You Searched For "fivethirtyeight" and got 20 results
Sort By:
3 mins read
Election polls aren't getting any less accurate, but the public trusts them less and less. Here's why.
A recent survey showed that half of registered voters in the US don't trust election polls. We turn…
Anneke Ball,Brittany Stephani…
5 mins read
Only 12 NFL teams still have a legit shot at winning the Super Bowl
The New Orleans Saints have overtaken the Kansas City Chiefs as the favorites to win Super Bowl LV …
Tyler Lauletta
5 mins read
Only 13 NFL teams still have a legit shot at winning the Super Bowl
The Chiefs are the clear favorites to repeat as Super Bowl champions, but there are 12 other conten…
Tyler Lauletta
7 mins read
Only 16 NFL teams still have a legit shot at winning the Super Bowl
The Packers and Chiefs have the best odds to win Super Bowl LV according to the numbers from FiveTh…
Tyler Lauletta
2 mins read
Here's how much of a hit Biden's presidential chances would take from a Comey-like October surprise
Due to much higher rates of early and mail-in voting in 2020, the chances of an event upending Bide…
Madison Hall
1 min read
The 7 states most likely to decide the election for Biden or Trump
Given the demographics and voting histories of each state, pollsters and political scientists can d…
Madison Hall
3 mins read
Trump's COVID-19 diagnosis wipes out half of the most important resource his campaign has: time
President Donald Trump was running out of time to turn around an 8-point polling deficit, but weeks…
Walt Hickey
2 mins read
FiveThirtyEight shows the Rockets' historic shooting collapse was a 1-in-72,000 anomaly
Houston's strategy all year had been to outpace and outshoot their opponents with the help of a bar…
Tyler Lauletta
2 mins read
Microsoft Cortana vs. FiveThirtyEight's Elo - here are their picks for Week 1 of the NFL
In the meantime, here are the picks for Week 1, with each model's percent chance of winning in pare…
Cork Gaines
2 mins read
Democrats are beating Republicans in voter enthusiasm, even as swing-state polls show tight race
New polling from Gallup shows more Democrats are enthusiastic about voting than Republicans. But it…
Bryan Metzger
4 mins read
America sort of likes Kamala Harris – and that might just be enough
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in an extremely close race. But on one key metric, Harris is sho…
Brent D. Griffiths
5 mins read
JD Vance has broken through during the 2024 campaign in all the wrong ways
Poll averages show that JD Vance is the least liked of the four major figures in the 2024 race. Tue…
Brent D. Griffiths
1 min read
Nancy Pelosi burst out laughing after being asked if Trump screwed up by picking JD Vance
Nancy Pelosi was asked if Donald Trump had messed up in selecting JD Vance. She responded by call…
Joshua Nelken-Zitser
4 mins read
These 7 experts explain why Trump won, Harris lost — and what the election result means
Commentators credited Donald Trump's victory to factors including voter backlash against elites, Ka…
Theron Mohamed
4 mins read
Kamala Harris' new lead in top Iowa poll could bode well for her in some key swing states
A new Iowa poll shows Harris ahead of Trump by three points, a major shift in a state that has vote…
Lloyd Lee,John L. Dorman
2 mins read
Biden is only listening to polling data from loyalists, according to new report
President Joe Biden's inner circle is shrinking and now mainly includes family members and loyalist…
Kelsey Vlamis
2 mins read
Biden's approval rating just hit its lowest mark on record
Joe Biden is running out of time to reverse his meager approval ratings before the election.
Brent D. Griffiths
3 mins read
The polls have shifted in Kamala Harris' favor
Since jumping into the race, Kamala Harris has stormed ahead of Trump in national and swing state p…
Grace Eliza Goodwin
3 mins read
Forget right or left. Voters are sick of whoever's in charge.
Antiestablishment fervor is rising globally in 2024 elections, with incumbent parties in the US, Fr…
Grace Eliza Goodwin
5 mins read
We are 15 days from the 2024 presidential election. Here's where things stand.
With little time remaining, the 2024 election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump appears headed…