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The first Wall Street bank to follow marijuana stocks just added 2 major names to its coverage universe. Here's what it's saying.

Mar 5, 2019, 20:18 IST

A man smokes as he waits in line for the opening of the Quebec Cannabis Society (SQDC) store, on the day Canada legalizes recreational marijuana, in Montreal, Quebec, Canada,REUTERS/Christinne Muschi

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  • Cowen, the first major Wall Street bank to follow marijuana stocks, has been publishing recommendations on Canopy Growth and Tilray, and on Tuesday added Cronos Group and Aurora Cannabis to its coverage.
  • The four Canadian cannabis producers were listed in the US last year, prompting investors to pour money into the industry.
  • Also in the last year, a wave of recreational-marijuana legalization has triggered companies in other fields, such as beverage and tobacco, to enter the space.

Cowen, the first major Wall Street bank to follow marijuana stocks, on Tuesday added two popular names to its coverage universe.

The firm had been publishing recommendations on Canopy Growth and Tilray, and is now also writing research on Cronos Group and Aurora Cannabis.

The four Canadian cannabis producers were listed in the US last year, prompting investors, especially younger ones, to pour money into the industry. On Robinhood, a free-trading app popular among millennials, Aurora has outranked all other stocks in terms of the number of users who own shares.

Also in the last year, a wave of recreational-marijuana legalization - including in Canada and the state of Michigan - has triggered companies in other fields, such as beverage maker Constellation Brands and tobacco giant Altria to enter the space. Constellation Brands and Altria invested in Canopy and Cronos respectively.

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Driven by the strong demand for insight into marijuana stocks, Cowen's Vivien Azer became the first Wall Street senior analyst to cover the emerging cannabis sector, and leads the marijuana research team at the firm.

Last month, Jefferies became the second major Wall Street bank to track the industry, initiating coverage on seven cannabis companies.

Here's what Cowen says about Cronos Group and Aurora Cannabis. The potential upside is the difference between the bank's price target and where shares were trading as of March 4:

Cronos Group

Ticker: CRON

Rating: Market Perform

Price target: 29 Canadian dollars

Potential upside: +1.5%

Cowen comment:

"CRON has an asset-light model that does not prioritize cultivation (consistent with tobacco) with a plan to transition to 3rd party supply over time," Azer said.

"Through its partnership with Ginkgo Bioworks, CRON aims to produce eight target cannabinoids (including rare strains such as THCV) at a fraction of the current cost, at commercial scale and at a higher purity than what is currently available. While Aphria's investment provides significant additional financial capacity and operational capabilities to expand distribution, investments needed to expand its global footprint will likely prevent meaningful profitability over the next few years."

Source: Cowen

Aurora Cannabis

Ticker: ACB

Rating: Outperform

Price target: 14 Canadian dollars

Potential upside: +46%

Cowen comment:

"As one of the largest manufacturers, ACB is well positioned to benefit from the growing medical and adult use cannabis industry in Canada (CAD $12 billion by 2025), particularly given its advantages in capacity and scale," the group said.

"With the largest physical presence outside of Canada among the LPs, ACB is also well positioned to capture share in the $31 bn international medical market. Further, efficiencies from its large- scale production network and near-term operating leverage will allow ACB to be among the first Canadian cannabis companies to reach profitability."

Source: Cowen

SEE ALSO:

A Wall Street bank just started covering 7 marijuana stocks. Here's what it's saying.

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