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Tesla analysts are questioning how many people even want to buy Elon Musk's cars after weak delivery numbers

Rebecca Ungarino   

Tesla analysts are questioning how many people even want to buy Elon Musk's cars after weak delivery numbers
Stock Market3 min read

elon musk tesla

Reuters / Kyle Grillot

Tesla CEO Elon Musk


Tesla shareholders are dealing with a lot right now.

The electric car-maker's first-quarter delivery figures fell short of expectations, sending the stock plunging by more than 8%. Elon Musk, the company's CEO, is in a battle with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The newly unveiled Model Y is expected to claw interest away from the mass-market Model 3 sedan. And on top of that, Musk doesn't expect the company turn a profit in the first-quarter.

Now shareholders have another worry. They're grappling with a fundamental concern that has been heightened by Wednesday's disappointing delivery numbers: waning demand.

Tesla's total first-quarter deliveries, which dropped 31% from the prior quarter, suggest demand is still a burning concern for investors, analysts across Wall Street said in their notes sent out on Thursday.

The electric-car maker delivered 63,000 vehicles in the quarter, a figure that fell short of expectations from analysts polled by Reuters. Just 12,100 Model S and Model X vehicles were delivered, representing a steep drop-off from the 27,550 that were delivered last quarter.

Read more: Tesla is plunging after first-quarter deliveries came up short

Widely followed Tesla analysts did not mince words, saying that Tesla's underlying demand is going to be put to the test.

  • Citi: "Tesla confirmed its 2019 delivery targets, which of course now look quite aggressive requiring ~100k deliveries on average in each remaining quarter. So demand will likely be scrutinized even more so, and the outcome in the coming months could meaningfully re-shape the entire Tesla bulls/bear debate."
  • Goldman Sachs: "Model S/X and Model 3 production/deliveries fall below both GSe and consensus as we believe demand is in question."
  • UBS: "Low Q1 Deliveries Raises Questions on Demand & FY Targets," the firm titled its report, adding that lowered vehicle prices imply falling demand.
  • JPMorgan: "We are lowering our estimates and price target on Tesla shares today (to $200 from $215), reflecting the softer 1Q deliveries and flow-through of what we see as reduced underlying demand going forward for the higher ASP S & X," analysts wrote, referring to the average selling price.

Ultimately, the first-quarter is shaping up to be one Tesla "may want to forget," Morgan Stanley analysts wrote.

Tesla shares have fallen 20% this year through Thursday.

Now read more Tesla coverage from Markets Insider and Business Insider:

Tesla shares.

Markets Insider

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