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A majority of Americans polled believe the economy is in a recession — but it isn't
Inflation and politics appear to be driving the disconnect between Americans' view on the broader e…
Matthew Fox
These 5 recession indicators have escaped the danger zone after flashing economic red flags
The reversal of these indicators shows why it's risky to rely on a small handful of them, NDR said.
Matthew Fox
The economy is sending mixed signals about a recession, and that's made the timing of the next rate cut less meaningful
"The pandemic and the enormous policy responses from both monetary and fiscal authorities created d…
Matthew Fox
Why the next US recession may be pushed back to 2025, according to JPMorgan
JPMorgan said strong factory data "contributes additional evidence on the global recovery in manufa…
Matthew Fox
The booming private credit market has delayed a recession, but the US is still at risk of a sharp downturn, chief strategist says
"We have widely incomplete data. The vast majority of the time in the last year it's been negativel…
Matthew Fox
One of the most commonly cited recession indicators that's been flashing red has a major flaw, NDR says
"One day the economy will go into recession, but it won't be because of repeated warnings from the …
Matthew Fox
The next recession will be mini compared to the last 2 — and feel completely different
"The type of recession we're looking at is not like a serious, massive downturn in consumer spendin…
Ben Winck
The Fed is confident it can stave off a recession in 2022, but others aren't so sure
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has said the economy is strong enough to withstand higher inter…
Ben Winck
CHART OF THE DAY: What recession? A record number of US consumers plan to vacation in a foreign country in the next 6 months
"US households want to travel on airplanes, stay at hotels, eat at restaurants, go to sporting even…
Matthew Fox
Don't be fooled by strong economic growth. A recession could still be right around the corner.
Strong growth is expected for the third quarter, with the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow estimate…
Matthew Fox
The coronavirus recession only lasted 2 months, the shortest downturn in US history
The National Bureau of Economic Research found the recession only lasted from February 2020 to Apri…
Madison Hoff
An indicator of Americans' willingness to gamble could suggest continued resilience in the US economy
The strength in Nevada's casino industry could serve as a broader signal to investors that the US e…
Matthew Fox
The stock market will fall another 25% if job growth slows and an economic recession materializes, DataTrek says
The S&P 500 is proving resilient as it trades near 4,000 and is not yet pricing in an economic rece…
Matthew Fox
Here's why the restart of student loan payments won't end up dragging down the economy
"We do not expect the resumption of student loan payments in October to be a watershed moment for c…
Matthew Fox
Another Wall Street bank throws in the towel on their 2023 recession call
"Waning post-pandemic disruptions and waxing supply-side developments suggest upside risk" to the e…
Matthew Fox
The US lost 140,000 jobs in December. All of those jobs were held by women.
The disparities grow even wider when considering race, with Black and Latina women working in retai…
Yelena Dzhanova
How the pandemic upended the US job market in 2020, leaving permanent scars in its wake
Just over half of the 22 million US jobs lost during the pandemic have been regained, but lasting s…
Ben Winck,Juliana Kaplan
US consumer confidence unexpectedly falls to lowest since August as COVID-19 restrictions escalate
"Consumers do not foresee the economy gaining any significant momentum in early 2021," the Conferen…
Ben Winck
4 jarring signals that show the US economic recovery is weakening
Several cities have reinstated lockdown measures to curb the coronavirus's spread. Yet the restrict…
Ben Winck
US consumer comfort tumbles to lowest since August on revived virus fears
Bloomberg's index of consumer comfort fell to 46.3 last week from 46.6. The decline follows a large…