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2 mins read
Goldman Sachs says the risk of the US falling into a recession within a year has doubled after the Fed's aggressive rate hike
Wall Street is scrambling to slash its US growth forecasts following the Fed's biggest interest rat…
Harry Robertson
2 mins read
Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to hike 50 basis points in both May and June after Powell's tough talk
The bank changed its forecast after Fed Chair Jerome Powell talked up the chances of a bigger move …
Harry Robertson
2 mins read
Goldman Sachs now thinks the Fed will hike rates four times in 2022 and start slashing its balance sheet in July
A strong US labor market and rising wages mean the Fed is likely to hike rates four times between M…
Harry Robertson
2 mins read
The massive jobs shortage will keep stronger inflation temporary, Goldman Sachs says
Wages have surged higher for two months straight, but Goldman said that inflation should cool as Am…
Ben Winck
2 mins read
Goldman Sachs' top economist says the size of a new Democratic majority in the Senate would be critical to the amount of stimulus it passes
A narrow Democratic majority in the Senate would likely mean less fiscal stimulus than a larger maj…
Emily Graffeo
2 mins read
Goldman Sachs cuts US GDP estimate, now sees economy shrinking 4.6% in 2020
The bank's economists lowered their third-quarter forecast to 25% from 33%, citing new lockdown mea…
Ben Winck
3 mins read
GOLDMAN'S JAN HATZIUS: People Are Looking At The Wrong Unemployment Rate
The other, more fundamental question is what it all means for the likely path of the funds rate. Is…
Matthew Boesler
1 min read
Here's Goldman's Take On Today's Ugly Jobs Report
"[F]rom the household survey, the number of individuals who reported not being at work due to bad w…
Sam Ro
1 min read
Goldman's Jan Hatzius Answered 10 Questions About 2013 In January - Here's What Really Happened
That's about 7.5 out of 10. Not bad given this crazy year. That's why Hatzius is one of the best.He…
Sam Ro
2 mins read
GOLDMAN: Something Stanley Fischer Once Said Poses A Risk To Our Fed Expectations
In contrast to his statements on QE, he has recently expressed a more skeptical view of forward gui…
Sam Ro
1 min read
GOLDMAN: The Fed Is Still Going To Wait Until March To Taper QE
He does note, however, that the unemployment rate, at 7.0%, is now at a level which Fed chairman Be…
Matthew Boesler
2 mins read
A single chart illustrates why Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius isn't too worried about China yet
"If China does slow more seriously, how big are the spillovers to DM growth?" Hatzius asks. "Probab…
Sam Ro
1 min read
GOLDMAN: The Economic Damage From The Sequester Is Becoming More Clear, And It Could Get Worse
"The first area where sequestration has shown up fairly clearly in the data is personal income, whi…
Steven Perlberg
3 mins read
GOLDMAN: 'Payrolls, Shmayrolls' - Investors Are Being Fooled By The Jobs Report
Nonfarm payrolls are always released three weeks after the survey week, which typically means the f…
Matthew Boesler
2 mins read
GOLDMAN: We Expect The Fed To Make A Key Change To Offset The Impact Of The Taper
We still expect Fed officials to taper QE at the September 17-18 FOMC meeting, but to offset the im…
Matthew Boesler
2 mins read
GOLDMAN: There Is No Sign Of An American Manufacturing Renaissance
...U.S. export performance looks only middling even if we restrict our attention to European tradin…
Sam Ro
2 mins read
Goldman's Jan Hatzius Answers The 10 Most Important Questions For 2013
But we do not expect the impact to be as bad as suggested by Exhibit 1. We recently estimated the e…
2 mins read
Goldman's Top Economist Answers 10 Key Questions About The Economy In 2013
Some short excerpts from a research note by Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius:
Calculated Risk
1 min read
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius Reveals His Favorite Chart Of The Year
"2013 was another relatively weak year for U.S. growth because increasing fiscal drag, from federal…
Matthew Boesler
4 mins read
Bank Of America Economist Publishes Rebuttal To Major Fed Call By Goldman's Jan Hatzius
A research paper, even authored by senior Fed economists, is not the way the Fed is going to signal…