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Imagine this. You have a younger sibling you’re mighty envious of. And why not? Unlike you, they seem to enjoy all the freedom and money in the world. They party like there’s no tomorrow, and here you are, stuck in a boring, ultra-disciplined but responsible routine that feels completely devoid of any independence, and mostly, funds. But of late, things are changing. This sibling is in massive trouble and just cannot escape the parent’s wrath anymore. Long story short, the party is over, and it is time to go back home. The rising defaults on this sibling’s part have now begun pulling the entire house down, thereby attracting the regulator’s ire. <h2>The Wild West of microfinance and unsecured loans</h2>It's hard to ignore the issues with microfinance and unsecured loans in India. Many saw them as a small gamble and ignored the rising defaults much like the younger siblings’ tantrums, and now they find themselves in hot waters. The skyrocketing instances of non-payments aren't a micro-issue anymore and are threatening the stability of the entire banking system. In the quarter ended September 30, 2024, 5 of India’s 8 largest private sector <keyword id="19934118" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="banks" source="keywords">banks</keyword> reported a steep rise in their bad loan book, mostly thanks to microfinance loans. Some banks, in a bid to strengthen their fortress against these <keyword id="142154" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="bad-loans" source="Orion">bad loans</keyword>, have significantly upped their provisions. For instance, <keyword id="46717" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="IndusInd-bank" source="Orion">IndusInd Bank</keyword> set aside Rs 525 crore during July and September 2024 to battle the menace of defaults on microfinance loans, which make up about 9% of its total loan book. See, banks rely heavily on their interest income, which they earn from advancing loans. Any loan where the borrower has not paid interest to the bank or defaulted for 90 days or more becomes bad, i.e., an <keyword id="79363" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="npa" source="Orion">NPA</keyword>, or non-performing asset for the bank. And who likes things going bad? Simply put, there has been a steep rise in three areas, much to the dislike of banks and MFIs (micro-finance institutions). But hey, it's mostly their doing! <ol><li>GNPA ratio (gross net performing assets): The quantum of non-performing assets a bank has in proportion to its total assets.</li><li>Provision: The amount banks set aside to take care of such NPAs.</li><li>Slippage ratio: The rate at which good girls go bad, or the speed at which good loans turn into NPAs</li></ol>But how are these plaguing the Indian banking sector? And what does the road ahead look like? We decode it for you. <h2> Microfinance: A not-so-micro-menace</h2>Microfinance loans were initially brought forth for low-income households and individuals, i.e. for those who might not generally have access to traditional ways of credit, like bank loans and more. They don’t require collateral or an asset to be pledged in lieu of the loan, making it a tad bit easier for borrowers. As of June 2024, the amount of outstanding loans in the microfinance industry stood at a staggering Rs 4,20,256 crore. Of this, NBFC-MFIs accounted for 40% and banks made for 33% of these. In 2022, <keyword id="30067" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="RBI" source="Orion">RBI</keyword>, in a bid to inspire some competition in this space, did something radical-they did away with the ceiling on how much interest MFIs could charge their customers. Previously, MFIs could add up to 12% to their cost of acquiring funds to determine the final interest rate chargeable to the consumer. So, assuming that Bank A incurs a 5% cost to acquire funds for further loaning, A could charge up to 17% interest from the end consumer. So, interest rates were in the hands of MFIs, and boy, did they have a gala time with it. Instead of spurring some healthy competition, as RBI expected, MFIs and banks went rogue and all guns blazing, competing for the title of “Who will charge the highest interest?” Recently, RBI banned 4 microfinance institutions (MFIs), namely Asirvad Micro Finance Limited, Arohan Financial Services Limited, DMI Finance Private Limited, and Navi Finserv, from disbursing loans effective October 21, 2024. Why? Because they were charging 14% extra interest over their original cost of funds. To maintain their loan books (and pockets), banks and NBFCs resorted to shady practices like netting off loans, which RBI has now advised MFIs against. Here, lenders allow borrowers to settle a previous outstanding loan by issuing them a new loan! As crazy as it sounds, it helped banks to report less of their total assets as NPAs, since the new credit would cover pending installments of the borrower’s previous loan. Then there was the issue of borrowers overleveraging, i.e. taking multiple loans using different IDs from various lenders and then failing to honor any of them. The consequence? Banks and NBFCs end up with massive NPAs. Data from credit bureaus suggests that over the last quarter, there was a 17.2% rise in the number of borrowers who had 5 or more active loans at the same time. <h2>Growth &gt; Caution</h2>It's an age-old tale unfolding yet again in India’s banking sector- Icarus flew too close to the sun and eventually, fell to its death. Between April and June 2024, NBFCs microfinance portfolio jumped by 2.7%. If you see this in terms of loan sources, microfinance loans issued by banks grew by 11.2% in Q1FY25. But the same portfolio in NBFCs swelled by almost double-23.9%. While most of these loans had an average ticket size between Rs 30,000-50,000, there was a sharp spike in the number of loans that had a ticket size of Rs 80,000 or more. Data suggests that as of March 2024, more than 12% of all microfinance borrowers had over 4 or more active loans. In dating parlance, this is a classic case of borrowers going polyamorous, minus the honesty and transparency. Not the best of situations, you'd agree! <h2>Will banks and NBFCs stand up to this stress?</h2>If their results for Q2FY25 are to be believed, NBFCs are not handling the pressure all that well. Or even slightly well. Only a few banks like Bank of Baroda (BoB), ICICI, and Indian Bank were up for the battle, even witnessing a decline in their loan delinquencies. Some others, like IndusInd Bank, saw their stock dip by a massive 16.2% over the last 5 days. Its slippages in the previous quarter burgeoned from Rs 15.3 billion in Q1FY25 to Rs 17.9 billion in Q2. As a result, the bank pushed a staggeringly high amount of money to create an NPA cushion for itself. While its management has highlighted its preference for secured lending, that was hardly reflected in its actions during the quarter, where growth in unsecured personal loans remained exceptionally high at over 7% on a QoQ basis. Turns out, only 44% of customers in IndusInd Banks’ microfinance loan portfolio were exclusive to it. The rest 47% were, you guessed it right-polyamorous! 27% had borrowed from another lender as well, apart from IndusInd Bank, while 20% were those who had outstanding loans with two other lenders, apart from IndusInd Bank. IndusInd Bank’s credit card segment did not miss the NPA bus and accounted for 7-8% of its GNPAs. Canara Bank’s total slippages during the previous quarter jumped to Rs 11.1 billion, up by 24.7% QoQ, and making up for 3.6% of its total loans. As for Bandhan Bank, its <keyword id="763994" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Gross-NPA" source="Orion">gross NPA</keyword> for Q2FY25 inched up on a QoQ basis, up from 4.23% in Q1, to 4.68% in the second quarter. <keyword id="62152" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="IDFC-bank" source="Orion">IDFC Bank</keyword>’s heavy provisioning for its NPAs marred its profits significantly, causing its PAT (profit after tax) to dip by 73% on a YoY basis. Data from ICRA Analytics suggest that the AUM (asset under management) growth in microfinance loans and unsecured (personal and business) loans by the NBFCs will moderate to 10-12% and 19-21%, respectively, in FY2025 compared to 30% and 38%, in FY2024. Says A M Karthik, Senior Vice President &amp; Co-Group Head, Financial Sector Ratings, ICRA, “As bank funds constitute a larger share in the overall funding of NBFCs, a slower credit flow from banks to the NBFCs will compress their AUM growth. The NBFCs in unsecured and digital lending businesses shall face a higher squeeze in funding compared to others, and the unsecured lending space will continue to be a source of stress in the near term.” There has been uninhibited growth in unsecured loans, apart from just the microfinance segment. For instance, Axis Bank’s gross slippages jumped by Rs 4,443 crore, largely thanks to its unsecured business. The same is the case with Yes Bank, which saw 35–40% of its retail slippages emerging from the unsecured loan portfolio. Kotak Mahindra Bank was also quick to follow Yes Bank’s suit, with around 35%-40% of its slippages coming from credit cards. <h2>How is the road ahead?</h2>While RBI has just cracked its whip and served a warning at the moment, experts at Morgan Stanley believe that more changes (read regulatory lashes) are underway. Moreover, with both festive and wedding seasons underway in our country, unsecured lending might pick up momentum, much to the disdain of the calibrated approach banks have been taking towards it so far. But if the situation doesn't improve, RBI will not waste any time in becoming the typical tyrannical Bollywood headmaster who runs his dominion with an iron fist and takes things (and ceiling rates) into their own hands. However, that's a story for another day.

Is the lending party over? The dangerous tango of Indian banks with microfinance and unsecured loans

<div type="image" title="The RBI has cracked the regulatory whip on NBFCs and banks, who&amp;#39;ve been pushing microfinance and unsecured loans aggressively to grow their loan books." agency="ANI" msid="114778648" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;The RBI has cracked the regulatory whip on NBFCs and banks, who&amp;#39;ve been pushing microfinance and unsecured loans aggressively to grow their loan books.&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> Imagine this. You have a younger sibling you’re mighty envious of. And why not? Unlike you, they seem to enjoy all the freedom and money in the world. They party like there’s no tomorrow, and here you are, stuck in a boring, ultra-disciplined but responsible routine that feels completely devoid of any independence, and mostly, funds. But of late, things are changing. This sibling is in massive trouble and just cannot escape the parent’s wrath anymore. Long story short, the party is over, and it is time to go back home. The rising defaults on this sibling’s part have now begun pulling the entire house down, thereby attracting the regulator’s ire. <h2>The Wild West of <keyword id="113684" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="microfinance" source="Orion">microfinance</keyword> and unsecured loans</h2>It's hard to ignore the issues with microfinance and unsecured loans in India. Many saw them as a small gamble and ignored the rising defaults much like the younger siblings’ tantrums, and now they find themselves in hot waters. The skyrocketing instances of non-payments aren't a micro-issue anymore and are threatening the stability of the entire banking system. In the quarter ended September 30, 2024, 5 of India’s 8 largest private sector <keyword id="19934118" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="banks" source="keywords">banks</keyword> reported a steep rise in their bad loan book, mostly thanks to microfinance loans. Some banks, in a bid to strengthen their fortress against these <keyword id="142154" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="bad-loans" source="Orion">bad loans</keyword>, have significantly upped their provisions. For instance, IndusInd Bank set aside Rs 525 crore during July and September 2024 to battle the menace of defaults on microfinance loans, which make up about 9% of its total loan book. See, banks rely heavily on their interest income, which they earn from advancing loans. Any loan where the borrower has not paid interest to the bank or defaulted for 90 days or more becomes bad, i.e. an NPA, or non-performing asset for the bank. And who likes things going bad? Simply put, there has been a steep rise in three areas, much to the dislike of banks and MFIs (micro-finance institutions). But hey, it's mostly their doing! <ol><li>GNPA ratio (gross net performing assets): The quantum of non-performing assets a bank has in proportion to its total assets.</li><li>Provision: The amount banks set aside to take care of such NPAs.</li><li>Slippage ratio: The rate at which good girls go bad, or the speed at which good loans turn into NPAs</li></ol>But how are these plaguing the Indian banking sector? And what does the road ahead look like? We decode it for you. <h2> Microfinance: A not-so-micro-menace</h2>Microfinance loans were initially brought forth for low-income households and individuals i.e. for those who might not generally have access to traditional ways of credit, like bank loans and more. They don’t require collateral or an asset to be pledged in lieu of the loan, making it a tad bit easier for borrowers. As of June 2024, the amount of outstanding loans in the microfinance industry stood at a staggering Rs 4,20,256 crore. Of this, NBFC-MFIs accounted for 40% and banks made for 33% of these. In 2022, RBI, in a bid to inspire some competition in this space, did something radical-they did away with the ceiling on how much interest MFIs could charge their customers. Previously, MFIs could add up to 12% to their cost of acquiring funds to determine the final interest rate chargeable to the consumer. So, assuming that Bank A incurs a 5% cost to acquire funds for further loaning, A could charge up to 17% interest from the end consumer. So, interest rates were in the hands of MFIs, and boy, did they have a gala time with it. Instead of spurring some healthy competition, as RBI expected, MFIs and banks went rogue and all guns blazing, competing for the title of “Who will charge the highest interest?” Recently, RBI banned 4 microfinance institutions (MFIs), namely Asirvad Micro Finance Limited, Arohan Financial Services Limited, DMI Finance Private Limited, and <keyword id="20117932" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="navi-finserv" source="keywords">Navi Finserv</keyword> from disbursing loans effective October 21, 2024. Why? Because they were charging 14% extra interest over their original cost of funds. To maintain their loan books (and pockets), banks and NBFCs resorted to shady practices like netting off loans, which RBI has now advised MFIs against. Here, lenders allow borrowers to settle a previous outstanding loan by issuing them a new loan! As crazy as it sounds, it helped banks to report less of their total assets as NPAs, since the new credit would cover pending instalments of the borrower’s previous loan. Then there was the issue of borrowers overleveraging, i.e. taking multiple loans using different IDs from various lenders and then failing to honour any of them. The consequence? Banks and NBFCs end up with massive NPAs. Data from credit bureaus suggests that over the last quarter, there was a 17.2% rise in the number of borrowers who had 5 or more active loans at the same time. <h2>Growth &gt; Caution</h2>It's an age-old tale unfolding yet again in India’s banking sector- Icarus flew too close to the sun and eventually, fell to its death. Between April and June 2024, NBFCs microfinance portfolio jumped by 2.7%. If you see this in terms of loan sources, microfinance loans issued by banks grew by 11.2% in Q1FY25. But the same portfolio in NBFCs swelled by almost double-23.9%. While most of these loans had an average ticket size between Rs 30,000-50,000, there was a sharp spike in the number of loans that had a ticket size of Rs 80,000 or more. Data suggests that as of March 2024, more than 12% of all microfinance borrowers had over 4 or more active loans. In dating parlance, this is a classic case of borrowers going polyamorous, minus the honesty and transparency. Not the best of situations, you'd agree! <h2>Will banks and NBFCs stand up to this stress?</h2>If their results for Q2FY25 are to be believed, NBFCs are not handling the pressure all that well. Or even slightly well. Only a few banks like Bank of Baroda (BoB), ICICI, and Indian Bank were up for the battle, even witnessing a decline in their loan delinquencies. Some others, like IndusInd Bank, saw their stock dip by a massive 16.2% over the last 5 days. Its slippages in the previous quarter burgeoned from Rs 15.3 billion in Q1FY25 to Rs 17.9 billion in Q2. As a result, the bank pushed a staggeringly high amount of money to create an NPA cushion for itself. While its management has highlighted its preference for secured lending, that was hardly reflected in its actions during the quarter, where growth in unsecured personal loans remained exceptionally high at over 7% on a QoQ basis. Turns out, only 44% of customers in IndusInd Banks’ microfinance loan portfolio were exclusive to it. The rest 47% were, you guessed it right-polyamorous! 27% had borrowed from another lender as well, apart from IndusInd Bank, while 20% were those who had outstanding loans with two other lenders, apart from IndusInd Bank. IndusInd Bank’s credit card segment did not miss the NPA bus and accounted for 7-8% of its GNPAs. Canara Bank’s total slippages during the previous quarter jumped to Rs 11.1 billion, up by 24.7% QoQ, and making up for 3.6% of its total loans. As for Bandhan Bank, its gross NPA for Q2FY25 inched up on a QoQ basis, up from 4.23% in Q1, to 4.68% in the second quarter. IDFC Bank’s heavy provisioning for its NPAs marred its profits significantly, causing its PAT (profit after tax) to dip by 73% on a YoY basis. Data from ICRA Analytics suggest that the AUM (asset under management) growth in microfinance loans and unsecured (personal and business) loans by the NBFCs will moderate to 10-12% and 19-21%, respectively, in FY2025 compared to 30% and 38%, in FY2024. Says A M Karthik, Senior Vice President &amp; Co-Group Head, Financial Sector Ratings, ICRA, “As bank funds constitute a larger share in the overall funding of NBFCs, a slower credit flow from banks to the NBFCs will compress their AUM growth. The NBFCs in unsecured and digital lending businesses shall face a higher squeeze in funding compared to others, and the unsecured lending space will continue to be a source of stress in the near term.” There has been uninhibited growth in <keyword id="6051027" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Unsecured-loan" source="Orion">unsecured loan</keyword>s, apart from just the microfinance segment. For instance, Axis Bank’s gross slippages jumped by Rs 4,443 crore, largely thanks to its unsecured business. The same is the case with Yes Bank, which saw 35–40% of its retail slippages emerging from the unsecured loan portfolio. <keyword id="6376194" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="kotak-mahindra" source="Orion">Kotak Mahindra</keyword> Bank was also quick to follow Yes Bank’s suit, with around 35%-40% of its slippages coming from credit cards. <h2>How is the road ahead?</h2>While RBI has just cracked its whip and served a warning at the moment, experts at Morgan Stanley believe that more changes (read regulatory lashes) are underway. Moreover, with both festive and wedding seasons underway in our country, unsecured lending might pick up momentum, much to the disdain of the calibrated approach banks have been taking towards it so far. But if the situation doesn't improve, RBI will not waste any time in becoming the typical tyrannical <keyword id="19897820" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="bollywood" source="keywords">Bollywood</keyword> headmaster who runs his dominion with an iron fist. However, that's a story for another day. Do you have a topic in mind you'd want a simpler explanation for, or insights or personal experience to share on personal finance and more? Contact us at businessinsider@timesinternet.in.

Simply Put: Is the lending party over? The dangerous tango of Indian banks with microfinance and unsecured loans

<ul><li>Bandhan Bank's profits fell by over 29% in the fourth quarter.</li><li>Its gross non-performing asset ratio showed improved from 1.93% in the last quarter to 1.48% between January to March.</li><li>Bandhan Bank's share price has showed marked improvement in the lockdown period but dipped by 1% before markets closed today.</li></ul>Bandhan Bank’s profits fell by over 29% in the fourth quarter even as its asset quality improved. With 3.92% more deposits in its kitty and gross non-performing assets falling to 1.48% from 1.93% in December. <div type="image" title="Bandhan net profit" msid="75695514" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Bandhan Bank&amp;#39;s net profits over the last year&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> One of India’s largest microfinance institutions share price had managed to recover by over 54% since the lockdown was announced on March 25. Today the stock closed in the red 1.65% below yesterday's closing after recuperating from a dip of nearly 4% around noon. <div type="image" title="Bandhan Bank share price" msid="75695393" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Bandhan Bank&amp;#39;s share price since the lockdown was announced&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> However, analysts are worried about India’s finance industry as the lockdown leaves any without a job — making it difficult for them to make payments on loans. <div type="image" title="Bandhan Bank Gross NPA (4)" msid="75695481" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Bandhan Bank&amp;#39;s gross NPA&amp;#39;s over the last year&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> Keeping that in mind, Bandhan Bank increased provision by ₹690 crore. “With this provision and additional Standard Assets provision that Bank is carrying in Micro banking portfolio total additional provision in books stands at ₹ 1000 crore,” it said in a statement. MD and CEO of Bandhan Bank Chandrasekhar Ghosh told <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/lockdown-bandhan-bank-sees-no-problem-in-loan-repayments/articleshow/75159931.cms">PTI</a> that repayments would not be an issue for the bank in April. Even though the recovery of loans stopped from March 23 — since bank personnel couldn’t physically go to collect the money due tot he lockdown — the borrowers’ businesses are continuing as usual. <table style="border-width: initial; border-style: none; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.6em; box-shadow: none; width: 468pt; font-family: Merriweather; table-layout: fixed; padding-bottom: 10px !important; background-image: inherit !important; background-position: inherit !important; background-size: inherit !important; background-repeat: inherit !important; background-attachment: inherit !important; background-origin: inherit !important; background-clip: inherit !important;"></colgroup><tbody><tr><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">Bandhan Bank </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">March 2020 </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">December 2019 </td></tr><tr><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">Net profit </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">₹ 51,728.53 lakh </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">₹ 73,103.33 lakh </td></tr><tr><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">Gross NPA % </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">1.48% </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">1.93% </td></tr><tr><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">Deposits </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">₹ 57,08,150.36 lakh </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">₹ 43,23,162.03 lakh </td></tr><tr><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">CASA Ratio </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">36.8% </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">34.3% </td></tr></tbody></table> The three month moratorium period on loan repayments by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will come to close on May 31, when the true impact of the coronavirus on bad loans will come to light. According to Ghosh, interest will be recovered irrespective of whether the bank’s customers opt for the moratorium or not. SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/indigo-share-price-jump-after-airline-denies-interest-in-virgin-australia/articleshow/75688856.cms">IndiGo shares take off after airline denies interest in Virgin Australia</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/finance/news/86-indian-consumers-are-worried-about-repaying-loans-after-moratorium-says-a-new-bcg-survey/articleshow/75687575.cms">86% Indian consumers are worried about repaying loans after moratorium, says a new BCG survey</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/asian-paints-share-price-falls-as-goldman-sachs-downgrades-stock/articleshow/75691813.cms">Asian Paints’ shareholders had a fear that Goldman Sachs just confirmed— Indians will not rush to do up their homes</a>

Bandhan Bank’s profits fall by 29% even though asset quality shows improvement

<ul><li>The private bank on the brink of collapse has been saved by the government who forced a bunch of peers to invest in Yes Bank.</li><li>Global investment bank Nomura, which suspended its rating on the bank, said that Yes Bank will remain on life support for a long time.</li><li>Yes Bank's capital levels are weak, there has already been a run on the deposits and it may get worse once the government removes the withdrawal limit on March 18, warns Nomura.</li><li>There are at least 3 broad reasons why people buying Yes Bank shares for a bargain may not gain in the long run.</li></ul>The private bank on the brink of collapse has been saved by the government, and the regulator Reserve Bank of India (RBI), who forced a bunch of its peers to invest in Yes Bank after limiting withdrawals by depositors. The share price of Yes Bank rebounded by over 45% on Monday (March 16) as bargain hunters lapped up the stock. Meanwhile, the RBI announced that the limit on withdrawing deposits will be lifted on March 18 at 6 pm. Governor Shaktikanta Das appealed to investors to avoid panic withdrawals. <div type="Youtube" id="YcdUt1RV2SQ" title="Governor's Press Conference" thumbUrl="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/YcdUt1RV2SQ/mqdefault.jpg"></div>

 However, global investment bank Nomura, which suspended its rating on the bank, said that Yes Bank will remain on life support for a long time citing at least three broad reasons for its call. 1. Operating performance significantly deteriorated 
	
	
	
 
 <div type="image" title="India Yes Bank" msid="74653652" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Depositors stand in queue for withdrawals outside Yes bank in Mumbai, India, Friday, March 6, 2020. Panicked depositors rushed to branches of a cash strapped private Yes Bank to withdraw money as the central bank placed it under a moratorium and superseded its board and it capped deposit withdrawals at rupees 50,000 (USD$ 705) per account for a month.Photo/Rajanish Kakade)&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div>











 Yes Bank reported an operational loss of ₹6.4 crore in the latest third quarter ended December 2019 after additional loans worth nearly ₹24,600 crore (over $3.3 billion) turned bad. Even before the RBI stopped withdrawals, many wary depositors had taken out their money ⁠— at least one in every five rupees deposited in the bank had been withdrawn between October and December 2019. There may be more withdrawals , further hurting the bank, once the RBI moratorium is lifted on March 18. 2. Asset quality deteriorated sharply 
	
	
 
 <div type="image" title="Mumbai: Yes Bank founder Rana Kapoor being taken to court for a hearing in conne..." msid="74653962" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Court has extended Yes Bank founder Rana Kapoor&amp;#39;s custody to March 20 in connection with money laundering charges, in Mumbai.Photo/Mitesh Bhuvad)&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div>









 Gross non-performing assets (NPA), simply put the bad loans, rose sharply to 18.9%. Again, one in every five rupees lent by the bank are unlikely to be repaid. The bank further projected another 5% of the loans may go from being 'stressed' to 'bad', which means it has to be written off. "While the bank did ramp up its provision cover to 73% but with balance-sheet size shrinking, the left-over book will remain highly toxic, making any recovery in profitability very difficult, in our view," Nomura said in report on Yes Bank on March 16. 3. Shareholders can't exit if things go awry The government's rescue plan that includes investments from peers like State Bank of India, ICICI Bank, HDFC Limited, and Axis Bank among others will reduce stake of existing shareholders. When shares are issued to new investors, the stake that existing shares represent fall. The amount of capital Yes Bank has, even after the rescue, is still very little— the tier-1 capital is at 7.6%. That means, it may need more investment in the future, and that would mean more stake dilution for the investors. <table style="width: 362pt;"> </colgroup> <tbody><tr> <td class="xl65" style="height:15.0pt;width:124pt">Bank </td> <td class="xl66" style="border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none; width: 139pt;">Investment in Yes Bank</td> <td class="xl67" style="border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none; width: 99pt;">Share price reaction</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="xl68" style="height: 15pt; border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none;">State Bank of India</td> <td class="xl63" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;">₹7,250 crore</td> <td class="xl69" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;">-7.71%</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="xl68" style="height: 15pt; border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none;">ICICI Bank</td> <td class="xl64" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;"> ₹1,000 crore</td> <td class="xl69" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;">-10.31%</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="xl68" style="height: 15pt; border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none;">HDFC</td> <td class="xl64" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;"> ₹1,000 crore</td> <td class="xl69" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;">-10.10%</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="xl68" style="height: 15pt; border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none;">Axis Bank</td> <td class="xl64" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;"> ₹600 crore</td> <td class="xl69" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;">-10.18%</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="xl68" style="height: 15pt; border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none;">Kotak Bank</td> <td class="xl63" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;">₹500 crore</td> <td class="xl69" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;">-6.13%</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="xl68" style="height: 15pt; border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none;">Federal Bank</td> <td class="xl64" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;"> ₹350 crore</td> <td class="xl69" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;">-8.10%</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="xl68" style="height: 15pt; border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none;">Bandhan Bank</td> <td class="xl63" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;">₹300 crore</td> <td class="xl69" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;">-13.91%</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="xl70" style="height: 15.75pt; border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none;">IDFC First Bank</td> <td class="xl71" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;"> ₹250 crore</td> <td class="xl72" style="border-top-width: initial; border-top-style: none; border-left-width: initial; border-left-style: none;">-11.60%</td> </tr></tbody></table> Making matters worse, investors holding over 100 shares of Yes Bank are locked in — 75% of shares held — for at least three years. If there is more dirt that is unveiled in the days to come, even if an investor doesn't have the appetite for that kind of risk, he will have bear the brunt of it. SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/fpis-institutional-investors-flag-concerns-over-yes-bank-trading-curbs-without-notice/articleshow/74651675.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Yes Bank's trading curbs baffle investors who were looking to gain from the sharp spike</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/thelife/news/yes-bank-founder-rana-kapoor-money-laundering-charges-international-hotels-and-bungalows-in-delhi/articleshow/74644767.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Rana Kapoor's hotels, bungalows, flats and paintings — everything that Yes Bank founder is suspected for buying with kickbacks</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/anil-ambani-questioned-by-ed-for-his-loans-from-trouble-laden-yes-bank/articleshow/74645330.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Anil Ambani questioned by ED for his loans from troubled YES Bank</a>

Yes Bank is damaged beyond repair, says Nomura while RBI tells depositors to keep calm

Mumbai, May 6 () Yes Bank on Wednesday reported a net profit of Rs 2,629 crore for the March quarter, helped by a massive gain of over Rs 6,200-crore arising out of a controversial write-off of bond investors' investment. If the one-off gain is excluded, then the bank, which was bailed out by a consortium-led by SBI in March, has a loss of Rs 3,668 crore in the latest quarter under review. The private sector lender had a loss of Rs 18,560 crore loss in the December quarter while the loss was at Rs 1,506 crore in the March 2019 quarter. The one-time gain is from the write off of Additional Tier-I bondholders' Rs 8,419 crore investment, according to a release. For the fiscal year 2019-20, Yes Bank reported a loss of Rs 16,481 crore, It had a profit of Rs 1,720 crore in the year-ago period. As part of the the bailout process, the AT-1 bond holders' investment was written-off citing existing rules which gave the new management of the bank a huge breather to get the operations out of the restrictions imposed by RBI and the government on March 5, and start functioning normally. The bank, which is now headed by SBI's former CFO Prshant Kumar, showed a marginal improvement in the gross non-performing assets ratio at 16.80 per cent in the March quarter as against 18.87 per cent in the three months ended December 2019. Its overall provisions came at Rs 4,832 crore and the money set aside for NPAs came down to Rs 1,100 crore in the latest March quarter. In the three months ended December 2019, the lender had NPA provisioning of Rs 22,328 crore. Net advances declined 29 per cent to Rs 1.71 lakh crore in the latest quarter under review compared to March 2019 quarter and nearly 8 per cent as against December 2019 quarter. Deposits at Yes Bank more than halved in the three months ended March compared to the year-ago period. The core net interest income rose 19.6 per cent sequentially to Rs 1,274 crore in the March quarter. Non-interest income grew 12.3 per cent to Rs 597 crore in the three months ended March compared to the same period a year ago, the release said. The bank said its strategic focus area of retail has shown resilience despite the lockdown and was one of the key contributors to the business performance during the March quarter. The overall capital adequacy of the bank stood at 8.5 per cent as of March 31 with the core Tier-I at 6.3 per cent. To avoid a possible collapse of Yes Bank, RBI had sacked its management and placed the lender under an administrator on March 5 with a 30-day moratorium, which was later on curtailed to nearly two weeks. The moratorium on the bank which restricted cash withdrawals limits to only Rs 50,000 was lifted after banking hours on March 18. On March 13, the government notified the rescue plan drafted by the RBI. As part of the 'Yes Bank Limited Reconstruction Scheme 2020', SBI and other investors made equity capital infusion to the tune of Rs 10,000 crore. Private lenders ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, IDFC First Bank, Bandhan Bank, Federal Bank and mortgage lender HDFC Ltd have also infused capital of over Rs 3,000 crore in cash-starved Yes Bank to keep it afloat. AA DP RAM

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