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This Chart Shows Why Russia's Economy May Be Screwed

Apr 25, 2014, 14:22 IST

This morning, S&P downgraded Russia's credit rating to one notch above junk.

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S&P's #1 reason for the downgrade? Money is fleeing Russia fast.

This is what S&P says right at the top of the downgrade announcement:

In our view, the large capital outflows from Russia in the first quarter of 2014 heighten the risk of a marked deterioration in external financing, either through a significant shift in foreign direct investments or portfolio equity investments. We see this as a risk to Russia's economic growth prospects.

This chart from Morgan Stanley published earlier in the week shows the problem.

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Morgan Stanley

Basically just look at the big light blue bar at the right end. That's investor money fleeing the scene. With political instability a weakening economy and rising sanctions, it seems safe to say that investor money won't be rushing in any time soon. And that's a problem. For more on S&P's announcement, see here.

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