In the U.S., most consumers and merchants will soon need to switch over to the 'chip card' standard, otherwise known as EMV. It's a technology, most recognizable as a chip on payment cards, which is designed to make card transactions much more secure.
In Europe and other parts of the world where EMV has been the standard for years, there is much less payment card fraud than in the U.S.
As merchants move away from their current technology, there's a big opportunity for payment technology and service providers to grab market share. The EMV switch will hasten the normal terminal upgrade cycle in some segments, allowing businesses to go after new clients.
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Here are some of the key takeaways from the report:
- The massive data breach at Target stores in late 2013 is only a spectacular recent example of a deep-seated card fraud problem in the U.S. In 2013, fraud in the U.S. cost $6.8 billion and accounted for 51% of global card fraud losses. That amount is completely out of proportion to the U.S. share of global card transaction volume.
- We estimate that the total cost of implementing EMV in the U.S. will be about $11 billion, representing a huge cost - but also a big opportunity for payment technology and service providers.
- The benefits of the EMV standard will not be distributed evenly across the payments industry. Fraud perpetrated with counterfeit credit cards will decrease because EMV cards are more difficult to copy. But that will lead to a spike in "card-not-present fraud," as criminals move to different channels, particularly online transactions. This is a threat to e-commerce retailers.
- There's a great deal of uncertainty over which variant of chip card transaction will catch on in the U.S. market. Banks will make the choice, and the option they choose will have a big impact on how effective the new standard will be at reducing fraud.
In full, the report:
- Gives detailed breakdowns of the costs of upgrading hardware, software, ATMs, and reissuing payment cards.
- Looks at the key deadlines that payment card networks are using to pressure the industry to make the switch to EMV.
- Explores whether the card networks will be successful in getting different players in the payments space to adopt the new standard.
- Analyzes how the card networks will benefit from pushing their partners to adopt EMV, including the potential upside for mobile payments adoption.
- Includes an interview with a key EMV expert who gives us insights into what the migration will look like, why it's important to make the change, and the types of businesses that will take the longest to upgrade.
- Explains why the rollout of EMV might turn out to be a Pyrrhic victory for many of the players involved, even when the fraud cost reduction is taken into account.
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