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Amid the ongoing geopolitical tension, the <keyword id="19904988" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="energy-sector" source="keywords">energy sector</keyword> will continue to face challenge while the <keyword id="20468174" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="consumer-goods" source="keywords">consumer goods</keyword>, automotive, healthcare is set to expand in 2025, highlighted a report 'Industry Outlook 2025' by <keyword id="20618515" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Economist-Intelligence-Unit" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Economist Intelligence Unit" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Economist Intelligence Unit">Economist Intelligence Unit</keyword>. The report noted that the Fossil fuel markets will continue to face risks from geopolitical conflicts, particularly in the Middle East and Ukraine. However, investments in <keyword id="19895602" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="renewable-energy" source="keywords">renewable energy</keyword> will remain strong, especially in China, as the world pushes toward cleaner and more sustainable energy sources. The report said "Fossil-fuel markets will continue to face <keyword id="20064250" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="geopolitical-risks" source="keywords">geopolitical risks</keyword> amid conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, but investment into renewables will remain strong, particularly in China." It also added that the financial sector faces a mixed outlook with falling interest rates anticipated to narrow bank profit margins, potentially leading to smaller dividend payouts for shareholders. Yet, regulatory easing could provide relief, with the Basel III endgame likely seeing further delays, softening the impact on banking institutions amid a challenging economic landscape. For the consumer goods and retailing the report added that the Global retail volumes are forecast to grow by 2.2 per cent in 2025, thanks to easing inflation. However, stricter regulations on online retailing will target high-volume, low-price retailers, to ensure fair competition and consumer protection. It said "Global retail volumes will expand by 2.2 per cent, helped by disinflation, but regulations around online retailing will tighten further" As per report, the <keyword id="20359760" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="automotive-sector" source="keywords">automotive sector</keyword> is set for a record year, it said "After a difficult few years, annual new-vehicle sales will reach a record 97.2m units in 2025. This includes a 2 per cent rise in new car sales, a 4 per cent increase in commercial vehicle sales, and a significant 16 per cent growth in <keyword id="19963112" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="electric-vehicle-sales" source="keywords">electric vehicle sales</keyword>, reflecting the sector's recovery and the shift toward cleaner mobility. In technology the report added more countries will adopt satellite internet, although the primary users will be enterprise clients, including military and maritime sectors. Amazon's Project Kuiper will challenge the existing market dominance of Starlink and EutelSat OneWeb, offering more competition and potential growth in satellite connectivity. The resulting tensions will continue to affect investment into production and market entry, with companies taking advantage of government incentives to build out more flexible supply chains. <keyword id="23684177" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="investment-in-technology" source="keywords">Investment in technology</keyword>, particularly artificial intelligence (AI), will also be strong as projects gather pace. However, technology companies will face pressure from several directions as regulations tighten (particularly in Europe), investors become more impatient for profits and their energy usage comes under more scrutiny.

Consumer goods, auto and healthcare sector to expand but energy may face challenge in 2025: Report

India’s electric vehicle (EV) sector, often seen as a key player in the country’s clean energy transition, has been called “irrelevant” without government <keyword id="20231384" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="incentives" source="keywords">incentives</keyword> by a recent Bernstein research report. The report highlights the serious challenges automakers face in achieving profitability and scaling operations in the EV segment, which remains heavily reliant on financial support from the government. <h2>Struggling to achieve profitability</h2>The Bernstein report reveals that generating profitable margins in the Indian EV sector is proving to be an uphill battle for automakers. “It is tough to generate sufficient margins and get scale in EVs. Even with hefty incentives, incumbent OEMs are still unprofitable,” the report stated. This underscores the fact that even with <keyword id="20022183" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="government-subsidies" source="keywords">government subsidies</keyword> aimed at promoting <keyword id="20138204" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="electric-mobility" source="keywords">electric mobility</keyword>, automakers are struggling to make EVs financially viable. High production costs, limited infrastructure, and relatively low consumer demand all contribute to this issue. Traditional automakers, particularly in India’s two-wheeler market, are facing significant financial losses. According to Bernstein, while some niche startups may survive, their long-term market share will likely remain limited, and competition will primarily be between established original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The key challenge for these OEMs is achieving the scale and cost reductions required to compete with the well-entrenched internal combustion engine (ICE) sector. <h2>Reliance on incentives</h2>One of the most striking conclusions from Bernstein’s analysis is the deep reliance of the EV sector on government subsidies. Without these incentives, the <keyword id="19952060" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="EV-Industry" source="keywords">EV industry</keyword> would be unable to compete with traditional ICE vehicles. “The EV Industry is not relevant without incentives currently, and to break the ICE sector, it needs intense focus, scale, and continued cost downs,” the report emphasised. This indicates that while government schemes like GST benefits have helped reduce the cost difference between EVs and ICE vehicles, they are not enough to ensure the long-term sustainability of the EV sector. Bernstein estimates that the overall EV two-wheeler industry in India generates around USD 1.3 billion in annual revenues, but without government support, the sector incurs an EBIT loss of approximately USD 300-400 million. The high cost structure of EVs, combined with the relatively low sales volumes, makes it difficult for companies to operate without subsidies. <h2>Established players face mixed fortunes</h2>Among India’s leading two-wheeler manufacturers, Bernstein noted that <keyword id="19897354" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Bajaj-Auto" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Bajaj Auto" meta.hostid="265" meta.entityid="Bajaj Auto">Bajaj Auto</keyword> and <keyword id="20326963" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="TVS-Motors" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="TVS Motors" meta.hostid="265" meta.entityid="TVS Motors">TVS Motors</keyword> are on a similar footing in terms of their performance in the EV space. Bajaj Auto received an "Outperform" rating from Bernstein due to its lower valuations, while TVS Motors was rated "Market Perform" after it was found to be losing approximately 7.5% in EBITDA, or Rs 11,000 per vehicle, despite generating a gross profit margin of 7% without subsidies. <div type="Article" hostid="261" msid="113631992" title="Tata Nexon EV with a bigger battery launched starting at ₹13.99 lakh" mstype="2" mssubtype="0"></div>Hero MotoCorp, a major player in India’s automotive market, lags behind both Bajaj and TVS in terms of its EV offerings. Bernstein also pointed out that Eicher Motors, which is expected to launch its own <keyword id="19895203" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="electric-vehicles" source="keywords">electric vehicles</keyword> soon, is likely to remain “sub-scale and less relevant” in the competitive EV landscape. Interestingly, <keyword id="19897349" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Ola-Electric" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Ola Electric" meta.hostid="265" meta.entityid="Ola Electric">Ola Electric</keyword> (Ola-E) stands out as a startup that has been able to generate positive operating earnings (EBITDA) from its premium models like the S1 Pro and S1 Air, even as it incurs losses on its mass-market model, the S1X. “Our analysis indicates that Ola-E is generating positive operating EBITDA from its premium models, such as the S1 Pro and S1 Air while incurring a loss on its mass-market model, the S1X,” the report said. While Ola has shown some promise, it too remains heavily dependent on subsidies to maintain its financial health. <h2>Long-term outlook</h2>Bernstein’s report paints a challenging picture for the future of India’s EV sector, suggesting that while dominant startups may survive, the majority of the competition will come from traditional automakers. However, without significant scale and continued cost reductions, the EV industry will struggle to become self-sustaining. <div type="Article" hostid="261" msid="113315022" title="Waiting for the festive season to buy an EV? Cabinet approves PM E-Drive subsidising most EVs, sans electric cars" mstype="2" mssubtype="0"></div>Bernstein emphasised that to truly compete with ICE vehicles, the EV sector needs to focus on scaling up operations, reducing costs, and maintaining long-term commitment. Until these conditions are met, India’s EV industry will remain highly dependent on government support and may continue to face an uphill battle for relevance. In conclusion, while India’s EV sector is seen as a vital part of the country’s clean energy future, Bernstein’s analysis highlights that it is far from being self-reliant. The industry’s heavy dependence on government incentives raises questions about its long-term sustainability and relevance, particularly in the face of ongoing challenges with profitability and scale. (With inputs from ANI)

Why has Bernstein called India’s EV sector 'irrelevant'?

The Indian automotive landscape is evolving as consumers lean toward both luxury and sustainable options, according to <keyword id="20034170" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Grant-Thornton-Bharat" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Grant Thornton Bharat" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Grant Thornton Bharat">Grant Thornton Bharat</keyword>’s survey, Shifting Gears: Understanding Passenger Vehicle Market Trends. The survey, gathering insights from over 3,500 respondents, found that 85% are interested in high-end variants, with a notable rise in preference for <keyword id="20372525" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="hybrid-vehicles" source="keywords">hybrid vehicles</keyword> over electric options. With 40% of respondents favouring hybrids and only 17% opting for EVs, the shift suggests a cautious approach as consumers await more robust <keyword id="20415012" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="EV-infrastructure" source="keywords">EV infrastructure</keyword> and incentives. Meanwhile, 34% still prefer petrol vehicles, indicating the ongoing transition in <keyword id="21046358" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="consumer-preferences" source="keywords">consumer preferences</keyword>. Hybrid vehicles, acting as a bridge, are likely to boost familiarity with green technology, paving the way for broader EV adoption in the future. According to Saket Mehra, Partner and Auto &amp; EV Industry Leader at Grant Thornton Bharat, automakers must focus on both hybrid and electric solutions to match changing demands. This year’s festive season—typically accounting for 30-40% of annual sales—is critical, yet high inventory levels, weather impacts, and regional elections have slowed growth. Utility (UV) and sports utility vehicles (SUVs) continue to dominate, now representing 65% of passenger vehicle sales with 13% growth year-over-year. Despite a slow start to FY25, the popularity of SUVs and UVs reflects a strong preference for versatile vehicles. Yet, automakers are grappling with inventory challenges, with 7.9 lakh units worth ₹79,000 crore in stock as of September 2024. To tap into festive demand, nearly 90% of consumers expect substantial discounts. The survey also highlights a shift in consumer priorities, with a heightened focus on <keyword id="20961985" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="vehicle-safety" source="keywords">vehicle safety</keyword> overtaking traditional factors like design or performance. Subscription models are also gaining traction, indicating a broader transformation in how Indians perceive mobility solutions.

Indian consumers shift gears toward luxury and sustainability in the auto sector: Survey

What started as a Sunday afternoon tweet by comedian <keyword id="20947562" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Kunal-Kamra" source="keywords">Kunal Kamra</keyword> criticising <keyword id="19897349" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Ola-Electric" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Ola Electric" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Ola Electric">Ola Electric</keyword>’s S1 series scooters quickly escalated into a fiery exchange with <keyword id="19914967" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Bhavish-Aggarwal" source="keywords">Bhavish Aggarwal</keyword>, CEO of <keyword id="19945904" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Ola" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Ola" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Ola">Ola</keyword>. It all began when <keyword id="23458070" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="kamra" source="keywords">Kamra</keyword> had posted a picture showing several Ola scooters gathering dust at a dealership, highlighting concerns over poor service. However, the situation intensified when Aggarwal responded, accusing Kamra of posting a “paid tweet” and launching personal digs at the comedian’s career. The feud between the two public figures has sparked a wave of reactions on social media, dividing Twitter users. While some users echoed Kamra’s frustrations about Ola’s <keyword id="21440362" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="service-quality" source="keywords">service quality</keyword>, others defended Aggarwal’s sharp retorts. The argument has moved beyond the two individuals, turning into a broader debate about the state of customer service in India’s <keyword id="19906970" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="electric-vehicle" source="keywords">electric vehicle</keyword> sector. <h2>Internet complains about Ola’s Service Quality </h2> Several users shared their experiences with Ola’s service issues, siding with Kamra’s criticisms. One Twitter user wrote, “It’s all fun and all, Bhavish sir, but with all the complaints, the ‘Bhavishya’ of OLA Scooters is not looking good. Rather than hitting out at Kunal, tell people the plan to solve the 80k and growing complaints.” Many shared similar sentiments, recounting personal stories of service delays and unresolved issues. For instance, one customer revealed, “It’s been only 4 months since my brother bought the Ola S1 Pro, and he’s gone to the service centre at least 6-7 times, sometimes due to software issues, sometimes due to quality issues. Every day, a new problem arises.” Another wrote, “A friend of mine bought an ola scooter, after eight months it started giving trouble, he followed up to the service centre for 6 months but they didn't resolve his issue, In the end he paid 24000/- to get the issue resolved.” Yet another user expressed their dissatisfaction bluntly, saying, “Pay your staff properly first! Instead of calling out Kamra, put that money to better use—expand your service infrastructure, fix quality checks, then show off your wealth on social media!” Meanwhile, another X user said that they can only imagine “how badly customer service behaves with individuals, if this is how top management reacts to criticism.” <h2>Support for OLA CEO </h2> On the other hand, some users supported Aggarwal, praising his leadership and dismissing Kamra’s criticisms as an attempt to stay relevant. “Kunal, you missed the comedy gig and now think you're leading the charge? What bhavish and ola are doing is clearly out of your sight, that is solving "real problems". Feel free to visit one—maybe learn some skills beyond just creating nuisance,” a user wrote. Another user commented, “Kunal Kamra has a rare disease of poking everywhere to revive his sinking career! Ignore these stunts, Bhavish, you’ve built an amazing company.” Another echoed this sentiment, adding, “Founder mode on.” Some, on the other hand, took a more balanced stance. A user wrote, “Reply might sound arrogant here, but sometimes you have to show people their place. Bhavish did the right thing,” one person tweeted. However, he also acknowledged there are real issues with Ola’s service. “Let’s agree there’s an issue with service,” he added. Here are some reactions: <div type="image" title="google (5)" msid="114007569" hostid="261" sizebytes="643332"></div> As the feud unfolds, it has highlighted deeper concerns around accountability in the electric vehicle market. The war of words may have begun with Kamra’s tweet, but the chorus of complaints from Ola customers underscores the broader dissatisfaction with after-sales service. This exchange, while entertaining for many, has become a focal point for customers demanding better support from companies as India pushes towards a greener transportation future.

'Pay your staff properly, solve the 80,000 complaints first': Internet reacts on Ola CEO Bhavish Aggarwal and Kunal Kamra feud

Dear reader, This week’s news roundup captures a mix of finance, technology, and career insights, spotlighting trends and timely advice. The <keyword id="19895040" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Real-Estate" source="keywords">real estate</keyword> sector in India continues to reign supreme in investment portfolios, even as new financial opportunities emerge. Meanwhile, <keyword id="20019820" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Job-Seekers" source="keywords">job seekers</keyword> are dealing with “ghosting,” a new twist in recruitment echoing modern dating. In tech, a damaged satellite shows how fragile internet infrastructure can disrupt connectivity, while an <keyword id="23685266" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Amazon-Engineer" source="keywords">Amazon engineer</keyword> offers a firsthand roadmap to nailing technical interviews. Read on to know about the top stories of the week gone by. <h2>Real Estate continues to dominate India’s investment portfolios, shows <keyword id="23616651" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="FICCI-Report" source="keywords">FICCI report</keyword></h2> According to a FICCI report, real estate remains a favourite in Indian investment portfolios. High returns, capital appreciation, and stability make it a popular choice, even amid increased diversification. <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/finance/news/real-estate-continues-to-dominate-indias-investment-portfolios-shows-ficci-report/articleshow/114368582.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Read more</a> <h2>Did you experience wonky broadband service recently? A broken satellite in space might have something to do with it! </h2> Broadband disruptions across various areas may stem from a broken satellite, highlighting vulnerabilities in space-based infrastructure. This issue underscores how satellite failures impact daily internet access. <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/science/space/article/did-you-experience-wonky-broadband-service-recently-a-broken-satellite-in-space-might-have-something-to-do-with-it/articleshow/114535180.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Read more</a> <h2>Bhavish Aggarwal's <keyword id="19897349" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Ola-Electric" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Ola Electric" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Ola Electric">OLA Electric</keyword> says it has resolved 99% customer complaints after receiving CCPA show cause notice </h2> Two-wheeler manufacturer Ola Electric announced that it has successfully addressed 99.1% of the 10,644 complaints raised by the Central Consumer Protection Authority (CCPA). This update came on the heels of a recent notice from the CCPA, which had accused the company of misleading advertisements, unfair trade practices, and potential consumer rights violations. <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/bhavish-aggarwals-ola-electric-says-it-has-resolved-99-customer-complaints-after-receiving-ccpa-show-cause-notice/articleshow/114489333.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Read more</a> <h2>Job Hunting in 2024 has a modern dating element: Ghosting </h2> Job seekers in 2024 face an unexpected trend — “ghosting,” a phenomenon borrowed from dating. Recruiters and candidates alike are leaving communication abruptly, signalling changing norms in the hiring process. <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/careers/news/job-hunting-in-2024-has-a-modern-dating-element-ghosting/articleshow/114454697.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Read more</a> <h2>I'm a software engineer at Amazon. Here's my step-by-step guide to nailing the <keyword id="23685264" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Technical-Interview" source="keywords">technical interview</keyword> and breaking into tech </h2>An Amazon software engineer has shared tips for acing technical interviews. The guide includes key interview stages and actionable strategies for breaking into tech, providing valuable insights for job seekers. <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/news/im-a-software-engineer-at-amazon-heres-my-step-by-step-guide-to-nailing-the-technical-interview-and-breaking-into-tech-/articleshow/114430281.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Read more</a> <h2>Web stories</h2> <h2><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/travel/international/webstories/most-famous-tourist-spots-in-brics-nations/slidelist/114543399.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank"></a></h2><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/travel/international/webstories/most-famous-tourist-spots-in-brics-nations/slidelist/114543399.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Most famous tourist spots in BRICS nations</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/india/webstories/cyclones-that-shook-india-a-history-of-devastation/slidelist/114514841.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Cyclones that shook India</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/science/health/food/webstories/9-refreshing-drinks-that-reduce-high-blood-pressure-levels/slidelist/114426482.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink">9 refreshing drinks that reduce high blood pressure</a>

Weekend wrap: Real estate dominates India's investment portfolios, interview tips from Amazon employee and more

<ul><li><keyword id="23313190" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Musashi-Seimitsu" source="keywords">Musashi Seimitsu</keyword> Industry and <keyword id="23313191" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Log9-Materials" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Log9 Materials" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Log9 Materials">Log9 Materials</keyword> have announced a strategic partnership.</li><li>The two companies will produce powertrain technology and battery solutions for EVs.</li><li>The companies will offer these solutions in India and global markets.</li></ul> Japanese firm Musashi Seimitsu Industry, the parent company of Musashi India has announced a strategic partnership with Indian <keyword id="20172158" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="battery-technology" source="keywords">battery technology</keyword> company Log9 Materials, aimed at developing advanced electric vehicle powertrain technology and battery solutions for OEMs in the domestic and global markets. The partnership aims at combining Musashi's <keyword id="23313192" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="e-Axle-system" source="keywords">e-Axle system</keyword> and Log9 Materials’ battery technology to create integrated powertrain solutions tailored specifically for electric two and three-wheelers. “This partnership marks a significant milestone in our vision to reshape the electric mobility landscape. By joining forces with Log9, we are committed to delivering a comprehensive, high-performance solution tailored for <keyword id="20345883" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="electric-two-wheelers" source="keywords">electric two-wheelers</keyword> and three-wheelers. Our goal is to address critical market gaps and offer an integrated system that enhances energy efficiency, optimizes synergy between battery and drivetrain systems, and sets new industry standards for sustainability and innovation,” said Hiroshi Otsuka, President and Group CEO, Musashi. In June, Musashi Seimitsu’s subsidiary Musashi Auto Parts India announced that it is starting mass production of e-Axles for electric two-wheelers in the domestic market. The company said by seamlessly integrating battery packs with e-Axles, the partnership aims to reduce energy losses common in conventional powertrains, extending vehicle range and improving performance across diverse driving conditions, especially in densely populated urban areas. "By combining Musahi's expertise in manufacturing and energy-efficient motion conversion with Log9's battery technology, we aim to bring the most efficient powertrain solutions to the market. Both companies are committed to the common goal of decarbonizing the world through innovative technology, and this collaboration strengthens our aligned business ethos and future objectives," said Pankaj Sharma, Co-founder of Log9 Materials. A key aspect of this partnership is the centralized service model for the integrated battery and e-Axle systems, which will reduce repair downtime and improve customer satisfaction through quicker service turnaround, it said. Beyond India, the partnership aims to expand into global markets, including Southeast Asia and Africa, supported by a robust after-sales service network in major Indian cities. As per the company, Musashi's entry into the EV sector aligns with its strategic goals of fostering innovation and contributing to global carbon emission reduction efforts. With inputs from PTI. SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/entertainment/news/it-is-cheaper-to-watch-coldplay-perform-in-abu-dhabi-than-to-pay-scalpers-for-mumbai-tickets/articleshow/113665893.cms">It is cheaper to watch Coldplay perform in Abu Dhabi than to pay scalpers for Mumbai tickets</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/hyundai-motor-indias-25000-crore-ipo-gets-sebi-approval-indias-biggest-ipo-expected-to-launch-in-october/articleshow/113658837.cms">Hyundai Motor India’s ₹25,000 crore IPO gets SEBI approval – India’s biggest IPO expected to launch in October</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/news/tata-nexon-ev-with-a-bigger-battery-launched-starting-at-13-99-lakh/articleshow/113631992.cms">Tata Nexon EV with a bigger battery launched starting at ₹13.99 lakh</a>

Japan’s Musashi Seimitsu and Log9 Materials partner to offer EV powertrain and battery solutions

Last week, the President of the United States, <keyword id="19919748" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="joe-biden" source="keywords">Joe Biden</keyword>, announced significant tariffs on a range of <keyword id="20139085" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Chinese-products" source="keywords">Chinese products</keyword> to protect American workers from unfair trade practices. The targetted measures include a 100% tariff on <keyword id="6354973" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="electric-vehicles" source="Orion">electric vehicles</keyword>, a 50% tariff on semiconductors and solar cells, and a 25% tariffs on batteries, steel and aluminium products, some critical minerals, and essential health equipment like medical gloves, syringes and needles. In his address from the Rose Garden of the White House, Biden said America can continue to buy any kind of car they want, "but we're never going to allow China to unfairly control the market for these cars. Period." He claimed that the Chinese government has been investing state funds in various Chinese companies for years, spanning industries across the above-mentioned sectors. How does this brewing geopolitical <keyword id="20736760" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="trade-war" source="keywords">trade war</keyword> impact <keyword id="20742235" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Indian-firms" source="keywords">Indian firms</keyword>? Experts say the impact could be in two ways, benefitting some sectors, while harming the few others. Let’s start with the bad news. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="Threat to Indian firms" comment="subhead" text="Threat to Indian firms">Threat to Indian firms</cmsannotation> Beijing offers significant subsidies on most of these products, leading to surplus production that exceeds domestic and even regular export demand. Subsequently, Chinese companies are known to flood the global markets with surplus products at unreasonably low prices, forcing local manufacturers out of business in many countries, including <keyword id="19895063" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="India" source="keywords">India</keyword>. A prime example of this in practice can be found in the steel sector, where weak domestic demand is pushing the world’s largest steel producer China to offload surplus production into Indian markets at cheaper prices. Indian steel manufacturers are already struggling to compete with a glut of cheaper Chinese steel, with shipments nearly doubling year-on-year in the financial year ending March 2024. “India is already under grave threat of import because all major steel consuming economies are shutting their doors on these steel producing countries. We are highly vulnerable to surging and predatory import,” said Alok Sahay, secretary general of the Indian Steel Association, to Reuters. Global trade experts say that a majority of Chinese products are sold at unreasonably low prices in global markets because the companies in these sectors do not have to worry about profits. They are heavily subsidised by the Chinese government. <keyword id="20279291" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Steel-Authority-of-India" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Steel Authority of India" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Steel Authority of India">Steel Authority of India</keyword>’s (SAIL) chairman Amarendu Prakash also said that they are keenly watching Chinese imports after the US tariff increases. Additionally, China has been accused of employing anti-competitive strategies like compelling foreign companies to transfer their technology in order to operate in China. These factors have led to the US effectively shutting its door on several Chinese products through heightened tariffs, and other developed markets like Canada are also likely to follow suit. White House also emphasised that it continues to consult with its partners and allies who are facing similar threats from China’s unfair trade practices and are keen on taking action. If more and more global markets restrict entry of Chinese products, the risk of the majority of such products being dumped in neighbouring India increases drastically. Trying to block Chinese excess production "is like squeezing a balloon. It shrinks in one place and pops out in another," William Reinsch, a trade expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, tells Reuters. <cmsannotation type="cmsannotation" annotationid="An opportunity also arises" comment="subhead" text="An opportunity also arises">An opportunity also arises</cmsannotation> While some products risk being dumped into the Indian market, in a few other cases, Indian firms could benefit from fresh openings in the lucrative US market. "Of the products affected, India has opportunities in face masks, PPE, syringes &amp;needles, medical gloves, aluminium, iron, and steel. Opportunity may come in China also with retaliation, provided we have market access in products targeted by China," Ajay Sahai, Director General of the Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO), told ANI. However, China is not likely to retaliate against the US tariffs at the moment, say experts, though the country’s Ministry of Commerce said it would take 'resolute measures to safeguard its own rights and interests' "China's economy is fragile. With household spending and the property market on the wane, manufacturing for export markets is one of its few bright spots. Beijing will not want to cut off its nose to spite its face. More broadly, China is desperately trying to encourage new foreign investment. Rash retaliatory action could spoil its case," Moody's Analytics explained in a recent report. Out of China's USD 420 billion exports to the US, only USD 18 billion is impacted due to the latest hike in tariffs — representing slightly over 4% and therefore considered marginal. But Sahai says that this market will continue to grow with time and provides an opportunity to India and other competitors to chip in the supply gap. Ajay Srivastava, the founder of the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI), also echoes Sahai’s opinions. He emphasised that the increased duties on Chinese face masks, syringes, needles, medical gloves, and natural graphite offer a substantial opportunity for India, as quoted by ANI. "By ramping up production and export of these in-demand products, India could enhance its trade footprint in the US market," he added. In terms of products like electric vehicles and semiconductors, India remains a net importer, and therefore, may not be in a position to capitalise right now. In the long term, however, as India begins semiconductor production at scale in 2025, there will be opportunities to export some of it to the US and other European countries, offering fresh impetus for domestic manufacturing. As the security risks associated with importing Chinese semiconductors prompts more and more trade barriers from the Western countries, demand for supply from India is likely to grow. Efforts are already underway for the establishment of four large semiconductor plants in India, with three located in Gujarat and one in Assam. Last fiscal year, Indian exports to the US dipped marginally by 1.32 per cent to $77.5 billion as against $78.54 billion in 2022-23. The new development now gives an unique opportunity to turn the tide over the next few years. Overall, some sectors like steel and aluminium do face a serious challenge due to the fresh US tariffs on Chinese products. However, the development will open new avenues for Western market entry and expansion for several other products. (With inputs from agencies)

US-China tariff war could benefit several sectors in India while harming a few others

The <keyword id="19924335" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Tata-Group" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Tata Group" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Tata Group">Tata Group</keyword> is set to create a massive 5 lakh jobs in the manufacturing sector over the next five years, spanning industries such as <keyword id="20009962" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="semiconductors" source="keywords">semiconductors</keyword>, <keyword id="19895203" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="electric-vehicles" source="keywords">electric vehicles</keyword> (EVs), batteries, and precision manufacturing. Tata Sons Chairman, <keyword id="19981536" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="N-Chandrasekaran" source="keywords">N Chandrasekaran</keyword>, made this announcement on Tuesday, underlining the critical role manufacturing will play in India’s ambition to become a developed nation. Speaking at a symposium organised by the Indian Foundation for Quality Management, Chandrasekaran highlighted that India’s progress depends heavily on its ability to generate <keyword id="22266334" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="manufacturing-jobs" source="keywords">manufacturing jobs</keyword>. He stressed that creating employment in this sector is crucial, given the influx of new workers entering the job market each month. “Through our investments in semiconductors, electric vehicles, precision manufacturing, and related industries, Tata Group expects to generate 5 lakh jobs over the next five years,” Chandrasekaran said as per a PTI report. He pointed to the group’s upcoming semiconductor plant in Assam and new manufacturing facilities for electric vehicles and batteries as significant contributors to this <keyword id="20268654" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="job-creation" source="keywords">job creation</keyword>. Chandrasekaran also talked about the broader impact of these initiatives, explaining that job creation in manufacturing has a multiplier effect, with numerous indirect employment opportunities arising from these projects. According to his calculations, for every direct job created in sectors like semiconductors, up to ten additional indirect jobs could emerge. The Tata Group’s investments will also spur the growth of small and medium enterprises (SMEs), with an estimated 5 lakh such businesses expected to form as part of the evolving ecosystem supporting these industries. While praising the government’s support for these initiatives, Chandrasekaran said that India’s vision of becoming a “Viksit Bharat” (developed India) cannot be achieved without substantial growth in manufacturing employment. “Every month, one million people join the workforce, and we need to create 100 million jobs,” he added, reinforcing the urgency of job creation in new-age industries. (With PTI inputs)

Tata Group will generate 5 lakh jobs in 5 years, says Tata Sons Chairman N Chandrasekaran

<ul class="summary-list"><li>A Trump win would benefit energy and financial stocks the most, RBC analysts say.</li><li>They point to Trump's proposed corporate tax cuts and lighter regulation of oil and gas firms. </li></ul>A Donald Trump win in November could be the best outcome for stocks, and two sectors in particular would benefit the most, according to RBC Capital Markets.The bank pointed to stocks in the energy and financials sectors, which former President Donald Trump's policies have long supported.Those sectors would see the most upside from a Trump win, especially if Republicans take both the White House and Congress, the analysts say."Some of the traditional Trump trades continue to emerge in policy assessments. Among our US analysts, Energy and Financials had some of the most bullish tilts in a Republican sweep scenario, and some of the most bearish tilts in a Democratic sweep scenario," analysts said in the report.The report, released Wednesday, draws insights from a survey of RBC analysts.The analysts say a Democratic sweep would be bearish for energy and financials, while a split Congress and win from Vice President Kamala Harris would be more neutral.<h2 id="6f0e8ee9-5b23-4b7b-8652-9193b70c2854">Energy</h2>The analysts say Trump's policies favor domestic fossil fuel production, since they aim to reduce regulatory requirements, which would lower costs. That would likely drive further oil and gas production, they say.They add that less regulation would move pipeline costs lower, which would allow for more construction in transporting and storing infrastructure.Harris's energy policies, on the other hand, would shift more incentive to electric vehicles, posing downside risks to future oil demand, the analysts say."We think the conventional wisdom that Harris is more favorable to alternative Energy than Trump, and that Trump is more favorable to traditional Energy than Harris, is generally correct and that their biases here are one of the biggest differences from an investment perspective between the two on domestic policy," the analysts said.They note, however, that Harris's pledge to continue allowing fracking is a positive for the industry."Harris' insistence that she would not ban fracking makes her less of a risk for traditional Energy than some have believed," they wrote.They acknowledge, too, that Trump's impact on energy and industrial stocks that have benefited from the IRA is "complicated," and that domestic production has reached higher levels under Biden than they did under Trump.<h2 id="224d937d-67af-4f7a-be3c-f2596a6a0209">Financials</h2>For financials, the analysts say that Trump's corporate tax cuts are the biggest reason for their bullish outlook.In a speech last month, Trump said he would push to lower the corporate income tax rate to 15%. During his presidency, his 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act lowered the corporate tax rate to 21%, a decrease from 35%.Harris, meanwhile, plans to raise the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%.The analysts also see Trump, and Republicans in general, creating a more favorable regulatory environment with less oversight for financials. "Specifically, we believe the regulatory approval process for larger bank deals would be less onerous and the timelines could be accelerated, which would help stimulate more M&amp;A across our space," RBC's regional bank analysts said.Some officials, though, have sounded the alarm on Trump's anti-regulatory stance. Last week, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen criticized the former administration, saying it didn't do enough to protect the economy."Put simply, we were without crucial tools to identify and help respond to risks to financial stability," she said, noting that the Financial Stability Oversight Council lost funding and staffing during Trump's presidency.<h2 id="a2394f4c-ac96-4e75-a5d8-06fd810bcd4f">Election results to bring more stability</h2>Overall, the analysts say that the more important outcome is simply the end of the election, which has drummed up considerable uncertainty and volatility for markets ahead of the November 5 contest. "The survey results add to our growing belief that the thing that may matter most for US equities (for 2024) is getting past the event so companies and investors know what they are dealing with," the analysts said.

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