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<ul class="summary-list"><li>Stocks were mostly lower on Wednesday after a fresh batch of economic data points. </li><li>US real GDP increased at an annual rate of 2.8% in the third quarter.</li></ul>US stocks wavered on Wednesday as a combination of data releases left investors with a strong impression of the US economy.Third-quarter <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/gdp-gross-domestic-product-third-quarter-economy-2024-10">US real GDP increased at an annualized rate of 2.8%</a>. Though slightly below forecasts, the reading still points to a strong economy and isn't likely to ramp up the urgency on the part of the Federal Reserve to rapidly cut interest rates to prop up growth. Meanwhile, the personal consumption expenditures index rose 2.2% year over year last month. The Fed's preferred inflation gauge was slightly higher than expected but still within striking distance of the central bankers' 2% target. "Growth up, inflation down is precisely what you want to see. The Fed doesn't need to be afraid of a stable and growing economy to normalize rates this cycle so long as disinflation persists," Harris Financial Group managing partner Jamie Cox said.Rounding out Wednesday's data were private payrolls for October, which showed hiring rose at the fastest pace in a year, increasing by 233,000, according to ADP. The data, along with the October nonfarm payroll report due on Friday, will inform the Fed's next move at its meeting next week. The odds of a quarter-point interest rate cut stand at 98.2%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.Meanwhile, investors are monitoring a slew of upcoming earnings from key companies. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/googl-stock">Alphabet</a> shares surged 5% shortly after the opening bell after <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/google-third-quarter-earnings-report-q3-2024-2024-10#:~:text=Revenue%20from%20Google%20Cloud%20grew,%25%20in%20after%2Dhours%20trading.&amp;text=Alphabet%20and%20Google%20CEO%20Sundar,investments%20were%20%22paying%20off.%22">exceeding third-quarter earnings expectations</a>.Shares of <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/msft-stock?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Microsoft</a> and <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/meta-stock?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Meta</a> are also trading higher as traders anticipate their <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/meta-q3-earnings-preview-meta-stock-price-ai-growth-guidance-2024-10?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">financial results</a> on Wednesday after the closing bell. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/aapl-stock?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Apple</a> and <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/amzn-stock">Amazon</a> are on deck to report after the close on Thursday.Here's where US indexes stood at the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Wednesday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,832.88, down 0.01%<a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 42,214.85, down 0.04% (-18.20 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,727.14, up 0.11% </li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-tariffs-china-election-consumer-stocks-earnings-ubs-2024-10?_gl=1*1ehsglt*_ga*MTMxNDIwNDI1Ni4xNjc1Njg3OTU4*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTczMDI5MDk5MS43NzYuMS4xNzMwMjkxNzY4LjYwLjAuMA..">UBS lists three consumer stocks that could see earnings plunge </a>under Trump's tariffs.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/author/matthew-fox">Trump's Truth Social has overtaken the valuation of Elon Musk's X.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/election-betting-odds-trump-vs-harris-polymarket-kalshi-robinhood-2024-10">The election cycle has led to an explosion in the betting market</a>.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil rose 1.58% to $68.26 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, climbed 1.56% at $72.23 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> inched up 0.60% to $2,798 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield fell three basis points to 4.238%.</li></ul><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Bitcoin</a> slid 1.48% to $71,741.57.

Stock market today: Indexes slip as traders digest GDP and inflation data ahead of more big earnings

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks rise as key earnings and economic data are anticipated this week.</li><li>Major tech firms, including Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Apple, are set to report earnings.</li></ul>US stocks jumped on Monday ahead of what's shaping up to be a pivotal week for earnings and economic data.More than 90 <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500">S&amp;P 500</a> companies are set to report results this week, and investors will be keenly focused on third-quarter updates from <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/meta-stock">Meta Platforms</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/msft-stock">Microsoft</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/AAPL-stock">Apple</a>, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/amzn-stock">Amazon</a>, and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/googl-stock">Alphabet</a>.Combined, these five mega-cap tech giants are worth about $12 trillion.So far, 37% of S&amp;P 500 companies have reported earnings results. Of those companies, 78% beat profit estimates by a median of 6%, while 58% beat revenues estimates by a median of 2%, according to data from Fundstrat.In the oil market, crude prices plunged more than 6%, representing the biggest one-day decline since September 2022 after Israel's attack against Iran over the weekend avoided oil facilities.It's a big week for economic data as well, with third-quarter GDP set to be released Wednesday morning. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Tracker suggests growth of 3.3% in the quarter, while economists expect growth of 3.2%.Investors will also get a look into inflation with the release of the PCE index on Thursday, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.According to economist estimates, the year-over-year PCE Index is expected to be 2.1%, a slight decrease from last month's reading of 2.2%.Finally, investors will turn their attention to the October jobs report on Friday. Economists expect 110,000 jobs added to the economy last month, a big decline from the September employment report, which came in hot with 245,000 new jobs.Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Monday:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,834.93, up 0.46% </li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 42,414.07, up 0.71% (+299.67 points)</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq composite</a>: 18,634.68, up 0.59% </li></ul>Here's what else is going on:<ul><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/market-impact-presidential-election-scenarios-trump-harris-stocks-bonds-crypto-2024-10">Here's what is at stake for your investments in next week's Presidential election.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/gold-price-record-high-became-etf-interest-rates-trump-costco-2024-10">Gold has become one of the world's hottest investments as it outperforms the S&amp;P 500. Here's why.</a></li><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-deportation-immigration-policy-election-housing-home-prices-construction-costs-2024-10">Donald Trump's proposed immigration crackdown could make housing more expensive by depleting the construction workforce.</a></li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto:<ul><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil plunged 6.39% to $67.19 a barrel. <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, was lower by 6.05% to $71.45 a barrel.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price">Gold</a> was lower by 0.21% to $2,748.80 an ounce.</li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield was flat at 4.240%.</li><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd">Bitcoin</a> increased 1.46% to $68,936.</li></ul>

Stock market today: US stocks jump ahead of crucial week of earnings and data

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Odds of a "no landing" scenario for the economy are rising amid continued strong economic data.</li><li>This scenario is bullish for stocks, even if it means slower rate cuts.</li></ul>As Wall Street engaged in a forecasting tug-of-war over the path of the US economy, few predicted anything other than a soft landing or a recession this year — but in the past month, a streak of hot macro data has placed a third option on the table.The "no landing" scenario entails a continued run of hot economic data and growth that boosts markets but also precludes a steep rate-cutting cycle from the Federal Reserve.For investors, that could mean a playbook that continues to lean into equities, with an emphasis on high dividend-yielding stocks.Soft landing? Hard landing? More like no landingInstitutions such as Bank of America and UBS have recently noted rising odds of a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-interest-rate-cuts-outlook-economy-recession-no-landing-borrowing-2024-10">"no landing" outcome</a>. In this scenario, US growth remains stronger than estimated, keeping inflation above target and interest rates elevated.Consider the amount of positive data points that have surprised investors recently.There was <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/september-jobs-report-unemployment-rate-nonfarm-payroll-growth-federal-reserve-2024-10">September's blowout jobs print</a>, which showed employers added a stunning 254,000 new positions and pulled the unemployment rate down to 4.1%.Meanwhile, recent GDP and gross domestic income revisions have also been "overwhelmingly positive," BofA said, and this week's robust retail data shows that consumer spending has stayed strong, as real core control retail sales climbed 0.4%, compared to 0.1% in August and above estimates of 0.3%.<div type="image" title="Chart showing core control retail sales" height="1382" width="2368" msid="114399411" hostid="261" sizebytes="85128"></div>"This has led to fewer questions about downside risks and more on upside risks," BofA summarized in a Monday note.Reacceleration could make investors uneasy, dashing hopes for swift rate cuts from the Fed. As <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/inflation-september-cpi-consumer-price-index-federal-reserve-interest-rates-2024-10">inflation ticked up to 2.4% in September</a>, odds of an upcoming half-point <a target="_blank" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?redirect=/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html">interest rate cut</a> have tanked, and investors see 25 basis points as the most likely move in November.According to BofA, a no-landing scenario is bullish for stocks as long as inflation doesn't flare up again.The trading playbookHarris Financial Group's Jamie Cox told Business Insider that an inflation rebound is unlikely. In his view, inflation will continue to come down, allowing the Fed to lower rates gradually. Paired with strong GDP growth, investors should readjust expectations of how deep these rate cuts will be, the managing partner said.According to Cox, that means that short-term interest rates will drop to around 3% in the no landing scenario, even if long-term rates remain elevated.That's good news for equities, as it will prompt money market investors and T-bill traders to move back into the stock market, he said. As this happens, high-dividend value sectors with strong cash flows will receive a boost. These include staples, utilities, and telecom. A steepening yield curve should also benefit financials."They're not going back and buying Nvidia, that money is not going back into Apple and all that kind of stuff," Cox said, referring to go-to tech names during the rate cycle's peak. "You can see the flows of funds, you know, back into dividend-paying stocks. And that's why the market's broadening back out."Meanwhile, small caps can also expect to see upside, he said. The rate-sensitive sector has been under pressure in past years but was recently upgraded to neutral by Morgan Stanley. The bank said it would turn "outright bullish" on the sector if upward revisions to GDP continue, among other things.Whatever investors do, they shouldn't get bearish and sell.After all, a no landing scenario is the best outcome for the economy, Cox said, and given hot growth, the situation effectively tosses recession fears out the window.This would be just the fourth time in US history that the Fed has cut interest rates without a downturn, he added. In each case, markets were incredibly strong two to three years out, he said."[This scenario isn't] the base case for a lot of people who want bond yields and interest rates to drop a lot, and I think that people need to be careful about what they expect the Fed to do," the managing partner said. "The rates are not going to drop as much as what people think, and that's okay; it's actually good."

Here's the trading playbook as data piles up in support of a 'no landing' for the US economy

As the results season kicks in, the <keyword id="20097634" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="quarterly-earnings" source="keywords">quarterly earnings</keyword> numbers of several <keyword id="22405488" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="blue-chip-firms" source="keywords">blue-chip firms</keyword> — such as <keyword id="19906778" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Infosys" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Infosys" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Infosys">Infosys</keyword> and Reliance Industries — along with <keyword id="20837523" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="global-trends" source="keywords">global trends</keyword> and <keyword id="20223116" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="trading-activity" source="keywords">trading activity</keyword> of foreign investors, will determine <keyword id="22405487" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="equity-market-movement" source="keywords">equity market movement</keyword> in the holiday-shortened week ahead, according to analysts. The domestic <keyword id="22405489" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="WPI-inflation-data" source="keywords">WPI inflation data</keyword> for June — scheduled to be announced on Monday — will also influence trading sentiments, traders said. Markets will remain closed on Wednesday for Muharram. Among major quarterly earnings to be tracked this week are from HDFC Life Insurance Company, Bajaj Auto, BPCL, JSW Steel, Asian Paints, Infosys, and Reliance Industries. "Q1 earnings will be a key focus this week as numerous companies, including heavyweights Infosys, and Reliance, are set to release their results. Additionally, <keyword id="22194639" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="pre-Budget-discussions" source="keywords">pre-Budget discussions</keyword> are expected to contribute to market volatility," Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd, said. On the global front, a significant focus will be on China. The country is scheduled to announce its GDP and Industrial Production (IIP) numbers, Meena said. "Other global factors to watch include the speech by the US Federal Reserve Chairman, US retail sales figures, and macroeconomic data from Japan," he added. Meanwhile, IT services company HCL Tech on Friday posted a 20.4 per cent rise in consolidated net profit to Rs 4,257 crore for the June-ended quarter and gave a revenue growth guidance of 3-5 per cent for FY25 on GenAI diversification and strong operational execution. "On Monday, markets will react to India's inflation data. Key results this week include Jio Financial Services, HDFC Life, Asian Paints, LTIMindtree, Infosys, Wipro, JSW Steel, Paytm, etc. Also globally, investors will take cues from China's GDP numbers, US core retail sales data, and ECB (European Central Bank) interest rate decision," Siddhartha Khemka, Head, Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said. Retail inflation increased to four-month high of 5.08 per cent in June as food items, including vegetables, became dearer, according to government data released on Friday. Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services, said, "We expect stock-specific moves to gain traction due to the ongoing earnings season; indeed, IT will be in the limelight due to the good start to the earnings and outlook." In the week ahead, economic data like China GDP, EuroZone CPI inflation, ECB policy, and the US Fed chair speech will be watched by investors to get cues on market momentum, Nair added. On a weekly basis, the BSE benchmark jumped 522.74 points, or 0.65 per cent, while the Nifty climbed 178.3 points, or 0.73 per cent. The 30-share BSE Sensex jumped 622 points, or 0.78 per cent, to settle at a record closing level of 80,519.34 on Friday. During the day, it zoomed 996.17 points, or 1.24 per cent, to hit an all-time high of 80,893.51. The NSE Nifty surged 186.20 points, or 0.77 per cent, to settle at a record closing high of 24,502.15. Intra-day, it jumped 276.25 points, or 1.13 per cent, to hit a new lifetime peak of 24,592.20.

Trading activity to hinge on Q1 results, global trends in holiday-shortened week: analysts

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Russia's GDP growth slowed to 4% in Q2, while inflation continued to rise.</li><li>Economists have long been warning that the Russian economy is showing signs of "overheating."</li></ul>Russia's economic growth slowed to 4% in the second quarter of 2024, down from 5.4% in Q1, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20240809-russian-economic-growth-dips-in-second-quarter-as-inflation-rises">AFP reported</a>, citing official data released on Friday.While the Russian economy continues to expand, it marked the lowest quarterly GDP growth result since the beginning of 2023, the report said.It comes as the Kremlin battles rising inflation and warnings that the economy is overheating.Russia's economic growth has come off the back of huge Kremlin spending on its military campaign in Ukraine, which it launched in February 2022.While that spending helped quell earlier predictions of an imminent recession linked to Western sanctions, it has led to rampant inflation.Inflation hit 9.13% year-on-year in July, the AFP report said, citing data from the Rosstat statistics agency.The country has also been <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russian-economy-overheating-consumer-spending-tourism-central-bank-interest-rate-2024-7">going through a consumption boom</a>, driven by the state's heavy defense spending and labor shortages."Consumer activity remains high amid a significant increase in households' incomes and positive consumer sentiment,'" Russia's central bank said in July."Labour shortages continue to grow. In these conditions, the growth in domestic demand does not result in a proportional expansion of the supply of goods and services but rather increases the costs of businesses and, consequently, intensifies inflationary pressures," it added.Russia's central bank hiked its key interest rate to 18% last month after inflation "accelerated" and was "developing significantly above the Bank of Russia's April forecast," it said.Russia's economy is also facing a severe <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-population-decline-worker-shortage-growth-outlook-ukraine-war-2024-8">demographic crisis</a>, with the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/putin-calls-russians-more-babies-ethnic-survival-economy-2024-2">nation's population</a> potentially shrinking by 50% by the end of the century, according to a report by the Atlantic Council written by Harley Balzer, an emeritus professor at Georgetown University.The report highlights Russia's long-standing population decline, which it says has now been exacerbated by the ongoing war in Ukraine.This decline could increase pressure on Russia's labor shortages and lead to lower growth and productivity."Unless Russia's leaders can develop and finance a more effective set of policies, the only solutions to population decline will be a combination of incorporating non-Russian territory and/or immigration from Asia and Africa," Balzer wrote in the report.

Russia's GDP growth slowed in Q2 while inflation continued to soar on the back of heavy state spending: report

<ul class="summary-list"><li>US stocks traded mostly lower on Wednesday as traders eyed the release of first-quarter GDP data. </li><li>Investors are sifting through earnings, with mega-cap tech results rolling in. </li></ul>US stocks were mostly lower on Wednesday as traders prepared for the release of first-quarter GDP data and digested the latest round of corporate earnings. Investors are waiting on advanced estimates for first-quarter GDP to roll out tomorrow morning, which will give markets a sense of how strong the economy is growing and point to the Federal Reserve's next move. The US is expected to have expanded 2.7% in the first three months of the year, according to <a href="https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow">Atlanta Fed economists</a>, but an especially strong print would raise the risk that the Fed keeps policy tight in order to prevent inflation from gaining a foothold again. Markets are pricing in just one or two rate cuts for the year, according to the <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?redirect=/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CME FedWatch tool,</a> down from as many as seven cuts seen at the start of 2024.Investors are also preparing to take in more earnings results, which have been resilient so far this quarter. The S&amp;P 500 looks on track to post <a href="https://insight.factset.com/sp-500-will-likely-report-year-over-year-earnings-growth-of-at-least-7-for-q1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7% year-per-year earnings growth</a>, according to FactSet. Of the companies that have reported financials so far, <a href="https://insight.factset.com/sp-500-earnings-season-update-april-19-2024" target="_blank" rel="noopener">74% have beat earnings estimates</a>.Facebook parent Meta Platforms will report after the closing bell, while Microsoft and Alphabet will report results after the close on Thursday. <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-stock-tsla-quarterly-earnings-call-report-live-updates-2024-4#tesla-s-shares-are-still-up-as-the-call-ends">Tesla shares jumped 11% higher</a> on Wednesday after the carmaker's latest earnings report. Revenue came in below expectations, but investors were pleased with the company's confirmation that a low-cost electric vehicle was set to roll out sometime next year. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4 p.m. closing bell on Wednesday: <ul><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/s&amp;p_500?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">S&amp;P 500</a>: 5,071.67, up 0.02%</li><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a>: 38,460.92, down 0.11% (-42.77 points)</li><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_composite?utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest%3Futm_source%3Dmarkets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Nasdaq Composite</a>: 15,712.75, up 0.1%</li></ul>Here's what else is going on: <ul><li>A rare bifurcation in the US economy is <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/recession-extremely-rare-economy-bifurcation-downturn-inflation-fed-rate-cut-2024-4">raising the odds of recession</a>, one economist warns.</li><li><a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/howard-marks-artificial-intelligence-outlook-crash-ai-investing-tech-stocks-2024-4">AI's impact doesn't make it immune to a crash</a>, according to billionaire investor Howard Marks.</li><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-stock-price-outlook-bofa-upgrade-buy-q1-earnings-robotaxi-2024-4?_gl=1*1p5kyh1*_ga*MjMxMzA1Mzg2LjE2NTY0NDQxNTU.*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcxMzk4MjIwNi4xMDUzLjEuMTcxMzk4MzAyNS4xNC4wLjA.">Tesla stock could see 35% upside</a> if it follows a four-part plan, Bank of America said.</li><li>Tesla is headed for a new growth phase as <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-stock-price-elon-musk-q1-earnings-outlook-model-2-2024-4?_gl=1*1kmzeuh*_ga*MjMxMzA1Mzg2LjE2NTY0NDQxNTU.*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcxMzk4NzA0NS4xMDU1LjEuMTcxMzk4NzA4OS4xNi4wLjA.">Elon Musk is finally the "adult in the room,"</a>Wedbush's Dan Ives said.</li></ul>In commodities, bonds, and crypto: <ul><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">West Texas Intermediate</a> crude oil dropped by 0.5% to $82.91 a barrel. <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Brent crude</a>, the international benchmark, slipped 0.3% to 88.13 a barrel. </li><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/gold-price?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Gold</a> edged lower to $2,332 an ounce. </li><li>The 10-year Treasury yield rose four basis points to 4.644%. </li><li><a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">Bitcoin</a> was down 3.29% to $64,393. </li></ul>

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Stock market today: Indexes slip as traders digest GDP and inflation data ahead of more big earnings

Filip De Mott

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