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Stock markets all over the world, including Sensex, Nifty, Nikkei, and NASDAQ fell significantly today, as they reacted to weak US labor market data, with unemployment rates inching up to 4.3%, from 4.1% in July 2024. In response, the Nikkei 225 dipped around 4,451 points, witnessing the worst losses it has seen since 1987. On the other hand, the Sensex plunged over 2,000 points, and the NASDAQ also slipped 417.98 points. Nifty also closed the day at 24,055.60, down by 2.68%. Closer home, the D-Street mayhem wiped of Rs 15 lakh crore worth of investor wealth in a single day. While this might spook even seasoned investors, should this bloodbath drive you to exit the market, or is it time for you to go on a quality stock buying spree? Here's what the experts have to say <h2>Market corrections = Opportunities </h2>Vinnaayak Mehta, Founder, The Infinity Group, a personal finance consultancy says that given the current market downturn, it is important for investors to stay calm, and not make any hasty decisions. "Market corrections can offer opportunities to buy quality stocks at more attractive valuations. Investors should take this time to evaluate their portfolios, focusing on long-term goals and strong fundamentals rather than short-term <keyword id="19908008" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="volatility" source="keywords">volatility</keyword>. This period of correction may present a chance to reassess asset allocations and consider strategic adjustments", he says. <h2>Expect low returns in the short run</h2> Mr. Sandeep Bagla, CEO of Trust Mutual Funds advises investors to keep their return expectations low and realistic, at least in the short run. Invest only if you have a suitably long <keyword id="19895437" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="investment" source="keywords">investment</keyword> horizon. This will help you go through an imminent, upcoming market correction, along with helping you tide over periods of volatility in the interim. "Markets like India, where domestic economy is like more resilient than other economies, could be less affected in the mayhem. However, you should keep systematically investing in the stock markets, and not hit brakes on your investments. Stay invested to reap benefits from growth over the long term", he explains. <h2>Indians markets are relatively safe </h2>As per Siddharth Alok, AVP Investments, Multi Ark Wealth-Epsilon Money Group, investors should consider buying in these dips, but only if their investing horizon is over 3 years. "As valuations further rise, these sudden down moves might become more frequent. Equity markets returns are never linear. However, the direct impact on Indian markets remains limited; this can be seen from the overall relative strength that domestic markets are witnessing, while <keyword id="19908188" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="global-markets" source="keywords">global markets</keyword> are down 10-20%, Indian markets are hardly down 5% including today from their recent peaks", highlights Alok. <h2>Invested heavily in small and mid caps? Time to move </h2> During any market corrections, mid and small caps are the first in line of fire. Given that both of these segments are far more volatile, as compared to their stable, large-cap counterparts, the impact of a correction is far more visible on small cap and mid cap stocks. As Jay Shah, Founder &amp; CEO, Finwisor puts it, "when the markets are at rich valuations, the markets become fragile and look for opportunities to correct. The correction generally happens disproportionately-more in small caps and less in large caps". Amidst today's rout, while Nifty50, an index of India's top 50 companies by market capitalization stumbled about 2.68%, Nifty midcap 50 was down by 3.28%, while midcap 100 plunged by 3.55%. Going a step ahead, Nifty small cap 100, a larger universe of just small cap stocks, dipped by 4.57%. In such a situation, Shah suggests that long-term investors who are sticking to their asset allocation strategies should sit still, while those who are heavily invested in midcaps and small caps should move their investments large-cap stocks. And in case one is sitting on idle cash, this is a good time to start deploying their funds in the market.

Stock market crash: What should your next move be?

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Interest rates and stock returns are expected to decline, impacting investment strategies.</li><li>Historically, stocks and bonds have alternated in performance, affecting portfolio decisions.</li></ul>A diversified investing strategy means a split between stocks and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/what-is-a-bond">bonds</a>, at minimum. But for the better part of the last two decades, interest rates were near zero, and real returns in bonds were lacking.Still, investors added them to their portfolios because history has shown us that asset classes can zig and zag, with long <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-and-bond-market-correlation-normal-2014-2">periods of stock market outperformance</a> relative to bonds and intervals where that dynamic flipped.The last two years were great for both asset classes. Elevated rates put the bond market back on investors' minds, while the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> had a solid 26% total return. But depending on who you ask, the future may not be as bright.Yields will be less attractive as the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/interest-rate-cuts-federal-reserve-election-jerome-powell-inflation-jobs-2024-11#:~:text=The%20Fed%20cut%20interest%20rates,country%20recovered%20from%20the%20pandemic.">Fed begins its rate cuts</a> for this cycle. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs expects stock-market returns to be muted for the coming decade. The S&amp;P 500 is predicted to see a mere 3% annualized return over the next 10 years, which could lag the 10-year Treasury at an expected 4% yield, according to a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-to-beat-stock-market-returns-next-decade-goldman-sachs-2024-10">recent note</a> by the investment bank's chief US equity strategist David Kostin.If the bears are right, investors may be forced to take on more risk for returns. Sounds gloomy, but for bond traders like Mark Rieder, who has over two decades of experience in the sector, it could be an opportunity to dig for bargains in corporate credit.Generating alpha for a credit trader could mean beating a peer, a Bloomberg fixed income index that matches the category of bonds traded, or simply remaining in positive territory in terms of total returns when the market is down, Rieder told Business Insider."Over the past 10 years, when interest rates were very low, it was not an exciting time to be a credit analyst and a portfolio manager," Rieder said. "But it's much more interesting today, and I'm really excited about that."However, active debt investing takes a good level of skill and consistent effort to make the right credit selection, according to his new book, "Reminiscences of a Bond Operator." Like the stock-picking process, following the crowd or consensus won't result in alpha. A credit trader must conduct the same level of fundamental analysis and dig into a company's balance sheet, earnings calls, 10Qs, and 10Ks, among other things, to determine valuation."I've always believed that a good credit analyst is also a really good equity analyst because you really need to understand the capital structure of the companies that you're evaluating and all of their different needs," Rieder said. "Most companies want to have their stock price go up, and so as a credit analyst, you need to understand that so that you can understand what their motivations are."It's especially important now, as the credit space faces its own set of challenges. Like the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/are-we-in-a-recession">business cycle</a>, credit has its booms and busts based on macro conditions and supply and demand. In a strong economic environment, corporate cash flows rise, and companies increase borrowing with favorable lending terms. But when times are tight, companies deleverage until their debt is less than their cash flow. Once that equilibrium is satisfied, more borrowing ensues, according to his book.Rieder said credit is in the boom part of the cycle. This might sound surprising, considering debt has been expensive for the better part of the last two years. But most companies were locked into low yields before rates rose, he noted. As debt turnover increases, investors need to be cautious."There's a lag impact on the increase in rates. Most companies borrow for long periods of time, five years, 10 years," Rieder said. "A lot of companies issued debt when interest rates were very low. They're now only starting to refinance that low-coupon debt. That, in turn, is what causes an impact."He doesn't expect that the Fed's cutting cycle will mitigate the crunch. The central bank can impact front-end yields, but the back end is driven by additional considerations, he noted. The 10-year rose to 4.3% shortly after the first rate cut of September, a signal that <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/us-election-forecast-most-accurate-economist-predicts-outcome-economic-impact-2024-10">investors were looking ahead</a> at other economic risk factors, including concerns over the government's ballooning deficit, he added. Additionally, economic conditions such as elevated credit card debt pose concerns for future corporate profits.<h2 id="101d0bc7-10c7-46f9-a758-eea160588283">Trading credit</h2>Right now, investment-grade credit spreads are tight. The yields in corporate bonds aren't much higher than in government bonds, meaning less compensation for more risk. But if we move from the boom to the bust phase, credit spreads could widen, and that could create opportunities in the credit space, he said.While spreads are tight, he prefers front-end yield or pairing trades with cheap optionality. The cost of shorting a credit index like the CDX Investment Grade 5-Year Index, a credit-default-swap index that tracks the credit risk of large US investment-grade companies, is low. And since spreads are trading at historically tight levels, it's less likely to get much lower, which could limit potential losses, he said. This position can then be paired with a trade expected to perform positively.An example he provides of a market-neutral pair trade could look like buying a corporate bond in a sector with structural tailwinds, such as a natural gas producer set to benefit from increased demand and rising energy prices, or airplane lessors who benefit from higher lease rates due to a tight aircraft supply — a situation that's unlikely to ease in the near term because of production challenges faced by manufacturers. Then, take a short position in an interest-rate future to hedge against the bond's interest-rate risk."This trade works if natural gas prices remain stable or rise, leading the energy bond to outperform the overall corporate bond market," Rieder said. "It's an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the current tight credit spread conditions and complacency in the overall credit market."Having liquidity can also give you an upper hand. As spreads widen, investors may be forced into selling higher-quality credit because they can't offload the lower-quality ones, he said."There are huge opportunities in credit if you remain liquid during dislocations," Rieder said. "Other investors are going to be looking for liquidity. They can't sell what they want to, so they sell what they can, and that can lead to opportunities to buy cheap assets."

A veteran bond operator shares an alpha-generating strategy for dropping yields and muted stock-market returns

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Another market plunge could impact US GDP growth and Fed policy, according to Goldman Sachs.</li><li>The bank estimated that a 10% stock market sell-off could reduce US GDP growth by 45 basis points over the next year.</li></ul>"The stock market is not the economy" is a common refrain on Wall Street. However, according to <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/gs-stock?miRedirects=1">Goldman Sachs</a>, the stock market can, in fact, have a direct impact on the economy, and the Federal Reserve should pay close attention to it."Since the July employment report last Friday, the equity market has sold off about 5% and the 10-year Treasury rate has fallen 21bp. Our financial conditions index (FCI) growth impulse model implies that the changes in these and other asset classes will reduce GDP growth over the next year by roughly 12bp on net," economists at Goldman Sachs wrote in a note this week. While the risk of <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-crash-picks-up-recession-fears-carry-trade-unwind-2024-8">the recent stock market decline</a> "so far looks limited" for the broader economy, an extended decline in stock prices could negatively impact the economy and influence what the Fed does with interest rates, according to the bank.Goldman Sachs estimated that for every additional 10% sell-off in the stock market, US GDP growth would be reduced by 45 basis points over the next year."If we include the moves in other asset classes that usually accompany equity market selloff when growth fears arise, the total hit is around 85bp," Goldman Sachs said.With US GDP growth sitting above 2%, it would take a further 20%+ sell-off for the stock market to singlehandedly push the economy into a recession, the bank argued.The reason <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-crash-picks-up-recession-fears-carry-trade-unwind-2024-8">a sharp stock market decline</a> can have such a sizable impact on the economy is mostly due to the wealth effect, which suggests consumers will rein in their spending as they see the value of their investment accounts decline sharply, and vice versa when their investment portfolios substantially rise in value.The potential for a further stock market decline could have an impact on the Fed's monetary policy, according to the bank."We suspect that the bar to push the Fed to cut more quickly would be much lower, both because policymakers are likely to err on the side of caution, especially starting from a point where the funds rate is unnecessarily high, and because the current level of financial conditions already assumes that the FOMC will ease policy by more than what was priced in a few days ago," Goldman Sachs said.Since <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-vix-increase-decline-growth-scare-tom-lee-2024-8">the surge in stock market volatility on Monday,</a> market commentators like Wharton professor <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-crash-fed-rate-cuts-economy-recssion-inflation-powell-2024-8">Jeremy Siegel said the Fed should implement an emergency 75 basis point interest rate cut,</a> followed by another 75 basis point interest rate cut in September.Such sharp interest rate cuts would help consumers with lower costs of debt, and it could unfreeze the housing market.But with the S&amp;P 500 only down 7% from its record high, Goldman Sachs says that's not a big enough drawdown for the Fed to step in."While market stress is noticeably higher than a week ago, our FSI suggests that there are no serious market disruptions to date that would force policymakers to intervene," Goldman Sachs said.

Why the Fed does have to worry about the stock market's impact on the economy, according to Goldman Sachs

<keyword id="19938772" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Reliance-Industries-Ltd" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Reliance Industries Ltd" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Reliance Industries Ltd">Reliance Industries Ltd</keyword> on Monday reported an almost flat March quarter net profit, while its annual earnings hit a record high on the back of a recovery in its core oil and petrochemicals business and sustained momentum across the consumer-facing telecom and retail businesses. The oil-to-telecom-and-retail conglomerate's consolidated net profit stood at Rs 18,951 crore, or Rs 28.01 per share, in January-March quarter of the 2023-24 fiscal compared to Rs 19,299 crore, or Rs 28.52 a share, a year ago, according to a company's stock exchange filing. The profit was, however, higher quarter-on-quarter when compared to Rs 17,265 crore in October-December period. For the full fiscal FY24 (April 2023 to March 2024), Reliance posted a record net profit of Rs 69,621 crore as compared to Rs 66,702 crore earnings in the preceding financial year. Reliance also became the first Indian company to hit Rs 10 lakh crore turnover in FY24 when revenue from operations rose 2.6 per cent from Rs 9.74 lakh crore in 2022-23. The oil-to-chemicals (O2C) business, the main milch cow, posted a rise in profitability annually as well as sequentially, while retail business' earnings rose on new store openings despite lower footfalls. The firm helmed by billionaire <keyword id="19916798" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Mukesh-Ambani" source="keywords">Mukesh Ambani</keyword> saw telecom revenues soar as it outpaced competition in subscriber addition and data traffic. While quarterly EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) was up 14.3 per cent year-on-year to Rs 47,150 crore, registering growth across all businesses, the revenue from operations rose almost 11 per cent to Rs 2.64 lakh crore. The mainstay oil refining and petrochemicals business, called O2C, posted a 11 per cent rise in revenue and a 3 per cent higher EBITDA at Rs 16,777 crore in Q4. This was primarily because of "advantageous" sourcing of feedstock (crude oil) for refining business and use of ethane for making chemicals as well as higher domestic product placement, a company statement said, adding exports were down 8.5 per cent. With the consumer base swelling to 481.8 million from 470.9 million at the end of December on a flat per-user revenues of Rs 181.7, Reliance <keyword id="21397660" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Jio-Infocomm-Ltd" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Jio Infocomm Ltd" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Jio Infocomm Ltd">Jio Infocomm Ltd</keyword> - the digital services business - posted a 12 per cent rise in net profit at Rs 5,583 crore in the fourth quarter of FY24. Also, aiding the business was rise in data traffic to 40.9 billion GB in January-March from 38.1 billion GB in the preceding quarter. For the full year, Jio posted a profit of Rs 21,424 crore as compared to Rs 19,124 crore in FY23. Profits from the retail business climbed 11.7 per cent to Rs 2,698 crore as store count rose to 18,836 from 18,774. Store footfalls dropped to 272 million from 282 million in October-December 2023 but were higher than 219 million recorded in January-March 2023. Oil and gas EBITDA soared 47.5 per cent to Rs 5,606 crore as higher gas volumes partly offset lower price realisation. The firm's flagship KG-D6 block in Krishna Godavari basin in the Bay of Bengal is now producing about 30 million standard cubic metres per day of gas and 23,000 barrels a day of oil/condensate. The company said its outstanding debt rose to Rs 3.24 lakh crore from Rs 3.11 lakh crore in December-end. After accounting for cash in hand, net debt at Rs 1.16 lakh crore as on March 31 was lower than Rs 1.25 lakh crore a year back. Mukesh Ambani, Chairman and Managing Director of <keyword id="20076630" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="reliance-industries-limited" source="keywords">Reliance Industries Limited</keyword>, said all segments of business have posted a robust financial and operating performance. "This has helped the Company achieve multiple milestones. I am happy to share that this year, Reliance became the first Indian company to cross the Rs 1 lakh-crore threshold in pre-tax profits," he said. Performance of the digital services segment has been boosted by accelerated expansion of subscriber base, supported by both mobility and fixed wireless services, he said. "With over 108 million True 5G customers, Jio truly leads the 5G transformation in India." <keyword id="19901342" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="reliance-retail" source="keywords">Reliance Retail</keyword>, he said, continued to provide customers endless choices through its robust omni-channel presence. "We continue to offer product differentiation and superior offline experience through stores re-modelling and revamping of layouts. Our digital commerce platforms also provide newer solutions to users with a broad brand catalogue," Ambani said. Strong demand for fuels globally, and limited flexibility in refining system worldwide supported margins and profitability of the O2C segment. "Downstream chemical industry experienced increasingly challenging market conditions through the year. Despite headwinds, maintaining leading product positions and feedstock flexibility through our operating model that prioritises cost management, we delivered a resilient performance," he said. "We remain committed to our projects and initiatives, including those in the new energy segment, which will bolster the company, and help it deliver sustainable growth for the future," he added. SEE ALSO:<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/vodafone-idea-fpo-allotment-how-to-check-allotment-gmp-and-more/articleshow/109504341.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/vodafone-idea-fpo-allotment-how-to-check-allotment-gmp-and-more/articleshow/109504341.cms" target="_blank">Vodafone Idea FPO allotment – How to check allotment, GMP and more</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/mobile/news/google-pixel-8a-may-be-more-expensive-than-its-predecessor-as-per-a-new-leak/articleshow/109499394.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/mobile/news/google-pixel-8a-may-be-more-expensive-than-its-predecessor-as-per-a-new-leak/articleshow/109499394.cms" target="_blank">Google Pixel 8a may be more expensive than its predecessor, as per a new leak</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/sports/webstories/at-17-indian-chess-prodigy-d-gukesh-becomes-youngest-challenger-for-world-championship/slidelist/109492021.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/sports/webstories/at-17-indian-chess-prodigy-d-gukesh-becomes-youngest-challenger-for-world-championship/slidelist/109492021.cms" target="_blank">At 17, Indian chess prodigy D Gukesh becomes youngest challenger for World Championship</a>

Reliance Industries quarterly profit stays flat; annual earnings hit record at ₹69,621 crore

<ul class="summary-list"><li>UBS strategists say six out of eight signs of a stock market bubble are already flashing.</li><li>Generative AI hype has driven stock prices to record highs, raising bubble fears.</li></ul>There's been <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/category/stock-market-bubble">a lot of talk about the stock market being in a bubble</a> over the past year as hype for generative artificial intelligence drives stock prices to record highs.In a recent note from UBS, strategist Andrew Garthwaite outlined the eight warning signs of a stock market bubble — and according to Garthwaite, six of them are already flashing.That means the stock market isn't in a bubble yet, but could be soon."The upside risk is that we end up in a bubble. If we are in such a situation, then we believe it is similar to 1997 not 1999," Garthwaite said.That's important because stock market bubbles often lead to a painful 80% decline once it pops, but Garthwaite says we're not there just yet."We only invest for the bubble thesis if we are in 1997 not 1999 (which we think we are)," Garthwaite said.These are the eight stock market bubble warning signs, according to Garthwaite.<h3 id="27486235-8ce9-4051-a531-c63198c8e961">1. The end of a structural bull market - Flashed</h3><div type="image" title="stock market bubbles" height="395" width="1063" msid="110741712" hostid="261" sizebytes="24054"></div>"Bubbles tend to occur when historical equity returns have been very high relative to bond returns and thus investors extrapolate historical returns to be predictors of future returns - when in fact future returns, as shown by the ERP, are significantly below their norms," Garthwaite said.<h3 id="3cd5c168-ef11-4307-abe8-652655845155">2. When profits are under pressure - Flashed</h3><div type="image" title="stock market profits" height="454" width="702" msid="110741714" hostid="261" sizebytes="20622"></div>While S&amp;P 500 profits have been booming over the past year, there is another measure of corporate profits that should be monitored by investors.NIPA profits measure the profitability of all corporations, including private companies, and when those diverge with the profits of publicly traded companies, investors should take notice."We can see this if we look at the TMT period when the NIPA profits fell while stock market profits rose. The same was true in Japan in the late 1980s," Garthwaite said.<h3 id="799b4498-f7d8-4bc7-b2b0-dc2f22624f9d">3. Large loss of breadth - Flashed</h3><div type="image" title="stock market breadth" height="424" width="1066" msid="110741715" hostid="261" sizebytes="44298"></div>When the stock market is extremely concentrated in a handful of companies that are driving the bulk of the gains, that's a sign that breadth is weak.With record concentration in the mega-cap tech stocks, that is exactly what has been happening as the median stock fails to deliver strong returns."We can see this in particular if we look at the advance to decline line versus the S&amp;P 500 during the TMT period," Garthwaite said.<h3 id="2875069b-60c1-4696-82e7-083ae93ded71">4. Needs a 25-year gap from the prior bubble - Flashed</h3>"This enables a whole set of investors to believe 'it is different this time around' and develop theories that equities should be on a structurally lower ERP," Garthwaite said.<h3 id="f943b2e0-bd08-4554-8ae2-086147ea79f7">5. Has a 25-year gap from prior bubble - Flashed</h3><div type="image" title="Stock market bubbles since 1921" height="494" width="700" msid="110741716" hostid="261" sizebytes="16662"></div>"This narrative either revolves around dominance or more typically technology. In the 19th century there was a bubble associated with railways and in the 20th century there was a bubble in the run-up to 1929 which was associated with the mass production of cars, electrification of cities and the radio," Garthwaite said.<h3 id="4cd5c42e-b4a0-4a5c-81b5-72e6c3553a39">6. Retail starts to participate aggressively - Flashed</h3>When retail investors aggressively buy into the stock market, it allows the equity risk premium to fall to very low levels, leading to sky-high valuations."There is some evidence of this such as the bull/bear ratio of individual investors being very high relative to its norm," Garthwaite said.<h3 id="3ea343ee-94bf-4a99-8c8b-94cc6a3e3cfb">7. Monetary policy being too loose - Hasn't flashed</h3>Previous bubbles occurred when real interest rates were allowed to fall in a big way. That hasn't happened yet, as the Federal Reserve has yet to cut interest rates."Current monetary conditions look abnormally tight versus the output gap," Garthwaite said.<h3 id="78fd612a-3310-42f9-a907-ae2d84c062da">8. Extended period of limited declines - Hasn't flashed</h3>Previous stock market bubbles saw a multi-year period of limited sell-offs of less than 20%.With the S&amp;P 500 experiencing a painful bear market in 2022 and selling off more than 25% at its low, there could be a long way to go before this condition is met.

There are 8 warning signs of a stock market bubble and 6 of them have already flashed, UBS says       

<ul><li>The deal, announced in September last year, has received the <keyword id="139820" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="competition-commission" source="Orion">Competition Commission</keyword> of <keyword id="3658" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="india" source="Orion">India</keyword>'s nod. </li><li>The deal remains subject to applicable regulatory and other approvals, <keyword id="353090" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="zeel" source="Orion">ZEEL</keyword> said.</li><li>The combined entity will own over 70 TV channels, 2 video streaming services (ZEE5 and <keyword id="6358540" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="sony" source="Orion">Sony</keyword> LIV) and two film studios (<keyword id="3415325" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="zee-studios" source="Orion">Zee Studios</keyword> and Sony Pictures Films India). </li></ul> The Competition Commission on Tuesday gave its conditional approval to the mega-merger deal between Sony and <keyword id="6372205" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="zee" source="Orion">Zee</keyword> that will create one of the largest media groups in the country. The deal, announced in September last year, has received the Competition Commission of India's nod after the regulator accepted "voluntary remedies" proposed by the parties, sources close to the development said. In a tweet, the watchdog said it has cleared the deal with certain modifications. CCI said it has approved the "amalgamation of <keyword id="1417408" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="zee-entertainment-enterprises-limited" source="Orion">Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited</keyword> (ZEEL) and Bangla Entertainment Private Limited (BEPL) with Culver Max Entertainment Private Limited (<keyword id="55015" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="cme" source="Orion">CME</keyword>), with certain modifications". Details about the proposed modifications could not be immediately ascertained. CCI had issued show cause notices to the parties after it initially concluded that the deal could have an adverse impact on competition, the sources said. Subsequently, the parties proposed voluntary remedies, which have been accepted by the regulator, they added. ZEEL said CCI has granted the approval in phase-1 after evaluating the official legal and economic submissions made by the company. Most of the deals get cleared by CCI in phase-1 and only if there are serious concerns then the deal concerned is put up for public scrutiny under phase 2. "Considering the immense value which the proposed merger will generate for all its stakeholders, the company has offered the necessary remedies in accordance with the regulator's guidelines," ZEEL said, adding that further details are awaited. On September 7, the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) had advised the company to convene and conduct the meeting with its shareholders on October 14 to seek their approval for the proposed merger. The deal remains subject to applicable regulatory and other approvals, ZEEL said. In a separate statement, Sony Pictures Networks India said it is delighted to receive CCI approval for the merger. "We will now await remaining regulatory approvals to finally launch the new merged company. The merged company will create extraordinary value for Indian consumers and eventually lead the consumer transition from traditional pay TV into the digital future," it said. Culver Max Entertainment Private Limited was earlier known as Sony Pictures Networks India Pvt Ltd. Deals beyond certain thresholds require the approval of CCI, which keeps a tab on unfair business practices and also promotes fair competition in the marketplace. Both parties had entered into a definitive agreement for the deal in December last year and the proposed merger has already received approval from stock exchanges NSE and BSE. ZEEL, in September 2021, said it has entered into a non-binding term sheet with SPNI to bring together their linear networks, digital assets, production operations and programme libraries. The combined entity will own over 70 TV channels, 2 video streaming services (ZEE5 and Sony LIV) and two film studios (Zee Studios and Sony Pictures Films India), making it the largest entertainment network in India, ZEEL said in September last year. Under the deal, there will be amalgamation of ZEE and BEPL with CME. Besides, preferential allotment of certain shares will be made by CME to Sunbright International Holdings Limited, earlier known as Essel Holdings Limited, and Sunbright Mauritius Investments Limited, according to a release issued by CCI. CME is an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Sony Group Corporation (SGC). CME has several general entertainment channels, film, sports and kids' entertainment channels in India. SonyLIV is CME's digital entertainment video service which provides OTT services in India and international markets. CME reaches out to over 700 million viewers in India and is available in 167 countries. BEPL is an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of SGC and a part of the SGC Group. It is broadly engaged in the acquisition of rights for motion pictures, events and other TV cont ent; and in generating advertising revenue from the telecast of TV content. ZEE is a media and entertainment company, with presence across the segments of broadcasting, digital content, movies, music and live entertainment, spread over 190 countries, as per the release. ZEE5 is the company's digital entertainment video service which provides OTT services in India and international markets. SEE ALSO: <a target="_blank" class="c-link c-message_attachment__title_link" href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/telecom/news/reliance-jio-to-begin-beta-trial-of-5g-in-four-cities-on-dussehra-with-unlimited-data/articleshow/94645577.cms">Reliance Jio to begin beta trial of 5G in four cities on Dussehra with unlimited data</a> <a target="_blank" class="c-link c-message_attachment__title_link" href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/with-950-billionaires-asia-outnumbers-all-other-regions-forbes/articleshow/94644883.cms">With 950 billionaires, Asia outnumbers all other regions: Forbes</a> <a target="_blank" class="c-link c-message_attachment__title_link" href="https://www.businessinsider.in/entertainment/15-ott-releases-to-watch-this-festive-season-starring-madhuri-dixit-hasan-minhaj-and-more/articleshow/94640843.cms">15 OTT releases to watch this festive season starring Madhuri Dixit, Hasan Minhaj and more</a>

Competition Commission gives conditional approval to Sony-Zee merger deal

<ul class="summary-list"><li>GameStop's meme-stock rally officially ended on Friday after the company announced plans to sell 45 million shares.</li><li>The struggling video game retailer also said it expects a 29% decline in first-quarter revenue compared to last year.</li></ul>It was fun while it lasted. This week's <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/meme-stock-rally-gamestop-amc-short-squeeze-gains-blackberry-sunpower-2024-5">meme-stock rally that sent shares of GameStop surging</a> as much 271% is done. <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/gme-stock?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">GameStop</a> stock plunged as much as 29% on Friday to $19.70, down 70% from its intra-day high on Tuesday, and trading at the levels seen last Friday before the @TheRoaringKitty X account <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/meme-stock-explosion-suspicious-option-trading-activity-gamestop-amc-gme-2024-5">posted a meme that sparked a resurgence in the stock.</a>The rally in GameStop shares came to its sputtering conclusion on Friday when the struggling video game retailer announced plans to sell 45 million shares in an at-the-market offering, which could result in massive dilution for existing shareholders.This type of share sale allows GameStop to, at its discretion, sell shares directly in the open market to willing buyers to raise capital, with an upside limit of 45 million shares. This is the same type of share sale agreement that allowed <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/amc-stock">AMC Entertainment</a> to take advantage of this week's meme-stock rally and raise $250 million in capital.The only problem for GameStop is it appears too late for the company to take advantage of this week's meme stock rally, with all of its stock gains having been evaporated.In <a href="https://news.gamestop.com/static-files/f6d2bbd2-9283-42d1-b55b-28af5128faf9" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a filing made with the SEC,</a> GameStop said it expects first-quarter revenue to decline nearly 30% year-over-year to a range of $872 million to $892 million, and that it expects to see a net loss of $27 million to $37 million.GameStop also said the company has experienced no fundamental change in its business that would explain the week's massive price surge."We did not experience any material changes in our financial condition or results of operations that would explain such price volatility or trading volume. Furthermore, since January 2021 through the date hereof, the market price of our common stock has seen extreme price fluctuations that do not appear to be based on the underlying fundamentals of our business or results of operations," GameStop warned investors in the <a href="https://gamestop.gcs-web.com/node/20501/html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">prospectus</a> tied to its share offering.The company offered a sobering note to anyone interested in its stock: "Investors that purchase shares of our common stock in this offering may lose a significant portion of their investments if the price of our common stock subsequently declines," GameStop said.

The meme-stock rally is dead as reality sets in amid GameStop's warning on revenue and plan to sell 45 million shares

<ul class="summary-list"><li>There's been an uptick in retail investors checking into gambling treatment centers. </li><li>Treatment can be limited, as clinicians often don't understand the condition or the stock market. </li></ul>Matt Widmann, a 35-year-old commercial fisherman from Alaska, knew that he had a problem when he was spending more time trading stocks than with his family. He would trade for around seven hours a day, starting at the crack of dawn and ending mid-afternoon, usually too worn out from the rollercoaster of wins and losses to spend time with anyone.Then, this past February, he hit a breaking point. Widmann says he traded some same-day expiration contracts, and wound up losing nearly his entire portfolio – around $30,000 in life savings, split among shares of Nvidia, Tesla, and other stocks popular with retail traders. "I was a mess. I was just in tears on the couch. I was like, I don't wanna live anymore," he told Insider.Now five months "sober" from the stock market, Widmann realizes he's part of a greater wave of retail traders who developed a problem akin to gambling addiction over the two years of the pandemic market's wild ride. But help is expensive, limited, and oftentimes, led by clinicians who don't know much about the stock market themselves. That's leaving some addicted traders feeling discouraged – and sometimes, diving back into the stock market after treatment.<h3>Help can be hard to come by</h3>There is no official diagnostic criteria for day-trading addiction.Experts say that lack of classification is one of the biggest barriers for retail traders like Widmann who are seeking help. Lacking specific criteria for their condition, they turn to gambling addiction treatment centers, which have seen an influx of day traders."I view [day trading] as gambling," Dr. Timothy Fong, the co-director of UCLA's Gambling Studies program, told Insider. "I've had a lot of patients where I say to them, 'You've developed harmful consequences because of your behavior related to finances. So for insurance purposes, I'm letting you know, I'm putting this as a gambling disorder diagnosis.' Because there is no financial trading disorder, right? We don't have that at all." A spokesperson for Gamblers' Anonymous New York told Insider that the organization has seen around a 15% increase in the past year from day traders who have called to ask for help, and in the past two years, Fong estimates that his program at UCLA has seen about a sixfold increase in day traders who have called, up from five a month to about one per day.For those looking for it, help doesn't come cheap. Algamus, one of the oldest gambling rehabilitation centers in the country, offers an inpatient program that costs $16,000, near the low end for such programs. Similar treatment can cost $5,000-$45,000, according to Algamus' founder, Rick Benson, and most insurance providers refuse to cover treatment if gambling disorder is the primary diagnosis.On top of the costs, Fong believes there are limitations to how much gambling treatment centers might help day traders, since those programs aren't specialized for people who are addicted to the stock market."We think that the same principles that work for gambling…for machines and poker, sports betting, craps, things like that, should work for a financial trading addiction. But you can't just automatically assume that," Fong said. He also noted that therapists are often unfamiliar with the stock market themselves, limiting the support they can offer."A lot of times when I ask patients, I don't understand what they're trading. I don't understand the mechanism of where the money went," he admitted. Widmann says the therapist he saw was only able to provide mood support."I don't think that they actually understood specifically what was going on with me," he said. "They understood, 'okay, you're having some financial depression, you're like having some sort of compulsory behavior,' but I don't think they understood the intricate nature of [retail trading], to be involved in something that both professionals engage with and is rife with degenerates."That contrasts with the sense of community to be found online, in places like the popular Wall Street Bets forum, where traders share a self-deprecating but mutual understanding of the highs and lows of investing. Widmann believes that's part of the problem, and recalled the pressure to trade created by these forums and the thrill of being in a Discord chat with fellow traders communicating in real time. "It grew to be so compulsory because… you're in this group of people, and you want to be a part of what they're doing."<h3>Diving back in </h3>Even now, Widmann isn't certain he's out for good. "It's definitely crossed my mind again where it's like, if I get a big enough position, maybe I'll dabble in it again. So I can't say that it's a hard no." Widmann said. That desire to dive back into the market even after treatment poses one of the biggest challenges for providers in the field, Fong said, and Algamus' Benson added that it's one of the main differences between day traders and gamblers."[A day trader] may live in the delusion that he's really just investing," Benson said. He says one of the clinic's biggest challenges is convincing traders that they were not "professional investors," Benson said, and showing patients that their "bad investment year" is actually something pathological. That involves a mix of gambling education, individual therapy, and group therapy, which he says is particularly important. "Gamblers are terrific liars and bullshitters. Whereas in group therapy, the group works against that," Benson said.Dan Field, a gambling therapist who is creating a treatment program specifically for day trading addiction, speculates it has to do with a discomfort in accepting reality. "They have that itch to get the money back and they think this is just a temporary pit stop," he told Insider. "So I try to speak to them as a counselor and as a friend. I care about you and this is why I'm giving you this hard advice: you have to sit with these losses for now," he tells his patients.

Some retail traders are turning to gambling addiction centers after a wild 2-year ride for stocks - but clinicians' limited understanding of the condition and markets means help can be hard to come by

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks dropped after core inflation data and consumer spending sent different signals about the economy.</li><li>Core inflation dropped below 3% year-on-year, while consumer spending rose 0.7%.</li></ul>US stocks were mixed Friday as investors digested fresh economic data. Core Personal Consumption Expenditure data, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge and which measures long-term price increases excluding food and energy, slowed to 2.9% in December from 3.2% the month before. That's the lowest pace of chance since Spring 2021. Meanwhile, consumer spending data showed Americans are still spending at a strong pace. Capping off the year-end holiday season, personal spending rose 0.7% by $133.9 billion in December. The data points to strong demand from US consumers, and shows the economy is still running hot even as higher interest rates keep a tight grip on financial conditions. Yields on the two-year US Treasury, which is the government bond more sensitive to the Fed's immediate moves, rose higher after the releases to 4.33%."We view today's PCE and Personal Spending data as bullish for both the Fed's path to their 2% target and also for the stock market," Larry Tentarelli, strategist from Blue Chip Daily Trend Report, said. "PCE continues to trend lower and with Core PCE at 2.9% [year-on-year] vs a Fed funds rate of 525-550, today's inflation report gives the Fed a path to cut interest rates."Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Friday: <ul><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 4,896.70, up 0.05% </li><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 38,075.85, up 0.06% (+23.76 points)</li><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq Composite</a>: 15,496.26, down 0.09%</li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li>Wall Street legend Burt Malkiel dismisses S&amp;P 500 and recession forecasts, slams bitcoin, and <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/malkiel-wealthfront-stock-market-outlook-spx-recession-bitcoin-index-funds-2024-1?mrfhud=true">warns pricey stocks may limit investors' returns.</a></li><li>Jeffrey Gundlach is wary of stocks at current valuations, and <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/jeffrey-gundlach-market-recession-outlook-stocks-cash-economy-fed-valuations-2024-1?mrfhud=true">expects a recession to hit.</a></li><li>The US economy is likely <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/economy-roaring-20s-rapid-growth-stock-market-analysis-ed-yardeni-2024-1?mrfhud=true">headed for another 'roaring '20s' of rapid growth</a>, market veteran Ed Yardeni says.</li><li>These 7 <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/recession-indicators-economy-outlook-inflation-interest-rates-fed-gdp-clearbridge-2024-1?mrfhud=true">recession indicators are still glaring bright red</a>, signaling a sharp downturn could be imminent despite surging GDP and low unemployment.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto: <ul><li>Oil prices dipped, with<a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets"> West Texas Intermediate</a> down 0.45% to $76.98 a barrel.<a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets"> Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, edged lower by 0.2% to $82.25 a barrel.</li><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> climbed 0.33% to $2,024.40 per ounce.</li><li>The<a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/rates/u-s--rates-10-years?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets"> 10-year Treasury yield</a> was up one basis point to 4.145%.</li><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Bitcoin</a> went up 3.52% to $41,157.87.</li></ul>

US stocks drop as investors mull mixed signals on spending and inflation data

Inside Vivek Ramaswamy's intense, high-maintenance, and highly air-conditioned empire

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Today's market is showing striking similarities to the dot-com bubble, JPMorgan said in a note.</li><li>Current top 10 stocks actually have more risk exposure and are more concentrated than in 2000.</li></ul>The stock market's endless upside may excite investors to keep piling in, but equity conditions resemble those that preceded the <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-90s-dotcom-crash-tech-bubble-nvidia-yardeni-2024-1">tech crash of the early 2000's</a>, JPMorgan outlined in a Tuesday note."When viewed in a historical context, parallels to the 'Dotcom Bubble' era are often dismissed due to the 'irrational exuberance' that characterized this period," analysts led by Khuram Chaudhry wrote, adding: 'Our analysis shows that while there are notable differences, they are far more similar than one may think!' Here are six concerning signs that the modern market is not so different from the one that preceded the Dot-Com Bubble.Market compositionThe sector allocation of today's 10 largest stocks by market cap is worse than that of the dot-com period, when tech held an outsized dominance on the market, JPMorgan wrote. Current allocation is actually less diverse; there are now only four sectors represented across the top 10, compared to a historic average of six. There's also less diversification amid the largest stocks themselves. For instance, just Apple and Microsoft make up 40% of today's top 10 names, while all the rest still share some tech theme exposure.Factor exposureFactor profiles between the two periods are "eerily similar," JPMorgan said. Both in the early 2000's and today, the biggest names were characterized by high quality, rising momentum, and negative value. However, dot-com era stocks had higher growth exposure, which signals a more supportive backdrop compared to today, meaning stocks are more prone to risk right now."A good way to describe the current Top 10's factor profile would be 'Quality at a not so reasonable price,'" the note said. Price performanceIt's becoming increasingly likelier that the broader market today could soon outperform the top 10.This commonly happens after an outperformance spike, like the one the largest stocks on the market enjoyed in 2023. The S&amp;P 500's top seven firms alone were responsible for <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/sp500-spx-magnificent-7-tech-stocks-artificial-intelligence-nvda-tsla-2023-9?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">over 60% of the index's gains</a> last year. But this year could bring a reversion to the mean, JPMorgan warned."Of course, mean reversion can also occur from data dropping out of the YoY time-frame; However, given the magnitude nature of recent moves as well as the extremes in equity positioning, we do expect equity market drawdowns to materialize, which may well be driven by weakness in the top 10," the note read.ValuationsExtremely stretched valuations typically signal that market concentration is reaching its limits, JPMorgan outlined. Though current top 10 price-earnings levels of 26.8x are nowhere near the dot-com's high point of 41.2x, today's biggest stocks require a much higher valuation premium than the rest of the market, even eclipsing extremes seen in the 2000s.That's as the earnings yield spread between current leading stocks and the remainder of the index become the largest on record since 1994 in October. Earnings-per-shareCompared to each of the largest 10 stocks' rising price, earnings have only had modest gains in the past few years, JPMorgan wrote. EPS weight is now at the same level as the dot-com peak. Unlike the 2000s-era market, today's top 10 appears to have no long-term growth advantage."While we would be hesitant to refer to the current levels of the Top 10 as a bubble, it would certainly appear that the Top 10 in the Dotcom era was backed by superior earnings developments," JPMorgan said.

5 ways today's record-setting stock market is reminiscent of the dot-com era

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Stocks look like they're in the most extreme bubble in history, investor John Hussman said. </li><li>The legendary investor thinks stocks look as overvalued as they were in 1929 and in 2021.</li></ul>Stock valuations look as extreme as they were in 1929 and 2021 before markets tanked, and investors are at risk of experiencing a steep crash, according to John Hussman.The legendary investor who called the 2000 and 2008 market crashes cast another warning for the stocks this week as investors sent the market to all-time highs on the back of the Fed's latest policy update that reiterated the outlook for rate cuts in 2024. But that enthusiasm is putting the market in a precarious position similar to what was seen prior to the 1929 crash, or the market peak in 2021 ahead of the following year's bear market. That outlook supported by a number of valuation measures, Hussman said in a <a href="https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc240321/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">note</a> on Thursday. His investment firm's most reliable measure, which is the ratio of nonfinancial market capitalization to gross value-added, is sitting at its highest level since the <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/biggest-stock-market-crashes-in-history">1929 stock-market peak</a>, right before the market crashed and sent the Dow plummeting 89% peak-to-trough."My impression is that investors are presently enjoying the double-top of the most extreme speculative bubble in US financial history," Hussman wrote. Hussman has repeatedly warned that over-speculative market bubbles have rarely <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-crash-inflation-interest-rates-valuations-earnings-sp500-hussman-2022-10">ended well for traders</a>, and in prior periods, stocks generally hit a "limit" to speculation before suffering from a sharp decline."Presently, we observe neither favorable valuations, nor favorable market internals, while our syndromes of overextension remain consistent with the risk of an abrupt air-pocket, panic, or crash," he warned. "Even with the adaptions we've made in this cycle, present observable conditions encourage a strongly defensive stance here." Hussman is among the most bearish forecasters on Wall Street, as more investors skew bullish amid the stock market's months-long rally. In October, he said the S&amp;P 500 risked <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-hussman-bubble-crash-fed-rates-grantham-recession-2023-10">plunging 63%</a> once the speculative market bubble bursts, which would send the index to its lowest level since 2013.He's refrained from making an official forecast in recent warnings, stating that <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-crash-sp500-2008-recession-bubble-risk-john-hussman-2024-2">a crash of that magnitude wouldn't surprise him</a>.

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