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<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks surged after the September jobs report exceeded expectations with 254,000 jobs added.</li><li>Economists predicted 150,000 jobs; unemployment fell to 4.1% from 4.2%.</li></ul>US stocks surged on Friday after <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/september-jobs-report-unemployment-rate-nonfarm-payroll-growth-federal-reserve-2024-10">the September jobs report</a> blew past economist estimates.The US economy added 254,000 jobs last month, well ahead of economist estimates of 150,000 jobs. The strong job gains pushed the unemployment rate lower to 4.1% from 4.2%.According to ING chief economist James Knightley, the jobs report was "unambiguously strong.""On the face of this the Fed should be hiking rates with these sorts of figures, not cutting rates," Knightley said in a note on Friday.To that end, futures markets see little chance that the Federal Reserve will move ahead with another 50 basis point interest rate cut at its November FOMC meeting.The chances of a 50 basis point cut plunged to 10% after the jobs report was released, compared to 53% last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.Another strong aspect of the jobs report was wage gains, according to Capital Economics.There also appears to be something of a mini-resurgence in wage growth, with average hourly earnings increasing by 0.4% m/m, which was enough to push the annual growth rate up to 4.0%, a five-month high."There also appears to be something of a mini-resurgence in wage growth, with average hourly earnings increasing by 0.4% m/m, which was enough to push the annual growth rate up to 4.0%, a five-month high," Capital Economics' Paul Ashworth said.Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Friday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,741.71, up 0.73% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 42,265.77, up 0.61% (+254.18 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,119.55, up 1.12%</li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/spirit-airlines-chapter-11-bankruptcy-billion-debt-restructuring-2024-10">Spirit Airlines stock plunged after a report said it was considering filing for bankruptcy.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/costco-starts-selling-platinum-bars-gold-silver-retail-success-2024-10">Costco is selling platinum bars for $1,089 as it diversifies its booming precious metals business.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/nvidia-stock-price-jensen-huang-blackwell-gpu-demand-ai-tech-2024-10">Nvidia stock moved higher after CEO Jensen Huang said demand for its next-generation GPU chip is "insane."</a></li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil was up 0.83% to $74.32 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was higher by 0.81% to $78.25 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> was down 0.41% to $2,668.10 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield was higher by 11 basis point at 3.963%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> was higher by 1.31% to $61,544.</li></ul>

Stock market today: US stocks jump after blowout September jobs report

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Trump's election win sparked a surge in the S&amp;P 500, but risks from China loom.</li><li>China could significantly retaliate against Trump's proposed 60% tariff, Capital Economics said.</li></ul>The stock market <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-to-invest-trump-win-election-stock-market-outlook-strategy-2024-11">has zoomed higher</a> since President-elect Donald Trump's win last week, with the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> notching a quick 5% gain.Yet, while Trump's win opens the stock market to potentially more upside <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/market-impact-presidential-election-scenarios-trump-harris-stocks-bonds-crypto-2024-10">via tax cuts and deregulation</a>, it also <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-crash-risk-outlook-trump-deportation-tariff-anthony-scaramucci-2024-11">makes it more vulnerable to other risks.</a>According to chief market economist John Higgins of Capital Economics, the biggest risk looming for the S&amp;P 500 is China, specifically, its potential reaction to another Trump trade war."Perhaps the biggest risk to the S&amp;P 500, given that a bubble in the index has been inflated by hype around AI, would be a retaliatory clampdown by China on US big-tech firms' operations in its territory," Higgins wrote in a Monday note.During his campaign trail, Trump proposed a 60% tariff on all goods imported from China, which would be a sharp escalation from the 25% tariffs he placed on a select list of goods during his first administration.If Trump's proposed 60% tariff against China is enacted and the country responds aggressively, it would likely pressure some of America's most important companies, like <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/aapl-stock">Apple</a> and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/tsla-stock">Tesla</a>, which manufacture and sell their products in the country.China can do anything from restricting the sale of goods from American companies within its country to disrupting American companies' manufacturing operations.But Higgins believes that's an unlikely outcome, as an escalating trade war would hit China's already struggling economy."Retaliating in that way would undermine the image China has been trying to cultivate of a responsible superpower," Higgins said, adding that if it responds too aggressively to a second round of Trump tariffs, it could lose access to technologies that are integral to AI.Instead, China would likely take a more targeted approach in responding to a second round of Trump tariffs."We suspect China would retaliate in more subtle ways, such as restricting supply of rare earth metals and older generation semiconductor chips," Higgins said.

The biggest risk to stocks after Trump's victory is China's reaction to a trade war, research firm says

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks raced to record highs after the 2024 presidential election concluded.</li><li>Investors seem certain that President-elect Donald Trump's policies are best for stocks.</li></ul>Wall Street is in love with Donald Trump, as if there was ever any doubt.A robust, multi-year bull market rally for US stocks reached another gear after the businessman-turned-politician <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-wins-presidential-election-race-2024-11">won the presidential election</a>. The S&amp;P 500 just topped 6,000 for the first time ever, and the tech-focused Nasdaq Composite is also in uncharted territory.Traders are convinced that the bulk of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-election-victory-impact-investments-costs-housing-taxes-childcare-2024-11">Trump's economic policies</a>, which include tax cuts and fewer government regulations, will create a business-friendly backdrop that drives stocks higher."Investor sentiment is pro-growth, pro-deregulation, and pro-markets," said David Bahnsen, the chief investment officer at The Bahnsen Group, in recent commentary sent to Business Insider.<h2 id="3e5bdf8a-fc97-4e3d-a950-f23703f0015e">'Animal spirits' have been unleashed</h2>While some are skeptical of the consensus view, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-outlook-trump-president-economy-tariffs-trade-war-kelly-2024-11">including those who are terrified about tariffs</a>, it looks as if investors broadly are scrambling to add exposure to equities. A staggering $22 billion flowed into exchange-traded funds on Wednesday, which was more than four times higher than the previous record for the day after the US election, according to State Street Global Advisors.Markets may hate uncertainty even more than tax hikes, so it's possible that a Kamala Harris win also could have sparked a relief rally.But that might dismiss how ecstatic big-money investors are about another Trump term, given that the S&amp;P 500 rose over 50% from his victory in 2016 until shortly before the pandemic."Business animal spirits could be rekindled once again from Trump's pro-business approach, which could lead to a more robust capital expenditures and investment environment," said Jeff Schulze, the head of economic and market strategy at ClearBridge Investments, in commentary.That term, "<a target="_blank" href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/animal-spirits.asp">animal spirits,</a>" was coined in the 1930s by famed economist John Maynard Keynes, who remarked that investors' decisions are often driven by intense emotions like greed and fear.Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise's chief market strategist, borrowed Keynes' famous phrase to make the same point as Schulze: investors may be euphoric for the foreseeable future."Animal spirits through year-end could push major averages higher as the overhang of the election is removed and investors look to put excess cash to work in stocks," Saglimbene said in commentary.<h2 id="648d2368-71e0-40ed-9ed5-95b7faf9578c">How to invest after Trump's win</h2>Although the US economy <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/economy-outlook-tariffs-trump-trade-war-slowdown-jpmorgan-david-kelly-2024-10">looks healthy by most measures</a>, many market strategists are counting on an even bigger boom under Trump that <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stocks-to-buy-election-investing-strategy-2016-comparison-morgan-stanley-2024-11">would benefit economically sensitive stocks</a>."This broad 'risk-on' mood for the U.S. stock market is cutting across all sectors, but particularly favoring more cyclically sensitive sectors that would benefit from a re-strengthening of the economy and tailwinds to corporate profitability," said Jim Baird, the chief investment officer at Plante Moran Financial Advisors, in written commentary sent to BI.Sectors that are heavily reliant on economic growth, like energy and financials, will stay hot, said Sébastien Page, the head of global multi-asset at T. Rowe Price, in a recent interview."I don't think it's over the top," Page said of the postelection market rally.Several of the strategists and investment chiefs that Business Insider leaned on for this story also cited small caps as a top idea, provided that the economy stays strong and taxes fall."Enough people had been worried about, 'Could we have a credit cycle? Could we have an economic slowdown into next year? What would increases in taxes and regulation do?'" said Sean Gallagher, the global head of Lazard's small-cap equity platform, in an interview.He continued: "Now that's off the table. I think it just increases small-business optimism. I think it'll increase <a target="_blank" href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/capitalexpenditure.asp">CapEx</a>, which has been kind of held back."Smaller companies performed admirably early on in Trump's first tenure, though <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/cheap-stocks-to-buy-strong-growth-market-outlook-garp-bmo-2024-10">they've lagged large caps for years</a>. Gallagher is highly optimistic about the group again, both because of the economic environment and their valuations, which are <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stocks-to-buy-small-mid-caps-market-rotation-outlook-bmo-2024-10">startlingly cheap relative to their peers</a>.Schulze from ClearBridge is also aboard the cyclical and small caps train. The strategist is fired up about what Trump's penchant for lower taxes and limited regulations means for industrials, consumer discretionary stocks, and financials.Saglimbene from Ameriprise concurred again that "the backdrop for financials could improve, as less regulation and the potential for merger/acquisition and capital market activity accelerate."Add the technology sector to the list of winners from less governmental oversight, Bahnsen said. Tech companies seem like a clearer beneficiary since the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) should be less hostile to their interests.For all the optimism in markets, some strategists are branching out from stocks.Jim Thorne, who's the chief market strategist at Canada-based wealth management firm Wellington-Altus, said in commentary that he's most interested in gold and bitcoin, which some have referred to as the yellow metal's digital doppelgänger.The world is awash with cash, making scarce assets like gold and bitcoin more valuable, and Thorne also noted that global economic growth is slowing. That suggests that the path forward for risk assets may not be smooth — even if Trump is successful in his second term."Investors should brace for volatility and shifts in market leadership as we transition to a peacetime economy, shaped by Trump's policies," Thorne said in written commentary.

'Animal spirits': 7 market strategists share how to ride the red wave as US stocks surge to new records

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks rose 1% as September jobs report eased fears of an economic slowdown.</li><li>The US added 254,000 jobs, surpassing estimates. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%.</li></ul>US stocks surged about 1% on Friday after <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/september-jobs-report-unemployment-rate-nonfarm-payroll-growth-federal-reserve-2024-10">the September jobs</a> report soothed fears of an economic slowdown.All three major averages closed slightly higher for the week to cap off a four-week winning streak.The US economy added 254,000 jobs last month, well ahead of economist estimates of 150,000 jobs. The strong job gains pushed the unemployment rate lower to 4.1% from 4.2%.The leisure and hospitality sector saw the most job gains in September at 78,000, followed by health care, which added about 72,000 jobs, while government jobs rose by 31,000.Economists were mostly thrilled with the jobs report, with many arguing that the decline in the unemployment rate while inflation has continued to trend lower was evidence of productivity gains."The fact that inflation is easing at the same time means productivity growth is strong, and that should keep the Fed on track for more rate cuts — an added tailwind for the economy and markets," Carson Group strategist Sonu Varghese told Business Insider.In terms of future rate cuts, the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/september-jobs-report-fed-rate-cut-outlook-november-labor-market-2024-10">market slashed its expectations of another jumbo 50 basis point cut</a> at the Federal Reserve's next FOMC meeting in November.According to the CME FedWatch Tool, odds of a 50-basis point cut dropped to 0% from 53% last week. Consensus now expects two 25-basis point rate cuts from the Fed at their next two FOMC meetings before year-end."This solid payroll report validates an potential half point reduction in fed funds was completely unwarranted. Fed funds futures market is responding accordingly," LPL Financial chief economist Jeffrey Roach said.ING's chief economist, James Knightley, said the jobs report was "unambiguously strong.""On the face of this the Fed should be hiking rates with these sorts of figures, not cutting rates," Knightley said in a note on Friday.Here's where US indexes stood shortly at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Friday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,751.07, up 0.9% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 42,352.75, up 0.81% (_341.16 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,137.85, up 1.22% </li></ul>Here's what else happened today:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/spirit-airlines-chapter-11-bankruptcy-billion-debt-restructuring-2024-10">Spirit Airlines stock plunged after a report said it was considering filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/september-jobs-payroll-report-fed-rate-cut-outlook-labor-market-2024-10">Why one firm is skeptical about the blockbuster jobs report and is still expecting another jumbo rate cut.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-ukraine-war-outlook-moscow-sanctions-west-firms-uchicago-2024-10">Russia is facing a 'time bomb' at the heart of its economy amid its ongoing war with Ukraine, an economist said.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/costco-starts-selling-platinum-bars-gold-silver-retail-success-2024-10">Costco is selling platinum bars for $1,090 as it diversifies its booming precious-metals business.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/nvidia-stock-price-jensen-huang-blackwell-gpu-demand-ai-tech-2024-10">Nvidia stock moved higher after CEO Jensen Huang said demand for its next-generation GPU chip was "insane."</a></li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil was up 1.00% to $74.45 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was higher by 0.55% to $78.05 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> was down 0.39% to $2,668.80 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield was higher by 13 basis points at 3.98%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> was higher by 2.59% to $62,320. </li></ul>

Stock market today: US stocks notch 4-week win streak after strong jobs report eases fears of an economic slowdown

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Iran's missile attack on Israel sent US stocks lower on Tuesday.</li><li>Gold and crude oil rallied, while the 10-year Treasury yield dropped.</li></ul>Stock indexes dropped on Tuesday as escalating Middle East tensions jolted investors.Traders elected to crowd into safe-haven assets like gold as Iran launched a barrage of missiles toward Israel on Tuesday. The attack was in response to Israel's <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/israel-launches-ground-offensive-into-lebanon-destroy-hezbollah-targets-2024-9">ground offensive into Lebanon</a>, which began the night before.Crude oil jumped as much as 6% on the news. Traders will now be bracing for Israel's response to Iran, and whether this has the potential to disrupt oil flows, said Helima Croft, RBC Capital Markets head of global commodity strategy."Iran is producing at a five-year high," she told <a target="_blank" href="https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/10/01/heres-how-iranian-missile-strikes-could-impact-oil-prices.html">CNBC</a>. "We do need to think of a scenario where Iranian oil supply is at risk."As oil rallied, so did gold and the bond market, with investors piling into risk-off assets. On Tuesday, the yellow metal jumped more than 1%, and continues to hover near its recent all-time record."Military conflicts can quickly escalate into a scenario that causes markets to sell off dramatically, with safe haven assets such as gold and Treasuries seeing heavy inflows," said Quincy Krosby, Chief Global Strategist for LPL Financial.Here's where US indexes stood at the 4 pm closing bell on Tuesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,708.75, down 0.9%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones industrial average</a>: 42,156.97, down 0.4% (173 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 17,910.36, down 1.5%</li></ul>On the economic data front, job openings in August increased more than expected unexpectedly to 8.04 million, surpassing consensus estimates of 7.6 million, according to the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey."This noisy indicator is starting to suggest a stabilization of the job market as the Fed pivots," Bill Adams, Chief Economist for Comerica Bank, wrote. "Relatively few workers are being fired or laid off, and few are leaving jobs voluntarily for other opportunities, either."Investors can expect more labor data to come in this week, culminating in September's jobs report on Friday. Economists forecast 150,000 jobs added for the month and a flat unemployment rate of 4.2%.Here's what else happened today:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-outlook-stimulus-fiscal-consumer-support-deflation-stephen-roach-2024-10">There are still 2 steps China needs to take to avoid long-term deflation</a>, Yale economist Stephen Roach says.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-barter-pakistan-mounting-sanctions-western-war-allies-international-trade-2024-10">A Russian firm is reportedly forced to barter for Pakistani rice</a> as Western sanctions bite down.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/chinese-stocks-beijing-stimulus-investing-hang-seng-index-kyle-bass-2024-10?_gl=1*99fgnj*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyNzgwOTAzNC42NzYuMS4xNzI3ODEyMzU0LjIzLjAuMA..">Don't put money into Chinese stocks over the long-term</a>, 'Big Short' investor Kyle Bass says.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/us-port-strike-biggest-stock-market-winners-losers-investing-analysis-2024-10?_gl=1*16y3xs3*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyNzgwOTAzNC42NzYuMS4xNzI3ODEyNDU4LjYwLjAuMA..">Here are the biggest stock winners and losers coming out of the port strike</a>.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> increased 1% to $2,661.10 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield fell five basis points to 3.73%</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Bitcoin</a> dropped 5% to $60,812.01.</li></ul>

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Stock market today: US stocks jump after blowout September jobs report

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The biggest risk to stocks after Trump's victory is China's reaction to a trade war, research firm says

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'Animal spirits': 7 market strategists share how to ride the red wave as US stocks surge to new records

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Stock market today: US stocks notch 4-week win streak after strong jobs report eases fears of an economic slowdown

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Stocks tumble, oil spikes as Mideast tensions flare

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