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<keyword id="24068881" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Equity-investments-in-Indian-real-estate" source="keywords">Equity investments in Indian real estate</keyword> may rise 49% to $11 billion this calendar year amid strong demand for properties, according to CII and CBRE. In the 2023 calendar year, the equity investments in real estate stood at $7.4 billion. Industry body CII and real estate consultant CBRE on Wednesday released a joint report titled 'Leading the Charge: Crafting the Skylines of Tomorrow' at the annual CII Realty 2024 conclave. Equity capital inflows touched $8.9 billion between January and September, registering a 46% year-on-year growth. "Overall equity investments in 2024 in the real estate sector are set to hit a new record surpassing $10 billion for the first time," the report said. With a resurgence in investment inflows in built-up office assets and a strong acquisition pipeline for land in the residential sector, the overall equity investments in 2024 would be in the $10-11 billion range. During January-September, institutional and collective vehicle investors accounted for nearly 40% of the overall investments. Developer companies led the total capital inflows with more than 41% share in this period. Domestic investors (predominantly developers) invested nearly USD 6 billion during the first nine months of the calendar year, dominating the overall capital inflows with an almost 65% share. In comparison, foreign investors contributed about $3.1 billion during the same timeframe. Notably, North American and Singaporean investors were the significant contributors, representing about 85% of all foreign capital inflows. Anshuman Magazine, Chairman &amp; CEO, India, South-East Asia, Middle East &amp; Africa, CBRE, said, "Projection for 2024 equity investments between $10-11 billion, highest-ever, underscores continued investor interest in the growing <keyword id="23870227" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="real-estate-market-in-India" source="keywords">real estate market in India</keyword>." With SEBI's SM-REIT framework, he said, smaller but high-quality assets in Tier-II markets would also present new avenues for strategic capital deployment. "We believe this regulatory support will add much-needed transparency, enabling a more diversified investment base and encouraging institutional participation across these markets," Magazine said. Going ahead, he said this growing diversification will not only solidify India's real estate sector but also pave the way for future growth across emerging asset classes.

Equity investments in Indian real estate may rise 49% to record $11 billion this year, says CII-CBRE report

In Maharashtra’s Thane district, police have registered a case of alleged fraud involving two construction company owners accused of deceiving a family of ₹1.2 crore. The incident came to light after a 28-year-old woman from Thane’s Rabodi area lodged a complaint against the two accused, who are brothers. The accused allegedly persuaded the woman, her mother, and her sister to invest the substantial sum in their construction company based in Mumbai’s Bandra area. Promises were made of a significant payout within five years or, alternatively, the option of acquiring two or three apartments in the city’s prime real estate zone. According to the complaint, the woman’s family entered the deal on December 31, 2022, convinced by assurances of either a return of ₹3 crore over five years or property options in Bandra. To meet the required investment amount, the family borrowed funds from various sources, entrusting their money with the accused based on the lucrative promises. The police official handling the case noted that the family, enticed by the seemingly profitable terms, had not foreseen the outcome that would follow. In May 2023, however, when the family attempted to reclaim their funds and the anticipated profit, the accused allegedly declined the request. The complainant stated that the brothers not only refused to pay but also reportedly threatened the family, citing powerful connections that would shield them from legal repercussions. This behaviour alarmed the family, leading them to seek legal recourse. The Rabodi police have filed a case against the accused under various sections of the Indian Penal Code, including Section 420 for cheating, Section 406 for criminal breach of trust, and Section 506 for criminal intimidation. Additionally, charges were filed under Section 34, indicating common intention, along with relevant provisions of the Maharashtra Protection of Interest of Depositors Act. The case highlights the dangers that investors may face when lured by high-return promises in unregulated sectors. Fraudulent schemes in real estate and construction have been known to target individuals and families looking for profitable investments, often leaving them with financial losses and emotional distress. Authorities are continuing investigations, with the Rabodi police closely monitoring the case to gather further evidence. This incident is expected to bring more attention to regulatory practices within the real estate industry and underscore the need for stricter oversight to protect potential investors from falling prey to deceitful operators. (with PTI inputs)

Thane family loses Rs 1.2 crore as they get cheated by construction company, details here

<keyword id="19895040" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="real-estate" source="keywords">Real estate</keyword> was India's asset of choice for investment in the first half of 2024, noted a recent FICCI-ANAROCK report. About 59% of the 7,615 respondents across 14 Indian cities expressed their desire to invest in real estate. Out of these, 67% of respondents wanted to buy a house to live in it, while the remaining 33% viewed it as an investment. Out of this 33%, the majority (57%) wanted to earn rental yields from the same, while another 20% planned to sell their property after its price has appreciated significantly. The remaining 23% viewed real estate as an asset for securing their future. Even for millennials, buying a house featured at the top of their priorities. 66% of millennials and 41% of generation X respondents highlighted that they intended to utilize their investment gains to buy a house in the future. What was also notable was the significant decline in demand for ready-to-move in units and a corresponding rise in demand for under-construction units. During the first half of 2024, for every 20 individuals who preferred a ready-to-move-in house, 25 respondents chose a new launch or under-construction property. This ratio was at 32:21 in the first half of 2021. Some of the reasons why over 53% of homebuyers are dissatisfied with the current available options when it comes to <keyword id="20254620" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="affordable-housing" source="keywords">affordable housing</keyword> are location accessibility (92%), poor quality construction design (84%), and small unit sizes (68%). Even the supply in the affordable housing category across the top 7 Indian cities has considerably shrunk over the last 3 years, from 26% in 2021 to just 17% as of September 2024. However, this differed based on the city. While over 50% of respondents chose 3BHK apartments in cities like Chennai, Hyderabad, Delhi-NCR, and Bengaluru, over 40% preferred a 2BHK in other metros like Kolkata. Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) and Pune. However, that does not mean that there is little demand for luxury homes. 28% of respondents preferred buying a house between the range of Rs 90 lakh and Rs 1.5 crore. This was a mere 18% prior to the pandemic. However, the most common budget range for houses remained between Rs 45-90 lakh, with 35% of respondents choosing the same. As far as under-construction properties are concerned, a staggering 98% of respondents prefer timely project completion, 93% choose improved construction quality, and 72% prefer a well-lit, ventilated home. The report further noted that Indians are increasingly inclined towards larger, more luxurious living spaces. 3BHKs and apartments remained the most preferred choice of residence and property type, with 51% and 58% of respondents opting for them, respectively. Residential plots were also seen gaining traction, particularly in southern India, with 30% of respondents in Chennai, 29% in Bengaluru, and 27% in Hyderabad preferring them. <keyword id="21483825" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="home-loan-interest-rates" source="keywords">Home loan interest rates</keyword> also significantly influenced home buying decisions. If the rates are below 8.5%, it would have minimal impact on buying decisions for around 71% of respondents. However, interest rates exceeding 9% would significantly impact 87% of buyers. With the RBI currently deciding to hold off on slashing interest rates in October for the 10th consecutive time, home loan rates are likely to stay elevated in the future. Experts estimate that the RBI will start cutting interest rates early next year.

Real estate continues to dominate India's investment portfolios, shows FICCI report

Dear reader, This week’s news roundup captures a mix of finance, technology, and career insights, spotlighting trends and timely advice. The <keyword id="19895040" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Real-Estate" source="keywords">real estate</keyword> sector in India continues to reign supreme in investment portfolios, even as new financial opportunities emerge. Meanwhile, <keyword id="20019820" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Job-Seekers" source="keywords">job seekers</keyword> are dealing with “ghosting,” a new twist in recruitment echoing modern dating. In tech, a damaged satellite shows how fragile internet infrastructure can disrupt connectivity, while an <keyword id="23685266" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Amazon-Engineer" source="keywords">Amazon engineer</keyword> offers a firsthand roadmap to nailing technical interviews. Read on to know about the top stories of the week gone by. <h2>Real Estate continues to dominate India’s investment portfolios, shows <keyword id="23616651" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="FICCI-Report" source="keywords">FICCI report</keyword></h2> According to a FICCI report, real estate remains a favourite in Indian investment portfolios. High returns, capital appreciation, and stability make it a popular choice, even amid increased diversification. <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/finance/news/real-estate-continues-to-dominate-indias-investment-portfolios-shows-ficci-report/articleshow/114368582.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Read more</a> <h2>Did you experience wonky broadband service recently? A broken satellite in space might have something to do with it! </h2> Broadband disruptions across various areas may stem from a broken satellite, highlighting vulnerabilities in space-based infrastructure. This issue underscores how satellite failures impact daily internet access. <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/science/space/article/did-you-experience-wonky-broadband-service-recently-a-broken-satellite-in-space-might-have-something-to-do-with-it/articleshow/114535180.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Read more</a> <h2>Bhavish Aggarwal's <keyword id="19897349" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Ola-Electric" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Ola Electric" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Ola Electric">OLA Electric</keyword> says it has resolved 99% customer complaints after receiving CCPA show cause notice </h2> Two-wheeler manufacturer Ola Electric announced that it has successfully addressed 99.1% of the 10,644 complaints raised by the Central Consumer Protection Authority (CCPA). This update came on the heels of a recent notice from the CCPA, which had accused the company of misleading advertisements, unfair trade practices, and potential consumer rights violations. <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/news/bhavish-aggarwals-ola-electric-says-it-has-resolved-99-customer-complaints-after-receiving-ccpa-show-cause-notice/articleshow/114489333.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Read more</a> <h2>Job Hunting in 2024 has a modern dating element: Ghosting </h2> Job seekers in 2024 face an unexpected trend — “ghosting,” a phenomenon borrowed from dating. Recruiters and candidates alike are leaving communication abruptly, signalling changing norms in the hiring process. <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/careers/news/job-hunting-in-2024-has-a-modern-dating-element-ghosting/articleshow/114454697.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Read more</a> <h2>I'm a software engineer at Amazon. Here's my step-by-step guide to nailing the <keyword id="23685264" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Technical-Interview" source="keywords">technical interview</keyword> and breaking into tech </h2>An Amazon software engineer has shared tips for acing technical interviews. The guide includes key interview stages and actionable strategies for breaking into tech, providing valuable insights for job seekers. <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/news/im-a-software-engineer-at-amazon-heres-my-step-by-step-guide-to-nailing-the-technical-interview-and-breaking-into-tech-/articleshow/114430281.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Read more</a> <h2>Web stories</h2> <h2><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/travel/international/webstories/most-famous-tourist-spots-in-brics-nations/slidelist/114543399.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank"></a></h2><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/travel/international/webstories/most-famous-tourist-spots-in-brics-nations/slidelist/114543399.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Most famous tourist spots in BRICS nations</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/india/webstories/cyclones-that-shook-india-a-history-of-devastation/slidelist/114514841.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">Cyclones that shook India</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/science/health/food/webstories/9-refreshing-drinks-that-reduce-high-blood-pressure-levels/slidelist/114426482.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink">9 refreshing drinks that reduce high blood pressure</a>

Weekend wrap: Real estate dominates India's investment portfolios, interview tips from Amazon employee and more

In a surprising turn of events, <keyword id="20137391" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Nikhil-Kamath" source="keywords">Nikhil Kamath</keyword>, co-founder of India's biggest discount brokerage firm <keyword id="19913826" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Zerodha" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Zerodha" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Zerodha">Zerodha</keyword>, left the internet divided by purchasing a house, despite recently having advocated voraciously for renting property in his popular podcast "WTF." Comedian Sonali Thakkar Desai took to X (formerly Twitter) to highlight this U-turn, noting that "Nikhil Kamath has bought a house after advocating for so long about how “renting is the best; only fools would buy property." So let this be a lesson to literally everyone who listened to him or any other finance bro and based their real estate decisions on rubbish reels." She further added that "Mutual funds and Nikhil Kamath's opinions are subject to market risk". Kamath, who has a net worth of $3.1 billion, acknowledged that a lack of control over one's living situation is one of the biggest drawbacks of renting, noting a personal incident where he had to unwillingly and unexpectedly move out of a house. However, he maintained his skeptical attitude toward real estate as an investment, calling it illiquid and arbitrarily priced in the high-end housing market. Kamath also highlighted that due to the sky-scraping costs associated with buying property, like stamp duties of 5-6% on property transactions, it is not economically feasible to frequently buy and sell real estate, as opposed to other asset classes like gold, stocks, and more. On his podcast, Kamath also highlighted that renting does not always translate into a profitable business. "I think nobody makes money from buying and renting a place. You do not have occupancy throughout the year for something like AirBnB. Accounting for inflation and interest rates, the return on this investment is negligible," he said. Kamath's decision has reignited the never-ending debate between renting and buying property. While some social media users pointed out that for the wealthy, the choice between renting and buying is largely inconsequential, others emphasized the immense emotional and stability benefits that came along with homeownership. Kartik Rangappa, who heads Zerodha's Varsity, recently tweeted that it is okay to keep the math and Excel sheets behind buying a house aside if it gives you a sense of security and peace of mind. "Owning a house versus renting is an endless debate often backed by elaborate excel sheet math. Keep the math aside and buy a home if it make you feel secure and gives you peace of mind. Peace of mind &gt;&gt; Excel sheet math," he tweeted on October 16, 2024. There is no denying the fact that owning a house is an expensive affair and a long-term financial commitment as well. Recent report from FICCI and ANAROCK suggest that the average budget range for a 2BHK in Gurgaon is anywhere between Rs 90 lakh and Rs 1.3 crore. Getting a 2BHK in Noida, another prominent satellite town of Delhi, can cost up to Rs 85 lakh to Rs 1.20 crore. As it is, with the central bank not looking to cut rates anytime soon, home loan interest rates are set to remain elevated, meaning higher EMI outflows from your pockets if you are looking to buy a home in the present environment.

Billionaire broker Nikhil Kamath buys home, leaves internet debating on renting vs. owning a house

India's real estate market to hit $10 trillion by 2047: Colliers-CREDAI report​

After a steep nosedive in demand for office space rentals during 2020 and 2021, a new <keyword id="19955574" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Colliers-report" source="keywords">Colliers report</keyword> has now noted that office rentals across six major <keyword id="20026638" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Indian-cities" source="keywords">Indian cities</keyword> have finally rebounded to their <keyword id="20789690" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="pre-pandemic-levels" source="keywords">pre-pandemic levels</keyword> and even inched around 2-8% higher. While some cities like <keyword id="19900176" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Hyderabad" source="keywords">Hyderabad</keyword> and Pune had already gone beyond their pre-pandemic rental levels as early as 2022, <keyword id="19895037" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Bengaluru" source="keywords">Bengaluru</keyword> and Chennai had followed suit a year later in 2023. The last to join the bandwagon were <keyword id="19906633" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Delhi-NCR" source="keywords">Delhi NCR</keyword> and Mumbai, which finally managed to breach their pre-pandemic levels in 2024. However, both Delhi and Mumbai recorded the highest jump in average rentals at 8% each, followed by Mumbai and Chennai, which saw hikes of about 5-6% during this period. The recovery in demand for office spaces, which kicked off in 2022, has stayed steady since. Arpit Mehrotra, Managing Director, Office Services, India, Colliers notes that going ahead, the annual increase in average quoted rentals at the end of 2024 is likely to be higher for certain cities like Delhi NCR and Pune, as compared to other markets. "Moreover, as demand scale-up in Indian <keyword id="20107243" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="commercial-real-estate" source="keywords">commercial real estate</keyword> solidifies, notwithstanding unforeseen events, annual space take up to the tune of 60 million sq ft is likely to be the new norm in the medium-term," he added. <h2>Prime location takes the cake</h2>Even within these cities, the growth of rental demand in certain micro-markets, which are located at prime locations, saw greater than the 2-8% average growth. For instance, in Delhi NCR, Gold Course Extension Road, Noida Expressway, and Cyber City saw up to a 25% rise in rentals. In Bengaluru, which saw around 2% <keyword id="22329786" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="rental-growth" source="keywords">rental growth</keyword> overall, Whitefield and ORR (Outer Ring Road) commanded a rental premium, with rents here surging by as much as 5-10% between 2019 and 2024. IOMR Zone 1 in Chennai and Bandra-Kurla Complex, Goregaon, and JVLR in Mumbai saw rents surge by around 10-20% from pre-pandemic levels between 2019 and 2024. In contrast, rental rates in Chennai and Mumbai grew at around 5% and 6%, respectively. In Hyderabad, SBD, or the Secondary Business District, which comprises of Gachibowli, Hitec City, and more, saw rentals surge between 5-10% between 2019 and 2024, as opposed to the 5% cumulative rental growth experienced by Hyderabad. In Pune, CBD and Kharadi saw rentals inch up by 5-10%, whereas the whole of Pune only saw their rentals grow by around 5% during the past 6 years. Mumbai and Delhi have also seen a dip in <keyword id="23656583" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="vacancy-levels" source="keywords">vacancy levels</keyword> since 2019. While this has dropped to 20% in Delhi at present, Mumbai ranks the lowest in terms of empty office spaces at 10.7%. In both these cities, demand for office spaces has consistently outpaced supply, which explains the low vacancies. In contrast, in Hyderabad, where supply continues to trump demand, current vacancy levels have gone as high as 25%. Going ahead, the Colliers report also estimates that average office rentals can witness up to 10% annual growth across key Indian cities by the end of this year.

Office rents across all major Indian cities surpass pre-pandemic levels in 2024, notes a new report

Capital markets regulator <keyword id="20378396" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Sebi-Chief" source="keywords">SEBI Chief</keyword> <keyword id="19922107" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="madhabi-puri-buch" source="keywords">Madhabi Puri Buch</keyword> on Monday refrained from commenting on the investment vehicle, <keyword id="20024284" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="real-estate-investment-trusts" source="keywords">Real Estate Investment Trusts</keyword> (REITs), saying if she comments on the subject, she will be accused of <keyword id="20339010" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="conflict-of-interest" source="keywords">conflict of interest</keyword>. The remarks came as US short-seller <keyword id="20016892" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Hindenburg-Research" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Hindenburg Research" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Hindenburg Research">Hindenburg Research</keyword> raised questions about a potential conflict of interest involving Buch and private equity major <keyword id="20144468" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Blackstone" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Blackstone" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Blackstone">Blackstone</keyword>. Her husband Dhaval Buch is a senior advisor with Blackstone, a major player in the <keyword id="20009947" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="REIT" source="keywords">REIT</keyword> space. However, the couple refuted the allegations. Also, Hindenburg alleged that SEBI's recent amendments to REIT regulations 2014 favoured a specific financial conglomerate, which the markets regulator denied. Speaking at an event organised by industry body CII, Buch said," If I utter the word REITs, I am accused of conflict of interest". REITs are a new concept in the Indian market but have been a popular choice globally for their lucrative returns and capital appreciation. A REIT is made up of a portfolio of commercial real estate assets, the majority of which are already leased out. Meanwhile, the <keyword id="19895371" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Congress" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Congress" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Congress">Congress</keyword> on Monday levelled fresh conflict of interest allegations against Buch and asked Prime Minister <keyword id="19895781" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="narendra-modi" source="keywords">Narendra Modi</keyword> to come clean as the head of the appointments committee of the cabinet on her appointment. At a press conference, the Congress alleged that since the current SEBI chairperson took office in 2017, she has not only been drawing a salary from SEBI but has also been holding an office of profit at the ICICI Bank, continuing to receive income from them to this very day. SEBI didn't make any comment on the allegations made by the Congress. Last week, the SEBI Chief stated that there has been a positive response to small and medium REITS (real estate investment trusts) and industry players came forward for regulations on such entities. Recently, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) implemented regulations for small and medium real estate investment trusts (SM REITS) aimed at significantly increasing investor interest in fractional ownership of real estate assets.

If I say anything on REITs, will get accused of conflict of interest, says SEBI Chief

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Asset Management are becoming a bit less bullish.</li><li>Although the US economic outlook is strong, returns may have been pulled forward.</li></ul>A pair of Wall Street juggernauts are getting slightly more skeptical about stocks and bonds, but a compelling investment opportunity may be hiding in plain sight.<div type="image" title="GS 10-year projection" height="1088" width="1508" msid="114505224" hostid="261" sizebytes="75402"></div>Goldman Sachs stole headlines recently by forecasting that <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-sp500-future-returns-decade-forecast-goldman-sachs-2024-10">US equities will only rise 3% a year in the next decade</a>, down from an average annual gain of 13% in the prior 10 years. The firm's rationale is based on a more challenging backdrop characterized by lofty valuations, an unusually high concentration in the market's biggest stocks, increased recession risk, lower profits, and elevated interest rates.<div type="image" title="GS 10-year projection baseline" height="742" width="1010" msid="114505227" hostid="261" sizebytes="35320"></div>Top minds at JPMorgan Asset Management (JPMAM) agree that stocks might not post the returns that investors have come to expect, though they're not nearly as pessimistic.The firm, which manages $3.5 trillion in assets, expects US large-cap equities to appreciate by 6.7% a year in the next 10 to 15 years, according to its yearly long-term capital market assumptions report released on October 21. For reference, JPMAM thinks global stocks will rise between 7.2% and 8.1% a year in that same span.A mid-single-digit annual gain for US large caps is nothing to sneeze at, though it would be down substantially from <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-to-invest-economy-growth-outlook-recession-risk-inflation-jpmorgan-2022-11">7.9% two years ago</a> and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-to-invest-stocks-bonds-real-estate-outlook-strategy-jpmorgan-2023-10">7% last year</a>.There's a simple explanation for that marginally more tepid outlook: US stocks have been on a tear. And while <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-outlook-prediction-2025-how-to-invest-rally-trader-2024-10">some bulls are emboldened</a> by the S&amp;P 500's excellent track record, JPMAM strategists worry that the market has pulled forward future gains."Near the bottom of all these pages, we put a little statement saying, "Past performance is not indicative of future returns.' That's actually not true," said David Kelly, JPMAM's chief global market strategist, at a press conference about the report. "Past great performance is indicative of a more difficult environment going forward."The S&amp;P 500 is on pace to rise by at least 10% <a target="_blank" href="https://www.macrotrends.net/2526/sp-500-historical-annual-returns">for the fifth time since 2018</a> and the 11th time since the financial crisis, including what's been a 22.7% gain in 2024. That strength, combined with already-rich valuations, led JPMAM to cut its long-term projection for US large caps.<div type="image" title="JPMAM valuations" height="926" width="1038" msid="114505230" hostid="261" sizebytes="32120"></div>However, Kelly said the downward shift was gradual since the economic growth outlook is promising. The firm is calling for US real GDP of 2% in the long term, which is the highest mark since the pandemic, along with 2.4% inflation, which is down for the third consecutive year."The very good news is that we think that the foundations for the US economy and the global economy look better than they did a year ago," Kelly said. "We got through some of our more significant worries on inflation; economic growth looks pretty solid."<div type="image" title="JPMAM US GDP forecast" height="828" width="1032" msid="114505215" hostid="261" sizebytes="15222"></div><h2 id="ee7765b8-415d-46ac-862a-90df145c611f">As the 60-40 portfolio loses steam, real estate can take the baton</h2>Lower stock returns are expected to drag down the traditional 60-40 stock-bond portfolio, which JPMAM now says should fetch 6.4% a year for the next decade or so.That forecast is down from 7% last year and 7.2% heading into 2023, though it's higher than the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/alternative-investing-strategy-60-40-portfolio-bitcoin-outlook-inflation-jpmorgan-2021-11">4.3% mark in late 2021</a>, where US large caps were only expected to climb 4.1% a year in the long term after an outstanding rebound from the early pandemic lows.Bonds, which make up the second half of that calculus, have a solid but unremarkable outlook.US bonds broadly are expected to return 4.6% in the long term — down from 5.1% last year and the same as two years ago — while the US 10-year Treasury note is projected to fetch 4.2%, versus 4.6% last year and 4% two years ago. Meanwhile, high-yield bonds should deliver a 6.1% gain in the long term, compared to 6.5% last year and 6.8% two years ago.After accounting for inflation, JPMAM expects the standard 60-40 portfolio to return less than 5% in the long term, and the same is true of large-cap stocks and bonds. While such gains may be satisfactory for some, it would take over 16 years for an investor to double their money.Those looking for a more compelling investment opportunity should consider real estate, according to JPMAM. Unlike stocks and bonds, the firm's projected returns for that asset class are steadily rising, from 5.7% two years ago to 7.5% in late 2023 to 8.1% this year.US core real estate is projected to yield close to 6%, up from just over 4% a few years ago and well above the 10-year's yield of 4.2%. Real estate isn't cheap based on <a target="_blank" href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/capitalizationrate.asp">capitalization rates</a>, which measure how much money a property generates relative to its market value, but JPMAM believes the asset class is an exceptional value relative to other yield-generating investments.<div type="image" title="Real estate vs 10-year yield" height="924" width="1032" msid="114505221" hostid="261" sizebytes="34048"></div>"If you were to look at this on a spread basis, the cap-rates spread would tell you that real estate looks a little bit expensive," said David Lebovitz, a global market strategist for JPMAM, at the conference. "But if you look at the all-in yield and think of that as your valuation and your starting point, we're looking at a generational opportunity."Monica Issar, JPMorgan Private Bank's global head of multi-asset and portfolio solutions, echoed that sentiment."This is absolutely the largest generational opportunity to invest in real estate in a long time," Issar said at the conference.Commercial real estate looks especially compelling, Issar said. Unlike residential real estate, which has held up well in recent years — as evidenced by <a target="_blank" href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MSPUS">remarkably resilient home prices</a> despite <a target="_blank" href="https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms">still-elevated mortgage rates</a> — office buildings have struggled to regain their value since the pandemic ushered in a new era of remote work for millions of Americans.As companies reduced their physical presence or eschewed offices altogether, demand for commercial spaces has taken a massive hit. However, Issar thinks that risk is reflected in prices."All we've been reading about and all we've been seeing is price declines and discussions about empty buildings," Issar said. "This is a time for investors to step in, move into attractive pricing, move into asset classes like non-core real estate."Investors can bet on a commercial real estate rebound by working with <a target="_blank" href="https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/institutional/investment-strategies/alternatives/real-estate/">JPMAM's team</a>, or on their own through publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs). JPMAM didn't outline any specific investments to make, but Issar threw out a few ideas to help investors brainstorm."Think of multifamily housing; think of student housing around campuses; think of cell towers and data centers," Issar said. "That is the modernization of the new direct real estate that is going to be really attractive for investors in the future."

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