequently rebounds and the Fed is back raising rates sooner than anyone expects," Blitz said.That would be a wake-up call for investors, especially as the "Goldilocks" dream of a soft landing in the economy becomes the consensus on Wall Street.According to Blitz, the Fed funds rate should settle at around 4%, a full percentage point above the long-term projections of numerous Fed members, because the economy is still showing remarkable resilience."One cannot ignore that in the face of higher real rates versus pre-Covid, the economy has stayed strong and employment full," Blitz said.The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow estimate for third-quarter GDP growth is 2.9%, imports on a year-over-year basis are seeing an uptick, and more containers are "riding the rails" in a positive sign for economic health, Blitz observed.None of those signals suggests that the Fed needs to follow through with aggressive interest rate cuts <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-today-dow-record-high-rate-cut-hopes-rise-2024-9">like the futures market is currently projecting,</a> he said.The CME's FedWatch Tool is pricing 75 basis points of interest rate cuts before year-end, in addition to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-cuts-interest-rates-how-much-september-fomc-powell-inflation-2024-9">the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut last week.</a>"Running a too-low real funds rate, which this Fed is apt to do, consequently risks a much higher inflation outcome than they are assuming," Blitz warned.The potential Fed policy mistake that Blitz is so worried about would mirror the 1960s, according to the note, which helped fuel a painful decade ahead of high inflation and poor stock market returns.

Why a jump in economic growth could be the stock market's nightmare scenario

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks were mixed Friday, with the Dow closing at a record high while the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq edged lower.</li><li>All three major averages achieved a three-week win streak as investors cheer a resilient economy and cooling inflation.</li></ul>US stocks were mixed on Friday, with the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones">Dow Jones</a> closing at a new all-time high while the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_100">Nasdaq 100</a> and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> traded lower.Despite Friday's mixed trading, all three major averages notched a three-week win streak as investors continue to bid up stocks on a resilient economy, Fed interest rate cuts, and cooling inflation.Investors got more evidence of cooling inflation with <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-today-cool-inflation-data-supports-more-rate-cuts-2024-9">the release of the PCE index on Friday,</a> which is considered the Fed's preferred measure of inflation.The personal consumption expenditures price index increased by 0.1% in August from July, in-line with economist estimates. On a year-over-year basis, the PCE Index rose 2.2%, slightly below economist estimates of 2.3%."The Fed feels as though it has won the battle on inflation and its primary focus is making sure the job market stays steady," Bellwether Wealth chief investment officer Clark Bellin said.With the inflation battle potentially over, the main focus for investors and the Fed has turned to the jobs market. That's why next week is so important.On Tuesday, investors will get the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, followed by the ADP Employment report on Wednesday and initial jobless claims on Thursday.But the main event is next Friday, when the September jobs report is released. Economists estimate expect about 145,000 jobs will be added to the economy in September.According to Interactive Brokers senior economist José Torres, the jobs report could have a big impact on the broader market."A sizable miss could undoubtedly lead to a narrative shift in markets of an upcoming downturn, but a sharp gain could push rate reductions further out on the curve. The ideal scenario for bullish investors is a figure close to projections, as it won't disturb current monetary policy easing expectations," Torres said on Friday.Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Friday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,738.17, down 0.1%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 42,313, up 0.3% (138 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,119.59, down 0.4%</li></ul>Here's what else happened today:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/nvidia-stock-prediction-nvda-price-forecast-blackwell-ai-chips-web3-2024-9">Why Nvidia stock could soar 500% by the end of the decade, according to a former BCG executive.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-media-insiders-litinsky-moss-donald-trump-truth-social-djt-2024-9">A major Trump Media shareholder dumped 11 million shares after the lock-up period expired.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/job-market-unemployment-rate-interest-rates-fed-cuts-outlook-economy-2024-9">The job market is reaching a turning point that could lead to even steeper rate cuts from the Fed, an economist said.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-outlook-stagflation-recession-inflation-gdp-growth-ukraine-war-2024-9">Russia's economy is showing signs of stagflation as it reels from the impact of its war against Ukraine.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/rare-bull-signal-perfect-track-record-just-flashed-stock-market-2024-9">A super-rare bullish signal with a perfect track record just flashed in the stock market.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/majority-millionaires-plan-vote-for-harris-over-trump-november-election-2024-9">A majority of millionaires plan to vote for Harris over Trump, according to a new survey.</a></li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil was higher by 1.02% to $68.36 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, rose 0.68% to $72.09 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> was down 0.85% to $2,672.00 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield was lower by 4 basis points to 3.756%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> was up 0.86% to $65,741.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Dow hits record high, stocks notch 3-week win streak ahead of key jobs report

<ul class="summary-list"><li>JPMorgan's top strategist had something positive to say about stocks for the first time in a while.</li><li>JPMorgan chief equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas said investors should get less defensive.</li></ul>Strategists at JPMorgan <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-risk-fed-hawkish-policy-error-marko-kolanovic-2022-10?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">have been bearish on the stock market</a> since October 2022.But that seems to be changing, based on a Tuesday note from <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/jpm-stock?miRedirects=1&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">JPMorgan</a> chief global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas.While Lakos-Bujas didn't update his firm's year-end <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> price target of 4,200, which implies a steep 27% decline from current levels, he did recommend investors turn less bearish on the market."We are neutralizing our long Defensive and short Cyclicals view," Lakos-Bujas said.The Federal Reserve cutting interest rates and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-stimulus-fix-economy-xi-jinping-stock-market-2024-10">China unleashing new stimulus measures</a> are driving the change in Lakos'-Bujas' sentiment."Policy support from the world's largest economies are coming at a time of surprisingly resilient US growth with tight labor markets, ongoing government deficit spending, and record highs across equities, credit, and housing," Lakos-Bujas said.The bank also pointed to the solid health of US consumers, who have <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/americans-richest-theyve-ever-been-with-164-trillion-net-worth-2024-9">collectively added $50 trillion to their wealth since Covid.</a>According to data from the Federal Reserve, US consumers have about $185 trillion in assets, made up mostly of stocks and bonds, homes, and cash, and just $21 trillion in debts. That's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/americans-richest-theyve-ever-been-with-164-trillion-net-worth-2024-9">a healthy balance sheet.</a>Lakos-Bujas is also encouraged by solid corporate earnings growth, which is expected to accelerate from 3% over the past two years to 12% over the next two years."US corporates have been increasingly focused on recycling pre-tax income into investment spending rather than returning after-tax profits to shareholders through buybacks, which is also helping to stimulate the economy," Lakos-Bujas explained.Part of that has been driven by the AI tech boom, with mega-cap tech companies expected to accelerate their R&amp;D and capex investments to more than $500 billion per year."In our view, these drivers, along with US Exceptionalism, are helping offset the uneven macro weakness," Lakos-Bujas said.He added: "While it is too soon to assume that this is a turning point, it does suggest that a recession is unlikely in the near term, especially since surprisingly strong job growth and a downtick in the unemployment rate broke a slowing trend in the job market."But Lakos-Bujas didn't turn completely bullish on stocks. The strategist warned that the November Presidential election could inject volatility into markets depending on the outcome, and lower interest rates could represent a headwind for corporate profits, particularly in the financial sector.

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Gen Z and Millennials prefer stocks and mutual funds; index funds trump over ETFs, say recent reports

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Stock market today: Dow hits record high, stocks notch 3-week win streak ahead of key jobs report

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