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<ul class="summary-list"><li>Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon on Wednesday commented on Donald Trump's election victory</li><li>In a memo to staff, he said that the bank looks forward to working with Trump on "sound policies."</li></ul>Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon spoke out Wednesday on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-election-victory-impact-investments-costs-housing-taxes-childcare-2024-11">the election of Donald Trump</a> as the 47th president of the United States.In a memo to the firm's workforce, Solomon congratulated Trump, who defeated Vice President Kamala Harris in a decisive victory. He said the firm was looking "forward to working with the new administration in support of sound policies that enhance economic growth and financial stability." Solomon said that the new administration's policy positions could be "potentially important to our business and clients." Indeed, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/bank-stocks-donald-trump-victory-reelection-wall-street-outlook-regulation-2024-11">bank stocks soared on Wednesday</a> on expectations that Trump's policies will boost the sector. Wells Fargo stock analyst Mike Mayo called Trump's victory a "regulatory game changer" for the industry. Mayo also expects a Trump administration to boost dealmaking, including M&amp;A and IPOs — potentially to record levels. "More free markets imply that investment banking revenues have a chance at exceeding 2021 levels over the next few years," Mayo said in a Wednesday research note. He added: "The idea of a capital markets super-cycle seems possible." The biggest beneficiary of a dealmaking boom, Mayo said, would be Goldman Sachs. Read Solomon's full memo to employees on Wednesday following Trump's win.November 6, 2024Message on US ElectionThe 2024 Presidential election in the United States has been decided. I know that people on both sides have strong opinions and emotions about the outcome. I strongly believe we should respect – and seek to understand – our differences. It's important to remind ourselves that "united" is the first word of the United States. Our shared commitment to the ideals of freedom and opportunity will always be more powerful than what divides us.Closer to Goldman Sachs, it's clear that a new administration will bring policy changes potentially important to our business and clients. This year has also seen a number of elections around the world, with changes in administrations or policy focus across several countries. Globally, we are deeply committed to our strategy, where we continue to make progress in growing our leading Global Banking &amp; Markets and Asset &amp; Wealth Management franchises.Our job remains the same: to continue to be laser focused on serving our clients with excellence, remaining vigilant and managing risk effectively, and protecting our unique culture. That focus and professionalism is not affected by political winds.I congratulate President Trump and we look forward to working with the new administration in support of sound policies that enhance economic growth and financial stability.DavidThis post is breaking and will be updated with additional details.Are you a Wall Street insider? How is your firm reacting to the election of Donald Trump? Get in touch with this reporter. Reed Alexander can be reached via email at ralexander@businessinsider.com, or SMS/the encrypted app Signal at (561) 247-5758.

Goldman CEO Solomon reacts to Trump's win, vows to work with the new administration 'in support of sound policies'

Ever since Donald Trump won the 2024 US presidential elections, bitcoin has been surging, going up over 40% in the last two weeks. Recently, the cryptocurrency soared past $97,000, having risen 8.32% in just the last 7 days, and is currently trading at $96,906.09. The overall crypto market is also buoyant, with the crypto volume jumping 10.06% over the past 24 hours to touch $198.83 billion. The markets are enthused about Bitcoin's prospects going ahead, given that Trump has hinted towards establishing a dedicated role in the White House for deliberating crypto policies. Trump has been vocally pro-crypto and had promised, during his presidential campaign, to scale back <keyword id="24085738" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="crypto-regulations" source="keywords">crypto regulations</keyword> and fire SEC chair Gary Gensler, who had initiated a crackdown on digital assets in the US. The crypto lobby in the US has been advocating for crypto-friendly SECs and access to banks. In a bid to do so, crypto companies have pumped in over $119 million to support pro-crypto candidates. Says Edul Patel, co-founder and CEO of Mudrex, "Market sentiment grew stronger from Bloomberg's report of Trump’s plan to establish a dedicated White House role for crypto policy. The anticipation of faster regulatory clarity coupled with BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF options projecting a $176k price target by 2026 has driven BTC’s price to the $95K milestone and beyond." The ongoing rally is not restricted to just bitcoin but also extended to Solana and XRP, which gained 10.85% and 59.02%, respectively, over the last 7 days. But does this mean that good times are coming for <keyword id="19991358" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Indian-markets" source="keywords">Indian markets</keyword> as well? Apurva Sheth, Head of Market Perspectives &amp; Research, SAMCO Securities, notes that bitcoin is a proxy for risk-taking in the markets. Bitcoin moving up means the risk appetite of investors is rising. Conversely, if it falls, then investors prefer safety." Both Nifty and Sensex have lost over 5% each over the last month. FIIs (<keyword id="19932515" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="foreign-institutional-investors" source="keywords">foreign institutional investors</keyword>) have also been scrambling out of Indian markets, having withdrawn Rs 1,14,445.89 crores during October 2024 and offloading Rs 34,348.30 crore so far in November. During trade today, Nifty and Sensex remained in red, with Nifty down by 0.74% and Sensex down by 0.6%. DIIs (domestic institutional investors) have been trying to keep the market afloat in both October and November, pumping in Rs 31,636.77 crore in Indian markets in November so far. Last month, DIIs infused Rs 1,07,254.68 crore in the Indian markets. According to an NSE report, by the end of the previous quarter, FPIs holding in NSE-listed companies stood at 36.3%, despite the seventh consecutive quarterly decline. Previously, FIIs holding in listed companies had hit a record high of 39.9% in December 2021. In contrast, DIIs are increasingly making headway into the Indian markets. Active Domestic Mutual Funds (DMFs) have been increasing their investments in the NSE-listed companies. Their ownership in these companies has risen from 12.4% in December 2021 to 15.7% as of September 30, 2024. Banks and insurance companies have also expanded their market share. Their ownership in NSE-listed companies has grown from 8.8% three years ago to 11% as of pr quarter.

The Bitcoin rally does not seem to be stopping anytime soon! Does this spell good news for Indian markets?

Economists at the country's largest lender, SBI, today said they see India's Q2 real GDP growth slowing down further to 6.5% in the September quarter of this fiscal year. Amid concerns over the country's economic growth rate and whether it is slowing down, the analysts said they expect FY25 growth to come "closer to" 7%. SBI analysts join a long line of agencies like Fitch, ADB, IMF, Moody, World Bank, S&amp;P, and even RBI in forecasting India's GDP growth for FY25 in the range of 6.8% to 7.2% for FY25, driven by robust consumption and investment. SIP inflows have been at an all-time high, and so has QIP (qualified institutional placement) fundraising. As many as 71 companies raised Rs 88,678 crore this year through QIPs. Activity in Indian primary markets also remained robust, with 78 mainboard IPOs in 2024; this is a 111% rise from just 38 listings in FY23. Between April and June 2024, India's real GDP grew by 6.7%, the lowest growth seen in 15 quarters, pushing experts to believe that India is caught in a cycle of slowdown. "There is some incipient pressure evident on the domestic economy. Based on our analysis of 50 meaningful leading indicators (both consumption and demand-centric), a dip looks plausible across select cohorts of agriculture, industry, and services in Q2," the <keyword id="22337294" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="SBI-economists" source="keywords">SBI economists</keyword> added. Stating that they track 50 indicators to gauge economic activity, SBIs note said the proportion of indicators showing acceleration declined to 69% in Q2 FY25, as against 80% in Q2 FY24 and 78% in Q1 FY25. However, things might be changing now, given that rural demand has started looking up amidst muted urban demand. SBI also explained that the ongoing regulatory tightening on unsecured lending and roadblocks that are hindering rollover/refinancing of debt through unsecured credit are dismantling the unwarranted exuberance that had built up post-pandemic, especially in the urban areas. Madhu Lunawat, CIO &amp; Fund Manager, Bharat Value Fund states that the overall investment environment remains strong due to favorable economic conditions supporting government policies &amp; reforms. "The sustainable inflow from domestic investors is going to support the Indian equity market in any kind of correction. The long-term bullish structure of Indian economy will continue to attract new domestic &amp; global investors to participate in India’s growth story through various Investment avenues.” <h2>Rate cuts not on cards</h2>RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das clarified today that changing the monetary policy stance to 'neutral' does not mean a rate cut is imminent in the central bank's next policy announcement. Notably, RBI MPC is set to meet between December 4 and 6, 2024, to decide if the prevailing repo rate of 6.5%, which has stayed unchanged for the last 2 years, should be brought down or not. In its last meeting, The <keyword id="20501100" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="RBI-monetary-policy" source="keywords">RBI monetary policy</keyword> committee had shifted its stance to 'neutral' indicating that it is open to adjusting interest rates based on economic conditions. "It should not be assumed that we have done this, so therefore the next step is a rate cut. A change in stance doesn't mean that the next step is a rate cut in the very next meeting. It's not so," Das said. Das also cautioned that inflation remains a key factor, and inflation and CPI prints for October are expected to stay high.

SBI economists see Q2 GDP growth slowing down to 6.5%; FY25 growth to be closer to 7%

<ul class="summary-list"><li>The small-cap-heavy Russell 2000 jumped as much as 5% on Wednesday after Donald Trump's victory.</li><li>Small-caps stand to benefit from Trump's protectionist trade and deregulation policies.</li></ul>Small-cap stocks have taken off after Donald Trump secured a second term in the White House.The <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/ishares_russell_2000_etf_cert_deposito_arg_repr_01_sh-stock?miRedirects=1">Russell 2000</a> surged as much as 5% on Wednesday. The index tracks small-cap companies, which are seen as major beneficiaries of a Trump presidency. The index is now up roughly 17% year-to-date.The Trump administration's protectionist plan is at least partially designed to protect domestic business. Throughout his campaign, Trump has promised double-digit tariffs on virtually all US exports, citing that China could face as much as a 60% tax rate.In a note ahead of the election, JPMorgan also noted that small-caps could benefit under Trump due to deregulation and possible tax cuts targeting domestic-oriented businesses.Small-caps were not the only <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-media-truth-social-djt-tesla-stock-crypto-election-energy-2024-11">sector to jump after Trump's victory</a>.Financial stocks also gained on the prospect of easier regulation and tax cuts. Meanwhile, Trump's supportive stance on cryptocurrency sent <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-media-truth-social-djt-tesla-stock-crypto-election-energy-2024-11">bitcoin soaring to fresh record high</a>.Amid market losers, however, were clean-energy stocks, with stocks such as <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/plug-stock">Plug Power</a> and <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/run-stock">SunRun</a> falling over 10% in pre-market trading. Concern has mounted that the president-elect could try to repeal the Inflation Reduction Act that provides tax credits to renewable-energy firms.

The market's smallest stocks are rocketing higher with Trump's protectionist policies seen favoring domestic operators

In 2024, many professionals are letting go of "hustle-culture" and are leaning towards prioritising their health and personal life. <keyword id="19901232" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="work-life-balance" source="keywords">Work-life balance</keyword> is being talked about a lot and people are quick to label working culture of a company as toxic if something doesn't sit right with them. Something similar happened with a British CEO, who denied her employee's two-day wedding leave and put up a post about it on social media. Tickner, who heads a marketing company, posted on Threads about her decision, but instead of gaining support, she found herself in the middle of a <keyword id="20638490" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="social-media-storm" source="keywords">social media storm</keyword>. <h2>CEO's post goes viral</h2>Tickner’s post, which has since gone viral with over 3 million views, led to accusations of creating a <keyword id="20707311" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="toxic-workplace" source="keywords">toxic workplace</keyword> and ‘rage baiting’—posting controversial content to provoke strong reactions. She explained that her employee had already taken 2.5 weeks off and had failed to train someone to cover for them during their wedding, leaving the team with two crucial projects to manage. In her post, Tickner said she had asked the employee to “find a replacement” and train them on their daily tasks before taking any further leave. She also threw in a confusing statement: “With our <keyword id="23637832" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="unlimited-time-off" source="keywords">unlimited time off</keyword> policy, don’t ask next time!” leaving readers scratching their heads over the true nature of her company’s leave policy. <div type="image" title="google (15)" msid="114449887" hostid="261"></div> <h2>Unlimited leave, or not?</h2> Tickner attempted to clarify her company’s <keyword id="23637833" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Flexible-Time-Off" source="keywords">Flexible Time Off</keyword> policy, which she claimed allows employees to set their own work hours, work from anywhere, and take time off when they choose. However, this policy seemed at odds with her denial of the wedding leave, leading to further criticism. Under this supposedly flexible system, Tickner explained, “A-players don’t respect slackers,” implying that those who take too much time off lose respect within the team. However, her statements only deepened the confusion, as people struggled to reconcile the concept of ‘unlimited time off’ with her actions. <h2>"Typical Corporate," says internet</h2> It didn’t take long for social media users to pick apart her logic. Many pointed out the contradiction in her demanding the employee train a replacement while boasting about the simplicity of her team’s processes. Tickner’s attempts to defend herself—by claiming that most tasks could wait until the employee returned—did little to calm the backlash. One user said, “That’s right, don’t ask next time! She should just tell you that she needs the two days off no matter what. She should tell you next time, not ask. And isn’t finding a replacement your responsibility? Typical corporate." Another user commented that it is the manager's job to ensure that people are able to take their time off, "Well… what if everyone in the team declines to cover for them? Now my “unlimited PTO” is suddenly dependent on whether a colleague is willing to cover for me, which is a terrible idea, unless you have a reasonable, realistic system that incentivizes folks to cover for someone else. In my team - although we don’t have unlimited PTO and people are provided 26 days of PTO (excl. sick leave) - it’s the managers job to make sure people are able to take their time off," they wrote. There are many more reactions on the post and people are calling out the CEO continuously for her posts.

'Typical corporate': CEO boasts about denying 2-day wedding leave to employee, gets schooled on social media

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Donald Trump's policies may impact legal immigrants in tech, sparking fears of a worker shortage.</li><li>In his last term, Trump paused some work visa programs used by tech firms to hire skilled talent.</li></ul>Many in the tech industry are concerned that President Donald Trump will make it harder to hire immigrants, sapping an important source of technical talent for the sector."If the backlash against immigrants impacts the flow of really talented people into the country, that's probably not good for us overall," said Michael Greeley, a general partner at Flare Capital Partners, a healthcare technology investor.Trump's election win could lead to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-harris-immigration-jobs-arizona-economy-mass-deportation-employment-wages-2024-10">mass deportations of </a><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-deportation-immigration-plan-impact-recession-risk-inflation-stagflation-labor-2024-6">undocumented immigrants.</a> Trump's campaign has also promised to complete the southern border wall and revive the "<a target="_blank" href="https://time.com/7022828/trump-travel-ban-refugees-gaza/">famous</a> travel ban," which restricted people from countries that were predominately Muslim to enter the US. This order <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/jan/30/donald-trump-travel-ban-tech-workers-muslim-immigration">left many tech workers</a> stranded outside of the US in 2017.What's less understood is how the president-elect will shape a legal immigration system that pipes high-skilled workers from outside the US into coveted tech jobs.It's hard to estimate the number of legal immigrants working in the tech sector due to the variety of visa types available to them. The H-1B visa program is the nation's largest temporary work visa program, with over 600,000 workers across 50,000 employers. According to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/reports/OLA_Signed_H-1B_Characteristics_Congressional_Report_FY2023.pdf">USCIS data</a>, the majority of petitions approved in the previous fiscal year, 65%, went to workers in computer-related roles.The new year should bring clarity on H-1Bs, said Hiba Mona Anver, a Silicon Valley-based immigration attorney who works with tech startups. In the meantime, she and other attorneys say they're getting on the phone with clients."I wouldn't go as far as to say that I'm sensing anxiety per se," Anver said, but there is "a sense of the need to prepare.""Trump doesn't have a great track record of supporting the visas that are critical to startup founders and early employees who want to build companies in the US," said Jenny Fielding, cofounder and managing partner of Everywhere Ventures, which invests globally.In his first term, Trump fashioned himself as the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.uscis.gov/archive/buy-american-and-hire-american-putting-american-workers-first">"Buy American, Hire American"</a> president. He signed an executive order to suspend some temporary work visas like the H-1B for skilled workers, a move that <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/silicon-valley-to-feel-impact-trumps-h-1b-visa-order-2020-6">hit tech hardest</a>. His administration saw an increase of <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/more-h-1b-visa-applications-rejected-under-trump-2019-2">denial rates</a> for visa applications and more requests for evidence seeking further proof of workers' eligibility."From 2016 to 2020, the average denial rate for H1-B visas was over 17%, compared to just 3.2% under President Biden," said Palo Alto-based immigration attorney Sophie Alcorn.Under stricter immigration laws, the tech industry could snap back to a pandemic-era worker shortage, especially for companies at the frontier. Experts told Business Insider the sector <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tech-workers-real-winners-ai-talent-war-pay-2024-7">is already understaffed</a>, and recruiting for artificial intelligence skills is particularly tough as <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/inside-the-ai-hiring-frenzy-big-tech-talent-war-2024-3">every company scrambles to hire workers</a> capable of leading them into the future.Anna Rathbun, chief investment officer of CBIZ, a Cleveland-based financial advisory, previously told Business Insider, "You shouldn't ban exports on chips and then completely export the talented labor. That makes no sense."Aaron Levie, the chief executive of Box and one of Silicon Valley's senior statesmen, offered hope that Elon Musk, at Trump's side, could bring a fresh approach to the issue."Our high skilled immigration system is frozen in time and not responsive to the market," Levie <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://x.com/levie/status/1854733432410325002">posted</a> on social media site X. "We have far more demand for the top talent to work for and start companies here than we let in. It's a bipartisan issue that politicians don't touch. Someone like Elon finally could do it."Musk, a strong supporter of Trump and who <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-could-help-deregulate-tech-amid-a-trump-victory-2024-11">could be considered for a role</a> in the administration, replied, "I agree."The AI skills gap is so severe that tech firms are <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tech-companies-raid-top-university-campuses-rare-artificial-intelligence-talent-2023-4">scouring university programs</a>, enticing students with six-figure salaries and resources far beyond what academia can offer.In podcast interviews over the years, Trump has also discussed the importance of attracting the best and brightest. He even suggested during an appearance on the tech-favorite podcast "All-In" in June that non-US students who graduate from US colleges <a target="_blank" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-foreign-college-graduates-should-automatically-get-green-cards-2024-06-20/">should get green cards</a>.There could be reasons for optimism for the tech industry given newer figures in Trump's orbit, Alcorn noted. Vice President-elect JD Vance has a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/jd-vance-venture-capital-opioid-nonprofit-tech-record-ohio-senate-2021-8">venture capital background</a>, and Musk is an immigrant himself <a target="_blank" href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/28/us/elon-musk-immigration-washington-post-cec/index.html">who has said</a> he was on an H1-B visa previously.<div type="image" title="Elon Musk and Donald Trump shake hands" height="683" width="911" msid="115143545" hostid="261" sizebytes="27914"></div>Chris Farmer, founder of SignalFire, an early-stage investor, said tech elites like Vance and Musk will "have his ear" on setting a new standard for high-skilled immigration, though for how long is uncertain.The Trump campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment from Business Insider.One visa holder told Business Insider she expects H-1Bs will become more difficult to obtain under Trump.Shin Yi Chong, who received her H1-B visa in 2019, was recently laid off from her tech job as a product manager. After living in the US for roughly a decade, she said she now has weeks to find a new job or face deportation."Just seeing historical data from what happened when Trump was in office the last time," she said, "I don't foresee it changing in a positive direction."Shubhangi Goel and Riddhi Kanetkar contributed reporting.

Silicon Valley is on edge as Trump's immigration policy sparks fears of a high-tech talent shortage

<ul class="summary-list"><li><keyword id="19900599" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Israel" source="keywords">Israel</keyword>'s Benjamin <keyword id="19934489" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Netanyahu" source="keywords">Netanyahu</keyword> has launched a series of devastating attacks on <keyword id="19925799" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Hezbollah" source="keywords">Hezbollah</keyword>.</li><li>He has rejected or ignored a series of attempts by the US to head off a wider conflict.</li></ul>Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is rapidly escalating Israel's campaign against its regional foes, and trampling on US <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-warns-israel-dont-make-same-mistakes-sept-11-hamas-2023-10">diplomatic efforts</a> in the process. In the latest sign he is ignoring US warnings, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-special-forces-launch-raids-into-lebanon-ahead-of-possible-ground-incursion-bf2fe94d?mod=hp_lead_pos1">The Wall Street Journal reported</a> that Israeli special operations forces were carrying out raids into southern Lebanon ahead of a possible ground incursion this week. The raids were aimed at gathering intelligence and discovering Hezbollah's weakness, the Journal said. Amir Avivi, a former senior Israeli military official, told the publication that a <keyword id="19974385" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="ground-invasion" source="keywords">ground invasion</keyword> is imminent, a major escalation that Israeli officials have been threatening for months. "The IDF has made a lot of preparations for a ground incursion," Avivi said. "Overall, this always includes special operations. This is part of the process." The raids follow an unprecedented series of strikes from Israel. In the early hours of Monday, Israel struck central Beirut for the first time since 2006. It also confirmed it had killed Fateh Sherif Abu el-Amin, a Hamas leader, in Lebanon. That came after the assassination of Hezbollah's top leader, <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/netanyahu-tricked-nasrallah-with-un-speech-official-says-2024-9" target="_blank">Hassan Nasrallah</a>, in a massive explosion in a suburb of Beirut on Friday, which dramatically raised the stakes of Israel's yearlong war against Iran-backed militias in the wake of the October 7 terrorist attacks. Israel's stepped-up campaign against Hezbollah could be preparations for a ground invasion of Lebanon, and it risks triggering another direct confrontation with Iran. <h2>US attempts to deter a wider war</h2>US President Joe <keyword id="19918394" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Biden" source="keywords">Biden</keyword> has long been seeking to prevent Israel's campaign against Hamas in Gaza from spiraling into a bigger war, potentially dragging in the US and regional powers. However, some critics have claimed his approach has failed because the US-supplied arms have allowed Netanyahu's embattled government to continue escalating and widening the war. "Without <keyword id="20040842" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="US-support" source="keywords">US support</keyword>, this war would not have been possible," Gilbert Achcar, Professor of International Relations at SOAS University of London told <a target="_blank" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bZ6F4SGQPQg">France 24</a>. "It's actually the joint US-Israeli war." "It's not so much the Israelis who are treating him as an irrelevance," Jasmine El-Galal, who was a Pentagon advisor during the Obama administration, told <a href="https://inews.co.uk/news/world/netanyahu-torched-hopes-ceasefire-watched-powerlessly-3300370" target="_blank">The Independent</a>. "It's that Biden is not actually trying seriously to effect any change. He's been complaining about Netanyahu for almost a year now," she said, "but in the meantime, the US continues to send arms and funds to Israel." The US last week appeared to have been on the brink of negotiating a cross-border ceasefire between <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/israel-likely-used-bunker-buster-bombs-strike-kill-hezbollah-chief-2024-9">Israel and Hezbollah</a> — but just 24 hours later Israel assassinated Nasrallah. It was a strike that, according to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/how-israel-killed-hezbollahs-leader-in-underground-bunker-52946d6d?mod=hp_trendingnow_article_pos1">The Journal, shocked</a> US officials. The publication, citing unnamed US officials, said Israel did not tip off its most important ally about the strike before it was carried out. The White House described the killing as "a measure of justice for his many victims," though again urged against further escalation. Hezbollah was involved in the 1983 bombings of the US Embassy in Beirut and the US Marine Corps barracks. <div type="image" title="img66fa8d0b7518aa57bc9f1ddd" height="683" width="1024" msid="113823951" hostid="261" sizebytes="49606" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Beirut after Israel&amp;#39;s assassination of Hezbollah&amp;#39;s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, in September.&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div>"We are shocked," one US official told CNN after Netanyahu rejected the ceasefire proposal before Israel launched the all-out attacks. It's the latest in a series of incidents in which the Israeli leader has ignored or rejected President Joe Biden's attempts to restrain Israeli military action in Gaza and, more recently, Lebanon. <h2>Netanyahu believes he is 'winning the war'</h2>A former British military chief said that may be because Netanyahu believes that he is winning the war in the Middle East. General Lord Richard Dannatt told <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://news.sky.com/story/body-of-hezbollah-leader-hassan-nasrallah-recovered-in-tact-from-attack-site-in-beirut-13224541">Sky News </a>on Sunday that Netanyahu believes he can "press on" with the conflict. "A ground invasion of Lebanon is increasingly threatened," he told the outlet. He said the US has been urging Israel to pull back but hasn't been doing enough to "effectively" stop Netanyahu. "It is still supplying weapons and a lot of the stuff that Israel needs," Dannatt said. "On the one hand. the US is calling for restraint, but on the other. they are not effectively stopping Netanyahu, and he believes that he is winning this war." <h2>Ignoring red lines</h2>The US is by far the biggest supplier of arms to Israel. According to the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.cfr.org/article/us-aid-israel-four-charts">Council on Foreign Relations</a>, since the start of Israel's war with Hamas on October 7, 2023, the US has put in place legislation providing at least $12.5 billion in military aid to Israel. Overall, since 2009, it has provided Israel with $3.4 billion in funding for missile defense, including $1.3 billion in the development of Israel's Iron Dome system, according to figures from the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.state.gov/u-s-security-cooperation-with-israel/">Bureau of Political-Military Affairs.</a> It's a big trading partner outside of arms, too. US exports to Israel last year amounted to just over $14 billion, per figures from the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/exports/israel#:~:text=United%20States%20Exports%20to%20Israel%20was%20US%2414.03%20Billion%20during,COMTRADE%20database%20on%20international%20trade.">United Nations COMTRADE database on international trade.</a> Despite this, Netanyahu has ignored a series of red lines from Biden over how Israel conducts its campaign and rejected US pressure to reach a cease-fire deal with Hamas. <a target="_blank" href="https://foreignpolicy.com/author/sarah-leah-whitson/">Sarah Leah Whitson</a>, the executive director of Democracy for the Arab World Now, in an article for <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/09/18/biden-israel-icc-icj-gaza-netanyahu-international-law/">Foreign Policy in September, </a>argued that Biden's reluctance to hold Israel to account was undermining the rules-based international order the president claims to champion. Some are claiming that as his term in office coming to an end, Biden is giving up. The White House has pushed back against these claims. "No, he absolutely hasn't given up," White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cr4xnq2zqlgo">told CNN </a>about reaching a deal to end the war in Gaza last week. After the devastating blows Israel has dealt to its enemies in recent days, exposing the limits of their power and the reach of Israeli intelligence and weapons, Netanyahu likely believes that the impetus is with him. But a widening conflict would likely not come to a conclusion quickly, US officials are warning. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken warned in the wake of last week's collapsed US peace effort that if Israel rejects diplomacy, it will result in "greater instability and insecurity, the ripples of which will be felt around the world." "The choices that all parties make in coming days will determine which path this region is on with profound consequences for its people now and possibly for years to come,"Blinken said. Correction: September 30, 2024 — An earlier version of this story misspelled the name of a former Pentagon advisor. It's Jasmine El-Gamal, not Jazmine El-Galal.

Israeli commandos raid Lebanon — the latest sign Netanyahu is ignoring Biden's warnings

The <keyword id="19899810" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Reserve-Bank-of-India" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Reserve Bank of India" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Reserve Bank of India">Reserve Bank of India</keyword> announced the decision of the newly formed six-member MPC (<keyword id="19913109" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Monetary-Policy-Committee" source="keywords">Monetary Policy Committee</keyword>) today, following the conclusion of the three-day meeting, which began on October 7, 2024. Treading along expected lines, RBI rate-setting panel left the repo rate unchanged at 6.5% for the 10th consecutive time, in its 51st meeting today. The decision was made by a majority, with 5 out of 6 members voting for leaving the rate unchanged. This is the fourth bi-monthly monetary policy review for FY25, and the first since three external members were appointed to the panel earlier this month. The tenure of the previous three members had come to an end on October 4, 2024. While the outgoing members include Ashima Goyal (emeritus professor, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research), Shashanka Bhide (honorary senior advisor, National Council of Applied Economic Research); and Jayanth R. Varma(professor, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad), the income members are Ram Singh (Director, Delhi School of Economics), Saugata Bhattacharya, an economist; and Nagesh Kumar (Director and chief executive, Institute for Studies in Industrial Development). <h2>Wait and Watch </h2>RBI also changed its policy stance to neutral, while remaining committed to growth and bringing down inflation to its target of 4%. This means that at present, the bank is not inclined to either increase or decrease the interest rates, but will take a call depending on macroeconomic conditions and prevailing factors. "Taking all these factors into consideration, the real GDP growth for 2024-25 is projected at 7.2%, with Q2 at 7%, Q3 at 7.4% and Q4 at 7.4%", he said. As for inflation, Das highlighted that headline inflation had softened significantly in July and August and even food inflation experienced a certain degree of correction during these two months. Keeping this in mind, CPI inflation for 2024-25 i.e. current year is projected at 4.5%, with Q2 at 4.1%, Q3 at 4.8% and Q4 at 4.2%. CPI for first quarter of next financial year i.e. 2025-26 is estimated at 4.3%. "It's with a lot of effort that inflation horse has been brought to the stable, i.e. closer to the target and within the tolerance span, compared to its place or heightened levels two years ago. We have to be very careful about opening the gate, as the horse may simply hold again. We must keep the horse in tight leash, so that we do not lose control", Das added. Most economists had anticipated a change in the central bank's current policy stance of 'withdrawal of accommodation'. This policy stand indicates that any interest rate cuts are presently off the table. However, given the ongoing geopolitical crisis and Fed's jumbo rate cut by 50-basis points last month, RBI may bring about a cut in interest rates, sooner than later. However, since food inflation remains high at 5.42% as of July 2024, experts had also estimated that now might not have been a good time for RBI to bring down interest rates. Moreover, PMI (purchase managers index) indices, which help in gauging the health of manufacturing and service sectors in the country, presently stand at a multi-month low, and even the core sector output is witnessing a contraction after 42 straight months. As Suman Chowdhury, Executive Director &amp; Chief Economist, Acuité Ratings &amp; Research had highlighted, the current circumstances are not really conducive for RBI to opt for any affirmation action towards an easier monetary policy. "While the fear of the inflation “elephant” may have subsided with the CPI headline print well within 4.0% over the last two months and a favorable monsoon, the concerns around the stability of food inflation still linger among policy makers. The RBI may wait till December 2024 or February 2025 to make a rat cut, he continued. <h2>Housing sector rejoices</h2>From the point of view of homebuyers, the relatively affordable home loan interest rate regime will continue at a critical time for the Indian housing market - the festive season - amid rising housing prices and tapered sales. Q3 2024 saw average housing prices rise by a cumulative 23% in the top 7 cities even as average prices in these markets collectively rose to approximately Rs 8,390 per sq. ft. by Q3 2024-end, from Rs 6,800 per sq. ft. in Q3 2023. "The unchanged home loan rates are much-needed demand support in the ongoing festive quarter. We are expecting faster sales momentum in Q4 2024 when compared to the preceding quarter. This year's festive quarter may see similar demand to that seen in this period a year ago, if not higher. Over 1.27 lakh units were sold across the top 7 cities back in Q4 2023. Unchanged interest rates will play and important role in achieving and maintaining this momentum", says Anuj Puri, Chairman - ANAROCK Group

RBIs MPC meet concludes today: Repo rate left unchanged at 6.5%

<ul><li>The <keyword id="19899810" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Reserve-Bank-of-India" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Reserve Bank of India" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Reserve Bank of India">Reserve Bank of India</keyword>’s <keyword id="20104157" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="monetary-policy" source="keywords">monetary policy</keyword> meeting is set to begin today.</li><li>The central bank will announce the outcome of the <keyword id="22684891" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="MPC-meeting" source="keywords">MPC meeting</keyword> on October 9.</li><li><keyword id="19899808" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="RBI" source="keywords">RBI</keyword> has kept the <keyword id="20094323" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="repo-rate" source="keywords">repo rate</keyword> unchanged for the last nine consecutive meetings.</li></ul>The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is set to begin its three-day monetary policy meeting on Monday and will run from October 7 to October 9. All eyes are on the outcome, as the central bank has kept the repo rate unchanged for the last nine consecutive meetings. The repo rate, currently at 6.50%, has remained steady since the RBI adopted a cautious stance to balance inflation control and economic growth. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), headed by RBI Governor <keyword id="19913110" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Shaktikanta-Das" source="keywords">Shaktikanta Das</keyword>, is expected to weigh key factors like inflationary trends, global economic uncertainties, and domestic growth prospects. Inflation continues to be a challenge, particularly in food and fuel prices, which saw a surge earlier this year. As per the data from the Ministry of Statistics &amp; Programme Implementation, though the All India Consumer Price inflation in August was 3.65%, which is under the RBI target band the food inflation stands at 5.65% and it remains above the RBI's medium-term target of 4%. Despite these inflationary pressures, the RBI has opted for a status quo on the repo rate, primarily to support economic recovery post-pandemic. However, there are rising concerns that external factors, like the rising global crude oil prices and tensions in West Asia, may compel the RBI to reconsider its current stance. Earlier this month the central government appointed three new members to the monetary policy committee. The MPC comprises three members from the RBI and three external members appointed by the Central Government. The newly reconstituted committee consists of the Governor of the Reserve Bank of India as the Chairperson, ex officio; the Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of India, in charge of monetary policy--Member, ex officio, and one officer of the Reserve Bank of India, nominated by the Central Board -- Member, ex officio. The new external members included in the MPC are Professor Ram Singh, Director, Delhi School of Economics, University of Delhi, Saugata Bhattacharya, economist; and Dr. Nagesh Kumar, Director and Chief Executive, Institute for Studies in Industrial Development. Market participants and analysts are closely monitoring this meeting for any forward guidance on future rate actions. Many believe the central bank will continue its wait-and-watch approach, but a surprise rate hike cannot be entirely ruled out. On September 18, the <keyword id="19901377" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="US-Federal-Reserve" source="keywords">US Federal Reserve</keyword> announced a steep 50 basis points interest cut in its review meeting. US Fed announced the rate cuts after holding interest rates steady for eight straight meetings. The outcome of the MPC meeting will be announced on October 9 and will set the tone for future monetary policies amid the changing global economic landscape. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will commence its three-day monetary policy meeting on Monday, October 7th, and continue until October 9th. The result of this meeting is eagerly anticipated, as the central bank has maintained a steady repo rate for the past nine consecutive meetings. The repo rate has remained at 6.50% since the RBI adopted a cautious approach to balance inflation control and economic growth. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), led by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, will consider various factors, including inflationary trends, global economic uncertainties, and domestic growth prospects. Inflation remains a challenge, particularly in food and fuel prices, which surged earlier this year. According to data from the Ministry of Statistics &amp; Programme Implementation, All India Consumer Price inflation in August was 3.65%, within the RBI's target band, however, food inflation stands at 5.65%, exceeding the RBI's medium-term target of 4%. Despite inflationary pressures, the RBI has opted to maintain the repo rate to support economic recovery post-pandemic. Nonetheless, rising concerns about external factors, such as increasing global crude oil prices due to tensions in West Asia, may prompt the RBI to reassess its current stance. Earlier this month, the central government appointed three new members to the monetary policy committee. The MPC consists of three members from the RBI and three external members appointed by the Central Government. It is worth noting that on September 18, the US Federal Reserve announced a substantial 50 basis points interest rate cut in its review meeting, reversing its previous stance of holding rates steady for eight consecutive meetings. With inputs from ANI. SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/september-auto-sales-automakers-report-a-decline-mahindra-and-mahindra-overtakes-tata-motors/articleshow/113925972.cms">September Auto sales – Automakers report a decline, Mahindra and Mahindra overtakes Tata Motors</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/ola-electric-continues-to-lose-market-share-as-bajaj-auto-and-tvs-motor-gain/articleshow/113900252.cms">Ola Electric continues to lose market share as Bajaj Auto and TVS Motor gain</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/telecom/news/airtel-is-using-ai-powered-technology-to-block-spam-calls-and-messages/articleshow/113691942.cms">Airtel is using AI-powered technology to block spam calls and messages</a>

RBI's monetary policy committee meeting begins today, announcement on October 9

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Neither Harris nor Trump outline specific disaster-relief policies on their website.</li><li>Their records, however, offer clues into how they'd deal with natural disasters as president.</li></ul>As another <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/hurricane-milton-evacuation-empty-gas-station-full-hotels-gridlock-traffic-2024-10">hurricane</a> threatens to devastate swaths of the Southeast, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are under new scrutiny about their disaster response strategies. And though neither have specifically addressed how they'd approach disaster relief on their campaign websites, their environmental records offer clues into how they might deal with similar crises in the future.When Hurricane Helene bore down on six states, and with particular force in North Carolina and Georgia, both Harris and Trump said that the focus should be on providing aid, not politics. But the storm, which has killed more than 230 people and destroyed entire towns, has already crept into the presidential race. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/hurricane-helene-milton-tampa-florida-desantis-clean-disaster-dangerous-2024-10">Hurricane Milton is expected to hit Florida</a> on Wednesday night, only exacerbating the focus on environmental devastation."Disasters are always political," Thomas Birkland, a political scientist at North Carolina State University who studies the politics of national disasters, told Business Insider. He said that disaster relief is not, however, usually <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/hurricane-milton-category-five-threatens-florida-fema-funding-2024-10">discussed during campaigns</a>.Timothy Kneeland, a professor at Nazareth University who studies politics and natural disasters, thinks that as hurricanes become more common, candidates should address them more explicitly."Having a short but clear statement on disasters should be part of any campaigner's policy," he wrote in a statement to BI.Both candidates have visited impacted areas, with Trump visiting Georgia on September 30 and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-crises-middle-east-strike-hurricane-election-2024-10">Harris on October 2</a>. Republicans criticized Harris for attending a fundraising event in California when Helene struck, while she maintained that politicians should stay out of the most devastated areas as first responders begin their early work.In the days since Hurricane Helene, Trump has spread misinformation about the storm and response efforts, prompting the Federal Emergency Management Agency to publish a fact-checking page. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/hurricane-helene-relief-disinformation-misinformation-north-carolina-democrats-republicans-2024-10">Democrats and Republicans alike</a> say that the baseless claims are complicating <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-elon-musk-starlink-hurricane-helene-fema-2024-9">clean-up efforts</a>, and Harris has put out a digital ad slamming his former disaster relief. When he was president, Trump responded to several hurricanes. As with Hurricane Helene, he <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.vox.com/politics/376982/trump-hurricane-helene-fema-lies-debunked">publicized</a> misinformation. When Hurricane Dorian threatened Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina, he incorrectly said that its path included Alabama as well. During a briefing in the Oval Office, he showed a map of the hurricane's path that included a Sharpie mark extending the storm's reach to Alabama. Trump also falsely claimed that the death toll from Hurricane Maria in 2017 was overblown, the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/08/trump-hurricane-helene-natural-disasters/">Washington Post reported</a>.The former president occasionally threatened to hold back disaster funding over political spats. In 2020, for example, he floated withholding money from flood-ravaged Michigan because he was frustrated with absentee voting procedures in the state."A charitable interpretation would be mixed on crisis management," Birkland told BI about Trump's past responses to natural disasters. Kneeland said that storm victims and disaster experts largely criticized his handling of Hurricane Maria.During his time in office, Trump's administration rolled back more than 125 environmental rules, the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/climate/trump-environment-rollbacks-list.html">Washington Post</a> found, with a big focus on deregulating the fossil fuel industry. Trump's campaign has, according to Birkland, "been pretty clear that it disdains alternative fuels."Harris doesn't have a presidential record to back up her approach to disaster relief, but Birkland anticipates she'd take a relatively similar approach to President Joe Biden.As attorney general, Harris prosecuted oil companies that broke environmental rules. During her tenure as vice president, she voted for the Inflation Reduction Act, which devoted $370 billion to reducing greenhouse gas emissions.But both Birkland and Kneeland told BI that Harris has become less aggressive about addressing climate change this election, likely in an attempt to court more moderate voters."Harris' position is a little murkier," Birkland said. "Harris has been clear that we should be doing things like alternative energy, but also supports, as of recent months, continued fossil fuel production. So it's kind of a both-and strategy."Presidents are somewhat limited in their disaster responses — both Kneeland and Birkland told BI that states and local governments lead disaster responses, with the federal government's assistance."Even when FEMA is on the ground they must work within the structure of existing state and local government," Kneeland said in his written statement. The responsibility is, he said, layered throughout the government.Regardless, all eyes are on how Harris and Trump respond to the twin storms — and the outcome of the election could theoretically hang in the balance. Kneeland said that disaster response can either greatly boost or doom an incumbent, pointing to instances as varied as Hurricane Betsey in 1965, Hurricane Andrew in 1992, and Hurricane Katrina in 2005.Though Birkland doesn't anticipate that the hurricanes will sway many voters, he said that even a small impact in swing states could matter."I think most people's minds are made up. I think that you're really dealing with the margins," he said. "On the other hand, this election is going to be won or lost on the margins, so that matters."

Hurricanes are taking the election by storm. Here's where Harris and Trump stand on natural disaster policies.

For the first time since 202o, the US <keyword id="19904332" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Federal-Reserve" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Federal Reserve" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Federal Reserve">Federal Reserve</keyword> cut down the benchmark <keyword id="19950650" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="interest-rates" source="keywords">interest rates</keyword> by 50 basis points , bringing the target rate range to 4.75%-5%, from its previous scope of 5.25% to 5.5%. The decision, which was taken 11:1, was not unanimous, a striking departure from all other unanimous interest rate decisions taken by Fed over the last 2 years. Per chairman <keyword id="20058769" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="jerome-powell" source="keywords">Jerome Powell</keyword>, the decision was taken in light of easing inflationary pressures in the US economy, which came down to 2.53% this month, as opposed to 2.89% a month prior, and 3.67% last year. "In light of the progress on inflation and the balance of risks, the Committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/2 percentage point to 4-3/4 to 5 percent. In considering additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. The Committee is strongly committed to supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2 percent objective", the FOMC committee highlighted in its statement. Signaling more aggressive rate cuts going ahead, Fed projections implied an additional 50 bps rate cut from current levels within 2024, with rate trims going as high as 100 bps in 2025, and another 50 bps in 2026. Notably, last month, Powell had strongly hinted towards a rate cut, saying it was "time for policy to be adjusted". Over the last few years, high interest rates had made home equity loans and credit card interest rates super expensive. In March 2022, which was the first time Fed hiked interest, rates on home equity loans stood at 5.96%%. This has jumped to 8.49% in September 2o24. At 20.78%, credit card interest rates have also been sky-high, swelling by over 400 basis points since March 2022. Indian markets stay flat On Wednesday, Indian equity markets maintained a cautious outlook, with <keyword id="19950208" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="BSE-Sensex" source="keywords">BSE Sensex</keyword> and Nifty50 dipping by 0.16% each to close the day in red. During the day, both Sensex and Nifty scaled record highs of 83,326.38 points, and 25.377.55 points respectively. Most market experts anticipated a 25-bps rate cut, but with Fed delivering a mammoth-size cut, the focus is now set to shift from inflation to unemployment, with the rate cut offering much-needed, immediate relief to US economy, which has, for long, been battling high borrowing costs. Per Fed officials, unemployment is set to rise to 4.4% this year, up from its present rate of 4.2%, as recorded in August. Per Bloomberg reports, shortly after the announcement, gold prices also jumped to record highs. The prices of yellow metal were already hovering near all-time highs ahead of the announcement. A rate cut pushes to weaken the greenback, which is what gold is priced in internationally. This makes bullion cheaper, pushing up its demand globally.

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Israeli commandos raid Lebanon — the latest sign Netanyahu is ignoring Biden's warnings

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RBIs MPC meet concludes today: Repo rate left unchanged at 6.5%

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RBI's monetary policy committee meeting begins today, announcement on October 9

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Hurricanes are taking the election by storm. Here's where Harris and Trump stand on natural disaster policies.

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