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<ul class="summary-list"><li>Small-cap stocks could be headed for big upside amid Trump's second term, Tom Lee says.</li><li>"I think small-caps could, over the next couple of years, outperform by more than 100%," he said. </li></ul>Donald Trump's presidency could drive monster gains in a particular corner of the stock market in the coming years, according to Fundstrat's head of research Tom Lee.Speaking to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Q1W8TubiDY">CNBC</a> on Friday, the permeable stock forecaster said he foresaw huge upside for <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/small-caps-russell-2000-rally-outlook-sp500-selloff-fundstrat-tech-2024-7">small-cap stocks</a> in the coming years. That's thanks to Donald Trump's recent election win, which <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-trade-us-presidential-election-dollar-treasuries-stocks-crypto-djt-2024-11">sent stocks soaring</a> this week as traders anticipated a fresh economic agenda, a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/bank-stocks-donald-trump-victory-reelection-wall-street-outlook-regulation-2024-11">looser regulatory environment</a>, and lower taxes. Small-cap stocks have done well so far this year, with the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/russell_2000">Russell 2000</a> up 18%. Still, the index of small-caps is trading at around 10 times forward median earnings, Lee noted, reflecting a lower valuation than the S&amp;P 500, which is trading at around 17 times forward earnings."I do think there's still a lot of upside," Lee said. "So I think small-caps could, over the next couple of years, outperform by more than 100%," he added.Lee, who previously predicted the small-cap <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/small-caps-russell-2000-rally-outlook-sp500-selloff-fundstrat-tech-2024-7">Russell 2000 index could rally as much as 40%</a> before the end of the year, also said he sees big gains ahead for other assets lumped into the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/the-trump-trade-stock-market-bonds-commodities-tariffs-fed-2024-7">Trump Trade,</a> a handful of investments thought to benefit under the president-elect's policies.Bitcoin, which notched a record-high this week, could climb past $100,000 by the end of the year, Lee predicted. The S&amp;P 500, meanwhile, could rally another 5%-10% through year-end, he said, pointing to the size of previous post-election rallies."Part of the reason investors are feeling so optimistic is that President Trump is entering office again, but this time with a lot more knowledge of how to build a cabinet and a team, and so in some ways this end up being more market-friendly," he added.Doubts, though, are swirling around some aspects of Trump's economic agenda, which experts have warned could <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-tariffs-higher-inflation-fed-interest-rates-taxes-mortgage-rates-2024-11">stoke inflation and keep interest rates</a> higher for longer. Trump's policies were thought to be <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.ft.com/content/022bb11b-c340-4059-b9b7-30481a02174c">more inflationary</a> than Harris' by 70% of polled economists, according to a survey conducted by the Financial Times and the University of Chicago.

Trump's presidency could help small-cap stocks soar in the coming years, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says

Morgan Stanley says these 10 small-cap stocks have at least 50% upside

<ul class="summary-list"><li>The recent surge in small-cap stocks appears unsustainable, according to Capital Economics' John Higgins.</li><li>Higgins said the fact that large-cap stocks are still near record highs suggests no rotation has taken place.</li></ul>The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-rally-broadens-small-caps-another-win-for-bulls-2024-7">rapid and historic rally in small-cap stocks</a> over the past week is unsustainable.That's according to Capital Economics' chief market economist John Higgins, who said in a note on Wednesday that the relative outperformance of small-cap stocks compared to large-cap stocks is likely to be short-lived."A recent surge in the Russell 2000 after the US CPI report for June was published last week has prompted claims that we are entering the initial stage of a secular rotation into US small-cap stocks. We are not convinced," Higgins said.First, Higgins said the recent market action shouldn't be thought of as a rotation.A rotation implies that investors are selling large-cap stocks and using those proceeds to buy small-caps. But while large-caps have sat out the rally over the past week, they are still just a few percentage points below all-time highs."We would need to see more evidence of a sell-off in 'big tech' to be convinced that a rotation into small-cap stocks out of their larger counterparts was well and truly underway," Higgins said.Higgins made those comments while acknowledging <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/nvidia-stock-price-tighter-china-trade-restrictions-tsm-asml-nvda-2024-7">the sharp decline in mega-cap tech stocks on Wednesday,</a> sparked by comments from former President Donald Trump and the Biden administration considering restrictions on certain semiconductor companies.Much of the rally in small-cap stocks has been driven by the expectation that the Federal Reserve will soon lower interest rates.But Higgins isn't buying that argument either, noting that large-cap stocks outperformed their small-cap peers when the Fed cut interest rates in the mid-1990s, as well as when they cut interest rates in 2009 and 2019."We anticipate a bubble in the stock market continuing to inflate amid hype around AI, like one did in the second half of the 1990s around the internet. Back then, small-cap stocks generally underperformed their large-cap peers until mid-1999," Higgins said.Finally, Higgins highlighted that the biggest factor driving stock market performance is earnings, and there's no sign yet that small-cap stocks are going to overtake large-cap stocks in terms of earnings growth."It remains to be seen whether big tech firms will fail in general to continue to beat analysts' lofty expectations for their earnings," Higgins said.The first round of second-quarter earnings results for the mega-cap tech companies are set to drop next week with reports from Tesla and Alphabet.While Higgins isn't yet buying into the small-cap stock rally, Fundstrat's Tom Lee is.The strategist <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/small-caps-russell-2000-rally-outlook-sp500-selloff-fundstrat-tech-2024-7">told clients on Tuesday that he still sees a 40% rally occurring</a> in small-cap stocks after they've largely sat out the broader stock market rally this year."We have small caps even more oversold and valuations — whether you look at medium P/E, which is now at 10 times 2025 earnings — even lower," Fundstrat's Tom Lee told <a target="_blank" rel=" nofollow" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VyHto5WWQ0k">CNBC</a>. "So we think that this move could be something like 10 weeks and as much as 40%. So I think it is just starting."

Why the stock market's rotation into small-caps will be short-lived

The <keyword id="20412710" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="ICC-T20-World-Cup" source="keywords">ICC T20 world cup</keyword> has all of us hooked undoubtedly. From low-scoring thrillers to surprise upsets to high-scoring, high-voltage chases that have gone down to the wire, the ongoing world cup has had us on the edge of our seats! Post the high octane, much anticipated <keyword id="63471" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="India-vs-Australia" source="Orion">India vs Australia</keyword> clash that took place yesterday, where India silenced the kangaroos, India is set to meet England in the semi-final clash tomorrow. As for the resilient Afghans, who first defeated Australia and then Bangladesh, the next stop is against the Proteas, who have been unbeaten in this tournament so far! But before these epic clashes, take a good, long, hard look at your financial fitness. And if you are unable to win at managing your finances in life, here are some insights you can take from these matches! <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Never write off the underdog" comment="subhead" text="Never write off the underdog">Never write off the underdog </cmsannotation>Remember how USA, an associate nation and <keyword id="19919646" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="cricket" source="keywords">cricket</keyword>ing minnow, managed to thrash Pakistan by first taking their match to a super over, and then beating them by 5 runs? USA stunned cricket fans all over the world, while promptly announcing itself on the global cricket scene! Shortly after, Afghanistan won over Australia, a certified cricketing giant, by 21 runs. As unexpected as it was, it tells us to never completely write off the underdog, in cricket and in markets. Consider this. The BSE smallcap index has jumped up by 61.79% over the past year. In contrast, the BSE largecap index has only risen by 31.78% in this time. While large caps like Australia certainly offer stability, it is in these smallcaps like Afghanistan where immense growth potential lies. Which is why there is immense merit in allocating some portion of your portfolio to <keyword id="425061" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="small-cap-stocks" source="Orion">small-cap stocks</keyword>. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Have an emergency fund" comment="subhead" text="Have an emergency fund">Have an <keyword id="20747810" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="emergency-fund" source="keywords">emergency fund</keyword></cmsannotation> Stunned by both Afghanistan and India, in the end, Australia had to hope that Bangladesh wins over Afghanistan in more than 12.1 overs, so that they could make it through to the Super 8. Similarly, earlier on, Pakistan had to rely on India thrashing USA by a big margin,and then on USA to lose their last league match, so that they could qualify ahead. The lesson? Have an emergency fund handy, so that you don’t have to rely on others to battle any emergencies. Relying simply on friends and family to tide you through financially difficult times can come back to bite you! Experts suggest that your emergency fund should have at least 3-6 months of your essential expenses. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Markets don't stay the same" comment="subhead" text="Markets don't stay the same">Markets don't stay the same </cmsannotation>Die-hard cricket fans would know of Indian skipper Rohit Sharma’s struggles against left arm pacers. Before India’s match with Australia, Rohit had been dismissed by 3 of them in this tournament-Shaheen Shah, Saurabh Netravalkar and Fazal Haq Farooqi. So naturally, fans were concerned about how Sharma would battle Mitchell Starc, Australia’s most dangerous left-arm spinner, who was coming off a splendid performance in IPL 2024 as well. But Rohit Sharma’s swashbuckling 92 off 41 runs turned the tables. Infact, Starc’s over against Sharma went for 29 runs, the most expensive Starc had ever bowled in T20Is. So, if you think you can time the market, you’re mistaken. Investing in stock markets is not a matter of timing them, but staying invested over-time. The best time to conquer your demons, and to start investing is right now! <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Diversify" comment="subhead" text="Diversify">Diversify </cmsannotation>India’s star batter Virat Kohli has been going through a lull, when it comes to runs. Dismissed for ducks against USA and Australia, his highest individual score is 37 off 28 balls against Bangladesh. And yet, India has continued its unbeaten streak throughout the world cup. That's because other players like Rishabh Pant, Hardik Pandya stepped up. The idea is to diversify, and not put all your eggs in one basket. Have more than one asset class in your portfolio apart from equity, like debt, gold and others, so that you are able to hedge your risks. If one asset dips, you have the cushion of others to safeguard you from losses. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="You don't need a lot to start" comment="subhead" text="You don't need a lot to start">You don't need a lot to start </cmsannotation>This world cup has largely been about Afghanistan’s dream run, and how they managed to qualify for semifinals for the first time ever. This, despite not having a proper home ground, or any cricketing facilities in their country. Afghani players are a prime example of how discipline and consistent effort is all one needs to win. So, stop waiting for when you’ll start earning more to start saving and investing. Begin with that Rs 500 SIP right away, and increase it as you go. Starting off and staying at it is more important than waiting for the right time!

Five financial lessons to take away from the ICC T20 World Cup

When you try your best and don't succeed When you (don't) get what you want, but not what you need When you feel so tired, but you can't sleep Feeling these lyrics a little too much, since you could not ‘fix you’(self) tickets for <keyword id="20399945" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Coldplay" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Coldplay" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Coldplay">Coldplay</keyword>'s 2025 concert in Mumbai? You were all set at 12 noon yesterday, ready to quickly snap up tickets that would not break your bank account, but also get you the best view of the stage, all at the same time. You had mentally mapped out how you'd make the most of 4 minutes that were allotted to everyone to buy tickets? But despite all the effort, you never moved ahead in the queue which had lakhs of Indians clamoring for tickets for the India leg of the iconic band’s “Music of the Spheres” world tour. This, after Coldplay announced a third show on 21st January, seeing their “phenomenal demand” in India. Mumbai based banking professional Agastya Shikhar came as close at 5,004 in the BookMyShow queue. One of his friends had inched even closer, at 604. And yet, they could not secure the tickets. As it is, the wound of not being able to secure tickets for <keyword id="20085213" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Diljit-Dosanjh" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Diljit Dosanjh" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Diljit Dosanjh">Diljit Dosanjh</keyword>’s India leg of Dil-luminati tour was very fresh. And even though Diljit has announced a second show for Delhi-ites, along with adding pit stops in Jaipur and Mumbai, who knows whether you'll be able to lap up the tickets in just microseconds, before they are all sold out, yet again. But here's what you can certainly achieve, instead of lamenting over missing out on these concerts. Yes, they are once in a lifetime experiences, but you can create more for yourselves, all by smartly using the funds you saved from here in the stock market, and multiplying your funds, instead of just spending them away. Assuming you were going to buy two of the most expensive tickets of the lot in both the concerts, i.e. the lounge tickets in Coldplay’s worth Rs 35,000/per person, and fan pit tickets worth Rs 20,000/per person in Diljit’s. Following the US Fed’s rate cut last week, Indian markets are scaling all time highs, a trend which is set to continue for some time to come. As such, large-cap mutual funds are currently in the spotlight. And over a 1-year period, most large-cap mutual funds have delivered an average return of about 40%. So, if you invested Rs 70,000 in a large-cap mutual fund, you'd have amassed close to a lakh rupees (Rs 97,650) or even more by September next year. If you're a bit of a risk-taker, you can also invest in <keyword id="23278136" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="small-cap-index-funds" source="keywords">small-cap index funds</keyword>, which have delivered average returns of about 50% in the past 1 year. Your Re 70,000 could easily turn into Rs 1,05,000 in just 365 days, without you having to do anything! But remember to diversify your <keyword id="19895437" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="investment" source="keywords">investment</keyword> across small, mid and large caps, and not concentrate your money in a single fund. Mr. Anand K. Rathi, Co-Founder of MIRA Money highlights that two good options for a holding period of about three to six months are liquid funds and ultra-short bond funds. "Liquid funds have an average holding period of 20 to 30 days, making them suitable for short-term investments. They provide immediate liquidity, allowing redemption on the next working day. On the other hand, ultra-short bond funds have a slightly longer duration, matching the three to six-month holding period. They offer returns similar to annual fixed deposits, typically around 6.7 to 6.8%, making them a good option for short-term investments with better liquidity", he continues. See, there's always a risk of market changes adversely impacting your returns, don't let that deter you. Focus on your goal- of giving yourself and your partner a foreign trip to Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Uzbekistan, Vietnam and more, or anything that you want, all by smartly deploying the unused funds from here. SEBI-registered RIA Gaurav Goyal also advises investment in arbitrage funds for the time being as well. "Arbitrage Funds are equity-oriented hybrid funds that leverage arbitrage opportunities in the market. These can be a pricing mismatch between two exchanges, different pricing in the spot and futures market, etc. The fund manager of an arbitrage fund buys and sells the shares at the same time and earns the difference between the selling price and the buying price of the share", he says. And who knows, when you're sipping margaritas on the balmy beaches of Sri Lanka next year, you might not feel so bad about missing out on these concerts? Invest these funds as soon as possible, so that you can achieve your other short-term desires like traveling or anything else. Ofcourse, you can have Diljit and Coldplay playing in the background while you do that!

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Trump's presidency could help small-cap stocks soar in the coming years, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says

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Five financial lessons to take away from the ICC T20 World Cup

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Could not buy concert tickets for Diljit Dosanjh or Coldplay? Here's what you can do with all the unspent funds

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