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The Stock Market Hasn't Had A 10% Correction In 408 Days

Jan 20, 2014, 22:49 IST

""It has been 408 days since the last 10% correction in the MSCI World index (see below), the 8th-longest period on record," writes Andrew Lapthorne, global head of quantitative strategy at Société Générale, in a note to clients today.

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"However, simply not having a correction for a long time does not necessarily imply impending doom for equities; we find no relationship between time since correction and future returns. Nonetheless, we still worry how, in these times of interconnected asset markets and mark-to-market risk modelling, such extended runs can hide the real volatility in equity investing. In brief, it can lead to excessive risk-taking."

SG Cross Asset Research/Equity Quant, MSCI

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