The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model just downgraded expectations for third quarter growth in the US economy.
In a big way.
On Thursday, the latest update to the Atlanta Fed's nowcast - which takes in current economic data, and unlike most Wall Street estimates and other forecasts, doesn't factor in future expected data and potential seasonal adjustments - sees third quarter GDP growth clocking in at 0.9%.
And while the Atlanta Fed compiles data differently than most Wall Street economists, it's become a more popular tracking tool for folks looking at the economy after it was the only measure that called for such a disappointing start to the year.
Just a few days ago, the measure was indicating third quarter GDP growth would come in at 1.9%.
The reason for the big revision on Thursday was the advance estimate on net exports released Wednesday, with exports now expected to take 0.9% OUT of third quarter GDP after having previously been seen ADDING 0.7% to growth.
Atlanta Fed
US consumers, however, have enjoyed the spoils of the strong dollar - and the decline in oil prices - and what we've seen, then, are diverging stories for the US economy: exports and manufacturing down, consumer spending up.
BMO