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<ul class="summary-list"><li>Russia's oil revenue fell sharply year-over-year in October.</li><li>Oil-related tax revenue dropped 29% last month, while oil and gas proceeds fell more than 25%.</li></ul>Russia saw a double-digit drop in oil revenue last month, hitting an important source of funds for the Kremlin amid pressure on global crude prices. Moscow's revenue from oil-related taxes plummeted 29% year-over-year in October, from 1.48 trillion rubles to 1.05 trillion rubles, according to data from Russia's Finance Ministry. Oil and gas proceeds, which is largely made up of oil production taxes and profit-based taxes in the industry, also fell more than 25% to 1.21 trillion rubles.Total oil and gas revenue rose on a monthly basis, with October levels up more than 75% compared to September. However, that's largely because the profit-based tax on Russia's oil industry is due four times a year, with companies paying taxes in March, April, July, and October, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-05/kremlin-oil-revenue-shrank-by-29-in-october-amid-lower-prices">Bloomberg reported</a>.The yearly drop has largely been fueled by <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/russia-economy-oil-war-revenue-crude-prices-opec-production-cut-2024-9">falling crude prices</a>. International crude prices logged their <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/oil-prices-today-israel-strike-iran-production-brent-wti-crude-2024-10">biggest drop in two years</a> last month after Israel's strike against Iran spared its oil infrastructure. Meanwhile, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/us-oil-opec-crude-production-record-oil-prices-commodity-market-2024-11">US producers are pumping more than ever</a>, complicating efforts by OPEC+ to crimp supply and boost the price. Brent crude, the international benchmark, traded around $75 a barrel on Tuesday, down 11% over the last year. Meanwhile, Urals crude, Russia's flagship oil blend, traded around $63.57, down around 24% compared to the same time last year, Bloomberg data shows.The drop in oil revenue throttles a key source of funds for <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-ukraine-war-outlook-moscow-sanctions-west-firms-uchicago-2024-10">Russia's war-driven economy</a>, which is becoming increasingly strained under the rising costs of its invasion of Ukraine. Russia's oil and gas industries have accounted for around 30%-50% of Russia's federal budget revenue for the last decade, according to an <a target="_blank" href="https://www.oxfordenergy.org/publications/follow-the-money-understanding-russias-oil-and-gas-revenues/">analysis</a> from The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. Russia's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-outlook-defense-budget-spending-ukraine-war-putin-sanctions-2024-10">defense state spending</a>, meanwhile, is on track to hit a post-Soviet high in 2025.

Russia's oil revenue plummeted 29% in October amid volatile global crude prices

Mumbai: The rupee fell sharply by 15 paise against the US dollar to 83.44 in early trade on Wednesday amid muted trends in the domestic equity markets. However, a decline in the dollar index and a marginal fall in the Brent crude index prevented further losses in the domestic unit, according to experts. At the interbank foreign exchange, the local unit opened at 84.38 -- down 9 paise from its previous close -- and then slid further to 84.44, registering a decline of 15 paise from its previous close. On Tuesday, the rupee pared its intra-day losses to settle flat at 84.29 against the US dollar. "The <keyword id="24182640" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Indian-banking-liquidity" source="keywords">Indian banking liquidity</keyword> fell into deficit as industry players paid Rs 1.6-1.8 lakh crore as GST payment. This was after two months that liquidity has fallen into a deficit as the RBI also intervened into forex markets to defend the rupee weighing on liquidity conditions," Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director, Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP, said. "The rupee may be in the broad range of 84.00 to 84.50 in the near term as markets await a slew of data from the US this evening," Bhansali added. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was down 0.15 per cent to 106.84. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was marginally down 0.10 per cent to USD 72.74 per barrel in futures trade. In the domestic equity market, the 30-share equity benchmark Sensex was trading 46.69 points lower, or 0.06 per cent, at 79,957.57 points. <keyword id="19932515" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Foreign-Institutional-Investors" source="keywords">Foreign Institutional Investors</keyword> (FIIs) were net buyers in the capital markets on Tuesday, purchasing shares worth Rs 1,157.70 crore, according to exchange data.

Rupee falls 15 paise to 83.44 against US dollar in early trade

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Russia's oil revenue has plummeted as global crude prices fall. </li><li>Oil sales dropped to $1.44 billion in the week ending September 8, per data cited by Bloomberg.</li></ul>Russia's oil business has taken a hit, with the nation's crude revenue dropping to its lowest levels in seven months, according to Argus Media data cited by <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-10/russia-s-oil-exports-earn-the-least-since-february-as-prices-tumble">Bloomberg</a>.Moscow, which relies on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-west-secondary-sanctions-hitting-oil-exports-payments-revenue-2024-3">crude sales</a> for a big chunk of its revenue, saw the gross value of its oil exports drop to $1.44 billion in the week ending September 8, down from $1.52 billion netted the prior week, the outlet reported. That's the lowest amount Russia has netted from crude exports since January, despite the nation pumping out 40,000 more barrels of oil a day over the last week.The decline has largely been fueled by <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/oil-prices-outlook-supply-demand-break-down-record-us-production-2024-9">plunging oil prices</a> as the demand outlook falters amid predictions of a recession in the US, while US producers continue to pump record amounts of crude. <a target="_blank" class="" href="http://oilprice.com">Urals crude</a>, Russia's flagship oil blend, has edged lower to $67.61 a barrel, down around 20% from its peak in the spring of this year.Russia is also selling less oil than it did in the prior years, thanks to weaker demand from its Asian customers and oil pipeline disruptions to Hungary in August. Russia's four-week average sales volume slumped to 3.13 million barrels a day as of September 8, down 30,000 barrels a day from the prior monthly average.Observed Russian crude shipments to Asia, in particular, dropped to an average 2.92 million barrels a day in the month over that time frame, around 10% below the average shipped earlier this year, the report said.Russia is set to make even steeper oil production cuts later in 2024, as part of <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/oil-price-crash-opec-saudi-arabia-us-production-brent-outlook-2023-12">OPEC's goal to boost crude prices</a>. The nation is planning to ramp up production cuts in October and November to make up for producing more than it promised earlier in the year, Russia's Energy Ministry said in a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://t.me/s/minenergo_official/3799">post</a> on Telegram, though it didn't clarify how much further it would cut.

Russia's oil revenue has plunged as global crude prices tumble

Mumbai: The rupee slipped 1 paisa to an all-time low of 84.40 against the US dollar in early trade on Wednesday, as persistent <keyword id="20520117" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="foreign-fund-outflows" source="keywords">foreign fund outflows</keyword> and a muted trend in domestic equities weighed on the local unit. Forex traders said the USDINR pair has shown significant volatility in recent sessions, with the rupee inching closer to its all-time low of 84.40. This downward pressure is largely driven by global factors, particularly the Dollar Index's strengthening. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 84.40 against the greenback, registering a fall of 1 paisa over its previous close. On Tuesday, the rupee fell 1 paisa to a new lifetime low of 84.39 against the US dollar. "It appears that the rupee has established support around the current levels, with depreciation limited near 84.50," CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari said. Pabari further added that the RBI stands tall as the depreciation in the rupee seems to be limited as the <keyword id="19899810" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Reserve-Bank-of-India" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Reserve Bank of India" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Reserve Bank of India">Reserve Bank of India</keyword> (RBI) continues to sell the dollars to protect the sharp depreciation. "For the 5th consecutive week, India's forex reserves declined, possibly due to RBI selling the dollars. Currently, the forex reserves of India stand at USD 682 billion down from the recent all-time high of USD 704 billion," he said. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading lower by 0.04 per cent at 105.98. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose 0.25 per cent to USD 72.07 per barrel in futures trade. On the domestic equity market front, Sensex was trading 210.66 points, or 0.27 per cent lower, to 78,464.52 points. The Nifty fell 100.45 points, or 0.42 per cent, to 23,783.00 points. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital markets on Tuesday, as they offloaded shares worth Rs 3,024.31 crore, according to exchange data. On the macroeconomic front, retail inflation breached the Reserve Bank's upper tolerance level, soaring to a 14-month high of 6.21 per cent in October mainly on account of rising food prices. Inflation based on the consumer price index (CPI) was 5.49 per cent in September and 4.87 per cent in the year-ago month. India's industrial production expanded by 3.1 per cent in September after recording a contraction in the preceding month, as all three major segments -- mining, manufacturing, and power generation -- showed improvement. However, the growth in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) during the month was lower than 6.4 per cent registered in September 2023.

Rupee falls 1 paisa to all-time low of 84.40 against US dollar in early trade

Mumbai: The <keyword id="20045514" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Indian-rupee" source="keywords">Indian rupee</keyword> pared its initial gains and turned flat at 83.87 against the <keyword id="19949640" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="US-dollar" source="keywords">US dollar</keyword> in early trade on Tuesday, as positive domestic equity markets and a weak American currency was negated by the outflow of foreign capital. <keyword id="20024982" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Forex-traders" source="keywords">Forex traders</keyword> said softening <keyword id="20024983" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="crude-oil-prices" source="keywords">crude oil prices</keyword> supported the local unit and prevented its fall. At the interbank foreign exchange, the <keyword id="19949639" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Rupee" source="keywords">rupee</keyword> opened at 83.86 against the greenback, inched up to 83.84 before trading again at its previous session's closing level of 83.87 against the dollar. On Monday, the rupee settled 8 paise higher at 83.87 against the American currency. Over the past holiday-shortened week, the rupee showed minimal fluctuation and narrowly steered clear of the critical of 84-mark. Investors are expected to remain cautious ahead of PMI data from the US and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole Symposium for any cues on rate cuts by the central bank. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading higher by 0.10 per cent to 101.82. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, declined 0.68 per cent to USD 77.13 per barrel. On the domestic equity market front, <keyword id="19896382" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Sensex" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Sensex" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Sensex">Sensex</keyword> advanced 188.93 points, or 0.23 per cent, to 80,613.61 points. The <keyword id="19896381" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Nifty" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Nifty" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Nifty">Nifty</keyword> rose 60.15 points, or 0.24 per cent, to 24,632.80 points. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital markets on Monday, offloading shares worth Rs 2,667.46 crore, according to exchange data.

Rupee turns flat at 83.87 against US dollar in early trade

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Saudi Arabia's oil minister says crude prices could fall as low as $50 per barrel.</li><li>OPEC delegates consider this a signal that the Saudis are ready to engage in a price war.</li></ul>Saudi Arabia's oil minister says oil prices could fall as low as $50 per barrel if OPEC+ keeps overproducing, according to a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.wsj.com/business/energy-oil/saudi-minister-warns-of-50-oil-as-opec-members-flout-production-curbs-216dc070">Wall Street Journal</a> report.Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman's forecast, made during a conference call last week, was regarded as an indirect threat aimed at others in the oil coalition. According to delegates who spoke with WSJ, it signals Riyadh's readiness to launch a price war if the cartel's outflows aren't restrained.One delegate summarized the minister's remarks bluntly: "Some better shut up and respect their commitments toward OPEC+."$50 per barrel oil would drag <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent</a> crude, the international benchmark, down 33% from current levels.The commodity was trading around $74 per barrel as of Wednesday morning. Crude markets have soared this week amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, as Israel's ground offensive into Lebanon prompted a heavy missile attack from Iran.Though fear grew that this would disrupt regional production, geopolitical tensions have had a limited impact on crude this year. Instead, prices have slumped on waning demand and an excessive supply glut, pushing Brent down 16% since peaking in April.That's despite OPEC's efforts to keep prices elevated by slashing output. Although numerous production cuts have been announced since mid-2023, this has only cost the coalition market share, without arresting prices.Part of the issue is that members are not sticking to their pledged cuts. The Saudi minister called out Iraq, which surpassed its quota by 400,000 barrels per day in August, according to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/oil/080824-opec-produces-437000-bd-above-quota-in-first-month-of-compensation-cuts">S&amp;P Global Ratings</a> data. Kazakhstan, which overproduced by 120,000 barrels a day, was also singled out.Although Saudi Arabia's economy depends on higher pricing, a report from last week suggests that the kingdom might be ready to boost its <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/saudi-arabia-oil-prices-brent-crude-outlook-opec-production-cuts-2024-9">oil output and bolster its market share</a>.One source told the Financial Times that Riyadh would ditch its curbs quicker than expected if countries such as Iraq and Kazakhstan keep producing above their quota.This decision will become public on December 1, when OPEC is scheduled to determine whether to increase production. Though it was initially meant to do so in October, the decision was delayed.Saudi Arabia has a history of shaking up the market by increasing production. The OPEC leader caused prices to fall below $10 per barrel in 1986 after boosting output to penalize other producers.

Saudi minister says crude prices could fall 33% if OPEC members don't stop pumping so much

The <keyword id="19949639" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="rupee" source="keywords">rupee</keyword> depreciated 12 paise to 83.56 against the <keyword id="19949640" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="US-dollar" source="keywords">US dollar</keyword> in early trade on Tuesday, weighed down by the strengthening of the American currency in the overseas markets and elevated <keyword id="20024983" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="crude-oil-prices" source="keywords">crude oil prices</keyword>. <keyword id="20024982" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="forex-traders" source="keywords">Forex traders</keyword> said <keyword id="21356063" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="oil-importers" source="keywords">oil importers</keyword> and <keyword id="20015748" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="foreign-portfolio-investors" source="keywords">foreign portfolio investors</keyword> (FPIs) bought US dollars amid rising US yields, and this dragged down the local unit. At the <keyword id="20520118" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="interbank-foreign-exchange-market" source="keywords">interbank foreign exchange market</keyword>, the rupee opened at 83.51 and lost further ground to trade at 83.56 against the greenback in initial deals, registering a fall of 12 paise from its previous closing level. On Monday, the rupee depreciated 10 paise to settle at 83.44 against the US dollar. The rupee had dollar inflows and rose to 83.37 on Monday, but was sold-off to 83.44 levels, as oil and FPIs bought dollars looking at rising US yields, said Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director <keyword id="21083675" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="finrex-treasury" source="keywords">Finrex Treasury</keyword> Advisors LLP. On Tuesday, rupee is likely to touch 83.55 before cooling off to 83.45, Bhansali said, adding that the narrow range for the day could be 83.40 to 83.55. Meanwhile, the <keyword id="19976503" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="dollar-index" source="keywords">dollar index</keyword>, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading at 105.91, higher by 0.02 per cent, following a surge in US treasury yields as investors contemplated a second Trump US presidency. <keyword id="19969325" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Brent-crude-futures" source="keywords">Brent crude futures</keyword>, the global oil benchmark, advanced 0.22 per cent to USD 86.80 per barrel. In the domestic equity market, benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, touched lifetime high levels in early trade. However, the indices pared the initial gains and were trading in the negative territory. The BSE Sensex was down 64.46 points, or 0.08 per cent, to 79,411.73 points. The broader NSE Nifty fell 25.55 points, or 0.11 per cent, to 24,116.40 points. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital markets on Monday, as they offloaded shares worth Rs 426.03 crore, according to exchange data.

Rupee falls 12 paise to 83.56 against US dollar in early trade

The <keyword id="19949639" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Rupee" source="keywords">rupee</keyword> traded flat at 83.53 against the US currency in early trade on Friday amid firm <keyword id="20024983" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="crude-oil-prices" source="keywords">crude oil prices</keyword> and gains in domestic stocks. At the interbank <keyword id="21316589" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="foreign-exchange-market" source="keywords">foreign exchange market</keyword>, the rupee opened flat at 83.53 against the <keyword id="19949640" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="US-dollar" source="keywords">US dollar</keyword>. The local unit moved in a tight range of 83.50 to 83.54 in morning deals. The rupee was trading flat at 83.53 against the US dollar at 0935 hrs. Forex dealers said the impact of firm crude oil prices was offset by overnight losses in the US dollar index and early gains in the domestic equity markets. The US dollar index eased on Thursday after softer US inflation data raised hopes of rate cut by the US Fed by September. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading 0.05 per cent lower at 104.49. Brent crude futures, the global oil benchmark, were trading 0.20 per cent higher at USD 85.60 per barrel. Domestic equity markets were trading higher in early session on Friday. Benchmark Sensex climbed 226.11 points to 80,123.45 while broader Nifty was up 82.1 points to 24,398.05. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital markets on Thursday as they offloaded shares worth Rs 1,137.01 crore, according to exchange data.

Rupee trades flat at 83.53 against US dollar in early trade

The <keyword id="19949639" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="rupee" source="keywords">rupee</keyword> traded flat at 83.49 against the US currency in the early session on Wednesday amid losses in domestic equities and easing <keyword id="20024983" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="crude-oil-prices" source="keywords">crude oil prices</keyword>. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened flat at 83.49 against the <keyword id="19949640" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="US-dollar" source="keywords">US dollar</keyword>. The local currency moved in a restricted range of 83.49 to 83.50 against the greenback in early trade. The rupee had edged up 1 paisa to close at 83.49 against the US dollar on Tuesday ahead of the key testimony of US <keyword id="19904332" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Federal-Reserve" source="keywords">Federal Reserve</keyword> Chair Jerome Powell in front of Congress. Powell's testimony offered little new guidance on the US central bank's plans for when it might cut interest rates. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, eased 0.03 per cent from overnight high levels to 105.09. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, declined 0.26 per cent to USD 84.44 per barrel in futures trade. In the domestic equity market, the 30-share BSE Sensex dropped by 143.15 points or 0.18 per cent to close at 80,208.49. The broader NSE Nifty declined 27.20 points, or 0.11 per cent, to 24,406. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net buyers in the capital markets on Tuesday, as they purchased shares worth Rs 314.46 crore, according to exchange data. SEE ALSO:<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/xiaomi-su7-with-up-to-800-km-range-showcased-in-india-but-you-cant-buy-it/slidelist/111609513.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/xiaomi-su7-with-up-to-800-km-range-showcased-in-india-but-you-cant-buy-it/slidelist/111609513.cms" target="_blank">Xiaomi SU7 with up to 800 km range showcased in India but you can’t buy it</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/mobile/news/redmi-13-5g-with-120hz-display-launched-in-india-starting-at-13999/articleshow/111604488.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/mobile/news/redmi-13-5g-with-120hz-display-launched-in-india-starting-at-13999/articleshow/111604488.cms" target="_blank">Redmi 13 5G with 120Hz display launched in India starting at ₹13,999</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/webstories/top-10-selling-cars-in-india-in-june-2024-tata-punch-leads-the-list/slidelist/111578419.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/webstories/top-10-selling-cars-in-india-in-june-2024-tata-punch-leads-the-list/slidelist/111578419.cms" target="_blank">Top 10 selling cars in India in June 2024 – Tata Punch leads the list</a>

Rupee trades flat 83.49 against US dollar in early session

The rupee pared its initial losses and settled for the day on an almost flat note at 83.50 (provisional) against the <keyword id="19949640" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="US-dollar" source="keywords">US dollar</keyword> on Thursday, resisting pressure from elevated <keyword id="20024983" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="crude-oil-prices" source="keywords">crude oil prices</keyword>. <keyword id="20024982" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="forex-traders" source="keywords">Forex traders</keyword> said a positive trend in domestic equities, wherein benchmark indices touched all-time high levels, and significant foreign fund inflows supported the rupee and restricted the fall. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the local unit opened at 83.52 and hit the intraday high of 83.48 and a low of 83.56 against the American currency during the session. It finally settled at 83.50 (provisional) against the dollar, 1 paisa lower than its previous close. On Wednesday, the rupee settled 1 paisa lower at 83.49 against the US dollar. "We expect the rupee to trade with a slight positive bias on softness in the US dollar amid weak economic data and rise in risk appetite in global markets," said Anuj Choudhary - Research Analyst at Sharekhan by BNP Paribas. "However, elevated crude oil prices may limit the gains. Investors may remain cautious ahead of the US non-farm payrolls report tomorrow," Choudhary said, adding that USD-INR spot price is expected to trade in a range of Rs 83.20 to Rs 83.80. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading 0.15 per cent lower at 105.24. Brent crude futures, the global oil benchmark, were trading 0.47 per cent lower at USD 86.93 per barrel. In the domestic equity market, Sensex breached the historic 80,000-mark and Nifty scaled a fresh lifetime high. The 30-share BSE Sensex ended the day 62.87 points, or 0.08 per cent, up at its all-time high of 80,049.67 points. The broader NSE Nifty settled 15.65 points, or 0.06 per cent, higher at a fresh peak of 24,302.15 points. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net buyers in the capital markets on Wednesday, as they purchased shares worth Rs 5,483.63 crore, according to exchange data. Meanwhile, according to an official of S&amp;P Global Ratings, a sovereign rating upgrade for India in the next 24 months is possible if the central government is able to prudently manage its finances and bring down the fiscal deficit to 4 per cent of GDP. S&amp;P Global Ratings Director, Sovereign Ratings, YeeFarn Phua, said the trigger for an upgrade would be the government (Centre + states) deficit falling below 7 per cent of the GDP, and a lot of this would have to be driven by the central government. SEE ALSO:<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/sports/webstories/virat-kohli-not-included-in-the-rohit-sharma-led-icc-team-of-the-tournament/slidelist/111398470.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/sports/webstories/virat-kohli-not-included-in-the-rohit-sharma-led-icc-team-of-the-tournament/slidelist/111398470.cms" target="_blank">Virat Kohli not included in the Rohit Sharma-led ICC Team of the Tournament</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/upcoming-cars-launching-in-india-in-july-2024/slidelist/111341281.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/upcoming-cars-launching-in-india-in-july-2024/slidelist/111341281.cms" target="_blank">Upcoming cars launching in India in July 2024</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/telecom/news/reliance-jio-and-airtel-price-hike-new-plans-and-how-you-can-save-money/articleshow/111331794.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/telecom/news/reliance-jio-and-airtel-price-hike-new-plans-and-how-you-can-save-money/articleshow/111331794.cms" target="_blank">Reliance Jio and Airtel price hike – new plans and how you can save money</a>

Rupee falls 1 paisa to close at 83.50 against US dollar

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US crude production hit a new all-time monthly high in August.</li><li>This complicates things for OPEC+, which was planning to start increasing output in December.</li></ul>The US is pumping a record amount of oil. But that may not be welcome news to other crude-producing nations.Domestic output reached <a target="_blank" href="https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/production/">13.4 million barrels a day in August,</a> eclipsing all previous monthly <a target="_blank" href="https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&amp;s=mcrfpus1&amp;f=m">records</a>. According to US Energy Information Administration data, firms in Texas and New Mexico led the surge.That level of production puts the US at odds with the plans of other oil-producing nations. OPEC+, an alliance led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, has said it plans to begin in December a sequence of monthly output increases. But given the decline in the price of crude oil — down 20% from an April high — continued record production from the US, and weakening demand, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-29/oil-traders-split-on-whether-opec-will-hike-supply-in-december">oil traders believe OPEC+ will delay its program</a> for a second time.It's the culmination of a multi-year period that saw OPEC+ members cut production to support higher market prices, only to be undercut by expanding production from non-OPEC exporters.Looking into 2025, analysts speculate that global demand will continue sliding, especially given <a target="_blank" href="https://www.iea.org/commentaries/china-s-slowdown-is-weighing-on-the-outlook-for-global-oil-demand-growth">China's decelerating oil consumption</a>. That's one reason the global oil surplus could swell to 1.2 million barrels per day next year, according to JPMorgan. Otherwise, expanding outflows from the US, Brazil, Guyana and Canada will also play a part."OPEC+ increasingly appears to be searching for El Dorado: an oil market where demand is strong enough that it can increase output and prices stay above $80 per barrel," wrote Bill Weatherburn, senior climate and commodities economist at Capital Economics. "We suspect that this won't be found in 2025 either as China's demand growth will remain soft and more oil supply from non-OPEC+ producers will enter the market."

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