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There's no reason for the US to fall into recession unless the Fed messes up, Mohamed El-Erian says

Recent data shows solid employment growth and higher labor-force participation, and that means the …

Zahra Tayeb   


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2 mins read

Mohamed El-Erian says 'humbled' Fed needs skill, time and luck to engineer a soft landing after Powell touts half-point hike

"History suggests when the Fed is this late, the probability of a recession is uncomfortably high,"…

Hamza Fareed Malik   


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1 min read

Mohamed El-Erian says Fed communication is seen as 'confused and confusing' after it held rates and signaled hikes at the same time

The Fed's communication, around its decision to hold interest rates and signal future increases at …

Zahra Tayeb   


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The odds the US will avoid a recession may be dwindling, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says

Rapidly rising interest rates and signs pointing to the possibility that inflation rebounds pose a …

Jennifer Sor   


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The March jobs report was a win-win for stocks and the Fed, economist Mohamed El-Erian says

"It's good to see good economic news," El-Erian said on Bloomberg TV after the March report showed …

Carla Mozée   


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1 min read

The Fed won't raise interest rates this month but rising oil prices could spur a future increase, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says

"There's no reason to fall into recession unless there's another policy mistake," Mohamed El-Erian …

Zahra Tayeb   


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1 min read

The Fed will be making a big mistake if it skips a rate hike this week, top economist Mohamed El-Erian warns

Skipping a rate hike "could potentially be the least desirable" of three options available to the c…

George Glover   


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1 min read

The Fed could 'crush' the US economy by pursing its inflation target too quickly, Mohamed El-Erian warns

Getting inflation down to its target risks crushing the economy, and any alternative is tough when …

Zinya Salfiti   


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2 mins read

Action from Congress, not the Fed, is what's needed to grow the US economy, Mohamed El-Erian says

"We lost sight of something critical: we lost sight of how we grow our economy in a sustainable and…

Matthew Fox   


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The Fed must 'quickly regain control' after missing the mark on inflation as rising prices have yet to peak, says Mohamed El-Erian

Inflation has soared to 6.8% and will likely hover in that area for a few months, El-Erian told "Fa…

Carla Mozée   


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1 min read

A 'market romance' over a soft landing led to the biggest monthly loosening of financial conditions ever, Mohamed El-Erian says

Markets shouldn't rally as much as they are if they're pricing in recession-level Fed cuts, Mohamed…

Filip De Mott   


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1 min read

Powell's Fed may be remembered not for conquering inflation but for undermining its own credibility, Mohamed El-Erian says

"My worry is that it may end up being remembered in a category of its own, as the Fed that undermin…

Zahra Tayeb   


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Top economist Mohamed El-Erian once again warns of the 'biggest Fed policy mistake in several decades'

Mohamed El-Erian has warned that the Federal Reserve's recent monetary policy choices could turn ou…

Zinya Salfiti   


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1 min read

Mohamed El-Erian says the discord between Fed signals and investors' interest-rate expectations could ignite market turbulence

The discord between the Fed's policy signals and investors' interest-rate expectations is unusual a…

Zinya Salfiti   


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2 mins read

Mohamed El-Erian shares 2 reasons why Fed policy must serve the real economy, not just financial markets

"Like a child successfully throwing tantrums to get more sweets, markets came to expect looser fina…

Shalini Nagarajan   


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1 min read

The US economy is facing the ultimate 'trilemma' as the Fed desperately tries to get inflation down, Mohamed El-Erian says

The Fed is navigating bank turmoil, a resilient labor market, and high inflation while deciding the…

Morgan Chittum   


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Phil Rosen   


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Economist Mohamed El-Erian says the Fed needs to be “brutally honest” and keep the door open for larger rate hikes.

Wednesday's consumer price index report did not show a much hoped-for cooling of inflation in April…

Hamza Fareed Malik   


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1 min read

The Fed will be forced to surrender on rate hikes after SVB's failure, says top economist Mohamed El-Erian

A plunge in the 2-year Treasury yield following SVB's meltdown suggests market expectations that th…

Zahra Tayeb   


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The Fed will deliver a 'big shock' to markets if it tightens monetary policy too slowly, says Mohamed El-Erian

"[We] don't have a historical experience where the Fed has been late in tightening and hasn't sent …

Carla Mozée