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The one-hour <keyword id="23618998" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Muhurat-trading" source="keywords">muhurat trading</keyword> session, which marks <keyword id="20963892" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Diwali-2024" source="keywords">Diwali 2024</keyword> and the onset of Hindu Samvat 2081 on both NSE and BSE, is set to commence at 6 pm today and will conclude at 7 pm. Generally, investors and traders make symbolic stock buys during this hour-long session, since it is believed that purchases made during this time herald wealth and prosperity for one’s investments for the year to come. If you are looking for <keyword id="19910146" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="stock-recommendations" source="keywords">stock recommendations</keyword> to add to your portfolio, here are a few value picks by SAMCO and Kotak Securities you can consider: <keyword id="19895995" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="HDFC-Bank" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="HDFC Bank" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="HDFC Bank">HDFC Bank</keyword> Ltd Holding period: 1 year Last Traded Price: Rs 1,734.30 Per the firm, “The bank has maintained a robust 10-year profit CAGR of 21.74%, operating with a NIM (net interest margin) of 3.5% and a low net NPA (non-performing assets) of 0.3%. Advances and deposits have shown steady growth. Currently, the stock trades below its 10-year average price-to-book value and at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19, offering a favorable risk-reward profile with a substantial downside buffer”. <keyword id="22086440" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Vindhya-Telelinks" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Vindhya Telelinks" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Vindhya Telelinks">Vindhya Telelinks</keyword> Ltd Holding Period: 1 year Last Traded Price: Rs 1,992.55 SAMCO notes that this key cable manufacturing, which is a joint venture between Universal Cables Limited and Madhya Pradesh State Industrial Development Corporation, has shown robust growth over the last 5 years, nearly doubling revenues with a 14.3% CAGR. The company holds significant investments in Birla Cable Ltd, Birla Corporation Ltd, and Universal Cable Ltd, totaling Rs 3,618 crore—surpassing its market capitalization of Rs 2,545 crore. This solid investment base underscores Vindhya Telelinks’ strong fundamentals and financial potential. <keyword id="23763358" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Ramco-Industries" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Ramco Industries" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Ramco Industries">Ramco Industries</keyword> Ltd Holding Period: 1 year Last Traded Price: Rs 244.89 SAMCO observes that over the past decade, sales grew at a 7% CAGR, while the share price rose at a 14% CAGR. Known for its financial stability, Ramco Industries boasts a low debt-equity ratio of 0.07 and has consistently paid dividends since FY17, currently yielding 0.31%. The stock’s attractive price-to-book multiple of 0.5 offers a solid margin of safety, highlighting its investment appeal. <keyword id="22786675" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Gravita-India" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Gravita India" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Gravita India">Gravita India</keyword> Holding Period: 12 months Last Traded Price: Rs 2,119 Kotak explains that Gravita India is the market leader in India’s emerging recycling industry with a focus on lead recycling. Gravita India is increasing its recycling capacity by a massive 72% to 500 ktpa by FY27E. “We expect the company’s earnings per share to grow by 31.8% in FY25E &amp; 31.6% in FY26E. We also expect an upside of 15% or more on this stock over the next 12 months”, adds Kotak’s note. <keyword id="23763359" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="S-H-Kelkar" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="S H Kelkar" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="S H Kelkar">S H Kelkar</keyword> and Company (SHKL) Holding Period: 12 months Last Traded Price: Rs 289.90 The company is a flavors &amp; fragrances (F&amp;F) supplier and has started to make inroads into the global market. SHK is well-placed to drive double-digit revenue growth. The company is a small but emerging contender in the vast F&amp;F market, with potential for margin expansion—higher-margin geographies &amp; operating leverage—allowing for over 15% return upside in the next 12 months. Kotak Securities further notes that FY25 will likely see more broad-based growth across sectors. However, the OMCs (oil marketing companies) may likely drag down overall profits. Most sectors and stocks are quite overvalued, with the degree of overvaluation ranging from: (1) low for most large-cap consumers, IT services, and pharmaceuticals (2) medium in the investment space (3) high in the case of several low-quality companies. "As the broader market valuations are rich, opportunities arising from market correction can be used to add quality stocks (with attractive valuations) from a long-term investment perspective," explains the research firm's note. SAMCO further advises adding a little glitter to your portfolio using GoldBees and SilverBees ETFs since there are recessionary fears in the US and geopolitical tensions across the world. Even central bankers like RBI have been adding gold to their vaults like never before. At present, markets are looking to secure their return on capital rather than seeking a return on capital. "Thus all of these make a strong case to add gold and silver to the portfolio. They will give stability to your portfolio this Samvat," adds SAMCO's note.

Muhurat trading 2024: 5 stock picks you can consider this time around

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Trump's win has upped the risk of a dire economic scenario, Nouriel Roubini says.</li><li>His policies could lead to stagflation, a fate experts have said is <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stagflation-recession-us-economy-outlook-gdp-dimon-inflation-rate-cuts-2024-4">worse than recession</a>.</li></ul>Donald Trump's proposed economic agenda raises the risk of one of the worst-case scenarios for the US economy, according to Wall Street's "Dr. Doom" economist.<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/who-is-nouriel-roubini-dr-doom-economy-recession-financial-crisis-2023-4">Nouriel Roubini</a>, the top economist known for his bombastic and frequently bearish prognostications, said he foresaw a challenging environment for the economy once Trump begins his second term as president. That's because Trump's proposed policies could spark a period of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stagflation-recession-us-economy-outlook-gdp-dimon-inflation-rate-cuts-2024-4">stagflation</a> for the economy, Roubini said, a situation some economic experts have described as even worse than a recession. In such a scenario, the economy would see a period of sluggish growth, soaring prices, high interest rates, and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/us-economy-stagflation-disaster-high-prices-inflation-high-unemployment-2022-3#:~:text=Normally%2C%20during%20a%20recession%20or,the%20corresponding%20relief%20on%20costs.">rising unemployment</a>.Roubini pointed to Trump's plans to levy <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-outlook-recession-fears-jump-trump-trade-war-tariffs-2024-11">steep tariffs</a> on Chinese goods, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tax-cut-tariff-plan-outlook-presidential-election-scenarios-harris-trump-2024-10">cut taxes</a>, implement "draconian" <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-harris-immigration-jobs-arizona-economy-mass-deportation-employment-wages-2024-10">restrictions on immigration</a>, and potentially <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-control-federal-reserve-jerome-powell-tariffs-inflation-2024-9">erode some of the Fed's independence</a>."If they were to follow those latter types of stagflationary policies, inflation will be higher, growth will be lower, bond yields will be higher because there is more inflation and more real rates with unsustainable deficits," Roubini said in an interview with <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2024-11-12/economist-roubini-says-bond-vigilantes-may-curb-trump-policies?srnd=phx-technology">Bloomberg</a> on Monday. "That's going to crowd economic growth, and bond yields above 5% would imply a correction of stock prices and negative impacts on the economy."Other experts have warned some of Trump's policies could lead to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-tariffs-higher-inflation-fed-interest-rates-taxes-mortgage-rates-2024-11">higher inflation and interest rates</a>, with his <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-rate-cuts-uncertainty-trump-presidency-inflation-tariffs-2024-11">tariff plan</a> attracting significant <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-harris-economy-outlook-inflation-job-market-election-paul-krugman-2024-10">criticism</a> from economists. Trump implemented tariffs during his first term without a significant increase in inflation, but forecasts are different this time around given that his proposals are much more sweeping, with tariffs targeting not just China but the rest of the world as well. Trump has pushed back on the idea that his policies will stoke higher prices. In August, the president-elect swore his policies would <a target="_blank" class="" href="http://lower.In">lower inflation</a>. In the week leading up to the election, Taylor Rogers, a Republican National Committee spokesperson, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/cost-expensive-goods-price-impact-presidential-election-scenarios-trump-harris-2024-10">told BI in a statement</a> that Trump would "once again cut taxes and unleash American energy to lower prices on groceries and other goods."But Roubini, who has warned of a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/dr-doom-nouriel-roubini-stagflation-debt-crisis-crash-federal-reserve-2022-12">stagflationary crisis</a> in recent years, has insisted <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/dr-doom-roubini-trump-stagflation-tariff-immigration-dollar-inflation-recession-2024-10#:~:text=Stagflation%20occurs%20when%20inflation%20keeps,that%20tumbles%20into%20this%20situation.&amp;text=Typically%2C%20central%20banks%20lower%20interest,away%20if%20prices%20keep%20rising.">stagflation risks</a> will rise during Trump's presidency. Prior to Trump's election win, Roubini said the cost of tariffs could be passed onto consumers, and that restricting immigration could chip away one of the economy's main catalysts for growth.Trump following through with all of his proposals would also likely increase the federal debt balance by nearly $10 trillion over the next decade, Roubini estimated. "The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-inflation-interest-rates-fed-rate-cuts-fomc-meeting-outlook-2024-11">Fed will have to cut less</a>, maybe eventually stop sooner," Roubini said of interest rates, adding that the Fed could potentially even raise interest rates if stagflation sets in. "And then the Fed and Trump will be on a collision course."Still, Roubini acknowledged uncertainties with the economic outlook. Some of Trump's policies — like his plans to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/bank-stocks-donald-trump-victory-reelection-wall-street-outlook-regulation-2024-11">loosen regulation</a> — could prop up business activity and fuel growth, Roubini noted.Markets also may be optimistic that they'll be able to reign in the future president by staging a selloff in bonds and equities, Roubini said. Other commentators have noted Trump is likely to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-policies-tax-cuts-inflation-government-debt-deficit-jeremy-siegel-2024-11">appease stock and bond investors</a> to avoid upsetting a booming market. "I think markets are still in a wait-and-see to figure out whether the policies are going to be hurting the economy," Roubini said. "Maybe the markets believe that the market discipline is going to discipline hin in advance, knowing that policies are not sustainable, are going to lead to bond market vigilantes and the stock market punishing him."Stocks took off in a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-today-sp500-crosses-6000-level-investors-cheer-trump-2024-11">record-setting rally</a> last week after Trump secured his election victory. US stocks saw around $20 billion in inflows on Wednesday, according to Bank of America, the largest single-day stock purchasing boom in five months. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-today-dow-crosses-44000-key-cpi-inflation-data-2024-11">closed at records on Monday. </a>

Trump's policies could usher in stagflation and send stock prices plummeting, 'Dr. Doom' economist says

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Muhurat trading 2024: 5 stock picks you can consider this time around

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Trump's policies could usher in stagflation and send stock prices plummeting, 'Dr. Doom' economist says

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