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As the results season kicks in, the <keyword id="20097634" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="quarterly-earnings" source="keywords">quarterly earnings</keyword> numbers of several <keyword id="22405488" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="blue-chip-firms" source="keywords">blue-chip firms</keyword> — such as <keyword id="19906778" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Infosys" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Infosys" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Infosys">Infosys</keyword> and Reliance Industries — along with <keyword id="20837523" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="global-trends" source="keywords">global trends</keyword> and <keyword id="20223116" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="trading-activity" source="keywords">trading activity</keyword> of foreign investors, will determine <keyword id="22405487" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="equity-market-movement" source="keywords">equity market movement</keyword> in the holiday-shortened week ahead, according to analysts. The domestic <keyword id="22405489" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="WPI-inflation-data" source="keywords">WPI inflation data</keyword> for June — scheduled to be announced on Monday — will also influence trading sentiments, traders said. Markets will remain closed on Wednesday for Muharram. Among major quarterly earnings to be tracked this week are from HDFC Life Insurance Company, Bajaj Auto, BPCL, JSW Steel, Asian Paints, Infosys, and Reliance Industries. "Q1 earnings will be a key focus this week as numerous companies, including heavyweights Infosys, and Reliance, are set to release their results. Additionally, <keyword id="22194639" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="pre-Budget-discussions" source="keywords">pre-Budget discussions</keyword> are expected to contribute to market volatility," Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd, said. On the global front, a significant focus will be on China. The country is scheduled to announce its GDP and Industrial Production (IIP) numbers, Meena said. "Other global factors to watch include the speech by the US Federal Reserve Chairman, US retail sales figures, and macroeconomic data from Japan," he added. Meanwhile, IT services company HCL Tech on Friday posted a 20.4 per cent rise in consolidated net profit to Rs 4,257 crore for the June-ended quarter and gave a revenue growth guidance of 3-5 per cent for FY25 on GenAI diversification and strong operational execution. "On Monday, markets will react to India's inflation data. Key results this week include Jio Financial Services, HDFC Life, Asian Paints, LTIMindtree, Infosys, Wipro, JSW Steel, Paytm, etc. Also globally, investors will take cues from China's GDP numbers, US core retail sales data, and ECB (European Central Bank) interest rate decision," Siddhartha Khemka, Head, Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said. Retail inflation increased to four-month high of 5.08 per cent in June as food items, including vegetables, became dearer, according to government data released on Friday. Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services, said, "We expect stock-specific moves to gain traction due to the ongoing earnings season; indeed, IT will be in the limelight due to the good start to the earnings and outlook." In the week ahead, economic data like China GDP, EuroZone CPI inflation, ECB policy, and the US Fed chair speech will be watched by investors to get cues on market momentum, Nair added. On a weekly basis, the BSE benchmark jumped 522.74 points, or 0.65 per cent, while the Nifty climbed 178.3 points, or 0.73 per cent. The 30-share BSE Sensex jumped 622 points, or 0.78 per cent, to settle at a record closing level of 80,519.34 on Friday. During the day, it zoomed 996.17 points, or 1.24 per cent, to hit an all-time high of 80,893.51. The NSE Nifty surged 186.20 points, or 0.77 per cent, to settle at a record closing high of 24,502.15. Intra-day, it jumped 276.25 points, or 1.13 per cent, to hit a new lifetime peak of 24,592.20.

Trading activity to hinge on Q1 results, global trends in holiday-shortened week: analysts

Meta earnings live updates: Wall Street bullish on the firm's long-term prospects; analysts watching for AI guidance

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Trading firm Susquehanna is dipping its toe into sports gambling.</li><li>The space has exploded in the US as dozens of states have legalized <keyword id="20103900" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="online-gambling" source="keywords">online gambling</keyword>.</li></ul>Quants and gambling have been intertwined from the start. Math professor and first-generation quant trader Ed Thorp first rose to fame because he laid out the blueprint for counting cards in blackjack in his 1962 book "Beat the Dealer." A typical night for the late founder of <keyword id="21613450" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Renaissance-Technologies" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Renaissance Technologies" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Renaissance Technologies">Renaissance Technologies</keyword>, Jim Simons, when he was an undergrad at MIT included long-running poker games with his classmates. A <a target="_blank" href="https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/quants-book/">now-infamous poker charity tournament in 2006</a> had some of the biggest names in hedge funds competing, including Citadel's Ken Griffin, AQR's Cliff Asness, and PDT's Peter Muller, who came out on top. But they all knew the real money was in the markets, not poker pots. While some quant types have made their fortunes gambling — such as Bill Benter, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-05-03/the-gambler-who-cracked-the-horse-racing-code" target="_blank">the man who "cracked" horse racing</a> — the most ambitious chased basis points, not parlays. Until now. Trading giant Susquehanna <a target="_blank" href="https://www.ft.com/content/88ba9e42-09c2-480a-8b21-43051707f84d">has built out a 15-person unit focused on </a>sports gambling in Dublin and plans to expand into the US. The number of "well-informed, deep-pocketed users" is growing on Novig, a <keyword id="22230743" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="sports-betting" source="keywords">sports betting</keyword> exchange, the startup's founder Kelechi Ukah told Business Insider. With sports gambling exploding in popularity in the US thanks to dozens of states allowing online betting, these traders —known to use copious amounts of data and sophisticated programs to trade securities in markets around the world — are diving in in search of serious profits in a nascent space. The increased presence of top-level quant firms is going to cut into the wins of the average gambler even more, said Jacek Dmochowski, a professor at the City College of New York who has studied the "optimal" way to gamble on sports. Sports gambling in the US is no longer a business done under the table with a shady bookie or on a Las Vegas bachelor party trip. Every night, millions are betting on college and professional games, some to the point of no return — <a target="_blank" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/business/consumer/online-sports-gambling-bankrupting-households-reducing-savings-rcna167235">a study from UCLA</a> found that states that legalized gambling have seen a 28% increase in bankruptcies compared to those that didn't. Through the second quarter of this year, online gambling site <keyword id="23047077" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="FanDuel" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="FanDuel" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="FanDuel">FanDuel</keyword> averaged 3.3 million bettors each month. Flutter Entertainment, the owner of Irish gambling company Paddy Power and US-based DraftKings, made more than $7 billion in revenue across its different units in the first half of the year. Executives at MGM spoke on their earnings call at the end of July about timing product releases for the start of football season. While the limits for many of these online platforms are relatively small compared to the trades the world's smartest quants are typically putting on, the space is growing rapidly. "Sportsbooks will have to basically alter their lines in response" to large wagers from <keyword id="23774657" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="trading-firms" source="keywords">trading firms</keyword>, Dmochowski said. "That's going to make it harder for the betting public to make a profit." <h2>Easy wins are already vanishing</h2>The trading firms that are slow to move have already missed out on low-hanging fruit. "It's a very similar dynamic to the electronicification of securities marketplaces in the 70s and 80s," said Ukah, the cofounder of Novig and a one-time Jane Street intern. Just as stock trading evolved from a phone call with a broker who would charge a commission to discount to online brokerages like eTrade to algorithmic trading shops, sports betting has gone from a personal relationship with a bookie to platforms like FanDuel. "The final stage is the algorithmic execution phase," he said. Already, the smartest Novig users are sanding away the easiest returns. Novig, which pulls in odds from different sportsbooks, has seen arbitrages between different sportsbooks' odds disappear after a few seconds now. Two years ago, it was several minutees, Ukah said. "Everyone is much tighter," Ukah said. Dmochowski predicts an "algorithm arms race" between traders and sportsbooks to find "the optimal price." There's demand from Novig users for the exchange to release software that would allow traders to program a bot to trade for them. Ukah said there's no timeline at the moment to release this, but said the portion of the gambling market growing the quickest is from institutions. "It's an uncorrelated, high-volatility asset class," Ukah said. In other words, exactly what trading shops are looking for. Correction: October 29, 2024 — An earlier version of this story misspelled the surname of a famed horse-racing gambler. It's Benter, not Bentley.

Sports betting is the next frontier for Wall Street's smartest quants to conquer 

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson is now bullish on the stock market, setting a 2025 S&amp;P 500 target of 6,500.</li><li>He cites Fed rate cuts and potential deregulation, and says high-quality cyclical stocks will outperform.</li></ul>Closely watched Wall Street strategist Mike Wilson of <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/ms-stock">Morgan Stanley</a> is turning more bullish on the stock market.In a Monday note, the CIO and chief US equity strategist set a 2025 year-end <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> price target of 6,500, representing potential upside of 11% from current levels.The call is notable considering that Wilson has been largely bearish on stocks over the past few years, correctly calling the 2022 bear market but <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-earnings-recession-morgan-stanley-bear-mike-wilson-2023-12">remaining bearish</a> throughout much of the stock market's advance that began in October 2022.Wilson previously had a mid-year 2025 S&amp;P 500 price target of 5,400. The S&amp;P 500 traded at around 5,900 on Monday.According to Wilson, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-interest-rate-cuts-outlook-2025-trump-tariff-inflation-growth-2024-11">interest-rate cuts</a> from the Federal Reserve, combined with improving economic growth and the potential for a wave of deregulation under the incoming Trump administration, means investors should lean bullish on stocks."A potential rise in corporate animal spirits post the election (as we saw following the 2016 election) could catalyze a more balanced earnings profile across the market in 2025," Wilson said.Wilson had previously been skeptical of stock market upside due to elevated valuations. While he admits they're still "rich," they could be justified as long as the economy holds up.And looking under the surface, valuations aren't hitting extremes, according to the note."The S&amp;P 500 median stock multiple is less extended at 19.0x and should stay supported if the earnings recovery broadens out in 2025 as we expect," Wilson said.Wilson recommended investors own high-quality cyclical stocks, with a particular focus on stocks found in the financials sector.On the flipside, Wilson recommended investors take an underweight position on consumer discretionary and consumer staple stocks due to limited pricing power and the potential risk of tariffs.While Wilson shifted to a more bullish tone on stocks, he said investors should "stay nimble" amid changing market leadership and uncertainty around President-elect Donald Trump's policies related to immigration, global trade, and government spending."We are potentially going through another sea change in policy outcomes that could have both short and longer term implications for markets," Wilson said.

Morgan Stanley is finally bullish on stocks: Why the firm now sees 11% upside through 2025

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Stocks have rallied since Trump won the election as traders expect his policies to drive growth.</li><li>But the market is confusing positive conditions from Trump's first term with current reality, a research firm said.</li></ul>The market is wrong to expect another period of outsize growth under Donald Trump, and should dial back risk as a result, BCA Research says.<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-election-win-stock-market-today-record-high-sp500-dow-2024-11?_gl=1*ovl9fb*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTkzMzI0Ny40MTcuMS4xNzMxOTM1MTQ1LjQyLjAuMA..">Stocks have rallied</a> nearly across the board since <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-wins-presidential-election-race-2024-11">Trump</a> won the election earlier this month, with the S&amp;P 500 up nearly 2% since Election Day and stock exposure hitting an 11-year high. Traders are betting Trump's proposals for broad deregulation and corporate tax cuts will boost corporate earnings, particularly among so-called <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-election-impact-trump-win-election-financials-energy-rbc-2024-10?_gl=1*1hmjfnh*_ga*MTY3OTgyNjg0MS4xNzIxMDE2MDM2*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTkzMzI0Ny40MTcuMS4xNzMxOTM1MTkxLjYwLjAuMA..">Trump trades</a> like bank stocks.But the research firm says those proposed policies might not prove as big of a boost to the market as they did when Trump first entered the White House."The market is expecting Trump to enact a flurry of policies that will unleash a year of growth like 2017. But we believe the consensus is wrong," strategist Juan Correa said, pointing to a starkly different economic backdrop this time around versus at the start of his first term.When Trump entered the White House in 2017, he was met with rising inflation and the start of a hiking cycle from the Federal Reserve. This time, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stanley-druckenmiller-fed-rate-cuts-inflation-1970s-trump-election-fomc-2024-11">inflation</a> is coming down, as has rates. That makes the Fed's focus pinned on the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://businessinsider.com/next-fed-rate-cut-forecast-jumbo-unemployment-labor-market-citi-2024-11">labor market</a>, which has started showing signs of deterioration, Correa says.Meanwhile, global growth appears to be on the downward slide. China's stimulus hasn't been enough to boost its <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-housing-property-stimulus-economic-growth-goldman-sachs-2024-10">property sector</a>, and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/us-is-experiencing-factory-boom-but-finding-workers-is-difficult-2023-7">manufacturing employment</a> remains tepid with the ISM manufacturing index under 50, while in 2017 it neared 60 and was already beginning to accelerate well before Trump's win."Those betting on a 2017 scenario are doing so based on data from eight years ago," Correa said.Some investors may argue that Trump's policies could reverse those macro trends, with pro-growth and inflationary policies like he implemented in his first term, and that those might be especially possible to enact with a Republican-controlled Congress.But that is likely an overestimate, Correa says. In his mind, it isn't clear that Trump's tax cuts were actually at the heart of economic growth in 2017. He thinks that generating additional growth through government spending will be harder this time around. With such large deficits already, it's unlikely there will be such a big increase from current levels, and projections for fiscal force next year are already negative, he said.In short, traders are looking at Trump through the lens of his past term, rather than the odds stacked against him now."Investors are playing the man and not the macro. Even worse, they are playing not the man today but the man from eight years ago. As a result, several assets are overextended in our view," Correa said, pointing to small caps, the dollar and risk assets.Correa recommends positioning defensively instead, out of stocks and into bonds."We remain underweight equities and are defensively positioned. Bonds are offering outstanding value. Even in the event of a soft landing, 10-year Treasurys would return 12% from current levels over the next year," he said.

The market is too confident about Trump, and investors should play defense instead, research firm says

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks were down Wednesday morning before the week's high-profile earnings kicked off. </li><li> Snap, Advanced Micro Devices, and Alphabet report third-quarter results after the bell.</li></ul>US stocks dipped on Tuesday as traders waited for a slew of <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/big-tech-earnings-microsoft-amazon-apple-alphabet-meta-2024-10">corporate earnings</a> <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-tech-earnings-gdp-inflation-jobs-report-economy-2024-10">reports and economic data</a> releases. Major indexes edged lower and bond yields rose. The 10-year Treasury yield was up four basis points to 4.326%. Earnings season on Wall Street continues to gain steam, with <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/snap-stock">Snap</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/amd-stock">Advanced Micro Devices</a>, and Google parent <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/googl-stock">Alphabet</a> among the major tech firms set to report earnings after the bell. The earnings deluge continues on Wednesday with <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/meta-stock">Meta</a> and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/msft-stock">Microsoft</a> after the closing bell. Apple and Amazon will report on Thursday. Third-quarter earnings have been strong so far. Of the 37% of S&amp;P 500 companies that have released financials, 75% have beat earnings estimates, on par with the 10-year average, according to a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://insight.factset.com/sp-500-earnings-season-update-october-25-2024">FactSet</a> analysis.This week's economic data, meanwhile, has the potential to reset the market's expectations for Fed rate cuts. Investors will digest GDP data for the third quarter on Wednesday, with estimates of 3.2% growth in the July through September period.On Friday, the October jobs report will be published. Economists expect 110,000 jobs were added last month, well below September's reading of 254,000. The Federal Reserve's November policy meeting will kick off a day after the presidential election. According to the CME Fedwatch tool, traders see a 96% chance central bankers will cut rates another 25 basis points, though recent hot data has also suggested the Fed may pause rate cuts at an upcoming meeting. "As we enter 2025, the case for skipping or pausing is likely to build. The Fed will be closer to estimates of neutral, a repeat of residual seasonality could lift inflation early next year, and the election outcome could add to hawkish risks for the Fed," Deutsche Bank analysts said in a note on Wednesday.Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,802.94, down 0.35%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 42,184.05, down 0.48% (-203.52 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,523.71, down 0.23%</li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li>Here's how a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/market-impact-presidential-election-scenarios-trump-harris-stocks-bonds-crypto-2024-10?_gl=1*1qvmmw6*_ga*OTI1ODIwOTQ2LjE3MTYzOTg2NjU.*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMDIwNTI2My40OTMuMS4xNzMwMjA4NDgwLjQuMC4w">Trump or Harris presidency</a> could impact your investments.</li><li>The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/election-betting-odds-trump-vs-harris-polymarket-kalshi-robinhood-2024-10">election-betting market</a> has exploded this presidential cycle.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-media-djt-truth-social-election-madison-square-garden-rally-2024-10">Trump Media and Technology stock embarked on a meme-like rally</a> after Trump's Madison Square Garden event. The stock was halted for volatility on Tuesday morning. </li><li>The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/fed-rate-cuts-outlook-job-market-economy-fomc-jeremy-siegel-2024-10">Fed could pause rates at its next meeting</a>, if the October jobs report comes in strong, according to Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil ticked higher 0.67% to $67.83 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, edged up 0.61% to $71.42 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> was higher by 0.47% to $2,754.48 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield climbed five basis points to 4.333%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> rose 3.25% to $71,152.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Indexes dip ahead of mega-cap tech earnings

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks jumped on Monday as investors anticipate key earnings and economic data this week.</li><li>Major tech firms like Meta, Microsoft, and Apple will report third-quarter earnings.</li></ul>US stocks moved higher on Monday to kick off <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-tech-earnings-gdp-inflation-jobs-report-economy-2024-10">a pivotal week of earnings and economic data.</a>More than 90 <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> companies are set to report results this week, and investors will be keenly focused on third-quarter updates from <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/meta-stock">Meta Platforms</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/msft-stock">Microsoft</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/AAPL-stock">Apple</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/amzn-stock">Amazon</a>, and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/googl-stock">Alphabet</a>.Combined, these five mega-cap tech giants are worth about $12 trillion."The busiest week is ahead of us, with a shift from cyclicals to AI / mega-cap Tech. AI monetization is in focus and has been spotty at best. But Tech CEOs have told us that the biggest risk is underinvesting thus AI capex could drive sales for Tech but also for the broader market," Bank of America's Savita Subramanian said in a Monday note.So far, 37% of S&amp;P 500 companies have reported earnings results. Of those companies, 78% beat profit estimates by a median of 6%, while 58% beat revenues estimates by a median of 2%, according to data from Fundstrat.It's a big week for economic data as well, with third-quarter GDP to be released Wednesday morning. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Tracker suggests growth of 3.3% in the quarter, while economists expect growth of 3.2%.Investors will also get a look into inflation with the release of the PCE index on Thursday, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.According to economist estimates, the year-over-year PCE Index is expected to be 2.1%, a slight decrease from last month's reading of 2.2%.Finally, investors will turn their attention to the October jobs report on Friday. Economists expect 110,000 jobs added to the economy last month, a big decline from the September employment report, which came in hot with 245,000 new jobs.From there, investors will be hyper-focused on the Presidential election next week, which will be followed by the Fed' next policy meeting on November 6-7. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Monday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,823.56, up 0.27% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 42,387.57, up 0.65% (+273.17 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,567.19, up 0.26% </li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-media-djt-truth-social-election-madison-square-garden-rally-2024-10">Trump Media stock soared on Monday following former President Donald Trump's rally at Madison Square Garden.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/oil-prices-today-israel-strike-iran-production-brent-wti-crude-2024-10">Oil prices plunged more than 6% after Israel's attack against Iran over the weekend avoided oil facilities.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-prediction-sp500-outlook-future-returns-goldman-sachs-forecast-2024-10">4 charts back up Goldman Sachs' prediction of a decade of low returns in the stock market.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/market-impact-presidential-election-scenarios-trump-harris-stocks-bonds-crypto-2024-10">Here's what is at stake for your investments in next week's Presidential election.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/gold-price-record-high-became-etf-interest-rates-trump-costco-2024-10">Gold has become one of the world's hottest investments as it outperforms the S&amp;P 500. Here's why.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-deportation-immigration-policy-election-housing-home-prices-construction-costs-2024-10">Donald Trump's proposed immigration crackdown could make housing more expensive by depleting the construction workforce.</a></li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil plunged 5.54% to $67.80 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was lower by 5.50% to $71.87 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> was flat at $2,754.50 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield rose 3 basis points to 4.274%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> increased 2.49% to $69,638.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Indexes gain as investors brace for key tech earnings

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Hertz dropped as much as 12% Tuesday morning after posting a deeper-than-expected quarterly profit loss.</li><li>The rental-car giant is still facing challenges from a high-cost electric vehicle fleet.</li></ul><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/htz-stock">Hertz</a> shares plunged as much as 12% on Tuesday after the company turned in its fourth quarterly loss in a row. The earnings report highlighted the car-rental giant's inability to shake off a failed bet on Tesla vehicles.Hertz lost 68 cents per share in the third quarter, exceeding consensus expectations for a 46-cent loss. The declining residual value of its car fleet also cost Hertz a $1 billion non-cash impairment charge during the period.Although Hertz stock tumbled early, it stabilized mid-day, trading roughly 3% higher at $3.48 as of 1:05 p.m. ET in New York.According to the company's latest <a target="_blank" href="https://s204.q4cdn.com/384814028/files/doc_financials/2024/q3/Q3-2024-Earnings-Release-Final.pdf">press release</a>, vehicle depreciation has jumped significantly at a time when the firm is trying to rotate out high-capital-cost vehicles, such as Tesla's EVs.The rental giant once planned to make <a target="_blank" href="https://www.wordhippo.com/what-is/another-word-for/headbutt.html">25% of its fleet electric by the end of 2024</a> and, three years prior, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-hertz-deal-elon-musk-advertising-marketing-2021-10">pledged to purchase 100,000 Teslas</a> to meet this goal.That's since changed. Hertz has since <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/ev-maintenance-repair-hidden-costs-ownership-hertz-tesla-2024-1">decided on downsizing</a> its EV fleet by <a target="_blank" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-25/hertz-reports-392-million-loss-as-it-unwinds-tesla-fleet-burden">30,000 vehicles</a>, having discovered that these cars depreciate quickly and come with high repair costs. Renters also <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/renting-tesla-from-hertz-what-it-was-like-experience-2024-1">appeared indifferent</a> toward electric rentals, with customers requesting <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/used-electric-vehicles-price-crash-gas-cars-ev-demand-tesla-2024-6">EVs less than expected</a>.That has cost the company quarterly losses across 2024. So far, Hertz's stock is down nearly 69% year-to-date.In the third quarter, revenue dropped 5% to $2.6 billion. Vehicle depreciation rose 89% to $547 a vehicle per month. But according to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-12/hertz-misses-estimates-as-losses-mount-from-failed-tesla-bet?sref=LspfQlRv">Bloomberg</a>, CEO Gil West told analysts that depreciation will normalize to about $300 in the future.

Hertz's failed Tesla bet keeps getting worse as weak earnings challenge its stock

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Investors are awaiting TSMC earnings for signs of what's to come for the chip sector. </li><li>AMSL sparked a panic on Tuesday as it slashed sales guidance for 2025. </li></ul>This week's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-today-chip-stocks-asml-nvidia-morgan-stanley-earnings-2024-10">sell-off in chip stocks</a> and lingering questions about the demand for artificial intelligence tech has raised the stakes for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company's coming earnings report.The chipmaker will report its full third-quarter earnings in the early hours on Thursday. The results will serve as a key update for investors eagerly watching for signs of an industry slowdown after <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/chipmakers-tumble-asml-guidance-semiconductor-nvidia-chip-growth-2024-10">downbeat guidance from ASML</a> triggered a sell-off in top semiconductor shares on Tuesday. TSMC, which is one of ASML's largest customers and a top supplier to tech firms like Nvidia and Apple, revealed last week that it pulled in revenue of $759.69 billion New Taiwan dollars, or around $23.57 billion, in the third quarter, beating estimates.TSMC edged 1% lower Wednesday afternoon, with shares trading around $187.82. The stock is up 84% year-to-date, thanks partly to the firm's strong financial results so far in 2024.Chip and semiconductor stocks, meanwhile, traded slightly higher, with the SPDR S&amp;P Semiconductor ETF rising nearly 1% by mid-day.Traders are waiting for guidance from TSMC executives on the firm's earnings call regarding demand in the current quarter as well as the coming year. Fears about demand were ignited recently when Nvidia reported results for the second quarter in August. The chip giant's earnings beat estimates but fell short of the loftiest projections, leading to questions about cooling appetite for AI-enabling technology as firms have yet to report meaningful returns on huge capital expenditures in the space. Since then, Nvidia has once again traded close to all-time highs. Recent comments from CEO J<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/nvidia-stock-price-jensen-huang-blackwell-gpu-demand-ai-tech-2024-10">ensen Huang point to extremely high demand</a> for the next-generation Blackwell chip, which Huang has said will be sold out for the next 12 months.

All eyes are on TSMC earnings as the chipmaker industry faces slowdown worries

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Wall Street analysts have high hopes for Meta's third-quarter earnings report on Wednesday. </li><li>Investors are keeping an eye on growth opportunities from AI. </li></ul>Wall Street analysts are upbeat ahead of Meta's third-quarter earnings report on Wednesday after the closing bell. Analysts generally expect positive revenue and earnings figures, thanks to the Facebook parent's AI ad optimization and the firm's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/meta-reorganized-major-businesses-eliminated-roles-whatsapp-instagram-reality-labs-2024-10#:~:text=Meta%20has%20gone%20through%20several,%22efficiency%22%20would%20be%20permanent.&amp;text=As%20of%20March%2C%20Meta%20had,of%202022%2C%20BI%20previously%20reported.">sweeping cost cuts</a>, which included several rounds of layoffs in recent years and saw the firm backing away from some of its <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/mark-zuckerberg-cuts-spending-reality-labs-meta-report-2024-7">virtual reality projects</a>. Investors will be keeping a close eye on signs Meta can continue that growth, with the company <a target="_blank" href="https://affiliate.insider.com?h=4d0247c89eeec6faa3e72d5dee88e7c60fa1cc284a9699c5902f9e7a696dc773&amp;postID=6720fbaf3a35c2732d44c2bb&amp;postSlug=meta-q3-earnings-preview-meta-stock-price-ai-growth-guidance-2024-10&amp;site=bi&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theinformation.com%2Farticles%2Fmeta-develops-ai-search-engine-to-lessen-reliance-on-google-microsoft">reportedly</a> working on a new search tool that will surf the web for its AI chatbot. Wall Street is also looking for strong guidance for the current quarter, though analysts see potential for costs to come in higher than expected.Here's what analysts are saying ahead of the tech giant's earnings report. <h2 id="a8b0515c-9d85-4b4d-b1cf-6fce44552568">"Long-term story is as strong as ever": Bernstein</h2>Meta's long-run growth trajectory looks solid, according to Bernstein senior analyst Mark Shmulik. The stock is up 70% this year and is up 550% since bottoming in 2022."Near term risk and reward feels balanced," Shmulik wrote in a note, adding that the firm had a "perma-bull position on all things Meta.""But the long-term story is as strong as ever. As we look ahead we're constructive on the core business with an expected launch of ads on Threads, continued Reels ramp, more AI/Advantage+ ad tools offer investors top-line upside with a potential TikTok ban not currently priced in," he later added.The firm issued an "Outperform" rating on the stock and a $675 price target, implying 15% upside from current levels.<h2 id="dc7c6a08-8f5f-4c79-812c-4fa35a463037">"Uniquely well positioned to monetize search": JMP</h2>Meta's reported search engine could be a huge positive for the company, JMP analysts said in a note."Meta is uniquely well positioned to monetize search given its 200M+ active SMBs and 12M+ active advertisers," the firm wrote. "To that end, we believe Meta could offer a compelling commercial experience for search given its existing advertiser and SMB relationships while also using search intent signal to power its core advertising product on Facebook and Instagram."The search tool, though, could raise capital expenditures and costs, analysts said, possibly by more than investors are expecting. The firm issued an "Outperform" rating on the stock and a $635 price target, implying an 8% increase from current levels.<h2 id="3ae15c9a-d200-4592-ae15-3f19e716186b">"Top AI pick": Bank of America</h2>BofA analysts expect a "modest" earnings beat from the tech giant on Wednesday. They forecast the firm to report as much as $47.5 billion in revenue, which would represent an 18% year-over-year increase.Meta is a "top AI pick," the analysts added, pointing to a handful of tailwinds, like strong growth in Meta's AI-powered ads business, continued growth among younger users, and more AI growth opportunities in general."Our checks suggest Meta could see strength from: 1) new AI tools and new CRM integration driving higher ROI and incremental ad spend, 2) ramping messaging and Reels monetization, and 3) modest (100-200bps) political ad spend benefit," analysts wrote.The bank reiterated its "Buy" rating and $630 price target on the stock, implying 7% upside from current levels.<h2 id="2fdf202a-5a5b-4d15-a99d-48ed4f86b7d1">"Clear leader in social media": Morningstar</h2>Meta is a "<a target="_blank" href="https://affiliate.insider.com?h=8e3a91b023e95d600e3f54d96021a46339a33c3d1cf4d2a1d57384a4edc6bc4a&amp;postID=6720fbaf3a35c2732d44c2bb&amp;postSlug=meta-q3-earnings-preview-meta-stock-price-ai-growth-guidance-2024-10&amp;site=bi&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.morningstar.com%2Fstocks%2Fraising-fair-value-meta-stock-ai-ad-leadership">clear leader</a>" on an "unmatched scale" in the social meaning space, Morningstar said in a recent note, pointing to the firm's 4 billion monthly active users across its applications.Investors though, are keeping hawkish eye over signs Meta can sustain its growth, according to Dave Sekera, Morningstar's chief US market strategist."The market is going to be listening for any update on capex spending, specifically on generative AI. I'd really like to hear from them more specifically about how and when they will be able to monetize that spending. That's the big question for Meta," Sekara said. "Other than that, I'll be listening for an update on growth and digital ads; they had a big benefit from ad spending in Temu and Shein over the past couple quarters, so the question is whether that growth will continue or will it start to slow."The firm previously issued a 3-star rating for the stock and a fair value of $560, implying 5% downside from current levels.<h2 id="b7a7a27b-67d4-4195-b1a2-3e4d05b93099">"A tough bar to surpass": CFRA Research</h2>Meta could face challenges ahead due to the risk that growth decelerated in the last quarter, CFRA Research said."META has a tough bar to surpass in upcoming Q4 2024 and Q1 2025. We estimate Q3 growth decelerated to 18% from 22% in Q2 and see further deceleration to 15% in Q4 2024 and 13% in Q1 2025," CFRA senior equity analyst Angelo Zino wrote. He added that the challenge in the coming quarters will be to keep up with strong growth compared to the year-ago quarters. "We think year-over-year deceleration is due to lapping strong growth from China-based advertisers as well as strong Reels impression growth from a year ago. Still, we think digital ad trends remain healthy, with broad-based health across most regions and verticals," Angelo Zino, a senior equity analyst at CFRA, wrote.CFRA raised its price target on the stock to $650 a share, implying 11% upside.

Wall Street is bullish on Meta earnings as analysts eye an AI boost for the tech titan

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks rise as key earnings and economic data are anticipated this week.</li><li>Major tech firms, including Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Apple, are set to report earnings.</li></ul>US stocks jumped on Monday ahead of what's shaping up to be a pivotal week for earnings and economic data.More than 90 <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> companies are set to report results this week, and investors will be keenly focused on third-quarter updates from <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/meta-stock">Meta Platforms</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/msft-stock">Microsoft</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/AAPL-stock">Apple</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/amzn-stock">Amazon</a>, and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/googl-stock">Alphabet</a>.Combined, these five mega-cap tech giants are worth about $12 trillion.So far, 37% of S&amp;P 500 companies have reported earnings results. Of those companies, 78% beat profit estimates by a median of 6%, while 58% beat revenues estimates by a median of 2%, according to data from Fundstrat.In the oil market, crude prices plunged more than 6%, representing the biggest one-day decline since September 2022 after Israel's attack against Iran over the weekend avoided oil facilities.It's a big week for economic data as well, with third-quarter GDP set to be released Wednesday morning. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Tracker suggests growth of 3.3% in the quarter, while economists expect growth of 3.2%.Investors will also get a look into inflation with the release of the PCE index on Thursday, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.According to economist estimates, the year-over-year PCE Index is expected to be 2.1%, a slight decrease from last month's reading of 2.2%.Finally, investors will turn their attention to the October jobs report on Friday. Economists expect 110,000 jobs added to the economy last month, a big decline from the September employment report, which came in hot with 245,000 new jobs.Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Monday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,834.93, up 0.46% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 42,414.07, up 0.71% (+299.67 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,634.68, up 0.59% </li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/market-impact-presidential-election-scenarios-trump-harris-stocks-bonds-crypto-2024-10">Here's what is at stake for your investments in next week's Presidential election.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/gold-price-record-high-became-etf-interest-rates-trump-costco-2024-10">Gold has become one of the world's hottest investments as it outperforms the S&amp;P 500. Here's why.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-deportation-immigration-policy-election-housing-home-prices-construction-costs-2024-10">Donald Trump's proposed immigration crackdown could make housing more expensive by depleting the construction workforce.</a></li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil plunged 6.39% to $67.19 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was lower by 6.05% to $71.45 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> was lower by 0.21% to $2,748.80 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield was flat at 4.240%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> increased 1.46% to $68,936.</li></ul>

Stock market today: US stocks jump ahead of crucial week of earnings and data

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Amazon rose as much as 7.6% on Friday, its biggest intraday gain since early February.</li><li>The stock surge was driven by better-than-expected third-quarter earnings, as well as a strong outlook.</li></ul><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/amzn-stock">Amazon</a> stock saw its best day in nine months on Friday.It climbed as much as 7.6% to $200.50, its steepest intraday gain since Feb. 2, after a strong third-quarter earnings report. Shares traded around $199 as of 12:30 p.m. in New York, less than 1% from all-time closing highs set in July.The tech titan <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-stock-earnings-report-call-live-updates-2024-10">beat estimates</a> for both revenue and earnings-per-share, led by strength in cloud computing and cost-efficiency efforts. It also forecasted fourth-quarters sales in line with Wall Street expectations.In a turnaround from last year's record low sales growth, Amazon Web Services — the firm's AI-driven cloud platform — maintained stable momentum. Cloud revenues rose 19%, and CEO Andy Jassy indicated that Amazon's blowout $75 billion investment for 2025 will largely benefit AWS.During the firm's earnings call, Jassy explained that AI was driving the investment boost.He expressed that the technology is "a really unusually large, maybe once-in-a-lifetime type of opportunity. And I think our customers, the business, and our shareholders will feel good about this long term; that we're aggressively pursuing it."The company's cost cutting efforts have allowed the firm to pursue larger investments in these areas. With more efficiencies suggested ahead, Bank of America expects continued margin expansion through 2025.Amazon also delivered a retail beat, despite low expectations. Although Wall Street was concerned that headwinds would weaken the firm's consumer base, its online store grew 7% year-over-year, outpacing consensus estimates of 4%.According to the bank, efficiencies in the cost of servicing customers and ad growth helped drive the estimate-beat.

Amazon stock jumps most in 9 months as cost cuts, cloud spark earnings beat

<ul class="summary-list"><li>PepsiCo and major banks like JPMorgan and Wells Fargo will kick off earnings season next week.</li><li>Investors expect S&amp;P 500 earnings growth of 4.6% as the stock market trades near record highs.</li></ul>Earnings season is fast approaching, and investors have a lot to be on the lookout for as companies report third-quarter results. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/pep-stock">PepsiCo</a> will kick off the flurry of reports this Tuesday, followed by earnings from major banks <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/jpm-stock">JPMorgan</a> and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/wfc-stock">Wells Fargo</a> on Friday.With the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> gaining 5% in the third quarter and trading near record highs, companies have a lot to prove."Given the growth expectations already baked into the market of course we aren't going to want to see any weakness there," Horizon Investments head of research Michael Dickson told Business Insider."We'll need to see EPS expectations exceeded by high single digits in the aggregate to keep the strong year going in my view," he added. According to data from FactSet, Wall Street analysts expect the S&amp;P 500 to see year-over-year earnings growth of 4.6%, which would mark the fifth consecutive quarter of growth.The bottoms-up earnings per share estimate for all companies within the S&amp;P 500 is $60.82 in the third quarter, according to FactSet.Tom Hainlin, an investment strategist at US Bank Wealth Management, told Business Insider that third-quarter earnings results will need to show signs of "waning inflation, moderating interest rates, and stable 2025 earnings projections" to support higher stock prices into year-end.In addition to the actual earnings figures, investors will be monitoring key themes as company executives offer guidance during earnings calls.Here are the big things Wall Street will be watching for. <h2 id="6ea1435c-35de-4b91-a190-e931a5d9858d">AI adoption</h2>There is growing concern that the massive investments being made in AI infrastructure <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/ai-impact-overblown-investment-tech-stocks-billions-daron-acemoglu-mit-2024-10">won't actually pay off in the form of higher revenues and profits.</a>"There's almost like a prisoner's dilemma in the market right now, and companies are feeling like they're being forced to invest hand over fist in AI technology, despite lack of revenues being generated," Gabelli Funds managing director John Belton told Business Insider.If tech companies signal that they're cutting spending on AI investments, it could lead to a major unwinding of the current tech boom, so investors will be looking for clues as to how companies are progressing in monetizing their AI investments.There's also the question of sectors other than tech where AI may be having an impact. "A big driver of future growth is going to hinge on how the applications of AI will be broadening out into other sectors such as Healthcare, Industrials, and Aerospace and Defense. These are sectors that are most likely to be phase two beneficiaries of this crucial technology beyond chip makers and data centers," Horizon Investments' Dickson said.<h2 id="ac3f2d29-9ffa-4a02-8886-d18e86e36f86">Consumer health</h2>After <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/ally-financial-stock-price-plunges-cfo-says-consumer-pressures-intensifying-2024-9">a worrying update from lending giant</a> Ally Financial in September and fears of a spending slowdown as pandemic savings dry up, investors will be keenly focused on the strength of the consumer."It will be important to keep a close eye on what the banks say about credit delinquencies and loan quality, along with the retail-focused firms and what they see in consumer spending behavior. GDP-related data shows strong trends here but more timely and granular views will be in focus," Dickson said.Hainlin said he is encouraged by continued growth in consumer spending as credit card defaults "are within normal levels" and the holiday shopping season is right around the corner.But there are some warning signs."While travel remains strong, overall experiences spending appears to have plateaued with consumers redirecting or broadening spending in other sectors. Additionally, lower-income groups are exhibiting signs of financial stress and slowing overall spending," Hainlin said.Earnings guidance from banks, retailers, and consumer discretionary companies should offer the granular views that will help investors assess what to expect from the consumer heading into year-end and in 2025. <h2 id="14095169-d8ee-47c5-81bf-dd9fe87396b8">The impact of lower interest rates</h2>With the Federal Reserve delivering <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/september-jobs-report-fed-rate-cut-outlook-november-labor-market-2024-10">its first interest rate cut of the cycle at the end of last quarter,</a> investors will want to see if lower capital costs have trickled down into company results and/or their guidance.The spotlight will be on rate-sensitive sectors, like banks and utilities, as well as smaller-sized companies which tend to carry more debt, according to Dickson."It will be key to see how mid and small-cap companies respond to falling rates that we've seen over the third quarter. These firms were hurt a lot on a relative basis so if they discuss a meaningful reduction in debt service pressures that would be bullish for a broadening out in those smaller cap names," Dickson said.Lower interest rates also have <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/mortgages/average-mortgage-interest-rate">an outsized impact on the housing market,</a> and homebuilders can offer solid guidance on what they're seeing in that market."Lower mortgage rates are breathing some life back into the housing market, evidenced by a ramp up in weekly mortgage applications by almost 50% since the end of July, to the highest point since mid-2022," Hainlin said.He added: "Lower mortgage rates should push up housing demand, bring some additional inventory online, and provide a modest boost to home sales and housing-related consumer spending."

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