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<ul class="summary-list"><li>A new study shows 51.6% of US stocks since 1925 lost value over their lifetimes.</li><li>But there are steps one can take to mitigate risk, says Lance Roberts.</li></ul>It may come as a surprise that most stocks lose value over their lifetimes, given the long-term outperformance of major indexes like the S&amp;P 500.A <a target="_blank" href="https://download.ssrn.com/2024/10/1/4897069.pdf?response-content-disposition=inline&amp;X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjEC0aCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJHMEUCIQDN0qA7vH3iVQ7kMnZb4o9%2B6lcNFjaOmf49w%2Bw5bU5jTwIgcl%2BOpTpgkU0WOQS0sUYTeqH4vOVA8%2B8E6WE59iHcgnEqxgUIlv%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FARAEGgwzMDg0NzUzMDEyNTciDCv3AwTMvnly0NCcWyqaBSrLGbVPR%2FoKw54NV4LpS3q9DrkC7NW5xBeK2ftAprs7ZR3zweHEhwYokQZoeckyXVjOYsfI5OgW5X%2Bhoc1%2BXcM0CqhRVsDEfiBV4qaTawLsmCdPLxe25894Br3LsWasPrlqCZAH0%2BxqDk2kc9I8ll7kgw29%2Bmxqt0yMQeFb94WPydLAWP2stv7jD115u2xfyuzvMlKTlQ8n4q5ZgJrPTd0kZ6g17XIlXbj8IL%2BvVqr7whu15KdngyMNqBNVU9GkBTLR81ubC8l%2B%2FTW3xSxgv6BbMntgX35R6HQv2uOzghLnb1qbkEdKYJFV4R62Fte8CUaOCwctmVXfLasGnKnT5BSiEdYnOhZQbdlmUPn%2FAWZdQRjqL8wm0iDfuM4BtEY1z0ciIiJ4NY0j7oglRko3K4qqP40u1U6CaAH2DhQeFdhQKa439hGN9RDg9RBi3%2FJ3onq6CHpFJuwtPv8Yku5vVy6xtVdk3YQ96ByG3T1VmjbABE3GdTwdsUxl%2BQfCS3RY%2FjHUDhbCai6ISC224s0DqUFs8FScV5TgvzgtkV8H4DuKVmOiK5qPX7vYHRRhbwcuBjxYMYZQjiAoTTckr2YYAKBnKsROl%2FnNdm4G5ajKXDWMAg9Qr2lp7MOSOYS2HRoUq3WQM%2BqPFe5dvmhJAi0VdiglMOVr2nOKLlcJYslVEmVSPh1gsSwc%2FuGB3zqv4nMD9aF9yURFCH3D4hSVN7yxxfiICYhDa7ShR7zJrYlE3ynmdUq93rBo7BNZYUB9osihmSdmZ%2BmgMv7JbliHmQQ3%2BAcziK6rMzmyeIRnAvLRc2RBywKi0xELG%2BhdhhaHjhpIfp2om%2FUK0K40CScj8RPLooS%2BESjM7Um1N3VZOe6BAOYE5BLTmiyHG1QMezDZ9tq4BjqxATVtLNrOOHOYEAQZIosRIxp1zb2GclGkoEhSicOA%2BE%2BbO2hvslHnjd40DFltPtmBYF11Njs6G5hJhfO692AkL4qSuuMuHPv7kdkzrC8POj3h6JnqrPdWUkFqC%2F3UWvPe87E26USmQo59UWLnXFizN94H58Zcmu5wf9eSMFxKG4clIBMWdttM170wHE3yM%2FIChBmKC8unL1x%2BrW9N%2Fub9QEc8ltLUIq3rvQN8AOBHPZYX8A%3D%3D&amp;X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&amp;X-Amz-Date=20241021T213401Z&amp;X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&amp;X-Amz-Expires=300&amp;X-Amz-Credential=ASIAUPUUPRWEZRIUPSYY%2F20241021%2Fus-east-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&amp;X-Amz-Signature=1021ef908b230aa75cb64668700a9ac247e2301ab654cc87622c3e6185016a1c&amp;abstractId=4897069">recent paper</a> from Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder found that 51.6% of 29,078 US stocks since 1925 have lost value from when they were listed. The median return of those stocks was -7.4%.If you're an investor who likes to keep your money in individual stocks instead of an index fund, those might be scary statistics. But there are a few steps you can take to mitigate risk, according to RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, who discussed the paper in a recent note.To start — it's advice you hear time and again — make sure your money is diversified enough.Diversification comes in many forms. In addition to putting money into stocks, perhaps consider investing in bonds and real estate, Roberts said. You could also consider spreading your money across a number of different industries and sectors, instead of having your whole portfolio in, say, a few tech stocks. A simple way of doing that could also be putting money into an index fund.You can also set up stop-loss orders. This can be done in a brokerage account, and your position is sold if a share price falls to a certain point. There's also the trailing stop-loss order, Roberts said, which adjusts based on upward movements in a stock's price. So a 5% stop-loss limit, for example, moves up to correspond to a level 5% below a stock's rising price, but will never dip below the original stop-loss limit."This safeguard ensures that you are not solely reliant on timing the market, which, as we all know, is nearly impossible to do consistently," Roberts said.And third, take profits on gains. With Nvidia and other AI stocks delivering ungodly returns over the last couple of years, this piece of advice might be good for investors in those firms to hear. It can be tempting to stay fully in a stock that has treated you well. But doing so may also melt away the wealth you've built if the stock has a sudden turnaround, Roberts said."This is not an uncommon issue that I always see with clients and prospects," Roberts wrote. "Greed comes in three destructive forms: 1) the need to make more, 2) the lack of knowing when "enough is enough," and 3) the unwillingness to pay taxes."He suggested a strategy resembling something like taking half of your gains and buying safer assets like Treasurys, and said to keep in mind that paying taxes on capital gains can be cheaper than suffering losses."As investors, it's crucial to understand that market gains are never guaranteed and that the risks of overexposure can be devastating," Roberts said. If you're "riding the wave of massive market gains, ask yourself: Is now the time to take some chips off the table? Are your investments aligned with your long-term goals and risk tolerance?"

A new study shows most stocks have lost value in the last 100 years. Take these 3 steps to protect your portfolio.

<keyword id="20762025" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="silver-prices" source="keywords">Silver prices</keyword> have reached a significant milestone on Monday, touching Rs 1,00,000 on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) for the March contract. According to the experts, this surge is being driven by escalating <keyword id="19955176" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="geopolitical-tensions" source="keywords">geopolitical tensions</keyword> in the Middle East, actions by China, and uncertainties related to the upcoming U.S. elections. These global risks are pushing silver prices to fresh all-time highs, as investors seek <keyword id="21286754" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="safe-haven-assets" source="keywords">safe-haven assets</keyword> amidst the growing instability. "Silver prices have aligned with expectations, and we anticipate a potential rally towards the usd 40 mark in the next six months. <keyword id="23623786" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="MCX-March-contract" source="keywords">MCX March contract</keyword> silver tested Rs 1 lakh, as geopolitical tensions are expected to continue supporting its safe-haven appeal. Additionally, high ETF investments and China's economic support contribute to a positive outlook. With <keyword id="23623788" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="gold-silver-ratio" source="keywords">GOLD SILVER RATIO</keyword> dropping towards the 80 level, it is likely to outperform gold. We expect silver to reach Rs 1.3 lakh by March 2025" said Ajay Kedia, Director of <keyword id="23623787" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Kedia-Advisory" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Kedia Advisory" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Kedia Advisory">Kedia Advisory</keyword>. Silver remains strong in the market, with industrial demand expected to further boost prices. Analysts predict that silver could soon approach the USD 40 mark, as demand continues to rise. The metal plays a key role in industries such as electronics, solar energy, and manufacturing, making it highly sought after for both investment and practical purposes. In the commodity markets, contracts refer to agreements to buy or sell a specific quantity of a commodity at a predetermined price on a future date. These contracts are standardized and traded on exchanges like MCX. Traders use them to hedge against price fluctuations or to speculate on price movements. For instance, in the case of silver, the March contract represents an agreement to trade silver at a fixed price in March, allowing traders to lock in prices now to avoid future volatility. The ongoing geopolitical tensions and global risks are driving the prices of commodities like silver, as investors look for stability in uncertain times. The surge in silver prices reflects both the increasing demand for industrial use and its value as a safe-haven asset. With the global outlook remaining uncertain, silver could see further gains in the coming months.

Silver touches Rs 1 lakh mark on MCX march contract

<keyword id="19895995" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="HDFC-Bank" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="HDFC Bank" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="HDFC Bank">HDFC Bank</keyword> on Saturday posted a marginal 5 per cent increase in its standalone profit at Rs 16,821 crore in the second quarter ended September 2024. The country's biggest private sector lender had earned a <keyword id="19942166" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="net-profit" source="keywords">net profit</keyword> of Rs 15,976 crore in the same quarter a year ago. Total income increased to Rs 85,500 crore during the quarter under review against Rs 78,406 crore in the same period last year, HDFC Bank said in a regulatory filing. The bank reported <keyword id="20202322" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="interest-income" source="keywords">interest income</keyword> of Rs 74,017 crore during the quarter compared to Rs 67,698 crore in the same period a year ago. Net Interest Income (NII) improved to Rs 30,110 crore, from Rs 27,390 crore in the second quarter of previous year, registering a 10 per cent growth. As regards asset quality, the bank witnessed slight deterioration with gross <keyword id="19927319" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Non-Performing-Assets" source="keywords">Non-Performing Assets</keyword> (NPAs) rising to 1.36 per cent of the gross loans by the end of September 2024 from 1.34 per cent a year ago. Similarly, net NPAs or bad loans rose to 0.41 per cent from 0.35 per cent at the end of the second quarter of the previous fiscal. On a consolidated basis, the bank logged a growth of 6 per cent in net profit to Rs 17,826 crore as against Rs Rs 16,811 crore in Q2FY24. SEE ALSO:<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/personal-finance/news/best-credit-cards-for-online-shopping-in-india/articleshow/114354358.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/personal-finance/news/best-credit-cards-for-online-shopping-in-india/articleshow/114354358.cms" target="_blank">Best credit cards for online shopping this festive season</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/mobile/webstories/best-smartphones-under-25000-in-india-in-october-2024/slidelist/114339207.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/mobile/webstories/best-smartphones-under-25000-in-india-in-october-2024/slidelist/114339207.cms" target="_blank">Best smartphones under ₹25,000 in India in October 2024</a><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/webstories/waaree-energies-ipo-price-band-to-risk-factors-all-you-need-to-know/slidelist/114350114.cms" target="_blank"></a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/webstories/waaree-energies-ipo-price-band-to-risk-factors-all-you-need-to-know/slidelist/114350114.cms" target="_blank">Waaree Energies IPO – Price band to risk factors, all you need to know</a>

HDFC Bank Q2 profit soars 5% to ₹16,821 crore

<ul class="summary-list"><li>The US dollar is likely to be the first asset to signal what markets think the election result will be.</li><li>Strong liquidity and global 24-hour trading activity make the dollar a reliable indicator.</li></ul>The US dollar might be the most important asset to watch for a potential read on the US election results as the votes are tallied this week.Raymond James' chief investment strategist David Zervos said that the US dollar will be the first asset to telegraph the likely winner as markets digest the implications of a Donald Trump or Kamala Harris presidency. In an interview with CNBC, Zervos said the dollar "will be the most liquid and the most transparent messaging to what we are getting markets to do because that's where people could put money to work fast."He highlighted that the US dollar is traded 24/7 with massive liquidity from trading parties around the world. Therefore, as election results roll in during the late hours of Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning, the dollar will likely be the first asset class to move on the results.The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/market-impact-presidential-election-scenarios-trump-harris-stocks-bonds-crypto-2024-10">dollar is seen as rising under a potential Trump presidency,</a> as his tariff proposals would likely raise interest rates, which in turn would lead to a stronger dollar.On the flip side, a falling US dollar would likely suggest that a Kamala Harris victory is reflected in the election results because <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/market-impact-presidential-election-scenarios-trump-harris-stocks-bonds-crypto-2024-10">interest rates are seen as more likely to continue falling under a Harris administration,</a> putting downward pressure on the dollar.As for how to get a read on who markets think will win, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/us-dollar-index">the US dollar index </a>will be a strong gauge of how traders are digesting the early election results. The index measures the dollar against a basket of other major currencies and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/donald-trump-trade-rally-betting-markets-kamala-harris-bitcoin-djt-2024-10">has rallied over the past month</a> as former President Donald Trump gained momentum in the polls and in betting markets.Beyond the dollar index, Zervos said it would be important to watch moves in <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/usd-cny">the dollar relative to the Chinese renminbi</a>. "Dollar-China has been a big trade because people saw that as a real Trump winning trade, meaning he's going to go hard on China," Zervos said. "That's got a lot of crowded positioning in it. I'd be watching dollar-China very closely overnight," Zervos said.Zervos expects a relief rally in risk assets as uncertainty surrounding the election begins to fade, assuming the results are decisive and known relatively soon."I think people really want to see smoothness here, then we can just see risk assets do better, we could see credit do better. We could see the panicky trades that people might have put on get pulled off," Zervos said.Ultimately, Zervos said he'll change his stock and bond investments based on the dollar's reaction to the election results."We watch the dollar, that's our first indication of where the repositioning is taking place and then we can feed that back into bonds and stocks and different sectors," Zervos said.

Why the US dollar is the most important asset to watch as the election results come in

The Indian <keyword id="22196321" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="credit-card-industry" source="keywords">credit card industry</keyword> is struggling to grow, as new issues slow down on a year-on-year (YoY) basis. Not only has the growth i.e. issuance of new credit cards slowed down, but lenders are also becoming increasingly cautious of the asset qualities, a recent report by Nomura showed. From 19% in July 2024, the growth in the <keyword id="6368202" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="credit-card" source="Orion">credit card</keyword> spendings came down to 13% in August 2024. The year-to-date (YTD) growth has also significantly declined in FY25, currently standing at 17%, markedly down from 28% in FY24. For the fifth consecutive month, the number of new credit cards added to the system remained well below the 1-million, or 10 lakh mark. Around 9.2 lakh credit cards were added during the month, a slight uptick from the 7.55 lakh cards that came into the system In July 2024. However, there is growth in this space nevertheless, with about 10.55 crore active credit cards at present, marking a 15.6% YoY increase. Even the annualised spend per card, or the average amount spent via an annual card during an year grew 1% YoY to Rs 1.87 lakh. But this was far less than the 7% growth annual spends via one credit card saw in FY24. Meanwhile, what continues to burgeon consistently is the outstanding amount on these credit cards, which ballooned to Rs 2.7 lakh crore in June 2024, up from Rs 2.6 lakh crore in March 2024, and around Rs 2 lakh crore in the year ago period. To put this in perspective, pre-pandemic, the total outstanding amount stood at Rs 87,686 crore, which marks a 24% CAGR in this amount, in just a span of 5 years. <h2>Large drops, slowdown to sustain</h2>Even the monthly expenditure per card dropped 2% YoY to Rs 16,000 in August, 2024. Subsequently, the transaction volume via credit cards also dipped to 1.6% in August, along with the total amount of <keyword id="21084888" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="credit-card-spending" source="keywords">credit card spending</keyword>, which fell to Rs 1.69 lakh crore in August, from Rs 1.73 lakh crore in July. Also, there has been a hefty cutdown in provisions made for credit card reward points, which reflects in the quantum of credit card benefits that have been mowed out by companies of late, making credit cards far less lucrative than before. <h2>HDFC takes lead </h2>During August 2024, <keyword id="19895995" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="HDFC-Bank" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="HDFC Bank" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="HDFC Bank">HDFC bank</keyword> added a total of 2.41 lakh credit cards, taking its total tally of active credit cards to 2.19 crore. <keyword id="19900482" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="ICICI-Bank" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="ICICI Bank" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="ICICI Bank">ICICI Bank</keyword> came a second distant, adding 1.45 lakh credit cards during the month, which means that the second-largest credit card issuer now holds over 1.75 crore active credit cards. Axis Bank and SBI Cards also added 1.27 lakh and 1.1 lakh cards, respectively to their repertoire during the month, while the growth numbers at Kotak Mahindra Bank remained largely flat, stagnating the bank's total card tally at 54.13 lakh. This was due to the ongoing ban on the bank due to its weak IT infrastructural issues imposed by RBI in April 2024. If anything, the bank's number of credit cards declined by 61,191 during the month. Even as the festive season approaches, experts think that it is unlikely to make a major dent in credit card spendings, which are expected to see a further slowdown in the quarters to come.

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A new study shows most stocks have lost value in the last 100 years. Take these 3 steps to protect your portfolio.

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Silver touches Rs 1 lakh mark on MCX march contract

ANI

HDFC Bank Q2 profit soars 5% to ₹16,821 crore

PTI

Why the US dollar is the most important asset to watch as the election results come in

Matthew Fox

Credit card growth experiencing a slowdown, as borrowers struggle to pay back loans

BI India Bureau

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