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<keyword id="19938772" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Reliance-Industries-Ltd" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Reliance Industries Ltd" meta.hostid="267" meta.entityid="Reliance Industries Ltd">Reliance Industries Ltd</keyword> has won a vote of confidence from global rating agencies <keyword id="20043943" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="SP" source="keywords">S&amp;P</keyword> and <keyword id="19950093" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Fitch" source="keywords">Fitch</keyword> after its robust earnings in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2024, supported its growth aspirations and kept leverage under check. S&amp;P Global Ratings and Fitch Ratings in separate notes spoke of its <keyword id="19957744" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="EBITDA" source="keywords">EBITDA</keyword> (loosely known as pre-tax profit) rising in the current fiscal year and next on rising revenue and past investments. "<keyword id="19896380" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Reliance-Industries" source="keywords">Reliance Industries</keyword> Ltd's (<keyword id="20002939" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="ril" source="keywords">RIL</keyword>) strong earnings will keep leverage in check as the company continues to pursue growth ambitions. We expect the company's debt-to-EBITDA ratio to remain commensurate with the rating (BBB+/Stable/--)," S&amp;P said in a note. The oil-to-telecom-and-retail conglomerate's growth aspirations remain intact, it said, adding the company has ramped up investments in the media business in recent months. In 2024, it entered into binding definitive agreements with The Walt Disney Co for a media joint venture in which RIL will invest Rs 11,500 crore. The company subsequently agreed to buy Paramount Global's 13.01 per cent stake in local entertainment network Viacom18 Media Pte Ltd for about Rs 4,300 crore. "These investments are in line with RIL's strategy to diversify and have a strong presence in a few key industries," the rating agency said. Also, the company received government approval in 2024 to develop gas reserves in the KG-D6 block in the Bay Of Bengal. This could increase the company's gas production capacity by 13-17 per cent. RIL's earlier announced investments include a Rs 75,000 crore expansion plan over five years (starting 2022) for the oil-to-chemicals business. "RIL's earnings will benefit from past investments," S&amp;P said. "We project the company's adjusted EBITDA will rise 2-4 per cent in fiscal 2025 (year ending March 31, 2025)," it added. Just as in the past two years, the digital services segment (Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd) will be the key growth driver, with segment's EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortisation) increasing 10-12 per cent in fiscal 2025. Reliance Jio's wireless subscriber base and average revenue per user will gain from the company's investments in its 5G network since late 2022. Meanwhile, earnings in the oil and gas as well as retail segments will reap the rewards of increased production volume and a wider retail store network. "The EBITDA improvement that we expect in fiscal 2025 comes after a 14 per cent increase to Rs 1.6 lakh crore in fiscal 2024," it said. S&amp;P saw RIL's rising earnings providing it greater balance-sheet flexibility for growth. "We expect the combination of robust operating performances and continued spending to keep the company's debt-to-EBITDA ratio at 1.8x-2.0x over the next two years. This compares with our estimate of 1.7x for fiscal 2024 and our downgrade trigger of 2.5x," S&amp;P said. RIL's leverage has some distance from the upper end of the company's internal leverage target. RIL has reiterated its intention to keep its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio (by its own calculations) below 1x. The ratio was 0.65x as of March 31, 2024. Separately, Fitch Ratings said RIL's EBITDA net leverage is likely to remain below 1x in the medium term, supported by increasing cash flows and lower capex intensity, even as the conglomerate's absolute capex and investments remain high in the near term. "We expect RIL's EBITDA to increase by 8 per cent year-on-year in the financial year ending March 2025 (FY25) and 14 per cent in FY26, while capex intensity (capex/revenue) is likely to reduce below 13 per cent by FY26 (FY24: 15.3 per cent). Lower capex intensity would be driven by growing revenue and reduction in capex after FY25," it said. Fitch expected the conglomerate's Cash Flow from Operations (CFO) to be sufficient to fund its capex from FY26, which will limit additional debt funding and keep its EBITDA net leverage below 1.0x in the medium term (FY24: 0.9x, FY23: 1.1x). "Fitch estimates RIL's FY24 EBITDA net leverage at 0.9x, better than our expectation of 1.1x, driven by marginally higher EBITDA and Rs 20,900 crore of equity raised mainly from the sale of a stake in a subsidiary, even as its capex remained high at Rs 1.5 lakh crore (FY23: Rs 1.4 lakh crore)," the rating agency said in a statement. It rates RIL at 'BBB'/Stable, one notch above India's rating (BBB-/Stable). "We expect the EBITDA increase in the near to medium term to be driven by the telecom and retail businesses, supported by contribution from the upstream oil and gas segment and marginal recovery in petrochemical spreads in the oil to chemical (O2C) segment," Fitch said, adding EBITDA from digital services, largely telecom, is likely to benefit from a 10-15 per cent tariff hike and 15-20 million of additional subscribers in FY25 (FY24: 482 million subscribers). Digital services EBITDA rose by 13 per cent in FY24, as Reliance added 42 million subscribers and monthly average revenue per user increased to Rs 182. Monthly user data consumption increased by 24 per cent to 28.7 GB, one of the highest globally. Fitch expected retail EBITDA to increase by 20-25 per cent in FY25 (FY24: 28%) as Reliance continues to expand its physical stores and digital channels. EBITDA would be supported by a 22.2 per cent increase in its registered customer base to 304 million in FY24. Also, O2C segment EBITDA is expected to remain above Rs 60,000 crore in FY25 (FY24: Rs 62,400 crore), as a gradual improvement in petrochemical spreads from FY24 lows is expected as a supply overhang recedes. Upstream oil and gas EBITDA should stay at around Rs 20,000 crore in FY25 (FY24: Rs 20,200 crore), assisted by the expectation of a 10 per cent increase in gas production in the first full year of operation of three gas fields in the KG-D6 block, which should offset the potential reduction in price realisation with lower gas prices in international benchmarks. SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/jnk-india-ipo-allotment-how-to-check-allotment-gmp-listing-date-and-more/articleshow/109597273.cms">JNK India IPO allotment – How to check allotment, GMP, listing date and more</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/news/jiocinema-introduces-new-ad-free-premium-plans-starting-at-29/articleshow/109581033.cms">An Ambani disruption in OTT: At just ₹1 per day, you can now enjoy ad-free content on JioCinema</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/auto/webstories/ultraviolette-f77-mach-2-electric-sports-bike-launched-in-india-starting-at-2-99-lakh/slidelist/109615934.cms">Ultraviolette F77 Mach 2 electric sports bike launched in India starting at ₹2.99 lakh</a>

Reliance gets thumbs-up from S&P, Fitch as strong earnings keep leverage in check

<ul><li>Analysts believe that <keyword id="3820" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="mukesh-ambani" source="Orion">Mukesh Ambani</keyword>’s <keyword id="6355199" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="reliance-industries" source="Orion">Reliance Industries</keyword> could end the financial year 2021-22 on a high.</li><li>A continuation in the earnings upcycle is expected as chemical prices are rising, broadband subscribers are picking up, online retail gains traction and new energy investment picks up steam.</li><li>Shares of RIL have gained nearly 10%, outperforming benchmark index Sensex that tumbled nearly 6% so far in 2022.</li><li>The stock will remain in focus as investors await the firm’s March quarter earnings that is scheduled on May 6, Friday.</li></ul>Reliance Industries could bring cheer to its investors with the March earnings scheduled to be announced later today (May 6) as analysts believe the Mukesh Ambani-led company is looking at growth in three of its key businesses — refining, retail and telecom. Reliance Industries’ shares will be in focus as investors await the firm’s March quarter earnings that is scheduled on May 6, Friday. <div type="image" title="RIL chart 5" height="900" width="1200" msid="91356059" hostid="261"></div>Reliance Industries could see earnings upcycle as chemical prices are rising, broadband subscribers are picking up, online retail gains traction and new energy investment picks up, according to a report by Morgan Stanley as it states “an earnings upgrade cycle is taking hold and is key to reversing RIL's past year of underperformance.” Analysts at Yes Securities second the views as they say Reliance Industries is expected to report improvement in its earnings — on both quarterly and annual basis — on account of stronger refining margins. The revenue, however, would face a partial offset due to weaker margins in petrochemicals. Also read: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/telecom/news/reliance-jio-could-post-a-blockbuster-5000-crore-profit-in-the-march-quarter-say-analysts/articleshow/91316654.cms">https://www.businessinsider.in/business/telecom/news/reliance-jio-could-post-a-blockbuster-5000-crore-profit-in-the-march-quarter-say-analysts/articleshow/91316654.cms</a> Retail and telecom to drive Reliance’ growth, with refining gains offset by rising crude oil prices This would be the seventh quarter of sequential improvement in Reliance’ earnings. In the March quarter, refining and telecom are expected to drive growth with some offsets from the petrochem side, say analysts. In fact, <keyword id="6354504" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="reliance-jio" source="Orion">Reliance Jio</keyword> could post a <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/telecom/news/reliance-jio-could-post-a-blockbuster-5000-crore-profit-in-the-march-quarter-say-analysts/articleshow/91316654.cms">blockbuster ₹5,000 crore profit</a> in the March 2022 quarter. Analysts are gung-ho about the telecom sector’s performance in the March 2022 quarter. Analysts say that the telecom segment is expected to benefit from higher average revenue per user (ARPU) realisation whereas the retail segment would reap the benefits of sales traction driven by growth in network. Notably, RIL has invested more than <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/retail/news/asias-richest-man-mukesh-ambani-is-on-a-shopping-spree-for-private-fashion-labels/articleshow/90439055.cms">$1 billion in acquiring assets and building capabilities</a> of <keyword id="58448" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="reliance-retail" source="Orion">Reliance Retail</keyword>. Also read: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/retail/news/reliance-industries-retail-business-could-reach-new-heights-all-thanks-to-increased-investments-and-muted-covid-wave/articleshow/91312838.cms">https://www.businessinsider.in/retail/news/reliance-industries-retail-business-could-reach-new-heights-all-thanks-to-increased-investments-and-muted-covid-wave/articleshow/91312838.cms</a> “With rising penetration and market share wins ahead in consumer businesses (telecom tech and retail), we see the medium term growth story remaining intact as well,” said Goldman Sachs. Besides, recently the stock has been rising on hopes of its new hydrogen energy segment. Reliance best positioned to capitalise on hydrogen (new energy) segment Global investment banking firm Morgan Stanley expects the hydrogen segment of RIL to contribute 10% to its earnings with a net asset value of $10 billion by the end of this decade (by 2030). Analysts at Morgan Stanley believe <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/corporates/news/analysts-up-mukesh-ambanis-ril-target-price-by-over-20/articleshow/90981139.cms">hydrogen adoption plans </a>are quickly progressing in India in line with global peers, which makes RIL best positioned to capitalise on this segment. “For RIL, strong cash flow generation in the best in class old energy business (low cost structure and highest complexity) can fund the capex of the New Energy business and in turn drive one of the fastest and most profitable net zero transitions by 2035 amongst large energy companies, on our analysis,” said analysts at Goldman Sachs. <div type="javascript" title="Custom" contenttype="Image"><cdata><![CDATA[]]></cdata></div> SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/telecom/news/reliance-jio-could-post-a-blockbuster-5000-crore-profit-in-the-march-quarter-say-analysts/articleshow/91316654.cms">Reliance Jio could post a blockbuster ₹5,000 crore profit in the March quarter, say analysts</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/retail/news/reliance-industries-retail-business-could-reach-new-heights-all-thanks-to-increased-investments-and-muted-covid-wave/articleshow/91312838.cms">Reliance Retail could touch new heights thanks to a muted third wave of COVID-19 and increased investments</a>

Reliance Industries could see an earnings boost driven by its three pillars — refining, retail and telecom

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Reliance gets thumbs-up from S&P, Fitch as strong earnings keep leverage in check

PTI

Reliance Industries could see an earnings boost driven by its three pillars — refining, retail and telecom

Bhakti Makwana

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