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<ul><li>India and China have been locked in a face-off along the <keyword id="49399" type="PERSON" weightage="20" keywordseo="Line-of-Actual-Control">Line of Actual Control</keyword> (<keyword id="49297" type="ORGANIZATION" weightage="20" keywordseo="LAC">LAC</keyword>) for over three months.</li><li>Experts believe that the status quo is unlikely to change for at least till summer if not many years to come.</li><li>International security expert Sameer Patil told Business Insider that the ‘trust deficit’ that has now been created is likely to remain with each side keeping a watchful eye on the other, which means the surge in troops deployed is unlikely to reduce.</li><li>Brigadier Anil Gupta, who is currently deployed in Jammu said that this year’s winter in Ladakh is unlike any other before it.</li><li><a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/">Check out the latest news and updates on Business Insider.</a></li></ul>Disengagement along the border between India and China in Ladakh is progressing at snail’s pace as both sides are looking to settle in for the winter. Experts believe that the Line of Actual Control in northern India will now be the front to hold, at least for the year to come, if not longer. If there isn’t any positive action on the ground it’s possible that the standoff will draw out for years because China doesn’t want to put <keyword id="71796" type="PERSON" weightage="20" keywordseo="Aksai-Chin">Aksai Chin</keyword> at risk and India won’t instigate the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA). <div type="image" title="satellite image" msid="77780575" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Satellite images from Indian Air Force base in Ladakh show choppers and drones deployed onsite as a precaution during the India-China face off&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> But as things stand, there’s now a "trust deficit" that will proper the Indian Army to occupy the area throughout the year — irrespective of the weather — according to international security expert Sameer Patil with Mumbai-based thinktank Gateway House. A part of the reason is that the situation at the Line of Actual Control (LAC) this winter is very different from what one usually sees at the border. This winter is unlike any other that Ladakh has had to face Summertime incursions and border skirmishes between India and China are common in Ladakh. However this year, the situation is unlike any other the Indian Army has had to face before. "The force levels required are much higher. The incursions are simultaneous and in a couple of places," Brigadier Anil Gupta, who is currently deployed in Jammu, told Business Insider. "This was a well-planned operation launched by the PLA," he said. <div type="Article" hostid="261" msid="77348400" title="Indian Army plans for the long haul as talks with China remain unsatisfactory" mstype="2" mssubtype="0"></div> For the upcoming winter, the Army has already asked for additional winter supplies including things like snowboards and winter jackets to sustain the additional number of troops. Rations may also reportedly be cut down with the pandemic making it difficult to bring up supplies to the hard-to-reach places where the soldiers are stationed. Why China won’t back off Aksai Chin was lost in the pages of history up until 2014. There was no mention of it in border talks and negotiations. However, things have changed since then. India’s new maps and infrastructure construction in the border area forced China’s hand to defend the Aksai Chin region, according to Gupta. "Aksai Chin provides the lifeline with respect to G2-19, the highway that connects Xinjiang province with Tibet," he said. <div type="image" title="ladakh road satellite." msid="77780548" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;Map shows the Darbuk-Shyok-DBO road and explains how the road with its proximity and all weather access enables better border control measures for India&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> Both are autonomous regions claiming independence from mainland China. If the country doesn’t have access to Aksai Chin, it will no longer be connected to them via the G219 highway. <div type="image" title="Kashmir_Region_November_2019_edited" msid="77780141" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;A map of the disputed Kashmir region showing the Chinese-administered territory of Aksai Chin&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> "For all practical purposes that area will be occupied throughout irrespective of weather," said Patil. <div type="image" title="aksai chin2" msid="77780195" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;The map shows the Indian and Chinese claims of the border in the Aksai Chin region, the Macartney-MacDonald line, the Foreign Office Line, as well as the progress of Chinese forces as they occupied areas during the Sino-Indian War&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> Options at India’s disposal Even if India does exercise its ‘<a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/defense/news/india-military-options-against-china-explained-by-experts/articleshow/77743778.cms">military options</a>’ — as insinuated by Chief of Defence Staff <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/defense/news/indian-army-plans-for-the-long-haul-as-talks-with-china-remain-unsatisfactory/articleshow/77348400.cms">General Bipin Rawat</a> — it won’t be in Ladakh. Rather, they will look to the Indian Air Force (IAF) and the Indian Navy to make the next move and shift the centre of gravity of operations. <div type="image" title="indian ocean satellite." msid="77780592" hostid="261" caption="&amp;lt;p&amp;gt;&amp;lt;span class=&amp;quot;css-901oao css-16my406 r-1qd0xha r-ad9z0x r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0&amp;quot;&amp;gt;Known deployments of the Indian Navy and&amp;lt;/span&amp;gt; the role it plays in monitoring China&amp;#39;s &amp;lt;span class=&amp;quot;css-901oao css-16my406 r-1qd0xha r-ad9z0x r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0&amp;quot;&amp;gt;access westwards&amp;lt;/span&amp;gt;&amp;lt;/p&amp;gt;"></div> "If at all, military options are exercised, the result-achieving actions will be through these two powers," said Gupta. He explains that China will become the ‘front to hold’ and the fighting front would be elsewhere. Once such stronghold could be the Malacca Strait, which has been a pain point for China in the past. Even former Chinese president Hu Jintao had referred to it as "the Malacca dilemma" — China needs access and India has the power to control it. Not only is the Strait of Malacca one of the most congested waterways in the world, but it is also a seaway that links the Indian Ocean to the South China Sea. Control over it means being able to choke China’s energy supplies. SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/defense/news/india-military-options-against-china-explained-by-experts/articleshow/77743778.cms">Experts explain India’s 'military options' against China</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/defense/news/china-fires-two-missiles-into-the-south-china-sea-and-asian-markets-feel-the-blow/articleshow/77777358.cms">China fires two missiles into the South China Sea and Asian markets feel the blow</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/defense/news/not-only-india-hong-kong-taiwan-vietnam-and-japan-also-facing-chinese-army-aggression-on-border-issue/slidelist/76418800.cms">China’s aggression isn’t only aimed at India — but at least four other countries in the region</a>

Ladakh will be the 'front to hold' for India and China for at least a year if not longer as per experts

<ul><li>Defence Minister <keyword id="6355121" type="UNKNOWN" weightage="20" keywordseo="Rajnath-Singh">Rajnath Singh</keyword> said the ministry has prepared a list of 101 items for which the embargo on imports is planned to be progressively implemented between 2020 and 2024.</li><li>The list of 101 embargoed items comprises some high technology weapon systems like artillery guns, assault rifles, corvettes, sonar systems, transport aircraft, light combat helicopters (LCHs), radars and many other items.</li><li>Singh said all necessary steps would be taken to ensure that timelines for domestic production of equipment identified under a negative list for import are met, adding the measures will include a co-ordinated mechanism for hand-holding of the industry by the defence services.</li></ul> The Indian government, on August 9, announced that it is introducing an import embargo on 101 items beyong timelines to boost indigenisation of defense production. The list of items include a range of transport aircraft, artillery guns, combat helicopters, radar systems, simulators, assault rifles, warships etc. <div type="twitter" handle="rajnathsingh" handlename="Rajnath Singh" image="http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1251443637491122176/x5OH_3pf_normal.jpg" favoritecount="14529" retweetcount="2659" status="The Ministry of Defence is now ready for a big push to #AtmanirbharBharat initiative. MoD will introduce import emb… https://t.co/IuJCsC7XyD" createdat="1596947421000" id="1292317269599518721"></div> The move comes at a time when the Indian Army and the IAF said it will maintain a very high-level of operational readiness in all areas along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) in Ladakh, North Sikkim, Uttarakhand and Arunachal Pradesh till a "satisfactory" resolution to the border row with China is arrived at. Here’s what India’s Defence Minister Rajnath Singh tweeted <ul><li>The Ministry of Defence is now ready for a big push to #AtmanirbharBharat initiative. MoD will introduce import embargo on 101 items beyond given timeline to boost indigenisation of defence production. </li></ul><ul><li>This decision will offer a great opportunity to the Indian defence industry to manufacture the items in the negative list by using their own design and development capabilities or adopting the technologies designed &amp; developed by DRDO to meet the requirements of the Armed Forces. </li></ul><ul><li>The list is prepared by MoD after several rounds of consultations with all stakeholders, including the Armed Forces, public &amp; private industry to assess current and future capabilities of the Indian industry for manufacturing various ammunition &amp; equipment within India. </li></ul><ul><li>Almost 260 schemes of such items were contracted by the Tri-Services at an approximate cost of Rs 3.5 lakh crore between April 2015 and August 2020. It is estimated that contracts worth almost Rs 4 lakh crore will be placed upon the domestic industry within the next 6 to 7 years. </li></ul><ul><li>The list also includes, wheeled Armoured Fighting Vehicles (AFVs) with indicative import embargo date of December 2021, of which the Army is expected to contract almost 200 at an approximate cost of over Rs 5,000 crore. </li></ul><ul><li>The embargo on imports is planned to be progressively implemented between 2020 to 2024. Our aim is to apprise the Indian defence industry about the anticipated requirements of the Armed Forces so that they are better prepared to realise the goal of indigenisation. </li></ul><ul><li>All necessary steps would be taken to ensure that timelines for production of equipment as per the Negative Import List are met, which will include a co-ordinated mechanism for hand holding of the industry by the Defence Services. </li></ul><ul><li>More such equipment for import embargo would be identified progressively by the DMA in consultation with all stakeholders. A due note of this will also be made in the DAP to ensure that no item in the negative list is processed for import in the future. </li></ul><ul><li>MoD has also bifurcated the capital procurement budget for 2020-21 between domestic and foreign capital procurement routes. A separate budget head has been created with an outlay of nearly Rs 52,000 crore for domestic capital procurement in the current financial year.</li></ul>(This is a developing story)SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/corporates/news/tech-mahindra-cfo-says-lateral-hiring-will-take-time-and-only-after-utilisation-improves-to-pre-covid-levels/articleshow/77440879.cms"> Tech Mahindra CFO says lateral hiring will take time — and only after utilisation improves to pre-COVID levels</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/business/startups/news/how-karan-bajaj-sold-his-less-than-18-month-old-startup-white-hat-jr-to-byjus/articleshow/77415329.cms">A WhatsApp message, six weeks of talks and a $300 million deal – how Karan Bajaj sold his less than 18-month old startup White Hat Jr to Byju’s</a>

India’s Defence Ministry introduces “import embargo” on 101 items to boost Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan

<ul><li>No significant troop reduction seems to be on the cards even after the third round of military talks between India and China. </li><li>Indian troops will reportedly continue to focus on Galwan Valley, Gogra Post, Hot Spring and Pangong Tso. </li><li>Full disengagement may not happen until the winter months kick in. </li></ul>India-China border tension shows no signs of de-escalating even after the first round of military talks between Corps Commanders that was extended to 11:00 pm last night. <div type="twitter" handle="ANI" handlename="ANI" image="http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1497864299/ani_mic_logo_normal.jpg" favoritecount="1457" retweetcount="127" status="The 3rd round of Corps Commander-level meeting between India and China went on for 12 hours and got over at 11 PM last night: Army Sources" createdat="1593571933000" id="1278159446699581441"></div> Both sides discussed procedures and mechanisms to disengage along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) but no significant troop reduction is reportedly on the cards. “Indian Army is preparing for the long haul leading up to the winter months,” sources told <a href="https://twitter.com/CNBCTV18Live/status/1278197069186883584?s=20">CNBC</a>. In the Galwan Valley, the water temperature in the river is already sub-zero. In another few weeks, a ‘general winter’ will take over the area, which will reportedly make the Chinese positions untenable, according to military commanders. The discussions were led by Lieutenant General Harinder Singh, commander of the Leh-based 14 Corps, and Major General Liu Lin, commander of the South Xinjiang military region. The two first met on June 6 and then again on June 22 in Moldo on the Chinese side of LAC after border tensions erupted between both the countries in May. This time the meeting was hosted on the Indian side of the border in Chushul. Locking in for the long haul India and China are locked in a standoff along the Galwan Valley, the Gogra Post, Hot Springs and Pangong Tso. Ahead of the June 30 meeting, the Indian Army deployed six T-90 missile-firing tanks — also called Bhishma tanks — and shoulder-fired anti-tank missile systems in the Galwan Valley sector. It reportedly did so after the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) amped up its own position on the river bed with more armoured personnel carriers and troop tents. China also <a href="https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/pla-puts-up-signage-china-map-on-bank-of-ladakh-lake-to-claim-it-as-chinese-land/articleshow/76720489.cms">put up signage</a> on the bank of Pangong Tso, between Finger 4 and Finger 5, to claim it as Chinese territory. It has been using thermal imaging drones to trace the Indian Army soldiers scattered on the treacherous terrain before brutally attacking them as per <a href="https://ians.in/index.php?param=news/C-1-1250426">IANS.</a> The issue of the increase in the concentration of Chinese troops along the LAC, deployment of weapon systems and construction activity were brought up during the meeting. India particularly asked China to pull back from the Finger 4 to Finger 8 stretch in Pangong Tso, Patrolling Point 14 in Galwan Valley and the Bottleneck area in the Depsang Plains, according to <a href="https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/india-china-hold-third-round-of-talks-but-rival-military-build-ups-continue/articleshow/76718609.cms">TOI.</a> Prior to the latest meeting, on June 22, both sides agreed to physically distance themselves by at least 2.5 to 3 kilometres at these friction sites. However, after inching back briefly, the PLA reportedly made its way back. Sources told TOI that instead of easing off, the Chinese troops have fortified their positions further. SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/defense/news/china-may-keep-pushing-into-neighbouring-territories-for-the-next-ten-years-experts-say-based-on-beijings-timelines/articleshow/76723441.cms">China may keep pushing into neighbouring territories for the next ten years, experts say based on Beijing's timelines</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/policy/foreign-policy/news/three-reasons-why-china-showed-aggression-against-india-on-border-according-to-a-former-diplomat/articleshow/76462632.cms">China wants India to stay in its lane — three reasons why China is puffing its chest, according to a former diplomat</a> <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/defense/news/not-only-india-hong-kong-taiwan-vietnam-and-japan-also-facing-chinese-army-aggression-on-border-issue/slidelist/76418800.cms">China’s aggression isn’t only aimed at India — but at least four other countries in the region</a>

India is ready for the ‘long haul’ with China until winter after the third round of military talks

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Ladakh will be the 'front to hold' for India and China for at least a year if not longer as per experts

Prabhjote Gill

India’s Defence Ministry introduces “import embargo” on 101 items to boost Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan

BI India Bureau

India is ready for the ‘long haul’ with China until winter after the third round of military talks

Prabhjote Gill

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