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Economists at the country's largest lender, SBI, today said they see India's Q2 real GDP growth slowing down further to 6.5% in the September quarter of this fiscal year. Amid concerns over the country's economic growth rate and whether it is slowing down, the analysts said they expect FY25 growth to come "closer to" 7%.<br /> <br />SBI analysts join a long line of agencies like Fitch, ADB, IMF, Moody, World Bank, S&amp;P, and even RBI in forecasting India's GDP growth for FY25 in the range of 6.8% to 7.2% for FY25, driven by robust consumption and investment. SIP inflows have been at an all-time high, and so has QIP (qualified institutional placement) fundraising. As many as 71 companies raised Rs 88,678 crore this year through QIPs. <br /><br /> Activity in Indian primary markets also remained robust, with 78 mainboard IPOs in 2024; this is a 111% rise from just 38 listings in FY23.  Between April and June 2024, India's real GDP grew by 6.7%, the lowest growth seen in 15 quarters, pushing experts to believe that India is caught in a cycle of slowdown. <br /><br /> "There is some incipient pressure evident on the domestic economy. Based on our analysis of 50 meaningful leading indicators (both consumption and demand-centric), a dip looks plausible across select cohorts of agriculture, industry, and services in Q2," the <keyword id="22337294" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="SBI-economists" source="keywords">SBI economists</keyword> added.<br /><br />Stating that they track 50 indicators to gauge economic activity, SBIs note said the proportion of indicators showing acceleration declined to 69% in Q2 FY25, as against 80% in Q2 FY24 and 78% in Q1 FY25.<br /><br /> However, things might be changing now, given that rural demand has started looking up amidst muted urban demand. SBI also explained that the ongoing regulatory tightening on unsecured lending and roadblocks that are hindering rollover/refinancing of debt through unsecured credit are dismantling the unwarranted exuberance that had built up post-pandemic, especially in the urban areas.<br /><br />Madhu Lunawat, CIO &amp; Fund Manager, Bharat Value Fund states that the overall investment environment remains strong due to favorable economic conditions supporting government policies &amp; reforms. "The sustainable inflow from domestic investors is going to support the Indian equity market in any kind of correction. The long-term bullish structure of Indian economy will continue to attract new domestic &amp; global investors to participate in India’s growth story through various Investment avenues.”<br /><br /><h2>Rate cuts not on cards</h2>RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das clarified today that changing the monetary policy stance to 'neutral' does not mean a rate cut is imminent in the central bank's next policy announcement. Notably, RBI MPC is set to meet between December 4 and 6, 2024, to decide if the prevailing repo rate of 6.5%, which has stayed unchanged for the last 2 years, should be brought down or not. <br /><br />In its last meeting, The <keyword id="20501100" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="RBI-monetary-policy" source="keywords">RBI monetary policy</keyword> committee had shifted its stance to 'neutral' indicating that it is open to adjusting interest rates based on economic conditions.<br /><br /> "It should not be assumed that we have done this, so therefore the next step is a rate cut. A change in stance doesn't mean that the next step is a rate cut in the very next meeting. It's not so," Das said.<br /><br /> Das also cautioned that inflation remains a key factor, and inflation and CPI prints for October are expected to stay high.<br /><br />

SBI economists see Q2 GDP growth slowing down to 6.5%; FY25 growth to be closer to 7%

The festive season is here and with it, you are likely to make several purchases from e-commerce platforms, be it for yourself or for your friends and family. Choosing the right credit card for <keyword id="19957108" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="online-shopping" source="keywords">online shopping</keyword> can make a significant difference in how much you save and earn from your purchases.<br /><br /><keyword id="19953671" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="credit-cards" source="keywords">Credit cards</keyword> not only allow you to easily get products on credit, they can also make them cheaper thanks to cashback and reward points. You also get access to airport lounges, railway lounges, dining offers and more.<br /><br />In this post, we look at some of the <keyword id="23600028" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="best-credit-cards-for-online-shopping" source="Orion">best credit cards for online shopping</keyword> in India.<br /><br /><h2><keyword id="3294523" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="best-credit-cards" source="Orion">Best credit cards</keyword> for online shopping in India</h2><h3><keyword id="23600026" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Amazon-Pay-ICICI" source="keywords">Amazon Pay ICICI</keyword> credit card</h3>    <div type="image" title="Amazon Pay ICICI credit card" msid="114354421" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Amazon Pay ICICI credit card&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div><br />The Amazon Pay ICICI Credit card is among the most popular co-branded credit cards, offered by ICICI Bank in partnership with e-commerce giant Amazon India. It’s great for those who regularly shop on Amazon, as it offers a 5% cashback on all purchases on the platform.<br /><br /><strong>Key Features:</strong><br /><br /><ul><li><strong>Cashback:</strong> Up to 5% cashback on Amazon purchases, and 2% cashback on other online shopping.</li><li><strong>Additional cashback: </strong>Earn 2% cashback at partner stores, and 1% on all other spends.</li><li><strong>No annual fee:</strong> Lifetime free credit card.</li><li><strong>Fuel surcharge waiver:</strong> 1% fuel surcharge waiver across all petrol pumps.</li></ul>     <div type="Article" hostid="261" msid="113123752" title="Here are the benefits you get with India’s most expensive credit card with a ₹3.54 lakh annual fee" mstype="2" mssubtype="0"></div><br /><h3>HDFC Millenia credit card</h3>    <div type="image" title="HDFC Millenia credit card" msid="114354433" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;HDFC Millenia credit card&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div><br />The HDFC Millenia is a popular credit card from HDFC Bank and is among the most sought-after cards from the bank. This card offers good rewards on Amazon, Flipkart, Myntra and other online platforms. It is also good for utility bills and fuel spending.<br /><br /><strong>Key Features:</strong><br /><br /><ul><li><strong>Cashback:</strong> 5% cashback on Amazon, BookMyShow, Swiggy, Flipkart, Myntra and more. It offers 1% cashback on all other spends.</li><li><strong>Lounge access:</strong> 1 complimentary lounge access per quarter.</li><li><strong>Fuel surcharge waiver:</strong> 1% fuel surcharge waiver across all petrol pumps.</li></ul><h3>Flipkart Axis Bank credit card</h3><br />    <div type="image" title="Flipkart Axis Bank credit card" msid="114354438" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Flipkart Axis Bank credit card&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div><br />With Amazon partnering with ICICI Bank, Flipkart joined the race and partnered with Axis Bank to launch the Flipkart Axis Bank credit card. The card offers 5% cashback on Flipkart and Cleartrip.<br /><br /><strong>Key Features:</strong><br /><br /><ul><li><strong>Cashback:</strong> 5% cashback on Flipkart and Cleartrip, 4% on preferred partners and 1% on other spends.<br /><strong><br /></strong></li><li><strong>Lounge access:</strong> 4 complimentary lounge access per year on spending ₹50,000 during the previous 3 months.</li><li><strong>Fuel surcharge waiver:</strong> 1% fuel surcharge waiver across all petrol pumps.</li></ul>     <div type="Article" hostid="261" msid="98090488" title="How to use credit card to make UPI payments" mstype="2" mssubtype="0"></div><br /><h3>Cashback SBI Card</h3><br />    <div type="image" title="Cashback SBI credit card" msid="114354449" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Cashback SBI credit card&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div><br />The Cashback SBI Card has quickly emerged as one of the most popular cards from the state-owned bank, beating its SimplyClick card, which was one of the preferred cards for online spending. The USP of this card is that it offers a flat 5% cashback on all online spending.<br /><br /><strong>Key Features:</strong><br /><br /><ul><li><strong>Cashback:</strong> 5% cashback on all online spends, without any merchant restrictions. It also offers 1% cashback on all offline transactions.</li><li><strong>Fuel surcharge waiver:</strong> 1% fuel surcharge waiver across all petrol pumps.</li><li><strong>Annual fee waiver:</strong> Fee waiver on spending ₹2 lakh in the preceding year.</li></ul><h3><keyword id="23600027" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Axis-Bank-Ace" source="keywords">Axis Bank Ace</keyword> credit card</h3><br />    <div type="image" title="Axis Bank Ace credit card" msid="114354458" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Axis Bank Ace credit card&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div><br />The Axis Bank Ace credit card is another excellent card, especially for those looking for a card for bill payments, utility spending and more. It is also one of the few credit cards that can be added to Google Pay.<br /><br /><strong>Key Features:</strong><br /><br /><ul><li><strong>Cashback:</strong> 5% cashback on all bill payments, mobile recharges and DTH recharges via Google Pay. It also offers 4% Swiggy, Zomato and Ola.</li><li><strong>Lounge access:</strong> 4 complimentary lounge access per year on spending ₹50,000 during the previous 3 months.</li><li><strong>Fuel surcharge waiver:</strong> 1% fuel surcharge waiver across all petrol pumps.</li></ul>    <div type="Article" hostid="261" msid="102133212" title="HDFC Bank and Swiggy launch co-branded credit card – cashback, offers and more" mstype="2" mssubtype="0"></div><br /><h3>American Express SmartEarn credit card</h3><br />    <div type="image" title="American Express SmartEarn credit card" msid="114354467" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;American Express SmartEarn credit card&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div><br />While it is more challenging to get American Express cards than other cards on the list, getting your hands on the SmartEarn credit card is relatively easy compared to other cards offered by American Express.<br /><br /><strong>Key Features:</strong><br /><br /><ul><li><strong>Reward points:</strong> 10X membership reward points on Flipkart, Zomato, Myntra, Uber, Ajio and more. 5X membership reward points on every ₹50 spent on Amazon.</li><li><strong>Monthly spends:</strong> Earn 500 membership reward points on spending ₹2,500 in a month on 10X reward point partners.</li><li><strong>Annual fee waiver:</strong> Fee waiver on spending ₹40,000 in the preceding year.</li></ul><strong>SEE ALSO:<br /><br /><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/finance/news/here-are-the-benefits-you-get-with-indias-most-expensive-credit-card-with-a-3-54-lakh-annual-fee/articleshow/113123752.cms">Here are the benefits you get with India’s most expensive credit card with a ₹3.54 lakh annual fee</a><br /><br /><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/bigger-they-are-harder-they-fall-a-look-at-how-the-countrys-biggest-ipos-have-fared/articleshow/114307997.cms">Bigger they are, harder they fall – A look at how the country’s biggest IPOs have fared</a><br /><br /></strong><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/hdfc-bank-and-swiggy-launch-co-branded-credit-card-to-offer-discount-to-customers/articleshow/102133212.cms"><strong>HDFC Bank and Swiggy launch co-branded credit card – cashback, offers and more</strong></a><br />

Best credit cards for online shopping this festive season

Over the past few months, there’s been a lot of brouhaha about the lagging pace of bank deposits in India. Simply put, the rate at which Indians are depositing their hard-earned money in banks has been falling constantly, and some blame the increasing financialization of household savings in the country, or the rising preference of Indians towards mutual funds and shares.<br /><br />So, the hypothesis is that people are choosing to invest more in mutual funds and the Indian equity markets through direct investments, IPOs, or NFOs, the money flowing into Indian banks in the form of deposits is slowing down. But is that really the case?<br /><br /><h2>A crisis or a phase?</h2><keyword id="19899808" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="rbi" source="keywords">RBI</keyword> data suggested that for the quarter ended June 2024, bank deposits grew at 11.7%. On the other hand, credit growth has outpaced this at 15%. This means that the outflow from banks as loans is far greater than the inflow into them in the form of deposits in Q1 of FY 2024-25.<br /><br />The situation largely saw cut-copy-paste in the first week of September as well, with loans registering a 13.3% YoY growth during the period, while deposits rose only 11.1%. This gap has only been widening for the last 3 years. <br /><br />Since deposits are how banks gather assets to further lend and earn interest income as a consequence, even a slight dip could set the alarm bells ringing for banks, and rightfully so. <br /><br />And truth be told, mutual funds are indeed taking on bank deposits in a big way. Per a report by <keyword id="20250971" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="franklin-templeton" source="keywords">Franklin Templeton</keyword>, in August 2024, the AUM (assets under management) of Indian mutual funds, or the total funds managed by them, stood at 31.3% of total bank deposits in the country, up from 24.20% during the year-ago period. As of August 2024, the AUM of mutual funds stood at Rs 66.17 lakh crore, an all-time high. <br /><br />But all said and done, is this really the reason why the rate of bank deposits is falling behind? SBI has dismissed this to be a “statistical myth”, and experts point out that since equity and fund houses also keep the cash in their respective bank accounts, there’s no cause for concern. <br /><br />So, is financialization really to be blamed for the trailing tempo of deposits? Or is something else happening behind the scenes? We take a closer look:<br /><br /><h2>First, are <keyword id="4000333" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="household-deposits" source="Orion">household deposits</keyword> really slowing down? And is that a cause of concern?</h2>Data from Motilal Oswal suggests the contrary. Deposits grew by around 10.4% between March 2020 and August 2024. Data from RBI also highlights that as of August 9, 2024, bank deposits witnessed a YoY growth of 10.8%. The loan-to-deposit ratio for the retail segment, which indicates what percentage of its total deposits the banks lend out as loans, has stayed at 77.5%, above the 77% mark for the tenth straight month.<br /><br />Also, we can’t forego the fact that the share of Indian <keyword id="20319599" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="households" source="keywords">households</keyword> in bank deposits has indeed slowed down. However, data from Axis AMC shows that the dip is marginal—from 63% in 2022 to 62% in 2023 and 61% in 2024. What has slowed down even more considerably is the share of government deposits in the aggregate bank deposits, which has dipped from 14% in 2018 to 9% in 2024. So, it's not just household deposits, you see.<br /><br />Moreover, as of March 2024, the collective CASA ratio (current and savings account deposits) of all commercial banks in India stood at 41.00%, down from 43.1% in March 2023 and 45.2% in March 2022, marking a nearly 5% point decline over the past year, while still staying over the 10-year average of 39.2%. This implies that Indian banks are relying more on higher-cost funds (savings accounts), which can limit their profitability.<br /><br /><h2>What is this financialisation of savings we are talking about?</h2>Then again, there is no doubt about the growing affinity of Indians towards mutual funds and stock markets. Recent data from CBDT (<keyword id="19942037" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="central-board-of-direct-taxes" source="keywords">Central Board of Direct Taxes</keyword>) highlights that India’s net direct tax collection surged by around 22%, driven exclusively by the significant uptick in the collection of <keyword id="20930760" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="securities-transaction-tax" source="keywords">Securities Transaction Tax</keyword> (STT), which doubled to Rs 26,154 crore, from Rs 13,352 crore in the year-ago period.<br /><br />Why does this matter? STT is levied when you buy or sell equity shares on stock exchanges, sell equity mutual funds, and trade in futures and options in the equity segment. Such taxes, including the multiple other taxes in equity market investments, are considered as leakages as the money moves out of the economy into government coffers.<br /><br />Data from a ValueQuest report explains that over the last 20 years, the markets have handsomely rewarded the investors, generating over $900 billion in incremental value for them. This is the major driver behind the dramatic rise in investment flowing towards the equity markets.<br /><br />There’s further proof of this budding romance, if you check the demat pudding. The number of demat accounts, which are a primary requisite for participating in the stock markets, also burgeoned by 42.3 lakh in August 2024, taking India’s total tally of demat accounts beyond 17 crore. To put this in perspective, this is almost equivalent to the population of just 8 nations in the world, including China, the US, Brazil and more. <br /><br />Vivek Iyer, Partner, Grant Thornton Bharat thinks it's rather important, as well. “Financialisation of household savings in India is an indication of deepening capital markets in the market, especially from a retail investor standpoint. Bank deposits with a modest rate of return are no longer the only option for savings for investors. Investors today have more avenues for wealth creation in the form of public capital markets, which have democratized wealth creation and provided equality of opportunity to retail investors”, he says. <br /><br />Yes, Indians are investing more and more in the markets, and in mutual funds. But is it a sin to look out for inflation-beating returns, which the stock markets offer, and vanilla bank deposits don't? After all, the allure of 12-13% annual returns offered by equities can certainly pale the stability offered by good old deposits, which generally do not go beyond 9% when it comes to annual returns. <br /><br />But all of this is not what is behind the slowdown. India is still a toddler in the school of savings financialization, with less than 10% of the population holding a demat account, and less than 5% of us saving in equities. That's a drop in the ocean of deposits, far inadequate to trigger a tsunami. <br /><br /><h2>Tell me why lagging deposits have nothing to do with Indians investing more in mutual funds!</h2>Says Shweta Rajani, Head - Mutual Funds, Anand Rathi Wealth Limited, “Households' equity holdings composition grew from 11.1% in FY 23 to 14.7% in FY 24. This trend reflects a growing awareness of investment options, empowering individuals to take control of their financial futures. Despite this transition towards equities, banks still hold a significant share of household financial savings—33.5% in FY24 compared to 34.9% in FY23”. <br /><br />Also, household savings and their subsequent financialization do not have much to do with deposit creation, which is entirely made by banks. What actually drives increased deposits is credit growth or increased lending. When interest rates are eased, people tend to borrow more and spend more, which circulates more money in the economy. <br /><br />For the past 4 years, RBI has been tightening the screws on interest rates, which raises the cost of borrowings, and makes it more expensive to take loans, putting a dampener on credit growth, but effectively curbing inflationary pressures.<br /><br />The last time RBI cut the repo rate by 40 basis points was back in May 2020, 4 years ago. The lag in deposit growth we’re witnessing is almost 3 years old. Coincidence much, or just good old economics at work? <br /><br />But with the <keyword id="19900043" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="fed" source="keywords">Fed</keyword> recently setting a rate cut precedent by slashing 50 bps off its interest rate, RBI is expected to follow suit in the next <keyword id="19918491" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="mpc" source="keywords">MPC</keyword> (Monetary Policy Committee) meeting, scheduled for November 2024. <br /><br />A rate cut would ease the aforementioned high cost of borrowing, and increase loan-taking for corporates and institutional investors, thereby stoking consumption in the economy. And then, deposit creation in banks is likely to return to its former glory. <br /><br />If not, then that would be a curious case to unravel! But that worry is for another day.<br />

A Deposit Dilemma — What's the fuss about a crisis in Indian bank deposits? Are mutual fund investments to blame?

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SBI economists see Q2 GDP growth slowing down to 6.5%; FY25 growth to be closer to 7%

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Best credit cards for online shopping this festive season

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A Deposit Dilemma — What's the fuss about a crisis in Indian bank deposits? Are mutual fund investments to blame?

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