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<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks traded mixed on Wednesday as traders took inflation data and the outlook for rates.</li><li>Inflation rose 0.2% for the month and 2.6% on a yearly basis, in-line with expectations.</li></ul>The latest inflation data dented some of the momentum of the post-election stock rally, with traders focusing on the latest consumer price index reading at its implications for rate cuts. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up slightly, while the S&amp;P 500 ended the day nearly flat. Bond yields were little changed, with the 10-year Treasury yield up one basis point to 4.449%. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/inflation-october-cpi-consumer-price-index-federal-reserve-interest-rates-2024-11">Inflation was slightly higher</a> year-over-year in October compared to the prior month, but was on par with economists' expectations. Consumer prices rose 0.2% for the month and 2.6% on an annual basis, higher than last month's 2.4% increase.Investors solidified bets on another rate cut at the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting. Markets see an 82% chance that the central bank will trim interest rates another quarter-point next month, up from 59% on Tuesday, according to the CME FedWatch tool.Traders are less certain about another rate cut in January. The odds of another 25 basis point cut at the Fed's January meeting have dropped to 29%, down from 69% a month ago."Inflation data mostly support another rate cut at the Fed's December decision," Bill Adams, the chief economist at Comerica Bank, said in a note. "The Fed will wait until they have more clarity about the timing and scope of policy changes from the next President and Congress before reacting to them.""The Fed wants to avoid the mistakes of the past by prematurely easing and risking a second wave of inflation, so we'd expect the FOMC to take this risk seriously," Jason Pride, the chief of investment strategy &amp; research at Glenmede, said in a note. "This doesn't take a rate cut off the table for December, but it's certainly not a slam dunk."The rally fueled by Trump's election began to stumble, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite edging slightly into the red.Crypto markets, though, continued to get a boost after Elon Musk, a close ally of Trump, was appointed as co-head of the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/dogecoin-price-elon-musk-doge-department-trump-crypto-president-election-2024-11?_gl=1*j5rjww*_ga*OTI1ODIwOTQ2LjE3MTYzOTg2NjU.*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTUyNDI1NS41NTYuMS4xNzMxNTI0MjY2LjQ5LjAuMA..">Department of Government Efficiency</a>, or "DOGE." <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/doge-usd">Dogecoin</a> spiked another 15% on the news, while <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">bitcoin</a> rose as much as 6% before paring its gains, surpassing the $90,000 threshold for the first time ever before dipping back below to about $88,000 later in the day. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Wednesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,985.38, up 0.02%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 43,958.19, up 0.11% (+47.21 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 19,230.74, down 0.26%</li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li>Here's what people are betting in <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/kalshi-polymarket-prediction-markets-jake-paul-mike-tyson-bitcoin-trump-2024-11?_gl=1*4l4ww*_ga*OTI1ODIwOTQ2LjE3MTYzOTg2NjU.*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTUxNTY1NS41NTUuMS4xNzMxNTE4NTU0LjU2LjAuMA..">prediction markets</a> now that the election is over.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/nvidia-stock-price-outlook-upside-blackwell-rubin-apple-iphone-moment-2024-11">Nvidia is approaching its iPhone moment</a> with its Blackwell chip, and the stock could soar another 25%, an analyst said. </li><li>Trump could push <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-us-debt-levels-government-borrowing-treasury-blackrock-rick-rieder-2024-11">US debt to levels</a> that can't be ignored within his first year in office, according to BlackRock's Rick Rieder.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil dipped 0.09% to $68.08 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was lower by 0.46% to $71.95 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> slipped 0.87% to $2,575.98 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield was up one basis point to 4.449%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> slipped to $88,615.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Indexes trade mixed as investors assess rate outlook after new inflation data

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Stocks slumped Tuesday amid rising bond yields. </li><li>Investors are adjusting outlooks for interest rate cuts from the Fed. </li></ul>US stocks headed for their second losing session in a row, with major indexes slumping Tuesday morning amid a rise in bond yields. Investors were put off by a steep jump in the US 10-year Treasury yield, which surged 11 basis points on Monday. The key bond yield jumped above 4.2% for the first time since July. Though yields have since steadied at around 4.176%, the rise indicates that traders have pared back hopes for a steep easing cycle from the Federal Reserve. Commentary from Fed officials this week calling for "gradual" and "modest" cuts following a streak of hot economic data triggered investors to rethink their expectations.More commentary will come on Tuesday from Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker. Five other officials will speak throughout the week.Investors are also monitoring further earnings releases. Tesla is scheduled to post its third-quarter performance on Wednesday. Boeing is also due to report on Wednesday, while UPS will report results on Thursday. Here's where US indexes stood at the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,829.63, down 0.42% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 42,789.86, down 0.33% (-141.74 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,491.77, down 0.26% </li></ul>Here's what else happened today:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-wall-street-bull-bear-predictions-economy-inflation-2024-10?_gl=1*1q5ar1h*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyOTYwMTkwMC43NTIuMS4xNzI5NjAyODAzLjI5LjAuMA..">Wall Street is divided over the market's fate. Here are the bear and bull cases made by top banks.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-stock-price-short-seller-block-wont-elon-musk-valuation-2024-10?_gl=1*yjx239*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyOTYwMTkwMC43NTIuMS4xNzI5NjAyNzcyLjYwLjAuMA..">Why famed short-seller Carson Block won't bet against Tesla</a>.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/nvidia-stock-price-prediction-nvda-blackwell-demand-outlook-chips-ai-2024-10?_gl=1*pfaelr*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyOTYwMTkwMC43NTIuMS4xNzI5NjAyODY4LjU2LjAuMA..">Wall Street keeps raising its price target on Nvidia. Here's why bullishness endures.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/china-russia-gas-europe-sanctions-ukraine-war-gazprom-2024-10?_gl=1*1n0z5w2*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyOTYwMTkwMC43NTIuMS4xNzI5NjAyOTA2LjE4LjAuMA..">China is set to become Russia's biggest pipeline gas customer this year.</a></li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil was up 0.98% to $71.25 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was higher by 0.74% to $74.84 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> was higher by 0.49% to $2,752.30 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield was essentially flat at 4.176%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Bitcoin</a> slid 0.82% to $67,078.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Indexes slide and yields rise as rate-cut outlook dims

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks traded mixed as investors looked ahead to the central bank's meeting minutes.</li><li>The release will offer more insight into what the Fed is thinking about monetary policy and inflation.</li></ul>US stocks were mixed early Wednesday as traders looked ahead to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting, which should give further guidance on the path of interest rates for the rest of the year. All three benchmark indexes traded slightly in the red, while bond yields were up slightly. Investors will be parsing through the Fed's latest meeting minutes later on Wednesday, which will give more insight into what central bankers are thinking about the economy and the trajectory of rate cuts this year and beyond. Monetary policy is in focus after an unexpectedly hot job report in September, fueling doubt over whether the Fed will issue another jumbo rate cut this year."The minutes of the last Federal Reserve meeting are due, and should be fascinating," Paul Donovan, the chief economist of UBS Global Wealth Management, said in a note. "The tone of the Fed minutes should not change expectations of further rate cuts—the Fed is still scrambling to catch up with inflation slowing in the US, and started cutting rates late. But expectations about the pace of easing may be set by the minutes."According to Pantheon Macroeconomics, the Fed is more likely to begin cutting rates in 25-basis-point increments rather than issuing another 50-basis-point rate cut."Even so, we still think the FOMC is putting undue emphasis on the current strength of the economy rather than the direction of travel and the lagged impact of earlier tightening still in the pipeline," economists at the research firm said in a note. "We expect a 25bp easing in November but think a soft run of jobs and activity data in Q4 and Q1 will soon have the Fed scrambling to avoid falling behind the curve."Central bankers will assess another jobs report and the September Consumer Price Index, which will be published Thursday morning, before making their next rate move. The inflation report will be a high-stakes data point for the Fed after the big September payroll report, with markets anxious that officials may have to turn their attention back to prices after pivoting to the labor market at their last meeting. Markets are pricing in an 88% chance the Fed will issue a quarter-point cut, while odds of another jumbo-sized cut have been slashed completely, according to the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">CME FedWatch tool</a>.Google parent Alphabet fell 1% in early trading as the US Department of Justice <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.223205/gov.uscourts.dcd.223205.1052.0_1.pdf">indicated it could break up the tech giant</a>. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Wednesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,752.93, up 0.06% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 42,194.38, up 0.27% (+114 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,150.47, down 0.18%</li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-interest-rate-cuts-outlook-economy-recession-no-landing-borrowing-2024-10?_gl=1*i6n3nu*_ga*OTI1ODIwOTQ2LjE3MTYzOTg2NjU.*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyODQ3ODgzNS40MjMuMS4xNzI4NDgwNDc4LjMxLjAuMA..">The economy is facing a "no-landing" scenario</a> that could take away some relief from higher interest rates.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/mortgage-rate-increase-since-federal-reserve-cut-interest-rates-housing-2024-10?_gl=1*i6n3nu*_ga*OTI1ODIwOTQ2LjE3MTYzOTg2NjU.*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyODQ3ODgzNS40MjMuMS4xNzI4NDgwNDc4LjMxLjAuMA..">Fed rate cuts were expected to push mortgage rates lower</a>, but the opposite has happened.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stocks-q3-earnings-lower-rates-stocks-returns-outlook-bofa-2024-10">The bar for corporate earnings is low</a>. That's good news for stocks, as long as companies are feeling upbeat about rate cuts, according to Bank of America.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil dipped 2% to $72.06 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was fell 2% to $75.63 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> slipped 0.39% to $2,612.00 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield was about flat at 4.041%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> edged lower 0.8% to trade at $61,930.</li></ul>

Stock market today: US stocks trade mixed with Fed minutes and rate outlook in focus

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Major Wall Street analysts are warning of more headwinds for Chinese stocks next year, even amid stimulus.</li><li>After an initially positive reaction, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are turning more bearish.</li></ul>China's stock market is likely headed for tougher times ahead, at least according to a few prominent Wall Street firms.Strategists from the likes of Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have recently cut their outlooks, warning of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-growth-consumer-spending-demand-real-estate-debt-crisis-2024-8#:~:text=The%20world's%20second%2Dlargest%20economy,%2C%20falling%20short%20of%203.9%25.">slowing growth</a>, even as China's top leaders continue to unveil stimulus measures meant to reinvigorate its slowing economy.Goldman Sachs cut its year-end 2025 target on the MSCI China Index from 84 to 75, keeping its overweight rating on the stocks but citing potential for lower earnings growth as a result of US tariffs. The index traded at roughly 64 on Monday.Morgan Stanley, meanwhile, has a target of 63 by the end of next year. The firm had taken away its underweight rating on the index back in October, pointing to a better policy outlook.The shifting outlook comes as the country has rolled out stimulus measures to address persistent economic challenges like its slumping <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-outlook-home-prices-slumped-beijing-property-crisis-real-estate-2024-4">property market</a> and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-household-deposits-savings-luxury-consumer-demand-slowdown-economy-outlook-2024-7">weak consumer sentiment</a>.The analysts had initially seemed <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-xi-jinping-stimulus-plan-wall-street-stock-market-economy-2024-9">optimistic</a> after the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-aggressive-monetary-stimulus-interest-rate-rrr-2024-9">first round of stimulus</a> announced in September. Both firms upgraded their ratings on Chinese stocks in the weeks after, with Goldman Sachs analysts upgrading their stance to overweight, while the Morgan Stanley strategists changed their rating from underweight to neutral.Traders took note. The MSCI China Index hit its highest in over two years at the end of September, but in the time since, the index has <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-stock-markets-csi300-golden-week-reopening-bazooka-stimulus-outlook-2024-10">now fallen</a> some 15% as analysts wonder how much more <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-li-qiang-fiscal-stimulus-market-sentiment-us-election-2024-11">stimulus</a> is left."We see a low limited chance that China's government will front-load enough fiscal stimulus to target consumption and housing in 2025 due to concerns over moral hazard and a premature transition into a 'welfare state,'" Morgan Stanley strategists wrote in a Sunday note, adding, "We expect even stronger headwinds on corporate earnings and market valuation in the coming months."The analysts are also pricing in tariff risks from Donald Trump's US election win. Trump has proposed sweeping tariffs, including steep 60% duties on Chinese goods. They acknowledge, though, that with the actual extent of the tariffs yet to be finalized, there is still a great deal of uncertainty."The magnitude, profile, timing of the tariffs, and the resulting policy reactions from China make the situation more fluid and difficult to analyze," the Goldman analysts wrote."The only certainty is that it will be the overarching theme driving market volatility in the months ahead, and investors will monitor the tariff developments closely to dynamically adjust their views on the market," they added.

Wall Street is cutting outlooks for Chinese stocks just weeks after a stimulus blitz

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Trump's victory over Harris raises questions about Republican control of the House.</li><li>Wall Street strategists are closely monitoring financial markets and potential policy impacts.</li></ul>It's fair to say that much of <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-post-election-results-bullish-trump-trade-peter-tuchman-2024-11">Wall Street didn't get enough sleep</a> on election night after being caught off guard by the speed at which results began coming in.Dominic Pappalardo, the chief multi-asset strategist at Morningstar Wealth, was home watching <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/polymarket-prediction-betting-markets-vindicated-by-trumps-strong-showing-1033958821">prediction markets</a> and how percentages were skewing state by state. He was also keeping an eye on financial markets to see if they were making directional moves.Over in London, Richard Kelly, the head of global strategy at TD Securities, was on his firm's trading floor, busy answering endless client questions on 'What about this' and 'What about that'-type scenarios."As much as we all tried to think ahead of what the different policies would be, there are always a lot more questions that come up on the day, and they all have to be much more concrete," Kelly said. "So it's just been a whirlwind."Former President <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/election-results-trump-harris-presidential-election-2024-11">Donald Trump's victory</a> over Vice President Kamala Harris has been called for Tuesday's election, but Wall Street is still waiting on one more key answer: <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/congress-balance-of-power-results-competitive-republicans-democrats-2024-11">Will Republicans take the House</a>, too? It seems increasingly likely. Yet, the result would be based on a handful of seats."Technically, we don't need to know until the first half of December legally, and these things are so close in terms of the margin of error," Kelly said. "There's some of these races where literally hundreds of ballots is the differential of Republican versus Democrat. So it's not going to be today."The small tilt in the House makes a big difference because a handful of seats are enough to create some friction on Trump policies, Kelly noted.<h2 id="e4827f7a-5ee5-4a62-aa3b-da6a8ce8b3ef">Stocks</h2>Sector rotations among stocks are slightly muddy because the overall <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/us-election-trump-stock-rally-rise-sp500-outlook-regulation-mergers-2024-11">market is up so much that everything rallied</a> with the broad market, Pappalardo said. But one noteworthy sector is financials, which performed better than the overall market into Wednesday's early trading hours. It's unsurprising since the Republicans campaigned on policies favorable to banks and financial stocks, including decreased regulation. The steepening yield curve is also positive for banks as it boosts their profit margins since they borrow on the front-end yield and lend at the back-end yield, he added.Technology is another sector the market is viewing favorably: Tech companies have been creating a lot of profit, so Trump's promised corporate tax cuts will be quite beneficial, Pappalardo said.Meanwhile, the utilities sector lagged the broader market the most as we moved into Wednesday's early trading hours. Investors moving away from defensives toward cyclicals is likely a sign that investors believe the economy is positioned for growth, Pappalardo noted.While the rallies are positive for stocks, looking ahead, Pappalardo expects things to return to normality. In other words, investors will focus on traditional fundamentals like corporate earnings and interest rate policy.<h2 id="5e50dfbb-c80b-4dee-8272-69eff4f2145f">Bonds</h2>Wednesday was a long day for Gennadiy Goldberg, the head of US rates strategy at TD Securities. He stayed up past midnight watching the yield move before passing the baton off to his colleagues in London."Once the polls started to close, the market already started to move," Goldberg said. "It took the market very little time to start penciling in higher odds of the Trump victory."The swift and strong Republican win pushed the 10-year yield up from around 4.3% to around 4.45%.The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/what-is-a-bond#:~:text=Bonds%20are%20loans%20that%20investors,the%20principal%20investment%20at%20maturity.">bond market</a> was expressing signs of nervousness. This sector of the market is worried about who's going to pay the bill for potentially higher budget deficits. The result is a pricing-in of higher debt premiums, Goldberg said.Additionally, aggressive immigration and tariff policies could be inflationary. And if it looks like inflation pressures are either reaccelerating or just stubbornly high, it could leave the Fed nervous about cutting rates further, Goldberg said.Kelly added that the 10-year could still move higher to 4.75%, and that's where he thinks the market could get more comfortable buying.<h2 id="b628f761-842f-464c-a039-7d296873c4e9">Currencies</h2>Jayati Bharadwaj, a global FX strategist at TD Securities, was at home in front of multiple screens until about 1 a.m. as she watched <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/what-is-forex">currencies move</a> amid the strong Trump lead. Initially, she expected the results to take a few days to become clear, but she was surprised by how quickly the outcome became evident. Currency markets also reacted swiftly against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar."The Chinese renminbi, the Mexican peso, and the euro were hit particularly hard because once markets saw the election results being called, they had to start pricing in the threat of tariffs," Bharadwaj said.She expects the euro to trade even weaker relative to the dollar once Trump takes office. Right now, it's trading at $1.07; expect it to move to $1.05, she said. If the Republicans take the House, then the euro could drop below $1.05, she added.Kelly added that China has been under the microscope since Trump talked about 60% tariffs on its imports. Other countries could face 10% tariffs across the board. So, if you're highly leveraged to trade, like Europe or the UK, it could be very negative for the euro and pound. He noted that it could also be negative on the currencies of Canada and Mexico, depending on how USMCA members will be impacted.On the flip side, the yen could weaken less than other currencies relative to the US dollar. The Bank of Japan may return to rate hikes over the next few months after it had paused, Kelly said. This means watch out for further unwinding in the yen carry trade. Therefore, the next question investors have to ask is: how many long equity positions have been funded at very low Japanese rates, Kelly said.For this reason, Bharadwaj cautions traders about jumping back into any carry trades because there will be a lot of currency volatility.<h2 id="2b454727-3f51-473d-b815-35fcf1e90886">Gold</h2>One surprise is that <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">gold hasn't weakened</a> as much as expected, Kelly said. As the dollar strengthened, he anticipated a more significant pullback. Given the uncertainty and volatility that took place the day after the elections, it might be too soon as investors digest results. However, he anticipates further weakening in gold, which is down 2% from Election Day.

Chief strategists project their outlooks on stocks, bonds, currencies, and gold amid a Trump victory 

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Indexes rose Thursday to continue a post-election rally after the Fed cut interest rates.</li><li>The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points, a smaller move compared to its September meeting. </li></ul>Indexes ended higher on Thursday, extending a post-election rally after the Federal Reserve delivered a rate cut at the end of its latest policy meeting. The Nasdaq jumped 1.5% to a new record high, while the S&amp;P 500 climbed 0.8% to a new record. The Dow Jones Industrial Index was nearly flat after surging by more than 1,500 points on Wednesday. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Thursday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,973.10, up 0.74% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 43,729.34</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 19,269.46, up 1.5%</li></ul>Major indexes gained as the Fed <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/federal-reserve-cuts-interest-rates-quarter-point-powell-inflation-election-2024-11">cut rates by 25 basis points</a>, which was widely expected after an initial jumbo 50 basis point cut in September.Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed will continue to be data dependent, but that it is prepared to adjust its easing pace as necessary.Though some noted after the meeting that the Fed's tone may have sounded less confident about the path of inflation, noting "progress" has been made rather than the previous wording of "further progress," analysts were unconcerned."The Committee had used this language as a threshold to start cutting, so we interpret its removal as a reflection of the fact that the cutting cycle is already underway rather than as an indication of reduced confidence in the inflation outlook," analysts from Goldman Sachs said in a Thursday note.CPI data has been slightly sticky above the Fed's 2% target, with the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/inflation-september-cpi-consumer-price-index-federal-reserve-interest-rates-2024-10">latest report</a> showing inflation cooled in September but less than economists had expected.The labor market, on the other hand, appears to be a smaller source of stress for the Fed, but Powell said it's "prepared to adjust the pace and destination" of easing as the jobs data evolves."There seems to be less anxiety about the risk of rising unemployment and slowing job growth," Fitch Ratings chief economist Brian Coulton said in a Thursday note.The latest employment data, released Thursday, shows weekly jobless claims increased slightly to 221,000, a gain of 3,000 from the week before and in line with expectations.Investors seem hopeful Trump's light regulatory stance and proposals for corporate tax cuts will make for a more friendly business environment. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-bull-rally-trump-deregulation-tax-cuts-evercore-2024-11">Evercore ISI this week predicted</a> the S&amp;P 500 to jump 11% by next summer as the rally accelerates in Trump's second term. Powell said the election outcome will have "no effect" on the Fed's policy in the near future and reiterated that the Fed does not speculate on any administration's potential impact on the economy.Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/polymarket-whale-banked-85-million-profit-trump-president-election-win-2024-11?miRedirects=1">The Polymarket "whale" made a lot more</a> than previously thought betting on Trump to win. </li><li>Stocks are entering "Crazy Town" as valuations near generational highs. </li><li>Stocks tied to Russia rally as Trump's win <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/russia-stocks-trump-win-ukraine-war-putin-zelenskyy-2024-11?_gl=1*7o1w4e*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTAxMTE0MC4zNzguMS4xNzMxMDEzMTI1LjYwLjAuMA..">fuels hopes</a> for an end to the Ukraine war.</li><li>Trump's win created a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/wealthiest-people-in-world-net-worth-increase-trump-victory-stocks-2024-11?_gl=1*1kcs0b*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTAxMTE0MC4zNzguMS4xNzMxMDEzMTUyLjMzLjAuMA..">record $64 billion</a> of net worth for the world's 10 richest people.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li>Oil futures were up. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti">West Texas Intermediate crude</a> rose 0.5% to $72.06 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, climbed 0.7% to $75.42 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> rose climbed 1.4% to $2,713.80 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury fell nine basis points to 4.335%. </li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> was up slightly to $76,505.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Stocks extend post-election rally as the Fed cuts interest rates

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Indexes climbed on Thursday after the huge post-election rally in the previous session. </li><li>Traders will shift their attention to the Fed, which is expected to announce a 25-basis-point rate cut. </li></ul>Indexes edged up on Thursday, heading for another day of gains after Donald Trump's election victory <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-election-win-stock-market-today-record-high-sp500-dow-2024-11?_gl=1*16d1s21*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMDk4NTQ0OS4zNzUuMS4xNzMwOTg5NDc2LjMwLjAuMA..">fueled a massive rally across the stock market on Wednesday.</a>The Dow Jones Industrial Average was just slightly higher after surging <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-victory-stock-market-today-dow-tsla-djt-bitcoin-yields-2024-11?_gl=1*1okordg*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMDk4NTQ0OS4zNzUuMS4xNzMwOTg5NDk1LjExLjAuMA..">over 1,500 points</a>, up 3.6% in its biggest single-day percentage gain in two years.Bank stocks and tech shares rallied in the session, fueled by hopes for a lighter regulatory touch and corporate tax cuts under Trump. Bitcoin also gained, given Trump's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-going-for-crypto-bro-vote-world-liberty-financial-2024-9?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">pro-crypto stance</a>.On Thursday, investors will turn their attention toward the Federal Reserve, which is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. That would continue the central bank's easing cycle, which kicked off with a jumbo 50 basis point cut in September. After this month's meeting, fed fund futures show the outlook for monetary policy <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-win-fed-pause-rate-cuts-easing-jpmorgan-david-kelly-2024-11">becomes less clear</a>, with expectations for further cuts declining in the last week. Markets are adjusting to the reality of a second Trump presidency, which economists have said would likely drive inflation if he enacts campaign proposals like broad tariffs and mass deportations. The latest data on Thursday showed weekly jobless claims increased slightly to 221,000, a gain of 3,000 from the week prior and in line with expectations.Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Thursday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,950.88, up 0.37% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 43,754.89, up 0.06% (+24.86. points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 19,114.17, up 0.69%</li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/us-election-trump-stock-rally-rise-sp500-outlook-regulation-mergers-2024-11?_gl=1*1y0bf0i*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMDk4NTQ0OS4zNzUuMS4xNzMwOTg5NDQ2LjYwLjAuMA..">3 post-election reasons</a> why stocks will rise into year-end, according to Goldman Sachs.</li><li>"Crypto president" Donald Trump has <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/bitcoin-price-btc-record-high-donald-trump-victory-presidential-election-2024-11?_gl=1*bputk0*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMDk4NTQ0OS4zNzUuMS4xNzMwOTg5NTExLjYwLjAuMA..">investors cheering</a> as bitcoin hits record.</li><li>These 5 billionaires were the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/billionaires-net-worth-trump-stock-market-nvidia-tesla-2024-11?_gl=1*n9h555*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMDk4NTQ0OS4zNzUuMS4xNzMwOTg5NTM0LjM3LjAuMA..">biggest net-worth winners</a> on Wednesday as stocks surged.</li><li>There's a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/bonds/surging-treasury-yields-after-trump-win-show-borrowers-may-not-get-relief-2024-11?_gl=1*zwkckg*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMDk4NTQ0OS4zNzUuMS4xNzMwOTg5NjAyLjMxLjAuMA..">big warning sign</a> for consumers flashing as stocks surge.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li>Oil futures fell. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti">West Texas Intermediate crude</a> dipped 0.5% to $71.30 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, fell 0.4% to $74.62 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> rose 0.8% to $2,697.40 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield slipped three basis points to 4.396%.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> edged up to $74,891. </li></ul>

Stock market today: Stocks edge higher after huge rally as traders await Fed decision

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks ended Monday mostly higher, led by a surge in Tesla on the potential for easing autonomous vehicle rules.</li><li>The Nasdaq 100 rebounded after a more than 3% drop last week, which was partly influenced by the Fed's interest-rate outlook.</li></ul>US stocks traded mostly higher on Monday, partly driven by a surge in <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/tsla-stock">Tesla.</a>Tesla stock jumped as much as 9% after <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-stock-price-trump-reportedly-relaxing-self-driving-rules-tsla-2024-11">a report said</a> the incoming Trump administration was planning to ease regulations on autonomous vehicles.The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_100">Nasdaq 100</a> led the market higher, ending a five-day losing streak, while the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> gained slightly and the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones">Dow Jones</a> edged lower.The gains in the Nasdaq on Monday come after last week's more-than-3% decline, which was exacerbated by comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.Powell said in a Thursday speech that the Fed can take its time in lowering interest rates.Investors are now pricing in a 59% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut at December's Fed meeting, down from 80% before Powell's comments, according to the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">CME FedWatch tool</a>.Investors' top concerns this week include Nvidia's third-quarter earnings report, which is due after the market closes on Wednesday.For economic data, traders will be paying attention to housing starts and building permits, which are due out Tuesday morning. That will be followed by existing home sales and initial jobless claims, which are set to be released Thursday morning.Here's where US indexes stood at the 4 p.m. closing bell on Monday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,893.62, up 0.4%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 43,389.60, down 0.1% (55 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,791.81, up 0.6%</li></ul>Here's what else happened today:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-election-win-high-inflation-risk-tariffs-deportations-taxes-2024-11">The stock market's Trump honeymoon is starting to turn sour</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/read-spirit-airlines-open-letter-customers-bankruptcy-keep-flying-booking-2024-11">Spirit Airlines filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Monday.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-blackwell-chip-ai-overheating-delay-share-price-2024-11">Nvidia's next-gen Blackwell GPU chip has reportedly hit an overheating snag.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/inflation-fed-rate-cuts-outlook-economy-trump-tariffs-tax-cuts-2024-11">Watch these 4 signs of re-inflation ahead of Trump's second administration.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-morgan-stanley-mike-wilson-bullish-11-upside-2024-11">Morgan Stanley strategist Mike Wilson turned bullish on stocks, issuing a 2025 year-end price target of 6,500 for the S&amp;P 500.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-stock-price-trump-reportedly-relaxing-self-driving-rules-tsla-2024-11">Uber shares fell 5% following concerns that a Tesla autonomous vehicle network could impact its business negatively.</a></li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil rose 3.32% to $69.14 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was higher by 3.18% to $73.30 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> increased 1.66% to $2,612.70 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield dropped 2 basis points to 4.422%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> gained 1.58% to $91,300.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Tesla powers tech rally as Nasdaq snaps 5-day skid

<ul class="summary-list"><li>A contrarian sell signal recently flashed in the stock market, according to Bank of America.</li><li>The drop below 4% in cash allocations suggests aggressive stock market investing, BofA said.</li></ul>A sell signal in the stock market just flashed for the first time since February 2021, according to a note from <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/bac-stock">Bank of America.</a>The bank's fund manager survey revealed that cash allocations dropped to 3.9% from 4.2%, representing the lowest level since February 2021.According to the bank, a drop below the 4% level for cash allocations is a sell signal. It's a contrarian sign, as it typically flashes when investors aggressively invest in the stock market with low cash levels.The sell signal has typically preceded weak returns in the short term."Since 2011, there have been 11 prior 'sell' signals which saw global equity returns of -2.5% in the 1 month after and -0.8% in the 3 months after the 'sell' signal was triggered," Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett said.The sell signal from Bank of America flashes at a time when stocks are trading near record highs. And investors are exhibiting very bullish behavior, according to the note."The biggest jump in investor optimism since Jun'20 on Fed cuts, China stimulus, soft landing," Hartnett said, adding that "froth" is on the rise.Fueling the optimism is expectations that the global economy is on a solid footing and ready to grow in the years ahead. The survey saw global growth expectations rise from -47% to -10%, representing the 5th largest jump since 1994.Meanwhile, 76% of institutional investors surveyed by the bank see a probability of a "soft landing" in the economy, while the prevailing alternative scenario is a "no landing" rather than a "hard landing."The main difference between a soft landing and a hard landing in the economy is how fast the economy will grow going forward rather than contract in a hard landing scenario.As to potential risks in the market, investors are most worried about geopolitical conflicts, which rose to 33% from 19% last month. Other risks on the radar of investors include an increase in inflation and a potential recession.Finally, the most crowded trade continues to be long the Magnificent Seven mega-cap tech stocks, according to the survey."Long Magnificent 7 is considered the most crowded trade (per 43% of investors) followed by #2 long gold (17%), and #3 long China equities (14%)," Hartnett said.

The stock market just flashed a sell signal not seen since February 2021, Bank of America says

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks climbed higher as traders took in inflation figures from October that were in-line with estiamtes.</li><li>Consumer prices rose 2.6% on a yearly basis last month and 0.2% for the month. </li></ul>US stocks ticked higher on Wednesday as traders took in fresh <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/inflation-october-cpi-consumer-price-index-federal-reserve-interest-rates-2024-11">inflation figures</a>, which were in line with economists' expectations. Major indexes edged up in early-morning trading, while bond yields slumped.Consumer prices grew 0.2% in the month of October and 2.6% on a year-over-year basis. The increase was <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/inflation-september-cpi-consumer-price-index-federal-reserve-interest-rates-2024-10">slightly hotter</a> than last month's 2.4% price growth, but in line with expectations, which kept investors hopeful that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its December meeting. Expectations for another 25 basis point rate cut in December solidified. Markets are pricing in a 82% chance the Fed will trim its target rate by another quarter-point, up from a 59% yesterday, according to the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">CME FedWatch tool</a>."Given nervousness around the more inflationary aspects of Trump's policy proposals, markets appeared primed for an upside inflation surprise today," Seema Shah, the chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, said in a note. "A December cut is still in the cards," she added.Still, the rise in the overall inflation rate makes the outlook for future Fed cuts uncertain, according to Skyler Weinand, the chief investment officer of Regan Capital."With Wednesday's CPI in line with expectations, but still stubbornly above the Fed's 2% goal, the Fed may have only one rate cut left in December before taking a pause from their easing path," Weinand said in a note.He continued: "The incredible move in the stock market postelection has effectively eased financial conditions for stock investors. This easing, combined with incoming fiscal stimulus, may warrant a pause on rate cuts by the Fed in the near future to allow the dust to settle and to process more incoming data."Assets that are part of the Trump Trade appeared to remain in-focus on Wednesday, with shares of Tesla rising as much as 3% while Dogecoin climbed 4% after <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-trump-tesla-spacex-x-department-government-efficiency-jobs-2024-11">Elon Musk was appointed</a> to co-head Trump's newly created Department of Government Efficiency, along with entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy.Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Wednesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,988.06, up 0.07%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 43,988.08, up 0.18% (+77.10 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 19,285.65, up 0.03% </li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-top-performing-asset-2025-bull-rally-trump-2024-11">Stock exposure is at an 11-year high</a> after the election as investors see US stocks as the top-performing asset next year, BofA said. </li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-biggest-risk-trump-win-china-trade-war-2024-11">The biggest risk to stocks</a> after Trump's election victory is China's reaction to a trade war, according to one research firm.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/dogecoin-price-market-value-ford-crypto-boom-trump-elon-musk-2024-11">Dogecoin surpassed Ford in value</a> as Trump's election win propelled the total crypto market cap to $3 trillion.</li><li>Here are <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-rally-trump-trade-outlook-risks-inflation-yields-dollar-2024-11">3 risks that could derail the Trump trade in stocks</a>, according to Morgan Stanley.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil declined 1.07% to $67.39 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was lower by 0.92% to $71.23 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> edged up 0.61% to $2,612.10 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield dropped six basis points to 4.365%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> climbed 4.29% to $89,642.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Indexes edge higher after tame October inflation report

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Stocks tumbled sharply on Thursday, dragged down by tech. </li><li>Microsoft and Meta stock dropped on renewed concerns over AI spending. </li></ul>US stocks fell sharply on Thursday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq sliding almost 3% as Meta and Microsoft faced steep losses.The tech sell-off was sparked by the latest earnings from mega-cap firms that mostly exceeded estimates but disappointed investors in other areas and exacerbated concerns about heavy investment in artificial intelligence. The S&amp;P 500 dropped almost 2% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost more than 370 points. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Thursday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,705.37, down 1.86% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 41,763.19, down 0.9% (-378.35 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,095.15, down 2.76%</li></ul>Much of the disappointment came down to the tech giants' guidance. Microsoft said it expects the current quarter's revenue to come in between $68.1 billion and $69.1 billion, while analysts polled by FactSet had expected $69.89 billion. The company attributed the slowdown partially to its investment in cloud computing capacity for AI demand.Microsoft's stock fell 6% to close at $406.35. Meta, meanwhile, said it expects a ramp up in capital expenditures in the next year as it continues to spend on AI, and raised its capex forecast for this year to a range of $38 billion to $40 billion, from $37 billion to $40 billion.Analysts from UBS, though, remain positive that the increased spend will deliver."While Meta continues to signal a significant increase in CapEx for 2025, the results also highlighted multiple offsets to illustrate what the investments will start to bring - as we have been calling out previously, the easiest item to observe is the absolute step up in revenue dollar growth in 2024 which stands at ~$28B currently and nearly matching the Pandemic-driven acceleration from 2021 of ~$29B," the analysts wrote in a Thursday note.Meta's shares lost 4% to close at %567.68. Also on Thursday, investors digested the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. The personal consumption expenditures index cooled to 2.1% year over year in September from 2.2% in August, but the core index—which excludes volatile food and energy prices—came in higher than forecasts at 2.7%.Jobless claims, meanwhile, fell by more than expected to 216,000 last week, a fall of 12,000 from the week prior. Economists had expected 230,000 claims.Here's what else is going on:<ul><li>3 reasons why surging gold prices will <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/gold-price-record-outlook-3-reasons-continued-rally-goldman-sachs-2024-10">climb another 8%</a> by the end of 2025, according to Goldman Sachs.</li><li>AI hype is a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-crash-prediction-ai-artificial-intelligence-bubble-jeremy-grantham-2024-10?_gl=1*jsb4bv*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMDQwMDU1MC4zNDQuMS4xNzMwNDAxMDQ5LjIuMC4w">bubble set to burst</a> as it follows the path of tech manias throughout history, legendary investor Jeremy Grantham says.</li><li>Coinbase CEO says next Congress will be the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/election-crypto-political-funding-pac-coinbase-ceo-trump-harris-congress-2024-10?_gl=1*1rwo0ws*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMDQwMDU1MC4zNDQuMS4xNzMwNDAxMDcwLjQzLjAuMA..">"most pro-crypto" ever</a> and pledges another $25 million in political funding.</li><li>Microstrategy is <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/microstrategy-bitcoin-michael-saylor-crypto-btc-record-high-mstr-2024-10?_gl=1*iiycnz*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMDQwMDU1MC4zNDQuMS4xNzMwNDAxMDk5LjE0LjAuMA..">raising $42 billion</a> — almost its entire market value — to buy more bitcoin.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li>Oil futures were up. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti">West Texas Intermediate crude</a> rose 2.8% to $70.53 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, climbed 0.8% to $73.17 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> rose slipped 1.6% to $2,756 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury was about flat at 4.278%.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> traded around $70,000. </li></ul>

Stock market today: Microsoft, Meta drag tech stocks lower on concerns over AI spending

<ul class="summary-list"><li>The postelection rally staggered on Tuesday as bond yields spiked.</li><li>Some parts of the Trump trade continued to gain, such as bitcoin and the US dollar.</li></ul>The five-day election rally sputtered on Tuesday as the market turned its attention toward incoming economic data.Some parts of the Trump trade maintained momentum, with crypto and FX traders cheering on the president-elect's policies. But while <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">bitcoin</a> and the US dollar continued to push higher, equity indexes retreated <a target="_blank" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-11/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-live-updates?srnd=phx-markets">Monday's closing highs</a>.The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost nearly 350 points after hitting a record high over 44,000 in the previous session. The post-election rally in financials and small-caps also stumbled.Hurting the Trump bump on Tuesday was the surge in bond yields. The 10-year Treasury yield spiked aggressively, surging 13 basis points. The sharp rise comes a day ahead of October's consumer inflation report. Wall Street is eyeing for any upside price surprise, which could unwind interest rate cut outlooks.Economists expect a 2.5% year-over-year jump in Wednesday's CPI data, compared to a rise of 2.4% in the prior month."The inflation numbers might tick up a little this week as some areas like transportation, consumer durables, and rent have been harder to get under control. After steady progress, we might be leveling off, but the Fed has made progress toward their target," said Scott Helfstein, Global X head of investment strategy. "There is no reason to believe that one month of data will change the Fed strategy, and a 25 bp cut in December remains the base case."Still, the market indicates a 37.9% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady next month. Trump's policies are expected to have a potentially inflationary impact, and the market is debating whether interest rates will remain higher for longer as the Fed is again forced to confront rising prices."Inflation is not tamed," Apollo's co-president Scott Kleinman told <a target="_blank" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2024-11-12/apollo-s-scott-kleinman-says-inflation-is-not-tamed-video">Bloomberg TV</a>. "The Fed can say what it wants. You just have to open your eyes and look around."Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Tuesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,983.99, down 0.29% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 43,910.98, down 0.86% (-382.15 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 19,281.40, down 0.09% </li></ul>Here's what else happened today:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-trump-rally-economy-interest-rates-inflation-david-rosenberg-2024-11?_gl=1*1p9ha58*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTQ0MTEzMi44MjQuMS4xNzMxNDQyODAzLjYwLjAuMA..">The postelection rally is disconnected from fundamentals,</a> David Rosenberg said.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/dogecoin-price-market-value-ford-crypto-boom-trump-elon-musk-2024-11?_gl=1*1r8abo1*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTQ0MTEzMi44MjQuMS4xNzMxNDQyODYzLjYwLjAuMA..">Dogecoin is worth more than Ford as Trump's win propels total crypto market cap to $3 trillion.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-stock-elon-musk-political-influence-trump-ai-autonomous-2024-11?_gl=1*1nao6vg*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTQ0MTEzMi44MjQuMS4xNzMxNDQyOTU2LjYwLjAuMA..">Tesla stock could soar 50% amid Elon Musk's new political influence</a>, Morgan Stanley says.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/hertz-stock-price-tesla-ev-fleet-q3-earnings-profit-revenue-2024-11?_gl=1*1phxwrx*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTQ0MTEzMi44MjQuMS4xNzMxNDQzMDMyLjU4LjAuMA..">Hertz's failed Tesla bet weighs down its earnings, tanking shares in the car rental company.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-policies-economy-recession-inflation-stock-market-outlook-nouriel-roubini-2024-11">"Dr. Doom" Nouriel Roubini warns of stagflation under Trump's policies.</a></li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil inched up 0.21% to $68.18 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, increased by 0.17% to $71.95 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> was shed 0.5% hitting $2,604.7 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield spiked 13 basis points to 4.441%</li></ul><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Bitcoin</a> rose 2.79% to $89,552.

Stock market today: Election rally stumbles as bond yields spike ahead of key inflation data

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Stock market gains will slow as key drivers like valuations and rates hit extremes, David Rosenberg said.</li><li>He said operating earnings would need to surge to fuel further market gains.</li></ul>The main drivers of significant stock market gains over the past three decades are nearing extremes, suggesting future returns will be significantly lower.That's according to economist David Rosenberg, who warned clients in a note on Wednesday to prepare for a period of limited appreciation in US equities."There are few drivers left to keep the equity party going," Rosenberg said.Rosenberg is particularly concerned about recent trends in valuations, interest rates, and taxes. According to Rosenberg, they've hit their extremes, which could put downward pressure on corporate earnings and, therefore, stock prices.These are the three factors Rosenberg is worried about.<h2 id="615bfa1f-cdd7-488e-abd7-4e265f0fe33f">Stock valuations</h2>The S&amp;P 500's forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.3x is more than one-standard deviation above its historical norm and represents the highest level since the height of the COVID-era tech bubble in 2021, Rosenberg noted.Those <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-crash-trump-trade-dot-com-bubble-sp500-smead-2024-11">high valuations,</a> combined with extreme bullish sentiment that's exceeded the levels seen right before the Great Financial Crisis, suggest to Rosenberg that there's little room for more upside in valuations."There is no space for further multiple expansion," Rosenberg said.Higher stock market valuations would largely hinge on continued growth in corporate earnings, but Rosenberg said there are reasons to believe that's unlikely. <h2 id="7355be83-3cb6-4311-86d7-0bf1c8a63ef0">Tax rates</h2>Corporate tax rates have been falling for decades, boosting corporate profits and helping drive stock prices higher.While the Trump trade hinges on potential legislation for <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-tax-cuts-tariffs-stock-market-sp500-inflation-china-trade-war-2024-11">the corporate tax rate to fall from 21% to 15%,</a> Rosenberg thinks that is unlikely."A razor-thin majority in the House and already low rates mean the runway is much shorter here as well," Rosenberg said.With the effective corporate tax rate at 17%, Rosenberg argues that there's little room for it to fall further, even with Republican control of the White House and Congress.<div type="image" title="Corporate tax rates have been falling" height="529" width="738" msid="115308221" hostid="261" sizebytes="24112"></div><h2 id="8145f461-f13b-43a5-ba3f-244cce5efcdd">Interest rates</h2>Falling interest rates have long helped fuel stock market gains, but that trend could be nearing its end.While the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates, they're already near historical lows, suggesting there isn't much room for them to fall further, especially if President-elect <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-election-win-high-inflation-risk-tariffs-deportations-taxes-2024-11">Trump's agenda is inflationary.</a>"Interest rates, though higher than the 2021 lows, still are at the lower end of the historic range. The current 10-year Treasury yield, at 4.3%, is less than half of the 10.6% average in the 1980s," Rosenberg said.<div type="image" title="A chart of falling interest rates" height="559" width="701" msid="115308224" hostid="261" sizebytes="32478"></div>Taken together, Rosenberg said the stock market is unlikely to see significant gains going forward unless operating earnings, which exclude the impact of taxes and interest expenses, rise significantly."Combined with an increasingly cost-conscious consumer and net profit margins at the higher end of the historical range, generating higher margins looks like a tough task," Rosenberg said.He added: "All three current levers of price returns are close to maxing out."

You Searched For "stock market outlook 2021" and got 13 results

Stock market today: Indexes trade mixed as investors assess rate outlook after new inflation data

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Chief strategists project their outlooks on stocks, bonds, currencies, and gold amid a Trump victory

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Stock market today: Stocks extend post-election rally as the Fed cuts interest rates

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Stock market today: Tesla powers tech rally as Nasdaq snaps 5-day skid

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The stock market just flashed a sell signal not seen since February 2021, Bank of America says

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Stock market today: Indexes edge higher after tame October inflation report

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Stock market today: Microsoft, Meta drag tech stocks lower on concerns over AI spending

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Stock market today: Election rally stumbles as bond yields spike ahead of key inflation data

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3 drivers of the stock market's bull rally are hitting extremes and point to lower returns ahead, economist says

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