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Indian banks are expected to have steady growth in earnings and returns over the next 3–4 years, according to a recent report by Jefferies. It expects a 13% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in loan growth for banks between FY24 and FY27, helmed by a supportive environment and expected adjustments in interest rates. "We expect steady growth in earnings and stable returns, Over FY24-27, the banks we cover should see 13% CAGRin loans We factor 25-50 bps cut in rates, &amp; depending on timing, NIMs will move," the report said. Depending on the timing, these rate cuts could impact banks' <keyword id="20076541" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="net-interest-margins" source="keywords">net interest margins</keyword> (NIMs), which measure the difference between interest income generated and interest paid to depositors. The report also notes that banks' net interest income (NII), a critical metric that is reflective of how much a bank earns from its lending, could grow at a steady 12% CAGR, which would support overall earnings growth. <h2>Rate cuts probable next year</h2>Per SBI Mutual Fund's monthly outlook for November 2024, while markets were initially speculating possible rate reductions in December this year or February next year these chances now stand dampened due to two reasons. First, elevated CPI numbers in September, which stood at a nine-month high, underlined the stickiness of food inflation. Secondly, RBI governor Das recently highlighted his hawkish stance at a conference, stating that "rate cuts at this stage would be premature and risky’. The report further adds that February 2025, or even April, would be a better time to discuss repo rate cuts in India. Even <keyword id="19985925" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="bank-credit-growth" source="keywords">bank credit growth</keyword> has continued to outpace deposit growth for two years now. However, they seem to be inching closer in the recent past. For instance, in October 2024, while bank credit growth remained at 12.7%, the deposit growth rate followed closely at 11.8%. This also means that banks are witnessing an elevated bank credit-to-deposit ratio, standing at 77% in October. <h2>Risks in unsecured lending </h2>However, Jefferies noted some areas of caution that could influence growth in other revenue streams, particularly fees. Growth in fees may be at risk due to expected declines in the disbursal of unsecured loans, which generally carry higher interest rates and generate higher fees for banks. October saw stress and defaults rising in the unsecured lending space, prompting the RBI to intervene. As a result, unsecured loans by banks have only grown by 12.1%, the lowest since the pandemic. Despite these risks, the report expects banks' return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) to remain healthy, underscoring the sector's stable profitability potential. The report also highlights that while the Nifty Banks index has risen by 19% over the past year, it has still underperformed the broader Nifty index, which delivered 27% returns in the same period. BSE Bankex has been along similar lines, generating returns worth 19% over one year. While the Nifty banks' index has a YTD (yield to date) of 7.63%, it continues to trail Nifty's YTD of 11.30%

Indian banks to have steady growth in earning over next 3-4 years, fees from unsecured lending may dip, notes Jefferies report

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Microsoft's Q1 profits beat analysts' estimates as cloud computing continued to grow.</li><li>Q1 capital spending reached $20 billion, up from $19 billion in Q4.</li></ul><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/category/microsoft">Microsoft</a> reported better-than-expected first-quarter results after the closing bell on Wednesday, and continued to ramp up its capital spending as it invests in AI capabilities.Capex totaled $20 billion, compared with $19 billion in its fiscal fourth quarter and $14 billion in the quarter before that.Much of the company's spending has been going toward data centers, graphics processing units, and other AI projects. By year end, Microsoft intends to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/microsoft-gpu-targets-1-8-million-ai-chips-this-year-2024-4">amass 1.8 million GPUs</a>. By July 2025, the Redmond, Washington, company plans to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/microsoft-plan-double-triple-data-center-capacity-2024-4">triple its data-center capacity</a>. The company is trying to figure out how it will recoup this massive investment.Also in the first quarter, Microsoft Cloud revenue rose 22% from a year earlier to $38.9 billion. Analysts, on average, had expected revenue for the business would total $38.11 billion, per Bloomberg.Shares rose more than 1% in late trading.Some analysts have been critical of the company's <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/big-tech-earnings-microsoft-amazon-apple-alphabet-meta-2024-10">spending on artificial intelligence</a>, as Business Insider previously reported."We are expanding our opportunity and winning new customers as we help them apply our AI platforms and tools to drive new growth and operating leverage," the company's chairman and CEO, Satya Nadella, said in the earnings announcement.The report follows Microsoft's <a target="_blank" href="https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/789019/000119312524204403/d846847d8k.htm">August announcement</a> that it would reconfigure how it reported results from its business units. The Productivity and Business Processes segment includes results from Microsoft 365 Commercial products and cloud services.Here are several key metrics for the quarter that ended September 30 and how they compared with analysts' consensus expectations as reported by Bloomberg.<ul><li>Earnings per share: $3.30 vs. $3.11 expected</li><li>Revenue: $65.59 billion vs. $64.51 billion expected</li><li>Operating income: $30.6 billion vs. the $29.21 billion expected</li><li>Microsoft Cloud revenue: $38.9 billion vs. the $38.11 billion expected</li></ul>Investors have been tracking spending on AI at many of the so-called Magnificant 7 stocks, of which Microsoft is one — along with fellow tech giants including Apple, Amazon, Google parent Alphabet, and Nvidia. One concern is that returns on <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/ai-impact-overblown-investment-tech-stocks-billions-daron-acemoglu-mit-2024-10">companies' AI investments</a> could fall short of expectations. That's a worry at Microsoft partly because feedback on the company's<a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/big-tech-earnings-microsoft-amazon-apple-alphabet-meta-2024-10"> Copilot AI</a> has been mixed.

Microsoft reports stronger-than-expected earnings as it ramps up capital spending

Indian companies across multiple sectors have reported disappointing results in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, notes a new JM Financials report. Consequently, their poor performance has triggered stock price corrections for affected companies. The brunt of this weaker than expected earnings was largely borne by consumer centric sectors like FMCG (fast moving consumer goods), retail, and auto, which slacked largely due to dampened urban demand. For instance, India's largest automaker, Maruti Suzuki, reported a 5% YoY decline in its total domestic passenger vehicle wholesales, largely on the back of pent-up inventory. Similarly, Honda reported a staggering 23% YoY dip in its total sales during October 2024. A recent report by Bernstein noted that around 48% of the companies listed on the NSE100 index missed their earnings estimate for Q2FY25, the highest since March 2020. Most companies have mentioned deteriorated domestic demand, urban slowing, macroeconomic risk, and margin pressures as the main reasons behind the dip. "The quarter's earnings have made investors nervous," noted the JM Financials report. The challenging environment stems from multiple factors: softening consumer demand, rising input costs, and companies' limited ability to increase prices. Moreover, this is not limited to just one quarter. Companies have been reporting weak, single-digit earnings growth for the last six consecutive quarters. Data from India Data Hub also suggests that corporate profits of listed companies plunged by as much as 3.4% during the quarter ended September 30, 2024. This is in stark contrast to the year-ago period, where they had shot up by over 40% The oil and gas sector had a difficult quarter, with refiners hit by weak margins and city gas distributors struggling with higher input costs. Financial institutions showed mixed results. While government-owned banks reported strong numbers, microfinance institutions and some private lenders faced massive difficulties with their unsecured loans. Most notable amongst this was the case of IndusInd Bank, which saw its net profits dip by 40% amidst burgeoning provisions, which climbed 87% to Rs 1,820 crore in Q2, as against Rs 974 crore reported in the year-ago period. <h2>Markets head southwards</h2>The selling trend by FPIs has dragged down the major Indian indices, the Nifty 50 and Sensex, both of which have dropped by around 8% since the beginning of this selling spree in October. According to National Securities Depository Ltd. (NSDL) data, FPIs offloaded equities worth a significant Rs 19,994 crore in just the first five trading sessions of November last week. The impact is clearly visible on Indian stock markets. Data suggests that while every sector in October closed the month in red, auto, oil and gas, and consumer durables were the most badly hit, each declining by as much as 10% during the month. Another indicator underlining the inherent weakness of the market was that the month saw only 242 stocks hit their 52-week high, significantly below the usual monthly average of 310.

India Inc. stares at an earnings dearth in Q2, FMCG, auto, and consumer durables falter

<ul class="summary-list"><li>This post originally appeared in the Insider Today newsletter.</li></ul>Good morning! Add this to the list of things that might scare you about artificial intelligence: losing your home. Real-estate scammers are <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/scammers-use-ai-deed-fraud-title-theft-to-steal-homes-2024-10">using AI tools to commit deed theft</a>, with the owner of a $137.5 million mansion saying they're among the victims.In today's big story, Tesla reports earnings this afternoon with the <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-q3-earnings-preview-wall-street-auto-margins-robotaxi-2024-10">focus back on its cars business</a>.What's on deck:<ul><li>Markets: Breaking down the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/starboard-jeff-smith-74-page-presentation-pfizer-13-monitor-2024-10">74-page slideshow</a> activist investor Starboard presented to Pfizer.</li><li>Tech: Amazon's $100 billion data center dream <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-data-centers-delays-costs-power-labor-shortages-aws-ai-2024-10">is turning into a bit of a nightmare</a>.</li><li>Business: A deadly E. coli outbreak linked to McDonald's <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/mcdonalds-e-coli-outbreak-tied-quarter-pounders-2024-10">sent its share price tumbling</a>.</li></ul>But first, back to basics.If this was forwarded to you, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/subscription/newsletter/insider-today">sign up here.</a><h3 id="7fa5f018-5b05-4a37-a8dc-d3f89138bcb3">The big story</h3><h2 id="5fd547b9-ec52-41fc-8e08-4f4b27dd8097">Tesla the car company</h2><div type="image" title="Photo illustration of Elon Musk." height="882" width="1176" msid="114513508" hostid="261" sizebytes="107410"></div>Tesla has spent plenty of time discussing the future, but Wall Street wants to bring the EV giant back to the present.Elon Musk's company reports third-quarter earnings this afternoon, and analysts are focused on its core auto business. Business Insider's Matthew Fox has a rundown on <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-q3-earnings-preview-wall-street-auto-margins-robotaxi-2024-10">analysts' expectations ahead of Tesla's big day</a>.(To get real-time updates on Tesla's earnings, be sure to check out our <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-stock-tsla-earnings-call-report-live-updates-2024-10">live blog here</a>.)Musk has spent time talking up everything but the cars his company currently sells. From robotaxis to autonomous vehicles and bartending bots, Tesla's earnings calls have been heavily focused on what's next instead of what's now.Tesla has good reason to avoid talking about the present. Its sales dropped for two straight quarters <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-q3-deliveries-sales-stock-price-2024-10">before righting the ship in Q3</a>. It'll now take a massive fourth quarter for its 2024 sales to eclipse last year's figure.Touting robotaxis and pitching the company as a leader in artificial intelligence has eased the pain (and helped the stock price), but even that has its limit. Tesla's share price is still down more than 12% year-to-date after its flashy robotaxi event <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-tesla-robotaxi-cybercar-analysts-self-driving-fleet-ai-2024-10">mostly fell flat with investors</a>.That's why all eyes are back on its core business of selling cars, including the status of its industry-leading profit margins.The report could signal the worst is behind Tesla … or is yet to come.<div type="image" title="Generel Motors photo collage" height="1500" width="2000" msid="114513510" hostid="261" sizebytes="91326"></div>Tesla also needs to worry about what's in its rearview mirror.General Motors' third-quarter earnings report topped estimates, leading to a nearly 10% surge in its stock. Part of its success included <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/gm-stock-earnings-crushing-it-suvs-trucks-evs-2024-10">improved EV growth and profitability,</a> writes BI's Benjamin Zhang. GM now holds a 9.8% share of the US market, trailing only Tesla.That comes during what's been an overall tough time for the EV market. (But a good time for any <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/ev-pile-up-dealer-lots-deals-discounts-leasing-2024-8">who's in the market for one</a>!)While the industry continues to grow, it's at a much slower pace than a few years ago. Automakers have been forced to readjust their strategy around breaking into the market.Overseas, things aren't much better for Tesla. China, the world's largest auto market and an area of growth for Tesla, has gotten increasingly competitive. Domestic rivals <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-chinese-ev-rivals-record-deliveries-pressure-on-elon-musk-2024-10">recently posted a record month for sales</a>, and China's EV giants stole the show at <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-ev-giants-innovation-ai-auto-show-european-rivals-despair-2024-10">Europe's largest auto show</a>.<h3 id="77f31a4c-8462-4e3d-a71f-838cb79493fb">News brief</h3><h2 id="1fcd294b-3f53-425f-9f20-4093e8623b59">Top headlines</h2><ul><li>Former Abercrombie &amp; Fitch CEO Mike Jeffries <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/former-abercrombie-and-fitch-ceo-mike-jefferies-arrested-2024-10">arrested in sex-trafficking case</a>.</li><li>Starbucks just pre-released its sales figures, and they show <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/starbucks-quarterly-sales-dropped-as-it-faces-us-china-headwinds-2024-10">its new CEO has an uphill struggle ahead</a>.</li><li>A Michelin star might <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/restaurants-awards-michelin-star-new-york-city-dining-rent-costs-2024-10">kill your favorite restaurant</a>.</li><li>The Polymarket 'whale' is placing as many as 71 bets a minute <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/polymarket-whale-trump-vs-harris-betting-odds-polls-election-2024-10">in favor of Donald Trump</a>.</li><li>Bhutan is known for prizing happiness. <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/bhutan-known-gross-happiness-employees-longest-working-hours-in-world-2024-10">Its people also work longer than any other country</a>.</li></ul><h2 id="8120060b-ae66-48dc-b149-f0489a30ffa2">3 things in markets</h2><div type="image" title="Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla" height="683" width="1024" msid="114513505" hostid="261" sizebytes="38178"></div><ol><li>Activist investor Starboard aired its grievances to Pfizer. The hedge fund, which reportedly has a $1 billion stake in the drug giant, recently presented <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/starboard-jeff-smith-74-page-presentation-pfizer-13-monitor-2024-10">a 74-page slideshow to Pfizer</a>. Its complaints included a lack of R&amp;D spend and a failure to deliver on its drug pipeline.</li><li>The bond market is scrambling to recalibrate itself. Bond yields are rising and prices are dropping as <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/bonds/treasury-yields-bonds-interest-rates-economy-inflation-election-labor-market-2024-10">traders reset their expectations of future interest rate cuts</a>. Strong economic data and a potential Trump win are believed to be the biggest factors preventing more rate cuts.</li><li>Inside Citadel Securities' massive tech rebuild. Ken Griffin's market maker is revamping the tech that powers its trades as it eyes growth. The goal is to prepare the firm for what lies ahead, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/inside-citadel-securities-multi-year-rebuild-trading-technology-2024-10">Citadel Securities' chief technology officer told BI</a>.</li></ol><h2 id="f4b54806-7f81-450c-ba32-92560d4fae9b">3 things in tech</h2><div type="image" title="Illustration of an Amazon data center wrapped in an orange-colored electrical cord, with three lightning bolt symbols" height="1000" width="2000" msid="114513501" hostid="261" sizebytes="86046"></div><ol><li>Amazon's data center dream is battling "zombie" facilities, high costs, and labor shortages. Amazon plans to spend more than $100 billion expanding its data centers over the next decade. But the ambitious plan means it's increasingly running into physical constraints. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-data-centers-delays-costs-power-labor-shortages-aws-ai-2024-10">According to internal documents viewed by BI,</a> electricity and labor headwinds are hampering the company's long-term data center growth.</li><li>The plane-tracker who got on Elon Musk's bad side says he's lost faith in big social media. College student Jack Sweeney ran Threads accounts that tracked the movements of celebrities' private jets — or at least he did until Monday, when Meta removed the accounts citing safety concerns. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/jet-tracking-meta-ban-jack-sweeney-faith-social-media-2024-10">Sweeney told BI</a> he thinks he was targeted by one of the public figures he's tracking.</li><li>Disney and Apple are on the outs. Disney is <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/disney-apple-app-store-hulu-disney-plus-2024-10">no longer letting new customers sign up for Hulu or Disney+ via Apple's App Store</a>, which takes up to 15% of the monthly fees generated by Disney's subscription services. Though the companies are still working together on some projects, the move points to a notable rift in the pair's long-standing relationship.</li></ol><h2 id="9260fa45-d397-4b3c-b4f8-4bb193976216">3 things in business</h2><div type="image" title="Illustration of block homes." height="2000" width="4000" msid="114513507" hostid="261" sizebytes="419628"></div><ol><li>Should America be more like Whoville? To bring down housing prices, America needs to break from its cookie-cutter tradition and build more weird homes. These five wacky home ideas could help <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/home-prices-america-should-build-weird-houses-apartments-real-estate-2024-10">create the housing we need</a>.</li><li>The CDC said a deadly E. coli outbreak was linked to McDonald's Quarter Pounders. Shares in the Golden Arches dropped more than 9% in extended trading on Tuesday following the announcement that <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/mcdonalds-e-coli-outbreak-tied-quarter-pounders-2024-10">one person died and 10 others were hospitalized</a>. A total of 49 cases across 10 states have been reported thus far, but the extent of the outbreak is "likely much higher," the CDC said.</li><li>Does anyone know what Disney's post-Bob Iger plan is? The company's announcement that it would name a new CEO in 2026 — far later than most expected — has left <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/disney-bob-iger-ceo-succession-plan-questions-2024-10">more questions than answers</a>. The stakes are high: Disney flubbed Iger's last exit plan so badly that it had to bring him back after less than two years.</li></ol><h2 id="1ad7b482-3f4b-44b4-81b6-a864aa386478">In other news</h2><ul><li>Billionaire Marc Lasry claims in a new lawsuit that a former employee is trying to extort him for $50 million. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/marc-lasry-sues-former-employee-demanding-50-million-2024-10">Here are the most eye-catching excerpts</a>.</li><li>Diddy's children break their silence on his arrest and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/diddy-children-arrest-accusations-response-2024-10">compare the accusations to 'conspiracy theories.'</a></li><li>Elon Musk's X has made hundreds of thousands of dollars <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-x-america-super-pac-advertising-revenue-2024-10">from his super PAC</a>.</li></ul><h2 id="9f5d80ac-3466-429f-a50a-2ffbb70c65ff">What's happening today</h2><ul><li>Tesla, Boeing, IBM, Coca-Cola, and other companies report earnings.</li><li>Harvey Weinstein appears in New York court on additional charges of sexual assault.</li></ul>The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, deputy editor and anchor, in New York. Jordan Parker Erb, editor, in New York. Hallam Bullock, senior editor, in London. Amanda Yen, fellow, in New York. Milan Sehmbi, fellow, in London.

Tesla's earnings report will include refocusing on its car business, and it comes as competition heats up

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Apple is set to report fiscal fourth-quarter earnings results after the market close on Thursday.</li><li>Wall Street anticipates $94.36 billion in revenue and adjusted earnings per share of $1.60.</li></ul>All eyes are on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/AAPL-stock">Apple</a>, the world's largest company by market value, as it prepares to report its fiscal fourth-quarter results after the market closes on Thursday.The quarter, which ended September 30, will encapsulate two weeks of Apple's iPhone 16 sales.The stock was trading at $230.40 at 1:50 p.m. ET, down by about 1.4%.Here's what Wall Street expects Apple to report for its fiscal fourth-quarter, according to Bloomberg data:<ul><li>Revenue: $94.36 billion</li><li>Adjusted earnings per share: $1.60</li></ul>Wall Street will largely be looking to the company's guidance for the upcoming holiday months, which has historically represented Apple's strongest quarter.Top of mind for analysts who cover the stock is whether Apple's AI efforts will pay off and fuel demand for the iPhone 16, or if consumers are taking a wait-and-see approach.The company <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/apple-intelligence-features-tested-on-iphone-16-pro-max-2024-10">released its first round of "Apple Intelligence" features</a> this week, about six weeks after the release of the iPhone 16. Meanwhile, Apple's core AI features aren't expected to be released for the iPhone until early next year.Here's what Wall Street is looking for in Apple's upcoming earnings report.<h3 id="ed1099ce-654e-4938-929c-540867493d06">Bank of America: 'Look past the iPhone 16 noise'</h3>With some <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/apple-stock-price-tumbles-analyst-says-iphone-16-orders-slashed-2024-10">conflicting views on Wall Street</a> about iPhone 16 demand in recent weeks, Bank of America said investors should "look past the iPhone 16 noise to impact of Apple Intelligence.""Contrary to every cycle where all the hardware/software functionality is more or less static through the course of the cycle, we view the cycle as more dynamic with more material software updates that increases the value to the user," <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/bac-stock">Bank of America</a> analyst Wasmi Mohan said in a note last week.Mohan said iPhone demand to pick up over the next few months as Apple's AI features become more robust and expects the company to sell 80 million iPhone units during the holiday season.Mohan is encouraged by a slightly higher average selling price for iPhones as consumers overwhelmingly continue to gravitate towards the more expensive Pro models.Bank of America rates Apple at "Buy" with a $256 price target.<h3 id="401e4f18-6633-40cf-afc8-ee3bb450bbd5">JPMorgan: Expect a beat on results but a miss on guidance</h3>JPMorgan expects Apple to report a strong fourth-quarter earnings report that will likely beat revenue and profit estimates but that it will also disappoint with weaker-than-expected guidance for the holiday quarter."Sell-through for iPhone 16 series started off slower than iPhone 15, and while momentum has improved in recent weeks, the magnitude of the improvement is still putting volumes modestly below last year," <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/jpm-stock">JPMorgan</a> analyst Samik Chatterjee said in a Monday note.Like many analysts on Wall Street, Chatterjee is looking for evidence that AI features will drive a bump in iPhone sales.JPMorgan rates Apple at "Overweight" with a $265 price target.<h3 id="8cc56af8-9576-4342-a49a-9c505626a6a6">Wedbush: Apple will be a $4 trillion company next year</h3>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives isn't budging from him bullish view on Apple heading into the company's financial results. He argues that the iPhone is on the verge of a supercycle as consumers upgrade their phones to get access to Apple Intelligence features."We expect a strong iPhone performance for the September quarter and expect a relatively bullish December iPhone demand commentary from Cook &amp; Co. despite many of the bears recently yelling fire in a crowded theater on the strength of iPhone 16 sales," Ives said in a note on Sunday.Ives says that bearish views on Apple fail to appreciate its installed base of 1.5 billion iPhones that will eventually need to be replaced, as well as the growing Services business that helps monetize the massive user base, and the potential for Apple to be the gatekeeper of AI technologies to a large group of people.Wedbush rates Apple at "Outperform" with a $300 price target.<h3 id="e4503694-e0ad-46c2-9f27-9244aa504759">Goldman Sachs: 'We see upside to consensus'</h3>Goldman Sachs said it sees "upside to consensus revenue and EPS driven by outperformance in iPhone and Services" in a note last week.Goldman analyst Michael Ng expects the company to report $1.61 in earnings per share and $94.5 billion in revenue, which would represent year-over-year growth of 6%.Like other analysts, Ng is focused on the impact of AI and all of the software features Apple is set to release in the next few months."Although Apple Intelligence has yet to be a demand driver, we're encouraged by the rollout of Apple Intelligence features with iOS 18.1 (Week of October 28, includes Writing Tools, notification summaries, Clean Up in Photos), iOS 18.2 (currently in beta for est. December release, includes Genmoji, Image Playground, ChatGPT), and iOS 18.4 (est. March 2025 release, more advanced Siri, personalization, on-screen awareness)," Ng said.<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/gs-stock">Goldman Sachs</a> rates Apple at "Buy" with a $275 price target.

Wall Street is eager to see some sign that AI is driving iPhone demand in Apple's latest earnings report

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Netflix's stock soared over 11% to close at a record high of $763.89 on Friday. </li><li>The surge comes after the streaming giant reported another strong quarter and issued positive guidance.</li></ul>Investors poured into Netflix shares on Friday, sending the stock to record highs after the streaming giant's solid third-quarter earnings report. The stock closed at $763.89, finishing the day higher by 11%. The surge came after Netflix reported a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/netflix-new-subscriber-numbers-beat-expectations-2024-10">strong earnings beat</a> and gave positive forward guidance that gave investors confidence about its position in the streaming wars. Netflix's quarterly revenue came in at $9.83 billion, slightly above a Bloomberg consensus estimate of $9.78 billion, while new subscribers also beat estimates, totaling 5.07 million, outpacing expectations of 4.5 million.That growth is a sign that Netflix's push to crack down on password sharing is still drawing new subscription sign-ups, even as analysts <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/netflix-questions-from-wall-street-growth-ads-future-earnings-2024-10">questioned that possibility</a> ahead of earnings.The platform's new ad-supported membership tier, in particular, saw huge growth, soaring 35% from the second quarter and accounting for over half of signups in countries where it's currently available.The streaming giant also gave strong forward guidance, with expectations for fourth-quarter revenue to surge 14.7% to $10.13 billion and next year's revenue to come in between $43 billion to $44 billion. That revenue estimate is upwards of 11% growth from this year's revenue expectations of $38.9 billion.Several analysts upped their price targets following the earnings report.UBS raised its price target for the stock from $750 to $825, citing future revenue growth and the company's balance between expansion and investment in ads, gaming, and live content.Bank of America analysts also see multiple drivers into next year, and upped their price objective from $740 to $800."In our view, Netflix remains one of the best positioned companies within media and has several growth drivers," the analysts said in a Friday note. "Supported by its world-class brand, leading global subscriber base, position as an innovator and increased visibility in growth drivers, we believe that Netflix should continue to outperform," they added.Morgan Stanley analysts bumped their already-bullish view on the stock up to $830 from $820, citing the potential to raise earnings by 20%-30% over time with strong prospects in gaming, live content, and advertising.Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne said the latest earnings reinforce the firm's bullish price target of $1,050 for the stock, which implies over 37% upside from the current price.He said Netflix's latest earnings and free cash flow set it apart from the competition in the increasingly fierce streaming wars. "They're going to generate about $50 billion of free cash flow over the next four years. That gives them tremendous ability to invest back in the business at levels that really, frankly, their media competitors can't," Swinburne said in a Friday interview with CNBC.

Netflix closes at all-time highs after reporting solid earnings beat and strong guidance

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Apple is set to report fiscal fourth-quarter earnings results after the market close on Wednesday.</li><li>Wall Street anticipates $94.36 billion in revenue and adjusted earnings per share of $1.60.</li></ul>All eyes are on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/AAPL-stock">Apple</a>, the world's largest company by market value, as it prepares to report its fiscal fourth-quarter results after the market closes on Wednesday.The quarter, which ended September 30, will encapsulate two weeks of Apple's iPhone 16 lineup sales.The stock was trading at $230.40 at 1:50 p.m. ET, down by about 1.4%. Here's what Wall Street expects Apple to report for its fiscal fourth-quarter, according to Bloomberg data:<ul><li>Revenue: $94.36 billion</li><li>Adjusted earnings per share: $1.60</li></ul>Wall Street will largely be looking to the company's guidance for the upcoming holiday months, which has historically represented Apple's strongest quarter.Top of mind for analysts who cover the stock is whether Apple's AI efforts will pay off and fuel demand for the iPhone 16, or if consumers are taking a wait-and-see approach.The company <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/apple-intelligence-features-tested-on-iphone-16-pro-max-2024-10">released its first round of "Apple Intelligence" features</a> this week, about six weeks after the release of the iPhone 16. Meanwhile, Apple's core AI features aren't expected to be released for the iPhone until early next year.Here's what Wall Street is looking for in Apple's upcoming earnings report.<h3 id="ed1099ce-654e-4938-929c-540867493d06">Bank of America: 'Look past the iPhone 16 noise'</h3>With some <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/apple-stock-price-tumbles-analyst-says-iphone-16-orders-slashed-2024-10">conflicting views on Wall Street</a> about iPhone 16 demand in recent weeks, Bank of America said investors should "look past the iPhone 16 noise to impact of Apple Intelligence.""Contrary to every cycle where all the hardware/software functionality is more or less static through the course of the cycle, we view the cycle as more dynamic with more material software updates that increases the value to the user," <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/bac-stock">Bank of America</a> analyst Wasmi Mohan said in a note last week.Mohan said iPhone demand to pick up over the next few months as Apple's AI features become more robust and expects the company to sell 80 million iPhone units during the holiday season.Mohan is encouraged by a slightly higher average selling price for iPhones as consumers overwhelmingly continue to gravitate towards the more expensive Pro models.Bank of America rates Apple at "Buy" with a $256 price target.<h3 id="401e4f18-6633-40cf-afc8-ee3bb450bbd5">JPMorgan: Expect a beat on results but a miss on guidance</h3>JPMorgan expects Apple to report a strong fourth-quarter earnings report that will likely beat revenue and profit estimates but that it will also disappoint with weaker-than-expected guidance for the holiday quarter."Sell-through for iPhone 16 series started off slower than iPhone 15, and while momentum has improved in recent weeks, the magnitude of the improvement is still putting volumes modestly below last year," <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/jpm-stock">JPMorgan</a> analyst Samik Chatterjee said in a Monday note.Like many analysts on Wall Street, Chatterjee is looking for evidence that AI features will drive a bump in iPhone sales.JPMorgan rates Apple at "Overweight" with a $265 price target.<h3 id="8cc56af8-9576-4342-a49a-9c505626a6a6">Wedbush: Apple will be a $4 trillion company next year</h3>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives isn't budging from him bullish view on Apple heading into the company's financial results. He argues that the iPhone is on the verge of a supercycle as consumers upgrade their phones to get access to Apple Intelligence features."We expect a strong iPhone performance for the September quarter and expect a relatively bullish December iPhone demand commentary from Cook &amp; Co. despite many of the bears recently yelling fire in a crowded theater on the strength of iPhone 16 sales," Ives said in a note on Sunday.Ives says that bearish views on Apple fail to appreciate its installed base of 1.5 billion iPhones that will eventually need to be replaced, as well as the growing Services business that helps monetize the massive user base, and the potential for Apple to be the gatekeeper of AI technologies to a large group of people.Wedbush rates Apple at "Outperform" with a $300 price target.<h3 id="e4503694-e0ad-46c2-9f27-9244aa504759">Goldman Sachs: 'We see upside to consensus'</h3>Goldman Sachs said it sees "upside to consensus revenue and EPS driven by outperformance in iPhone and Services" in a note last week.Goldman analyst Michael Ng expects the company to report $1.61 in earnings per share and $94.5 billion in revenue, which would represent year-over-year growth of 6%.Like other analysts, Ng is focused on the impact of AI and all of the software features Apple is set to release in the next few months."Although Apple Intelligence has yet to be a demand driver, we're encouraged by the rollout of Apple Intelligence features with iOS 18.1 (Week of October 28, includes Writing Tools, notification summaries, Clean Up in Photos), iOS 18.2 (currently in beta for est. December release, includes Genmoji, Image Playground, ChatGPT), and iOS 18.4 (est. March 2025 release, more advanced Siri, personalization, on-screen awareness)," Ng said.<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/gs-stock">Goldman Sachs</a> rates Apple at "Buy" with a $275 price target.

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks were mostly higher on Friday amid a string of solid third-quarter earnings reports.</li><li>Netflix and Intuitive Surgical beat Wall Street estimates, boosting their stock prices to new record highs.</li></ul>US stocks traded higher on Friday, with all three major averages at or near record highs as investors digested third-quarter earnings results.Netflix's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/netflix-profit-cash-burn-debt-turnaround-2024-10">third-quarter earnings report was strong.</a> It added 5.1 million subscribers and beat Wall Street's revenue and profit estimates. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/nflx-stock">Netflix</a> stock jumped about 7% in Friday morning trades to near-record highs.<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/isrg-stock">Intuitive Surgical</a> also reported solid third-quarter earnings that beat Wall Street estimates for revenues and profits. That stock also jumped about 7% in Friday morning trades to a record high.With 13% of <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> companies having already reported third-quarter earnings, 82% are beating profit estimates by a median of 6%, while 67% are beating revenue estimates by a median of 2%, according to data from Fundstrat.Investors are also digesting new data on the housing market, with housing starts in September hitting 1.35 million, down slightly from August's 1.36 million number. Additionally, building permits dropped to 1.45 million in September from 1.48 million in August.Looking ahead to next week, investors will be eyeing the release of September's US leading economic indicators index, data on existing home sales, and consumer sentiment.Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Friday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,851.46, up 0.17% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 43,083.60, down 0.36% (-155.45 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,484.21, up 0.64%</li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/bitcoin-price-soars-crypto-president-donald-trumps-election-betting-odds-2024-10">Bitcoin is on a tear as 'crypto president' Donald Trump's betting-market odds climb.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/oil-price-prediction-brent-crude-israel-iran-opec-demand-citi-2024-10">Oil prices could soar 62% by early 2025 if the geopolitical situation deteriorates, Citi said.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stanley-druckenmiller-nvidia-stock-price-why-sell-nvda-ai-infrastructure-2024-10">Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller said he regrets selling his entire stake in Nvidia and is looking to buy it back.</a></li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil was down 1.54% to $69.01 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was lower by 1.45% to $73.37 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> was higher by 0.55% to $2,722.30 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield was lower by one basis point at 4.08%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> was higher by 0.67% to $67,861.</li></ul>

Stock market today: Indexes trade near record highs after a string of solid earnings reports

<ul class="summary-list"><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/renting-airbnb-not-passive-wont-do-it-again-2024-7">Airbnb</a> reported earnings after the market closed on Thursday.</li><li>CEO Brian Chesky pointed to multiple growth areas for the company.</li></ul><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/category/airbnb">Airbnb</a>'s third-quarter earnings report showed that the company keeps growing — and that 2025 will be the year it breaks into a new business.The short-term rental platform grew revenue and bookings during the quarter that ended September 30, it said after the stock market closed on Thursday. Executives said they're lining up long-term growth with its co-host program and an expansion beyond accommodations.Here are the highlights from the earnings report:<h2 id="06331326-417d-467b-843c-62561752f50c">Airbnb's third-quarter revenue grew despite a slow start</h2>Airbnb's revenue for the quarter rose 10% to $3.73 billion. Analysts surveyed by Reuters expected revenue of $3.72 billion. Earnings per share of $2.13 missed analysts' estimates of $2.14.Nights and experiences booked jumped 8% to 122.8 million from the same period in 2023. Bookings were slow early in the quarter but picked up later, CEO Brian Chesky said on Thursday's earnings call.Shares of Airbnb were 4% lower at $141.55 in after-hours trading on Thursday.<h2 id="8864efa4-c78c-476c-a7cc-e3f4be22aebc">Airbnb wants to get more people to list properties using co-hosts</h2>In October, Airbnb started offering its hosts <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://news.airbnb.com/airbnb-2024-winter-release/">co-hosts</a>, or people who can help manage a property that's listed on Airbnb. The company launched its co-host network with about 10,000 people signed up for the role in 10 countries, Chesky said on the call.The goal, as Chesky said, is to make hosting on Airbnb less of a burden — and attract more hosts and properties to the platform. While many people are interested in listing their properties on Airbnb, many don't want to spend the time managing the property, the CEO said."That's why we asked ourselves, what if we could match people with homes that don't have time with people that have extra time but don't have homes?" Chesky said."Not only would this unlock more supply, I think in the coming years, this can unlock millions of listings," Chesky added.<h2 id="d263d6c5-cd68-4ad1-85bb-a25ad5cbd34c">Airbnb has plans for an AI chat assistant that will be able to cancel and rebook reservations for you</h2>Airbnb is rolling out an AI chat agent that can answer basic questions, Chesky said on Thursday's call. But the company sees opportunities for AI to do a lot more, he said.Chesky said that future versions of the chat agent will offer personalized options based on users' bookings. The result: An AI assistant that can see your upcoming reservation and cancel or rebook it for you.Eventually, the AI assistant could take care of most customer queries instead of traditional customer support agents, Chesky said. "We think, in the future, the vast majority of our chats are going to be intercepted and handled directly by the AI agent," Chesky said.<h2 id="7cf99a7d-08d7-4282-8d44-895e3d03acb0">Airbnb is planning to expand beyond short-term rentals next year</h2>Airbnb said in its press release that it will break into a new business next year, though the company didn't offer many details on Thursday."We'll remain focused on accelerating growth while preparing for Airbnb's next chapter, which will take us beyond accommodations," the press release read. "You'll see more on this next year."On the call, Chesky said that Airbnb's expansion would start "with the nearest adjacencies around travel" before going "far beyond travel" over the next decade. He declined to say exactly what Airbnb's plans are.Chesky compared the expansion to Amazon growing beyond its bookselling business by adding CDs, DVDs, and other consumer products in the late 1990s."What I expect is, every year now for the coming years, we will launch one-to-two new businesses that will generate a billion dollars or more of revenue incrementally a year," he said.Axel Springer, Insider Inc.'s parent company, is an investor in Airbnb.

The 4 most interesting things from Airbnb's earnings

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Alphabet, Google's parent company, reported its third-quarter earnings on Tuesday.</li><li>The company delivered beats on revenue, EPS, its advertising business, and Google Cloud revenue, which grew 35% year over year.</li></ul><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/google">Google's</a> parent company, Alphabet, released better-than-expected earnings results for the third quarter after the closing bell on Tuesday.Revenue from Google Cloud grew 35% year over year to $11.4 billion, bolstered by "accelerated growth" in the company's AI products, the company said.Here are the key numbers for the third quarter compared to analysts' expectations:<ul><li>Earnings per share: $2.12 vs. $1.83 expected</li><li>Revenue: $88.27 billion vs. $86.44 billion expected</li><li>Google Advertising: $65.9 billion vs. $65.5 billion</li><li>YouTube advertising revenue: $8.92 billion vs. $8.89 billion expected</li><li>Google Cloud revenue: $11.35 billion vs. $10.79 billion expected </li></ul>Source for analyst expectations: Bloomberg Alphabet and Google CEO Sundar Pichai said in the earnings release that "YouTube's total ads and subscription revenues surpassed $50 billion over the past four quarters for the first time.""Our commitment to innovation, as well as our long-term focus and investment in AI, are paying off with consumers and partners benefiting from our AI tools," he added. "We generated strong revenue growth in the quarter, and our ongoing efforts to improve efficiency helped deliver improved margins."The search giant's earnings arrived less than three months after a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/google-violated-antitrust-law-to-keep-search-monopoly-judge-rules-2024-8">federal judge ruled the company violated antitrust law</a> by illegally maintaining a search monopoly. Its multibillion-dollar-a-year search deal with Apple and other paid partnerships came under the microscope. A potential breakup hangs over the company's head, and a protracted legal fight is expected.The company in October also announced a major reorganization amid its growing AI efforts, moving the Gemini app team under the Google DeepMind team led by Demis Hassabis.Ahead of a 4:30 p.m. ET earnings call with analysts, Wall Street analysts are looking for updates on the company's massive AI investments, advertising business, subscriptions like YouTube TV and Premium, and how its popular search product is doing against increasing competition from AI startups like OpenAI and Perplexity."Google felt the heat from legal pressure this quarter," said Evelyn Mitchell-Wolf, an analyst at Emarketer, a sister company to Business Insider. "A federal judge ruled Google operates illegal monopolies in search; Google defended itself in court for another antitrust case against its ad tech business; and the clock is ticking on Google's temporary administrative stay for the remedies delivered in yet another antitrust case concerning its Play Store. But none of these will affect Google's earnings yet."This post is developing…

Google delivers a big earnings beat

<ul class="summary-list"><li>This post originally appeared in the Insider Today newsletter.</li></ul>Good morning. Memorials are being <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/middle-east-israel-iran-lebanon-high-alert-october-anniversary-attacks-2024-10">held across Israel today</a> to mark the one year anniversary of the October 7 terror attacks.In today's newsletter, earnings season is upon us. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-q3-earnings-preview-investors-themes-ai-interest-rates-2024-10">Here's what to look out for</a>.What's on deck:<ul><li>Markets: The 49 fintech startups worth keeping an eye on, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/49-most-promising-fintech-startups-according-top-vc-investors-2024">according to VCs</a>.</li><li>Tech: Amazon's Prime Day kicks off tomorrow, and there are some deals on <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-october-prime-day-sale-includes-unusual-holiday-items-2024-10">surprising items</a>.</li><li>Business: Activist investor Starboard has informed Pfizer it has <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/starboard-activist-significant-stake-in-drugmaker-pfizer-2024-10">taken a significant stake</a>.</li></ul>But first, let's double-click on that for a second.If this was forwarded to you, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/subscription/newsletter/insider-today">sign up here.</a><h3 id="7fa5f018-5b05-4a37-a8dc-d3f89138bcb3">The big story</h3><h2 id="5fd547b9-ec52-41fc-8e08-4f4b27dd8097">EBITDA for everybody</h2><div type="image" title="trader at desk" height="1500" width="3000" msid="114018838" hostid="261" sizebytes="186350"></div>It's beginning to look a lot like earnings season.The numbers are being crunched and talking points prepared as companies get ready to report their financials and discuss expectations for the final stretch of 2024.Business Insider's Matthew Fox has a rundown of the <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-q3-earnings-preview-investors-themes-ai-interest-rates-2024-10">biggest themes investors are watching this earnings season</a>.This crop of earnings is particularly important. It follows the first interest-rate cut in more than four years as the economy is on the cusp of nailing its soft landing. Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 500 gained 5% in the third quarter while trading near record highs.That translates into big expectations from investors, with Wall Street analysts looking for the S&amp;P 500 to see year-over-year earnings growth of 4.6%.Luckily for us, we'll get a sense of where things are headed early on. Big banks begin reporting at the end of the week, with JPMorgan and Wells Fargo kicking things off. The sector can act as a proxy for the wider market, with its insight into the health of consumers and corporations.But the true test will come in a few weeks when Big Tech reports, offering another update on how its massive bets on AI are paying off (or not at all).<div type="image" title="Jerome Powell Photo illustration" height="600" width="1200" msid="114018843" hostid="261" sizebytes="29880"></div>We've already got one indication companies are in good shape: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/september-jobs-report-unemployment-rate-nonfarm-payroll-growth-federal-reserve-2024-10">Friday's blockbuster jobs report</a>.The US economy added 254,000 jobs in September (the consensus forecast was 147,000), and unemployment dropped to 4.1% (estimates were it would stay at 4.2%).Considering the jobs market is the top priority of the Fed now that inflation is under control, that's good news … sort of.If you were banking on another jumbo rate cut next month, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/september-jobs-report-fed-rate-cut-outlook-november-labor-market-2024-10">those hopes have been dashed</a>. (One firm thinks there's still a chance, pointing to a low response rate on the survey that <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/september-jobs-payroll-report-fed-rate-cut-outlook-labor-market-2024-10">could lead to a revision down</a>.)Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Boston Consulting Group's global chief economist, told me he expects the Fed to stick with the standard 25-basis-point cuts.But another blowout report — 250,000 jobs added and at least 4% wage growth — could lead the Fed to reconsider its easing policy."Just wait and see how this is going. This is so strong. There's no need to cut. We need to restrain the economy a little. Let's just pull back on the pace," he said.<h3 id="77f31a4c-8462-4e3d-a71f-838cb79493fb">News brief</h3><h2 id="1fcd294b-3f53-425f-9f20-4093e8623b59">Top headlines</h2><ul><li>Elon Musk <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-donald-trump-rally-butler-pennsylvania-assassination-attempt-2024-10">speaks at Donald Trump's rally</a> in Pennsylvania.</li><li>'Trump is going to win': Latino voters explain <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/texas-latinos-shifting-right-trump-harris-gop-democrats-starr-county-2024-10">why they're moving to the right</a>.</li><li>Kamala Harris' tax plan for small businesses sounds like it will cost a lot of money. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/harris-tax-deduction-plan-small-business-startup-cost-2024-10">It won't</a>.</li><li>Jamie Dimon: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/jamie-dimon-denies-donald-trump-claim-endorse-2024-10">No, I haven't endorsed Donald Trump</a>.</li></ul><h2 id="8120060b-ae66-48dc-b149-f0489a30ffa2">3 things in markets</h2><div type="image" title="divorced elderly couple collaged with money and scribbles" height="900" width="1200" msid="114018835" hostid="261" sizebytes="221900"></div><ol><li>A major curveball in retirement preparedness. Divorce can derail the best-laid retirement plans, particularly for baby boomers (especially older women). <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/divorced-boomers-lower-retirement-savings-401ks-social-security-income-2024-10">An analysis by BI shows</a> divorcees often have lower incomes and savings than married people.</li><li>The future of fintech. More than two dozen VCs nominated <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/49-most-promising-fintech-startups-according-top-vc-investors-2024">49 fintechs they believe are on the rise</a>. The startups, which haven't raised beyond a Series C, are focused on everything from AI (of course) to disrupting the insurance and healthcare industries.</li><li>More bad news for Trump Media. The No. 2 executive at former President Donald Trump's social media company resigned last week, with one report alleging his exit is tied to a whistleblower complaint. That follows a major shareholder selling their stake. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-truth-social-resignation-whistleblower-propublica-2024-10">But don't expect shares to crater</a>.</li></ol><h2 id="f4b54806-7f81-450c-ba32-92560d4fae9b">3 things in tech</h2><div type="image" title="Shopping bags with the Amazon logo in front of an orange grid background" height="1000" width="2000" msid="114018840" hostid="261" sizebytes="82008"></div><ol><li>Amazon Prime Day may look a little different this year. In addition to the usual Prime Day gadgets, like TVs and Airpods, Amazon is dishing out deals on tents, pocket knives, and chainsaws. It's a way for Amazon to market those items, typically sold at steep end-of-season discounts, as <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-october-prime-day-sale-includes-unusual-holiday-items-2024-10">early holiday deals</a>.</li><li>Microsoft told customers it lost log data for key security products. According to an update viewed by BI, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/microsoft-tells-customers-it-lost-log-data-key-security-products-2024-10">a software bug caused inconsistent collection of log data</a> for several important cloud services. Affected products included Microsoft Entra and Sentinel, though there's no evidence of cyberattacks stemming from the incident.</li><li>Hard times a-falling on the influencer middle class. Marketers are turning away from the small-time creators and micro influencers in favor of big stars and celebrities, a new survey found. It's a tough draw for those with less than 500,000 followers; the survey found more and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/micro-influencer-campaigns-decline-marketers-turn-to-big-stars-2024-10">more deals are going to those with audiences of millions</a>.</li></ol><h2 id="9260fa45-d397-4b3c-b4f8-4bb193976216">3 things in business</h2><div type="image" title="A man sits at a bar while being surrounded by dogs." height="1000" width="2000" msid="114018845" hostid="261" sizebytes="76756"></div><ol><li>It's not just you. Dogs are everywhere. Fewer adults may be having children, but that's not the case for pet ownership. Americans are spending more time and money on their "fur babies" — and public spaces are becoming more welcome to dogs. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/rise-of-dogs-and-childless-adults-shaping-real-estate-urban-amenities-2024-10">It might be the new normal</a>.</li><li>Starboard Value has its next target: pharma giant Pfizer. The activist investor has informed Pfizer that it has <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/starboard-activist-significant-stake-in-drugmaker-pfizer-2024-10">taken a significant stake in the drugmaker</a>, people familiar with the matter told BI. It comes after Pfizer's stock dropped significantly since it reached record highs in 2021 during the rollout of its COVID-19 vaccine.</li><li>The great stuff transfer. Baby boomers are starting to pass their wealth to younger generations, but it doesn't end there. They're also handing down their decades-old collection of prized possessions and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/millennial-gen-x-boomer-inheritance-stuff-house-collectibles-2024-10">leaving Gen Xers, millennials, and Gen Zers to deal with the mess</a>.</li></ol><h2 id="1ad7b482-3f4b-44b4-81b6-a864aa386478">In other news</h2><ul><li>Tim Tully taught himself to code at age 6 and still codes daily. Here's how computer science <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/menlo-ventures-partner-tim-tully-invests-in-generative-ai-startups-2024-10">took him from startups to AI investing at Menlo Ventures</a>.</li><li>There are 3 signs that generative AI might be reaching peak market froth — <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/generative-ai-market-froth-openai-cerebras-meta-2024-10">and it's not just OpenAI</a>.</li><li>China's stimulus won't fix its economy, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-stimulus-wont-fix-economy-xi-jinping-isnt-done-yet-2024-10">but Beijing isn't done yet</a>.</li><li>Why so many entry-level jobs <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/entry-level-jobs-tech-roles-require-years-of-experience-2024-10">aren't entry-level.</a></li></ul><h2 id="9f5d80ac-3466-429f-a50a-2ffbb70c65ff">What's happening today</h2><ul><li>Kamala Harris' "60 Minutes" interview airs on CBS at 8 p.m. EDT.</li><li>ASEAN summit continues in Vientiane, Laos.</li></ul>The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, deputy editor and anchor, in New York. Jordan Parker Erb, editor, in New York. Hallam Bullock, senior editor, in London. Grace Lett, editor, in Chicago. Amanda Yen, fellow, in New York. Milan Sehmbi, fellow, in London.

Earnings season kicks off after a blowout jobs report upended investors' hopes of another interest-rate cut

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks slumped as traders eyed Nvidia's second-quarter financials.</li><li>Wall Street is expecting the chipmaker to report over $28 billion in revenue.</li></ul>US stocks closed lower on Wednesday as traders waited eagerly for Nvidia's latest quarterly earnings results.All three benchmark indexes ended with a loss, while bond yields inched higher.Investors are laser-focused on Nvidia, which will report its earnings for the second quarter after the closing bell. (<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-earnings-call-live-updates-nvda-stock-2024-8">Follow along for live updates here</a>.)Wall Street expects the firm to have generated over $28 billion in revenue last quarter, but given Nvidia's massive valuation and endless hype around artificial intelligence, even a slight miss could fuel a big swing in the stock."The company…is expected to double its sales compared with last year. It is difficult to beat such expectations, but giving an optimistic revenue forecast for future quarters and years without disappointing investors is even harder," Alex Kuptsikevich, a senior market analyst at FXPro, said in a note on Wednesday.Analysts have also struck a cautious tone around delays of Nvidia's key next-gen Blackwell chip, which could spark further volatility in the share price, they say.However, if the chip giant can beat estimates yet again, and also point to the ways in which its customers are making money from its AI hardware, Wall Street will likely fuel a fresh rally in the stock. Goldman Sachs this week said that options pricing ahead of the earnings were pointing to a potential $298 billion swing in the stock after the results.Traders are also eyeing more guidance from central bankers on Fed rate cuts this year, with Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic set to speak this evening. That could impact the market's ambitious rate cut expectations, given that investors are <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">pricing in 100 to 125 basis points worth of cuts</a> by the end of the year.Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Wednesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,592.21, down 0.6%</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 41,091.42, down 0.39% (-33.59 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 17,556.03, down 1.12%</li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-media-djt-stock-price-presidential-election-forecast-kamala-harris-2024-8">Trump Media shares fell below $20</a> for the first time since going public in March.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-selloff-recovery-economy-recession-volatility-jobs-sp500-dow-2024-8">The swift rebound in stocks</a> after this month's huge sell-off is a cause for concern, a Goldman strategist said.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-trump-harris-bullish-equities-deficit-dollar-strength-2024-8">The election is a win for stocks</a> no matter who comes out on top, NDR said.</li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/super-micro-computer-stock-plunges-delays-annual-10k-financial-filing-2024-8">Super Micro Computer plunged</a> after it delayed a key financial filing a day after a short-seller issued a scathing report on the company.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li>Oil futures were down.<a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price"> West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil dropped 1% to $74.74 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, fell 0.9% to $78.83.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> dipped 0.67% to $2,507.97 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield ticked higher one basis point to 3.844%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> dropped 4.51% to $59,346.</li></ul>

You Searched For "earning report" and got 12 results

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