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<ul><li>Services sector consumption has been holding up but the picture while goods is ambivalent, say economists at Bank of Baroda.</li><li>They do not see any revival in private sector capex in a broad based manner in this financial year.</li><li>Debt issuances have gone up significantly; 80% is by companies from the financial services sector.</li><li>The possibility of a rate cut has now been pushed to FY25, say <keyword id="92547" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="bob" source="Orion">BoB</keyword> economists. </li></ul>India’s investment and consumption story is not broad-based but patchy across sectors, according to Bank of Baroda economists. They said that a clearer picture could emerge in the next few months after the festival season while addressing the ‘State of the Economy’ webinar. “A lot of how consumption will evolve for this fiscal year will depend upon Kharif sowing. As of now, the services sector is holding up with good pent up demand in travel and hospitality. But with goods, it has been ambivalent as seen in the IIP data of consumer sectors. We will know more after the September-October and November period,” said <keyword id="170005" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="madan-sabnavis" source="Orion">Madan Sabnavis</keyword>, chief economist at Bank of Baroda. The IIP numbers of June which were released last Friday came in much lower than expectations at 3.7%. While 14 of the 23 sectors in manufacturing registered negative growth, the most disappointing was the electronics sector which has been a front runner of the PLI scheme. “There is something in these numbers we are unable to piece together,” commented <keyword id="4667782" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="sabnavis" source="Orion">Sabnavis</keyword>. A fuzzy picture With regards to investments too, most of the capital expenditure is being done by the government — with most coming from the central government. With regards to private capex, only the services sector of airlines is leading investment announcements. Within the industry, only the chemicals sector registered an increase. “Investment picture is currently fuzzy and we do not see the private investment cycle beginning in a big way,” said <keyword id="18400672" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="jahnavi-prabhakar" source="Orion">Jahnavi Prabhakar</keyword>, economist at Bank of Baroda. Within the government spending too, there has been a deviation as normal central and state government spends are on par. But in the last two years, the centre has been spending more than the states. States that generally have a large capex outlay like Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh are lagging behind. Debt vs equity issuances In spite of the Sensex hitting an all-time high, the equity issuances for FY24 till date have been lower than what was seen last year. This however is due to the base effect of LIC’s public offer last year. Debt issuance however has gone up significantly — by over 81% during the same time. But here too most of the issuances — at around 80% are from the financial services sector with NBFCs and HFCs accounting to around 60% of them. “Most of the NBFCs will be lending to the retail and services sector,” said Sabnavis, adding that he doesn’t see private sector capex revival this financial year in a broadbased manner. Moreso, the interest rate scenario has too many variables in play like possible production side worries from lower pulse sowing, El Nino effect on climate and global situation. “There are pain points with regards to oil seeds sowing and hence edible oils along with pulses,” says <keyword id="7062" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="prabhakar" source="Orion">Prabhakar</keyword>. The economists at the bank have also pushed the possibility of an interest rate cut to FY25 — and now believe that Indian central bank will maintain the status quo as long as inflation is within their expected lines.

India’s growth story patchy and not broad based, say economists

<ul><li>India was enjoying a discount of $12.6/bbl from Russian imports in Q1 of FY23, which came down to $8.8/bbl in Q1FY24.</li><li>Russia is going for voluntary cuts to ensure the “oil market remains balanced”.</li><li>Oil cartel OPEC+ has curbed output but it has been going up in Iran and the US. </li></ul>India has been enjoying the discounted <keyword id="45185" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="crude-oil" source="Orion">crude oil</keyword> from Russia for over a year now. But the discount that India seems to be enjoying is coming down even as Russia remains one of its biggest suppliers as it imported crude to the tune of $12.4 billion in Q1FY24. “This year, in Q1FY24, while India continues to import crude oil at discounted rate from Russia compared with other countries; the premium has actually gone down relative to last year,” says Jahnavi Prabhakar, economist at Bank of Baroda. In the April-June quarter of FY23, the premium that India enjoyed from <keyword id="8112813" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="russian-crude" source="Orion">Russian crude</keyword> – that’s the difference between international prices and Russian supply — was at $12.6 per barrel. In the same quarter this year, it has come down to $8.8 per barrel. Russia also a<a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russia-cut-oil-exports-by-300000-bpd-september-2023-08-03/">nnounced in early August</a> that it’s planning to cut crude oil production by 300,000 barrels per day. Prime Minister Alexander Novak had said that the country is going in for voluntary cuts to ensure the “oil market remains balanced”. It will also cut its exports by that quantity, he added. This is in addition to a pledge to reduce its oil output by around 500,000 barrels per day, or some 5% of its oil production, from March to the end of the year. Falling discounts <table style="border-width: initial; border-style: none; table-layout: fixed; width: 468pt;" class="redcator-table-advance"></colgroup><tbody><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Time period </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Avg international crude price </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Russian crude price </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Discount/premiums </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Q1FY23 </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">$112 per barrel </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">$99.4 per barrel </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">$12.6 per barrel </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Q1FY24 </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">$77.7 per barrel </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">$68.9 per barrel </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">$8.8 per barrel </td></tr></tbody><tbody></tbody></table>Source: Bank of Baroda The 3x jump in Russian imports In spite of the changing discounts, Russia has turned one of India’s largest suppliers over the last one year. India is one of the world’s top importers of crude oil thanks to its high demand and a large population. In Q1FY23, Iraq was one India’s top suppliers — and has imported over $10.8 billion worth of crude oil from the country. Back then, India’s crude bill to Russia was around $4.6 billion. Now, thanks to its discounted offerings, Russia became the most important source for import of crude oil. In Q1 FY24, the figure now stands at $12.4 billion — which is thrice of what it was last year. “In Q1FY24, the average price of international crude oil stands at $77.7/bbl. During this period, UAE and Saudi Arabia have been able to provide crude oil at much higher rates of $86/bbl and $85/bbl respectively. Notably, Russia has been providing crude oil at much discounted rates than its global counterparts at $69/bbl,” says Prabhakar. Crude under pressure On the other hand, the crude oil dynamics have also undergone many changes — with uncertainty of Chinese demand, slow growth across the world, recession in Europe and more. In June, Saudi Arabia the <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/finance/news/crude-oil-prices-may-hit-100/bbl-after-opec-decision-say-analysts/articleshow/100763692.cms">kingpin of oil cartel OPEC+ </a>consisting of 13 oil producing nations – decided to go in for another round of production cuts – by 1.6 barrels per day. They came to this decision after the earlier round of production cuts did not produce the necessary effects. Experts expect oil prices to remain under pressure in the short term due to changing production dynamics. “Oil prices have surged above $80 per bbl recently after OPEC+ curbed the output. US waterborne crude exports this month are set to hit the highest since March amid lower exports from the Middle East. At the same time, oil output is rising elsewhere. Exports from Iran surged to 2.2 mbpd in August, US output surged to 12.7 mbpd last week,” said Ravindra Rao, VP – head commodity research at Kotak Securities.

India imports $12.4 billion worth of crude from Russia but discounts are waning

<ul><li><keyword id="2005494" type="General" weightage="80" keywordseo="fpis" source="Orion">FPIs</keyword> continue to invest in high beta stocks and sectors in India despite US sovereign rating downgrade. India’s net FPI inflows in August stand at $1.1 bn.</li><li>FPIs sell stocks aggressively in Taiwan, Thailand, Brazil, South Korea and Indonesia in August.</li><li>FPI flows into Indian equities are not just restricted to passive funds alone since July.</li></ul> Foreign capital flows into Indian equities have slowed substantially in August, after portfolio investors pumped in over $19 bn over April and July. Despite the slowdown, India continues to be a bright spot for global investors. Data shows that foreign portfolio investors have been net sellers of equities in other key <keyword id="6359891" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="emerging-markets" source="Orion">emerging markets</keyword> like Thailand (-$346 mn), Taiwan (-$3.8 bn), South Korea (-$1bn), Brazil ($1.7bn) and South Africa ($365 mn) in August. Developments in the last one month do not bode well for capital flows with the Dollar Index beginning its upward journey again in August after rating agency Fitch downgraded the US sovereign rating to AA+ from AAA as the government’s debt burden has continued to increase over the years. On the back of the downgrade, the yield on the 10-year T-bill jumped from 3.75% to 4.3%. However, the long-term outlook for India continues to be positive as flows into India are more to do with its structural factors. Explains Jahnavi Prabhakar, economist at Bank of Baroda, “Indian economy remains a favored place for investment as has been reflected by strong FPI flows in the past few months. This is likely against the backdrop of stable government policies, robust macro fundamentals, stable inflation and sustainable growth rates. On the other hand, global economies have been witnessing challenges of slower growth, elevated inflation, fears of recession and rate hike cycle by Central Banks.” According to ICICI Securities, outflows from India led by foreign portfolio investors are likely to be short-lived as Indiaˀ’s growth outlook remains intact. Typically when foreign investors are in risk-off mode on rising bond yields back home and a stronger dollar, they tend to avoid risk. However, FPIs have been bulking up on risk since the start of FY24. According to July data, FPIs continued buying high beta stocks related to cyclical and capital-intensive sectors. Their preferred sectors included financials, industrials, discretionary consumption and energy. Aggregate holding of FPIs now stand at a cumulative Rs 53.2 trillion, which suggests that they now own 17.4% of Indian equities as of July 2023 against 17% in June 2022. FPI holding of the Nifty50 index also inched up 140 basis points to 23.8% in the first quarter of FY24. On a trailing twelve months basis, FPIs have invested $20.4 bn in Indian equities and while other flows into other emerging markets have moderated after the US downgrade, India continued to see positive flows. In August, Taiwan, Brazil, Thailand and South Africa saw net outflows, while India has seen inflows of $1.2 bn. Foreign investors have been consistently selling equities in Taiwan barring a few months of positive flows since last year. According to Kotak Institutional Equities, listed emerging markets inflows were positive for all countries in July. China witnessed flows of $6.2 bn of flows while India saw $4.14 bn in July. So far analysts have been saying that most of the capital flows into India were in passive funds or ETFs but the tide has decisively turned in June and July with allocation coming from active funds too. According to Kotal, India dedicated funds saw allocation of $1.6bn which were led by $1.2 bn of non-ETF inflows in June. ALSO READ: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/markets/news/jio-financial-list-at-rs-262-per-share-on-exchanges/articleshow/102891059.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Jio Financial slips in initial trade after listing at Rs 262 per share on exchanges</a>

FPIs rush to sell EM equities in August after US downgrade, flows positive for India

<ul><li>This year, the Indian <keyword id="6358301" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="monsoon" source="Orion">monsoon</keyword> has been late, slow and erratic which has affected sowing and damaged crops due to flooding.</li><li>As per the latest updates, sowing of pulses and <keyword id="50361" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="coarse-cereals" source="Orion">coarse cereals</keyword> has been low – and they’re already facing double digit inflation.</li><li>A dry spell is expected due to El Nino conditions, say weather forecasts.</li><li>The reservoir levels are also lower this year, which can affect the next cropping season of Rabi. </li></ul>It’s raining bad news for those hoping that India’s inflation will come down. After many crests and troughs, the year of 2023’s cumulative monsoon rainfall has been deficient by 8% with muted activity in August. Unlike last year, India’s reservoir levels are low too, threatening the next cropping season as well. This year’s monsoon started on a dry note, with 10% deficiency in June, a slight rebound which saw 5% above normal in July. But August did not bring any cheer to a monsoon which also saw sharp inconsistencies in spatial distribution as well. Short spurts of heavy rainfall have caused flooding in some parts of the country which damaged crops while deficient rainfall in other parts has affected the sowing activity, says a report by CareEdge. A dry spell ahead Major agricultural regions like eastern Gangetic plains which ranges from eastern UP, Bihar, Jharkhand, and Southern West Bengal; and Southern Karnataka, Madhya Maharashtra, Rayalaseema in Andhra Pradesh, and Kerala continue to witness a significant deficit in the cumulative rainfall. Certain western regions like Saurashtra and Kutch, Western Rajasthan, and Himachal Pradesh continue to witness surplus rain. As the monsoon ends in August, little will change for Indian monsoon. “In the coming days, IMD expects subdued rainfall in the large part of the country with the exception of Assam, Meghalaya and Arunachal Pradesh that will receive surplus rainfall,” says a report by Bank of Baroda. Moreover, weak to moderate El Nino conditions are expected to lead to a prolonged dry spell The pulse of inflation While the rice sowing has picked up for rice after an initial deficit, pulses, certain cereals, jute and cotton continue to be deficient. Pulses, oil seeds and coarse grains are the most rain dependent crops in India. “Acreage of pulses has declined by 8.3% led by lower sowing of Arhar or <keyword id="71865" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="tur-dal" source="Orion">tur dal</keyword> (-5.1%) and urad (-13.8%) compared with last year. Oilseeds and cotton logged in lower sowing areas, with the exception of soybean and castor which has registered some improvement amongst oilseeds,” said Jahnavi Prabhakar, economist at Bank of Baroda. The erratic progress of the southwest monsoon has resulted in a spike in the prices of the domestic food basket, which has a weightage of about 40% in the CPI inflation basket. “A drop in yield due to irregular monsoon and a lower acreage can lead to a demand-supply mismatch, further increasing inflationary pressures in the food basket. Pulses and cereals are already witnessing double-digit inflation,” said CareEdge. <table style="border-width: initial; border-style: none;"></colgroup><tbody><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Crop </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">YoY change in sowing acreage </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Coarse Cereals </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">1.1% </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Jowar </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">(7.7) </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Bajra </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">1.0 </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Maize </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">2.6 </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Rice </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">4.4 </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Pulses </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">(8.3) </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Oilseeds </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">(0.9) </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Cotton </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">(1.8) </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Sugarcane </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">0.8 </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">Jute and Mesta </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">(5.6) </td></tr><tr><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">All Crops </td><td style="border-left:solid #000000 1pt;border-right:solid #000000 1pt;border-bottom:solid #000000 1pt;border-top:solid #000000 1pt;vertical-align:top;padding:5pt 5pt 5pt 5pt;overflow:hidden;overflow-wrap:break-word;">0.3 </td></tr></tbody></table>Source: Bank of Baroda as of August 25 What’s in the reservoir? Last year, the reservoir levels as a percentage of total capacity was at 81% – but this year, it’s down to 64%. That’s 6% below the 10 year average, all thanks to the slow monsoon progress. The reservoir level of six states — Maharashtra, Jharkhand, Karnataka, Odisha, West Bengal and Tamil Nadu remain the most vulnerable. Together, these most vulnerable states contribute nearly a third of India’s agriculture gross value added (GVA). Their area under irrigation is also lower than the national average. “Lower rainfall and the resultant lower reservoir levels will have implications for the rabi crops that have a higher dependency on irrigation,” says a CareEdge report.

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India’s growth story patchy and not broad based, say economists

Katya Naidu

India imports $12.4 billion worth of crude from Russia but discounts are waning

Katya Naidu

FPIs rush to sell EM equities in August after US downgrade, flows positive for India

Malini Bhupta

It’s official – Monsoon is deficient & India stares at pricier pulses, cereals

Katya Naidu

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