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1 min read

LAKSHMAN ACHUTHAN: Yes, It's Possible To Be In A Recession With GDP Growth At 2.5%

Recall that the GDP release on August 28, 2008 – with the economy eight months inside the Great Rec…

Sam Ro   


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ACHUTHAN: The Key Jobs Metric I Follow Has Dropped To A 19-Month Low

Indeed, income is becoming an increasingly worrisome metric as consumer spending appears to be bols…

Sam Ro   


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3 mins read

ACHUTHAN: Look At These Charts And Tell Me We're Not In Recession

Here is a historical chart of the two-quarter annualized percent change in GDI, with a horizontal l…

Sam Ro   


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2 mins read

ECRI UPDATE: Bearish Economist Defends Call By Insisting That We're In A Recession

In support of this position, ECRI Co-Founder and Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan points …

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2 mins read

The US economy is flashing a recession warning that has only been wrong once in the last century, top economist says

An economic-downturn indicator with a nearly perfect track record is flashing a red warning sign fo…

Jennifer Sor   


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Don't rule out a 'hard landing' for the US economy and that means it's still 'tough going' for stocks, forecaster says

A 'hard landing' for the US economy is still in the cards as leading indicators suggest it's not ou…

Zinya Salfiti   


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3 mins read

People across the US have relied on KN95 face masks for protection. But the majority imported from China have failed safety standards.

A majority of masks tested did not filter 95% or more particles, per requirements, according to a n…

Gabby Landsverk   


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FDA should 'under no circumstances' fast-track a COVID-19 vaccine, says patient safety group

The US Food and Drug Administration should not approve a vaccine before full clinical trials are co…

Charles Davis   


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1 min read

FDA advisory committee to discuss emergency authorization for Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine

An FDA advisory committee will meet next month to discuss an emergency use authorization (EUA) for …

Charles Davis   


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3 mins read

ACHUTHAN: In Hindsight, It Appears The US Economy Was In Recession Closer To Early-2013

In fact, demographics, along with productivity growth averaging less than 1% for the last three yea…

Sam Ro   


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4 mins read

FINANCIAL ADVISOR INSIGHTS: The January Indicator Doesn't Work

The January Barometer which argues that if the stock market is up in January, it will stay up the r…

Mamta Badkar   


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2 mins read

ACHUTHAN: I'm Not Budging From My Prediction That A Recession Started In 2012

OK, let's pretend December didn't happen, and focus on the trends. In the preceding 12 months we cr…

Sam Ro   


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1 min read

LAKSHMAN ACHUTHAN: Wow, The US Jobs Market Sure Looks Recessionary

Indeed, these pictures of job growth shown by both the establishment and the household surveys are …

Sam Ro   


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DEUTSCHE BANK: The US Economy Could Be Growing 4% Right Now

In the wake of improving economic data, including today's strong personal income and spending repor…

Sam Ro   


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Here's How Amazing Your Investment Returns Would Be, If You Could Perfectly Forecast The Next Recession

There are variations, but the gist is this: An investment of $10,000 in 1970 would be worth $399,91…

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1 min read

ROSENBERG: It's Hard To Believe, But I Was The Resident Bull At This Year's Camp Kotok

Last month we pointed out that Rosenberg was starting to sound extremely bullish. He responded to t…

Mamta Badkar   


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1 min read

ACHUTHAN: This 3-D Chart Shows That The US Economy Is In Worse Shape Today Than Japan Was During Its Lost Decade

"Japan’s entry into its lost decades (1992 to present, red bar), and the other developed economies’…

Sam Ro   


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CHART OF THE DAY: A Stock Market Trend Has Developed That Coincided With The Last 3 Recessions

It is interesting that, historically, there have never been two or more quarters of negative earnin…

Sam Ro   


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2 mins read

DAVID ROSENBERG: Here's Why There's Zero Percent Chance Of A Recession

10. 20 point decline in University of Michigan consumer sentiment - the gauge of consumer confiden…

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1 min read

ALBERT EDWARDS: The Principal Driver Of US Inflation Just Made A Big Up Move

"Most economists consider unit labour costs to be the principle driver of inflation and we can see …

Sam Ro