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The Death Cross Foretold Everything

The Death Cross Foretold Everything

Markets are tanking today, and traders have various theories about why.

But here's one thing that technical analysts and other fans of chart-reading will be interested in.

Just a few days ago, the Russell 2000 (an index of small-cap stocks) made a "death cross."

That's when the 50-day moving average (the average of the last 50 days of the index) fell below the 200-day moving average (the slower-moving average of the last 200 days of the index).

Here's what it looked like.

For purists, the definition of "death cross" is defined by Stockopedia as: "On a stock chart, the Death cross occurs when the 50-day MA falls below the 200-day MA. As the name implies, a Death Cross is associated with sharp downward price"

Of course, there are other fundamental explanations for the selloff, including the recent rise in short-term interest rates.

And Dave Lutz of JonesTrading cited these things that traders are talking about:

  • The S&P 500 broke below its 50-day moving average, and there is chatter about a large "institutional player" exiting positions in nearly 200 different stocks.
  • Growth concerns are taking copper, silver, oil, and bond yields lower.
  • There is "major hedging" in futures contracts due after a large broker was a sold a block of HYG, the ETF that tracks high-yield bonds.
  • "Chatter of a big fixed income sell program."
  • Yen is climbing due to concerns over Japan's Government Investment Pension Fund.
  • Rumors that a hedge fund is in trouble, with media companies SFX Entertainment, Media General, Nexstar Broadcasting, and Gray Television falling.
  • Terror concerns.
  • A breakdown in commodities.

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