You Searched For "recession indicator" and got 20 results
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2 mins read
A recession indicator with a perfect track record has started flashing this week
Since 1976, every recession has been preceded by a disinversion of the yield curve, according to In…
Matthew Fox
5 mins read
Lipstick sales and strippers' tips: 6 weird indicators a recession could be coming
Recessions are difficult to predict. For the less market-inclined money watcher, there are several …
Erin Snodgrass
3 mins read
The Sahm Rule has flashed, but there's a simpler recession indicator investors should be watching
"The Perkins rule asks whether payrolls are declining. Not rocket science," TS Lombard's Dario Perk…
Matthew Fox
3 mins read
A 32-year market vet shares 5 labor market indicators showing the US economy is barreling toward a recession — putting an overvalued stock market at risk for major declines
Current market-cap-to-GDP levels mean "the S&P 500 would have to fall 60% just to return to the his…
William Edwards
2 mins read
There's a 40% chance the US economy is already in a recession, according to a new indicator
Using measures that builds on the Sahm rule, a new indicator says there's a 40% chance the US is in…
Kelly Cloonan
2 mins read
Surging US unemployment has triggered a recession indicator with a perfect track record
While the so-called Sahm Rule indicator, which has been remarkably accurate throughout history, has…
Matthew Fox
2 mins read
Europe faces a 'full-blown recession' under Trump's tariffs, big bank says
Trump has pledged to launch fresh tariffs on imports into the US during his second term, which woul…
Polly Thompson,Will Martin
2 mins read
Russia's economy is heading toward a fate worse than recession, pro-Kremlin economists say
"The Russian economy is effectively facing the threat of stagflation — simultaneous stagnation or e…
Filip De Mott
6 mins read
America dodged a recession. Now there's one last pitfall to avoid.
Recession fears are fading and the job market is looking stronger. That's great news for average Am…
Neil Dutta
3 mins read
2 under-the-radar recession signals are flashing red this month, research firm says
BCA's Peter Berezin said that low-key data points in the labor market are clouding the view that th…
Kelly Cloonan
2 mins read
No recession risk regardless of who wins the White House, says Blackstone's Steve Schwarzman
Blackstone CEO Steve Schwarzman said the US economy looks robust and both Donald Trump and Kamala H…
Theron Mohamed
2 mins read
The creator of a famed recession indicator says the Fed is 'playing with fire' by not cutting rates now
A labor-tracking recession gauge is nearing its threshold, and the Fed needs to cut now to stop it.
Filip De Mott
2 mins read
A key US consumer indicator has dipped to 'crisis levels,' SocGen says
The US personal savings rate has dropped below 3%, a level historically associated with recessions,…
Jennifer Sor
4 mins read
Insider Today: Recession false alarm
In this Sunday edition of Insider Today, we're talking about a recession false alarm, and a "crazy"…
Lisa Ryan
2 mins read
A recession indicator with a perfect record has been flashing red for 20 months. It may not be wrong yet.
The inverted yield curve has been ringing the recession alarm for 20 months, but past downturns hav…
Theron Mohamed
3 mins read
These 3 indicators are pointing to a healthy labor market similar to the pre-pandemic boom, according to Goldman Sachs
Investors shouldn't be anxious about the labor market preventing a soft landing, says Goldman's Jos…
Christine Ji
5 mins read
Here's how to invest in the Q3 earnings season as profits re-accelerate despite misplaced recession myths
Earnings are set to grow for the fifth consecutive quarter. Here's how investors should allocate th…
James Faris
3 mins read
4 positives to focus on as recession fears grip the market, Deutsche Bank says
The narrowness of the recent stock sell-off offers one reason to not panice yet, Deutsched Bank sai…
Filip De Mott
3 mins read
The stock market's recession playbook is in full effect
Stock traders are behaving like they have during past instances when recession fears have flared.
Jennifer Sor
2 mins read
Stocks face a 10% drop with key economic data mired in recession territory, investment chief says
The stock market's soft-landing narrative is being challenged, Verdence's Megan Horneman said.