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Imagine this. You have a younger sibling you’re mighty envious of. And why not? Unlike you, they seem to enjoy all the freedom and money in the world. They party like there’s no tomorrow, and here you are, stuck in a boring, ultra-disciplined but responsible routine that feels completely devoid of any independence, and mostly, funds. But of late, things are changing. This sibling is in massive trouble and just cannot escape the parent’s wrath anymore. Long story short, the party is over, and it is time to go back home. The rising defaults on this sibling’s part have now begun pulling the entire house down, thereby attracting the regulator’s ire. <h2>The Wild West of microfinance and unsecured loans</h2>It's hard to ignore the issues with microfinance and unsecured loans in India. Many saw them as a small gamble and ignored the rising defaults much like the younger siblings’ tantrums, and now they find themselves in hot waters. The skyrocketing instances of non-payments aren't a micro-issue anymore and are threatening the stability of the entire banking system. In the quarter ended September 30, 2024, 5 of India’s 8 largest private sector <keyword id="19934118" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="banks" source="keywords">banks</keyword> reported a steep rise in their bad loan book, mostly thanks to microfinance loans. Some banks, in a bid to strengthen their fortress against these <keyword id="142154" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="bad-loans" source="Orion">bad loans</keyword>, have significantly upped their provisions. For instance, <keyword id="46717" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="IndusInd-bank" source="Orion">IndusInd Bank</keyword> set aside Rs 525 crore during July and September 2024 to battle the menace of defaults on microfinance loans, which make up about 9% of its total loan book. See, banks rely heavily on their interest income, which they earn from advancing loans. Any loan where the borrower has not paid interest to the bank or defaulted for 90 days or more becomes bad, i.e., an <keyword id="79363" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="npa" source="Orion">NPA</keyword>, or non-performing asset for the bank. And who likes things going bad? Simply put, there has been a steep rise in three areas, much to the dislike of banks and MFIs (micro-finance institutions). But hey, it's mostly their doing! <ol><li>GNPA ratio (gross net performing assets): The quantum of non-performing assets a bank has in proportion to its total assets.</li><li>Provision: The amount banks set aside to take care of such NPAs.</li><li>Slippage ratio: The rate at which good girls go bad, or the speed at which good loans turn into NPAs</li></ol>But how are these plaguing the Indian banking sector? And what does the road ahead look like? We decode it for you. <h2> Microfinance: A not-so-micro-menace</h2>Microfinance loans were initially brought forth for low-income households and individuals, i.e. for those who might not generally have access to traditional ways of credit, like bank loans and more. They don’t require collateral or an asset to be pledged in lieu of the loan, making it a tad bit easier for borrowers. As of June 2024, the amount of outstanding loans in the microfinance industry stood at a staggering Rs 4,20,256 crore. Of this, NBFC-MFIs accounted for 40% and banks made for 33% of these. In 2022, <keyword id="30067" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="RBI" source="Orion">RBI</keyword>, in a bid to inspire some competition in this space, did something radical-they did away with the ceiling on how much interest MFIs could charge their customers. Previously, MFIs could add up to 12% to their cost of acquiring funds to determine the final interest rate chargeable to the consumer. So, assuming that Bank A incurs a 5% cost to acquire funds for further loaning, A could charge up to 17% interest from the end consumer. So, interest rates were in the hands of MFIs, and boy, did they have a gala time with it. Instead of spurring some healthy competition, as RBI expected, MFIs and banks went rogue and all guns blazing, competing for the title of “Who will charge the highest interest?” Recently, RBI banned 4 microfinance institutions (MFIs), namely Asirvad Micro Finance Limited, Arohan Financial Services Limited, DMI Finance Private Limited, and Navi Finserv, from disbursing loans effective October 21, 2024. Why? Because they were charging 14% extra interest over their original cost of funds. To maintain their loan books (and pockets), banks and NBFCs resorted to shady practices like netting off loans, which RBI has now advised MFIs against. Here, lenders allow borrowers to settle a previous outstanding loan by issuing them a new loan! As crazy as it sounds, it helped banks to report less of their total assets as NPAs, since the new credit would cover pending installments of the borrower’s previous loan. Then there was the issue of borrowers overleveraging, i.e. taking multiple loans using different IDs from various lenders and then failing to honor any of them. The consequence? Banks and NBFCs end up with massive NPAs. Data from credit bureaus suggests that over the last quarter, there was a 17.2% rise in the number of borrowers who had 5 or more active loans at the same time. <h2>Growth &gt; Caution</h2>It's an age-old tale unfolding yet again in India’s banking sector- Icarus flew too close to the sun and eventually, fell to its death. Between April and June 2024, NBFCs microfinance portfolio jumped by 2.7%. If you see this in terms of loan sources, microfinance loans issued by banks grew by 11.2% in Q1FY25. But the same portfolio in NBFCs swelled by almost double-23.9%. While most of these loans had an average ticket size between Rs 30,000-50,000, there was a sharp spike in the number of loans that had a ticket size of Rs 80,000 or more. Data suggests that as of March 2024, more than 12% of all microfinance borrowers had over 4 or more active loans. In dating parlance, this is a classic case of borrowers going polyamorous, minus the honesty and transparency. Not the best of situations, you'd agree! <h2>Will banks and NBFCs stand up to this stress?</h2>If their results for Q2FY25 are to be believed, NBFCs are not handling the pressure all that well. Or even slightly well. Only a few banks like Bank of Baroda (BoB), ICICI, and Indian Bank were up for the battle, even witnessing a decline in their loan delinquencies. Some others, like IndusInd Bank, saw their stock dip by a massive 16.2% over the last 5 days. Its slippages in the previous quarter burgeoned from Rs 15.3 billion in Q1FY25 to Rs 17.9 billion in Q2. As a result, the bank pushed a staggeringly high amount of money to create an NPA cushion for itself. While its management has highlighted its preference for secured lending, that was hardly reflected in its actions during the quarter, where growth in unsecured personal loans remained exceptionally high at over 7% on a QoQ basis. Turns out, only 44% of customers in IndusInd Banks’ microfinance loan portfolio were exclusive to it. The rest 47% were, you guessed it right-polyamorous! 27% had borrowed from another lender as well, apart from IndusInd Bank, while 20% were those who had outstanding loans with two other lenders, apart from IndusInd Bank. IndusInd Bank’s credit card segment did not miss the NPA bus and accounted for 7-8% of its GNPAs. Canara Bank’s total slippages during the previous quarter jumped to Rs 11.1 billion, up by 24.7% QoQ, and making up for 3.6% of its total loans. As for Bandhan Bank, its <keyword id="763994" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Gross-NPA" source="Orion">gross NPA</keyword> for Q2FY25 inched up on a QoQ basis, up from 4.23% in Q1, to 4.68% in the second quarter. <keyword id="62152" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="IDFC-bank" source="Orion">IDFC Bank</keyword>’s heavy provisioning for its NPAs marred its profits significantly, causing its PAT (profit after tax) to dip by 73% on a YoY basis. Data from ICRA Analytics suggest that the AUM (asset under management) growth in microfinance loans and unsecured (personal and business) loans by the NBFCs will moderate to 10-12% and 19-21%, respectively, in FY2025 compared to 30% and 38%, in FY2024. Says A M Karthik, Senior Vice President &amp; Co-Group Head, Financial Sector Ratings, ICRA, “As bank funds constitute a larger share in the overall funding of NBFCs, a slower credit flow from banks to the NBFCs will compress their AUM growth. The NBFCs in unsecured and digital lending businesses shall face a higher squeeze in funding compared to others, and the unsecured lending space will continue to be a source of stress in the near term.” There has been uninhibited growth in unsecured loans, apart from just the microfinance segment. For instance, Axis Bank’s gross slippages jumped by Rs 4,443 crore, largely thanks to its unsecured business. The same is the case with Yes Bank, which saw 35–40% of its retail slippages emerging from the unsecured loan portfolio. Kotak Mahindra Bank was also quick to follow Yes Bank’s suit, with around 35%-40% of its slippages coming from credit cards. <h2>How is the road ahead?</h2>While RBI has just cracked its whip and served a warning at the moment, experts at Morgan Stanley believe that more changes (read regulatory lashes) are underway. Moreover, with both festive and wedding seasons underway in our country, unsecured lending might pick up momentum, much to the disdain of the calibrated approach banks have been taking towards it so far. But if the situation doesn't improve, RBI will not waste any time in becoming the typical tyrannical Bollywood headmaster who runs his dominion with an iron fist and takes things (and ceiling rates) into their own hands. However, that's a story for another day.

Is the lending party over? The dangerous tango of Indian banks with microfinance and unsecured loans

<ul><li>Incremental credit growth expected to remain robust at Rs. 16.5-18.0 trillion in FY2024, despite marginal slowdown.</li><li>NIMs expected to compress by 20-25 bps, though benign credit costs and lower operating expenses to provide support.</li><li>Asset quality is likely to remain benign as GNPAs and NNPAs are expected to decline further by March 2024.</li></ul> Analysts may be worried about rising stress in the retail assets of banks, but <keyword id="6354972" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="icra" source="Orion">ICRA</keyword> is of the view that the sector is resilient and that credit growth is expected to remain strong. Given that deposits have been repriced after the <keyword id="6375120" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="monetary-policy-committee" source="Orion">Monetary Policy Committee</keyword> of the <keyword id="6354335" type="General" weightage="50" keywordseo="reserve-bank-of-india" source="Orion">Reserve Bank of India</keyword> delivered six interest rates hikes. However, ICRA does not expect this to impact profitability of the sector negatively. In a note, the agency said: “While the upward repricing of the deposit base is likely to lead to a moderation in the interest margin, benign asset quality pressures would support lower credit costs and earnings.” Accordingly, in ICRA’s view, the banking sector is expected to continue generating sufficient internal capital to largely meet its growth needs while improving the capital cushions. The retail segment is likely to remain the key contributor to credit growth although the sustainability of asset quality hinges on macroeconomic conditions remaining favourable. ICRA expects the headline metrics of the banking sector to remain on an improving trajectory on the back of controlled net additions (net of recoveries and upgrades) to non-performing advances (NPAs) and reasonably strong credit growth. Accordingly, ICRA expects the gross NPAs (GNPAs) and net NPAs (NNPAs) to decline to 2.8-3.0% and 0.8-0.9%, respectively, by March 2024 from 3.96% and 0.97%, respectively, as on March 31, 2023, which would remain the best in more than a decade. Notwithstanding this, ICRA remains cautious about the impact of macroeconomic shocks on asset quality, if these were to materialise. Commenting further Anil Gupta, Senior Vice President &amp; Co-Group Head, ICRA said: “Credit growth remains robust despite some moderation. Even at the anticipated pace of growth for FY2024, incremental credit expansion would be the second highest ever at Rs 16.5-18.0 trillion, next only to the record level of Rs 18.2 trillion (+15.4%) last year.” Credit costs are estimated to remain at 1.0% of advances in FY2024, in line with FY2023. This should allow banks to comfortably withstand a compression of 20-25 bps in the interest margins, which would lead to a mild moderation in the return on assets (RoA) to 1.0% in FY2024 from 1.1% in FY2023. At these levels, the RoE would remain healthy at 13.0-13.1% in FY2024 against 13.8% in FY2023. Furthermore, supported by internal capital generation and lower <keyword id="4105639" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="NNPA" source="Orion">NNPA</keyword> levels, the capitalisation and solvency profiles of private and public sector banks would remain comfortable. ICRA projects the Tier-I capital of the banking sector at 14.6-14.7% (14.4% as of March 2023) and an improvement in the solvency levels to 7% (8% as of March 2023) by March 2024. Over the last decade, credit growth in the retail segment remained buoyant and a key driver of overall credit expansion. As retail growth outpaced other segments, its share in bank credit rose to 32% as on March 31, 2023 from 18% in March 2013. Moreover, the corporate book witnessed underperformance in recent years, including weaker asset quality levels and muted expansion, resulting in slower growth trends relative to the retail segment. The Covid-19 pandemic was a stress test event on the asset quality across segments and defaults and losses were relatively higher in the unsecured segments. With more insight on the borrowers’ repayment behaviour during the pandemic, lenders can take better decisions while growing unsecured retail loans. Moreover, the retail segment continued to report resilience despite volatile macro-economic conditions, including rising interest rates and surging inflation, which impacted disposable income. Gupta added: “Even as the retail segment has performed well, the material weakening of macro-economic conditions could exert pressure on the debt-servicing abilities of borrowers and we remain watchful of its impact on the asset quality of lenders. Nonetheless, banks have strong operating profits and capital positions. Consequently, they are much better placed at present for navigating through such a scenario.”

Interest rate hikes unlikely to have negative impact on earnings of banking sector: ICRA

New Delhi, Dec 21 () SBI Chairman Rajnish Kumar on Saturday said most banks will be in a good position with respect to stressed assets by March and there is no dearth of liquidity in the system for lending.
 He added that there are opportunities to lend in sectors such as infrastructure and consumer lending as there is not much of a decline in demand from consumers.
 "By March 31st, most of the banks will be in a good position with respect to stressed assets," Kumar said at the 92nd Annual Convention of industry chamber FICCI here.
 On transmission of monetary policy, he said the banks cannot lower rates beyond a threshold due to asset liability mismatch issues.
 Kumar stated that there is no shortage of capital in the system, but the corporates are not borrowing enough and not utilising their capacities well.
 On lending to the telecom sector for the next round of spectrum auctions, he said, "For us lending to the telecom sector for spectrum is completely unsecured. On paper it is secured as the auction is to be done by government but practically it is totally unsecured."
 "So in such circumstances, banks will have to evaluate carefully before lending to the sector as the probability of default is very high," Kumar said. KPM ABM
ABM

Banking industry's NPA situation to improve by fiscal-end: SBI chairman

<ul><li>Bandhan Bank's profits fell by over 29% in the fourth quarter.</li><li>Its gross non-performing asset ratio showed improved from 1.93% in the last quarter to 1.48% between January to March.</li><li>Bandhan Bank's share price has showed marked improvement in the lockdown period but dipped by 1% before markets closed today.</li></ul>Bandhan Bank’s profits fell by over 29% in the fourth quarter even as its asset quality improved. With 3.92% more deposits in its kitty and gross non-performing assets falling to 1.48% from 1.93% in December. <div type="image" title="Bandhan net profit" msid="75695514" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Bandhan Bank&amp;#39;s net profits over the last year&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> One of India’s largest microfinance institutions share price had managed to recover by over 54% since the lockdown was announced on March 25. Today the stock closed in the red 1.65% below yesterday's closing after recuperating from a dip of nearly 4% around noon. <div type="image" title="Bandhan Bank share price" msid="75695393" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Bandhan Bank&amp;#39;s share price since the lockdown was announced&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> However, analysts are worried about India’s finance industry as the lockdown leaves any without a job — making it difficult for them to make payments on loans. <div type="image" title="Bandhan Bank Gross NPA (4)" msid="75695481" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Bandhan Bank&amp;#39;s gross NPA&amp;#39;s over the last year&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> Keeping that in mind, Bandhan Bank increased provision by ₹690 crore. “With this provision and additional Standard Assets provision that Bank is carrying in Micro banking portfolio total additional provision in books stands at ₹ 1000 crore,” it said in a statement. MD and CEO of Bandhan Bank Chandrasekhar Ghosh told <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/lockdown-bandhan-bank-sees-no-problem-in-loan-repayments/articleshow/75159931.cms">PTI</a> that repayments would not be an issue for the bank in April. Even though the recovery of loans stopped from March 23 — since bank personnel couldn’t physically go to collect the money due tot he lockdown — the borrowers’ businesses are continuing as usual. <table style="border-width: initial; border-style: none; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.6em; box-shadow: none; width: 468pt; font-family: Merriweather; table-layout: fixed; padding-bottom: 10px !important; background-image: inherit !important; background-position: inherit !important; background-size: inherit !important; background-repeat: inherit !important; background-attachment: inherit !important; background-origin: inherit !important; background-clip: inherit !important;"></colgroup><tbody><tr><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">Bandhan Bank </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">March 2020 </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">December 2019 </td></tr><tr><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">Net profit </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">₹ 51,728.53 lakh </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">₹ 73,103.33 lakh </td></tr><tr><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">Gross NPA % </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">1.48% </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">1.93% </td></tr><tr><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">Deposits </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">₹ 57,08,150.36 lakh </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">₹ 43,23,162.03 lakh </td></tr><tr><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">CASA Ratio </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">36.8% </td><td style="border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); padding: 5pt; font-size: 16px; vertical-align: top; overflow: hidden; overflow-wrap: break-word;">34.3% </td></tr></tbody></table> The three month moratorium period on loan repayments by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will come to close on May 31, when the true impact of the coronavirus on bad loans will come to light. According to Ghosh, interest will be recovered irrespective of whether the bank’s customers opt for the moratorium or not. SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/indigo-share-price-jump-after-airline-denies-interest-in-virgin-australia/articleshow/75688856.cms">IndiGo shares take off after airline denies interest in Virgin Australia</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/finance/news/86-indian-consumers-are-worried-about-repaying-loans-after-moratorium-says-a-new-bcg-survey/articleshow/75687575.cms">86% Indian consumers are worried about repaying loans after moratorium, says a new BCG survey</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/asian-paints-share-price-falls-as-goldman-sachs-downgrades-stock/articleshow/75691813.cms">Asian Paints’ shareholders had a fear that Goldman Sachs just confirmed— Indians will not rush to do up their homes</a>

Bandhan Bank’s profits fall by 29% even though asset quality shows improvement

State-owned non-banking finance firm <keyword id="77463" type="COMPANY" weightage="20" keywordseo="Power-Finance-Corporation">Power Finance Corporation</keyword> (PFC) has recorded the highest-ever net profit of ₹8,444 crore for financial year 2020-21, a 49 percent jump over the previous year. In FY20, the PFC had reported a net profit of ₹5,655 crore on a standalone basis. The company's consolidated net profit also increased by 66 per cent in FY21 to ₹15,716 crore against ₹9,477 crore reported in FY20. During 2020-21, the power sector lender increased its net interest income to ₹12,951 crore in compassion to ₹10,097 crore reported in FY 20. The company declared dividend of ₹2 per share which takes up its total dividend distribution in FY 21 of ₹10 per share i.e. 100 per cent. Aided by profit growth, PFC's net worth for FY21 also increased by 16 per cent to ₹52,393 crore. Unlike commercial banks, PFC's Gross <keyword id="79363" type="COMPANY" weightage="20" keywordseo="NPA">NPA</keyword> ratio saw a sharp reduction of 238 bps from FY20. The current GNPA ratio is at 5.70 per cent against 8.08 per cent in FY20 <keyword id="920338" type="COMPANY" weightage="20" keywordseo="Net-NPA">Net NPA</keyword> ratio also saw a sharp reduction of 171 bps from FY20. The current Net NPA ratio is at 2.09 per cent against 3.80 per cent in FY20. The lender said that 25 percent of its 'stressed book' got resolved in FY 21. The capital adequacy ratio of the company has also improved sequentially to 18.83 per cent as on March 31, 2021. The capital adequacy is at a comfortable level with sufficient cushion over &amp; above the prescribed regulatory limits. Under the Aatma Nirbhar Discoms liquidity support announced by the government, PFC &amp; its subsidiary <keyword id="46436" type="LOCATION" weightage="20" keywordseo="REC">REC</keyword>, combined together have so far sanctioned ₹1,34,782 crore and disbursed ₹78,855 crore. "I am extremely pleased with our FY 21 results despite the many headwinds faced during the year. The impressive performance in FY 21 as is evident from the highest ever profit, underlines the inherent strengths of PFC in handling adverse economic events. Going forward also, we are committed to deliver long-term value to our shareholders," Chairman and Managing Director R.S. Dhillon said. SEE ALSO <a target="_blank" class="c-link" href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/adani-group-under-sebi-scanner-on-market-manipulation/articleshow/83501698.cms">Gautam Adani loses over $7 billion in net worth after questions over the meteoric rise in group stocks</a> <a target="_blank" class="c-link" href="https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/adani-group-pnb-coal-india-tcs-and-other-stocks-to-watch-out-for-on-june-14/slidelist/83499937.cms">Adani group, PNB, Coal India, TCS and other stocks to watch out for on June 14</a> <a target="_blank" class="c-link" href="https://www.businessinsider.in/cryptocurrency/news/weekly-crypto-roundup-wazirx-under-scrutiny-el-salvador-makes-bitcoin-legal-tender-and-more/slidelist/83478577.cms">Weekly crypto roundup: WazirX under scrutiny, El Salvador makes Bitcoin legal tender and more</a>

Non-banking finance firm Power Finance Corporation records 49% jump in net profits in FY21

Mumbai, Dec 26 () Aided by better recoveries and declining slippages, overall net non-performing assets (NPAs) of the banking sector are likely to improve to 3.2-3.3 per cent by the end this fiscal from 3.7 per cent in September 2019, says a report.
 Net NPAs of banking sector stood at 3.8 per cent as of March 2019.
 "The asset quality for the banking sector continues to improve with declining slippages and expected improvements in recoveries during FY20 even though loan write-offs continue to remain at elevated levels," rating agency ICRA said in a report.
 A recent RBI report on trends and progress of banking sector showed that recovery of stressed assets improved during FY19 propelled by resolutions under the IBC, which contributed more than half of the total amount recovered.
 Banks recovery from bad loans had improved by 15.5 per cent in FY2019 from 14.9 per cent in FY2018.
 The rating agency said the decline in net NPAs will improve the solvency profile of banks, with core equity bettering to around 29 per cent by March 2020 and nearly 27 per cent by March 2021 from 33 per cent as on September 30, 2019.
 The report said with sizeable capital infusion in public sector banks and accelerated provisions, their NNPAs declined sharply to 4.8 per cent as on September 30, 2019 from 7.2 per cent as on September, 2018 and 4.9 per cent as on March 31, 2019.
 Private lenders net NPAs improved to 1.7 per cent as on September 30, 2019 from 1.9 per cent as on September 30, 2018, but were marginally higher than 1.6 per cent as on March 31, 2019.
 The report said with reduction in net bad loan levels, credit provisions for banks are expected to decline to 1.6-1.8 per cent of advances in the current fiscal and 0.8-0.9 per cent during FY2021 from 3.6 per cent during FY2019.
 The decline in the credit provisions will largely be driven by state-run banks with their provisioning declining to 2.1-2.3 per cent in FY2020 and to 1-1.1 per cent in FY2021 from 4.4 per cent during FY2019.
 The report further said the year-on-year growth in bank credit is expected to decelerate sharply to 6.5-7 per cent in FY2020 from 13.3 per cent in FY2019, following limited incremental credit growth the current fiscal till date.
 "The incremental bank credit has increased by only Rs 0.80 trillion during FY2020 till December 6, 2019 to Rs 98.1 trillion, in contrast to the rise of Rs 5.4 trillion and Rs 1.7 trillion during previous corresponding periods of FY2019 and FY2018, respectively," the rating agency said.
 Even in a high growth scenario, whereby incremental credit rises to Rs 6.5-7 trillion during the second half of FY2020, the rating agency projects a 40-45 per cent y-o-y decline in incremental net bank credit to Rs 6.3-6.8 trillion during FY2020 from Rs 11.9 trillion during FY2019.
 On the capital front, the report said the state-run banks' incremental capital requirements for 6-8 per cent growth in risk weighted assets and increasing regulatory requirements will remain limited at Rs 10,000-20,000 crore for FY2020.
 The government has announced a capital infusion of Rs 70,000 crore in state-run banks for FY2020, of which Rs 59,800 crore have been infused during September 2019, including Rs 4,557 crore in IDBI Bank. HV MR
MR

Banking sector net NPA may improve to 3.2pc by March-end, says report

Mumbai, Dec 24 () The non-banking financial company (NBFC) sector, which has been affected by a series of default by IL&amp;FS, reported a sharp jump in gross non-performing assets ratio to 6.1 per cent in FY19 from 5.3 per cent in FY18, says an RBI report.
The net NPA ratio saw a marginal uptick at 3.4 per cent in the fiscal ended March 2019, compared to 3.3 per cent in FY18.
In its report on Trends and Progress 2018-19, the Reserve Bank of India said in FY20, up to September, asset quality of the sector showed deterioration with a slight increase in gross non-performing asset (GNPA) ratio.
However, it did not disclose of the September NPA ratio.
The report said in 2018-19, GNPA ratio of non-deposit NBFCs deteriorated to 6.1 per cent from 5.3 per cent in FY18.
The net NPA ratio for NBFCs-ND-SI edged up marginally, reflecting the maintenance of adequate buffers, especially by microfinance institutions (MFIs) and Infrastructure Finance Companies (IFC).
NBFCs-MFI, however, reported a significant improvement in the GNPA ratio at 4.3 per cent in FY19 compared to 7.5 per cent.
"The improvement in the GNPA ratio of the NBFCs-MFI may be attributed to write offs of aging loans," the report said.
In the case of deposit taking NBFCs, gross NPAs declined to 5.3 per cent in FY19 to 6.1 per cent in FY18.
The report said although the NBFC sector grew in size to Rs 30.9 lakh crore in FY19 from Rs 26.2 lakh crore in FY18, the pace of expansion was lower than in FY18, mainly due to rating downgrades and liquidity stress in a few large NBFCs in the aftermath of the IL&amp;FS event.
Despite liquidity stress faced by the sector, there was expansion in asset size of IFCs.
Balance-sheets of NBFCs-MFI also expanded on the back of strong growth in their loans and advances, especially to the agriculture sector.
In 2018-19, credit extended by NBFCs continued to grow, the report said adding, "industry is the largest recipient of credit provided by the NBFC sector, followed by retail loans and services". HV RUJ BAL
BAL

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