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<ul class="summary-list"><li>BlackRock's Rick Rieder says there are "no sellers" in the equity market.</li><li>Stocks will keep rising despite soaring market valuations, he told Yahoo Finance.</li></ul>Even with stock-market valuations hovering <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-crazy-town-valuation-mania-sp500-barry-bannister-2024-11">near generational highs</a>, BlackRock's bond chief highlighted one key reason why stocks can continue higher."There's no sellers," Rick Rieder — the firm's global CIO of fixed income — said at a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yjz_kTaO5pA">Yahoo Finance conference</a>.On the buying side, momentum is abundant, even as the prospect of persistently high interest rates boosts the appeal of the money-market funds."You think about the amount of money that comes into 401(k)s, wealth, salary — X percent goes into equities, and there's no sellers," he said.Rieder added that corporate buybacks are also backstopping stock market prices. Big companies have bought a trillion dollars worth of their own shares, he noted, shrinking the equity supply and pushing per-share values higher."So you shrink the denominator because they're buying back a bunch of their stock, and there's no sellers," Rieder said.He sees this more than offsetting any valuation pressures, even with one S&amp;P 500 adjusted-earnings ratio close to the highest it's been in the last century, according to new research from Deutsche Bank.And although Rieder sees current valuations as stretched, he added that market multiples could return to reasonable levels if earnings rise significantly higher."People want — myself included — want the multiple lower. But boy, it's pretty hard," he said. "If there's no egregious piece of news, geopolitical, et cetera, the natural migration is to higher prices."To be sure, Rieder himself has <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-us-debt-levels-government-borrowing-treasury-blackrock-rick-rieder-2024-11">previously noted impending risks</a>, previously forecasting that US debt could lead to a market shakeup. But this won't be an immediate threat."I think markets tend to react to the shark closest to the boat," Rieder said last week. "The shark on the debt dynamic is not going to be next to the boat in January or February, but it is going to get next to the boat sometime. I don't know if it's the latter part of 2025 or the beginning of 2026 unless they address the size of the spending dynamics, the amount of debt we're issuing, and, then obviously, inflation relative to that."

BlackRock's bond chief explains why stocks will keep charging higher despite stretched valuations

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae shares surged post-Trump election win, up 74% and 70%, respectively.</li><li>Trump's second presidency could end government control of the agencies, reshaping the mortgage industry.</li></ul>While Tesla and bitcoin soared in the wake of Donald Trump's election victory, shares of two firms connected to a key corner of the US economy have also surged on the potential for a big shake-up. The preferred shares of <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/fmcc-stock">Freddie Mac</a> and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/fnma-stock">Fannie Mae</a>, the mortgage finance giants that entered government conservatorship during the 2008 financial crisis, have soared in the past week. Shares of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are up 74% and 70%, respectively, since Trump won the election. Behind the massive gains are hopes that a second Trump presidency could release both companies from their government conservatorship, potentially reshaping the US mortgage industry."The re-election of former President Donald Trump revives the effort to get Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac out of government conservatorship," Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Ben Elliott wrote in a recent note.In 2008, the US government bailed out both companies and took them over to prevent the housing market from crashing and ensure that mortgages were still available to prospective homebuyers.While the companies don't originate mortgages, they buy home loans from lenders and securitize them, offering liquidity to a market that deals in a relatively illiquid product.Since then, excess profits generated by both companies have been paid to the US Treasury rather than their investors, which is why the preferred shares of both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have traded below $5 for much of the past 15 years.However, a recent <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/trump-allies-are-working-on-plans-to-privatize-fannie-and-freddie-a9c4e5ff">report from The Wall Street Journal</a> suggests that members of Trump's inner circle, such as Larry Kudlow and John McEntee, are discussing plans to re-privatize the two companies.Those against the plan worry that the privatization of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae would result in <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://apnews.com/article/fannie-freddie-conservatorship-trump-project-2025-mortgages-686bd902ce630a64c90f9373bee9e2be">higher mortgage rates</a> and a resurgence in risky behavior that led to the 2008 crisis, while supporters say the companies are well-capitalized and in a much stronger financial position than they were during the 2008 Financial Crisis.Hedge fund boss and potential pick for Treasury Secretary under Trump, John Paulson, is among some of the big holders of Fannie and Freddie shares who stand to benefit from their privatization. While a second Trump presidency may try to move ahead with plans to privatize the mortgage finance giants, efforts to do so during his first administration fizzled. Bloomberg Intelligence analysts said privatizing the companies would be a long process that "at best" would not occur until 2026 or 2027.

An under-the-radar Trump trade has soared on hopes of a big shake-up in the US mortgage industry

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Russia is weighing a plan to combine three of its oil giants, The Wall Street Journal reported. </li><li>The report says the merger would help Russian energy be more competitive amid slowing oil demand.</li></ul>Russia is considering a plan to combine three of its oil giants, making for the world's second-largest largest oil producer, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.wsj.com/business/energy-oil/russia-explores-plan-to-merge-oil-giants-into-mega-producer-80a6aa6b">The Wall Street Journal reported</a>. The deal would involve state-backed Rosneft Oil taking over state-owned Gazprom Neft (a subsidiary of Gazprom) and the independently-run Lukoil, the Journal report said. Sources speaking with the Journal said the possible deal is subject to change and has been discussed among executives and government officials over the past few months.Talks of similar mergers have circulated in recent years, but there remain some hurdles, like opposition from executives at Rosneft and Lukoil, plus the large amount of financing needed to pay Lukoil's shareholders, the report said.It added that the merger is part of Putin's effort to compete with Saudi Arabia while oil demand slows amid a push toward renewable sources. If successful, the post-merger entity would be one of the world's largest oil producers, second only to Saudi Aramco, which produced almost 10 million barrels of oil a day in 2023, according to data from Rystad Energy UCube.It would also pump nearly three times that of US oil producer Exxon Mobil, the report added.The deal's proponents say the merger could generate far more revenue since the oil output from the three companies could be sold through Litasco, Lukoil's trading unit in Dubai.That would help fuel Putin's war effort in Ukraine. Oil and gas are key lifelines for Russia's economy, and provide nearly a third of federal revenue, but have faced new obstacles amid Western sanctions.Rosneft, Gazprom Neft, and Lukoil all face sanctions, making it difficult to engage in the energy trade with partners around the world. The report comes as oil prices have been largely depressed this year, partly because China has suffered a prolonged economic downturn and as the conflict in the Middle East hasn't resulted in any disruption to supply. The report said spokespeople from some of the involved parties denied the deal. A Rosneft spokesperson said the information was incorrect, while a Lukoil spokesperson said the company was not involved in merger talks because it would not be in the interest of the company, the report says. A state spokesperson, meanwhile, said the administration was not aware of a deal, the report adds.

Russia could merge state-run oil companies to make the world's 2nd largest producer, report says

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Donald Trump courted bitcoin lovers by branding himself the "crypto president."</li><li>The industry hopes his second term will bring regulatory changes and give bitcoin a role in the economy.</li></ul>Donald Trump flipped from <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/btc-usd?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets&amp;utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">bitcoin</a> cynic to <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/trump-bitcoin-cryptocurrency-election-outlook-crypto-funding-regulation-biden-novogratz-2024-7?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">"crypto president"</a> and it paid off big.Trump <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/news/trump-bitcoin-commentary-seems-like-scam-against-the-us-dollar-2021-6-1030500598?utm_medium=ingest&amp;utm_source=markets">disparaged digital assets</a> as recently as just a few years ago, describing bitcoin as a scam, and yet his latest electoral win was fueled in no small part by crypto-friendly pledges that unlocked millions in campaign funding.With Trump headed back to the White House, it's now the industry's turn to see if its bets on a second term paid off. Here's what they're want to see. <h2 id="1009b70b-3c95-4408-9e2d-ef2b16069f01">Regulatory overhaul</h2>One of the root themes of Trump's crypto platform is a promise to sweep aside regulatory restrictions that have hung over the industry in recent years.Criticism has been loud over the Biden administration's handling of the sector, characterized by heated confrontations between the Securities and Exchange Commission and major crypto players."Those guys, I mean, they just put so much uncertainty in this entire industry. It was unbelievable. There was no clear guidance, no regulations," said Tim Kravchunovsky, CEO of Chirp, a decentralized telecommunications company.Speaking with Business Insider, he added that regulatory conflict has pushed crypto business out of the US, costing Washington its competitive edge. Matt Mena, crypto research strategist at 21Shares, agreed with that sentiment. "By creating a more welcoming regulatory environment, this approach could draw back projects and founders who have left the country due to regulatory uncertainty, generating thousands of new jobs and millions in tax revenue, bolstering the economy while advancing the crypto sector," he told BI over email.To this end, the industry anticipates that Trump will replace regulatory heads with more crypto-friendly people. The president-elect is already surrounded by such figures, Mena said, such as Elon Musk, JD Vance, Robert F. Kennedy, and Howard Lutnick.Meanwhile, to make Trump's plan of turning the US into a "crypto hub" possible,Kravchunovsky suggested that Washington could provide incentives such as federal grants and tax cuts.<h2 id="b1a4e172-d8a3-4ea3-b022-1a29b3897ab5">Crypto bills</h2>On the legislative front, crypto players will also be watching for the repeal of SAB 121 and the passage of several key bills,SAB 121, an SEC policy document <a target="_blank" href="https://content.next.westlaw.com/practical-law/document/Idfd9dfac273211ef8921fbef1a541940/President-Biden-Vetoes-Legislation-Rescinding-SEC-Staff-Accounting-Bulletin-121-SAB-121-on-Crypto-Custody?viewType=FullText&amp;transitionType=Default&amp;contextData=(sc.Default)">kept in place by the Biden administration</a>, discourages US lenders from acting as crypto custiodians, given that it requires them to hold an equivalent amount of cash against their crypto holdings. It's removal would free institutional investors to further adopt digital assets.Mena also cited anticipation around FIT21, an act aiming to clarify the regulatory roles around digital assets. Consumer protections would also strengthen under this bill, he said.Meanwhile, Trump's administration could accelerate progress on three meaningful pieces of stablecoin legislation, which aim to set up guardrails around future stablecoin issuance. These dollar-pegged crypto assets are increasingly used for purposes similar to traditional finance, Standard Chartered said in a note on Friday.<h2 id="eae31105-86db-4e91-9d15-cfc75e92738f">A bitcoin reserve?</h2>Since Trump's victory, speculation has jumped that a strategic bitcoin reserve could be in on the way. Though the President-elect has not specifically voiced such a plan, the idea that his administration would buy bitcoin as a reserve asset has created enthusiasm among crypto bulls."We're already seeing that that [crypto's] gaining trust, and it's gaining trust within institutions and countries. More and more countries are adopting it. So I don't think it's a matter of years. I think it's a matter of months," Kravchunovsky said.Mena sees the price of bitcoin soaring to $1 million "almost overnight," if a strategic reserve were to be established. The scenario would prompt other nations to build up their own reserves, pushing bitcoin's total market cap 13 times higher. Meanwhile, Standard Chartered head of FX research Geoff Kendrick considers a bitcoin reserve fund as a high-impact development with a low probability of happening for now. Investors should instead pay attention to Trump's separate promise to cease all sales of government bitcoin. If this happens, that could mean a sizeable upswing in the price of the token, he wrote.<h2 id="6a25764b-b3fc-4a7c-a689-ece320390cd4">Crypto's time to shine</h2>In whatever way the industry changes under Trump, one thing feels certain: the election has cemented the crypto markets place in the mainstream."Crypto is now essentially legal in the U.S., marking a major turning point for the industry," Mena wrote.According to Kendrick, crypto-friendly adjustments have the potential to drive the total market value of the cryptocurrency market to $10 trillion by the end of 2026, a major jump from the current $2.5 trillion level.He reiterated his expectation that bitcoin will hit $200,000 by the next year's end.

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BlackRock's bond chief explains why stocks will keep charging higher despite stretched valuations

Filip De Mott

An under-the-radar Trump trade has soared on hopes of a big shake-up in the US mortgage industry

Matthew Fox

Russia could merge state-run oil companies to make the world's 2nd largest producer, report says

Kelly Cloonan

What the crypto market actually wants from a Trump presidency

Filip De Mott

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