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Indian companies across multiple sectors have reported disappointing results in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, notes a new JM Financials report. Consequently, their poor performance has triggered stock price corrections for affected companies. The brunt of this weaker than expected earnings was largely borne by consumer centric sectors like FMCG (fast moving consumer goods), retail, and auto, which slacked largely due to dampened urban demand. For instance, India's largest automaker, Maruti Suzuki, reported a 5% YoY decline in its total domestic passenger vehicle wholesales, largely on the back of pent-up inventory. Similarly, Honda reported a staggering 23% YoY dip in its total sales during October 2024. A recent report by Bernstein noted that around 48% of the companies listed on the NSE100 index missed their earnings estimate for Q2FY25, the highest since March 2020. Most companies have mentioned deteriorated domestic demand, urban slowing, macroeconomic risk, and margin pressures as the main reasons behind the dip. "The quarter's earnings have made investors nervous," noted the JM Financials report. The challenging environment stems from multiple factors: softening consumer demand, rising input costs, and companies' limited ability to increase prices. Moreover, this is not limited to just one quarter. Companies have been reporting weak, single-digit earnings growth for the last six consecutive quarters. Data from India Data Hub also suggests that corporate profits of listed companies plunged by as much as 3.4% during the quarter ended September 30, 2024. This is in stark contrast to the year-ago period, where they had shot up by over 40% The oil and gas sector had a difficult quarter, with refiners hit by weak margins and city gas distributors struggling with higher input costs. Financial institutions showed mixed results. While government-owned banks reported strong numbers, microfinance institutions and some private lenders faced massive difficulties with their unsecured loans. Most notable amongst this was the case of IndusInd Bank, which saw its net profits dip by 40% amidst burgeoning provisions, which climbed 87% to Rs 1,820 crore in Q2, as against Rs 974 crore reported in the year-ago period. <h2>Markets head southwards</h2>The selling trend by FPIs has dragged down the major Indian indices, the Nifty 50 and Sensex, both of which have dropped by around 8% since the beginning of this selling spree in October. According to National Securities Depository Ltd. (NSDL) data, FPIs offloaded equities worth a significant Rs 19,994 crore in just the first five trading sessions of November last week. The impact is clearly visible on Indian stock markets. Data suggests that while every sector in October closed the month in red, auto, oil and gas, and consumer durables were the most badly hit, each declining by as much as 10% during the month. Another indicator underlining the inherent weakness of the market was that the month saw only 242 stocks hit their 52-week high, significantly below the usual monthly average of 310.

India Inc. stares at an earnings dearth in Q2, FMCG, auto, and consumer durables falter

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Khayla McCoy quadrupled her income over 10 years and now makes over $200,000 annually.</li><li>She started with a $39,000 salary in NYC, facing financial challenges and strict budgeting.</li></ul>This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Khayla McCoy, a 33-year-old business analyst who more than quadrupled her income over 10 years. The following has been edited for length and clarity.I grew up in Madisonville, Tennessee, where many people live below the poverty line. The only conversations we had were those around lack. Having enough money for basic needs felt far-fetched.I always knew that I wanted to achieve <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/financial-independence-retire-early">financial freedom</a>. I graduated in 2013 with a degree in biology and landed my first job in NYC as a sessions assistant, making $39,000. I was the first person in my family to make that much money.By 2019, I was making $90,000. Now, I make over $200,000 annually in total compensation. Having more money has truly made me happier.<h2 id="2207c7d4-40ba-408a-8035-3a8743745ce7">My first salary was tight for living in NYC</h2>When I <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/moving-denmark-nyc-happiest-country-exciting-2024-10">moved to NYC</a>, I had two roommates and had to stick to a strict budget to afford my expenses, from rent, around $1,250, to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/student-loan-forgiveness-under-trump-biden-debt-relief-efforts-stalled-2024-11">student loans</a> and every day costs.My salary barely covered my bills, but I was committed to finding ways to afford living there. I knew my first job would be a stepping stone to bigger roles and higher-paying salaries.<h2 id="e4c9a9b7-68d7-4357-aed5-c0c2323b34d8">I took a lot of personal finance courses</h2>I enrolled in a personal finance course from <a target="_blank" href="https://www.ellevest.com/">Ellevest</a> and attended different events I found on <a target="_blank" href="https://www.meetup.com/">Meetup</a>. I learned financial discipline, thinking ahead for unforeseen expenses, and developing a method for organizing my money. I set up different cash accounts for recurring bills, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/used-emergency-fund-quit-rto-job-but-wish-saved-more-2024-11">emergency savings</a>, and everyday spending needs.I hesitated to take risks with my money. At first, I deferred investing in stocks and a 401(k). Shortly after I turned 24, I finally felt like I was finding my financial footing and began <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/average-401k-balance">investing around 5% of my salary in my 401(k)</a>.I started to understand the benefits of investing in the market. As I obtained higher salaries, I invested more in my 401(k) and other investment accounts.<h2 id="2b497601-83d9-4126-a539-cadd339fa1c3">I was always stressed about money</h2>My family was proud of me, and I lived many people's dreams of working in NYC, but I had this deep paralyzing fear that I would mess up my career and end up with no money.I stayed at my sessions assistant job for two years, and my salary grew to $42,000. In 2015, I had a family emergency and left the workforce for two years. When I could work again, I moved back to NYC, decided to pause my career in healthcare, and pivoted.<h2 id="abe35eeb-cfdd-43e5-b1ba-c675a5c271c5">I invested money to help me make career jumps</h2>I enrolled in an associate degree program from FIDM in beauty industry merchandising and marketing, which cost $30,000. I took out further student loans for this degree.In 2017, I landed a job in consumer packaged goods, making $50,700. After two years there, I decided I needed a better-paying job.I took a data science course at <a target="_blank" href="https://generalassemb.ly/students/courses/data-science-short-course">General Assembly</a> to learn how to use, analyze, and drive insights from data. The course cost $4,000, which was covered by a tuition reimbursement program at my former company.In 2019, I got a job at <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/blackrocks-next-big-bet-private-markets-2024-10">BlackRock</a> as a data analyst, which doubled my former salary. I was proud of myself, but I still had recurring anxiety about losing the job and the money.In 2021, I landed a job at <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/google-research-head-career-advice-learn-to-code-2024-11">Google</a>, bumping my salary up again. That's when my finances seriously changed, and so did my happiness.<h2 id="e697d160-8bb3-43ac-938d-0161daf1dda8">A high-paying job came with the benefit of having peace of mind</h2>When I started at Google, my base salary was $132,000. I felt financially calm for the first time. I knew I had the money to pay for whatever was thrown my way.When I faced a health scare this year, I had health insurance and a savings account to help me pay for those expenses without taking on medical debt. My total medical expenses were over $60,000 — I never could've covered them without my current salary and benefits.<h2 id="689924f5-0764-4eae-a5c0-ec94e279ae63">Earning six figures changed how I approached finances, but it didn't happen quickly</h2>When you come from a lower socioeconomic background, you become accustomed to believing many things you need are actually wants, like going to the dentist for an annual teeth cleaning. I'd convince myself to skip it because I thought I needed to stretch my cash to see how far it could go.It took a while to redefine my budget. When I was 30, I felt like I finally figured this out, only because I had seen myself change my circumstances and create a much different life than the one I grew up in.<h2 id="a6a5c2ea-f2e8-4a90-8a27-489a6f8019e3">In my experience, the more money I've made, the less stressful the job has been</h2>When I was making less money, I felt like I had to be perfect at that job because I never wanted to be in a position where I was disposable to the company. Now, I don't want to lose my job, but I would have a cushion if that happened.The other reason work feels less stressful is that my mindset has become more peaceful now that I'm not always thinking about money.<h2 id="c205674f-3467-4b6e-940e-ca2bf76f815a">I'm passionate about helping other women change the relationship they have with money</h2>I became the person everyone came to for financial advice in my friend group, so I started an <a target="_blank" href="https://edopal.com/">online community</a> that helps women define their relationship with money. I hope to use my money lessons to help others make better financial decisions.When people say money doesn't buy happiness, I tell them I disagree and give examples of how healthcare, safe shelter, and the ability to engage in hobbies and take healthy risks all support health and happiness. If I can't afford to make doctor's appointments or get my car fixed, those things directly impact my ability to show up in the world how I want.I always had a voice in my head that said if you want to have a chance to live a comfortable and productive life, you'll need to make a lot of money. That's the reality of it for me.

I earn $200,000 at Google after starting my career earning under $40,000. The reality is that money does buy happiness.

<ul class="summary-list"><li><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/renting-airbnb-not-passive-wont-do-it-again-2024-7">Airbnb</a> reported earnings after the market closed on Thursday.</li><li>CEO Brian Chesky pointed to multiple growth areas for the company.</li></ul><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/category/airbnb">Airbnb</a>'s third-quarter earnings report showed that the company keeps growing — and that 2025 will be the year it breaks into a new business.The short-term rental platform grew revenue and bookings during the quarter that ended September 30, it said after the stock market closed on Thursday. Executives said they're lining up long-term growth with its co-host program and an expansion beyond accommodations.Here are the highlights from the earnings report:<h2 id="06331326-417d-467b-843c-62561752f50c">Airbnb's third-quarter revenue grew despite a slow start</h2>Airbnb's revenue for the quarter rose 10% to $3.73 billion. Analysts surveyed by Reuters expected revenue of $3.72 billion. Earnings per share of $2.13 missed analysts' estimates of $2.14.Nights and experiences booked jumped 8% to 122.8 million from the same period in 2023. Bookings were slow early in the quarter but picked up later, CEO Brian Chesky said on Thursday's earnings call.Shares of Airbnb were 4% lower at $141.55 in after-hours trading on Thursday.<h2 id="8864efa4-c78c-476c-a7cc-e3f4be22aebc">Airbnb wants to get more people to list properties using co-hosts</h2>In October, Airbnb started offering its hosts <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://news.airbnb.com/airbnb-2024-winter-release/">co-hosts</a>, or people who can help manage a property that's listed on Airbnb. The company launched its co-host network with about 10,000 people signed up for the role in 10 countries, Chesky said on the call.The goal, as Chesky said, is to make hosting on Airbnb less of a burden — and attract more hosts and properties to the platform. While many people are interested in listing their properties on Airbnb, many don't want to spend the time managing the property, the CEO said."That's why we asked ourselves, what if we could match people with homes that don't have time with people that have extra time but don't have homes?" Chesky said."Not only would this unlock more supply, I think in the coming years, this can unlock millions of listings," Chesky added.<h2 id="d263d6c5-cd68-4ad1-85bb-a25ad5cbd34c">Airbnb has plans for an AI chat assistant that will be able to cancel and rebook reservations for you</h2>Airbnb is rolling out an AI chat agent that can answer basic questions, Chesky said on Thursday's call. But the company sees opportunities for AI to do a lot more, he said.Chesky said that future versions of the chat agent will offer personalized options based on users' bookings. The result: An AI assistant that can see your upcoming reservation and cancel or rebook it for you.Eventually, the AI assistant could take care of most customer queries instead of traditional customer support agents, Chesky said. "We think, in the future, the vast majority of our chats are going to be intercepted and handled directly by the AI agent," Chesky said.<h2 id="7cf99a7d-08d7-4282-8d44-895e3d03acb0">Airbnb is planning to expand beyond short-term rentals next year</h2>Airbnb said in its press release that it will break into a new business next year, though the company didn't offer many details on Thursday."We'll remain focused on accelerating growth while preparing for Airbnb's next chapter, which will take us beyond accommodations," the press release read. "You'll see more on this next year."On the call, Chesky said that Airbnb's expansion would start "with the nearest adjacencies around travel" before going "far beyond travel" over the next decade. He declined to say exactly what Airbnb's plans are.Chesky compared the expansion to Amazon growing beyond its bookselling business by adding CDs, DVDs, and other consumer products in the late 1990s."What I expect is, every year now for the coming years, we will launch one-to-two new businesses that will generate a billion dollars or more of revenue incrementally a year," he said.Axel Springer, Insider Inc.'s parent company, is an investor in Airbnb.

The 4 most interesting things from Airbnb's earnings

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Alphabet, Google's parent company, reported its third-quarter earnings on Tuesday.</li><li>The company delivered beats on revenue, EPS, its advertising business, and Google Cloud revenue, which grew 35% year over year.</li></ul><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/google">Google's</a> parent company, Alphabet, released better-than-expected earnings results for the third quarter after the closing bell on Tuesday.Revenue from Google Cloud grew 35% year over year to $11.4 billion, bolstered by "accelerated growth" in the company's AI products, the company said.Here are the key numbers for the third quarter compared to analysts' expectations:<ul><li>Earnings per share: $2.12 vs. $1.83 expected</li><li>Revenue: $88.27 billion vs. $86.44 billion expected</li><li>Google Advertising: $65.9 billion vs. $65.5 billion</li><li>YouTube advertising revenue: $8.92 billion vs. $8.89 billion expected</li><li>Google Cloud revenue: $11.35 billion vs. $10.79 billion expected </li></ul>Source for analyst expectations: Bloomberg Alphabet and Google CEO Sundar Pichai said in the earnings release that "YouTube's total ads and subscription revenues surpassed $50 billion over the past four quarters for the first time.""Our commitment to innovation, as well as our long-term focus and investment in AI, are paying off with consumers and partners benefiting from our AI tools," he added. "We generated strong revenue growth in the quarter, and our ongoing efforts to improve efficiency helped deliver improved margins."The search giant's earnings arrived less than three months after a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/google-violated-antitrust-law-to-keep-search-monopoly-judge-rules-2024-8">federal judge ruled the company violated antitrust law</a> by illegally maintaining a search monopoly. Its multibillion-dollar-a-year search deal with Apple and other paid partnerships came under the microscope. A potential breakup hangs over the company's head, and a protracted legal fight is expected.The company in October also announced a major reorganization amid its growing AI efforts, moving the Gemini app team under the Google DeepMind team led by Demis Hassabis.Ahead of a 4:30 p.m. ET earnings call with analysts, Wall Street analysts are looking for updates on the company's massive AI investments, advertising business, subscriptions like YouTube TV and Premium, and how its popular search product is doing against increasing competition from AI startups like OpenAI and Perplexity."Google felt the heat from legal pressure this quarter," said Evelyn Mitchell-Wolf, an analyst at Emarketer, a sister company to Business Insider. "A federal judge ruled Google operates illegal monopolies in search; Google defended itself in court for another antitrust case against its ad tech business; and the clock is ticking on Google's temporary administrative stay for the remedies delivered in yet another antitrust case concerning its Play Store. But none of these will affect Google's earnings yet."This post is developing…

Google delivers a big earnings beat

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Alex Karp touted Palantir's blockbuster earnings in a triumphant investor call.</li><li>He said AI models are commodities — it's what you do on top of them that counts.</li></ul>Palantir's stock jumped by more than 23% Tuesday following a blockbuster earnings call where CEO <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/palantir-ceo-alex-karp-addresses-critics-robust-earnings-report-2024-11">Alex Karp said the company had "absolutely eviscerated</a>" the quarter.Karp attributed <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-today-election-trump-harris-vote-fed-rate-cut-2024-11">Palantir's better-than-expected performance</a> to a "US-driven AI revolution" but said the company wanted fewer clients.Karp, a wellness enthusiast known for his blunt manner, acknowledged that Palantir's success has increasingly overshadowed his own widely known eccentricities.Here are four other takeaways from Karp's Monday call with investors:<h2 id="bfb7e042-062d-426b-a85f-e594bbeabe8f">1. Other Palantir execs have helped shift the focus away from Karp.</h2><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/palantir-ceo-alex-karp-bio-life-career-family-education-2020-7">Karp acknowledged he may be seen as eccentric</a> but credited other executives at the company — namely Chief Technology Officer Shyam Sankar and Palantir USG President Akash Jain — for helping other companies come to view Palantir as an ally.Initially, Palantir was seen as winning "too much" and making "all this money," Karp said.But opening up parts of its product and enabling other defense tech startups and larger companies to safely access government data has changed industry perceptions, he said.Rather than viewing him as a "batshit crazy," Karp said, other companies are more eager to collaborate."They're not hating the player. They're playing with us," he said. Karp said having Sankar and Jain aboard was key to this transition.<h2 id="5a1fadd4-bfee-4297-a9bc-6b2f968818b4">2. AI models are commodities — it's what you do on top that counts.</h2>Karp said some industry players are missing the mark on the actual value of nascent AI technology.Karp likened large language models, or LLMs, to commodities, saying the valuable asset is "how you manage the commodity."Chief Revenue Officer Ryan Taylor echoed this point, saying that while much of the investment in the AI industry has focused on improving LLMs, Palantir is focused on leveraging AI that capitalizes "upon the rich context within the enterprise."To this end, Palantir's <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/palantir-unconventional-boot-camps-driving-sales-ceo-says-2024-4">Artificial Intelligence Platform</a> allows companies to build their own AI apps. For instance, Taylor said at a leading insurance company, the platform slashed underwriting response times from two weeks to three hours by creating 78 AI insurance agents.<h2 id="7b279f90-e787-4337-8eb7-bfa534d95864">3. Palantir wants fewer clients.</h2>Palantir execs were surprised by the company's quarterly earnings."Even we are shocked by the 44% growth in the US off of a $2 billion base," Karp said.But looking ahead, he said the company would prefer fewer clients to focus more deeply on product development.Karp said he'd prefer to cultivate a smaller number of "individual titans that are dominating their industry or the battlefield" rather than 10,000 clients who hate you but can't get rid of your product.<h2 id="f4dc8db7-1504-4a33-bc94-c42e289435dd">4. Palantir wants to give American warfighters "the unfair advantage they deserve."</h2>Karp and other execs discussed the world's current, war-torn landscape — with what he called "brutal, heinous, immoral, and often terroristic enemies."Palantir can help reduce forces by magnitudes on the battlefield, Karp said.Sankar said that from Ukraine to the Middle East, the company was "investing aggressively to expand the perimeter to give our warfighters the unfair advantage they deserve."Sankar specifically called out <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/palantir-took-over-from-google-on-project-maven-2019-12">Project Maven</a>, which trains AI to analyze drone footage to identify people and objects and which was adopted by the US Army last quarter. Maven can drastically reduce the number of people involved in a targeting and firing operation from 2,000 to 20, he said."There are whole global events now that would be very different without our ability to manage these things in our infrastructure," Karp said. "And that's obviously generating a lot of excitement internally that spills into our earnings."

Four takeaways from Alex Karp's triumphant Palantir earnings call

A recent study by <keyword id="19898366" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="harvard" source="keywords">Harvard</keyword> and the <keyword id="23109326" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="european-university-of-rome" source="keywords">European University of Rome</keyword> has uncovered a striking connection between early-life exposure to <keyword id="55910" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="air-pollution" source="Orion">air pollution</keyword> and economic outcomes in adulthood. Published in the Proceedings of the <keyword id="21125238" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="national-academy-of-sciences" source="keywords">National Academy of Sciences</keyword>, the <a href="https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2401882121" data-type="tilCustomLink">research</a> highlights how infants exposed to higher levels of fine particulate air pollution (PM2.5) are likely to earn less as adults, with the most significant impacts observed in the Midwest and South of the United States. “This study takes a big step toward filling the knowledge gap on the crucial link between environmental factors and long-term economic outcomes,” said Francesca Dominici, lead author and professor at Harvard. The findings underscore how environmental pollution, particularly air quality, plays a significant role in shaping not just public health but economic mobility and well-being later in life. <div type="Article" hostid="261" msid="112921592" title="Indoor air pollution poses greater health risk than outdoor: Experts" mstype="2" mssubtype="0"></div> <h2>Key findings </h2>The study focused on US individuals born between 1978 and 1983, analysing their PM2.5 exposure from 1980 to 2010, and compared it to their earnings in 2014-2015 when they were between 31 and 37 years old. The results were telling: a one-unit increase in PM2.5 exposure was associated with a 1.146% decrease in <keyword id="23109325" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="economic-earnings" source="Orion">economic earnings</keyword>, measured using a statistic called <keyword id="23109327" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Absolute-Upward-Mobility" source="Orion">Absolute Upward Mobility</keyword> (AUM). The data revealed that this impact was not uniform across the country. Midwestern and Southern regions saw the highest negative effects, suggesting regional disparities in both air quality and its long-term economic impacts. <h2>Call for action </h2>The authors argue that these findings should encourage the creation of stringent national air quality standards, as well as targeted interventions to address pollution in highly affected regions. Luca Merlo, co-lead author, emphasised the importance of addressing both environmental and economic inequalities through integrated policies. This research builds on growing evidence of the far-reaching consequences of air pollution, further solidifying the argument that improving air quality is not only vital for public health but also for fostering economic growth and opportunity. <div type="Article" hostid="261" msid="112853990" title="India saw 19.3% drop in particulate pollution in 2022, adding 51 days to life expectancy: Report" mstype="2" mssubtype="0"></div>

Harvard study links exposure to air pollution in infancy to reduced earnings in adulthood

New Delhi: As the earnings season for the second quarter of FY25 unfolds, <keyword id="19959986" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="public-sector-banks" source="keywords">public sector banks</keyword> (PSBs) are expected to see a slight dip in profits compared to the previous quarter, according to a report by <keyword id="19896146" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Motilal-Oswal" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Motilal Oswal" meta.hostid="153" meta.entityid="Motilal Oswal">Motilal Oswal</keyword>. The report estimates that PSBs' Profit After Tax (PAT) will decline by 0.6 per cent quarter-on-quarter (QoQ), while showing a stronger year-on-year (YoY) growth of 17.2 per cent. "We estimate PSBs to report moderate <keyword id="19899597" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="earnings-growth" source="keywords">earnings growth</keyword> of 17.2 pc YoY/ a decline of 0.6 pc QoQ in 2QFY25," the report stated. The slower pace of growth can be attributed to flat net interest margins (NIMs) and a slight increase in loan loss provisions (LLP). The <keyword id="20171160" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Net-Interest-Income" source="keywords">Net Interest Income</keyword> (NII) for PSBs is expected to grow by around 6 per cent YoY, although interest margins are likely to remain under pressure. Despite these near-term challenges, the report suggests that public sector banks are on track to post a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15 per cent between FY24 and FY26, pointing to sustained long-term growth. In the private sector banking space, the report forecasts mixed results for the same quarter. For private banks under the coverage, Pre-Provision Operating Profit (PPoP) is expected to grow by 12 per cent YoY and 1 per cent QoQ. However, PAT growth is predicted to be more modest, increasing by 5 per cent YoY and 0.6 per cent QoQ. "For our private bank coverage universe, we estimate a PPoP growth of 12 pc YoY/1 pc QoQ and a PAT growth of 5 pc YoY/0.6 pc QoQ in 2QFY25," the report added. Looking ahead, private sector banks are expected to experience steady profitability growth, with earnings projected to grow at a CAGR of 12.4 per cent over FY24-FY26. Overall, while both public and private sector banks may face moderate growth in the second quarter due to margin pressures and higher provisions, their long-term earnings prospects remain positive. (ANI)

Profit of public sector banks expected to decline by 0.6 percent QoQ : Motilala Oswal

<ul class="summary-list"><li>JPMorgan and Wells Fargo kick off bank earnings on Friday.</li><li>Expect lots of questions about how lower rates will impact business going forward.</li></ul>When Wall Street's biggest banks report earnings this week, led by JPMorgan Chase, investors will be listening closely for clues about how a changing interest-rate environment could impact business in 2025.The Federal Reserve in September cut the so-called federal funds rate by 50 basis points — <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/fed-interest-rate-cut-ai-stocks-nvidia-broadcom-asml-tech-2024-9?_gl=1*1ax8rwf*_ga*MzQwMzI0MDQ1LjE3MjEzMDM4ODI.*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyODQ5MTE5OC4yOTAuMS4xNzI4NDkxMjEwLjQ4LjAuMA..">the central bank's first cut</a> in more than four years. The September 18 move took place too late to impact third-quarter results, but stock research analysts are expected to pepper executives this earnings season about what a lower interest-rate environment might mean for business going forward.Lower rates can be a mixed blessing for banks. On the one hand, the Fed's campaign to increase the cost of borrowing has contributed to an era of sky-high returns for traditional lenders like JPMorgan, which have been making more money on loans than they have been paying for deposits. But that party was never going to last forever. (Indeed, top JPMorgan exec <a target="_blank" href="https://www.ft.com/content/c11b59f6-4827-4c4e-9f24-2f075b85f665">Daniel Pinto warned last month</a> that stock analysts' so-called NII expectations were too high.)Plus, lower rates could help unleash <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/goldman-sachs-2q-earnings-david-solomon-investment-banking-forecast-2024-7">the dealmaking backlog</a> that investment bankers have been talking about since the pandemic-era M&amp;A boom started to slow in 2022. Their bonuses are counting on it.Speaking of bonuses, third-quarter results will also be closely watched on Wall Street as an indication of how well investment bankers may get paid this year.JPMorgan and Wells Fargo will kick off earnings on Friday, followed by Goldman Sachs, Citi, and Bank of America on Tuesday. Morgan Stanley will report its earnings on Wednesday. Here are the top four things to look for this bank earnings season:<h2 id="629d7158-9393-4502-a5a4-b8a898b107c5">Investment banking</h2>Investment bankers have been predicting dealmaking will return since it started slowing in 2022. But this year, there are strong signs that companies are ready to start going public and merging again.<a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/megamergers-deals-m-a-wall-street-comeback-2024-9">Preliminary data compiled by LSEG</a> shows 425 mergers globally so far this year valued at more than $1 billion. That's up 24% from the same period in 2023. What's more, deals valued at greater than $10 billion were recently up 39% compared with the same period last year.The number of companies going public is also soaring. 106 US companies have gone public through the third quarter, raising a total of $24.7 billion, according to IPO tracker Renaissance Capital. That's up from 71 in 2022 and 108 in 2023 and on track to beat the $27 billion raised in those two years.Third-quarter results — and commentary about 4Q dealmaking so far — will be closely watched for further signs of progress in M&amp;A, equity underwriting, and debt underwriting.<h2 id="bf745d80-abee-4488-881c-e8551a17811c">Trading</h2>At the Barclays Financial Services conference in September, big bank executives warned that trading revenues may be muted compared to 2023.Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon described a "more challenging macro environment, particularly in the month of August," and warned that the bank's trading business "is trending down close to 10%." Solomon cited the bank's revenues for FICC, or fixed-income, currencies and commodities, saying that results were "very, very strong" in the third quarter of 2023.At the same conference, JPMorgan's president and chief operating officer, Daniel Pinto, predicted that trading revenues would be "flat to slightly up 2%." "It was a bit more challenging environment to monetize client flows, particularly in rates," he said.<h2 id="723af9a4-99cc-49fd-b909-2fc736985cbb">Lending</h2>Stock analysts will be watching what banks say about net interest income, which is how much banks earn off the difference between what they pay on deposits and what they earn on loans. When the Fed started raising rates, banks were making out like bandits because they were able to charge more for loans more quickly than they were raising rates on savings accounts.But banks have been warning that this dichotomy wouldn't last forever, and loan growth has indeed been slowing as the economy slows. Lower rates could boost lending yet again, but that could take time. In the meantime, JPMorgan's Pinto in September warned that Wall Street stock analysts' 2025 predictions for NII of between $91.5 billion and $90 billion were too high, sending the bank's stock down."I think that that number will be lower," Pinto said at the Barclays Financial Services conference. "We are not going to guide on that now, but the $90 billion is a bit too high."<h2 id="b126e3af-7e38-4ed0-b6d7-4e67905737f9">Bonuses</h2>Banks tend not to talk about bonuses on earnings calls, but how bankers will be paid will be reflected in C-Suite comments about dealing and trading generally — as well as their predictions for the rest of 2024 and into next year.In good news, compensation expert Johnson Associates sees bonuses up this year across the board, an analysis that's reflective in part of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.osc.ny.gov/press/releases/2024/10/dinapoli-wall-streets-2024-first-half-profits-232b-were-793-higher-last-year">Wall Street's earnings results</a> so far this year. See here for the compensation expert's views on bonuses for debt underwriting, equity underwriting, sales and trading, and more.<div type="image" title="Wall Street bonus predictions" height="630" width="1950" msid="114096916" hostid="261" sizebytes="88820"></div>

4 trends to watch this bank earnings season

<ul class="summary-list"><li><a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/tsla-stock">Tesla</a> stock has surged since the company reported earnings on Wednesday.</li><li>Wall Street analysts broke down the factors they believe are fueling the rally.</li></ul>Tesla's stock price has been on a tear in the two days since the carmaker reported quarterly earnings that exceeded expectations.The stock regained the ground it lost following Tesla's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-robotaxi-event-cybercab-elon-musk-2024-10">"We, Robot"</a> event on October 10, during which Elon Musk showed off the Cybercab. He was lighter on launch specifics than some on Wall Street wanted, and the stock fell 9% the following day.Two weeks later, Tesla closed the week with a share price of $269.19 on Friday — its highest since September 2023. The stock is now up 8.33% since the start of the year.AvaTrade's chief market analyst, Kate Leaman, told BI that Tesla's earnings were a "surprise beat, which always gives the stock a push."Tesla announced better-than-expected profit and gross margin, a closely watched number. It also announced the <a target="_blank" rel="" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-cybertruck-profit-2024-10">Cybertruck hit profitability</a> and said it was on track to start production for more affordable EVs in the first half of 2025.Jacob Bourne, an analyst at Emarketer, a sister company to Business Insider, said Tesla's strong results were not expected and "the biggest factor" behind the stock surge is "the surprise element." Ahead of the earnings report, analysts had concerns about waning EV demand and the impact of Tesla's price cuts on its profitability.RBC Capital Markets analyst Tom Narayan said: "Low and behold this company is able to still be profitable even with price cutting."Dan Ives, a Tesla bull and an analyst at Wedbush Securities, called Tesla's earnings figures a "Goldilocks quarter."Emarketer's Bourne said questions about Tesla's Cybercab robotaxi were a factor that contributed to uncertainty ahead of its earnings report. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-america-super-pac-trump-turn-out-voters-2024-10">Musk's political activism was another,</a> Bourne said.Global Equities analyst Trip Chowdhry told BI that there had been questions about whether some people would stop buying Teslas because of Musk's support for former President Donald Trump."The negative narrative was proven to be 100% wrong," Chowdhry said.Narayan said while Tesla didn't unveil a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-tesla-halts-gigacasting-blow-to-cheaper-evs-report-2024-5">lower-price vehicle</a> in the earnings report or announce regulatory approval for fully autonomous rides, the company did provide some concrete answers to lingering questions from the Cybercab event.Musk said he expected the company's robotaxi service would gain regulatory approval in Texas and California next year and that Tesla employees in the Bay Area already were testing the ride-hailing service with the development app.For Musk, the stock rally boosted his net worth to over a quarter trillion dollars.The Tesla CEO's net worth was $277 billion at market close on Friday, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/">according</a> to Bloomberg's Billionaires Index.

Tesla ends the week on a high fueled by earnings 'surprise'

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Duolingo's Wednesday earnings call started with an AI chatbot demonstration.</li><li>The chatbot, Lily, summarized the company's performance this quarter.</li></ul><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/duolingo-ceo-explains-rto-mandate-how-he-avoided-backlash-2024-10">Duolingo</a> kicked off its latest investor call on Wednesday with a new voice: Lily, an artificial intelligence-driven chatbot based on a longtime app character.The purple-haired chatbot, which sounded like a bored, sarcastic teenager, replaced CEO Luis von Ahn at the beginning of the video call. Von Ahn later took questions from analysts."Over time, she's going to do more and more of my job, and I can just retire," the CEO said.Speaking in English for less than two minutes, the chatbot summarized the quarter's performance, including key metrics like daily active users, which grew 54% year over year to 37.2 million. Lily attributed Duolingo's strong growth to social media marketing and investments in generative AI."Our new Duolingo Max feature video call lets learners chat with me," the chatbot said. "Don't worry, I won't judge — much. Maybe just an eye roll here and there."Lily's earnings call appearance is another instance of Duolingo's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/gen-z-favorite-language-app-on-a-streak-duolingo-2024-8">marketing strategy that </a>positions the brand as a person, not as a business.The chatbot highlighted the company's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/duolingo-luis-von-ahn-ai-power-list-2024">efforts to double down on AI.</a> Duolingo uses OpenAI's GPT-4 for two-way interactions and, earlier this year, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/duolingo-lays-off-workers-ai-tools-2024-1">cut 10% of its contractors</a> as AI, not people, creates lessons.Several analysts attending the call acknowledged Lily's appearance. Piper Sandler's Arvind Ramnani said on the call that it was "probably one of the most enjoyable earnings calls that I had in several quarters."While Lily was largely a gimmick for the earnings call, the impact of AI has been a persistent theme in earnings this year. Key discussions this quarter include AI's creative use and infrastructure spending for <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tech-earnings-takeaway-q3-ai-cloud-chips-amazon-meta-apple-2024-11">tech giants</a> like Meta and Microsoft.<h2 id="6ca5e64d-00d5-4e25-8fb4-59cee75195ec">Another strong Duolingo quarter</h2>Duolingo reported $192.6 million in revenue, which beat analyst expectations of $189.2 million and was a 40% year-on-year improvement. Duolingo also raised full-year 2024 revenue guidance from up to $738 million to as much as $744 million.However, the company missed Wall Street's expectations on one key metric. It reported 8.6 million paid subscribers, while analysts predicted 8.66 million. Duolingo fell nearly 5% in after-hours trading following the earnings report.Its stock is up over 40% year-to-date, following six straight profitable quarters.The app, a hit with Gen Z, is most famous for its gamified approach to language learning, where users try to maintain a daily usage streak. In September, the company launched a feature where users can video call Lily and practice speaking with the bot, part of its most expensive pricing tier.The company didn't immediately respond to a request for comment for this story, sent outside business hours.

Duolingo put its sarcastic teen chatbot to work on its earnings call

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Reddit stock surged 42% Wednesday to trade at a record high after reporting a strong earnings beat.</li><li>Reddit's revenue jumped 68% from a year ago, partly helped by licensing deals with OpenAI and Google.</li></ul>Reddit stock soared 42% to close at an all-time high of $116.03 per share on Wednesday afternoon after the company reported a strong earnings beat.A few months ago, investors appeared wary of Reddit's ability to compete on AI. Now, the platform's AI licensing deals are helping fuel its biggest quarterly revenue growth in two years and driving its stock to new records. On Tuesday, the company reported net income of $29.9 million, flying past expectations of an $8.8 million loss. It marks just the third profitable quarter for the company.Reddit's revenue jumped 68% from a year ago to $348.4 million. Part of that huge jump comes from its strong suite of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/google-train-ai-model-crazy-subreddit-posts-reddit-licensing-deal-2024-2">licensing deals</a> with OpenAI and Google, which are reflected in the $33.2 million of "other revenue" for the third quarter.That revenue category grew 547% year over year and now accounts for over 9% of the company's overall revenue, up from less than 1% last year.The company's licensing deals allow AI giants to train their models on the platform, which has become an increasingly competitive landscape. CEO Steve Huffman previously said Reddit is well-positioned amid an intense <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/reddit-ceo-platform-arms-race-ai-training-steve-huffman-2024-10">"arms race" for AI training</a>.The company is also innovating in AI via language translation, which it's piloting in French, Huffman said during the earnings call. The move has helped drive more users to the site, he said."This quarter, machine translation drove four times more users than last quarter, and based on the success we've seen so far, we plan to expand machine translation to over 30 countries through 2025," Huffman added.The company added over 24 million daily users in the first three quarters of the year, already surging past the 15.6 million added in total last year, which has provided a huge boost to its ad business, too. Advertising revenue is forecast to surpass $1 billion for the year for the first time.Analysts say the company's ad and AI innovation are reasons for continued optimism on the stock."Revenue beat street expectations by 11%, dispelling fears around user growth sustainability, while displaying improved monetization via ad product innovation and AI-driven enhancements," Deutsche Bank analysts said in a Wednesday note."Looking forward, Reddit is expected to re-launch its Search tool in the coming quarters, which given the success of competing Gen AI-driven search tools, could drive another lever in monetization growth," they added, raising their price target on the stock from $85 to $115.Analysts are now expecting $113 million in profits next year, up from previous consensus estimates of just $17.5 million, according to FactSet data.

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