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<ul class="summary-list"><li>BlackRock's Rick Rieder says there are "no sellers" in the equity market.</li><li>Stocks will keep rising despite soaring market valuations, he told Yahoo Finance.</li></ul>Even with stock-market valuations hovering <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-crazy-town-valuation-mania-sp500-barry-bannister-2024-11">near generational highs</a>, BlackRock's bond chief highlighted one key reason why stocks can continue higher."There's no sellers," Rick Rieder — the firm's global CIO of fixed income — said at a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yjz_kTaO5pA">Yahoo Finance conference</a>.On the buying side, momentum is abundant, even as the prospect of persistently high interest rates boosts the appeal of the money-market funds."You think about the amount of money that comes into 401(k)s, wealth, salary — X percent goes into equities, and there's no sellers," he said.Rieder added that corporate buybacks are also backstopping stock market prices. Big companies have bought a trillion dollars worth of their own shares, he noted, shrinking the equity supply and pushing per-share values higher."So you shrink the denominator because they're buying back a bunch of their stock, and there's no sellers," Rieder said.He sees this more than offsetting any valuation pressures, even with one S&amp;P 500 adjusted-earnings ratio close to the highest it's been in the last century, according to new research from Deutsche Bank.And although Rieder sees current valuations as stretched, he added that market multiples could return to reasonable levels if earnings rise significantly higher."People want — myself included — want the multiple lower. But boy, it's pretty hard," he said. "If there's no egregious piece of news, geopolitical, et cetera, the natural migration is to higher prices."To be sure, Rieder himself has <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-us-debt-levels-government-borrowing-treasury-blackrock-rick-rieder-2024-11">previously noted impending risks</a>, previously forecasting that US debt could lead to a market shakeup. But this won't be an immediate threat."I think markets tend to react to the shark closest to the boat," Rieder said last week. "The shark on the debt dynamic is not going to be next to the boat in January or February, but it is going to get next to the boat sometime. I don't know if it's the latter part of 2025 or the beginning of 2026 unless they address the size of the spending dynamics, the amount of debt we're issuing, and, then obviously, inflation relative to that."

BlackRock's bond chief explains why stocks will keep charging higher despite stretched valuations

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Interest rates and stock returns are expected to decline, impacting investment strategies.</li><li>Historically, stocks and bonds have alternated in performance, affecting portfolio decisions.</li></ul>A diversified investing strategy means a split between stocks and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/what-is-a-bond">bonds</a>, at minimum. But for the better part of the last two decades, interest rates were near zero, and real returns in bonds were lacking.Still, investors added them to their portfolios because history has shown us that asset classes can zig and zag, with long <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-and-bond-market-correlation-normal-2014-2">periods of stock market outperformance</a> relative to bonds and intervals where that dynamic flipped.The last two years were great for both asset classes. Elevated rates put the bond market back on investors' minds, while the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> had a solid 26% total return. But depending on who you ask, the future may not be as bright.Yields will be less attractive as the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/interest-rate-cuts-federal-reserve-election-jerome-powell-inflation-jobs-2024-11#:~:text=The%20Fed%20cut%20interest%20rates,country%20recovered%20from%20the%20pandemic.">Fed begins its rate cuts</a> for this cycle. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs expects stock-market returns to be muted for the coming decade. The S&amp;P 500 is predicted to see a mere 3% annualized return over the next 10 years, which could lag the 10-year Treasury at an expected 4% yield, according to a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-to-beat-stock-market-returns-next-decade-goldman-sachs-2024-10">recent note</a> by the investment bank's chief US equity strategist David Kostin.If the bears are right, investors may be forced to take on more risk for returns. Sounds gloomy, but for bond traders like Mark Rieder, who has over two decades of experience in the sector, it could be an opportunity to dig for bargains in corporate credit.Generating alpha for a credit trader could mean beating a peer, a Bloomberg fixed income index that matches the category of bonds traded, or simply remaining in positive territory in terms of total returns when the market is down, Rieder told Business Insider."Over the past 10 years, when interest rates were very low, it was not an exciting time to be a credit analyst and a portfolio manager," Rieder said. "But it's much more interesting today, and I'm really excited about that."However, active debt investing takes a good level of skill and consistent effort to make the right credit selection, according to his new book, "Reminiscences of a Bond Operator." Like the stock-picking process, following the crowd or consensus won't result in alpha. A credit trader must conduct the same level of fundamental analysis and dig into a company's balance sheet, earnings calls, 10Qs, and 10Ks, among other things, to determine valuation."I've always believed that a good credit analyst is also a really good equity analyst because you really need to understand the capital structure of the companies that you're evaluating and all of their different needs," Rieder said. "Most companies want to have their stock price go up, and so as a credit analyst, you need to understand that so that you can understand what their motivations are."It's especially important now, as the credit space faces its own set of challenges. Like the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/are-we-in-a-recession">business cycle</a>, credit has its booms and busts based on macro conditions and supply and demand. In a strong economic environment, corporate cash flows rise, and companies increase borrowing with favorable lending terms. But when times are tight, companies deleverage until their debt is less than their cash flow. Once that equilibrium is satisfied, more borrowing ensues, according to his book.Rieder said credit is in the boom part of the cycle. This might sound surprising, considering debt has been expensive for the better part of the last two years. But most companies were locked into low yields before rates rose, he noted. As debt turnover increases, investors need to be cautious."There's a lag impact on the increase in rates. Most companies borrow for long periods of time, five years, 10 years," Rieder said. "A lot of companies issued debt when interest rates were very low. They're now only starting to refinance that low-coupon debt. That, in turn, is what causes an impact."He doesn't expect that the Fed's cutting cycle will mitigate the crunch. The central bank can impact front-end yields, but the back end is driven by additional considerations, he noted. The 10-year rose to 4.3% shortly after the first rate cut of September, a signal that <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/us-election-forecast-most-accurate-economist-predicts-outcome-economic-impact-2024-10">investors were looking ahead</a> at other economic risk factors, including concerns over the government's ballooning deficit, he added. Additionally, economic conditions such as elevated credit card debt pose concerns for future corporate profits.<h2 id="101d0bc7-10c7-46f9-a758-eea160588283">Trading credit</h2>Right now, investment-grade credit spreads are tight. The yields in corporate bonds aren't much higher than in government bonds, meaning less compensation for more risk. But if we move from the boom to the bust phase, credit spreads could widen, and that could create opportunities in the credit space, he said.While spreads are tight, he prefers front-end yield or pairing trades with cheap optionality. The cost of shorting a credit index like the CDX Investment Grade 5-Year Index, a credit-default-swap index that tracks the credit risk of large US investment-grade companies, is low. And since spreads are trading at historically tight levels, it's less likely to get much lower, which could limit potential losses, he said. This position can then be paired with a trade expected to perform positively.An example he provides of a market-neutral pair trade could look like buying a corporate bond in a sector with structural tailwinds, such as a natural gas producer set to benefit from increased demand and rising energy prices, or airplane lessors who benefit from higher lease rates due to a tight aircraft supply — a situation that's unlikely to ease in the near term because of production challenges faced by manufacturers. Then, take a short position in an interest-rate future to hedge against the bond's interest-rate risk."This trade works if natural gas prices remain stable or rise, leading the energy bond to outperform the overall corporate bond market," Rieder said. "It's an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the current tight credit spread conditions and complacency in the overall credit market."Having liquidity can also give you an upper hand. As spreads widen, investors may be forced into selling higher-quality credit because they can't offload the lower-quality ones, he said."There are huge opportunities in credit if you remain liquid during dislocations," Rieder said. "Other investors are going to be looking for liquidity. They can't sell what they want to, so they sell what they can, and that can lead to opportunities to buy cheap assets."

A veteran bond operator shares an alpha-generating strategy for dropping yields and muted stock-market returns

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Billionaire investor Bill Gross says the stock market's record-breaking run is set to slow.</li><li>He recommends that investors reposition toward defensive and high-yielding stocks.</li></ul>Though this year's record-beating stock rally <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-goldman-sachs-boosts-sp500-price-target-again-2024-10#:~:text=Goldman%20Sachs%20raised%20its%20S%26P,trends%20should%20boost%20earnings%20growth.">continues to impress</a> Wall Street, billionaire investor Bill Gross isn't so sure the bull market will maintain its hot pace for much longer.According to the so-called Bond King's latest <a target="_blank" href="https://williamhgross.com/investment-outlook-archive/">note</a>, investors should reposition toward defensive and higher-yielding stocks as momentum winds down. He also recommended low exposure to fixed income, having previously <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/bonds/bond-yeidls-bill-gross-rising-treasury-issuance-government-debt-deficits-2024-5">criticized current Treasury conditions.</a>"No bear market, but it's not the same bull market anymore," Gross said, adding that equities are set for "low buy positive" returns going forward.Gross also listed four of his favorite investments at present time:The first is <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/ale-stock">Allete</a>, an electric-service company that has risen 5% year-to-date. It's a buyout with 10% upside over the next 12 months, he said.Gross also touted multiple limited partnership pipelines, an investment he frequently emphasizes as a fruitful alternative to bonds. He cited that MLPs offer 8% tax-deferred yields. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/bill-gross-investing-strategy-oil-gas-piplines-limited-partnerships-ai-2024-5">Back in May</a> he said that MLPs had been "almost as good as AI."On the theme of Treasury alternatives, Gross also cited <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/nly-stock">Annaly Capital Management</a>, a high-yielding mortgage REIT.He also sees <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/bonds/municipal-bonds-muni-recession-outlook-sahm-yield-curve-charles-schwab-2024-8">municipal income</a> funds as a worthwhile investment, as many have offered over 7% tax-free yields. Gross named the DWS Municipal Income Trust as one example but noted that there are between 20 and 30 others to choose from."7% may not last forever, but for now these funds trade at 6-8%," he said.Gross isn't going as far as to predict that the stock bull run is about to crash, only that a number of headwinds are around the corner. These range from extended valuations to an assortment of macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds.Gross specifically cited higher corporate taxes under a Kamala Harris presidency, as well as stunted growth if military tensions keep escalating globally. Rising deficits — an issue the investor has <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/bonds/bill-gross-us-debt-crisis-deficit-inflation-federal-reserve-default-2024-2">repetitively warned against</a> — will eventually slow down spending.Gross also referred to the record cash pile held by legendary investor Warren Buffett, which some see as a <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/warren-buffett-record-cash-pile-stock-market-crash-signal-berkshire-2024-5">sign that the market could soon sell off sharply</a>. To Gross, it at least signals a "bumpy road ahead."His note also cited some positives to counter the listed headwinds, such as falling inflation and continued investment in artificial intelligence.

Billionaire 'Bond King' Bill Gross recommends 4 defensive investments for a bull market he sees losing steam

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Two recession indicators are currently flashing, which has some investors on edge.</li><li>Charles Schwab offers four reasons why anxious investors should consider buying municipal bonds.</li></ul>While economists remain split on whether the US is rolling toward a recession, at least two notable gauges are flashing clear-cut warnings that a downturn is imminent. For those uncomfortable with this, municipal bonds could offer some relief, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/five-reasons-munis-may-offer-shelter-recession">Charles Schwab</a> suggested.The Sahm Rule says the US is in a recession when the three-month moving average in the unemployment average rate moves 0.5% from a 12-month low. This occurred in July.Another recession indicator is also signaled when the Treasury yield curve re-steepens. This refers to a drop in short-term rates, as has been happening. Yields will fall when investors pile into T-bills, on expectations that a downturn will prompt the Federal Reserve to cut rates.For its part, Charles Schwab considers it too early to declare an ongoing downturn, but offered a safe-haven tip given elevated risk: municipal bonds.These fixed-income assets are issued by local governments, cities, and states. Though they don't offer a high yield, interest garnered from these investments is often free of federal and some state income taxes, Schwab said. Five other reasons make munis worth a glance:First, muni bonds are often investment-grade assets.Around seven out of 10 in the Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index are in the top two rungs of credit quality, Schwab cited. When an issuer is rate highly, investors can have more peace of mind knowing that interest payments will be made on time and that default risk is largely non-existent.In fact, over a 10-year period, only nine out of 10,000 investment-grade munis have defaulted on average, the bank added.Second, these assets are backed by strong state savings, as local governments typically cannot run a deficit, and revenue must meet expenses. Due to this, rainy-day funds have hit a record high in 38 states last fiscal year, Schwab said, citing Pew Charitable Trusts.If a recession does start, municipal revenues typically decline later in the cycle.According to the bank, that's on account of how a local government is funded: income taxes usually make up the primary source of revenue, and are based on the prior year's income. Meanwhile, utility service issuers are an essential sector, garnering revenue even in a recession.Third, recessions rarely result in downgrades for munis. For instance, Schwab noted that muni ratings remained virtually unchanged in September 2008, even as corporate bonds slid.For investors, that's an important feature, as it means that muni bonds will maintain their price, Schwab said. Downgraded assets usually depreciate.Finally, muni bonds posted positive total returns over 12 months at the start of each downturn, Schwab said: of the past five recessions, the 2008 crisis is the only example in which munis underwhelmed.This occurs because anxious investors are enticed to snap up more risk-free investments, such as bonds.

4 reasons to snap up muni bonds amid flashing recession signals, according to Charles Schwab  

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Vice President Kamala Harris became the leading Democratic nominee on Sunday.</li><li>In the past, the former California prosecutor presented herself as a center-left politician.</li></ul><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/kamala-harris-wants-to-unite-democratic-party-defeat-trump-biden-2024-7">Vice President Kamala Harris</a> became the leading contender for the Democratic nomination after President Joe Biden, in a stunning reversal, announced on Sunday his <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/joe-biden-dropping-out-presidential-race-2024-7">withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race</a> four months before the election.Presenting herself as a center-left politician, Harris previously ran successful campaigns in California, winning statewide races for the San Francisco District Attorney's Office, the state attorney general, and the US Senate.During the 2020 election, Harris became a potential frontrunner for the Democratic nomination and was seen as a relative moderate next to Biden. Her bid, however, was unsuccessful, as some critics pointed out her inability to present a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://time.com/5691643/kamala-harris-2020/">clear ideological vision</a>.Still, the former prosecutor-turned-vice president has been able to draw in moderates and progressives alike with her stances on abortion, climate, and the economy.Here's where she stands on major issues:<h2 id="2565119f-fcaa-4c3c-aa61-c65f6ee32929">Abortion</h2>Harris has supported abortion rights since her time in the Senate.She previously voted against a bill that would ban abortions <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://x.com/KamalaHarris/status/915288344300572673">after 20 weeks of pregnancy</a> and criticized Justice Brett Kavanaugh for his position on abortion during his confirmation hearing in 2018.As vice president, Harris has repeatedly highlighted the significance of abortion rights, becoming a leading voice on the issue for the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/kamala-harris-trump-biden-abortion-rights-roe-arizona-ruling-2024-4">Biden administration</a> in the wake of the Supreme Court's landmark decision to overturn Roe v. Wade.According to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/13/politics/kamala-harris-planned-parenthood-minnesota/index.html">CNN</a>, Harris made what was believed to be the first official visit to an abortion clinic by a sitting president or vice president.<h2 id="0218bb7b-ca8c-4f15-8e4d-f8aca3777a0a">Climate</h2>Harris previously supported policies to combat climate change, including plans to transition the US to 100% renewable energy and a carbon tax.In July 2023, Harris helped the Biden administration introduce a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/04/05/what-they-are-saying-biden-harris-administration-announces-historic-20-billion-in-awards-to-expand-access-to-clean-energy-and-climate-solutions-and-lower-energy-costs-for-communities-across-the-nati/">$20 billion</a> plan to fund climate and clean energy projects throughout the US.<h2 id="5ff4ae95-b330-4b13-9777-c03e02a84a42">Criminal justice</h2>As a district attorney and attorney general, Harris took several <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/kamala-harris-defends-her-record-as-prosecutor-law-enforcement-2019-1">controversial actions</a> that progressives criticized but has shifted her stances over time. She even ran left of Biden on several issues related to criminal justice reform in 2020, according to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.themarshallproject.org/2024/07/21/kamala-harris-criminal-justice-record">The Marshall Project</a>.Harris cosponsored the 2018 Marijuana Justice Act, which would no longer classify cannabis as a controlled substance. She previously opposed the legalization of recreational marijuana before changing her stance in 2018.During her 2020 campaign, Harris presented a plan to reduce the prison population for women and children and put an end to solitary confinement.She also said that she would support a federal standard on use-of-force for police departments and proposed establishing a federal board that could review police shootings, according to The Marshall Project.<h2 id="e31c752f-a387-479a-bec2-89ef1f9f83b2">Economy</h2>Harris is expected to tout some of the headway the Biden administration has made with economic policies, including Biden's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-throws-support-behind-1-trillion-infrastructure-deal-with-gop-2021-6">Infrastructure Deal</a> and the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/house-passes-inflation-reduction-act-sending-it-to-biden-2022-8">Inflation Reduction Act</a>, which included a cap on insulin costs.In April, Harris announced a nationwide "Economic Opportunity Tour" to promote the administration's progress in investments toward small businesses, inflation, and student loan forgiveness.Previously, Harris introduced policies to support the middle class, such as a $3,000 refundable tax credit for those making $50,000 or less a year and a $6,000 credit to couples making $100,000 or less.She's also pushed for higher corporate taxes and criticized former President Donald Trump's tax cuts.<h2 id="11a25746-7ddd-496c-8261-ab0db8d03f21">Healthcare</h2>During her first presidential run, Harris' rivals drilled her over her shifting stances on healthcare. In 2019, Harris made waves when she became the first major potential Democratic presidential hopeful to team up with Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont on a "Medicare for All" plan.As a presidential candidate, Harris waffled on whether she would allow private insurance plans to continue. She raised her hand during a primary debate to indicate she would end such plans, only to say later that she had misunderstood the question.Harris ultimately rolled out her own "Medicare for All" proposal, which Sanders' campaign attacked for moving too slow (her plan called for a 10-year transition period) and Biden's advisors hammered for being too progressive, as HuffPost wrote about recently.In another difference from Biden, Harris has supported strong drug pricing controls, including tying US prices to what drugs cost in other wealthy nations, per Stat News.<h2 id="3f28a34f-e4a1-408d-a986-78ee8547fa2e">Immigration</h2>Immigration is another area where Harris has shifted her policy stances over time.As a San Francisco DA, she supported a city policy that turned over young immigrants to Immigration and Customs Enforcement if they were arrested or accused of committing a felony.Later on, a Harris campaign spokesperson told CNN that the "policy could have been applied more fairly."Harris said she wanted to potentially overhaul ICE, criticized Trump's border wall as a "medieval vanity project," and backed the bipartisan border security deal that would have closed the border if a threshold of 5,000 migrants a week was reached. Senate Republicans shot down the legislation in May.As vice president, Harris was tasked with handling the root causes of migration to the US from Central America. In a move which angered some congressional Democrats, Harris warned migrants not to travel to the US border."Do not come. Do not come. The United States will continue to enforce our laws and secure our borders," Harris said during a 2021 news conference alongside then-Guatemalan President Alejandro Giammattei.Republicans have already tried to inflate Harris' responsibilities, deeming her a "border czar." Polling has shown that Trump holds a major advantage on immigration, illustrating why the GOP wants to saddle Harris with the issue.<h2 id="67fc8e31-4c76-4345-8390-8bb3ce76e25b">Israel-Gaza</h2>During her 2020 run, Harris was a strong supporter of the US's relationship with Israel, once calling it an "unbreakable" bond, and assured that she would do "everything in my power" to maintain Israel's right to self-defense.Following the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/why-is-there-fighting-in-israel-and-what-caused-the-conflict-2023-10">Hamas invasion of Israel</a>, Harris said that "the threat Hamas poses to the people of Israel must be eliminated" but also later called for an "immediate cease-fire" in Gaza in March.She also reiterated the Biden administration's call against Israel's invasion of Rafah in southern Gaza.In December 2023, Harris said that she supports a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2023/12/02/remarks-by-vice-president-harris-on-the-conflict-between-israel-and-hamas/#:~:text=And%20Israelis%20and%20Palestinians%20must,are%20committed%20to%20that%20goal.">two-state solution</a>.<h2 id="13fb96f7-3053-4bc4-816e-b7fa15bfe420">LGBTQ+ rights</h2>Harris supported the legalization of same-sex marriage and did not defend California's prohibition of gay marriage during her time as attorney general.However, Harris sought to deny gender-affirmation surgery to a trans prisoner, arguing that it was not "immediately necessary."As San Francisco DA, she established a hate crimes unit to investigate crimes against LGBTQ+ youth.Harris re-affirmed her support for <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/06/08/fact-sheetbiden-harris-administration-announces-new-actions-to-protect-lgbtqi-communities/">LGBTQ+ rights</a> as vice president but has not provided specific policies.

Here's where Kamala Harris stands on the issues, from the economy to healthcare

<keyword id="107851" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="housing-development-finance-corporation" source="Orion">Housing Development Finance Corporation</keyword> (<keyword id="45123" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="hdfc" source="Orion">HDFC</keyword>) plans to raise up to Rs 10,000 crore, which includes Rs 5,000 crore in greenshoe through bonds maturing in 10-year, a person close to development said. The bidding for the bonds will take place on September 5 on the <keyword id="35140" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="bse" source="Orion">BSE</keyword>'s bidding platform. "We have a fixed coupon rate of 7.80 per cent on our proposed bond issue," the person cited above said. Axis Bank and <keyword id="6653" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="icici-bank" source="Orion">ICICI Bank</keyword> were appointed as an arranger to the issue.

HDFC to raise up to ₹10,000 cr via 10-year bonds

It takes an Oscar-worthy director to come up with the juicy drama that somehow seems to pervade India’s pre-general election seasons. Amid all the chaos, a political hot topic has just witnessed a major development: the electoral bonds row. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="What are electoral bonds?" comment="subhead" text="What are electoral bonds?">What are electoral bonds?</cmsannotation> For those unversed in the whole episode, the government introduced the <keyword id="4697813" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="electoral-bond" source="Orion">Electoral Bond</keyword> Scheme via the Finance Act of 2016-2017, allowing anyone to anonymously make an indefinite number of non-capped donations to their preferred political parties. Before this scheme, all donations above Rs 20,000 had to be explicitly made public, and donations of more than a certain percentage of the company’s revenue were disallowed. Such restrictions were meant to ensure that no political party had an unfair monetary advantage over the others and that the policies would not be influenced by the rich. Therefore, many experts were concerned that this new lack of transparency in the donation process opened up a gaping avenue for big corporations to donate for favourable outcomes from the ruling regime in terms of acquiring licences, government contracts, leases, and even accelerating favourable policy changes. The government insists that the measure ensures transparency as the purchaser would be allowed to buy bonds only on due fulfilment of all the extant KYC norms and by making payment from a bank account. However, the opposition parties kept raising objections, with the <keyword id="19895371" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="congress" source="keywords">Congress</keyword> leader Rahul Gandhi terming the electoral bond scheme as a legalisation of the process of accepting bribes and commissions. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="How did the Supreme Court step in?" comment="subhead" text="How did the Supreme Court step in?">How did the <keyword id="19895345" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="supreme-court" source="keywords">Supreme Court</keyword> step in?</cmsannotation> Recently, in a move that many celebrated as a major win for transparent and fair electoral practices, a Constitution Bench panel of five Supreme Court judges scrapped the Centre’s electoral bonds scheme on February 15, deeming that the whole ordeal was “unconstitutional” to begin with. Subsequently, the <keyword id="19934368" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="state-bank-of-india" source="keywords">State Bank of India</keyword> (<keyword id="19898108" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="sbi" source="keywords">SBI</keyword>) was ordered to disclose all details of the donors that had purchased electoral bonds, the amount purchased, and the recipients of these “support” donations. Nearly a month after the directive, SBI finally submitted the electoral data to the <keyword id="19895782" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="election-commission" source="keywords">Election Commission</keyword> on March 13, after the apex court denied its application for more time. The bank attributed the delay in compiling the information to the non-digital nature of the way electoral data was collected and stored, making it harder to collate and produce. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="What does the data reveal?" comment="subhead" text="What does the data reveal?">What does the data reveal?</cmsannotation> The data published by the Election Commission based on SBI’s affidavit revealed information on over 22,217 electoral bonds purchased between April 1, 2019 and February 1, 2024. This also means there exists a year’s worth of data missing from the first year of the electoral bonds scheme, amounting to hundreds of crores of Rupees. Further, the very content of the data remains lacklustre, many experts maintain. The problem is that individual electoral bonds do not have their serial numbers attached. This makes it impossible to accurately ascertain who these bonds were directed to, meaning we still do not know which corporations donated how much to which parties. Condemning the SBI for not divulging the unique serial numbers as per its previous full-disclosure directive, the Supreme Court has now issued a notice for a prompt response by March 18. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Which political party benefited the most?" comment="subhead" text="Which political party benefited the most?">Which political party benefited the most?</cmsannotation> While many political parties benefited from this scheme, the Bharatiya Janata Party (<keyword id="19894848" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="bjp" source="keywords">BJP</keyword>) encashed about 1,300 crores worth of electoral bonds during the 2023 financial year, according to media reports. This amounted to about half of the total electoral bond donations, and more than seven times the amount Congress received during the same period. Out of a total of 12,155 crores worth of electoral bonds purchased between 2019 and 2024, BJP redeemed Rs 6061 crores, followed by Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress at Rs 1610 crores. A total of 213 donors purchased bonds worth over Rs 10 crores, with the top 20 donors accounting for nearly half of the total electoral bonds. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Are scams hiding behind the electoral bonds?" comment="subhead" text="Are scams hiding behind the electoral bonds?">Are scams hiding behind the electoral bonds?</cmsannotation> The ruling party receiving such a disproportionate share of the electoral bonds has raised many eyebrows. Rajya Sabha Minister Kapil Sibal expressed discontent with the SBI report, calling it a “scam” and explaining that it needs thorough investigation by the Enforcement Directorate (ED) and the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI). Jharkhand Congress President Rajesh Thakur emphasised that a comprehensive study is essential to ascertain the true extent to which companies might have their money to get favour from the central government. Many Congress leaders, such as Manickam Tagore and Jairam Ramesh, also held that it was suspicious that only companies that donated funds to the BJP were given projects and contracts. The other problem is the fact that several of the big purchasers have been consistently under the radar of central agencies, facing frequent raids. This includes the top donor, Lottery company Future Gaming and Hotel Services, led by “Lottery King” Santago Martin, who donated a whopping Rs 1,368 crores. Many others also concern that large corporations may have donated money through shell corporations, in order to hide their involvement in any political favouritism. Congress MP Manish Tewari asked for a Supreme Court order to “lift” this corporate veil of shell companies to reveal the true purchasers of the bonds. Further, as per a Mint analysis, several donor companies who contributed massive amounts were found to be ‘inactive’, and thus the true details of the donors were not transparent at all. According to their report, this included entities such as Rungta Sons, SN Mohanty, Sasmal Infrastructure Private Limited, Avees Trading Finance, and others, whose collective contributions amount to hundreds of crores of Rupees. The official electoral bond data can be accessed via the <a href="https://www.eci.gov.in/candidate-politicalparty" data-type="tilCustomLink">Election Commission of India website</a>.

Electoral bonds: What are they? What does the newly-released data reveal? Would it make an impact?

Treasury bonds: What they are, how they work, and how to invest

<ul class="summary-list"><li>The market for bonds financing water conservation projects is approaching a "tipping point."</li><li>The market is small, just about $5 billion, but it's seeing more enthusiasm than the early green bond market. </li></ul>Blue is the next green for sustainable finance. Blue bonds — debt that allows investors to finance water conservation efforts — are gaining traction."I would liken the blue bond market today to where the green bond market was 10 to 15 years ago," Matt Lawton, a portfolio manager from T Rowe Price, told Business Insider. Today, the green bond market is valued at around $2 trillion. Compared to that, the blue bond market is much smaller, just about $5 billion, but it's on the cusp of a big change, Lawton explained. He's seeing even more enthusiasm around the asset than he observed for green bonds when they were at the stage blue bonds are today.Lawton is part of the effort to launch the <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-20/t-rowe-ifc-seek-investors-for-blue-emerging-market-bond-fund">first blue bond strategy</a>, and is seeking commitments from investors for a fund that will make investments in the space. "It's a very nascent market today," he explained. "So one is not able to go out and invest several billion into blue bonds because the market doesn't exist. So what we're endeavoring to do is actually build out the market ourselves."The firm has partnered with the International Finance Corporation, a member of the World Bank Group. They've each committed to putting up to $75 million into the strategy and will be looking to raise another $350 million t0 $450 million from investors. The fund would target a return 3% to 6% over the US Treasuries yield curve."Blue is kind of at that tipping point where there's a lot more enthusiasm and engagement amongst capital market participants, investors, underwriters, issuers," Lawton said. "I think we're at this tipping point, whether it tips in '24 or '25 or '26, I have a high degree of confidence it's going to happen. I couldn't pinpoint the exact date, but it does feel like we're on the precipice," he added. <h3>The economic argument</h3>Blue bonds can finance anything from biodiversity and marine conservation to projects aimed at preventing overfishing to plastic pollution cleanup. But for all its climate and sustainability goals, there's a compelling economic reason investors would put their money into the bonds, Lawton explained."Take, for instance, water sanitation, a utility, right? Long-term contracts, high recurring cash flows, there's a pretty strong economic argument to be made for investing in those types of bonds."That's worth noting given the current backdrop for sustainable financing conversations. ESG investing has come under fire in the past year, driven by a wave of anti-woke sentiment. Climate-focused mutual funds <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/funds/climate-change-esg-investing-mutual-funds-interest-rates-anti-woke-2024-1">sales dropped by 75% in 2023.</a>But blue bonds seem to have sidestepped the vitriol, in part because it's a heavily under-invested theme (less than <a href="https://www.man.com/maninstitute/blue-bonds-sustainable-debt#:~:text=From%202018%20to%202022%2C%20there,of%20the%20sustainable%20debt%20market.">0.5% of the total sustainable debt market</a>), but also because of that financial appeal."For all the politicization of ESG, this is one of those few topics that we can all agree on," Lawton said.<h3>The origin of blue bonds</h3>One of the first blue bond programs was launched with the help of a non-profit organization called The Nature Conservancy to finance conservation efforts in Seychelles. The program used what's called a "debt-for-nature" swap, where a portion of a country's debt is forgiven in exchange for local investments in conservation measures."I give The Nature Conservancy a lot of credit because they created a blue bond program a few years ago that I think really kicked up a lot of interest in the space," Preeti Bhattacharji, JPMorgan's head of sustainable investing, said.The organization is now one of the <a href="https://www.nature.org/en-us/what-we-do/our-insights/perspectives/an-audacious-plan-to-save-the-worlds-oceans/">best-known issuers</a> of blue bonds, Bhattacharji said.Lawton from T Rowe Price added that banks like the Asia Development Bank and the Export-Import Bank of Korea have <a href="https://www.kedglobal.com/banking-finance/newsView/ked202301060002">also issued blue bonds.</a> The funding method is actually gaining a lot of traction in the Asia-Pacific region given the region's dependence on marine resources, with issuance doubling to $1 billion since its debut in 2020, the South China Morning post <a href="https://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/3234882/blue-bonds-set-make-waves-new-financing-tool-ocean-friendly-projects-asia-pacific-region" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> in September last year.And more institutions are jumping in. Last August, wind energy company Ørsted became <a href="https://orsted.com/en/media/news/2023/06/20230608684811" target="_blank" rel="noopener">the first energy company to issue a blue bond</a>, worth 100 million euros and maturing in 2028. Mitsui O.S.K Lines, a Japanese shipping company, also announced in December <a href="https://www.ajot.com/news/mol-to-become-worlds-1st-shipping-company-to-issue-blue-bonds" target="_blank" rel="noopener">a 10 billion yen ($66 million) blue bond issuance.</a>While the buy-side enthusiasm is still limited to a relatively small pool of investors, Bhattacharji from JPMorgan said the market has a lot of potential to grow as sustainability becomes a priority for future generations."As younger people come into their wealth, come into their power, enter the space, start asking these questions, the pattern that I've seen — not specific to blue bonds, but across sustainability — is there's just growing, swelling interests across these subjects," she said. "And I don't see any reason blue bonds should be an exception to that."

Blue is the next green: Bonds financing water conservation projects are approaching a 'tipping point'

<ul class="summary-list"><li>The prices of some <keyword id="13524038" type="UNKNOWN" weightage="60" keywordseo="russian-corporate-bonds" source="Orion">Russian corporate bonds</keyword> have risen sharply over the last two weeks.</li><li>Analysts said some investors have scented a bargain, and have also been encouraged by peace talks.</li></ul>The prices of a handful of Russian corporate bonds have jumped over the last two weeks as investors have scented bargains despite the ongoing war in Ukraine.Bonds from energy company <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/lukoy-stock">Lukoil</a> have gained notably, with investors seemingly focused on companies with big operations outside Russia.A <keyword id="13292643" type="UNKNOWN" weightage="60" keywordseo="lukoil" source="Orion">Lukoil</keyword> dollar bond that matures in 2023 had risen to 61 cents on the dollar as of Thursday, according to Bloomberg prices, after falling as low as 31 cents in early March.Steel company <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/evrzf-stock">Evraz</a>'s 2023 dollar bond had risen to 64 cents on the dollar, having plunged as low as 32 cents earlier this month. The company is incorporated in the UK, although its main operations are in Russia, and its biggest shareholder is the sanctioned oligarch Roman Abramovich.Analysts said some investors have been attracted by cheap prices, and that <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-offers-avoid-nato-russia-pulls-back-assaults-kyiv-peace-2022-3?r=US&amp;IR=T">Russia-Ukraine peace talks</a> had brightened the outlook somewhat. Russian companies have by and large kept up their bond payments, despite lingering concerns about defaults."They are very cheap, obviously, compared to anything else available in the market," Althea Spinozzi, senior fixed income strategist at Saxo Bank, told Insider."The second reason is that a lot of the positive sentiment is driven by news that maybe an agreement between Russia and Ukraine is achievable."Dollar-denominated debt from telecoms company Veon and metals group Nornickel has risen sharply too, while bonds issued by natural gas producer Novatek have climbed.Spinozzi said whoever is buying is taking a huge risk on Russian corporate debt. She noted that Saxo Bank, like many other lenders, has halted trading in Russian bonds.Russian corporate-debt trading surged in March, according to market data shared with Insider by MarketAxess.Trading in dollar-denominated corporate debt averaged out at $144 million a day last month, MarketAxess said, up from $79 million a day in March 2021. However, most of the trading activity came at the start of the month, when investors were rapidly dumping Russian assets.Spinozzi cautioned that prices may not be a true reflection of the market. She said sanctions had caused huge disruptions to trading and frozen the market in places."There are a lot of quotes that come from brokers that want to advertise activity in a certain company. But when you call one of these brokers up, they might not have a market for it," she said.Bloomberg reported in early March that JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs were among the Western institutions to have scooped up the debt of non-sanctioned companies.The report earned the banks <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-05/elizabeth-warren-says-wall-street-undermining-russia-sanctions">a rebuke</a> from Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who said they were undermining the effort to freeze Russia out of the global financial system.A Goldman Sachs spokesperson said the bank's trading activity in Russian securities was designed to reduce risk and help clients cut their exposure to Russia.JPMorgan declined to comment.Read more: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/commodities-price-outlook-oil-gold-platinum-russia-ukraine-investing-analysis-2022-3" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The founder of a commodities ETF provider managing over $1.5 billion shares his outlook for 8 assets that have experienced major supply chain disruption and elevated prices during the Ukraine crisis</a>

Russian corporate bonds have jumped as vultures spy bargains despite the war in Ukraine

<ul><li>Investment-grade corporate bond sales topped the $1 trillion threshold at the fastest pace in history, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-28/fed-fueled-borrowing-binge-hits-1-trillion-mark-at-record-rate">Bloomberg</a> reported Thursday.</li><li>The <keyword id="6355253" type="UNKNOWN" weightage="60" keywordseo="federal-reserve">Federal Reserve</keyword>'s unprecedented move into corporate debt purchases helped fuel the buying spree by wiping out credit-health fears and driving historic inflows.</li><li>Only $548 billion worth of <keyword id="35147" type="COMPANY" weightage="60" keywordseo="bonds">bonds</keyword> were sold at the same time last year, according to Bloomberg, and the $1 trillion level wasn't reached until November.</li><li><a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingestutm_source=msn.com&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=msn-slideshow&amp;utm_campaign=bodyurlutm_campaign=bodyurl">Visit the Business Insider homepage for more stories</a>.</li></ul>Historic market relief from the Federal Reserve drove corporate bond sales to reach the $1 trillion threshold at a record pace, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-28/fed-fueled-borrowing-binge-hits-1-trillion-mark-at-record-rate">Bloomberg</a> reported Thursday.The debt surge began in March when companies' liquidity needs drove unprecedented bond sales. The Fed's March 23 announcement that it would begin buying <keyword id="6386461" type="UNKNOWN" weightage="60" keywordseo="Corporate-bonds">corporate bonds</keyword> alleviated credit-health fears and further spurred bond issuance amid the coronavirus crisis.Thursday solidified a new record for the debt market, bringing total investment-grade corporate debt sales to $1 trillion at the fastest pace in history. Only $548 billion worth of bonds were sold at the same time last year, according to Bloomberg. It took until November for 2019 investment-grade sales to breach the $1 trillion level.Read more: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/8-global-stock-picks-recommendations-post-coronavirus-landscape-david-herro-2020-5">David Herro was the world's best international stock-picker for a decade straight. He breaks down 8 stocks he bet on after the coronavirus decimated markets — and 3 he sold.</a>While the Fed's move into corporate debt prompted multibillion-dollar inflows, the central bank has yet to purchase a single bond. The monetary authority began purchasing corporate-bond exchange-traded funds <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/federal-reserve-emergency-corporate-bond-etf-purchases-coronavirus-policy-economy-2020-5-1029191923">on May 12</a>. Chairman Jerome Powell indicated in recent Senate testimony that a facility for individual bond purchases <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/main-street-lending-program-federal-reserve-start-initiatives-by-june-2020-5-1029216582?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingestgest">will open before June</a>.While the hefty interest in corporate debt has helped keep companies afloat through the pandemic and monthslong lockdowns, it also arrives as firms were already highly indebted. The Fed and Treasury Department are at greater risk of taking losses should borrowing companies still slide into default. Market experts also fear how the <keyword id="6368265" type="UNKNOWN" weightage="60" keywordseo="bond-market">bond market</keyword> may react once the central bank begins to unwind its purchases.Oaktree Capital co-chairman Howard Marks said in mid-May that the market's optimistic prices were "<a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/howard-marks-warns-stock-bond-markets-fall-fed-aid-slows-2020-5-1029211755">artificially supported by Fed buying</a>," and that he didn't think the levels would hold once the central bank's aid diminishes.Of 2020's bond sales so far, <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/ba-stock">Boeing</a> took the cake with its $25 billion offering on April 30. The bond sale replaced Boeing's need to tap federal aid and followed record cash burn during the first quarter.<a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/tmus-stock">T-Mobile's</a> $19 billion sale is the only major offering to result from a merger or acquisition. The sale facilitated its purchase of rival <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/s-stock">Sprint</a>.Now read more <keyword id="31671" type="CITY" weightage="100" keywordseo="markets">markets</keyword> coverage from Markets Insider and Business Insider:<a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trade-war-cut-trillion-stocks-market-value-us-federal-reserve-2020-5-1029253690">The US-China trade war has erased $1.7 trillion from US companies' market value, Fed report says</a><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/economic-reopening-not-necessary-consumer-spending-rebound-jpmorgan-coronavirus-recession-2020-5-1029250731">JPMORGAN: Economic reopening isn't enough to drive a consumer spending rebound, credit-card data show</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/real-estate-investment-strategy-for-passive-income-turnkey-providers-2020-5">A part-time real-estate investor quit his traditional job 5 years after snagging his first deal. He shares his no-hassle strategy that's allowed him to travel the world with his 6 kids.</a>Read the original article on <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/corporate-bond-sales-reach-trillion-fastest-pace-ever-debt-market-2020-5">Business Insider</a>

US corporate bond sales surge past the $1 trillion threshold at the fastest pace ever

<ul class="summary-list"><li>A wave of corporate bankruptcies and debt defaults could rock the economy, experts say.</li><li>Charles Schwab expects bankruptcies and defaults to peak at some point over the next two quarters.</li></ul>There's a wave of corporate defaults and bankruptcies that could be coming as high interest rates batter US companies. Experts warn it could raise the odds of a recession as high interest rates take their toll on businesses and consumers alike. 516 companies have filed for bankruptcy as of the end of September, according to S&amp;P Global. That number already surpasses the total number of bankruptcy filings recorded in 2021 and 2022.<div type="image" title="Bankruptcy filings have already surpassed the total recorded in 2021 and 2022." height="330" width="660" msid="105479733" hostid="261" sizebytes="15300"></div>US corporate debt defaults have also been on the rise. This year has seen 127 corporate defaults as of the end of October, according to a separate S&amp;P Global report, 13% more compared to the five-year average.Charles Schwab director and fixed income strategist Collin Martin estimates that borrowing costs for some firms doubled or nearly tripled in 2023 compared to previous years, taking a heavy toll on corporate balance sheets. Illustrating the rising costs for companies, effective yields for below-investment grade corporate debt soared past 9% in October, and traded around 8.5% last week, according to the ICE BofA US High Yield Index.<div type="image" title="Effective yields on some corporate debt blew past 9% in October." height="450" width="538" msid="105479735" hostid="261" sizebytes="11594"></div>And though bond yields have eased slightly, the <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/bonds/treasury-yields-jump-us-debt-hits-record-33-trillion-2023-9">yield on the 10-year US Treasury touched a 16-year-high</a> in September, which influenced borrowing costs across the economy. The 10-year yield traded around 4.42% on Monday."When corporations are managing their balance sheets and looking to issue or refinance debt, they have to issue debt with significantly higher yields than what they've seen over the past number of years, and that's just a big hit to their earnings. It's more interest they have to pay, which can affect their corporate profits in an environment where revenues are already slower," Martin said.He says that's especially tough for so-called zombie firms, which are companies that don't have the cash on hand to service their debt. Many zombie companies managed to survive in an ultra-low interest rate environment, when the cost of borrowing was close to zero and firms could keep rolling over and refinancing debt with relative ease. But that's changed in a higher interest rate regime, and it appears to be contributing at least in small part to the wave of distress building in the corporate sector. Defaults of high-yield bonds are expected to notch 4.5%-5% by the end of this year, according to <a href="https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/us-hy-default-rates-grinding-higher-as-high-rates-challenge-refis-15-08-2023">Fitch Ratings</a>, more than six times the 0.7% default rate recorded among all high-yield bond issuers in 2021.<h2>Recession fears</h2>Total US bankruptcies and debt defaults are likely to surge into 2024, Martin said. The US could see defaults and bankruptcies peak sometime by the end of the first quarter of 2024, Charles Schwab estimates.And that rise of corporate defaults and bankruptcies between now and then adds to the list of headwinds that could knock the US economy into a recession. Firms struggling through bankruptcy or with heavy debt burdens could slash their workforces as they try to get back to financial health. It's also a negative for asset prices, specifically, for high yield bonds and bank loans, which could bleed over into pain for stock prices as well. "If companies are struggling, that should be a negative for stock prices. And if you're an investor and your assets are going down, the declining wealth effect might impact our spending habits. Add these dual forces of losses and lower spending … it can be something that makes the economy slow," Martin added.Other signs the economy may soon slow are also beginning to sprout up. Consumers are running out of excess savings piled up during the pandemic, the restart of student loan payments is set to pressure spending, and soaring bond yields are set to ratchet up borrowing costs all throughout the economy. Meanwhile, the yield curve — the bond market's notorious recession gauge — has started to de-invert, something market experts say has historically signaled a recession could be <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/bonds/bond-market-recession-us-economic-outlook-yield-curve-inversion-treasurys-2023-10">coming in the near term.</a>

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