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Mumbai: India is on track to becoming the <keyword id="20432305" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="third-largest-economy" source="keywords">third-largest economy</keyword> by 2030-31, driven by a projected annual growth rate of 6.7 per cent this fiscal, <keyword id="19990557" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="SP-Global" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="S&amp;P Global" meta.hostid="153" meta.entityid="S&amp;P Global">S&amp;P Global</keyword> said in a report on Thursday. The report also said that with 8.2 per cent growth rate in FY2024, continued reforms are crucial to improving business transactions and logistics, boosting <keyword id="20423043" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="private-sector-investment" source="keywords">private sector investment</keyword>, and reducing reliance on public capital. It said equity markets are expected to stay dynamic and competitive due to strong growth prospects and better regulation, and foreign inflows into Indian government bonds have surged since the country joined major emerging market indexes, with further growth anticipated. To maximize trade benefits, India must develop infrastructure and geopolitical strategies, particularly regarding its extensive coastline, said the first edition of 'India Forward: Emerging Perspectives' report. Nearly 90 per cent of India's trade is seaborne, necessitating robust port infrastructure to manage increasing exports and bulk commodity imports, it added. Noting that India faces rising domestic energy demands and can look to sustainable technologies, including renewables and low-emission fuels, balancing energy security with its energy transition plans, the report stated that agriculture will rely on advanced technologies and new policies to improve infrastructure and productivity. The need is to address critical infrastructure issues such as irrigation, storage, and supply distribution to ensure food security and economic stability, it added. The <keyword id="23234467" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="sp-global-india-research" source="keywords">S&amp;P Global India Research</keyword> Chapter's inaugural study was launched here on Thursday.

India on track to becoming third-largest economy by FY31: S&P Global report

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Toyota and BMW both reported plunging profits on Wednesday.</li><li>The Japanese and German automakers have faced falling sales in China.</li></ul>China's EV giants are rising, putting foreign automakers under pressure in the world's largest car market.Toyota and BMW reported a drop in quarterly profits on Wednesday, with sales in China slumping for both companies as they face growing competition <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/why-byd-is-beating-tesla-ev-rivals-china-2024-11">from local automakers like BYD</a>.Toyota's profit for the quarter ending in September was 573.7 billion yen ($3.7 billion), down from nearly 1.28 trillion yen ($8.3 billion) over the same period last year.The company is grappling with a slowdown in sales in China and its home market, Japan.According to Toyota data released in October, sales in Japan plunged by nearly 17% in the first nine months of the year.In China, meanwhile, Toyota is facing fierce competition from local EV giants like BYD. Thanks to their affordable electric vehicle range, BYD has <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/germany-auto-giants-volkswagen-bmw-mercedes-struggle-sales-china-evs-2024-10">rapidly taken market share from foreign firms</a>.Sales in China were down just over 10% in the first nine months of the year, with Toyota attributing the drop to "severe market conditions" such as "intensifying price competition."Luxury European carmaker BMW, meanwhile, has also found itself facing weakness in China and a high-profile recall.The German auto group said profit before tax dropped nearly 80% in the third quarter from the previous year as it reported earnings on Wednesday.BMW previously cut its financial outlook after recalling more than 1.5 million vehicles due to a braking system issue. The automaker said deliveries fell 30% in China in the third quarter.Like its German rivals Mercedes and Audi, BMW has been hit by stuttering demand for luxury vehicles in China — and it is also facing <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/luxury-european-carmakers-china-sales-competition-electric-vehicles-bmw-mercedes-2024-10">pressure from local rivals</a>.BYD and smartphone maker Xiaomi have made efforts to expand into the premium market. BYD launched the $150,000 Yangwang U8 SUV last year, and Xiaomi recently unveiled a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/chinese-ev-xiaomi-su7-driven-by-fords-ceo-faster-model-2024-10">high-performance version of its SU7 luxury sedan</a>.Toyota and BMW did not respond to a request for comment, sent outside normal working hours.

Toyota and BMW are the latest casualties in China's evolving EV market 

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Chinese Premier Li Qiang spurred market expectations for more stimulus in a speech.</li><li>China's services activity and business confidence rose in October, boosting market sentiment.</li></ul>China is playing up its economy as the US heads to the polls in a closely watched presidential election.On Tuesday, Chinese Premier Li Qiang touted his country's economy, saying he's confident of hitting its GDP growth target of <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-two-sessions-growth-goal-challenging-economists-2024-3">around 5%</a> this year, according to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202411/05/WS6729c795a310f1265a1cb90a.html">state media.</a>He also drummed up market expectations for more economic stimulus, saying Beijing has "ample space for fiscal policy and monetary policy."Li's remarks came just as the Purchasing Managers' Index survey from Caixin and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/5d38599b37f34180bcdfef3a667df95b">S&amp;P Global</a> showed October services activity in China expanded at its fastest pace in three months. Business confidence also rose to the highest level since May, the private-sector survey showed.Wang Zhe, a senior economist at Caixin Insight Group, said China's <a target="_blank" rel="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-aggressive-monetary-stimulus-interest-rate-rrr-2024-9?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">aggressive stimulus</a> in late September has improved sentiment."The Caixin manufacturing and services PMI surveys showed that market demand stabilized and optimism improved, early signs of the new policies' impact," Wang said.Deutsche Bank analysts wrote in a note that Li's comments highlight China's "significant policy flexibility." China's services PMI survey results on Tuesday also boosted risk sentiment in the world's second-largest economy, they added.China's benchmark <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/csi-300">CSI 300 Index</a> closed 2.5% higher, while <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/hang_seng">Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index</a> closed 2.1% higher.<h2 id="728bb7ef-12d6-4f0a-b8fc-e67a8f141cfd">Beijing is watching the US presidential election</h2>Amid Li's show of confidence, Beijing is watching the US presidential election closely to determine its next course of action.China's Standing Committee of National People's Congress — its top legislative body — is meeting through Friday and is expected to announce fresh fiscal stimulus to prop up its economy, which has been mired in a prolonged economic downturn amid an epic property crisis."Whispers are that Beijing may have to augment the size and details of the fiscal stimulus depending on whether it is a Harris or Trump Presidency," Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's chief economist of Asia excluding Japan, wrote in a note on Friday.China's legislative body would be considering a plan to raise $1.4 trillion in extra debt over the next few years to fund a part of an economic rescue package, <a target="_blank" rel=" nofollow" class="" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/china/eyeing-us-election-china-considers-over-14-trillion-extra-debt-over-next-few-2024-10-29/">Reuters</a> reported on Tuesday, citing two sources with knowledge of the matter.Beijing is likely to roll out a bigger stimulus to buffer market volatility if Republican candidate Donald Trump wins, Varathan wrote.

China is boosting market sentiment by playing up hopes for stimulus

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Russia's Sberbank says it is processing transactions with India smoothly, despite Western sanctions.</li><li>Sanctions prevent Sberbank from using US dollars, euros, and the SWIFT network.</li></ul>Sberbank — Russia's largest lender — has no problems processing payments with India, a top executive told <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/russias-sberbank-says-india-business-booming-despite-western-sanctions-2024-09-03/">Reuters on Tuesday.</a>"Sberbank is a full participant in all Indian payment and interbank systems," Anatoly Popov, Sberbank's deputy CEO, told Reuters. "There are no restrictions on its operations."State-controlled Sberbank has been sanctioned by the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy0608">US</a> and the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/new-eu-sanctions-russia-target-sberbank-commission-head-tells-paper-2022-04-16/">European Commission.</a> It cannot process transactions in the US dollar, the euro, and via the SWIFT bank messaging network.But Sberbank — which processes up to 70% of Russian exports to India — has pivoted to transactions in rubles and rupees for its trade with India. Popov told Reuters that nine out of 10 transactions involving these currencies take just a few hours to complete.This is in contrast with transactions that involve <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-all-china-banks-refuse-yuan-ruble-transfers-sanctions-2024-8">Chinese banks</a>, who are so spooked by US secondary sanctions that many of the larger banks have stopped processing payments with Russia.Popov told the news agency that business between India and Russia boomed in 2022 following sweeping sanctions over Moscow's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The South Asian country became an "alternative" market for Russia.Reuters reported that Sberbank boosted its presence in India, expanding its staff count by 150% this year.While India has become a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-divert-oil-exports-europe-india-china-circumvent-sanctions-2023-12">top buyer of Russian oil,</a> there are fewer Indian products Russia needs.Last year, Russia acknowledged there were <a target="_blank" rel="" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/russia-india-ruble-rupee-sanctions-trade-imbalance-yuan-weapons-deficit-2023-5">problems with billions of Indian rupees</a> it had made from exports to India, which it needed to con. The amount has fallen since as Russian firms have managed to use the money to pay Indian exporters, <a target="_blank" rel=" nofollow" class="" href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/india-russia-central-banks-renew-talks-mechanism-expand-local-currency-trade-2024-08-14/">Reuters</a> reported last month.

Russia's largest bank says it has no problems transacting with India

Google Play has revealed its annual Best of 2024 awards for India, celebrating the apps and games that defined the year. With five of the seven top apps developed by Indian creators, the awards underscore India’s rising prominence in the global tech ecosystem. Mobile gaming also continues to boom, as the country solidifies its position as the second-largest market for gaming downloads worldwide. In a blog post announcing the winners, Google also shed light on how India is the world's second largest market in terms of mobile gaming downloads. "On the gaming front, the Indian gaming scene continues to thrive, with India adding 23 million new gamers in FY24, reaching a total of 590 million. In fact, India now boasts the world's second-largest market for mobile gaming downloads, with average weekly playtime increasing by 30%." Leading Apps: India at the Forefront of AI Innovation The blog post revealed that this year’s top apps showcased India’s innovative spirit, particularly in harnessing AI to meet user needs. Alle - Your AI Fashion Stylist, developed by Hey Alle, emerged as the year’s Best App and also won the Best for Fun award. Leveraging AI, Alle provides personalised fashion advice tailored to users’ occasions, body types, and preferences, reflecting the growing trend of AI-powered app experiences in India. Prateek Agarwal, Co-Founder &amp; CEO, Alle, said in a statement, “We noticed that the recent developments in Gen AI, combined with evolving consumer preferences for visual inspirational content, will create a massive opportunity to reimagine &amp; rebuild how people discover and shop for fashion. This realization led us to start Alle...As a new startup, Google Play has been crucial in helping us reach our early users organically. The platform's detailed analytics and crash reporting have been invaluable - they've helped us quickly identify and fix issues, improving our app stability.” Other app winners included: • Headlyne: Daily News with AI (Best for Personal Growth), offering curated news tailored to individual preferences. • Sony LIV: Sports &amp; Entertainment (Best for Large Screens), delivering immersive content on tablets and other big-screen devices. • WhatsApp Messenger (Best Multi-device App), enabling seamless communication across devices. • Fold: Expense Tracker (Best Everyday Essential) and Rise: Habit List (Best Hidden Gem) also captured user interest with practical and engaging features. The blog post added that India’s dominance in the AI app space is significant, accounting for 21% of global AI mobile app downloads this year, with nearly 1,000 Indian apps and games incorporating AI. Games that thrilled millions India’s gaming industry continued its upward trajectory, adding 23 million gamers this year, taking the total to 590 million. With gaming preferences increasingly reflecting local culture, many award-winning titles integrated Indian storylines and visuals. Squad Busters, a fast-paced multiplayer game, won Best Game for its simple yet engaging design. Meanwhile, Indus Battle Royale Mobile by SuperGaming earned the Best Made in India title for the second year running. Roby John, Co-Founder and CEO of SuperGaming, said in a statement, "We are committed to making Indus a standout Battle Royale experience. Our team has spent over three years thoughtfully crafting its characters, environments, and gameplay features to represent Indian Art and Culture authentically. The community's enthusiasm validates our vision of Indian games thriving globally. Winning this award is an incredible honor, not just as a milestone but also a motivation to keep striving for excellence. Google Play’s expertise and responsiveness have empowered us to deliver world-class gaming, pushing the boundaries of Indian gaming. We’re more committed than ever to raising the bar and making Indian gaming shine on the global stage.” Other top games included: • BGMI (Battlegrounds Mobile India) (Best Ongoing), for its India-centric updates featuring cricket, festivals, and celebrity collaborations. • Bloom – A Puzzle Adventure (Best Indie), for its unique mechanics and creativity. • Clash of Clans (Best Multi-device Game) and Yes, Your Grace (Best Story) also stood out for their engaging gameplay.

Google Play announces best apps and games of 2024 in India: All you need to know

<ul class="summary-list"><li>The foreign exchange market remains quiet despite global geopolitical and economic shifts.</li><li>The yen carry trade unwind in August led to a temporary market pullback and recovery.</li></ul>The foreign exchange market has been eerily quiet since the yen <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/currency-markets-could-reshuffle-unexpectedly-fx-forex-trades-global-economy-2024-8">carry trade</a> unwind.The realized volatility in most currency pairings is incredibly low. But if you look at the backdrop of what's happening around the world, including geopolitical instability, interest-rate changes, and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/9-elections-to-watch-2024-the-biggest-election-year-history-2024-1">election uncertainty</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/yen-carry-trade-next-unwind-forex-market-currencies-trading-fx-2024-8">FX should be going crazy</a> at this stage, says David Barrett, the CEO of EBC Financial Group, a multi-asset broker.The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/what-is-forex">foreign exchange market</a> has three major participants, and none of them is making big moves now, he noted. The first is on the surface layer, where short-term traders are betting on currency shifts and yields, which have taken over more volume than historically. On the second layer, you have more speculative traders, mostly made up of hedge funds and trading firms. And on the third layer, you have bigger money, where the pension funds and government allocators sit.Short-term traders generally don't affect market direction as steeply. They are in-and-out traders. Much of the moves from the yen carry unwinding witnessed in August happened at this layer, Barrett said. The hedge funds or larger market makers tend to respond to flows that are coming through, making them neutrally positioned based on those flows.The last group, where the big money pension funds sit, trades foreign exchange for two main reasons: one, they allocate non-denominated currencies for their investments. Two, they hedge their currency exposure to remain neutral. They mainly readjust that hedge when currency rates move. And because we have not seen a huge amount of volatility in most pairs, they have been very quiet, he said.But the yen could once again shake up an otherwise boring currency market and more.In August, the US stock market saw a swift pullback (and recovery) after the Bank of Japan raised rates. Japan's near-zero <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/market-crash-japan-central-bank-boj-cools-interest-rate-hike-2024-8">interest rates </a>had made the yen a funding currency that was borrowed cheaply to invest in other assets where rates were higher — the so-called carry trade. When rates rose and the currency strengthened, the trade unwound.But what we've seen in the yen carry trade is only the beginning, Barrett said. We have flushed out the short-term positions. However, any significant move in the dollar, such as weakness due to interest rate cuts against a strengthening yen, would unravel deeper positions where pension funds sit.The big talking point in that trade is the Japanese pension fund, Barrett said. It has extensive exposure outside of Japan, and a strengthening yen is very problematic for it. Japan has the world's largest government pension fund with $1.6 trillion in assets, and a large amount of that is invested outside the country. The pension invests in foreign stocks, foreign bonds, and foreign commodities."Now, you may not think that's a yen carry trade, but it's absolutely the purest yen carry trade because all of that pension fund money started off as yen," Barrett said. "It's been sold, and it's been put into other investments abroad."The shift away from foreign asset interest has already begun. So far this year, Japanese investors bought $192 billion in Japanese government government bonds, the most in at least 14 years, according to<a target="_blank" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-01/japan-s-4-trillion-carry-trade-begins-to-slowly-unwind"> Bloomberg</a>. Meanwhile, they cut their foreign bond purchases by almost half, the article noted.It's hard to pinpoint an exact tipping point at which things could further unravel, Barrett noted, because positions are built on many layers. For example, hedge funds that are on the second layer that sold yen for the dollar and took positions in Big Tech, like Nvidia, are still in the money in terms of gains. Therefore, these positions may not need further shifts before they move, he noted.What's the impact of US elections on foreign exchange trades? There isn't one, he noted. This is because the race is too tight to predict an outcome at this point."So, what you tend to see at the moment is people that have existing risk that are wargaming for what happens if you get a Harris presidential victory or a Trump one," David said.The Harris trade is easier to maneuver because it's expected to be less volatile. There's a good chance that the same policies will remain in place over the first six to 12 months of her presidency. The market won't have many new adjustments to make, he noted.The potential volatility comes from the Trump trade due to tariff hikes, a fiscal boost, higher yields, and probably a stronger dollar that will benefit some sectors more than others, he noted."The trades that are being put on at the moment are probably more likely to be the longer-term guys that have ingrained exposure in their portfolio, and they're putting on some kind of hedge," Barrett said. "So most people that I talk to in the interbank market are telling me that the options market is busier than the spot market. The options market is something that gives people optionality to react rather than having to be heavily positioned."Since the market has generally been long the dollar due to higher rates, most of the options trades would be hedging against a dropping dollar by buying puts, which increase in value if the dollar declines, or doing straddles or strangles, which is when you buy calls and puts at the same or different strike prices. And because volatility in the price of FX optionality is still low, hedges are relatively cheap, he added.

As forex markets await political shocks, one tipping point could lead to a 'catastrophic trade' that unwinds markets 

German carmaker Mercedes-Benz expects <keyword id="19895063" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="india" source="keywords">India</keyword> to become its third biggest market in its 'Region Overseas' over the next 2-3 years with demand anticipated to remain strong for luxury products, according to a senior company executive. The Region Overseas for <keyword id="20034825" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="mercedes-benz" source="keywords">Mercedes Benz</keyword> comprises 118 countries, excluding North America, Europe and China. India is the fifth largest market in the region after Japan, South Korea, Australia and Turkey. The sales gap between India and Turkey is around 8,000 units per year. "Our Region Overseas markets which encompass 118 markets across the world and India happens to be market number five for us. So you can imagine the relevance and importance it serves not only today, but also for the future of the Mercedes Benz brand," Mercedes-Benz AG Head of Region Overseas, <keyword id="20836954" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="sagree-sardien" source="keywords">Sagree Sardien</keyword> told reporters here. When asked about the expected timeframe to achieve the target, she stated, "We are convinced that with the way the Indian market is developing, we should see this happening in the next two to three years." Terming India a strategic market for the brand, <keyword id="20836953" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="sardien" source="keywords">Sardien</keyword> noted that the company has seen sales of its high-end models grow in double digits for the last couple of years and expects the same to continue this year and beyond. She noted that the company will add 12 new models, including three battery electric vehicles, in the market this year. The company also plans to tap smaller cities as it looks to establish sales outlets in 10 new locations ranging from Jammu to <keyword id="19910725" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="kottayam" source="keywords">Kottayam</keyword> to scale operations, Sardien stated. Mercedes-Benz India reported its highest ever sales of 17,408 units in 2023. Sardien said the electrification journey in India is picking up slowly for Mercedes-Benz with 4 per cent of total sales in the country coming from EVs. "I completely believe that we will see a double-digit (growth) in electrification for our product range within this market," she said. "Customers' preferences are obviously at a much slower pace than the demand we expected," she said adding the company would go according to the transformation of customers. Sardien noted that the company will not change its strategic direction. "It is clear that the future is electric for us, but we ensure that we cater for our customers' changing preferences and where market conditions are actually allowing," she said. When asked about the potential of the overall luxury car market in India, Sardien said it can touch 1 lakh unit mark probably by the end of this decade. "But I think there are some fundamental things that need to happen in the market and it is highly dependent on how customers transition here between the combustion engine and the battery electric vehicle architecture," she added. The luxury car market in India is around 47,000 units per annum and remains a miniscule part of the overall passenger vehicle segment which crossed the 41 lakh units mark last year. SEE ALSO:<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/electric-two-wheeler-sales-grow-by-24-in-february-2024-ola-electric-leads-with-over-40-market-share/articleshow/108227956.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/electric-two-wheeler-sales-grow-by-24-in-february-2024-ola-electric-leads-with-over-40-market-share/articleshow/108227956.cms" target="_blank">Electric two-wheeler sales grow by 24% in February 2024, Ola Electric leads with over 40% market share</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/byd-seal-electric-sedan-launched-in-india-starting-at-41-lakh/articleshow/108234000.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/byd-seal-electric-sedan-launched-in-india-starting-at-41-lakh/articleshow/108234000.cms" target="_blank">BYD Seal electric sedan launched in India starting at ₹41 lakh</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/mukka-proteins-ipo-allotment-how-to-check-allotment-gmp-listing-date-and-more/articleshow/108212514.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/mukka-proteins-ipo-allotment-how-to-check-allotment-gmp-listing-date-and-more/articleshow/108212514.cms" target="_blank">Mukka Proteins IPO allotment – How to check allotment, GMP, listing date and more</a>

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Tata Group's largest companies by market capitalisation

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