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New Delhi: The merger of media assets of Reliance Industries and the India business of global media house the Walt Disney is expected to be complete by the end of the third quarter of this fiscal, according to a regulatory filing by billionaire Mukesh Ambani-led group. The fair trade regulator CCI has already approved the merger of Viacom 18 and <keyword id="19976122" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Star-India" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Star India" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Star India">Star India</keyword> and NCLT (National Company Law Tribunal) has sanctioned the scheme regarding it. "The companies are in the process of obtaining other requisite approvals for the completion of the transaction and transaction closer is expected in 3Q FY 25," informed Reliance Industries on Monday in its quarter earning statement. The merger of Reliance group-controlled media assets - TV18 Broadcast and E18 - with Network18 Media &amp; Investments has already been sanctioned by the NCLT and was made effective on October 3, it said. Earlier on September 27, the government approved the transfer of licenses relating to Non News &amp; Current Affairs TV channels held by media entities of Reliance Industries to Star India. "The Ministry of Information and Broadcasting, Government of India, vide its order dated September 27, has granted its approval for transfer of Licenses relating to Non News &amp; Current Affairs TV channels held by <keyword id="19976121" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Viacom18" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Viacom18" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Viacom18">Viacom18</keyword> Media Private Limited in favour of Star India," it had said. Viacom18 is the holding company that owns the media and entertainment business of billionaire Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Industries and Bodhi Tree Systems. Both sides are in the final stages of the merger, making some adjustments in the business as per the Competition Commission of India (CCI) directions. On August 30, the NCLT had approved the scheme of merger of Viacom18 Media and Digital 18 Media, holding media and entertainment assets of Reliance Industries with Star India. The scheme had proposed the transfer and vesting of Media Operations Undertaking from Viacom 18 and Jio Cinema into Digital18, which is a subsidiary of Viacom 18. This would be followed by "demerger, transfer and vesting of V18 Undertaking from Digital 18 into Star India". The merger of the media assets of Reliance Industries and The Walt Disney Co.'s India business will create the country's largest media empire worth over Rs 70,000 crore. Earlier, the CCI had said it has cleared the "proposed combination involving Reliance Industries Ltd, Viacom18 Media Pvt Ltd, Digital18 Media Ltd, Star India Pvt Ltd and Star Television Productions Ltd, subject to the compliance of voluntary modifications". Viacom18 is part of the RIL group, and Star India is wholly owned by The <keyword id="19986269" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Walt-Disney-Company" source="keywords">Walt Disney Company</keyword>. Star Television Productions, a company incorporated in the British Virgin Islands, is owned indirectly by Walt Disney. The CCI, however, did not disclose voluntary modifications in the original deal made by the two parties. As per the deal, Mukesh Ambani-led RIL and its affiliates will hold 63.16 per cent of the combined entity that will house two streaming services and 120 television channels. Walt Disney will hold the remaining 36.84 per cent stake in the combined entity, which will also be India's largest media house. Reliance Industries has also agreed to invest close to Rs 11,500 crore into the joint venture to give it the muscle to fight rivals like Japan's Sony and Netflix. Nita Ambani, wife of billionaire and RIL Chairman <keyword id="19916798" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Mukesh-Ambani" source="keywords">Mukesh Ambani</keyword>, will head the joint venture, while Uday Shankar will be the vice-chairperson.

Reliance expects to complete merger with Disney's India business in Q3

<keyword id="19938772" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Reliance-Industries-Ltd" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Reliance Industries Ltd" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Reliance Industries Ltd">Reliance Industries Ltd</keyword> on Monday reported an almost flat March quarter net profit, while its annual earnings hit a record high on the back of a recovery in its core oil and petrochemicals business and sustained momentum across the consumer-facing telecom and retail businesses. The oil-to-telecom-and-retail conglomerate's consolidated net profit stood at Rs 18,951 crore, or Rs 28.01 per share, in January-March quarter of the 2023-24 fiscal compared to Rs 19,299 crore, or Rs 28.52 a share, a year ago, according to a company's stock exchange filing. The profit was, however, higher quarter-on-quarter when compared to Rs 17,265 crore in October-December period. For the full fiscal FY24 (April 2023 to March 2024), Reliance posted a record net profit of Rs 69,621 crore as compared to Rs 66,702 crore earnings in the preceding financial year. Reliance also became the first Indian company to hit Rs 10 lakh crore turnover in FY24 when revenue from operations rose 2.6 per cent from Rs 9.74 lakh crore in 2022-23. The oil-to-chemicals (O2C) business, the main milch cow, posted a rise in profitability annually as well as sequentially, while retail business' earnings rose on new store openings despite lower footfalls. The firm helmed by billionaire <keyword id="19916798" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Mukesh-Ambani" source="keywords">Mukesh Ambani</keyword> saw telecom revenues soar as it outpaced competition in subscriber addition and data traffic. While quarterly EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) was up 14.3 per cent year-on-year to Rs 47,150 crore, registering growth across all businesses, the revenue from operations rose almost 11 per cent to Rs 2.64 lakh crore. The mainstay oil refining and petrochemicals business, called O2C, posted a 11 per cent rise in revenue and a 3 per cent higher EBITDA at Rs 16,777 crore in Q4. This was primarily because of "advantageous" sourcing of feedstock (crude oil) for refining business and use of ethane for making chemicals as well as higher domestic product placement, a company statement said, adding exports were down 8.5 per cent. With the consumer base swelling to 481.8 million from 470.9 million at the end of December on a flat per-user revenues of Rs 181.7, Reliance <keyword id="21397660" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Jio-Infocomm-Ltd" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Jio Infocomm Ltd" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Jio Infocomm Ltd">Jio Infocomm Ltd</keyword> - the digital services business - posted a 12 per cent rise in net profit at Rs 5,583 crore in the fourth quarter of FY24. Also, aiding the business was rise in data traffic to 40.9 billion GB in January-March from 38.1 billion GB in the preceding quarter. For the full year, Jio posted a profit of Rs 21,424 crore as compared to Rs 19,124 crore in FY23. Profits from the retail business climbed 11.7 per cent to Rs 2,698 crore as store count rose to 18,836 from 18,774. Store footfalls dropped to 272 million from 282 million in October-December 2023 but were higher than 219 million recorded in January-March 2023. Oil and gas EBITDA soared 47.5 per cent to Rs 5,606 crore as higher gas volumes partly offset lower price realisation. The firm's flagship KG-D6 block in Krishna Godavari basin in the Bay of Bengal is now producing about 30 million standard cubic metres per day of gas and 23,000 barrels a day of oil/condensate. The company said its outstanding debt rose to Rs 3.24 lakh crore from Rs 3.11 lakh crore in December-end. After accounting for cash in hand, net debt at Rs 1.16 lakh crore as on March 31 was lower than Rs 1.25 lakh crore a year back. Mukesh Ambani, Chairman and Managing Director of <keyword id="20076630" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="reliance-industries-limited" source="keywords">Reliance Industries Limited</keyword>, said all segments of business have posted a robust financial and operating performance. "This has helped the Company achieve multiple milestones. I am happy to share that this year, Reliance became the first Indian company to cross the Rs 1 lakh-crore threshold in pre-tax profits," he said. Performance of the digital services segment has been boosted by accelerated expansion of subscriber base, supported by both mobility and fixed wireless services, he said. "With over 108 million True 5G customers, Jio truly leads the 5G transformation in India." <keyword id="19901342" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="reliance-retail" source="keywords">Reliance Retail</keyword>, he said, continued to provide customers endless choices through its robust omni-channel presence. "We continue to offer product differentiation and superior offline experience through stores re-modelling and revamping of layouts. Our digital commerce platforms also provide newer solutions to users with a broad brand catalogue," Ambani said. Strong demand for fuels globally, and limited flexibility in refining system worldwide supported margins and profitability of the O2C segment. "Downstream chemical industry experienced increasingly challenging market conditions through the year. Despite headwinds, maintaining leading product positions and feedstock flexibility through our operating model that prioritises cost management, we delivered a resilient performance," he said. "We remain committed to our projects and initiatives, including those in the new energy segment, which will bolster the company, and help it deliver sustainable growth for the future," he added. 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Reliance Industries quarterly profit stays flat; annual earnings hit record at ₹69,621 crore

<keyword id="19938772" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Reliance-Industries-Ltd" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Reliance Industries Ltd" meta.hostid="267" meta.entityid="Reliance Industries Ltd">Reliance Industries Ltd</keyword> has won a vote of confidence from global rating agencies <keyword id="20043943" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="SP" source="keywords">S&amp;P</keyword> and <keyword id="19950093" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Fitch" source="keywords">Fitch</keyword> after its robust earnings in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2024, supported its growth aspirations and kept leverage under check. S&amp;P Global Ratings and Fitch Ratings in separate notes spoke of its <keyword id="19957744" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="EBITDA" source="keywords">EBITDA</keyword> (loosely known as pre-tax profit) rising in the current fiscal year and next on rising revenue and past investments. "<keyword id="19896380" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Reliance-Industries" source="keywords">Reliance Industries</keyword> Ltd's (<keyword id="20002939" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="ril" source="keywords">RIL</keyword>) strong earnings will keep leverage in check as the company continues to pursue growth ambitions. We expect the company's debt-to-EBITDA ratio to remain commensurate with the rating (BBB+/Stable/--)," S&amp;P said in a note. The oil-to-telecom-and-retail conglomerate's growth aspirations remain intact, it said, adding the company has ramped up investments in the media business in recent months. In 2024, it entered into binding definitive agreements with The Walt Disney Co for a media joint venture in which RIL will invest Rs 11,500 crore. The company subsequently agreed to buy Paramount Global's 13.01 per cent stake in local entertainment network Viacom18 Media Pte Ltd for about Rs 4,300 crore. "These investments are in line with RIL's strategy to diversify and have a strong presence in a few key industries," the rating agency said. Also, the company received government approval in 2024 to develop gas reserves in the KG-D6 block in the Bay Of Bengal. This could increase the company's gas production capacity by 13-17 per cent. RIL's earlier announced investments include a Rs 75,000 crore expansion plan over five years (starting 2022) for the oil-to-chemicals business. "RIL's earnings will benefit from past investments," S&amp;P said. "We project the company's adjusted EBITDA will rise 2-4 per cent in fiscal 2025 (year ending March 31, 2025)," it added. Just as in the past two years, the digital services segment (Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd) will be the key growth driver, with segment's EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortisation) increasing 10-12 per cent in fiscal 2025. Reliance Jio's wireless subscriber base and average revenue per user will gain from the company's investments in its 5G network since late 2022. Meanwhile, earnings in the oil and gas as well as retail segments will reap the rewards of increased production volume and a wider retail store network. "The EBITDA improvement that we expect in fiscal 2025 comes after a 14 per cent increase to Rs 1.6 lakh crore in fiscal 2024," it said. S&amp;P saw RIL's rising earnings providing it greater balance-sheet flexibility for growth. "We expect the combination of robust operating performances and continued spending to keep the company's debt-to-EBITDA ratio at 1.8x-2.0x over the next two years. This compares with our estimate of 1.7x for fiscal 2024 and our downgrade trigger of 2.5x," S&amp;P said. RIL's leverage has some distance from the upper end of the company's internal leverage target. RIL has reiterated its intention to keep its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio (by its own calculations) below 1x. The ratio was 0.65x as of March 31, 2024. Separately, Fitch Ratings said RIL's EBITDA net leverage is likely to remain below 1x in the medium term, supported by increasing cash flows and lower capex intensity, even as the conglomerate's absolute capex and investments remain high in the near term. "We expect RIL's EBITDA to increase by 8 per cent year-on-year in the financial year ending March 2025 (FY25) and 14 per cent in FY26, while capex intensity (capex/revenue) is likely to reduce below 13 per cent by FY26 (FY24: 15.3 per cent). Lower capex intensity would be driven by growing revenue and reduction in capex after FY25," it said. Fitch expected the conglomerate's Cash Flow from Operations (CFO) to be sufficient to fund its capex from FY26, which will limit additional debt funding and keep its EBITDA net leverage below 1.0x in the medium term (FY24: 0.9x, FY23: 1.1x). "Fitch estimates RIL's FY24 EBITDA net leverage at 0.9x, better than our expectation of 1.1x, driven by marginally higher EBITDA and Rs 20,900 crore of equity raised mainly from the sale of a stake in a subsidiary, even as its capex remained high at Rs 1.5 lakh crore (FY23: Rs 1.4 lakh crore)," the rating agency said in a statement. It rates RIL at 'BBB'/Stable, one notch above India's rating (BBB-/Stable). "We expect the EBITDA increase in the near to medium term to be driven by the telecom and retail businesses, supported by contribution from the upstream oil and gas segment and marginal recovery in petrochemical spreads in the oil to chemical (O2C) segment," Fitch said, adding EBITDA from digital services, largely telecom, is likely to benefit from a 10-15 per cent tariff hike and 15-20 million of additional subscribers in FY25 (FY24: 482 million subscribers). Digital services EBITDA rose by 13 per cent in FY24, as Reliance added 42 million subscribers and monthly average revenue per user increased to Rs 182. Monthly user data consumption increased by 24 per cent to 28.7 GB, one of the highest globally. Fitch expected retail EBITDA to increase by 20-25 per cent in FY25 (FY24: 28%) as Reliance continues to expand its physical stores and digital channels. EBITDA would be supported by a 22.2 per cent increase in its registered customer base to 304 million in FY24. Also, O2C segment EBITDA is expected to remain above Rs 60,000 crore in FY25 (FY24: Rs 62,400 crore), as a gradual improvement in petrochemical spreads from FY24 lows is expected as a supply overhang recedes. Upstream oil and gas EBITDA should stay at around Rs 20,000 crore in FY25 (FY24: Rs 20,200 crore), assisted by the expectation of a 10 per cent increase in gas production in the first full year of operation of three gas fields in the KG-D6 block, which should offset the potential reduction in price realisation with lower gas prices in international benchmarks. 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Reliance gets thumbs-up from S&P, Fitch as strong earnings keep leverage in check

<keyword id="19938772" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Reliance-Industries-Ltd" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Reliance Industries Ltd" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Reliance Industries Ltd">Reliance Industries Ltd</keyword> (<keyword id="20002939" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="RIL" source="keywords">RIL</keyword>) is set to hold its much-anticipated 47th Annual General Meeting (AGM) today, August 29, 2024. The AGM, which will be held virtually, is expected to feature some key announcements that could be of great interest to investors as well as shareholders. The meeting will start at 2:00 p.m. IST and will be live-streamed across various digital platforms. Read on to know all about <keyword id="22949345" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Reliance-AGM" source="keywords">Reliance AGM</keyword> and what can be expected from it this year. <h2>What is Reliance AGM?</h2> The Reliance Annual General Meeting (AGM) is an important event where Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) presents its financial performance, future strategies, and key developments to shareholders and the public. Held annually, this meeting is led by RIL Chairman <keyword id="19916798" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Mukesh-Ambani" source="keywords">Mukesh Ambani</keyword> and serves as a platform for major announcements, including potential IPOs, business expansions, and technological advancements. The AGM attracts widespread attention from investors, analysts, and industry watchers, as it provides insights into the company’s direction and its impact on various sectors. <h2>Where to watch livestream</h2> The AGM will begin at 2:00 p.m. IST and will be conducted virtually, allowing millions of shareholders and investors to join from anywhere. The event will be live-streamed across various digital platforms, including RIL's social media pages on YouTube, X (formerly Twitter), and Facebook. Shareholders can join the live broadcast using the following link: <a href="https://jiomeet.jio.com/rilagm" target="_new">https://jiomeet.jio.com/rilagm</a>. <h2>What to expect from Reliance AGM 2024</h2> IPO announcements: One of the most closely watched aspects of the AGM is the potential announcement of IPO timelines for Reliance <keyword id="19906886" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Jio" source="keywords">Jio</keyword> and Reliance Retail. The possibility of these two giants going public has been a topic of discussion since 2019, and with the five-year mark approaching, investors are keen to hear concrete plans. Energy projects: Reliance’s foray into the green energy sector has been a key focus in recent years. The AGM is expected to provide updates on the progress of the company’s ambitious new energy projects, particularly the development of a large green energy complex in Jamnagar. This complex, featuring giga factories for solar PV, energy storage, and other technologies, is part of Reliance’s broader strategy to transition from traditional energy sources to more sustainable options. Investors will be looking for detailed timelines and potential earnings projections from these ventures. 5G Rollout: Reliance Jio’s 5G rollout is another critical area of interest. The company has already made significant strides in expanding its 5G network across India, and the AGM is expected to shed light on how RIL plans to monetize this infrastructure. This could include potential partnerships, new service offerings like the JioPhone 5G, and strategies to increase subscriber growth. The success of Jio’s 5G rollout will be crucial in maintaining its competitive edge in the rapidly evolving telecom market. AI focus: In addition to its core business areas, Reliance is also expected to make announcements related to artificial intelligence (AI). With global tech giants increasingly focusing on AI, RIL is likely to reveal new AI initiatives tailored to the Indian market. This could include expansions to Hanuman AI, a generative AI tool developed with leading Indian institutions, which supports multiple Indian languages. Succession planning: Another topic of interest is Reliance’s succession plan. With Mukesh Ambani having previously outlined a blueprint for leadership transitions within the company, shareholders will be looking for updates on how these plans are being implemented. The AGM may provide further clarity on the roles of Ambani’s children—Akash, Isha, and Anant—who have been earmarked to lead the telecom, retail, and energy segments, respectively.

Reliance AGM 2024 at 2 pm today: What it is, where to watch, and what to expect

As the results season kicks in, the <keyword id="20097634" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="quarterly-earnings" source="keywords">quarterly earnings</keyword> numbers of several <keyword id="22405488" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="blue-chip-firms" source="keywords">blue-chip firms</keyword> — such as <keyword id="19906778" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Infosys" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Infosys" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Infosys">Infosys</keyword> and Reliance Industries — along with <keyword id="20837523" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="global-trends" source="keywords">global trends</keyword> and <keyword id="20223116" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="trading-activity" source="keywords">trading activity</keyword> of foreign investors, will determine <keyword id="22405487" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="equity-market-movement" source="keywords">equity market movement</keyword> in the holiday-shortened week ahead, according to analysts. The domestic <keyword id="22405489" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="WPI-inflation-data" source="keywords">WPI inflation data</keyword> for June — scheduled to be announced on Monday — will also influence trading sentiments, traders said. Markets will remain closed on Wednesday for Muharram. Among major quarterly earnings to be tracked this week are from HDFC Life Insurance Company, Bajaj Auto, BPCL, JSW Steel, Asian Paints, Infosys, and Reliance Industries. "Q1 earnings will be a key focus this week as numerous companies, including heavyweights Infosys, and Reliance, are set to release their results. Additionally, <keyword id="22194639" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="pre-Budget-discussions" source="keywords">pre-Budget discussions</keyword> are expected to contribute to market volatility," Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd, said. On the global front, a significant focus will be on China. The country is scheduled to announce its GDP and Industrial Production (IIP) numbers, Meena said. "Other global factors to watch include the speech by the US Federal Reserve Chairman, US retail sales figures, and macroeconomic data from Japan," he added. Meanwhile, IT services company HCL Tech on Friday posted a 20.4 per cent rise in consolidated net profit to Rs 4,257 crore for the June-ended quarter and gave a revenue growth guidance of 3-5 per cent for FY25 on GenAI diversification and strong operational execution. "On Monday, markets will react to India's inflation data. Key results this week include Jio Financial Services, HDFC Life, Asian Paints, LTIMindtree, Infosys, Wipro, JSW Steel, Paytm, etc. Also globally, investors will take cues from China's GDP numbers, US core retail sales data, and ECB (European Central Bank) interest rate decision," Siddhartha Khemka, Head, Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said. Retail inflation increased to four-month high of 5.08 per cent in June as food items, including vegetables, became dearer, according to government data released on Friday. Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services, said, "We expect stock-specific moves to gain traction due to the ongoing earnings season; indeed, IT will be in the limelight due to the good start to the earnings and outlook." In the week ahead, economic data like China GDP, EuroZone CPI inflation, ECB policy, and the US Fed chair speech will be watched by investors to get cues on market momentum, Nair added. On a weekly basis, the BSE benchmark jumped 522.74 points, or 0.65 per cent, while the Nifty climbed 178.3 points, or 0.73 per cent. The 30-share BSE Sensex jumped 622 points, or 0.78 per cent, to settle at a record closing level of 80,519.34 on Friday. During the day, it zoomed 996.17 points, or 1.24 per cent, to hit an all-time high of 80,893.51. The NSE Nifty surged 186.20 points, or 0.77 per cent, to settle at a record closing high of 24,502.15. Intra-day, it jumped 276.25 points, or 1.13 per cent, to hit a new lifetime peak of 24,592.20.

Trading activity to hinge on Q1 results, global trends in holiday-shortened week: analysts

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Nvidia will report its Q2 earnings on Wednesday.</li><li>Nvidia's next-generation chip Blackwell faces delays, raising questions about supply chain impacts.</li></ul>The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-jensen-huang-new-challengers-ai-crown-chips-earnings-2024-5">last time Nvidia</a> reported quarterly earnings in May, investors asked about potential chip hoarding, customers becoming competitors, and whether Nvidia's promised speed of innovation was too fast.AI moves fast, and so does the narrative around it. As Nvidia prepares to report its Q2 earnings on Wednesday, some of those questions are still relevant, while some have fallen by the wayside.Three months later, as the sheer size of AI spending across the tech giants has <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/ai-less-profitable-than-previous-tech-waves-2024-8">sunk in</a> and the market has seen its <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/ai-boom-faces-crash-landing-stock-market-selloff-nvidia-microsoft-2024-8">first major semiconductor sell-off</a> since <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/chatgpt-new-ai-chatbot-conversation-with-questions-answers-examples-2022-12">ChatGPT launched</a>, Nvidia analysts and investors have an entirely new set of facts to analyze.Investors will likely ask if and when demand for Nvidia's much sought-after GPUs will slow down, not if customers are buying them faster than they can use them. Efforts by other companies to build <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/cerebras-nvidia-challenger-ai-chip-battle-2024-7">competitive AI chips</a> still haven't reached more than a simmer, and the much-lauded rollout of Nvidia's next-generation chip Blackwell is <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-ai-chip-blackwell-delay-new-annual-product-launch-2024-8">reportedly delayed</a>.Nvidia's stock price has also been on a roller coaster since May, with shares tumbling in July after concerns over potential tighter <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/nvidia-stock-price-tighter-china-trade-restrictions-tsm-asml-nvda-2024-7">trade restrictions</a> with China.<h2 id="2fe35c97-69fa-4d90-ae66-177129e89307">Blackwell chip delays</h2>Reports from earlier in August that <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-ai-chip-blackwell-delay-new-annual-product-launch-2024-8">Nvidia's next generation</a> of chips would be delayed sent a ripple of questions through the AI and semiconductor worlds.While analysts weren't too worried, some questioned whether a delay in the rollout would trouble supply chain partners that have reserved capacity to satisfy Nvidia's manufacturing ramp-up. Dylan Patel, lead analyst at <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/inside-nvidia-blackwell-delay-ai-hardware-gpu-supply-chain-semianalysis-2024-8">SemiAnalysis, previously told Business Insider</a> something similar.While the Blackwell chips are delayed, Morgan Stanley analysts wrote in a note published Monday that Nvidia will likely say that it's still "in line for volume this quarter" and that it will ramp up this year. The analysts also wrote that revenue from existing products, specifically the H200 and H20 AI chips, could offset any delayed revenue from Blackwell."The biggest doubt hanging over NVDA stock, is whether sales growth will slow later this year ahead of the shipment of the new Blackwell chips, which is scheduled to ship in mid-October. This lag and difficult comparisons cast some shadows over the current lofty valuation," Dan Morgan, senior portfolio manager at Synovus, wrote in a note to investors.Wednesday could be the first time Nvidia speaks about the delay.<h2 id="e8456df5-a985-4877-ba1f-782178605c98">Nvidia faces more competition</h2>Nvidia has big concerns coming up in the longer term. Competitors are coming for its crown, and the AI computing market is evolving as it matures. Continuing demand for Nvidia's products and services is expected but far from assured.Nvidia is the last to report its second-quarter earnings within the AI-focused cohort of tech companies, and it's the North Star for AI believers.Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft are on track to spend $185 billion on AI before the end of the year, according to a JPMorgan analysis. Most of that spending will go toward computing resources, a majority of which are Nvidia GPUs. This quarter, CEOs made clear that they won't wait for AI profits to keep spending on AI infrastructure.Meta spent <a target="_blank" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/31/technology/meta-earnings-artificial-intelligence.html">$8.5 billion</a> in the second quarter on computing infrastructure for AI and the metaverse. It plans to spend between $37 billion to $40 billion this year, although CEO Mark Zuckerberg told investors in July not to expect <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/meta-stock-quarterly-earnings-call-report-live-updates-2024-7">immediate payback.</a>"Before we're really talking about monetization of any of those things by themselves, I don't think anyone should be surprised. I would say that would be years," Zuckerberg said in last month's earnings call.Amazon has expanded its own chip development to reduce its reliance on Nvidia and announced on its last earnings call that it will roll out updated versions of its <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-aws-sales-guidelines-spread-doubt-about-openai-ai-capabilities-2024-8">Trainium and Inferentia chips</a>.Nvidia's chips are still a must for the most complex AI computing jobs, as Amazon still purchases chips from Nvidia. Yet, the cloud and e-commerce giant has repeatedly said that developing its in-house chips allows it to offer customers a lower price for cloud computing.Google also uses <a target="_blank" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/23/how-google-makes-custom-cloud-chips-that-power-apple-ai-and-gemini.html">its own chips</a> for some AI computing and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-much-big-tech-spending-on-ai-investments-2024-7#google-1">spent billions</a> to build and expand its data centers.<a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-defends-dominance-competition-increases-2024-6">Nvidia's main rival, AMD,</a> beat earnings expectations last quarter. AMD CEO Lisa Su told analysts on the July 30 earnings call that the excess came from its AI chip sales.<h2 id="4ed7f345-cc27-496b-be99-9251d86e6975">Geopolitical questions</h2>While global demand for GPUs is high, Synovus's Morgan said Nvidia can afford to absorb some shifting sands in the Chinese market, although that may not always be the case.A new administration in the White House (of either major party) could also throw sand in the gears. Nvidia's H20 chip, specifically designed to comply with US expert rules, is a "meaningful contributor" to its overall performance, according to Morgan Stanley.Chinese companies have been using <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-chips-chinese-buyers-desperate-measures-avoid-export-bans-2024-7?amp">resellers</a> to get their hands on Nvidia's chips, and Nvidia will reportedly release a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.reuters.com/technology/nvidia-preparing-version-new-flaghip-ai-chip-chinese-market-sources-say-2024-07-22/">new flagship chip</a> that complies with export controls specifically for the Chinese market. Any further crackdown on American AI technology reaching the Chinese market could impact Nvidia.Whether it's a possible slowdown in demand, execution issues, pressure from competitors, or further restrictions on the Chinese market — none of the pressing questions analysts will likely hurl at Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Wednesday will impact the company until next year, but these big questions will still loom.Got a tip or an insight to share? Contact Senior Reporter Emma Cosgrove at <a target="_blank" href="mailto:ecosgrove@businessinsider.com">ecosgrove@businessinsider.com</a> or use the secure messaging app Signal: 443-333-9088

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