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The bond market exodus is accelerating

Dec 29, 2015, 15:53 IST

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Bond investors are getting nervous.

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Bank of America Merrill Lynch's latest update on the bond market shows that the exodus from investment-grade debt funds is accelerating.

Investors last week pulled billions from funds investing in high-quality bonds issued by US companies, according to the BAML report. More than the previous week.

This rush for the exit comes after panic hit the market for lower-grade, riskier bonds - known as high-yield debt - this month.

The worries seem to have spread from junk to debt issued by companies with high credit ratings, as well as funds that invest in the stock market.

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Here's BAML analyst Ujjwal Pradhan (emphasis ours):

Relative to the prior week, outflows from high grade accelerated to $3.84bn from $2.52bn and from equities to $7.99bn from $4.64bn.

Here's how that chart looks:

BAML

While investors continue to shun high-yield funds, they're doing so at a more measured rate.

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Here's Pradhan again (emphasis ours)

At the same time, outflows from high yield eased to $1.14bn after outflows of $3.05bn and $3.40bn in the weeks ending December 16 and December 9 respectively."

The heavy outflow from bond funds - a total of $25 billion in the first three weeks of December - has come in the same month as a Federal Reserve rate hike from 0.25% to 0.5%. It was the first base rate increase since the 2008 global financial crisis.

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