You Searched For "recession indicator" and got 20 results
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2 mins read
The creator of a famed recession indicator says the Fed is 'playing with fire' by not cutting rates now
A labor-tracking recession gauge is nearing its threshold, and the Fed needs to cut now to stop it.
Filip De Mott
2 mins read
A recession indicator with a perfect record has been flashing red for 20 months. It may not be wrong yet.
The inverted yield curve has been ringing the recession alarm for 20 months, but past downturns hav…
Theron Mohamed
2 mins read
These 5 recession indicators have escaped the danger zone after flashing economic red flags
The reversal of these indicators shows why it's risky to rely on a small handful of them, NDR said.
Matthew Fox
1 min read
Layoffs could spike as one labor-market indicator says a recession is already here, market forecaster says
Headline job growth has been strong recently, but commentators have pointed to mixed signals in the…
Jennifer Sor
1 min read
America's 'cardboard-box recession' is finally over, BofA says
Demand in the cardboard packaging industry is recovering, putting an end to an under-the-radar rece…
Filip De Mott
2 mins read
A recession indicator flashing red for 23 straight months just reversed and that's great news for stocks
The average one-year return for the S&P 500 after the LEI turned positive following a negative stre…
Matthew Fox
1 min read
A majority of strategists no longer think the most famous recession indicator is reliable, new survey shows
22 of 34 strategists polled by Reuters now consider the inverted yield curve to be less reliable th…
Filip De Mott
1 min read
The yield curve has been inverted for 18 months without a downturn - but the famed indicator isn't wrong, and a recession is near, strategist says
The inverted yield curve has predicted every recession since 1955, and this time won't be different…
Jennifer Sor
2 mins read
A famed recession indicator is flashing red even as financial markets price in zero chance of a downturn in the coming year, economist says
A highly accurate recession indicator is flashing the same warning it did prior to the 2001, 2008, …
Jennifer Sor
2 mins read
An under-the-radar recession indicator in the bond market is sounding the alarm for a hard landing
European and US bond yields are slipping in tandem, a warning sign that also flashed during the Sil…
Jennifer Sor
2 mins read
The inventor of a famed recession indicator says many state-level warning signs are less dire when you factor in immigration
One recession indicator has flashed red in 20 states. But a growing, immigrant-driven labor force c…
Filip De Mott
2 mins read
The S&P 500 could crater 48% when the stock-market bubble pops and recession finally hits, elite strategist says
Stocks are hugely overvalued and the economy is faltering, paving the way for a stock-market crash …
Theron Mohamed
2 mins read
Baby boomers have been America's secret weapon for fending off recession
The retiring generation is pumping $76 trillion of savings into the economy, helping the US stave o…
Filip De Mott
2 mins read
3 signs the US economy is nearing a recession have flashed in the last week, SocGen says
Economic growth expectations have "crashed," according to SocGen.
Jennifer Sor
2 mins read
Recession will strike this year with 21 states flashing red already, top economist says
When unemployment jumps in nearly half of US states, a recession almost always follows, Piper Sandl…
Theron Mohamed
2 mins read
These 3 metro regions still haven't recovered from the pandemic recession
"Many of the places that have not regained the jobs lost were hit particularly hard by the pandemic…
Filip De Mott
2 mins read
The inventor of Wall Street's favorite recession indicator predicts a slowdown this year - and slams the Fed for making things worse
Duke professor Campbell Harvey, who discovered an inverted yield curve reliably predicts recessions…
Theron Mohamed
1 min read
The US may already be in recession as job cuts accelerate, research CEO says
The ongoing recession may have been triggered way back in October 2023, says Danielle DiMartino Boo…
Filip De Mott
2 mins read
The inventor of the market's most famous recession indicator says 3 factors will ensure a coming downturn isn't too painful
"Given the track record of the yield indicator, it is with great peril to ignore it," Campbell Hare…
Filip De Mott
2 mins read
The inventor of the market's most famous recession indicator is confident the inverted yield curve is accurately calling a slowdown in 2024
Campbell Harvey's famous inverted yield curve indicator has preceded every recession for the last 5…