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<ul class="summary-list"><li><keyword id="22159313" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Mississippi-County" source="keywords">Mississippi County</keyword> offers up to $50,000 for new home builds or renovations to attract residents.</li><li>The Work Here, Live Here program aims to boost the local economy and grow the population.</li></ul>Mississippi County, Arkansas wants to help residents build their <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/buying-a-home-new-construction-shortage-supply-mortgage-rates-housing-2024-6">dream home</a>, as long as they agree to live in the area for at least four years. To accomplish this goal, it's offering up to $50,000 per household for a new home. The program — called Work Here, Live Here — is the county's effort to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/cities-that-pay-people-cash-money-to-move-there-2024-6">boost the local economy and grow the population</a>, which is just under 40,000 people, per the <a target="_blank" href="https://datacommons.org/place/geoId/05093?utm_medium=explore&amp;mprop=count&amp;popt=Person&amp;hl=en">2022 Census</a>. A two-and-a-half hour drive from Little Rock, the county borders Tennessee and includes cities like Blytheville and Osceola. Work Here, Live Here is organized and partially-funded through a group ofMississippi County industries, community groups, and financial institutions like Farmers Bank &amp; Trust. It first started providing resident and mover incentives in the fall of 2022. The county is one of the nation's<a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/x"> top steel-producing areas</a>, President and CEO of Farmers Bank &amp; Trust Randy Scott told Business Insider. And, the incentive program is only available to employees of specific companies, like steel producers River Steel, US Steel, and Atlas Tube. Eight companies have partnered with Work Here, Live Here so far, and Scott expects more to join this month. "We want homeowners that are gonna stay here," Scott said. Mississippi County's incentive program is part of a recent wave of efforts across <keyword id="22159319" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="rural-America" source="keywords">rural America</keyword> to increase populations and local businesses. Areas like <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/get-paid-move-work-remotely-cash-stipend-internet-kansas-2024-5">Lincoln County, Kansas</a>, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/left-washington-dc-moved-to-tulsa-remote-program-live-alone-2023-11">Tulsa, Oklahoma</a>, and Columbus, Georgia are paying people to move there, offering perks like discounted gym memberships, internet credits, tax breaks, and up to $10,000 in cash to new residents. Mover incentive programs have become especially popular in the aftermath of the pandemic, as <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/dream-job-in-office-work-full-time-flexibility-benefits-2024-3">more jobs are remote or location flexible</a>. And, as the cost of living continues to rise in US cities — <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-much-food-healthcare-housing-cost-most-expensive-us-cities-2024-2">especially on the coasts</a> — more prospective homebuyers are being priced out. Some are turning to these smaller cities and counties<a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/midwest-movers-gen-z-millennials-renters-single-california-texas-2024-2"> in the Midwest or South</a>. For Mississippi County, this growing housing demand has provided an opportunity to build their towns and cities. "They're going to be here for generations to come," Scott said. "They're your future registered voters, future school board members, future enrollments in the schools." <h2>With <keyword id="22159315" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="housing-incentives" source="keywords">housing incentives</keyword>, Mississippi County hopes to see population growth</h2>In the 20 months since Work Here, Live Here launched, the program has drawn 80 new homeowners to Mississippi County. And, according to Scott, the majority of them are <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/house-affordability-crisis-13-young-americans-rely-family-down-payments-2024-3">first-generation homebuyers</a>, young people, and young families. The housing incentive program offers a 10% forgivable loan on a new <keyword id="22159321" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="home-construction" source="keywords">home construction</keyword> with a maximum home cost of $500,000, meaning some families can receive up to a $50,000 housing credit. Existing homes can receive a forgivable loan of up to 5%. Per data provided to BI fromWork Here, Live Here, the program has already led to the construction of 28 homes and 52 existing homes. The average price of homes purchased is $270,253 and the average benefit received is $28,767. "We will have an individual that gets the incentive," Scott said. "And within a week, everyone that works on his shift with him is calling us saying 'hey, how can I participate as well?"' Work Here, Live Here was initially focused on keeping residents who already lived in Mississippi County, but it has also attracted homebuyers from out of state, Scott said. Participants have come from Missouri, Alabama, Mississippi, Wisconsin, Michigan, Colorado, and Ohio. As more families move to or settle in Mississippi County, Scott expects it will have a positive effect on businesses, the school system, and public spaces. Now, he and other northeast Arkansas leaders want to get the word out. "Once we start having population increase — and there's no reason why we shouldn't with other jobs we have created — the quality of life will follow," Scott said. "You'll get the restaurants, you'll get the retail shops, you'll get the amenities." Have you been paid to move? Are you open to sharing your pros and cons of moving to a new city? If so, reach out to this reporter at <a target="_blank" href="mailto:allisonkelly@businessinsider.com">allisonkelly@businessinsider.com</a>. Correction: June 21, 2024 — An earlier version of this story incorrectly stated the incentives for Work Here, Live Here. The program provides funds for the purchase of a home, not home renovations.

An Arkansas county doesn't want families to move. It's offering them up to $50,000 to buy a new home.

India's services sector showed robust expansion in October, per the <keyword id="22267674" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="HSBC-India-Services-PMI" source="keywords">HSBC India Services PMI</keyword> (Purchasing Managers' Index), which rose to 58.5 last month, up from September's ten-month low of 57.7. October's figures managed to exceed even the long-run PMI average of 54.1, largely on the back of a strong sales pipeline and elevated demand. Employment, or job creation in this sector accelerated to its fastest growth rate in 26 months. Anticipating solid, sustained demand in the near term, firms added new employees at the most rapid pace in over 2 years. October also saw <keyword id="23834175" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="input-costs-rise" source="keywords">input costs rise</keyword> at their fastest pace in 3 months, indicating renewed demand and economic activity in the country. The ISM Services PMI, an indicator of the economic health of the US, also exceeded expectations, reaching 56.0 compared to the forecasted 53.8, suggesting strong growth within the services sector. "During October, the Indian services sector experienced strong expansions in output and consumer demand, as well as job creation, which achieved a 26-month high," said Pranjul Bhandari, Chief India Economist at HSBC. The sector saw increased business activity across multiple fronts, with export sales showing significant growth and companies reporting stronger demand from international markets including Africa, Asia, the Americas, the Middle East, and the UK. However, industry experts remain cautiously optimistic about the sector's prospects. Suman Chowdhury, Chief Economist at Acuité Ratings &amp; Research, noted that while the October recovery is promising, several factors warrant careful monitoring. “The recovery in the PMI indices in October 2024 is promising for the second half of the fiscal after the dip in several high-frequency indicators in September 2024. Industrial and service activity has expectedly received a boost from the anticipated spike in consumption demand in Q3 FY25, driven by the festivities and the marriage season," she said. Chowdhury added that it will be crucial to monitor the sustainability of these PMI indices at these elevated levels, given the reported weakness in urban demand in Q2 as flagged by FMCG companies. She also noted that potential increases in wholesale and core retail inflation, combined with higher input costs and wage pressures, could delay expected interest rate cuts. RBI governor Shaktikanta Das also noted that inflation and CPI figures for October might be elevated, pushing ahead any chances of interest rate cuts in the near future. Acuité Ratings &amp; Research maintains its GDP growth forecast at 7.0% for FY25 while acknowledging the multiple downside risks that will require close observation in the coming months.

India's Services Index jumps to 58.5 in October as employment grows the fastest in 26 months

The pre-budget <keyword id="20613906" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="economic-survey" source="keywords">Economic Survey</keyword> highlights the need for measures to boost <keyword id="19973896" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="talent" source="keywords">talent</keyword> and <keyword id="19959621" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="productivity" source="keywords">productivity</keyword> through <keyword id="19974189" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="private-sector" source="keywords">private sector</keyword> investment, experts said on Monday. Finance Minister <keyword id="19916618" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="nirmala-sitharaman" source="keywords">Nirmala Sitharaman</keyword> tabled the Economic Survey for 2023-24 in Parliament. Rumki Majumdar, Economist, <keyword id="20006170" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Deloitte-India" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Deloitte India" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Deloitte India">Deloitte India</keyword> said the Survey has highlighted measures to boost talent and productivity through private sector investment in <keyword id="20077463" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="skills" source="keywords">skills</keyword> (in addition to what the government is initiating), physical and digital connectivity and building state capacity and capabilities. She said <keyword id="19910977" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="MSMEs" source="keywords">MSMEs</keyword>, agriculture, education and <keyword id="19898684" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="employment" source="keywords">employment</keyword>, and upskilling as key pillars for uplifting the masses through jobs, income and skills. Aditi Nayar, Chief Economist and Head - Research &amp; Outreach, ICRA said the Survey stresses that in the medium term, growth needs to be supported by the private corporate sector as well as the state governments. On inflation, she said that "managing inflation is not just the prerogative of the RBI and its MPC, and would require active intervention by the Centre, especially in the arena of food price management. The realisation of both these paradigms is crucial to ensure an optimal growth-inflation mix over the medium term."

Survey highlights need for private investments to boost talent, productivity: Experts

No one's going to sound an alarm, blast out a text message, or shoot you an email about it, but the US economy is undergoing a historic shift. We are leaving one long period of expansion — what economists refer to as a "supercycle" — and entering a very different one.Over the past 15 years, the economy has been characterized by weak demand and low interest rates — a decade-and-a-half hangover from the Great Recession. Now, experts tell me, that is coming to an end. The world has changed, and we are entering an era of higher growth, creeping inflation, and geopolitical instability that will reroute the flow of money around the world. A new era has arrived, but it's going to be bumpy.The good news is that this new era looks as if it will be unencumbered by some of the problems that put a ceiling on growth during the previous era. The most salient feature of the old period, economists say, was the risk of deflation — the possibility that a lack of demand would cause wages and prices to spiral downward, a trap that is <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/inflation-economy-deflation-unemployment-job-market-recession-outlook-paul-krugman-2024-7">extremely difficult to escape</a>. In an effort to avoid that fate, policymakers in Washington pushed interest rates down to zero and encouraged <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/softbank-crashing-investments-uber-wework-monopoly-failure-2019-11">all kinds</a> of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/charlatans-show-up-when-wall-street-stock-market-gets-weird-2021-3">risky</a> <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/twilight-of-tech-gods-recession-stock-market-crash-silicon-valley-2022-5">behavior</a> <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/bill-ackmans-big-pharma-trade-is-making-wall-street-a-super-awkward-place-2014-10">among</a> investors, businesses, and everyday consumers. Investors trying to reach their benchmarks "had to creep out on the risk spectrum," Josh Hirt, a senior economist at Vanguard, tells me. "Supercheap debt," he says, made it easy for businesses to "overexpand and overhire."The pro-risk environment had some earth-shifting consequences. Silicon Valley put the internet on our phones, China blew a massive bubble in its property market, and the world started investing in renewable energy. But low interest rates did little to boost demand, and the economy consistently grew slower than it did before the crash, never notching above 3% GDP growth. It was only after the massive government stimulus, spurred by the pandemic, that the economy reached escape velocity, pushing up wages and starting to grow at a healthy clip.Now, economists say, we're entering a supercycle that will be characterized by three sweeping forces. First, higher interest rates will reward savers, making it more expensive to take risks. Second, geopolitical and economic volatility will generate inflationary effects, reintroducing the specter of soaring prices. And third, industrial planning will be increasingly influenced by national-security concerns, altering supply chains across industries. How low interest rates wind up settling will establish a new gravitational pull in global markets, recalibrating the forces that determine where the economy is most likely to grow — and where investment is most likely to flow.The new supercycle "puts the economy in a completely new era," says Silas Myers, the CEO of Mar Vista Investments, which oversees $4 billion in assets. He warns that an entire generation of investors, lenders, and entrepreneurs have failed to embrace the "profound impact" that the new economic era will have on their businesses."We were in a time that was less demanding and more forgiving," Myers says. "But that time is ending."One of the clearest signs that a new economic supercycle has arrived is when the financial rules go topsy-turvy. The previous supercycle was ushered in when the Federal Reserve, in response to the destruction caused by the financial crisis, cut its benchmark interest rate to 0% — the first time the central bank went all the way to the bottom.The structural shift sent shockwaves throughout the world. Yields on Treasury bonds tanked, meaning investors had to start taking some serious risks if they wanted to make money. This new adventurism pushed stocks higher and higher. Capital went flying into China and other emerging markets in record amounts — some $1 trillion in 2010 alone. Venture capitalists sank billions into companies like Juicero and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/wework-adam-neumann-apartment-startup-investment-silicon-valley-vc-apocalypse-2022-8">WeWork</a> that had no viable plan to turn a profit. And with interest rates so low, companies could suddenly load up on debt: From 2007 to 2017, global nonfinancial corporate debt doubled, to $66 trillion. Until the pandemic hit, inflation and wage growth both remained below 3.9%. The world had changed. Now, with the arrival of a new supercycle, money managers are once again being forced to adapt to a changing set of economic realities. Normally, when the Fed hikes interest rates rapidly, the stock market tanks. But that's no longer true. From 2022 to 2024, as the benchmark federal funds rate shot up to 5.5% from 0.5%, the Nasdaq 100 and the S&amp;P 500 soared by 23% and 22%. Higher interest rates also failed to spur widespread layoffs or crater the economy. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/jobs-report-labor-market-hiring-layoffs-quits-recession-sahm-rule-2024-8">Unemployment has stayed below 4.3%</a>, and GDP growth has remained solid, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/gdp-gross-domestic-product-second-quarter-2024-us-economy-2024-7">defying fears of a recession</a>. In short, something has scrambled the natural interactions of the marketplace. It's as if you put your hand over a hot stove and your fingers turned ice cold.One explanation for the economy's topsy-turvy behavior is a change in what economists call the neutral interest rate — the optimal point for encouraging growth without triggering inflation. After the financial crisis in 2008, the economy was so weak that the neutral rate went to zero to encourage money to flow more freely. But now the market's weird nature may be signaling that the neutral rate has risen above the Fed's ideal target of 2%. That would explain why the Fed's higher rates are no longer putting the brakes on growth. Fueled by the post-pandemic government stimulus, the economy's baseline has shifted. Over at Vanguard, Hirt and his colleagues predict that the neutral rate will stay higher for the foreseeable future, eventually settling at about 3.5%."Even if we do dip below 3.5%, the Fed will be anchored at that higher rate," Hirt says. "If the economy were to experience weakness and we have to cut rates, we still don't think that means taking rates back to zero."Unless you're a boomer, you've probably never experienced a world with this high a neutral rate. It changes the nature of risk, which changes what people decide to do with money on micro and macro levels. If you can get a decent return parking your money in ultrasafe government debt, why risk investing it in a startup or stomach the stock market's volatility? This isn't to say no one will be out here taking risks with their cash — it will just flow in different directions. That's because consumers are in a better place now than they were in the era that emerged after the Great Recession.The economy is "an extraordinarily diverse and dynamic animal," Joe Quinlan, the chief market strategist at Bank of America, assured clients in a recent note. It's "a $28 trillion hydra-headed behemoth that beats to the tune of many different sectors." As the Fed's higher rates were putting a strain on rate-sensitive sectors like housing — which makes up 16% of the economy — Big Tech and travel-starved households were spending money fast and loose. The experience showed that overall consumption can continue to rise even when significant swaths of the economy are struggling.So what can we expect from the new economic supercycle? Like every cycle, it will have its upsides and downsides. Rising interest rates will make loans more expensive, forcing businesses to make more-thoughtful decisions about debt. But they'll also boost savings accounts and interest income. In addition, a faster-growing economy will tighten the labor market, empowering workers to continue to fight for a larger slice of the pie. Since 2019, the bottom 10% of earners have seen a wage increase of 13%.Shifting away from the "grow at all costs" mindset of the previous supercycle has also incentivized governments — especially in the developed world — to do more to police markets and protect consumers. Whether it's capping the price of drugs or enforcing antitrust rules more aggressively, polls suggest Americans want to see <a target="_blank" href="https://prospect.org/economy/2024-08-27-polling-voters-action-corporate-power/">more limits</a> on <a target="_blank" href="https://today.yougov.com/economy/articles/47798-most-americans-oppose-monopolies-and-support-antitrust-laws">corporate power</a> and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2021/07/20/56-of-americans-support-more-regulation-of-major-technology-companies/">more regulation</a> to safeguard citizens. For the first time in years, the Federal Trade Commission has begun going after pharmaceutical middlemen, opposing mergers between grocery giants, and taking big swings at Big Tech.The new supercycle will also have profound consequences worldwide, upending how and where money is most likely to flow. In China, the debt bubble that formed in the property sector during the previous cycle is sucking cash away from <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-xi-jinping-stimulus-plan-wall-street-stock-market-economy-2024-9">businesses and households</a>, undermining China's bid to become the world's leading economic superpower. And with Europe growing more slowly than the US, foreign investors are steering more of their money to America. In the second quarter of this year, foreign investors owned $8.2 trillion worth of US Treasury bonds, up by 7.3% from a year earlier. Foreign investment is also soaring in US corporate bonds (up by 9.8%) and US equities (up by 23%). Quinlan says he expects the US economy to continue outperforming the rest of the world, given the fiscal and demographic challenges facing the European Union, Japan, and China. In an era of increasing instability, when former sources of growth are flailing, the United States is widely viewed as the safest place to find returns."Not lost on investors is the fact that the US economy remains among the most competitive, innovative, and resilient in the world," Quinlan wrote in a recent note to investors. "Aerospace or agriculture, energy or entertainment, transportation or technology, goods or services — pick any sector or activity, and there's a good chance the US leads the rest of the world. All of this has helped fuel demand among foreign investors for US securities of all stripes." America's economic diversification is also expected to give it a leg up in one of the most volatile features of the new era: trade conflict. The US and China are already battling for control over critical industries like <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-xi-jiinping-future-tech-global-economy-semiconductors-military-failing-2022-9">semiconductors</a>, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-crushing-us-america-battle-energy-evs-batteries-tech-war-2023-5">batteries</a>, and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-xi-jinping-crush-tesla-elon-musk-american-ev-industry-2024-2">electric cars</a> — and the tit for tat will be especially costly for less diversified economies. Germany's dependence on manufacturing, for example, places its most essential industries on a collision course with China's ambitions. And while the United States is well positioned to weather the storm, that doesn't mean it won't be rough. The world has never faced a challenge like the skyrocketing flow of exports from China up and down the value chain. It's a dynamic that threatens to imbalance international trade by flooding the market with cheap goods of all kinds. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-shock-explainer-us-economy-trade-dumping-supply-glut-yellen-2024-4">China Shock 2.0</a> "will not go down easily," Quinlan tells me.For over a decade we have become accustomed to the economy working a certain way — if this, then that. As a new supercycle emerges, investors, businesses, and governments that structured themselves around the old model may experience acute shocks. To succeed in this unfamiliar new world, they'll have to adjust their expectations and find ways to harness the supercycle's opportunities. It's the economic equivalent of natural selection: As the economy evolves, those who adapt will be most likely to survive. The days of economic growth are back. The future belongs to those who can grow with it.<a target="_blank" rel="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/author/linette-lopez">Linette Lopez</a> is a senior correspondent at Business Insider.

America is entering a new 'economic supercycle'

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Mega-cap tech giants have continued their record capex spending on AI despite high interest rates.</li><li>Typically, higher rates slow capex spending, but the AI opportunities seem to be too enticing.</li></ul>The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/ai-stocks-hardware-vs-softare-tech-performace-nvidia-tsmc-broadcom-2024-6">ongoing boom in artificial intelligence</a> has flipped traditional economic principles on its head.That's according to Apollo chief economist Torsten Sløk, who highlighted in a Wednesday note the continued surge in capex spending by mega-cap tech giants despite high interest rates."Despite the Fed funds rate being at the highest level in decades, capex spending by the Magnificent Seven is at record-high levels," Sløk said.Typically, when interest rates rise, as they did aggressively beginning in 2022, capital expenditure spending slows down due to the rising cost of capital and the expected slowdown in aggregate demand.But this time, the mega-cap tech giants see the potential opportunity in AI as too good to pass up and are spending heavily on it, which has blunted the impact of the Fed's monetary policy."This is another reason why the monetary policy transmission mechanism is much weaker than usual. Fed hikes are having a much smaller negative impact than normal on business investment decisions because of the strong appetite among firms to invest in AI," Sløk said.And the capex boom is showing no signs of slowing down, according to a recent note from <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/ms-stock">Morgan Stanley's</a> director of research Katy Huberty.Huberty said <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/amzn-stock">Amazon</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/googl-stock">Alphabet</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/META-stock">Meta Platforms</a>, and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/msft-stock">Microsoft</a> are on track to generate $176 billion in operating cash flow in 2025, giving them plenty of cash to spend on more AI-enabled GPU chips.<div type="image" title="A chart showing the profits of mega-cap tech giants" height="572" width="841" msid="112874585" hostid="261" sizebytes="28732"></div>"Hyperscalers' pockets are still deep enough for further spending," Huberty said, adding that the average AI capex / EBITDA ratio is about 40%.Those growing profit trends should continue to fuel the AI capex boom and "dispel concern and drive share-price rebounds for the overall AI supply chain," Huberty said.Now the question is whether <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-rate-cuts-labor-market-federal-reserve-jerome-powell-unemployment-2024-8#:~:text=The%20Fed%20is%20shifting%20from,the%20end%20of%20the%20year.">imminent rate cuts from the Fed</a> will add even more fuel to the fire of the ongoing AI capex boom.

The AI boom is turning traditional economics on its head as tech giants boost spending despite high interest rates

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Chinese Premier Li Qiang spurred market expectations for more stimulus in a speech.</li><li>China's services activity and business confidence rose in October, boosting market sentiment.</li></ul>China is playing up its economy as the US heads to the polls in a closely watched presidential election.On Tuesday, Chinese Premier Li Qiang touted his country's economy, saying he's confident of hitting its GDP growth target of <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-two-sessions-growth-goal-challenging-economists-2024-3">around 5%</a> this year, according to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202411/05/WS6729c795a310f1265a1cb90a.html">state media.</a>He also drummed up market expectations for more economic stimulus, saying Beijing has "ample space for fiscal policy and monetary policy."Li's remarks came just as the Purchasing Managers' Index survey from Caixin and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/5d38599b37f34180bcdfef3a667df95b">S&amp;P Global</a> showed October services activity in China expanded at its fastest pace in three months. Business confidence also rose to the highest level since May, the private-sector survey showed.Wang Zhe, a senior economist at Caixin Insight Group, said China's <a target="_blank" rel="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-aggressive-monetary-stimulus-interest-rate-rrr-2024-9?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">aggressive stimulus</a> in late September has improved sentiment."The Caixin manufacturing and services PMI surveys showed that market demand stabilized and optimism improved, early signs of the new policies' impact," Wang said.Deutsche Bank analysts wrote in a note that Li's comments highlight China's "significant policy flexibility." China's services PMI survey results on Tuesday also boosted risk sentiment in the world's second-largest economy, they added.China's benchmark <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/csi-300">CSI 300 Index</a> closed 2.5% higher, while <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/hang_seng">Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index</a> closed 2.1% higher.<h2 id="728bb7ef-12d6-4f0a-b8fc-e67a8f141cfd">Beijing is watching the US presidential election</h2>Amid Li's show of confidence, Beijing is watching the US presidential election closely to determine its next course of action.China's Standing Committee of National People's Congress — its top legislative body — is meeting through Friday and is expected to announce fresh fiscal stimulus to prop up its economy, which has been mired in a prolonged economic downturn amid an epic property crisis."Whispers are that Beijing may have to augment the size and details of the fiscal stimulus depending on whether it is a Harris or Trump Presidency," Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's chief economist of Asia excluding Japan, wrote in a note on Friday.China's legislative body would be considering a plan to raise $1.4 trillion in extra debt over the next few years to fund a part of an economic rescue package, <a target="_blank" rel=" nofollow" class="" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/china/eyeing-us-election-china-considers-over-14-trillion-extra-debt-over-next-few-2024-10-29/">Reuters</a> reported on Tuesday, citing two sources with knowledge of the matter.Beijing is likely to roll out a bigger stimulus to buffer market volatility if Republican candidate Donald Trump wins, Varathan wrote.

China is boosting market sentiment by playing up hopes for stimulus

Google's new report on <keyword id="19904566" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="artificial-intelligence" source="keywords">artificial intelligence</keyword> (AI) emphasizes responsible AI development and suggests recommendations for policymakers, companies, and civil society. The report titled "An AI Opportunity Agenda for India" outlines how artificial intelligence can drive <keyword id="19900794" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="economic-growth" source="keywords">economic growth</keyword>, social progress and global leadership for the nation. The report says India with its rapidly growing economy, outstanding tech talent, young demography and vibrant start-up ecosystem, is poised to reap the immense benefits of artificial intelligence. A comprehensive and responsible approach to AI can unlock significant economic growth and societal progress in India. "The potential economic impact of AI in India is substantial - reports estimate that at least INR 33.8 lakh crore of economic value from <keyword id="20037918" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="AI-adoption" source="keywords">AI adoption</keyword> can be achieved in India in 2030. While these achievements signify a promising beginning, unlocking the full potential of AI hinges on the strategic decisions we make today," says a Google's press release. The report suggests that to maximize the AI opportunity for India collaborative efforts are needed across government, industry, and civil society. They need to prioritise three key areas which include investments in infrastructure and innovation, building human capital and an AI-powered workforce and promoting wide adoption and universal accessibility. AI is already addressing some of the most pressing challenges like revolutionizing farming practices and improving <keyword id="20646060" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="healthcare-access" source="keywords">healthcare access</keyword>. The <keyword id="20214323" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="agriculture-sector" source="keywords">agriculture sector</keyword> is getting the benefits of AI through minimizing climate risks, optimizing productivity and sustainability, and providing access to real-time crop pricing information and early warning of potential crop threats. Many <keyword id="23569666" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="AI-powered-platforms" source="keywords">AI-powered platforms</keyword> are empowering farmers to boost crop yields and encourage sustainable practices. In the healthcare sector, AI is being used for better diagnosis, bigger access, and personalized care, especially for underserved communities. Google has partnered with <keyword id="23569667" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="ARMMAN" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="ARMMAN" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="ARMMAN">ARMMAN</keyword> to use AI to identify women at risk of dropping out of their health information program, allowing for personalized interventions to improve maternal health outcomes. ARMAAN seeks to address the pervasive systemic problems underlying maternal and child mortality and morbidity in India.

AI adoption can unleash Rs 33.8 lakh crore of economic benefit to India in 2030: Google Report

<ul class="summary-list"><li>According to Hurun's 2024 rich list, China lost 432 billionaires since the high of 1,185 in 2021.</li><li>It's a reflection of China's struggling economy and a government crackdown on the superrich.</li></ul>The number of China's billionaires has dropped by a third since 2021, according to an annual rich list.There were fewer dollar billionaires as difficulties for China's economy and government crackdowns took their toll, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.hurun.net/en-us/rank/hsrankdetails?pagetype=rich">the Hurun Research Institute said.</a>Hurun, a private research group that has tracked Chinese billionaires since 1999, said the total peaked in 2021 with 1,185 billionaires, a figure which fell to 753, a decline of 432, or 36% of the total.It comes as some of China's superrich choose to lie low or leave the country, finding covert ways to take their money with them.<h2 id="4b530a5d-4714-4288-bffd-c77cf18006cc">An old guard departs</h2>Older tycoons — often real estate — are giving way to a new cohort propelled by tech, energy, and e-commerce.Topping the Hurun list this year was <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tiktok-billionaire-zhang-yiming-net-worth-lifestyle-2019-11">Zhang Yiming</a>, the founder of TikTok owner Bytedance, with a fortune of $49.3 billion.ByteDance's global revenue grew 30% last year to $110 billion, with users in the US of its TikTok app closing in on 200 million. ByteDance operates a separate app, Douyin, for Chinese users.Yiming replaced <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/asias-richest-man-zhong-shanshan-lifestyle-wealth-2021-1">Zhong Shanshan</a>, who fell to second place with a fortune of $47.9 billion. His worth declined 24%, the biggest drop of the year at $15.5 billion."The stories of the individuals on the Hurun China Rich List tell the story of the Chinese economy," said Rupert Hoogewerf, Hurun's Chairman and Chief Researcher."The likes of Robin Zeng of lithium battery maker CATL wasn't even on the list 10 years ago, neither was Li Zhenguo of solar panel maker Longi.""Most new faces this year came from Taiwan, which has enjoyed a relatively strong stock market, underpinned by its semiconductor industry," he said.Hoogewerf told Business Insider that the list only included people who were "born and bred, or started out and live in Greater China" up to a minimum age of 18, regardless of their current citizenship. <h2 id="bf71b05f-7223-409f-80f8-b31d7d85d3d0">A reflection of China's economy</h2>China's economy has been grappling with a prolonged housing crisis, high unemployment, high local government debt, and weak consumer demand. Those headwinds hit its superrich, too.Earlier this month, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-3q-gdp-growth-stock-market-stimulus-2024-10">China released third-quarter growth data</a> that was its slowest in six quarters. The government is promising stimulus measures to boost economic growth and has plans to approve more than $1.4 trillion in extra debt in the next few years, according to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/china/reaction-reuters-report-chinas-stimulus-plans-2024-10-29/">Reuters.</a>"With property prices falling and the economy generally tightening, it's not a big surprise the numbers of super-wealthy are falling in China," Kerry Brown, Professor of Chinese Politics at King's College London told BI."And people now don't want to draw attention to themselves while the government is laying stress on equity and greater balance."<h2 id="312e409a-c716-40ff-abfc-180d4446813d">An exodus of the superwealthy</h2>Chinese billionaires are also feeling <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-regulate-excessive-wealth-common-prosperity-2021-8">Xi Jinping's push for a "common prosperity</a>," which was widely viewed as a call for billionaires to share their wealth.That led, among other things, to regulatory crackdowns on tech platform companies and campaigns against China's rich entrepreneurs.Some of China's superrich have also experienced political backlash for making statements perceived as against Xi, including <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/jack-ma-teacher-alibaba-tech-titan-high-tech-farmer-agriculture-2023-12">Jack Ma, the founder of Alibaba and Ant Group and once the invincible poster boy of Chinese tech.</a>He <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/jack-ma-not-missing-alibaba-china-2021-1">disappeared from public view</a> in 2020 after facing <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/what-happened-ant-group-ipo-jack-ma-alipay-2020-11">action from Chinese regulators</a> that resulted in an antitrust investigation, a suspended IPO, and the loss of $12 billion in personal fortune within a few months."Other superrich individuals may have taken such high-profile cases as good reason to preempt possible trouble by moving out of China," Brown wrote in an article for <a target="_blank" href="https://theconversation.com/why-its-becoming-harder-to-get-super-rich-in-china-239774">The Conversation</a>.While this may not be reflected in the Hurun rich list, China is on track to see a record exodus of 15,200 high-net-worth individuals in 2024, according to a report by investment migration firm <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.henleyglobal.com/newsroom/press-releases/henley-private-wealth-migration-report-2024">Henley &amp; Partners.</a>High-net-worth individuals were classed as those with liquid investable wealth of $1 million or more.<h2 id="1c4d9b70-83c2-414a-ac76-1fb8ea05653b">Getting money out of China</h2>Individuals can wire no more than $50,000 a year overseas, which can be problematic for wealthy citizens who want to leave.According to a <a target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-08/how-china-s-rich-are-using-underground-networks-to-move-their-money-abroad?srnd=premium">Bloomberg</a> report last year, some ultra-rich Chinese citizens have been finding unusual, sometimes illegal, ways to move money in response.The report said that funds can move through an <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/china-economy-wealthy-investors-markets-rich-cash-banks-secret-transfer-2023-10">informal, underground banking system known as "hawala."</a> Those caught are typically fined 30% or more of the total amount that they had attempted to move."These agencies have sprouted to meet soaring demand," Joel Gallo, an adjunct professor of finance at New York University Shanghai, told Bloomberg. "They act as quasi-banking firms, yet operate without the scrutiny of one and adroitly engage in regulatory arbitrage by standing in a gray zone.Others are using virtual private networks to export their wealth in the form of crypto, which has been banned in China since 2021.<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.reuters.com/technology/bruised-by-stock-market-chinese-rush-into-banned-bitcoin-2024-01-25/">Reuters</a> reported that one finance executive used bank cards from small commercial banks to buy cryptocurrencies through gray-market dealers. He then capped each transaction at $6,978 to avoid alerting regulators.Brown, the expert at King's College London, said the loss of wealth in China shouldn't be overstated."It is still OK to be rich in China, if a bit less so than in the past. But it's probably more advisable to be low profile and very loyal in public to the Communist party — and to get rich working in high-tech sectors that the government favors."

China lost 36% of its billionaires to years of economic troubles and crackdowns

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Indexes edged up on Tuesday as markets eyed incoming inflation data this week. </li><li>The rally slowed, but stocks added to records notched in Monday's session. </li></ul>US stocks added to records on Tuesday, with the blistering rally since last week slowing slightly as traders prepared to take in new inflation data this week. A five-day rally helped the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&amp;P 500 notch <a target="_blank" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-11/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-live-updates?srnd=phx-markets">fresh closing highs on Monday</a>, with many assets lumped into the Trump trade seeing a continued boost from the President-Elect's victory. Among them, <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">bitcoin</a> came close to hitting the $90,000 mark for the first time in early trading on Tuesday. The crypto industry <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/bitcoin-price-crypto-industry-donald-trump-election-reserve-regulation-sec-2024-11">expects to benefit</a> from Trump's friendly stance toward digital assets, with markets hoping for less regulation of the space. The rally slowed as markets approached the October consumer inflation report. The consumer price index will be published on Wednesday, and Wall Street will be monitoring for any material shifts in inflation.Economists expect a 2.5% year-over-year jump in CPI, compared to a rise of 2.4% in the prior month. Any meaningful surprise could upend expectations over the Federal Reserve interest rate cuts next months.Here's where US indexes stood at the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 6,008.06, up 0.11%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 44,341.72, up 0.11% (+48.59 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 19,328.04, up 0.16% </li></ul>Here's what else happened today:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/treasury-bond-yields-selloff-risk-trump-trade-tariff-immigration-tax-2024-11?_gl=1*m3ciw*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTQxNDkxMy44MjAuMS4xNzMxNDE5NjMzLjYwLjAuMA..">The stock market's Trump bump could end once Treasury yields reach 5%</a>, JPMorgan says.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-outlook-recession-fears-jump-trump-trade-war-tariffs-2024-11">Trump's proposed trade war boosts chances of a US recession to 75%</a>, according to BCA Research.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-tax-cuts-tariffs-stock-market-sp500-inflation-china-trade-war-2024-11?_gl=1*1ipv5dl*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTQxNDkxMy44MjAuMS4xNzMxNDE5ODg5LjU2LjAuMA..">Trump's tax cuts could boost S&amp;P 500 earnings by 20% over the next 2 years</a>, Goldman Sachs says.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/russia-oil-merger-crude-producer-rosneft-gazprom-lukoil-wsj-2024-11?_gl=1*qhoxcu*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMTQxNDkxMy44MjAuMS4xNzMxNDIwMjgxLjU3LjAuMA..">A report says Russia is considering merging three oil firms into the world's second-largest producer</a>.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil rose 1.3% to $68.92 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, rose by 1% to $72.62 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> was about flat at $2,618 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield climbed five basis points to 4.367%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Bitcoin</a> rose 4% to $86,262. </li></ul>

Stock market today: Trump rally slows with stocks at record highs ahead of new economic data

<ul><li><keyword id="19920097" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Karwa-Chauth" source="keywords">Karwa Chauth</keyword> is set to add ₹22,000 crore worth of business to the <keyword id="19948184" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Indian-economy" source="keywords">Indian economy</keyword>.</li><li>This year's spending is expected to surpass last year's ₹15,000 crore mark.</li><li>Karwa Chauth will be celebrated across India on Sunday.</li></ul>Deeply rooted in Indian culture and spirituality, the festival of Karwa Chauth has grown into a significant economic event, with an estimated ₹22,000 crore worth of business anticipated in markets nationwide. The traditional festival will be celebrated across India on Sunday, marking a day of fasting and prayer for the well-being and longevity of spouses. This year's spending is expected to surpass last year's ₹15,000 crore mark, reflecting a surge in enthusiasm and <keyword id="23410660" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="consumer-activity" source="keywords">consumer activity</keyword>. Over the past week, markets across the country have witnessed a lively atmosphere, with bustling crowds shopping for clothing, jewellery, cosmetics, gift items, and puja essentials in preparation for the occasion. Delhi, one of the central hubs for the festivities, is expected to contribute significantly to this economic boom, with sales projected to reach approximately ₹4,000 crore. The shopping spree spans a variety of items associated with Karwa Chauth, including jewellery, traditional clothing, makeup products, sarees, and religious items like Karwa pots, sieves, lamps, wicks, and prayer books. In addition, red glass bangles, anklets, toe rings, lockets, and intricately designed Karwa thalis are among the popular items being purchased. This year, silver Karwas have also been introduced to the market, and they are expected to be in high demand. Henna (mehendi) application, considered auspicious for the festival, has also seen a surge in popularity, with markets, temples, and public places filled with women lining up to get their hands decorated. In Delhi, Connaught Place's Hanuman Temple has become a prominent spot where thousands gather for mehendi, while beauty parlours and private mehendi sessions are booked solid. Henna artists find a valuable opportunity to earn a livelihood during this period. Karwa Chauth not only boosts retail activity but also sets the stage for the upcoming <keyword id="19896655" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="wedding-season" source="keywords">wedding season</keyword>, with many shoppers placing orders for <keyword id="20242079" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="gold-jewellery" source="keywords">gold jewellery</keyword>. The wedding season, commencing in November, traditionally sees a rise in bookings for bridal jewellery, and the festival serves as an early catalyst for these purchases. With inputs from ANI. SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/personal-finance/news/best-credit-cards-for-online-shopping-in-india/articleshow/114354358.cms">Best credit cards for online shopping this festive season</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/mobile/webstories/best-smartphones-under-25000-in-india-in-october-2024/slidelist/114339207.cms">Best smartphones under ₹25,000 in India in October 2024</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/webstories/waaree-energies-ipo-price-band-to-risk-factors-all-you-need-to-know/slidelist/114350114.cms">Waaree Energies IPO – Price band to risk factors, all you need to know</a>

Karwa Chauth festivities to boost economy by ₹22,000 crore

<ul><li>Five states voted on some form of change to the minimum wage in Tuesday's US elections.</li><li>Missouri approved a raise, while Massachusetts and Arizona rejected changing how tipped workers are paid.</li><li>Results in Alaska and California were unclear early Wednesday.</li></ul>While economic issues were a major focus of this year's <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/election-results-trump-harris-presidential-election-2024-11" target="_blank">US presidential election</a>, several states put pay directly on the ballot, and minimum-wage workers in at least one state are now set to get a raise after voting concluded Tuesday. Missouri, Massachusetts, California, and Alaska all had some form of referendum on their ballots on whether to hike the minimum wage paid by employers. In Massachusetts, voters were asked whether to gradually increase the share of tipped workers' pay that employers must provide, while voters in the three other states were presented with proposals for straightforward minimum-wage increases. In Arizona, voters weighed in on whether to decrease the tipped minimum wage — provided employers could show workers' wages would stay $2 above the state minimum when accounting for tips. Shortly after polls closed in Missouri, it was clear that the referendum there had passed. Voters in Massachusetts and Arizona rejected their proposals, and California and Alaska were still awaiting their results as of early Wednesday. <h2 style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">Missouri</h2>In Missouri, voters opted to raise the state's minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2026. Per The New York Times, roughly 58% of Missouri voters had supported the measure as of early Wednesday, with some votes still uncounted. The measure, <a href="https://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/petitions/2024BallotMeasures#:~:text=Official%20Ballot%20Title%0AProposition,Proposed%20by%20Initiative%20Petition" target="_blank">Proposition A</a>, is set to first raise the minimum wage to $13.75 an hour from $12.30 on January 1 and then increase it again to $15 an hour on January 1, 2026. Starting in 2027, the wage is set to be pegged to inflation. The measure also mandates that employers give their workers an hour of paid leave for every 30 hours they work. Missouri separately voted in favor of former President Donald Trump, who said he'd "consider" a minimum-wage hike if it proved beneficial for small businesses. His opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris, had pledged support for raising the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour from $7.25. A group of Missouri business owners in favor of the measure praised Proposition A's passage on Tuesday evening. "Proposition A will strengthen Missouri's workforce and businesses," David Burmeister, the owner of Midwest Pasta Co. in St. Louis, said in a press release. "Raising the minimum wage will increase people's ability to shop at our business and local businesses across Missouri. We've seen that paying better wages is better business. Employees are happier at work and do a better job." <h2 style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">Massachusetts</h2>In <a href="https://www.sec.state.ma.us/divisions/elections/publications/information-for-voters-24/quest_5.htm" target="_blank">Massachusetts</a>, employers won't be required to gradually raise tipped workers' base pay to match the state's minimum wage. The measure failed, with the Times reporting at the time of publication that 64% of voters had rejected it out of the votes counted so far. The measure, which would have begun taking shape on January 1, wouldn't have actually raised the legal minimum wage for tipped workers but instead would have raised the share of that minimum wage that employers were required to provide. Currently, Massachusetts employers are required to pay tipped workers a base pay of $6.75 an hour and then make up the difference if those workers' total pay counting tips is less than $15 an hour. The failed measure would have ultimately required employers to directly pay tipped workers the state's full minimum wage by 2029. <h2 style="color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">Arizona</h2>In Arizona, voters rejected a measure that would have let employers reduce their base pay for tipped workers. <a href="https://www.azleg.gov/alispdfs/Council/2024BallotMeasures/adopted%20analysis%20Proposition%20138%20SCR1040%20-%202024.pdf" target="_blank">Proposition 138</a> proposed allowing employers to pay tipped workers up to 25% less than the state's minimum wage, with the corollary that employers would need to establish their workers were still making the minimum wage plus an additional $2 an hour when accounting for tips. The Times reported that out of the votes counted so far, nearly 76% of voters had rejected the measure. That means that employers in Arizona can continue to pay their tipped workers $3 less than the current hourly minimum wage as long as workers are still making at least the minimum wage when accounting for tips. Correction: November 7, 2024 — An earlier version of this story included a sentence that incorrectly described the result of the ballot measure in Massachusetts. The system in which tipped workers are required to be paid at least $15 an hour through a combination of tips and a $6.75 hourly wage is the current system in Massachusetts, not a proposal on the ballot measure that voters rejected. The story was also updated to clarify the ballot results. The percentages attributed to The New York Times reflected the latest tally as votes were being counted, not New York Times projections for the final result. The specific figure of 76% in Arizona referred to the share of voters at the time who had rejected the ballot measure there, not the margin by which voters rejected the measure.

Workers in Missouri can look forward to raises after minimum-wage boosts passed

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Europe could take a hit to GDP in a second Trump presidency, Goldman Sachs analysts say.</li><li>They point to increased uncertainty as the scope of the timing of Trump's sweeping tariffs remains unclear.</li></ul>As the world takes in the results of the US presidential election, regions around the world are determining what a Trump presidency might mean for their economies.Europe could face a big hit to economic growth as trade tensions increase, Goldman Sachs analysts said. The analysts downgraded their growth forecasts across the region, down to 0.8% from their previous forecast of 1.1% for 2025. In 2026, the analysts said they expect growth of 1%, down from 1.1% and lower than the consensus estimate of versus 1.4%. Overall, the analysts expect the Euro area to take a 0.5% hit to real GDP, with the bulk of the downturn set to materialize next year.The analysts point to renewed trade tensions fueled by Trump's proposal for sweeping tariffs on all US imports.More significant than the actual tariff increases, though, will be the trade policy uncertainty that comes with them, the analysts say. That uncertainty will pose a bigger hit to growth than the tariffs themselves, they said. "The actual magnitude of tariff increases might matter less than the uncertainty created by threatening to impose tariffs on Europe," the analysts said in a Wednesday note, adding, "The magnitude of the tariff increase, however, is unlikely to be clear for some time, and so we expect a pronounced further increase in TPU in the baseline scenario."The firm's trade policy uncertainty indicator for Europe has already risen in recent weeks as markets increasingly priced in odds of a Trump win.The analysts acknowledged, though, that while Trump's 10% across-the-board tariff is a clear risk, they expect his administration to initiate a more moderate set of duties on European countries.Those tariffs will likely target auto exports, which are worth $80 billion, or 0.9% of EU exports, the analysts said. The duties will have large impacts to GDP in Germany, Sweden, and Switzerland in particular, they added. During his campaign, Trump proposed raising tariffs on imports from all countries to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-tariff-plan-inflation-policy-impact-trade-war-china-rates-2024-5">at least 10%</a>, and said imports from China would be <a target="_blank" rel="" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-impose-tariffs-china-if-elected-2024-2?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">subject to even steeper 60% duties</a>.The analysts add that a Trump presidency will prompt European countries to up their defense spending to account for a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-trump-could-handle-ukraine-war-if-reelected-scenarios-2024-10">potential decrease</a> in US military support to Ukraine. That wartime support will cost the EU another 0.5% of GDP every year, the analysts say.The increased spending won't result in a growth boost, either, they say."Any resulting growth boost, however, will likely be limited by modest military spending multipliers in Europe, upward pressure on long-term yields from higher deficits and negative confidence effects from elevated geo-political risk," the analysts said.European officials have long warned of huge growth impacts from a second Trump presidency.Last month, ECB member Joachim Nagel <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-win-economic-growth-inflation-risks-europe-ecb-germany-2024-10">warned</a> a Trump win could hammer growth and send inflation soaring in Europe, and back in January, ECB president Christine Lagarde said a Trump win is "clearly a threat" to Europe, pointing to his tariff plans, commitment to NATO, and climate change policies.

Trump's presidency will hurt Europe's economic growth amid renewed trade tensions, Goldman Sachs says

<ul class="summary-list"><li>China's stock markets slumped after a 10-day rally that was driven by Beijing's stimulus announcement in September.</li><li>Investors were disappointed when a hyped-up Chinese government press briefing failed to deliver more stimulus.</li></ul>China's top leadership has a problem with its economic stimulus: its own investors at home saw right through the hype this week.China's domestic stock markets slumped on Wednesday after a 10-day blitz culminated in a two-year high.The mainland's benchmark CSI 300 Index closed 7.1% lower, while leading indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen ended the day 6.6% and 8.7% lower.China's domestic stock markets are dominated by over 200 million mom-and-pop retail investors, who account for about <a target="_blank" href="https://www.troweprice.com/financial-intermediary/sg/en/thinking/articles/2024/q2/chinas-economy-enters-a-new-cycle-unveiling-fresh-opportunities-apac.html">70% of the trading volume.</a> so market movements reflect ground sentiment.The markets were boosted in late September after a stimulus announcement by the People's Bank of China. The CSI 300 index closed nearly 20% higher year-to-date before weeklong National Day public holidays. The markets reopened on Tuesday and ended higher, though that morning's immediate bump cooled off during the trading day.The rally fizzled because China's National Development and Reform Commission, the country's top economic planner, lined up a highly anticipated press conference on the first working day after weeklong public holidays. But the commission did not introduce more stimulus measures, which dragged market sentiment.<h2 id="24dd9538-5d55-451b-902a-d6d1deb152fc">China watchers are more optimistic</h2>It looks like China's investors are less optimistic than market watchers elsewhere. Those abroad are expressing more confidence in the world's second-largest economy and seeing the bright side in this week's losses.Since the commission is actually responsible for implementation rather than funding initiatives, most analysts weren't expecting much stimulus in the first place.Some professionals even view this week's stock losses positively. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index — dominated by institutional investors — ended the day down 1.4%, extending Tuesday's 9.5% slump. The index is 9.3% lower so far this week."We believe a pullback following a 36% rally in less than a month may be healthy in allowing market participants to reassess recent policy developments, while providing entry points for new investors and creating more balanced market participation," wrote Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at trading platform IG, in a Wednesday note about the Hong Kong market.Instead of harping on market jitters, economists are now pointing to Beijing's political commitment to improving the economy."To be sure, there may still be an expectations gap as announcements fall short of loftier expectations. But that's not as damaging as market misgivings about Beijing getting stimulus cold feet," Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho's macro research head for Asia excluding Japan, wrote in a note on Wednesday.After the initial stimulus announcement on September 24, China's top leaders swiftly pledged support for the economy, including in the beleaguered property market.According to Xinhua state news agency, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202410/08/WS6705253aa310f1265a1c6860.html">Chinese Premier Li Qiang</a> called on the country to implement economic stabilization measures on Tuesday."There is a case to be made that Beijing's initial pronouncements of boosting the equity market, supporting housing unequivocally are sound commitments," wrote Varathan. He said that China is already in the midst of a hard landing — and Beijing knows it."And so, Beijing is now fully invested in efforts to extricate the economy holistically," he wrote.Economists are waiting for more meaningful support measures."We expect a fiscal package to be announced in coming weeks, including demand-boosting stimulus on consumption and investment, as well as further enhancement of social security, healthcare, and birth encouragement," wrote Hele Qiao, the Greater China chief economist and head of Asia economics research at BofA Global Research, on Tuesday.Qiao expects an announcement after the next meeting of China's top legislature, which typically takes place any time from mid-October to early November. The exact date will only be announced a week or two before the meeting.

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